[HN Gopher] Democratising publishing
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       Democratising publishing
        
       Author : mxstbr
       Score  : 66 points
       Date   : 2024-10-30 14:52 UTC (1 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (john.onolan.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (john.onolan.org)
        
       | apitman wrote:
       | What strikes me about Ghost's story is that if they hadn't failed
       | to get in to YC[0], they probably would have failed for real,
       | because eventually the VCs would have come calling and they're
       | obviously not a unicorn.
       | 
       | Instead, they have a successful organization providing a
       | livelihood for almost 50 people, and real value to countless
       | more.
       | 
       | [0]: https://john.onolan.org/a-decade-after-being-rejected-by-yc/
        
         | senko wrote:
         | There are so many solid business ideas that take VC money, turn
         | out not to be unicorn potential, and crash and burn, where a
         | slower, sustainable growth might work just fine.
         | 
         | Gumroad is a famous example.
        
       | nightpool wrote:
       | I can't really comment too much on historical Wordpress politics
       | --given Matt's recent public meltdown I'm completely willing to
       | believe that he's continued to shoot Wordpress in the foot in
       | more obscure ways in the past--but the posturing here vs.
       | Wordpress really strikes me as someone who has gotten lucky and
       | has attributed that luck to skill instead.
       | 
       | What happens when Ghost gets popular enough to get their own "G
       | Engine" competing with with Ghost (Pro)? As Wordpress.com shows,
       | there's no serious moat for open source hosting. Either Ghost
       | devotes resources away from their open core and towards their
       | hosting platform, or they lose the competition for marketshare to
       | a company that _does_ devote those resources and then they have
       | no funding stream, aside from what G Engine deigns to give them
       | out of the grace of their own heart. And all of the platitudes
       | about voting or board seats and everything else don 't really
       | make one lick of difference if you don't have any funding to make
       | that happen, and you have to rely on pay-to-play funding from the
       | people who are _actually_ making money in the space, and let them
       | set your agenda.
       | 
       | So, Matt's behavior aside, I do think these issues are pretty
       | endemic to the idea of "open core" funding as a company (or
       | market) grows beyond a certain size. Unified non-profit or dual-
       | corporation structure (Mozilla Corporation vs Mozilla Foundation)
       | doesn't change the fundamental logic of "where does the money
       | come from?". I don't think Ghost is providing any new solutions
       | here--they've just gotten lucky / been small enough to not be
       | out-competed in their hosting niche yet.
        
         | troymc wrote:
         | 1) Many people or orgs who are aligned with Ghost and want it
         | to succeed long-term will be okay with paying a bit more for
         | hosting on Ghost(Pro); they might see the extra cost as paying
         | for the continued existence and development of their publishing
         | software.
         | 
         | 2) Not all foundations-behind-open-source-projects use revenues
         | from hosting as their sole source of funding. Notable examples
         | include the Blender Foundation and the Linux Foundation.
        
           | nightpool wrote:
           | Sure, I don't see where in my comment I imply this is a
           | problem for _all_ open source communities, just that it 's a
           | problem for the type of open source community John seems to
           | want Ghost to be (no intellectual property, making revenue
           | via providing services).
           | 
           | For #1, that is the kind of logic that works fine for the
           | early adopters, but frustrates and turns away the people who
           | just want e.g. a Substack that won't squeeze them for login
           | walls or a Wordpress that is easier to use. I've seen a lot
           | of non-technical people in that bucket turned away recently
           | by Ghost (Pro)'s opaque and confusing member-based hosting
           | costs. It makes it completely impractical to run a free email
           | newsletter, and plenty of other Ghost providers seem to have
           | this worked out. So all it takes is one of those competitors
           | breaking through to achieve name recognition and get a lucky
           | roll of the marketing dice to overtake Ghost in revenue. And
           | then they can fund their own fork and the Ghost community is
           | forced to agree to their development wishes or become
           | outpaced by their proprietary features. It's a pretty bad
           | place to be in.
        
           | pessimizer wrote:
           | > 1) Many people or orgs who are aligned with Ghost and want
           | it to succeed long-term will be okay with paying a bit more
           | for hosting on Ghost(Pro); they might see the extra cost as
           | paying for the continued existence and development of their
           | publishing software.
           | 
           | Or the number of customers who would pay an $X premium to
           | have "Ghost(Pro)" over another host (at the same features)
           | will be roughly equal to the number of people who would
           | spontaneously donate $X anyway. We have ample evidence that
           | affection isn't enough to keep FOSS financed unless the
           | developers are very visible and the ratio of developers to
           | users is very low.
        
         | zokier wrote:
         | > I don't think Ghost is providing any new solutions here--
         | they've just gotten lucky / been small enough to not be out-
         | competed in their hosting niche yet.
         | 
         | While I agree with most of your comment, I do want to point out
         | that intentionally targeting to be small/niche is a kinda
         | solution in itself. To me SourceHut is another good example of
         | how being small can be winning move. Being sustainable with <50
         | employees is far more manageable even if you face some
         | competition, than if you have >1000 employees.
        
           | nightpool wrote:
           | Fair! In this case though I meant small in terms of adoption
           | --it looks like there are some alternative Ghost hosting
           | providers, but none of them really have name-brand
           | recognition in the same way Ghost does, and even Ghost is one
           | small player in the "non-Wordpress subscription blog /
           | mailing list" space. But a lot of my comment comes from
           | watching the Redis / AWS Valkey split as well--even if Redis
           | stayed as a smaller team instead of trying to compete with
           | the hyperscalers, they'd still be stuck in the same catch-22
           | --watching their revenue dwindle to zero while AWS and GCP
           | competed on proprietary platform features.
        
         | anon7000 wrote:
         | Importantly, WordPress.com is not a predominant WP host! (Which
         | is part of why Matt is lashing out, I think.) Yes, it hosts a
         | huge number of small sites, many for free, but Automattic's
         | revenue comes from a _lot_ of products. (Including e-commerce
         | and enterprise.) There are a large number of healthy WordPress
         | hosts. https://w3techs.com/technologies/overview/web_hosting
         | 
         | Getting outcompeted is less of a bad thing as you make it out
         | to be. Ghost is clearly not trying to be the most popular
         | option. They only need to make just enough to survive and pay
         | everyone. That is way easier than trying to grow 30% YoY for a
         | long time. Capitalists and founders talk about how if you're
         | not growing, your product could be better because people could
         | like it even more. Who gives a shit if profit isn't your MO?
         | 
         | Literally all they have to do is avoid a scenario where _no
         | one_ wants to use them. If a competitor becomes the de facto
         | choice and they start loosing customers, they can still make
         | adjustments. That is a lot easier than trying to be a high-
         | growth company.
        
       | saaaaaam wrote:
       | I shifted a large 20+ year news publication from Wordpress to
       | ghost about 18 months ago - and opted to use Ghost(Pro)
       | 
       | It's been a dream. The core product for that site is a daily
       | newsletter. On ghost it gets higher opens rates and more
       | engagement than via the previous email backend. Build is far
       | simpler too.
       | 
       | The clincher for me for Ghost(Pro) is that if you use your own
       | hosted version of Ghost you need to plug into something else for
       | sending email newsletters - which for the number of subscribers
       | in this instance for a daily newsletter plus weekly wrap-up would
       | cost a fortune. With Ghost(Pro) it's all wrapped in. And their
       | support is superb.
        
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       (page generated 2024-10-31 23:00 UTC)