[HN Gopher] What if they are all wrong? (2020)
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       What if they are all wrong? (2020)
        
       Author : macleginn
       Score  : 65 points
       Date   : 2024-11-05 13:13 UTC (9 hours ago)
        
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       | empath75 wrote:
       | I applaud this person for disproving conjectures and think
       | disproving conjectures is important, but the reason why the
       | conjectures he disproved didn't get much attention is that
       | they're all relatively minor conjectures, and he probably would
       | have gotten just as little attention if he had proved them.
       | 
       | If someone disproved the Riemann hypothesis, it would be the
       | biggest math story of the century -- certainly since the proof of
       | Fermat's last theorem, I am sure.
       | 
       | I also think that working out the consequences of a conjecture
       | being true is _indistinguishable_ from attempting to disprove the
       | conjecture. How could you possibly work out something like a
       | proof (or disproof) by contradiction without doing that? Really
       | working toward a proof in general is the same as working toward a
       | disproof in almost every case I can think of. An exhaustiveness
       | proof is also a search for a counterexample, etc.
        
         | bubblyworld wrote:
         | An interesting aside about your last paragraph - there are some
         | results in number theory (like Linnik's theorem) where the
         | original proof was split into two cases. One where the
         | existence of Siegel zeroes was assumed (a famous conjecture),
         | and another where the converse was assumed instead!
         | 
         | Sometimes a statement A is a non-trivial consequence of both a
         | conjecture B and it's negation independently. So in a technical
         | sense A doesn't take you any closer to a proof or disproof of
         | the conjecture in question (and it can be difficult to tell
         | whether your consequence is of this type or not).
        
           | empath75 wrote:
           | Well, sure, but you don't know that until you work out the
           | consequences -- you're just exploring the space of
           | possibilities. Eventually you'll either find a contradiction
           | or you won't, but you'll _never_ find a contradiction if you
           | don't look.
        
             | bubblyworld wrote:
             | You said that working out the consequences was
             | _indistinguishable_ from attempting to disprove the
             | conjecture. I was just noting that there are sometimes
             | subtle differences. I agree in general though, this wasn 't
             | intended as a criticism =)
        
           | cvoss wrote:
           | Aside to your aside: When A can be proven from B, and A can
           | also be proven from !B, it is really tempting to conclude
           | that A is proven. But many people will argue this is
           | incorrect in general, that is, they deny the excluded middle
           | axiom. What if B is independent of your system of logic? We
           | know then that A is not disprovable (since a proof of !A
           | would prove !B). But that doesn't prove A. Unless A can be
           | proven without reference to B, A might be independent too.
        
             | BalinKing wrote:
             | Not an expert, but I don't think that independence is
             | particularly relevant--intuitionists deny LEM for more
             | fundamental philosophical reasons AFAIK, even for
             | statements that could theoretically be proven true or false
             | within your system of logic.
        
               | cvoss wrote:
               | I don't understand there to be anything deeper about it,
               | though happy to be corrected. In a consistent system,
               | there are three kinds of statements: the provable ones,
               | the disprovable ones, and the independent ones. This is
               | straight from Godel Incompleteness I. The sin of LEM is
               | exactly that it overlooks the reality of incompleteness.
               | But, if course, you also can't fix it with an axiom
               | encoding the trichotomy I just stated, because the
               | independence of a statement is itself a statement that
               | lives in a higher ambient system.
        
               | whatshisface wrote:
               | LEM doesn't overlook completeness within the context of
               | an axiom system. Independent results remain, by
               | definition, without correspondence to any proof.
               | 
               | Believe it or not, constructive math actually does have a
               | LEM, but a derived one. Any computable value can be shown
               | to either equal or not equal another. Only for
               | _uncomputable_ predicates does the absence of LEM result
               | in our inability to conclude x from not not x.
        
             | bubblyworld wrote:
             | Yeah, I believe it's invalid to conclude "B" from "A => B"
             | and "not A => B" in constructive logic, for this reason.
             | But most mathematicians reason classically without thinking
             | twice about it!
        
               | schoen wrote:
               | You can conclude "not not B", which is also called "B is
               | irrefutable". Irrefutability is like a weaker version of
               | "true" in constructive logic that means "could be assumed
               | without introducing a new contradiction".
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Double-negation_translation
        
       | Xcelerate wrote:
       | As someone not in the field of mathematics, I actually didn't
       | realize there was such an emphasis on attempting to prove famous
       | conjectures correct. I thought the famous conjectures were famous
       | precisely because knowing the veracity of the conjecture (or
       | independence with respect to some formal system) would be a
       | monumental event in any case.
       | 
       | I also assumed many mathematicians utilized the strategy of
       | attempting to disprove something as a way to reveal the proof.
       | Sort of like how the best chess players tend to spend most of
       | their thinking time mentally challenging their planned move as
       | opposed to novice chess players who tend to look for reasons
       | confirming why their move will be a good one. Is this not the
       | case?
        
         | feoren wrote:
         | This article is one professor's mix of opinion and elementary
         | introduction to the concept of conjecture, and IMO is quite
         | rambling and inconsistent. Why are you generalizing this one
         | random person's thoughts into a conclusion about mathematics as
         | a discipline? Don't let one poor thinker (or perhaps merely
         | poor _writer_ ) spoil it for you.
         | 
         | The author seems to have completely missed the actual reason we
         | find conjectures interesting: we're asking ourselves, "do we
         | have the techniques to prove this kind of problem?" That's the
         | fundamental reason disproving a conjecture is less celebrated
         | than proving it, because disproving is often done by finding a
         | single counterexample, which doesn't teach us much about our
         | proof techniques -- unless, of course, the process of finding
         | that counterexample was particularly new and interesting!
         | 
         | The most interesting question to ponder with a conjecture is
         | not "is this true?", but rather "why is this hard to prove?".
         | The most boring answer to the latter is "oh, because it's
         | false", while the most exciting answer is "because we were
         | missing this fundamental idea that can spawn an entire new
         | branch of mathematics." It's all about the journey, not the
         | destination.
        
       | kevinventullo wrote:
       | It would be a shameful travesty if the Clay Institute refused to
       | award the prize for a correct proof that P vs. NP was independent
       | of ZFC. In my mind, this would be a more interesting result than
       | either a proof or a disproof!
        
         | zusammen wrote:
         | Not only would it be more interesting, but it would probably
         | answer the practical question of whether efficient NP-solvers
         | exist--in the negative. An independence proof boils down to,
         | "it depends on these highly abstract axioms pertaining to
         | massive infinite sets." So an independence proof would mean
         | some model of mathematics exists where a polynomial-time NP-
         | solver exists, but the lack of one within ordinary mathematics
         | (which is the model-independent day-to-day stuff) could make it
         | impractical in ways that are hard to imagine, since the
         | mathematics leading to such a proof doesn't seem to exist.
        
         | whatshisface wrote:
         | The Clay institute should let discoverers of independence
         | proofs to take out a million dollar loan with no interest or
         | repayment schedule.
        
       | wesselbindt wrote:
       | I think this sentiment is coming from the same place as that of
       | people who oppose more "pure" scientific pursuits in general. You
       | can ask "what good does it do me that some guy was able to go to
       | the moon?" or "who cares about theorizing about black holes,
       | they're really far away", but ultimately pursuing these goals is
       | what got us such crucial everyday stuff like GPS. Sure, you may
       | not care about the goal (even though I think they're worthy
       | goals), but you sure as heck benefit from the journey that got us
       | there. Similarly, chasing mathematical conjectures, even the ones
       | that turn out false, sets us off on journeys on which we
       | discover/invent ever more sophisticated and powerful mathematical
       | tools. And these tools have an amazing tendency to give us
       | insight into broader problems, and help us prove other theorems,
       | even if the conjecture we were originally chasing turns out to be
       | false. It is in this way that chasing conjectures gets us closer
       | to the truth, regardless of their own truthiness.
        
       | gurubm wrote:
       | Any theorem was a conjecture before its formal proof was accepted
       | by the community. Thus the importance of conjectures is a proxy
       | to the importance of theorems: they are proto-theorems.
       | 
       | The fact that the human mind is capable of searching for new
       | mathematical theorems specifically here instead of there, is
       | quite interesting. It's as if a skilled mathematician has
       | knowledge that is bigger than math itself.
       | 
       | Penrose used this as argument for the special nature of
       | consciousness, wrongly - it probably makes more sense to remember
       | how the way the human mind is not exact and produces errors all
       | the time plays a huge role in a creative process. And luckily we
       | can amend the human mind by social processes that help
       | eliminating errors again.
       | 
       | This way, a conjecture can be thought of as a claim to truth in a
       | competitive environment and that would explain why proving the
       | truth is regarded so much higher.
        
       | hshshshshsh wrote:
       | What if they are all wrong also assumes reality has this property
       | of an observer being able to characterize things as right and
       | wrong.
        
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