[HN Gopher] MIT engineers make converting CO2 into useful produc...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       MIT engineers make converting CO2 into useful products more
       practical
        
       Author : rbanffy
       Score  : 134 points
       Date   : 2024-11-13 15:42 UTC (7 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (news.mit.edu)
 (TXT) w3m dump (news.mit.edu)
        
       | VyseofArcadia wrote:
       | Time scale is also something I want to know about. "Can I remove
       | CO2 from the air and turn it into something valuable in a way
       | that is cost effective?" is one question. Another question is,
       | "Can I remove CO2 from the air and turn it into something
       | valuable faster than a tree?"
        
         | ben_w wrote:
         | As this is more of "can we make carbon sequestering
         | commercially viable, or at least less lossy", I'm less worried
         | about that and would be more concerned about the global market
         | for ethylene being "316.8 Million Tonnes in the year 2023"*,
         | compared to the tens of gigatons of CO2 emissions -- though on
         | the plus side, I'm optimistic about removing _most_ of those
         | emissions and this kind of thing is still fine for the last
         | 10%.
         | 
         | As for "less lossy" even if it's not always a commercial winner
         | alone: my guess would be there's always going to be an easier
         | way to get CO2 than "from the air", unless you're on Venus or
         | Mars: take tree (or coal), cut up, put chips in oven, set on
         | fire. Much higher CO2 concentration than air, likely to make
         | most things that need CO2 much easier.
         | 
         | * https://finance.yahoo.com/news/global-ethylene-industry-
         | repo...
        
         | sampo wrote:
         | > "Can I remove CO2 from the air and turn it into something
         | valuable faster than a tree?"
         | 
         | In some climate zones, grasslands do it better than forests.
         | 
         | https://climatechange.ucdavis.edu/climate/news/grasslands-mo...
        
           | criddell wrote:
           | A tree gives you wood. What are the valuable outputs of
           | grasslands?
        
             | Kostic wrote:
             | Chernozem.
        
               | thechao wrote:
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chernozem
        
             | lupusreal wrote:
             | Does bamboo count?
        
               | criddell wrote:
               | Maybe. I know it actually _is_ grass, but are bamboo
               | growths called grasslands?
        
             | nostromo wrote:
             | You can make it into a carbon-neutral heating fuel.
             | 
             | You can make paper products including things like cardboard
             | and packaging.
             | 
             | You can put livestock on it and produce meat.
             | 
             | Or if you just want to sequester carbon, you can harvest it
             | and bury it deep in the ground.
        
             | sampo wrote:
             | > What are the valuable outputs of grasslands?
             | 
             | If you use grasslands for grazing cattle you get meat, or
             | also wool with sheep. Sequestering carbon into grassland
             | soil (or into any soil, really) makes them better at
             | absorbing and retaining rainwater, reducing the risks of
             | catastrophic floods in the watershed area.
        
               | criddell wrote:
               | Good points. I wasn't thinking of second order products.
        
             | Tyr42 wrote:
             | Cows?
        
             | undersuit wrote:
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cellulose#Commercial_applicat
             | i...
        
           | marcosdumay wrote:
           | Grass always do it better than trees.
           | 
           | And the GP is quite wrong, because almost everything will be
           | more efficient than trees or grass. Machines are just way
           | more expensive, that's why nobody ever made them.
        
           | newsclues wrote:
           | What is smarter, spending years researching and arguing the
           | best way to do this, or using the natural process all over,
           | and adapting the best practice locally, to try to solve
           | climate change?
           | 
           | Some places can plant trees, others grasslands. Or whatever,
           | but it seems like there is a lot of money to create an
           | industrial process that can be commercialized instead of just
           | doing the work naturally...
        
         | not2b wrote:
         | My guess is that it would be much more effective to capture and
         | remove CO2 directly at the source, for example at a cement
         | plant. While this could be done at a fossil fuel plant as well,
         | it seems a lot less attractive: you give back most of the
         | energy you just got from burning the fuel.
        
         | Suppafly wrote:
         | They should sell it to people for their car tires with a
         | specially colored valve cap like they do for nitrogen. It'd be
         | stupid, but so is paying extra for a slightly higher nitrogen
         | content and people do that.
        
           | jandrese wrote:
           | That sort of application is just spitting into the ocean when
           | you're talking about global CO2 emissions and sequestration.
        
             | BenjiWiebe wrote:
             | Plus it all comes out of the tires in the end anyways.
        
         | danbruc wrote:
         | I have not thought about this too carefully so I might be
         | overlooking something. With that out of the way, a quick search
         | indicates that we burn about 90 % of gas, oil, and coal for one
         | purpose or another. Let's round this and pretend we burn it
         | all. To undo this we will essentially need the same amount of
         | energy again that we got out of it when we burned it, we would
         | need to use all the energy coming from fossil fuels to undo
         | burning them. Conservation of energy essentially.
         | 
         | Which makes it obvious that the entire idea is pretty
         | pointless, burn fossil fuels to generate energy to then use it
         | to unburn fossil fuels. To do it with renewable energy, we
         | still need the same capacity as the fossil fuel capacity and
         | when we have that - ignoring issues like fluctuations in
         | renewable sources - it makes more sense to just use the
         | renewable sources directly instead of using them to undo
         | burning fossil fuels.
         | 
         | If you want to use the process to pull carbon out of the
         | atmosphere, then you first have to replace all fossil fuels
         | with renewable ones, then you can use additional renewable
         | capacity to remove carbon. Add additional 10 % capacity to the
         | world energy capacity to undo one year of carbon emissions
         | every decade, at least to a first approximation.
         | 
         | To come back to the initial question, you essentially need an
         | industry the same order of magnitude as the fossil fuel
         | industry to have a meaningful impact. Not going to happen
         | anytime soon.
        
           | TSiege wrote:
           | The point that you're missing is that changes this equation a
           | bit is that burning fossil fuels wastes most of the energy as
           | heat another waste of energy is the amount of FFs we use to
           | ship FFs to other places. So together that means we don't
           | need the same amount of electric power to do the same amount
           | of work. That being said, keeping fossil fuels in the ground
           | will always be better than removing CO2 for the reasons you
           | said. We also seem to be growing energy demands instead of
           | shrinking or stabilizing them which also makes the transition
           | harder.
        
           | axus wrote:
           | Lots of solar on-site that doesn't need to transfer it's
           | power elsewhere could be used; maybe the real winner would be
           | 100% solar-powered solar panel factory :)
        
           | toss1 wrote:
           | >>we would need to use all the energy coming from fossil
           | fuels to undo burning them
           | 
           | This would true if we need to re-create the original molecule
           | with it's stored energy (plus losses of course).
           | 
           | However, it seems this is a misapprehension of the task.
           | Instead of trying to recover the entire hydrocarbon molecule,
           | we're "just" trying to extract or recombine the CO2 reactant.
           | 
           | Without doing the chemistry or the math, it seems likely that
           | a variety of methods of either preferentially attracting CO2,
           | or combining it into simpler lower-energy-dense molecules to
           | be collected, would require less energy as was in the
           | original hydrocarbon, often substantially less.
           | 
           | Seems it should be an inequality, not an equality. Or am I
           | missing something?
        
           | thinkcontext wrote:
           | > To undo this we will essentially need the same amount of
           | energy again that we got out of it when we burned it
           | 
           | Amine based carbon capture at the smokestack captures about
           | 90% of CO2 with a 20% energy penalty. There's a new natural
           | gas turbine design that captures 100% at no energy penalty
           | (Allam cycle).
        
         | userabchn wrote:
         | Have there been any recent developments in "lab-grown wood"?
         | The last time I looked into it there had been some research on
         | it (also at MIT), but there didn't seem to have been any
         | updates for a few years.
        
       | Clippybara wrote:
       | Permeating the PTFE layer with copper electrodes in order to get
       | _both_ hydrophobicity and conductivity seems stupidly simple, but
       | the best ideas often are. I also greatly admire how their model
       | looks like a s 'more lol
        
       | mchannon wrote:
       | The writer appears to be under the impression that CO2 is not a
       | valuable commodity.
       | 
       | In fact, it is, so long as it's under enough pressure, and in the
       | right place. In Montezuma County, Colorado, sits the McElmo dome,
       | an ancient underground CO2 well. They pump it out, down a 500
       | mile pipeline, to Denver City, Texas, where it gooses oil wells
       | into pumping more crude out. Other than making more oil and
       | making it cheaper, not really much in terms of greenhouse gas
       | contributions- the CO2 starts underground and ends up
       | underground.
       | 
       | Kinder Morgan won't just let you back up your truck and buy some
       | (it's already spoken for), and even if they would, they'd expect
       | you to pay a pretty penny for what we widely consider to be waste
       | gas.
       | 
       | I think MIT is doing some good work. Just wanted everyone to be
       | mindful of the massive scale under which CO2 is already getting
       | bought and sold.
        
         | ulrikrasmussen wrote:
         | Isn't it also used as input to basically every e-fuel which can
         | replace fossil hydrocarbons?
        
           | analog31 wrote:
           | No. The value of commercial co2 is its energy content -- what
           | it takes to process it into useful form. There is no useful
           | form of co2 for making fuel. The energy has already been
           | extracted.
        
             | jvanderbot wrote:
             | You're right (current state of the art), but also wrong (in
             | the spirit of the question as I read it).
             | 
             | If energy prices go down, e.g., from continuing decline of
             | solar, then it may be very cost effective to store energy
             | as hydrocarbons which are synthesized from cheap energy +
             | CO2. E.g., make natural gas from the air and sell it
             | cheaper than it could be extracted and transported.
             | 
             | In this scenario, rather than paying exorbitant fees for
             | CO2, the cheap energy could be used to extract it from the
             | atmosphere where it is abundant.
             | 
             | Before anyone bites my head off - consider the tyranny-of-
             | the-rocket-equation problem of burning gas to transport gas
             | from source (wells, refineries, etc) to consumers. Then
             | consider that the sun shines most places, and CO2 is
             | effectively uniformly distributed. So Synthesis wouldn't
             | have to be cheaper at the source if it can beat the price
             | at the consumer via avoiding huge distribution costs.
        
             | SoftTalker wrote:
             | Exactly right. FTA: "The electrochemical process that
             | converts CO2 into ethylene involves a water-based solution
             | and a catalyst material, which come into contact along with
             | an electric current"
             | 
             | That "electric current" is the challenge. It _takes_ energy
             | to convert CO2 into other chemicals. If that energy isn 't
             | carbon-neutral, you're just spinning your wheels.
        
               | pwg wrote:
               | > If that energy isn't carbon-neutral, you're just
               | spinning your wheels.
               | 
               | True, but the "long term" angle here would be to supply
               | that energy from, say, excess solar generation during
               | midday after the overnight storage batteries are
               | refilled.
        
             | ulrikrasmussen wrote:
             | I'm not sure if we are talking past each other, but:
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electrofuel
             | 
             |  _Electrofuels, also known as e-fuels, are a class of
             | synthetic fuels which function as drop-in replacement fuels
             | for internal combustion engines. They are manufactured
             | using captured carbon dioxide or carbon monoxide, together
             | with hydrogen obtained from water split._
             | 
             | It is my understanding that there is actually a shortage of
             | concentrated co2 if we want to produce e-fuels as drop-in
             | replacements in e.g. planes.
        
               | analog31 wrote:
               | All ideas for "fuels" hinge on the future availability of
               | an economical energy source, which would have to be
               | either solar or nuclear.
        
               | outworlder wrote:
               | I wonder what happened to the Navy's attempts at
               | synthesize aviation fuel in aircraft carriers. They have
               | plenty of power (newer carriers have even more) and
               | reducing or eliminating the need of support craft for
               | fueling would be a massive bonus.
               | 
               | They've been looking at that for a while, I don't know
               | what issues they encountered.
        
               | thinkcontext wrote:
               | They couldn't get it to be efficient enough.
        
         | alexose wrote:
         | It's not that CO2 isn't valuable on its own, but that other
         | carbon-containing molecules are even more valuable (especially
         | when factoring in transportation costs). This helps prove out
         | the technoeconomics of carbon capture.
         | 
         | Plus, if we wind down oil extraction, we'll need new processes
         | to produce all the precursors we use for plastics. A cheap
         | pathway to ethylene from captured CO2 and water would be huge.
        
           | euroderf wrote:
           | > A cheap pathway to ethylene from captured CO2 and water
           | would be huge.
           | 
           | Is it considered cheap if the marginal cost of a PV MWh is
           | close to zero ?
        
         | rhelz wrote:
         | The application you mention does not rely on the gas being co2
         | at all. The gas is being used because it is in a high pressure
         | reservoir. It could by any gas. The C02 itself is literally
         | free because it is literally in the atmosphere all around us.
        
           | 0cf8612b2e1e wrote:
           | CO2 may be everywhere, but it is at a very low concentration.
           | Efficiently isolating CO2 from the rest of the gases is a
           | limiting factor.
        
           | ewhanley wrote:
           | Pressure is only part of the equation. The pressure gets it
           | to the field economically and does boos reservoir pressure,
           | but co2 injection has more to do with miscibility with
           | hydrocarbons at relatively low pressures. Miscibility yields
           | viscosity reduction and swells the oil to improve
           | displacement and mobility, particularly in heavier crude.
           | Couple that with pressure and you can dramatically improve
           | recovery factor.
        
             | telgareith wrote:
             | That sounds like a lot of it ends bound to, and thus comes
             | up with, the oil/crude.
        
               | ewhanley wrote:
               | It absolutely does and has to be stripped out in
               | processing. It typically gets compressed and reinjected
               | over and over again
        
               | alach11 wrote:
               | Exactly. And getting back to the original poster's
               | comment "the CO2 starts underground and ends up
               | underground"... that assumes there are no leaks anywhere
               | in the process.
        
           | kaibee wrote:
           | > The C02 itself is literally free because it is literally in
           | the atmosphere all around us.
           | 
           | Not exactly.
           | 
           | > The concentration of carbon dioxide (CO 2) in the
           | atmosphere reach 427 ppm (0.04%) in 2024.
           | 
           | Any process that tries to unmix something is not going to be
           | 'literally' free. And given the relative trace amounts we're
           | talking here...
        
         | timeon wrote:
         | Yes but this is not relevant in context of climate change. It
         | does not matter that we can bury some CO2 while more of it is
         | added to atmosphere.
        
         | vkou wrote:
         | So, capturing CO2 from the air can be used to put out even more
         | CO2 into the air. Fantastic.
        
           | marcosdumay wrote:
           | Well, netting ~95%1 of the extracted carbon as new release on
           | the atmosphere is technically better than 100%. They could be
           | using nitrogen instead.
           | 
           | But yeah, it's quite underwhelming.
           | 
           | 1 - Wild guess. But it's certainly less than 100%, and
           | certainly not by a lot.
        
             | vkou wrote:
             | It can be way worse than 100% if the reduced oil extraction
             | costs (or greenwashed accounting from earning carbon
             | credits for sequestration) results in more net oil being
             | extracted, than there would have been without access to
             | CO2.
             | 
             | Not to mention the energy costs of actually pulling carbon
             | out of the air. Often, getting 1kg of CO2 out of the air
             | ends up costing so much energy that you end up emitting
             | more than 1kg of it.
             | 
             | If sequestration weren't a fairy tale that will keep us
             | distracted for another few decades while we continue to
             | ruin our environment, people would be doing it, not talk
             | about doing it.
        
         | hn_throwaway_99 wrote:
         | It the example you give, CO2 gas is _not_ really a valuable
         | commodity. _Pressure_ is the valuable commodity in that
         | example, and so it 's kind of irrelevant when discussing carbon
         | sequestration solutions.
        
           | alach11 wrote:
           | That's not correct. If pressure was all that mattered, we'd
           | just run compressors on nitrogen (or formation gas). CO2 has
           | properties that make it especially favorable for flooding.
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carbon_dioxide_flooding
        
           | outworlder wrote:
           | Has to be both. A random gas might interact with the oil
           | being pumped. Why don't they just use compressed air? There
           | must be a reason why CO2 is desirable for that application.
        
         | eppp wrote:
         | So CO2 is magical here or would a reservoir of highly
         | pressurized atmosphere be just as valuable? I think you are
         | missing where the value is in this situation.
        
           | regularfry wrote:
           | Strongly suspect you don't want pressurised oxygen-
           | containing-atmosphere in that situation.
        
       | guiriduro wrote:
       | Well, it uses PTFE which is a kind of PFAS which doesn't have a
       | clear future and shouldn't be scaled up for good reasons, e.g. :
       | https://www.gmp-compliance.org/gmp-news/restrictions-for-ptf...
        
         | idunnoman1222 wrote:
         | Only carbon matters
        
         | outworlder wrote:
         | Interesting. PTFE tubes are used for 3D printers (although it's
         | a small quantity and they aren't consumable), but I didn't know
         | it was so much more harmful than other plastics.
         | 
         | Edit: just realized that PTFE _is_ Teflon. Makes more sense
         | now.
        
       | travisporter wrote:
       | But isn't copper quite expensive? I didn't see them address this
        
         | jandrese wrote:
         | Depending on how long the electrodes last the cost of the
         | system will probably be dominated by the electricity, not the
         | raw materials used in the construction. I have not done the
         | chemistry, but my gut feeling is that breaking all of those O2s
         | off of the CO2 and all of the O2s off of the H2Os is going to
         | be the expensive part of this process.
        
         | kokanee wrote:
         | Electrochemical cells (especially PEM electrolyzers) are
         | notorious for containing materials far more expensive than
         | copper (noble metals). But they pay for themselves much more
         | quickly than you might think, if you can get offtakers to
         | actually purchase and use the resulting products.
         | 
         | The biggest challenge facing these climate tech industries
         | right now is the chicken-and-egg problem. You can't make
         | anything cheaper than the centuries-old fossil-based
         | competition unless you do it at scale; you can't scale it
         | without offtakers; offtakers won't participate unless it is
         | cheaper than the status quo.
         | 
         | There are compounding issues with expensive infrastructure
         | upgrades (e.g. airplane or maritime engines that need to be
         | upgraded to handle new fuels; pipelines or fuel trucks that
         | need to be build to handle hydrogen, etc) that further push out
         | the break even date. And then you have oil & gas companies
         | inserting themselves into these efforts in order to greenwash
         | their businesses, causing many would-be supporters to oppose
         | entire clean technologies due to the perception that green tech
         | startups are in bed with the fossil industry.
        
           | outworlder wrote:
           | > The biggest challenge facing these climate tech industries
           | right now is the chicken-and-egg problem. You can't make
           | anything cheaper than the centuries-old fossil-based
           | competition unless you do it at scale; you can't scale it
           | without offtakers; offtakers won't participate unless it is
           | cheaper than the status quo.
           | 
           | That's the exact sort of thing governments are supposed to
           | solve.
        
             | regularfry wrote:
             | It's also a marketing problem. As long as the product is a
             | commodity, it's a margins game. As soon as you can
             | differentiate it somehow there's room to be more expensive
             | and still sell the product.
             | 
             | Just as an example that might be incredibly terrible for
             | other reasons, I can imagine Ikea selling, say, furniture
             | with plastics made from this particular ethylene source.
             | They might explicitly mark it up somehow saying "this chair
             | directly offsets a week's worth of car driving", or
             | whatever, and done right, with the right choice
             | architecture, people might be willing to pay _considerably
             | more_ for it than stock.
             | 
             | I am, as you can probably tell, no marketer. But part of
             | the answer has to be to get it out of the commodity bucket.
        
       | jandrese wrote:
       | The article annoyingly failed to close the loop from the
       | $1,000/ton figure at the top and do the math on the economic
       | efficiency potential of this approach. How much electricity is
       | required to sequester each ton of CO2 using this method, assuming
       | you can amortize the construction costs over some long duration?
       | I assume the intended installation is on the exhaust of a fossil
       | fuel burning facility, but is it possible to install this next to
       | a solar field and generate ethylene from excess mid-day
       | production? Large scale carbon sequestration is one of the major
       | unsolved problems of the 21st century and we have to expect many
       | false starts before the really viable technologies emerge.
        
         | slwvx wrote:
         | One place to look for some math on the economic efficiencies is
         | the blog of Terraform industries. Here's a start:
         | 
         | https://terraformindustries.wordpress.com/2024/04/01/terrafo...
        
           | jandrese wrote:
           | > There is no hand waving about economies of scale or
           | subsidies here, though we are eligible for the _full IRA 45V
           | green hydrogen tax credit_ , worth $3/kg-H2.
           | 
           | Their business model may have a slight problem.
        
             | bryanlarsen wrote:
             | They're saying that they don't need the green hydrogen tax
             | credit. The tax credit makes their product profitable
             | sooner, but as long as solar keeps following it's cost
             | curve for a couple more years they'll be fine without it.
        
             | fao_ wrote:
             | > Their business model may have a slight problem.
             | 
             | Oil is subsidized to a much higher amount by the US
             | government
        
               | jandrese wrote:
               | Yeah, but that subsidy is not likely to disappear in 2
               | months.
        
         | marcosdumay wrote:
         | Hum... No, the people studying new catalyzer shapes didn't do a
         | through market research for a carbon sequestration plant.
        
           | gipp wrote:
           | Yeah, figuring out a remotely accurate figure for that is at
           | least as hard as the work done here, and requires pretty
           | different sets of expertise
        
         | kleton wrote:
         | If they are sequestering by reducing (in the sense of donating
         | electrons to) carbon, then that will, by thermodynamic
         | necessity, require more energy input than oxidizing that carbon
         | originally provided. Converting to ethylene, as they mention in
         | the article, is such a process.
        
         | szvsw wrote:
         | There are plenty of papers which look at precisely the economic
         | and carbon tradeoffs of these sorts of processes. It all just
         | depends on where you are. When you have a clean grid and a
         | cheap grid, these methods become pretty feasible.
         | 
         | Take a look at De Luna et al, Science 364 2019 [1]
         | 
         | [1] https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.aav3506
        
       | bitwize wrote:
       | My wife actually has established a cheap, energy-efficient
       | facility for converting CO2 into useful materials right in our
       | yard.
       | 
       | She planted a garden.
       | 
       | I was thinking about that the other day, how our beautiful trees,
       | flowers, and bushes draw a few minerals from the soil, but are
       | really mainly knitted together from the components of water and
       | CO2.
       | 
       | Yes, yes, I know, planting more trees won't do much about the
       | greenhouse gas problem at scale, but the only thing that will are
       | the three P's: powerdown, permaculture, population control. I do
       | not expect industry to solve the problem industry created in a
       | way that doesn't create more problems.
        
         | zelphirkalt wrote:
         | > Yes, yes, I know, planting more trees won't do much about the
         | greenhouse gas problem at scale, but the only thing that will
         | are the three P's: powerdown, permaculture, population control.
         | I do not expect industry to solve the problem industry created
         | in a way that doesn't create more problems.
         | 
         | But I am always wondering: Couldn't we have planted forests,
         | from which we take the grown trees and put them back down under
         | the earth, in some old mining facilities or dig some tunnels
         | that lead deep down and put that stuff there? Or perhaps build
         | lots of long term use furniture from the trees? Anything,
         | except burning them or letting them rod? Then we would use
         | nature's mechanism for capturing and prevent releasing, by
         | putting it deep down, or making meaningful long term use of it.
         | 
         | And couldn't this be done on a bigger scale as well?
        
           | jjmarr wrote:
           | > Couldn't we have planted forests, from which we take the
           | grown trees and put them back down under the earth, in some
           | old mining facilities or dig some tunnels that lead deep down
           | and put that stuff there?
           | 
           | This is basically how coal was created in the first place.
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coal_forest
           | 
           | Assuming carbon in = carbon out, we'd have to plant trees for
           | millions of years on virtually all arable land and bury them
           | underground to undo our burning of coal, since that's how the
           | coal (which is almost pure carbon) was originally created.
        
           | tmtvl wrote:
           | The problem is we're putting millions of tons of carbon into
           | the air every year and it takes a while for a freshly planted
           | tree to reach a ton of carbon stored. So you would need to
           | plant millions of trees per year and take care of them for
           | years before you can chop them down and bury them.
        
             | zelphirkalt wrote:
             | So I guess it is simply too slow, or alternatively, we
             | would all be busy in that business and not do anything else
             | any longer?
        
           | nostromo wrote:
           | Yes, you could grow and bury trees to reverse the carbon
           | cycle. Even just leaving the trees standing is a pretty good
           | carbon sink.
           | 
           | Housing is also a great carbon sink as the wood used in
           | construction is protected from rotting.
        
         | parpfish wrote:
         | > I do not expect industry to solve the problem industry
         | created in a way that doesn't create more problems.
         | 
         | but it's not one "industry" that has to change their mind,
         | this'd create a whole new secondary industry that is able to
         | profit from negative externalities made by the former.
         | 
         | capitalism got us into this mess, but it's also the only thing
         | powerful enough to get us out.
         | 
         | if we can get tech that allows us to make an _economic_ case
         | for reducing atmospheric CO2, it would be far more robust than
         | relying on government regulation and /or unpopular moral
         | appeals that ask people to sacrifice.
        
           | bluGill wrote:
           | Just switch to EVs for transportation and it will be hard for
           | the oil industry to keep going. Many wells will be closed
           | despite being potentially productive just because there isn't
           | enough demand to keep them maintained. Prices are likely to
           | go up for plastics if there isn't much demand for oil as fuel
           | just to keep all the oil stuff maintained - much of which is
           | too big for their needs so the industry faces shutting down
           | working refineries and building new smaller ones or operating
           | the current ones at low capacity. And of course the plastics
           | industry is also interested in going green, so if this isn't
           | too much more expensive than oil based plastic they will
           | switch anyway.
           | 
           | The question is how cheap can we do this process and how fast
           | can we get transportation off of oil.
        
         | hcarvalhoalves wrote:
         | A garden actually isn't that great, it has limited CO2 storage
         | capacity once it's in balance.
         | 
         | Productive land, specially timber, is a good way of capturing
         | CO2, because it will end up stored in products.
         | 
         | We tend to naively think we should reforest land and leave it
         | there, and it can be good for other reasons, but is a poor
         | strategy for carbon capture. We need to _aggressively_ go back
         | to using timber and vegetable fibers as construction material,
         | instead of concrete and steel that have an enormous carbon
         | footprint.
        
           | bitwize wrote:
           | As someone New Orleans-adjacent, I totally support this and
           | think timber use would be even better if we perfected
           | techniques for strengthening wood through high pressure at
           | construction scale.
           | 
           | I for one would love to see wooden skyscrapers with the
           | aesthetic of the movie _Her_ that are as strong as their
           | concrete-and-steel equivalents.
        
       | rhelz wrote:
       | To remove the co2 we put into the atmosphere will always take way
       | more energy than we got out of putting it into the atmosphere in
       | the first place. That is just thermodynamics.
       | 
       | To remove all the co2 we put into the atmosphere would take more
       | energy than we extracted from fossil fuels since the industrial
       | revolution. And all that energy would, of course, have to be
       | produced in an absolutely carbon-free manner.
       | 
       | So this is and will remain an entirely impractical method of
       | combatting global warming. MIT engineers know this. The people
       | who funded this research know this. Why are they doing this?
        
         | zelphirkalt wrote:
         | Positive interpretation: Because they hope to find a method of
         | doing it, that does not require too much energy, so that that
         | method can be done using renewables.
         | 
         | Negative interpretation: Because of look/appearances/prestige.
        
         | jgrossholtz wrote:
         | From the article : "The work was supported by Shell, through
         | the MIT Energy Initiative." Would it only exist to make people
         | believe we can burn fossil fuels since a solution is around the
         | corner ?
        
         | HappMacDonald wrote:
         | Think of carbon in the atmosphere as a debt.
         | 
         | Obviously you cannot effectively pay off debt using the money
         | that you borrowed: that just leaves you with a net loss of the
         | interest/friction/inefficiency.
         | 
         | But if you can earn enough money to pay down the debt (which
         | naturally also requires weaning off of the deficit spending in
         | the first place) via other means such as renewable energy
         | sources in great excess to the quantity of fossil fuel energy
         | we have produced thus far, then figuring out how to pay down
         | the debt as efficiently as possible as soon as possible
         | absolutely makes sense.
        
           | bluGill wrote:
           | The problem is how fast we are adding "debt". The earth is
           | naturally slightly CO2 negative without human intervention.
           | However currently there are thousands of years to make up for
           | every year of CO2 we are adding. I say thousands, but I
           | haven't been able to figure out a true number, so thousands
           | is conservative, it could be in the hundreds of thousands.
        
         | UniverseHacker wrote:
         | Portable, energy dense fuel is incredibly more valuable than
         | grid electricity - especially back when most of it was burned,
         | before modern battery technology.
         | 
         | It is not obvious to me that the net thermodynamics are
         | important here. The only thing that matters is the real world
         | cost vs benefits. Carbon free energy is extremely cheap now,
         | and getting rapidly cheaper, yet still not very portable.
        
       | tempfile wrote:
       | It can never be as practical as leaving it in the fuel it came
       | from. This is a waste of time, and only deepens the pit of
       | climate catastrophe.
        
         | HappMacDonald wrote:
         | Carbon concentrations in Earth's atmosphere are a problem: a
         | mess.
         | 
         | Weaning off of fossil fuel use and transitioning to sustainable
         | energy production and storage is among the biggest steps to
         | stop making more of a mess.
         | 
         | Carbon sequestration is cleaning up after the mess that has
         | already been made.
         | 
         | I see no reason to hold off on performing one of these steps
         | until after the other has been finished: both should be done at
         | the same time.
        
           | tempfile wrote:
           | I think the risk that carbon capture gives governments an
           | excuse not to properly regulate emissions outweighs the
           | possibility they actually succeed in removing carbon from the
           | atmosphere.
           | 
           | On top of that, removing diffuse CO2 from the atmosphere
           | requires far more energy than the bare minimum (i.e. the
           | energy it released as fuel), because it is diffuse. The
           | energy harnessed to do this (e.g. electricity from solar)
           | would be put to better use doing actual work.
           | 
           | I think we would require an enormous surplus in power
           | generation before carbon capture even registers on the scale
           | of useful interventions.
        
       | trueduke wrote:
       | In mice?
        
       | yarg wrote:
       | Worst case scenario, you can always still turn it into wood.
        
       | mempko wrote:
       | It's always going to take more energy to convert CO2 to anything
       | useful than it is to burn energy and release it as pollution.
       | That means to requester all the extra CO2 in the atmosphere will
       | require more energy than it took to put it there in the first
       | place. Good luck humanity.
        
         | orthecreedence wrote:
         | Humans passively polluted the atmosphere. Perhaps they can
         | passively clean it up as well. Electric cars that spend 10% of
         | their energy on sequestration or something like that. Exchange
         | your CarbonBricks for a discount on useless consumer trinkets.
         | 
         | Ultimately, it doesn't matter whether it's distributed or not,
         | the real meat is that the energy used to sequester carbon
         | _needs to not come from carbon fuels_. Once that can be scaled
         | up, we can clean up at least some portion of this disaster.
        
       | hn_throwaway_99 wrote:
       | Perhaps someone with more knowledge can comment on why solutions
       | like these can't be used to solve the energy storage problem. Is
       | it just economics?
       | 
       | That is, renewables are now the cheapest form of energy by a
       | significant margin, but they are unreliable with respect to
       | timing, so a storage solution is necessary in order to provide
       | electricity on cloudy days when the wind isn't blowing, at night,
       | etc. Most of the research I've seen into solving the storage
       | issue involves batteries or things like pumped hydro. If things
       | like solar and wind were "overbuilt", could a solution like this
       | be used to create hydrocarbons when there is excess electricity?
       | Power prices already go negative in some places when it's
       | particularly sunny/windy. If the excess energy at that time could
       | be used to make gas that could then be utilized by gas plants,
       | well then there is your net 0 storage solution.
       | 
       | I'm assuming solutions like this are uneconomic (and similarly
       | with hydrogen plants, e.g. by using the excess renewable energy
       | to generate green hydrogen by electrolysis for storage and later
       | use), but I'd like to understand better why.
        
         | gbasin wrote:
         | yep it should be possible. check this out:
         | https://terraformindustries.com/
        
         | rawgabbit wrote:
         | There actually have been several solutions and some proofs of
         | concept offered. However except for things like batteries, the
         | purists object to all of them as green washing. Why, I don't
         | know.
         | 
         | Off the top of my head, I believe someone demonstrated you can
         | add thermocouples to your water to generate electricity. The
         | idea was that during excess electricity generation during the
         | day by a homeowner's solar panels, use that to heat up the
         | existing water tank. At night, use the thermocouple to generate
         | electricity from the hot water. Granted the efficiency is
         | abysmal. But 5% of something is better than 0% which is what
         | happens when the electricity is thrown away.
        
         | gipp wrote:
         | > I'm assuming solutions like this are uneconomic
         | 
         | You kinda answered your own question already, I feel. The
         | energy efficiency of cycling a battery (70-90% for grid scale)
         | or pumped hydro (70-85%) is simply much, much higher than
         | chemical storage. Here's a pretty recent one [1] showing 23%
         | efficiency even at lab scale, and as described in the article
         | scale is a big drain on efficiency.
         | 
         | [1] https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-29428-9
        
           | jl6 wrote:
           | We need massive amounts of medium-term seasonal (3-6 months)
           | stable energy storage, and liquid synthetic hydrocarbons are
           | not a bad solution. Low efficiency isn't a dealbreaker when
           | the inputs are free.
        
         | foota wrote:
         | It's essentially just another form of energy storage. I don't
         | think there's any deep reason why it is worse than the other
         | methods currently available, it's just not cost competitive.
         | 
         | My understanding is that creating hydrocarbons is quite
         | difficult and that you lose a lot of energy in the process.
         | Otherwise, it would be a very compelling way of storing energy.
         | 
         | I guess for one, you have to get the carbon from somewhere,
         | which means either taking sequestered carbon (which is counter
         | productive) or capturing it from the air (expensive).
        
         | bluGill wrote:
         | We need vast amounts of energy storage is the problem and that
         | won't be cheap no matter how you look at it. 20 years ago I saw
         | an annalists that suggested the US needs the equivalent of lake
         | Superior to get enough hydro storage - that is that much water,
         | plus the ability to drain it all in just one day (to where!),
         | and then pump it back up the next. Pumped hydro where we can
         | use it should be used, but there isn't any place we can put it
         | left (and we want to take some of what we have out because it
         | is an ecological disaster). Batteries work but are expensive.
         | This would probably work as well, but again be very expensive.
         | 
         | Remember you are competing with something we can pump/dig out
         | of the ground for nothing anytime you propose storage.
         | Renewables when the wind is blowing or the sun is shining are
         | very cheap, but as soon as you need storage the costs go way
         | up.
        
         | chris_va wrote:
         | > Is it just economics?
         | 
         | It's ~75% economics, 25% learning curve.
         | 
         | For hydrogen, you need an electrolyzer, a hydrogen fuel cell
         | (or turbine), and storage. The electrolyzer is the main capital
         | cost, and it is only running for a fraction of the day (either
         | whenever there is curtailed solar/wind, up to 40% of the time
         | you have your own captive plant). It needs to be sized for peak
         | usage. The storage optimum depends on whether or not there is a
         | nearby salt dome, but if not it is extremely expensive per kWh,
         | and so days and days of storage are untenable (going directly
         | to CH4 changes some of this). Existing fuel cells and H2
         | turbines have not yet walked down the learning curve in the
         | same way that an NGCC plant has for CH4, but those are running
         | 24/7 so the amortization is not as bad.
         | 
         | With a salt dome and captive PV plant, you end up with
         | (optimistically) system capital cost that roughly doubles the
         | PV capital cost (using US pricing). That means your amortized
         | $/kWh rate is about 2x the PV rate. Since PV and NGCC are
         | roughly the same $/kWh at the plant, it makes H2 extremely
         | uncompetitive unless there is a carbon price or H2 subsidy. At
         | $3/kg hydrogen, it's almost just barely within reach assuming
         | everything works well. If the cost of electrolysis came down,
         | or if H2 were easy to ship globally from high insolation
         | regions, that would substantially help the problem.
        
         | cyberax wrote:
         | > Perhaps someone with more knowledge can comment on why
         | solutions like these can't be used to solve the energy storage
         | problem. Is it just economics?
         | 
         | Yes. If you round-trip energy through hydrocarbons, then you
         | have to pay the "Carnot tax". Your heat engine will be at best
         | around 50% efficient at transforming hydrocarbons into energy.
         | This is then compounded with the inefficiency of reducing
         | carbon dioxide to get maaaaybe 20% round-trip efficiency.
         | 
         | And all of this with a huge capital cost.
        
           | outworlder wrote:
           | The tax is fine _as long as_ it doesn't have to be
           | transported, assuming the energy would otherwise be wasted.
           | 
           | Which is why hydrogen solutions for stationary storage could
           | be interesting, but the moment you start transporting them
           | around they become less useful.
        
             | cyberax wrote:
             | I'm not seeing that. Hydrogen requires a ton of very
             | expensive infrastructure for storage. Its density is
             | impractically low for storage in tanks, it can't be
             | liquified under reasonable conditions, and reversible
             | hydrogen-binding materials so far have all been duds.
             | 
             | If you happen to have an underground geological storage
             | available, then it might be reasonable. Right now, there's
             | a demonstrator project for that ongoing in Germany. I guess
             | this qualifies as "local"?
             | 
             | So yeah, if you need storage for 3-12 hours of runtime,
             | then batteries are fine. Sodium batteries are probably
             | going to fit this niche once they become cheaper. Anything
             | more than that is a big gaping hole in the renewable story
             | with no good solutions.
        
         | fooker wrote:
         | It's not quite feasible with solar or wind.
         | 
         | If we could get controlled fusion though, we are going to see a
         | massive surge of what you're suggesting.
        
       | chris_va wrote:
       | (disclaimer that I do work in a related area)
       | 
       | The novelty of the underlying paper notwithstanding, a quick
       | scholar search for "gas diffusion electrodes ptfe copper" will
       | show that this is hardly an unexplored space.
        
         | thereisnospork wrote:
         | Indeed, this is at least a decade behind the state of the art
         | for CO2 electroreduction and adding PTFE to gas diffusion
         | electrodes is hardly a novel concept (see: H2 fuel cells which
         | likely pre date it's inclusion in CO2 cells). It might be a
         | good or even the best implementation of the concept, but if so
         | it would be inches, not miles, better.
        
       | newsclues wrote:
       | plant trees wait cut them down now you have wood to build stuff
       | 
       | repeat
        
       | rgrieselhuber wrote:
       | Trees also convert CO2 into something useful
        
         | ikekkdcjkfke wrote:
         | Using quantum technology
        
       | asdf123qweasd wrote:
       | What is needed is a Graphene Lightmill, turning driven by light
       | alone, capturing CO^2 spinning out graphene as a monofiber, no in
       | between steps, no conversions.
        
       | csours wrote:
       | I'm very curious about how bioelectrochemistry might be used, eg
       | [0]. I dream of artificial lichens on silicone wafers making
       | sheets of graphene.
       | 
       | 0:
       | https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S258929911...
        
       | trebor wrote:
       | Okay, but why not work on making atmospheric methane more
       | useful/practical? CO2 is less of a warming influence than
       | methane, and there have been huge natural gas leaks (of methane)
       | in the last 10-20 years. Even MIT admits that Methane is more
       | important: https://climate.mit.edu/ask-mit/what-makes-methane-
       | more-pote...
        
       ___________________________________________________________________
       (page generated 2024-11-13 23:00 UTC)