[HN Gopher] Using Survival Analysis to estimate product lifetime
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Using Survival Analysis to estimate product lifetime
Author : sebg
Score : 13 points
Date : 2024-10-28 09:38 UTC (2 days ago)
(HTM) web link (jumpdata.co.uk)
(TXT) w3m dump (jumpdata.co.uk)
| jph wrote:
| Good intro to KM survival stats. I appreciate the author
| highlighting the limitations of KM due to non-parametric results
| because of discrete/binned data, such as "number of machines that
| failed per month".
|
| IMHO it's well worth also knowing about parametric results using
| continuous data, especially if you're involved in tech products,
| because tech product telemetry can often provide individual
| timestamps, such as "this specific phone worked at $timestamp and
| didn't work after".
|
| A good place to start for the continuous approach is with the
| Weibull distribution:
| https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Weibull_distribution
| usgroup wrote:
| This is hard to do for products when they change over time. Eg if
| a product is upgraded and repaired, and if it has different
| versions and so on, it's no longer a static distribution, and
| things get complicated.
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