[HN Gopher] German coalition government collapses
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       German coalition government collapses
        
       Author : gndk
       Score  : 39 points
       Date   : 2024-11-06 21:25 UTC (1 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.euronews.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.euronews.com)
        
       | Phelinofist wrote:
       | As a German I'm quite happy with this, because the coalition was
       | doomed to fail from the start.
       | 
       | On that note, I read the paper of Lidner and IMHO he has good
       | points. Germany does not have an issue with income but with
       | spending. We spend way too much for social stuff, especially
       | pensions. The idea proposed by the SDP would fuck every following
       | generation over pretty hard.
       | 
       | And to loose the debt break to funnel that money to the Ukraine
       | is brain dead.
       | 
       | Why does no one tackle overflowing spending for social stuff,
       | insane bureaucracy, abysmal education.
       | 
       | I'm a bit concerned about new elections. That will probably make
       | the CxU the major party, with probably SPD as a junior partner.
       | However, IMHo the whole German political landscape is just FUBAR.
       | 
       | CDU/CSU=old guys sprinkled with new guys that are both corrupt.
       | Scheuer, Spahn, Dobrindt et al. Merz as chancellor. Yeah fuck.
       | 
       | SPU=Give money from the middle class so poor, so they don't have
       | to work that match
       | 
       | FDP=Unfortunately I do not own a Porsche, but generally speaking
       | I find the ideas proposed by Lidner in his paper quite sound
       | 
       | Grune=Ivory tower and out of touch with working people
       | 
       | AFD=Crude mix between Nazis and just braindead people
       | 
       | BSW=???
       | 
       | + all the other smaller parties that are just useless
       | 
       | I pay the max amount possible for public healthcare (~1,1kEUR?)
       | and pay about 1k+ in wage tax. That's just outright insane.
       | 
       | In the meantime, my ex wife gets paid a flat + utilities + some
       | other stuff.
       | 
       | This is all fucked. The EU needs to get stronger, by having a
       | Ungarn Exit and stopping the idiotic expansion to Moldova and the
       | other states that will bring nothing to the table. Instead, they
       | should be made partner, with some benefits, butno voting rights.
       | Oh, and please no Schengen for all of them.
       | 
       | With the shit also going on with the US election this is all just
       | shit.
        
         | Phelinofist wrote:
         | Oh, and the speech by Scholz was just taken from a drawer, so
         | it has been written for quite some time. So overall this is
         | just shady: Lidner wanted structured new elections but now
         | Scholz forced this to be some shit show. Also the 4 points
         | mentioned by Scholz are mostly shit:
         | 
         | 1. Subventions for VW/other car manufactures: good to secure
         | jobs, but eventually against strengthen of the German economy
         | because we keep failed shot living for some time that is also
         | doomed to fail
         | 
         | 2. Energy price, how will he do it without screwing over
         | private households?
         | 
         | 3. Pensions: Yeah, the proposed pension packet would screw over
         | newer generations tremendously, just to secure some votes from
         | old people
         | 
         | 4. More money for the Ukraine. Use that money to invest in to
         | European Level defense
        
           | dlahoda wrote:
           | 4. what part of money sent to ukraine is actually investment
           | to eu defence? trying tactics and seeing arms in actios and
           | then selling these to aravia and asia because of good
           | reviews.
           | 
           | 3. all young screwed with inflation money printing, and laws
           | protecting rich to be rich, not poor become rich. so i doubt
           | any coutry is different now.
           | 
           | 2. check out nuclear in france and canada. they are fine.
           | and... it was russia. ao de does not wants to fight it again?
           | 
           | 1. yeah, exactly this, as i worked in that oart of de
           | industry for a while.
        
             | Phelinofist wrote:
             | TBH, I'm not sure I can parse your comment correctly, but
             | I'll try anyway: 1. I also work for some subsidiary of VW
             | and honestly them going down is no surprise. It's
             | mismanagement on all levels
             | 
             | 2. I'm not sure nuclear is a good think. Sure, no CO2, but
             | waste. Also, building them is just ridiculously expensive.
             | 
             | 3. Unfortunately true! But the plans of the SPD were really
             | insane IMHO
             | 
             | 4. What I meant is that instead of sending anything to the
             | Ukraine just invest in EU level defense.
        
         | gndk wrote:
         | As another German, I fully agree about the political landscape
         | in Germany being FUBAR.
         | 
         | I'm an entrepreneur with a small business and the FDP is
         | closest to my personal views in theory. In reality, they are
         | just a bit lighter shade of green-socialism than the other
         | parties. Lindner's paper is a joke. Germany needs much more
         | radical changes than he proposed to ensure a prosperous future,
         | but even his very tame suggestions now caused a government
         | collapse.
         | 
         | My payment for public healthcare is also at the maximum around
         | 1kEUR/month and similar wage taxes. A few days ago I used an
         | unemployment payment / "Burgergeld" calculator and found out
         | that if I stopped working and instead just got married and had
         | 1-2 kids, I'd have more income after taxes than now. This is
         | completely unsustainable, but nobody in politics talks about
         | it.
         | 
         | New elections won't make a difference, other than taking away
         | some time and focus from the people in power to do more harm to
         | the country. There simply is nobody sensible to vote for.
         | 
         | Germany, and all of the EU in general, needs to hit absolute
         | rock bottom first for new and sensible political parties to
         | emerge.
         | 
         | Personally, I don't want to be around for the ride down, so I'm
         | preparing to leave the sinking ship. Unfortunately thats not
         | easy with enormous exit taxes and much of the western world in
         | a similarly bad state. The US honestly seems like the best
         | option right now.
        
           | Phelinofist wrote:
           | > Lindner's paper is a joke. Germany needs much more radical
           | changes than he proposed to ensure a prosperous future, but
           | even his very tame suggestions now caused a government
           | collapse.
           | 
           | I wouldn't call it a joke, but rather a starting point. I
           | agree that more radical changes are required. But then again,
           | who will do them? Which party? Yeah, there is none
        
           | blubberblase42 wrote:
           | > My payment for public healthcare is also at the maximum
           | around 1kEUR/month and similar wage taxes [...]
           | 
           | > and found out that if I stopped working and instead just
           | got married and had 1-2 kids, I'd have more income after
           | taxes than now
           | 
           | That's not possible. Either you lied or didn't fill out the
           | Burgergeld calculator correctly.
           | 
           | If you make enough money to get to the
           | Jahresarbeitsentgeltgrenze so you pay the maximum of
           | 843.53EUR for public healthcare, then you at least should get
           | 3.213EUR a month "auf die Hand". If you get you apartment
           | payed and 563EUR if you are alone or 506EUR if you are
           | married. Yes you get "extra" money if you have kids, but
           | FUNFACT: Kids cost money.
           | 
           | All political landscape is FUBAR. But in part that because
           | there are unlimited different opinions but only a handful of
           | party's. I don't know how Cum-Ex Scholz could get Chancellor
           | and I am ashamed of it, but with E-Fuel-Porsche Linder... You
           | know his company before politics, which he ran into ground
           | was funded in part by the KFW? He wasted more of our money
           | than a village of people getting Burgergeld.
           | 
           | Yeah sure, the german car industry will be great again with
           | this E-Fuel bullshit and then with lesser taxes the profits
           | will trickle down to everyone.
           | 
           | Have fun with more poverty and richer Billionaires.
        
         | SvenL wrote:
         | I don't think the issue is spending on social stuff. There are
         | more issues like tax evasion - even supported by the ministry
         | of Lindner [1]. But I think the biggest issue is spending money
         | by employing more and more governance worker. I heard that the
         | Kanzleramt employs more people than most of the big companies
         | in Germany.
         | 
         | Also, you wrote CDU is corrupt, but FDP feels as corrupt as
         | CDU. At least it looks like working for FDP lead ministry pays
         | off [2][3].
         | 
         | It just feels morally wrong to try to cut social spending when
         | they can't cut spending on their side. Also, pensions for
         | governance worker are pretty high too.
         | 
         | (sorry for German sources)
         | 
         | [1] https://www.zdf.de/nachrichten/politik/gerda-hofmann-
         | finanzm...
         | 
         | [2] https://www.merkur.de/politik/schuldenbremse-
         | bundeshaushalt-...
         | 
         | [3]
         | https://www.stern.de/politik/deutschland/finanzministerium--...
        
           | Phelinofist wrote:
           | My comment was written with a bit of rage, I might have
           | missed some things. So I agree with wealth tax and tackling
           | tax evasion. Yes, I also should've added corruption to FDP,
           | good catch! Movenpick. Also look at the absolute dog shit
           | minister that is Wissing. I also agree with reducing spending
           | on their side.
        
             | SvenL wrote:
             | I edited my comment also a little bit because I wrote in
             | rage. It really feels frustrating the political landscape
             | (voting the "least evil" party).
        
               | Phelinofist wrote:
               | I think you can also do this before someone replys, so no
               | luck there.
               | 
               | Honestly I have no clue who to vote for. I guess we will
               | get a GroKo again, which is utterly retarded, SPD has to
               | go to. Their pension packet is just insane.
        
       | the5avage wrote:
       | As a german imo the real problem is that we replaced reasoning
       | with ideology.
       | 
       | There are sometimes complex connections between cause and effect.
       | It is not enough to just have the right intention.
        
         | rasmus1610 wrote:
         | This.
         | 
         | Just had a longer discussion with my wife just now why this is.
         | 
         | So many discussions in Germany revolve around ideology and not
         | what's best in the situation right now.
        
           | huijzer wrote:
           | Same in the US. Especially in the party that now lost. Maybe
           | believing in some equality fairyland where everything is fair
           | and equal doesn't work. Doesn't work for the US and doesn't
           | work for Germany. You need to let crazy people do crazy
           | things (within the law of course). Many inventors were
           | "crazy" at the time including Einstein, Turing and DaVinci to
           | name a few. Maybe in 50 years we will talk about the
           | government that forced Turing to take medication against his
           | homosexuality in the same way as the woke politicians who
           | supported cancel culture. A culture that has caused many
           | academics to lose their job and caused even more academics to
           | fear speaking up.
           | 
           | Germany is in a really dire situation now by the way. Car
           | production is about 17% of GDP and sales for all their brands
           | are declining steadily. Especially Chinese sales are going
           | down fast. Relatedly, Xiami is now one of the fastest cars on
           | the Nordschleife. But the German government doesn't seem to
           | have any solutions. Yes close power plants. Oh wait they have
           | now the highest electricity prices in the whole of Europe.
           | 
           | And this is while their education system is fine. Young
           | German engineers are great I think. I've seen many great
           | German open source developers. Especially of course the
           | creators of Typst.
        
             | huijzer wrote:
             | To the people downvoting me again. Please come with
             | arguments instead of just clicking the "I disagree" button.
             | I'll happily be proven wrong but I need someone to do it.
             | Just clicking "I disagree" doesn't add anything to the
             | discussion. Thank you.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | "Please don't comment about the voting on comments. It
               | never does any good, and it makes boring reading."
               | 
               | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
        
             | mschuster91 wrote:
             | > You need to let crazy people do crazy things (within the
             | law of course).
             | 
             | Yeah, like stripping away LGBT rights or abortion? The far-
             | right, no matter if we are talking about the US, Germany,
             | France, Italy, Spain, Argentinia, Israel or the UK, has
             | clearly stated what they want to do, and they have shown in
             | more than enough cases (Argentinia, USA, UK) that they are
             | willing to throw the entire nation under the bus for their
             | ideological bullshit! And the people have suffered horribly
             | for the foolishness of their fellow countrymen.
        
               | ClassyJacket wrote:
               | "stripping away LGBT rights"
               | 
               | Did you mean refusing to take away women's rights and
               | protections to hand them to men, and not doing sex
               | changes on children?
               | 
               | The left wants to chemically castrate gay teenagers and
               | ban single-sex gay spaces. It's them who are anti gay,
               | and they're extremists.
        
               | huijzer wrote:
               | I don't know about you, but I actually watched interviews
               | with Trump and he mostly seems to indicate that he
               | doesn't want a nation-wide ban on abortion. It should be
               | up for individual states to decide. Although I'm in favor
               | of more choice for women, I don't think Trump's stance is
               | completely unreasonable. There are already more than
               | enough federal rules and some states want to be more
               | strict. But you make it sound like Trump wants to strip
               | away abortion rights. Please give me a recent interview
               | in which he himself clearly said that. Otherwise it seems
               | someone else came up with that narrative.
        
               | throw310822 wrote:
               | > like stripping away LGBT rights or abortion?
               | 
               | These are ideological battles which are specular to those
               | of the left. All these laws to extend and protect LGBT
               | rights? Marginally useful only to a small minority (which
               | should be already protected in its fundamental rights by
               | the normal laws) but great to avoid talking about
               | difficult issues: how to go against established interests
               | to improve the economy, how to modernise administration
               | so that is more efficient and cheaper, etc.
        
             | gndk wrote:
             | > And this is while their education system is fine. Young
             | German engineers are great I think.
             | 
             | German education system is not as fine as it used to be. It
             | might still be fine at the later high school and university
             | levels, but earlier school classes now often have a
             | majority of kids that don't speak German, holding the whole
             | class back. In parts of problem cities like Berlin there
             | are even classes where no kid speaks German. We don't have
             | enough teachers and the ones who are still there are
             | frustrated and overworked.
        
               | blubberblase42 wrote:
               | > but earlier school classes now often have a majority of
               | kids that don't speak German, holding the whole class
               | back
               | 
               | Nope, that's not the problem. My wife is a teacher.
               | Schools where teachers don't go on the toilet because
               | it's so fucked up. That's the problem. But we need to
               | reduce money there, because we need more tax breaks.
        
             | osrmostsis wrote:
             | "Car production is about 17% of GDP"
             | 
             | Not sure where you got this number. Actually it's been
             | between 4% and 5% for the last couple of years.
        
               | huijzer wrote:
               | Thanks. I think you're right.
               | 
               | This is my source:
               | https://tradingeconomics.com/germany/exports-by-category
               | 
               | 295B for "vehicles other than railway, tramway".
               | 
               | I don't know where the 17% on that page comes from. It's
               | indeed 6% if you compare it to GDP (4.4T).
        
             | baud147258 wrote:
             | > Same in the US. Especially in the party that now lost.
             | 
             | I'd say it's the same in both parties
        
           | p2detar wrote:
           | Perhaps it's time to integrate LLMs into politics. Not sure
           | that I'm even joking at this point.
        
       | killjoywashere wrote:
       | So, destabilized democracies seems to be the theme of the early
       | 21st century: the UK (Brexit), the US (twice) and now rumbles
       | from Germany. Great
        
         | pc86 wrote:
         | What is unstable about the US?
        
           | nilsherzig wrote:
           | Correct me if I'm wrong but didn't Trump's followers raid the
           | capitol last time (with his approval)? Seems unstable from
           | the outside
        
             | stickfigure wrote:
             | One of them was shot and more than 600 were sent to prison.
             | Seems stable enough to me.
        
               | gmueckl wrote:
               | Stable democracies hand over to new governments without
               | bloodshed. Any amount of violence in the process is too
               | much to count as stable.
        
         | nosianu wrote:
         | This is not destabilizing this democracy. The FDP has done that
         | same thing before - twice! In 1966 and 1982.
         | 
         | Abandoning a non-functioning government and calling new
         | elections is part of democracies. Just ask the Italians (68
         | governments in 76 years), or recently the French and the Brits.
        
           | gmueckl wrote:
           | The problem is that the far right is ready to exploit that
           | situation with their broken populist rhetoric and look to
           | gain massively from it. Currently, they are the second
           | biggest faction behind the conservatives in the polls. All
           | the moderate parties have so little support that the only
           | coalition government options are the ones that couldn't stop
           | this growing trend of disillusionment and protest voting in
           | the past.
        
           | throw310822 wrote:
           | > Just ask the Italians (68 governments in 76 years)
           | 
           | When each and every government is non-functioning, I'd say
           | that democracy is already destabilised or broken.
        
       | dlahoda wrote:
       | i once was working for bosch contractor. they have team of 2-3
       | people doing in half year less work than i am in one month, and
       | yet payed 2x less.
       | 
       | de lead of that 2-3 team was putting some integration tests
       | ignored and unignored several times during that time as
       | stabilisation effort, sure they were not stabilized.
       | 
       | team we dependent on for car data lagged behind for month all
       | time, and people were pieced off when i was going to sent prs to
       | their code to speed up things.
        
       | cryptica wrote:
       | It's frustrating to watch governments constantly argue over what
       | they should do to help the economy when what they should be
       | arguing about is what they should undo to stop hindering the
       | economy.
        
       | probably_wrong wrote:
       | If the future German Chancellor is here, here's my proposal for
       | your new campaign: "We choose to build one million affordable
       | apartments in four years, not because it's easy but because it's
       | hard".
       | 
       | It may not solve all of Germany's problems but at least you'll
       | energize the construction sector, alleviate the housing crisis,
       | learn how to finish a construction project on time and you'll
       | have to remove some bureaucracy to reach the deadline. Build them
       | with EV chargers outside and you'll help VW too.
        
         | Phelinofist wrote:
         | Haha, yeah, forget it. Too much bureaucracy.
         | 
         | But I agree, doing something like this would address quite a
         | few issues people have.
         | 
         | Which party would tackle that though? I can't think of any.
        
         | trhway wrote:
         | Interesting that 2 similar problems - water rise and population
         | increase - are treated that differently, i.e. it is considered
         | normal that the government would build levies/etc. while the
         | government building housing is an abomination.
        
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