[HN Gopher] The Weeds Are Winning
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       The Weeds Are Winning
        
       Author : Jimmc414
       Score  : 81 points
       Date   : 2024-11-08 15:55 UTC (7 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.technologyreview.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.technologyreview.com)
        
       | krunck wrote:
       | https://archive.ph/Euc4P
        
       | jtbayly wrote:
       | This is just a link to the actual article here:
       | 
       | https://www.technologyreview.com/2024/10/10/1105034/weeds-cl...
        
         | dang wrote:
         | Thanks! We've switched to that from
         | https://longreads.com/2024/11/07/the-weeds-are-winning/ above.
        
       | OmarShehata wrote:
       | > Monsanto claimed it was "highly unlikely" that glyphosate-
       | resistant weeds would become a problem. There were, of course,
       | those who correctly predicted that such a thing was inevitable
       | 
       | I've started noticing that this happens all the time, across all
       | fields. Experts disagree, the expert with the most positive
       | outlook is the one whose opinion wins out, and we find ourselves
       | in trouble years/decades later.
       | 
       | I've adopted a "treat every expert as a lawyer" mindset now that
       | has helped illuminate some of this for me. I prefer to listen to
       | podcasts where people in the field talk to each other, rather
       | than someone presenting the information to the layperson. There's
       | a lot of jargon but you can very easily get a sense of (1) what
       | issues does everyone agree on (2) what issues are they bickering
       | on, and what their reasons are
        
         | kylebenzle wrote:
         | There has not been a single plant/weed agricultural expert in
         | the field in the last 20+ years who has said our overuse of
         | herbicides is not a bad thing and will result in ever more
         | resistant weeds.
         | 
         | I think the confusion is always the same, laymen listening to
         | industry or company spokesmen who have a profit motives, the
         | scientist have no such confusion.
        
           | QuasiGiani wrote:
           | Profit motives... the very sickening sickness of The System.
        
             | cyberax wrote:
             | Why?
        
           | voxic11 wrote:
           | > First, the company had been selling Roundup for years
           | without any problems. Second, and perhaps most important, the
           | company's scientists had just spent more than a decade, and
           | many millions of dollars, trying to create the Roundup-
           | resistant plants that they desperately wanted -- soybeans and
           | cotton and corn. It had been incredibly difficult. When I
           | interviewed former Monsanto scientists for my book on biotech
           | crops, one of them called it the company's "Manhattan
           | Project."
           | 
           | > Considering how hard it had been to create those crops,
           | "the thinking was, it would be really difficult for weeds to
           | become tolerant" to Roundup, says Rick Cole, who is now
           | responsible for Monsanto's efforts to deal with the problem
           | of resistant weeds.
           | 
           | https://www.npr.org/sections/thesalt/2012/03/11/148290731/wh.
           | ..
        
             | banannaise wrote:
             | Of course it's easier for it to happen in nature than for
             | them to do it in a lab. The way nature does this is that
             | when you kill untold numbers of the ones that aren't
             | resistant, you're left with the ones that are. If you used
             | that method with our actual crops, you would nearly wipe
             | out the crops and cause massive food crises.
        
           | azeirah wrote:
           | Weeds are just plants
           | 
           | You can eat weeds, and they turn back into plants or crops.
           | 
           | It's just some word trickery.
        
             | Thrymr wrote:
             | But not productively. In monoculture agriculture, all but a
             | single planted crop is a weed by definition, and we have no
             | way of making use of it at scale. Sure, you can eat
             | dandelion greens from your yard, but that does not scale.
             | 
             | There are a lot of benefits to quality, nutrition,
             | environment, and community to growing food at smaller
             | scale, but it is certainly more expensive.
        
               | azeirah wrote:
               | You don't need to grow anything. You can just eat the
               | plants. Just be careful in how you decide what plants to
               | eat.
               | 
               | My cats eat plants that somehow seem to grow out of
               | concrete. I have no idea how a plant can even grow out of
               | concrete at all, but it totally works.
               | 
               | It probably has some minerals in it. Is it very
               | nutritious? Probably not.
               | 
               | You can also just eat stinging nettle. Make soup out of
               | it. Free meal. One of the most nutritious plants that is
               | available in almost all western countries, and probably
               | grows outside of western countries too.
               | 
               | It's... I dunno why people don't trust nature or the
               | wisdom in their bodies anymore.
               | 
               | Another example. Eat an apple. You're fine.
               | 
               | Dig seeds out of the apple, crush them and turn them into
               | a paste. If you eat that paste, you will die.
               | 
               | Yet we eat apples all day. We trust apples. If something
               | looks, feels and smells edible? Probably fine. Maybe ask
               | a few locals like some birds, cats and dogs because they
               | know nature a little bit better than you do probably.
               | 
               | If you eat in the same way that Werner Herzog makes
               | films, you'll be invincible.
        
               | Suppafly wrote:
               | >Dig seeds out of the apple, crush them and turn them
               | into a paste. If you eat them, you will die.
               | 
               | Only if you eat a couple pounds of the seeds. I eat one
               | apple's worth of seeds every time I eat an apple, it's
               | fine.
        
         | cyberax wrote:
         | The emergence of resistance to glyphosate was a given. Monsanto
         | itself sells glyphosate-resistant plants, so we know exactly
         | how it can evolve.
         | 
         | The resistant gene was isolated from an Agrobacterium strain.
         | And these bacteria have been doing gene editing in plants for
         | hundreds of millions of years, completely naturally. So it was
         | just a matter of time until weeds gained the resistant genes
         | from it. Or evolved them via a different mechanism.
         | 
         | Still, glyphosate bought us at least six decades of relatively
         | weed-free agriculture for staple crops. Resistance is still not
         | universal, so glyphosate will continue working for a while,
         | helping to lower the price of food.
        
           | hollerith wrote:
           | >glyphosate will continue working for a while, helping to
           | lower the price of food.
           | 
           | And I'll continue to choose the version grown without
           | glyphosate even though the price is higher.
        
             | cyberax wrote:
             | Why? Because it has better vibes?
        
               | titanomachy wrote:
               | The EPA says that glyphosate isn't carcinogenic in
               | humans. The WHO says that it is.
               | 
               | The EPA says it's not an endocrine disruptor. Numerous
               | studies and experts suggest that it is, although I can't
               | find any major government or NGO that agrees.
               | 
               | I'm not a doctor or molecular biologist. How should I
               | decide which experts to trust? I can easily afford food
               | grown without glyphosate, so that's what I eat.
               | 
               | EDIT: I'm not religious about this, presumably all the
               | restaurant food I eat is grown with glyphosate. But my
               | local grocery store only has organic produce, I usually
               | buy that since it's convenient and the cost difference is
               | not a big deal.
        
               | cyberax wrote:
               | > The WHO says that it is.
               | 
               | No, it doesn't.
               | 
               | > I'm not a doctor or molecular biologist. How should I
               | decide which experts to trust? I can easily afford food
               | grown without glyphosate, so that's what I eat.
               | 
               | Yeah, and I tuned my car to emit extra black smoke for
               | better motor vibration. It now ROARS and consumes more
               | gas, helping to stimulate the economy!
        
               | titanomachy wrote:
               | "IARC classified glyphosate as probably carcinogenic to
               | humans".
               | 
               | The International Agency for Research on Cancer is part
               | of the WHO.
               | 
               | https://www.iarc.who.int/featured-news/media-centre-iarc-
               | new...
               | 
               | What am I missing?
        
               | mrguyorama wrote:
               | Did you read that link? Group 2 is pretty poorly
               | explained to laypeople, Aloe Vera is listed as "Possibly
               | carcinogenic", 2B.
               | 
               | High concentration and quantity and long term exposure to
               | glyphosate is probably bad for the farmers spraying, but
               | their listing of glyphosate is completely irrelevant for
               | the consumer buying a crop that was sprayed with it. They
               | never once mention any danger to consumers in that entire
               | article.
               | 
               | Even in that limited case (occupational hazard), the data
               | is mixed, and the IARC says that the US AHS study of 50k
               | pesticide applicators did not find a correlation between
               | cancer and glyphosate. They say that doesn't overrule the
               | other findings.
               | 
               | They are being hyperconservative for the safety of
               | workers. That literally doesn't apply to you, the
               | consumer.
        
               | cyberax wrote:
               | > "IARC classified glyphosate as probably carcinogenic to
               | humans".
               | 
               | This category includes: carpentry, bracken ferns, aloe
               | vera extract and traditional Asian pickled vegetables,
               | magnetic fields, radio, coffee.
               | 
               | I'm not kidding, go see yourself:
               | https://monographs.iarc.who.int/list-of-classifications
               | (group 2B).
               | 
               | This agency has zero credibility now. No serious agency
               | (EPA, EFSA, etc.) classifies it as dangerous: https://www
               | .efsa.europa.eu/sites/default/files/2023-07/glyph...
               | 
               | It's like I can cite the Cato institute and Heritage
               | Foundation to say that we should ban electric cars,
               | because they are polluting the air with brake dust.
        
               | titanomachy wrote:
               | Coffee seems to now be group 3, but your point stands. 2B
               | is meaningless as a consumer guidance.
        
               | nonameiguess wrote:
               | You're presumably thinking of the IARC monograph. You can
               | read how the classifications work in their own preamble:
               | https://monographs.iarc.who.int/wp-
               | content/uploads/2019/07/P...
               | 
               | Specifically,
               | 
               | > A cancer hazard is an agent that is capable of causing
               | cancer, whereas a cancer risk is an estimate of the
               | probability that cancer will occur given some level of
               | exposure to a cancer hazard. The Monographs assess the
               | strength of evidence that an agent is a cancer hazard.
               | The distinction between hazard and risk is fundamental.
               | 
               | > The identification of a cancer hazard should trigger
               | some action to protect public health, either directly as
               | a result of the hazard identification or through the
               | conduct of a risk assessment.
               | 
               | The key thing to recognize here is they are making
               | preliminary assessments of existing lines of research,
               | looking for studies into whether an agent has been
               | associated with cancer in humans, animals, or
               | mechanistically, and characterizing the strength of such
               | evidence, as to whether or not something _can_ cause
               | cancer.
               | 
               | The purpose of doing this is so that other standards
               | bodies can assess the actual dose/response relationship
               | and your probability of getting cancer from levels of
               | exposure. Glyphosate in in group 2A, along with things
               | like being a barber, night shift work, hot beverages, red
               | meat. Lots of things the EPA does not ban.
               | 
               | Why? Because as the organization itself says, hazard does
               | not mean risk. The fact that studies show a robust
               | association between one thing and some increase in cancer
               | incidence, at any dose, does not mean the level of
               | exposure any regular person experiences raises their
               | probability of getting cancer by any meaningful amount we
               | should care about or regulate.
               | 
               | The problem here is you're almost certainly not actually
               | reading the publications of either IARC or the EPA, which
               | are not in conflict with each other. You're reading
               | science journalism, which almost universally presents
               | this in the most misleading, fear-mongering fashion
               | possible to attract eyeballs.
        
               | titanomachy wrote:
               | Thanks, this is helpful context.
               | 
               | Basically they conclude that the chemical has the
               | potential to increase cancer incidence in some dose. But
               | they are not making any statement about whether
               | glyphosate as used in agriculture increases cancer risk?
        
               | nonameiguess wrote:
               | Pretty much. The purpose of the IARC monograph is to
               | inform other researchers and regulatory bodies to look
               | into carcinogenic substances more closely to determine if
               | they're worth restricting or not based on the level of
               | risk they pose. IARC doesn't make recommendations to
               | consumers or set standards itself. It's not meant to be a
               | public-facing organization. That's honestly a problem
               | with a lot of science journalism is people taking
               | research that is meant for other scientists to propose
               | lines of further research and add evidence to eventually
               | come together into larger metanalyses, but then
               | presenting these as if they are revolutionary game-
               | changing findings on their own, which contributes to this
               | public feeling of whiplash, as in the whole "wait, today
               | eggs and coffee are bad for you, but yesterday they were
               | good?" In reality, no single research project is saying
               | either of those things. They're producing tiny bits of
               | evidence one way or another that is meant for standards
               | and recommendations bodies to aggregate and produce
               | larger findings from.
               | 
               | IARC's piece in this puzzle is to aggregate research
               | showing something is a carcinogen, but this includes a
               | lot of things that are harmless or even healthy in low
               | doses. Sunlight, for instance, is obviously a carcinogen,
               | but the amount of exposure you want is not zero. X-rays
               | can cause cancer, but the optimal lifetime exposure to
               | x-rays is not zero. Once IARC classifies these things,
               | the purpose is to recommend to other researchers to now
               | go look into these to find dose/response curves in animal
               | to see what a safe and unsafe level actually is.
               | 
               | As far as the EPA has been able to tell, glyphosate at
               | the level any human would ever get exposed to from its
               | use as a pesticide, is safe, even though it's a
               | carcinogen. Think of like being in the same city as
               | smokers exposes you to cigarette smoke in the shared air,
               | but at levels nowhere near enough to meaningfully raise
               | your cancer risk in spite of the fact you're regularly
               | breathing in carcinogens. Living in the same room with a
               | smoker is a lot worse. Actually smoking is even worse
               | than that. Probably don't drink straight glyphosate on a
               | regular basis.
               | 
               | Similarly, you don't want to drink bleach, but cleaning
               | your counter with bleach and then eating off of it is not
               | only perfectly safe, but arguably even better than just
               | eating off the counter beforehand, because bleach
               | disinfects it.
        
               | philg_jr wrote:
               | Alright, now what about as an endocrine disruptor?
        
               | cyberax wrote:
               | From Europe: https://efsa.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/ful
               | l/10.2903/j.efsa...
               | 
               | No effects. Weak evidence shown in in-vitro studies is
               | not supported by the animal experiments or statistical
               | data.
        
               | philg_jr wrote:
               | The results of this study look interesting.
               | 
               | https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC6413565/
        
               | hollerith wrote:
               | The IARC monograph restricts its inquiry to
               | carcinogenicity whereas I am more worried about
               | glyphosate's potential to impair my gut microbiome, i.e.,
               | decrease the total number of microbes or decrease the
               | ratio of beneficial microbes to harmful ones.
        
             | analog31 wrote:
             | Devil's advocate: I've asked a couple of farmers about
             | this. The conventional wisdom is that glyphosate reduced
             | the carbon footprint of farming.
             | 
             | My own feeling is that reducing the amount of farming would
             | also reduce the carbon footprint of farming. I love meat as
             | much as the next person, but widespread meat consumption is
             | not particularly ecological.
        
               | jimbob45 wrote:
               | _I love meat as much as the next person, but widespread
               | meat consumption is not particularly ecological._
               | 
               | Lab-grown meat is probably the quickest route forward
               | that maintains normalcy whilst solving the sustainability
               | issues.
        
               | analog31 wrote:
               | Indeed, our current dietary "normalcy" is an engineered
               | phenomenon to begin with, and a new one can be engineered
               | just as well.
        
               | tmitchel2 wrote:
               | Could you pinpoint what exactly is not sustainable about
               | eating meet though? In the UK (where I live) we eat meet
               | produced mostly within the country, the livestock here
               | are generally mostly fed a grass diet. Yes we should eat
               | meet in moderation like anything, yes chopping down
               | rainforests and building feeding lots is obvs horrific.
               | But otherwise, the cattle eat the grass, they turn that
               | into meet and farts, which fairly quickly come full
               | circle back into the ground. No fossil fuels here. Hard
               | to think of something more sustainable to me.
        
               | ceejayoz wrote:
               | The farts (and burps) are a major greenhouse gas
               | component. https://www.reuters.com/breakingviews/war-cow-
               | farts-is-stink...
        
               | tmitchel2 wrote:
               | They emit methane as a by product of eating the grass,
               | it's like chucking the grass up in the air and having to
               | wait approx 20 years for it to fully come back down to be
               | eaten again, it's still circular, it's still fully
               | sustainable. Digging up fossil oils from deep ground and
               | shuving it into the atmosphere and never ever putting it
               | back deep into the ground is the elephant in the room
               | here.
        
               | cyberax wrote:
               | Except that there isn't enough natural grass to keep all
               | the cows fed.
        
               | bregma wrote:
               | What is the delta in production between cows eating the
               | grass and the same grass decomposing without the cows?
        
               | Someone wrote:
               | What feeds the grass? Chances are it partly is imported
               | fertilizer (https://tradingeconomics.com/united-
               | kingdom/imports-of-ferti...), and that the nitrogen in
               | the fertilizer is partly washed out into the environment
               | (https://www.wwf.org.uk/press-release/government-
               | watchdog-fai...)
               | 
               | Also, chances are the livestock partly is fed from
               | imported food, for example in winter.
        
               | dflock wrote:
               | The UK climate is, currently, very good at growing grass.
               | You can continuously graze cattle all year round in most
               | of the country, as long as you rotate them between fields
               | every few days. If you have enough space, by the time
               | they get back round, the grass is back. The cow shit
               | fertilizes the grass, and silage made on the farm does a
               | lot of the winter feed top up. As long as the density
               | isn't too high, it can be pretty low input.
        
               | analog31 wrote:
               | At the present time, the Haber-Bosch process sustains
               | well over half of the world's animal population. This is
               | what's not sustainable on a global basis, even if one
               | country can do it.
               | 
               | I saw corn fields when I visited England recently. Don't
               | know the extent.
        
               | mrguyorama wrote:
               | Lab grown meat is an economical dead end. Way too many
               | large scale meat eaters in the US think it's fucking
               | identity politics somehow, and will willingly pay more
               | for "real" meat even if lab grown meat could magically
               | become cheaper, which it has shown no ability to so far.
               | 
               | The people like me, willing to eat lab grown meat,
               | already are willing to pay more for more carefully grown
               | meat and just eat less meat in general. We are the
               | minority.
               | 
               | The fake meat industry is currently failing. Probably
               | because their products were hyper processed trash that
               | was usually less palatable than a comparable meat
               | replacement, not healthier in general, and somehow STILL
               | more expensive than real meat.
        
               | jimbob45 wrote:
               | Real meat will never go away but that doesn't mean it
               | needs to be the largest fraction of meat consumption
               | either.
        
               | NoMoreNicksLeft wrote:
               | > and will willingly pay more for "real" meat even if lab
               | grown meat could magically become cheaper,
               | 
               | I agree with you and vouch that I am one such person. I
               | am already in the middle of changing my lifestyle so that
               | in some worst case scenarios I could raise my own hogs
               | and cattle and slaughter them myself. Will be teaching my
               | children and grandchildren to do this.
               | 
               | "Lab grown meat" disgusts me, and though it's hard to say
               | exactly how I'd behave were my ribs visible, right now I
               | think I'd prefer to starve than eat it. Those who say
               | they would eat it seem bizarre to me, and when I'm
               | generous I just assume they haven't given it much
               | thought.
               | 
               | I do not feel as if this is tied to identity politics, I
               | assume that there must be people like me both on the left
               | and right, but also that there are people who would be
               | enthusiastic about it on both sides as well. If I'm
               | mistaken in that regard, then I must say that I have zero
               | insight as to why that would be the case.
        
               | cyberax wrote:
               | Most of meat eaten is ground meat. If it doesn't taste
               | any different, people won't care.
               | 
               | Steaks are likely not going away any time soon, but they
               | are not a staple food.
        
               | adrian_b wrote:
               | Despite the very large recent decreases in the price of
               | lab-grown meat (I have just seen an announce about a
               | company that claims that they "can now produce 100
               | percent cultivated chicken (85 percent muscle and 15
               | percent fat) at $11.79 per pound on a large scale"), it
               | is not yet proven that lab-grown meat can be produced at
               | a lower price and by consuming less resources than
               | traditional meat.
               | 
               | On the other hand, it is pretty certain that it is
               | possible to produce high-quality animal proteins, like
               | whey protein or egg white protein, in a sustainable way
               | and at a lower cost, by cultures of genetically-modified
               | fungi, which can be fed with cheap carbohydrates from
               | cereals and with minerals, unlike the animal cells which
               | require a very complex food.
               | 
               | The company that has achieved the low price quoted above
               | has done this by replacing the animal food that was given
               | previously by everybody to the cultivated cells (e.g.
               | serum and albumin) with some mixture of substances
               | extracted from various vegetables.
               | 
               | It is unlikely that it will be ever possible for the food
               | given to cell cultures to be cheaper than the food given
               | to real chicken. The only chance for lab-grown meat to
               | become cheaper than real chicken meat is given by the
               | fact that only the edible part of a chicken is grown,
               | i.e. the equivalent of a breast or thigh, instead of
               | growing the entire chicken body with many parts that have
               | a low value.
               | 
               | While fungal cultures would be much more efficient than
               | any lab-grown meat, they could provide only protein
               | powder, which could enrich in proteins any vegetable
               | food, but from which it would not be easy to make
               | something resembling a steak.
        
               | marcosdumay wrote:
               | > by cultures of genetically-modified fungi
               | 
               | If it's grown in a lab and tastes like meat, it's lab-
               | grown meat. It doesn't matter if it uses animal cells.
               | 
               | You may not even be able to call it "meat", it still
               | makes no difference. Some people will be extremely
               | offended by the difference, but if you don't force
               | anything most people are always ok with anything that
               | _tastes good_.
        
             | quickthrowman wrote:
             | Glyphosate is mostly used for animal feed crops like field
             | corn, soybeans, and alfalfa that have genetically modified
             | seeds that resist glyphosate.
             | 
             | Looks like it's used for some fruits and vegetables too,
             | but it's mostly for the ones I listed above.
        
             | smm11 wrote:
             | This. Not related, but it's my belief that gluten-
             | intolerance is actually a glyphosate issue.
        
           | randomdata wrote:
           | _> Monsanto itself sells glyphosate-resistant plants_
           | 
           | Do you mean DEKALB, a subsidiary of Bayer Crop Science?
           | Monsanto doesn't sell anything. They closed up shop years ago
           | and sold the assets to Bayer and BASF.
        
         | dfxm12 wrote:
         | Monsanto didn't win because they had the most positive outlook,
         | they won because they had a dominate business position, the
         | most lobbying, etc. Jonathan Gressel & Stanley Culpepper, who
         | the article mentions as folks who disagreed with Monsanto on
         | this, have no such power to dictate things to farmers or
         | congress.
        
           | cyberax wrote:
           | Monsanto won because they have a superior product, that makes
           | it easier for farmers to grow crops.
           | 
           | That's it. Nothing more, nothing less.
        
             | Suppafly wrote:
             | >Monsanto won because they have a superior product, that
             | makes it easier for farmers to grow crops.
             | 
             | Cheaper too and leads to better no-till practices. Despite
             | all the anti-GMO FUD around it, it's just a superior way to
             | farm by basically any metric you look at.
        
               | marcosdumay wrote:
               | > by basically any metric you look at
               | 
               | No, not by any metric. Area productivity is smaller, the
               | plants take slightly longer growing, it creates
               | dependency on a greed corporation that showed they will
               | trow you under the bus if they wish...
               | 
               | But it's cheaper.
        
       | kickout wrote:
       | Wonder if Laundando and associates lurk HN. Surely they are
       | comments about carbon robotics.
        
       | skeltoac wrote:
       | Wondering whether glyphosate-resistant plants will keep their
       | resistance after glyphosate is no longer being used. Will that
       | vestigial trait become a liability due to some extra energy
       | costs, and eventually fall back out of the gene pool?
        
         | bell-cot wrote:
         | Yes - _eventually_. The selective pressure to acquire
         | resistance to a widely used herbicide is enormous. The  "takes
         | tiny a bit more energy" pressure to lose a useless trait is
         | minimal.
        
           | dasil003 wrote:
           | Assuming the tradeoff is even energy related. Seems like the
           | tradeoff could be against a whole slew of subtle things that
           | apply in a diverse, natural environment, but may be less
           | important in a monoculture.
        
         | yxhuvud wrote:
         | If nothing else random mutations will likely break it. But it
         | would reaquire it pretty fast given selection pressure again.
        
       | metalman wrote:
       | There is no such thing as "herbicides" they are semi targeted
       | biocides and are not maintaing there effectivness or targeted
       | enough to prevent unacceptable "collateral" damage. Biology
       | supports this as there are very few parallels to be found in
       | nature for this kind of defence/offencive use of chemicals in
       | multi cellular life.Which is a great big hint as to the true cost
       | benifit equation over, reproductive time scales Many single
       | celled life does of course use chemical deffensive/offensive
       | products, yeast and various algae capable of powerfull effects on
       | many life forms. Then there are venoms,but those are mechanicaly
       | targeted. Nature evrn invented the "tazzer" as a
       | weapon/deffence,in electric eals. Ignoring the vast and tested
       | data set that is present in nature is dumb.
        
         | azeirah wrote:
         | People would take you more seriously here if you made fewer
         | spelling and grammatical mistakes.
        
           | jamiek88 wrote:
           | It's extremely arrogant actually to post that incoherence and
           | put the work on to us to make sense of.
        
       | eykanal wrote:
       | Can we just link directly to the story rather than through
       | longreads?
       | https://www.technologyreview.com/2024/10/10/1105034/weeds-cl...
        
       | photochemsyn wrote:
       | The weeds discussed in this article, _Amaranthus tuberculatus_
       | and _Amaranthus palmeri_ , are exactly the kind of plants that
       | early human cultivators would have selected as a seed crop -
       | fast-growing robust plants that could be continually selected for
       | maximal seed size and minimal toxin production generation after
       | generation (which is how crops like maize were developed). Indeed
       | members of this genus were used by Aztecs and others for just
       | that purpose:
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amaranth_grain
       | 
       | As far as maintaining fields, area spraying of pesticides and
       | herbicides will be replaced with robots wielding lasers and using
       | AI image recognition to catch pest infestations before they take
       | over entire fields.
        
         | staunton wrote:
         | > will be replaced with robots wielding lasers
         | 
         | That's a very confident prediction for something that sounds
         | quite unlikely to me.
         | 
         | How about biologically engineered insects/bacteria that destroy
         | weeds and pests? How about pesticides which don't have the
         | downsides of what's currently used?
        
           | moritonal wrote:
           | We're pretty confidently letting AI drive 2 ton metal
           | vehicles on the road, and letting them fly around in the sky
           | with grenades. A farmer-bot with a laser sounds pretty tame
           | to me.
        
             | shagie wrote:
             | 12 years ago: Our Tractor Literally Drives Itself! (GPS
             | Auto Steering Technology)
             | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YStRc1fCj38
             | 
             | It has a guidance system that is connected to a wheel that
             | is friction attached to the steering wheel and turns it on
             | an old tractor. A newer system with an old tractor -
             | https://youtu.be/t0uIYjOds_o
             | 
             | Newer tractors have this built in. The modern tractor cab
             | is a mini data center. https://youtu.be/ZhOvchjeqgM (and
             | you can see that he's not touching the wheel most of the
             | time)
        
           | dghlsakjg wrote:
           | Read the article you are commenting on, these alternatives
           | are mentioned.
           | 
           | Laser wielding AI robots already exist, and are being used
           | commercially.
        
             | Qworg wrote:
             | If you'd like to see a successful one at scale:
             | https://carbonrobotics.com/
        
           | margalabargala wrote:
           | Laser-wielding robots are already being successfully deployed
           | to combat weeds at scale on farms across the US.
           | 
           | > How about biologically engineered insects/bacteria that
           | destroy weeds and pests? How about pesticides which don't
           | have the downsides of what's currently used?
           | 
           | Aside from these not currently existing, they also have far
           | worse failure modes than robots with lasers. Introducing
           | species for biological control methods have a long and
           | storied history of becoming a problem as bad as or worse than
           | the original problem.
        
             | ceejayoz wrote:
             | The article does note that this may similarly cause plants
             | to fight back. Nothing so cool as mirrored weeds, but...
             | 
             | > It's not just chemicals. Weeds can become resistant to
             | any type of control method. In a classic example from
             | China, a weed called barnyard grass evolved over centuries
             | to resemble rice and thus evade hand weeding.
        
           | shagie wrote:
           | Weed lasers in Idaho - https://youtu.be/lWTDwj1y9Xg
        
           | wlesieutre wrote:
           | https://carbonrobotics.com/autonomous-weeder
           | 
           | https://carbonrobotics.com/laserweeder
        
         | user432678 wrote:
         | I wonder how soon new Amaranth species would evolve since ML
         | models are not 100% precise and genetic mutations of a leaf
         | shape would carry on eventually mimicking useful crops?
        
           | goda90 wrote:
           | It already happens with human vision:
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vavilovian_mimicry
        
         | fuzztester wrote:
         | Some Amaranthus species are used in India too, as foods. The
         | grains are used to make laddus (sweet balls made by mixing the
         | grains which sugar or jaggery) and the leaves are eaten as
         | cooked greens with spices, masala, onions, etc. Both are quite
         | tasty.
         | 
         | https://www.google.com/search?q=rajgira
        
         | greenie_beans wrote:
         | would be crazy if ai can stop septoria blight on my tomatoes.
         | highly doubt that will ever happen in my lifetime.
        
       | buildsjets wrote:
       | I've been using strong vinegar for weed control on my property
       | for a few years now. You do have to be careful about applying it
       | and watch the over-spray because it is not a targeted herbicide
       | like Roundup, it's going to kill grass and broadleaf plants
       | alike. Sometimes I lay down a tarp to mask off the grass border,
       | for example. But if you have a general weedy area that just needs
       | to be knocked down, or a gravel path/driveway to keep clear, I
       | have found it is just as effective, quick-acting, and long-
       | lasting as the synthetic herbicides, with the side effect of
       | smelling like salad dressing, instead of smelling like cancer.
       | 
       | I buy 30-45% concentrate depending on what is on sale, and dilute
       | to around 10% for new weeds and 20% for full grown weeds. A
       | little dish soap in there helps it wet down the leaves. For lawn
       | weeds, once they are under control, I've been able to keep up
       | with a 1/4 acre lawn with just manual weeding. Good tools help, I
       | have tried a lot of weed pulling gadgets. Using a push mower
       | means I go slow enough to spot them, and if they get too big they
       | jam the mower so I am motivated to pull them while they are still
       | small.
        
         | singleshot_ wrote:
         | Curious person here with a warning: don't smell 30% vinegar.
         | You are missing nothing gods by skipping this. I promise.
        
           | yumraj wrote:
           | I hope you know that this'll make more people want to smell
           | it, not less. ;)
           | 
           | At least I'm curious now..
        
             | ridgeguy wrote:
             | An olfactory Streisand Effect!
        
             | marcosdumay wrote:
             | It's ok to be curious. Just don't do it.
             | 
             | People have been avoiding learning the smell and taste of
             | several kinds of poison with a great amount of success for
             | thousands of years. Be one of the successful ones.
        
             | dvh wrote:
             | In great Czech movie "Obecna skola" (The elementary school,
             | 1991) principal warns students over PA not to lick metal
             | railings in winter and of course students try it and get
             | stuck. He complains about it to a new teacher who responds
             | "Students are young, they want to try everything".
             | Principal then asks "are you telling me, if I say - Don't
             | drink sulphuric acid, it will burn your intestines - that
             | they will drink it?" And the teacher says: "I don't know,
             | but better not say anything over PA".
        
             | singleshot_ wrote:
             | I'm thrilled to be part of a community which is so curious
             | and so distrusting of authority.
        
             | chankstein38 wrote:
             | Absolutely my first thought was "Huh, I wonder what it
             | smells like"
        
               | singleshot_ wrote:
               | It smells exactly like acetic acid, only a lot stronger
               | than you're used to.
               | 
               | You may find after a few tries that it smells just like
               | the split second before vomiting.
        
           | IncreasePosts wrote:
           | Yup, my neighbor uses strong vinegar to kill weeds and our
           | yard smells strongly of vinegar for about 12 hours after. He
           | does this 2x/week. I'm glad we're moving.
        
             | kyleee wrote:
             | Better than bathing the land in poison. You never know with
             | moving, you may look back fondly on this current neighbor
             | depending on the proclivities of your new neighbors
        
         | jemmyw wrote:
         | I've used the same, and it seems just as, if not more,
         | effective than the roundup available from the garden centre.
         | 
         | The only problem is that vinegar destroys spray machines. Even
         | though I rinse through after every use.
        
           | devilbunny wrote:
           | Have you tried running some baking soda (sodium bicarbonate,
           | NaHCO3) dissolved in water through it after each use?
        
         | RaftPeople wrote:
         | The other option is boiling water, I've used it and it's very
         | effective.
        
           | jamiek88 wrote:
           | Another vote for this, especially on pathways and between
           | bricks etc.
        
           | ssttoo wrote:
           | Salt too. I saw professionals use salt during a trip recently
           | and looked it up and tried it. My driveway cracks are devoid
           | of life now.
        
         | kleiba wrote:
         | That's interesting that many people here seem to have had good
         | experience with using vinegar. I tried it once with some weeds
         | growing in the cracks of my front entry brick path, and it
         | didn't really work for me.
        
         | dimator wrote:
         | Meta: I love hearing about people that take pride and care of
         | their lawns/gardens.
        
         | pvaldes wrote:
         | In an area of the lawn we needed to bury a pipeline. Soil was
         | removed and I designed an Iris bed with stones. Weeds soon
         | invited themselves to the composition. The rigid leaves of the
         | Irises are now mixed with serrate leaves of Mercurialis, soft
         | tones of Stellaria and rounded Umbilicus. I like the result, so
         | I will tolerate it, for now.
         | 
         | Just today, in that area, two silvery eyes where looking at me.
         | They weren't followed with an animal face or body. Just a weed
         | background, like if an invisible master of mimicry were hiding
         | at plain sight. But if was not an animal, it was a weed. A weed
         | with eyes. True history. The world is full of surprises.
         | 
         | The deploying leafets of an Aquilegia created perfectly
         | symmetrical cups at each side of the stem. Sit in the cups, two
         | identical balls of pure dew looking at me like a baby. It was
         | just a seedling in a crevice when I picked it by a tiny leaf
         | and found a new home for the poor thing. Today it rewarded me
         | with some magical seconds for that.
         | 
         | I would loathe having a garden that smells like vinegar and
         | melted rotten leaves. Things don't need to be like this. There
         | is a lot of fun waiting in the unplanned and untamed.
        
       | danielodievich wrote:
       | My long-departed grandmother lived her entire life in Grodno, a
       | city in western Belarus on Nieman river. It is a lovely and
       | fertile region with well defined seasons of the year. All kinds
       | of things grow there, mostly temperate weather crops, potatoes,
       | tomatoes, peas, cucumbers, carrots, radishes, cabbages, apples,
       | pears etc. Grandmother was a big believer in child labor so my
       | summer was spent weeding every day. Her herbicide/pesticide were
       | little children hands. I think vinegar was involved too. I think
       | though if she could afford chemicals she would have. Ugh, if I
       | never have to squish colorado potato beetle larvae from the
       | potato leaf, I'll be happy.
        
       | navark wrote:
       | I have an acre of forest and I spend time removing invasive
       | species like buckthorn and wild mustard to keep the forest
       | healthy. It can be really challenging to discriminate between
       | native and invasive plants without a lot of experience and plant
       | identifying apps like iNaturalist. I would love to be able to
       | sweep my phone around and have it highlight invasive plants live.
       | Is anyone working on something like this? The technology already
       | works in images of a single plant, I just need to identify
       | multiple plants in one frame, and ideally live video.
        
         | jamiek88 wrote:
         | What a brilliant idea!
         | 
         | To Xcode i go!
         | 
         | And I now have an excuse for a new M4 Mac mini.
         | 
         | You're a genius Navark!
        
           | jihadjihad wrote:
           | Haha I hope you're serious. Looking forward to the Show HN
           | soon.
        
             | jamiek88 wrote:
             | I already have a path forward, boy some of these ML and
             | vision apis are incredible. What a force multiplier it is
             | being able to piggy back on a multi trillion dollar corps
             | work! :)
        
               | sgt101 wrote:
               | Yeah - be a little careful there.
               | 
               | I've been playing with llama-3.2vision-11b and it can't
               | count more than 4 dots.
        
               | jamiek88 wrote:
               | I'm not using an LLM I'm using apples vision frameworks.
               | 
               | Which makes way more sense to me as this needs to run on
               | device.
        
           | navark wrote:
           | I am looking forward to your attempt!
        
           | bluerooibos wrote:
           | This would be awesome - live video stream with some ChatGPT
           | voice commentary on what you're seeing, though I imagine this
           | won't be super simple...
           | 
           | You could also extend it to just tell you the fauna and
           | species of grass in your field etc. I've been looking at
           | mapping a field at my home before starting a permaculture
           | project on it, so a tool like this would be super useful.
           | Image upload would be fine instead of a live video.
        
         | greenie_beans wrote:
         | i have a similar situation and have found it's better to learn
         | how to do this with my own brain rather than outsource it to
         | technology. i wish the tech could do this, but so many times my
         | own knowledge has proven superior. i especially think it's
         | important to learn these skills if you spend time managing a
         | forest. if you spend enough time managing land you'll find that
         | identifying invasive plants quickly is second nature without an
         | app...almost like it's in our dna...
         | 
         | here's a recent example: i was hiking somewhere with no cell
         | service. a plant caught my eye. i thought, "that looks like a
         | nightshade but i've never seen it before". i went home and
         | looked up different types of nightshades. it was a nightshade,
         | so now i learned a new plant and reinforced my knowledge of
         | nightshades.
        
         | mschild wrote:
         | Doesn't iNaturalist provide an app called Seek that does
         | exactly that? I remember using it in the past to scan plants
         | and it would clarify them for you as best as it could.
        
       | r14c wrote:
       | Weeds have a function which does run opposite to the objectives
       | of monoculture, but I'd probably put my money on millions of
       | years of evolution over the needs of industrial farmers.
       | Permaculture and "food forest" methodologies are not as good for
       | anyone's profit margin, but they are more resilient and lean on
       | natural processes of ecological niche development instead of
       | fighting them.
        
       | kreyenborgi wrote:
       | > As crude a weapon as the cave man's club, the chemical barrage
       | has been hurled against the fabric of life - a fabric on the one
       | hand delicate and destructible, on the other miraculously tough
       | and resilient, and _capable of striking back in unexpected ways_.
       | These extraordinary capacities of life have been ignored by the
       | practitioners of chemical control who have brought to their task
       | no "high-minded orientation," no humility before the vast forces
       | with which they tamper.
       | 
       | -- R. L. Carson
        
       | binrec wrote:
       | > Populations of the weeds have been found that are impervious to
       | nine different classes of herbicides. The plant can grow more
       | than two inches a day to reach eight feet in height and dominate
       | entire fields. Originally from the desert Southwest, it boasts a
       | sturdy root system and can withstand droughts.
       | 
       | Well, I'm sold. Where do I buy Palmer amaranth? What about water
       | hemp - is it edible?
        
         | jaggederest wrote:
         | > The leaves, stems and seeds of Palmer amaranth, like those of
         | other amaranths, are edible and highly nutritious.
         | 
         | Waterhemp is also an Amaranthus species and thus most probably
         | highly edible, though I have no idea if it's palatable.
        
       | pvaldes wrote:
       | People will need to accept that the idea of feeding humans with
       | an endless soy field does not lead to a stable system and that
       | the cycle of poison is a dead end.
       | 
       | Weeds are creatures more misunderstood than evil. We should be
       | able to find an use for something that grows fast, digs deep
       | breaking the soil, moves nutrients from deep layers and can live
       | without water. Seems created to feed it to cattle and make humans
       | happy.
        
         | mschild wrote:
         | I agree. We've recently purchased a house with a sizeable
         | garden. Our plan is to let it run itself for the most part. We
         | did remove invasive or too aggressive plants though.
        
       | adam_arthur wrote:
       | I think the future of pesticides and weed control in food
       | production will be robots manually removing pests. No chemicals
       | required.
       | 
       | The technology we have today isn't too far off from this... weeds
       | are certainly easier than bugs, but both should be feasible.
        
         | greenie_beans wrote:
         | i'm curious if you garden or have ever worked on a farm?
        
       | greenie_beans wrote:
       | a lot of weeds can be controlled by no-till methods. weeds mostly
       | happen when the soil is bare.
        
       | molave wrote:
       | Life finds a way
        
       | dskrvk wrote:
       | Bruce Sterling's "Heavy Weather" describes (offhandedly) a post-
       | agricultural ecosystem where only herbicide/cold/heat-resistant
       | weeds remain. People then breed genetically-engineered livestock
       | that can convert the weeds into more useful substances.
        
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