[HN Gopher] Dramatic drop in marijuana use among U.S. youth over...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Dramatic drop in marijuana use among U.S. youth over a decade
        
       Author : geox
       Score  : 83 points
       Date   : 2024-10-28 14:11 UTC (8 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.fau.edu)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.fau.edu)
        
       | skyyler wrote:
       | >"In the U.S. the current landscape of marijuana legalization in
       | adults adds a complex layer to the issues of adolescent marijuana
       | use. As more states continue to legalize recreational marijuana,
       | the accessibility and perceived normalcy of the drug may
       | increase, particularly for adolescents who may view its legal
       | status as an indication of safety or acceptability," said Charles
       | H. Hennekens, M.D.
       | 
       | Interesting to read this in an article about how marijuana use
       | has gone down in the time since legalization efforts have started
       | to see success. It almost seems comically out of touch.
        
         | anovikov wrote:
         | So you think that the research is wrong?
         | 
         | I see it as very plausible. Kids like to break rules and long
         | for forbidden fruits. When weed is no longer forbidden, they
         | have no interest in it just as they see little interest in
         | getting drunk.
        
           | theboogieman wrote:
           | Add the fact that, if legal marijuana is priced low enough to
           | make black market dealers less common, the people selling the
           | marijuana will now be forced to only sell to people 21+.
           | 
           | I'm not saying that this _is_ the case as legal recreational
           | marijuana sale prices in many legal states are high enough
           | (due to taxes or artificial supply dampening due to
           | restricting who can grow it and how much) to justify the
           | existence of a black market, but _if_ that was the case, I'd
           | expect a drop off in youth usage.
        
             | alephnerd wrote:
             | I think this overstates the interest in drugs among
             | Zillenials and Gen Z.
             | 
             | Most people in our cohort tend to follow a "you do you"
             | philosophy that cuts both ways - if you choose to or choose
             | not to partake in marijuana or alcohol, that's your choice.
             | 
             | Stuff like "marijuana" or "alcohol" isn't viewed as cool or
             | uncool, it's just viewed as a yet another consumable like
             | coffee or sugar.
             | 
             | Same way some people choose to cut down on coffee and
             | others are coffee fiends, it's similar with booze and weed.
             | 
             | Personally, I find that older generations have an
             | unhealthily polarized view on weed and alcohol consumption
             | - they are split between the "weed cures everything" and
             | "weed is the devil's lettuce" camps.
             | 
             | Heck, even this thread has tinges of judgement about how
             | younger generations just don't care one way or the other
             | about weed as if weed consumption is a core part of being
             | young.
        
               | graypegg wrote:
               | I guess I'm a zillenial, born 1998. I distinctly remember
               | a time in highschool where I saw vaping (the flavoured
               | cartridge kind) shift from cool, to just some meaningless
               | detail about someone. I totally think this shift has
               | stuck. You're 100% right in comparing weed in this
               | context to coffee, that exact same pattern happened to
               | vaping too.
               | 
               | It's not like there WASN'T drinking, vaping, and weed.
               | Just no one is pushing it on you. The pushing is a lot
               | more focused on social (and online) things now. But
               | that's a different topic.
               | 
               | I'm on board for it being a good thing. The kids are
               | alright eh?
        
               | alephnerd wrote:
               | > It's not like there WASN'T drinking, vaping, and weed.
               | Just no one is pushing it on you. The pushing is a lot
               | more focused on social (and online) things now. But
               | that's a different topic.
               | 
               | Exactly!
               | 
               | > I'm on board for it being a good thing. The kids are
               | alright eh?
               | 
               | That's my opinion as well, but I'm part of the Zillenial
               | cohort as well so I'm biased.
        
             | potato3732842 wrote:
             | >if legal marijuana is priced low enough to make black
             | market dealers less common,
             | 
             | It never is. The overhead from running a lawful business is
             | way higher even before you start accounting for all the
             | weed specific cost of compliance stuff.
        
               | standardUser wrote:
               | It varies from state to state, but legal prices are
               | comparable to black market prices in a lot of places. And
               | the selection available in legal markets is beyond
               | compare.
        
               | mezzie2 wrote:
               | Oh, it can be.
               | 
               | I live in MI and weed is really, really cheap here. I
               | don't smoke, but I partake in edibles (I have MS and
               | nerve pain that meds can't do much about). I can get
               | 2000mg of edibles for 40 bucks. And that's without price
               | comparing: That's just going to the closest dispensary
               | near my house. And lots of places do penny/free joints
               | with a very low/no minimum purchase.
        
               | marssaxman wrote:
               | That's not the case here in Washington state: legal weed
               | is significantly cheaper than the black-market ever was,
               | unless you want some high-end specialty bud you most
               | likely couldn't have gotten at all back then.
        
               | kredd wrote:
               | We've had legal marijuana since 2018 up here in Canada,
               | and from the statistics it looks like the market has
               | almost caught up. The closest comparison I can think of
               | is piracy and beginning of streaming wars (like Spotify
               | and Netflix). Sure piracy is free, but a significant
               | chunk of people started subbing for the services because
               | of the convenience. If you'll only save about $5 per
               | purchase, but have to get cash, arrange everything and
               | etc., that might be just enough friction for you to just
               | go to one of the billion stores nearby.
        
               | inglor_cz wrote:
               | A conspicuous absence of black market for other herbal
               | products such as tea and cilantro indicates that the edge
               | of the black market over the lawful businesses isn't that
               | great, if extant at all.
        
           | skyyler wrote:
           | >So you think that the research is wrong?
           | 
           | I think a poorly designed study can confirm pre-existing
           | biases instead of actually test for anything.
           | 
           | Stating that "research suggests" something doesn't actually
           | mean much to me anymore.
           | 
           | I'd love to know what research suggests that "marijuana
           | legalization in adults can influence adolescent behavior
           | through their perceptions of less risk as well as increased
           | availability, both of which may impede efforts to reduce
           | adolescent use." The numbers this article is reporting seem
           | to suggest the opposite.
        
             | StackRanker3000 wrote:
             | I think the other person just mistook your point and
             | thought that you were implying that marijuana use _hasn't_
             | actually gone down.
        
           | s1artibartfast wrote:
           | I suspect the research is reasonably accurate, but you will
           | always have someone voicing the position of safyism, caution,
           | and whataboutism.
        
           | kstrauser wrote:
           | I think there's a bit more at play. Let's contrast with
           | buying hard drugs like meth. If you want to buy meth, you
           | have to figure out how to get in contact with the sorts of
           | people who'll be holding it. That means hanging out where
           | they hang out and blending in to the point they trust you. By
           | the time you've done all that, you've got some sunk costs
           | invested in making connections with drug dealers. You're kind
           | of bought into the whole ecosystem.
           | 
           | In places where weed is legal, you can go into a store, buy
           | some, try it, and if you decide it's not for you, just don't
           | do it again. I don't use weed, but yesterday I walked into a
           | liquor store to buy a stout beer I like. I didn't have to
           | hang out and party with the clerk to get her to trust me
           | enough to sell me my beer. I gave her some money, she handed
           | me a shopping bag, and that's the end of it. That's what it's
           | like buying weed from a dispensary now.
           | 
           | TL;DR if you don't have to hang out with drug dealers to buy
           | drugs, you might be less inclined to buy more stuff from drug
           | dealers.
        
             | dfxm12 wrote:
             | To add, dealers aren't referred to as "pushers" for no
             | reason, either.
        
               | kstrauser wrote:
               | Good point. No one at a beer store has ever tried to talk
               | me into buying more than I wanted, except maybe boredly
               | pointing to some display and saying "we have X on sale if
               | you want some."
        
             | throwup238 wrote:
             | _> By the time you 've done all that, you've got some sunk
             | costs invested in making connections with drug dealers.
             | You're kind of bought into the whole ecosystem._
             | 
             | Shortcut: go the biggest hospital near you and find the
             | fast food joint nearest the ER entrance. The drug users
             | discharged after OD treatment will gather there and the
             | dealers find then.
        
               | kstrauser wrote:
               | You know, that's the kind of thing that seems perfectly
               | obvious once you've pointed it out, but it wouldn't have
               | occurred to me.
        
               | throwup238 wrote:
               | Yeah, I only know because I was the emergency contact for
               | a close friend who overdosed. When picking him up I asked
               | the nurse about a cheap place to eat afterwards and she
               | warned me to stay away from the closest fast food joints
               | lest he find a way to relapse immediately.
        
           | pizza234 wrote:
           | > When weed is no longer forbidden, they have no interest in
           | it just as they see little interest in getting drunk.
           | 
           | I believe drugs (incl. alcohool) are a considerably more
           | complex habits.
           | 
           | Getting intoxicated have socially desirable outcomes (if one
           | ignores the downsides), unrelated to unavailability. Some
           | drugs like weed can also be part of rituals (e.g. "meeting
           | and getting stoned").
        
           | dec0dedab0de wrote:
           | I think it's because there are less illegal weed dealers.
           | Which means there are less people willing to sell to kids.
           | Basically making it legal has made it harder for kids to get.
        
             | dartos wrote:
             | Vapes are edge and easy enough to get.
             | 
             | Weed is popular among millennials, which are now the
             | "cringe" generation so there's that as well.
             | 
             | Weed just isn't as cool as it was before.
        
               | throaway89 wrote:
               | Yup. Hasn't been cool in Canada since legalization, but a
               | lot of milennials still cling to it
        
               | dingnuts wrote:
               | weird implication that millennials only did it originally
               | out of a desire to be cool, and are still doing it "to be
               | cool"
               | 
               | some people just like it more than alcohol, wtf
        
               | dartos wrote:
               | I like it more than alcohol, but as a teenager it was
               | definitely just to be cool.
        
             | tmn wrote:
             | It is not hard at all to find a 21 year old to buy some
             | legally and pass it on for a small tip.
        
           | tmn wrote:
           | Weed and alcohol remain forbidden due to age restrictions.
           | But anecdotally, I grew up in the 90's and 00's. When weed
           | was outright illegal and alcohol was as it currently is.
           | There was plenty of desire to get drunk among minors. Weed
           | had some but very little presence in my area. Today the weed
           | presence is much more on par with alcohol among highschoolers
           | (or so I'm told) where I'm from.
        
           | smeej wrote:
           | My parents actually used this as a strategy when my sister
           | and I were teens 20+ years ago.
           | 
           | They casually offered that, as children of the '70s, there
           | really weren't any drugs they hadn't tried, so if I was
           | interested in any, I could just let them know and they'd get
           | them and we could do them together.
           | 
           | Made it seem as uncool as humanly possible, so I never tried.
           | 
           | By the time our youngest brother was a teen, they'd gotten
           | overconfident in their success and never made the offer to
           | him. He eventually quit using, but it took 12 steps and a lot
           | of time and effort my sister and I were spared!
        
           | rozap wrote:
           | Or it's legitimately harder to get. In high school we used to
           | smoke weed because it was easy to get (friendly local
           | neighborhood dealer didn't check ID) and very rarely drank
           | alcohol because it was tricky to find.
        
         | onlyrealcuzzo wrote:
         | This is not a new trend: https://usafacts.org/articles/is-teen-
         | drug-and-alcohol-use-d...
         | 
         | Alcohol and other drug use, teen pregnancy, and sex in general
         | have been declining in teens in the West for more than a
         | decade.
        
           | Der_Einzige wrote:
           | Coincides with the steep rise of incels and men-are-from-
           | mars, women-are-from-venus genderfication of the political
           | parties. Also Coincides with stuff like men getting comically
           | left behind by the education system.
           | 
           | I'd rather deal with a teen pregnancy epidemic than the
           | current situation of rising authoritarianism, isolationism,
           | and reactionary turn that we are seeing from the youth of
           | today.
        
             | standardUser wrote:
             | > I'd rather deal with a teen pregnancy epidemic than the
             | current situation of rising authoritarianism, isolationism,
             | and reactionary turn that we are seeing from the youth of
             | today.
             | 
             | You mean the _male_ youth of today.
        
               | NemoNobody wrote:
               | Ok, I understand your point but let's be real for a
               | minute and just acknowledge that the worse situation that
               | you can get. I'd rather hear about how what is happening
               | with young men today was happening with young women than
               | men - not that that would be better but it would be less
               | dangerous.
               | 
               | Young men that are disenfranchised from their society and
               | have little to live for are a primary metric political
               | scientists use to measure the stability of country.
               | Historically speaking, once a society gets too many men
               | like that, the society ends.
               | 
               | This isn't a battle of the sexes and women do not win bc
               | of what has happened with men.
        
               | standardUser wrote:
               | Historically speaking, we have never seen a society where
               | women have more education, wealth and status than men.
               | This is uncharted territory. Not that I don't fear the
               | repercussions of having the bottom 50% of men desperate
               | and disenfranchised. But those bottom 50% of men don't
               | guarantee societal collapse because they're not then ones
               | propping it up, women are.
               | 
               | The question might be, what will women and higher status
               | men do about the problems caused by the bottom half men?
        
               | kwere wrote:
               | record amount of women are set to be single and childless
               | past the fertility window, the most reasonable cause is a
               | "lack of eligible bachelors"[0] in similar or better
               | socioeconomic conditions.
               | 
               | Record amounts of people will never reproduce creating a
               | deep demographic imbalance, bankrupting most social
               | programs.
               | 
               | [0]https://www.medicaldaily.com/egg-freezing-rises-among-
               | gradua...
        
               | standardUser wrote:
               | Sure, and that's not ideal for women, but it's also not
               | stopping their dramatic rise in education, wealth and
               | status.
               | 
               | As for bankrupting the social safety net, that's a real
               | concern, but it's not unavoidable. We've already seen
               | into the future in places like East Asia and Western
               | Europe. We've got a ways to go in the US before our
               | fertility rates match theirs, and they're still holding
               | the line. Plus, it's a problem that America is uniquely
               | prepared to handle as a nation of immigrants. Once the
               | hardcore nativist movement has finishing blowing its wad.
        
               | consteval wrote:
               | From my perspective as an outsider looking in (that
               | meaning, I have no horse in heterosexual dynamics), the
               | problem is we've had no progressive movements for men. At
               | best, men have gotten whatever crumbs have fallen through
               | the proverbial car seat crack of the vehicle of feminism.
               | 
               | Largely there's only a few different ways to be a
               | successful man. Even small deviations from the norm are
               | met with ruler whips - and I don't just mean from other
               | men. Modern women are incredibly cruel in the way they
               | view non-conforming men.
               | 
               | These limitations used to be superpowers. If you could
               | perform an adequate display of masculinity, you were
               | granted the world. This is no longer the case, which is a
               | good thing. But the expectation still exists and is still
               | enforced with an iron-fist, just without the riches.
               | 
               | I mean, most heterosexual men I've met wouldn't even dare
               | of so much as painting their nails. Let alone opening up
               | their mind. How can we expect these people to follow
               | along with the train of progressivism when none of it is
               | for them? How can we expect them to leave gender roles
               | behind when they know, and understand, there is only
               | failure and heartache for them if they leave theirs's
               | behind?
        
               | mplewis wrote:
               | Yeah, I feel so sorry for the men who lose their status
               | when they leave behind patriarchy. Won't someone think of
               | the poor men. :eyeroll:
        
               | consteval wrote:
               | You misunderstand. This is precisely the mindset that
               | leave these men in a difficult position.
               | 
               | They're forced to perform an adequate display of
               | masculinity to please individuals such as yourself,
               | because the moment they don't they get this sort of
               | treatment. But performing such masculinity doesn't grant
               | them what it used to before. So, one would think they
               | would leave it behind!
               | 
               | But they don't, because you don't welcome it. They have
               | nowhere to go. Certainly, other men won't take them into
               | their communities. And women won't either, because such
               | men are weak and not worth their breath. So where do they
               | end up if they choose that path?
               | 
               | So naturally they don't choose that path.
               | 
               | The problem here is that they can't "leave behind
               | patriarchy". That translates into dying alone still. The
               | reality is toxic masculinity is molded not just by men,
               | but by women. Mothers, sisters, classmates. From the
               | moment they leave the womb, boys understand there are
               | strict rules they must conform to.
               | 
               | Enforcing these rules, which you're unintentionally doing
               | with this sort of "boohoo" mentality, is part of the
               | reason we're in the mess. Meaning, you yourself are
               | upholding patriarchy in ways you might not understand.
               | 
               | Part of deconstructing toxic masculinity and giving men a
               | fighting chance in a progressive world is being open to
               | listening to them and giving them the space for
               | vulnerability. You can't do that when you're hell-bent on
               | never listening. When in such a position, men and young
               | boys are set up for failure. They can't perform to a
               | level that is deemed sufficient for progressivism, but
               | they also can't perform for a level that is deemed
               | sufficient for women and other men.
               | 
               | Only a select few, who have mastered the art of perfectly
               | performing outward masculinity while selectively dropping
               | little kernels of progressivism, succeed.
               | 
               | The solution is a modern progressive movement for men,
               | but there's huge pushback to this idea. Even the notion
               | men don't have to conform to even surface-level gender
               | roles, like the clothes they wear, is met with huge
               | uproar from men and women.
               | 
               | I mean, just ask yourself: do you think the average
               | progressive woman would even humor dating a heterosexual
               | man who does drag? Do you think the average progressive
               | woman would even humor dating a heterosexual man who
               | splits the bill?
               | 
               | The answer is a resounding no. Whatever little bits of
               | progressivism men have gotten are pretty much just side-
               | effects from feminism and gay liberation. But just side-
               | effects. Men still can't act feminine, and they certainly
               | can't do anything that might get them perceived as gay.
               | 
               | I mean, I find another placeholder for fa*got online just
               | about every month. Heterosexual men are sorely lacking in
               | progressivist movements that help them and their self-
               | identity.
        
               | standardUser wrote:
               | > The solution is a modern progressive movement for men
               | 
               | Do you have thoughts on what this should/could look like?
        
               | consteval wrote:
               | I think mental healthcare might be a good place to start.
               | Campaigns specifically targeting men's mental health,
               | particularly more "embarrassing" ones like depression and
               | anxiety. Show men who can't bring themselves to brush
               | their teeth, show men sitting in their car with a
               | revolver in their hands. That's a harsh reality that is
               | completely silent, I think.
               | 
               | I think we need to come to terms with men being in
               | positions of abject "weakness" - or what we currently
               | perceive as weakness. And we do that through visibility.
               | Through PSAs, television shows, movies.
               | 
               | I also think clothing would be a good place to start,
               | just because it's so immediately obvious and visible. Get
               | protests allowing men to wear skirts at work, and make it
               | clear they're still men. I don't think that will fix
               | anything really, but I think it could force the issue to
               | be looked at.
        
               | DrPimienta wrote:
               | Women have made up the majority of college graduates for
               | the past 5 decades. And yet the majority of college
               | scholarships are for women. If it were the other way
               | around, you'd say this is unfair. There are job quotas
               | for women, not men. Women make up the majority of
               | government benefit receivers.
               | 
               | Yes, if you aren't going to care about a disenfranchised
               | minority, you should expect them to be angry.
        
               | standardUser wrote:
               | Men used to have one path and it came with some near-
               | guaranteed value and status. Now, men have to choose from
               | two paths, and neither one has that same level of
               | guarantee. That's a problem in an of itself because it
               | leads to a psychology of grievance. And it's not
               | imagined! Men do indeed have a worse deal than they used
               | to by a ton of metrics.
               | 
               | But once men stop crying about what was, they do have a
               | choice. And there are new sets of problems and benefits
               | that come with those choices. Choosing the traditional
               | side is to pick the losing side, but that varies by
               | geography. Not only does it still come with a lot of
               | benefits in some places, but it's kind of the only viable
               | option in some places. The problem is that society can no
               | longer accommodate 80-90% of men in those situations
               | choosing the traditional path. Maybe more like half. So
               | we end up with a lot of losers. Sad, angry, strong, well-
               | armed losers.
               | 
               | But the other path IS viable. You can move to [name any
               | big city], get an education, get a decent job, paint your
               | nails, treat women nicely and, if you ask me, have better
               | relationships, better sex, better lives than were ever
               | available to most men in the past.
        
               | consteval wrote:
               | > But the other path IS viable. You can move to [name any
               | big city], get an education, get a decent job, paint your
               | nails, treat women nicely and, if you ask me, have better
               | relationships, better sex, better lives than were ever
               | available to most men in the past.
               | 
               | I agree this is viable, but you have to understand that
               | for heterosexual men they face a lot of day-to-day
               | backlashes for this. You have to understand the vast
               | majority of women will not consider a relationship with
               | them. And they will suffer in their career as well. Lack
               | of masculinity, or rather perceived masculinity, in men
               | means lack of respect across the board.
               | 
               | Because progressivism has not focused on that, so we're
               | still dealing with many decades old understanding of
               | masculinity. Even extremely surface-level reimagining,
               | such as painting nails, is fringe. And I think that
               | really demonstrates the problem.
               | 
               | I mean, forget emotional intelligence or vulnerability.
               | We're battling black nail polish. We haven't even begun
               | to take a crack at the simplest, most surface level
               | stuff. Let alone the deeper stuff.
               | 
               | I said this in another comment, but modern heterosexual
               | men are in a strange position where they have to perfect
               | the art of performing masculinity in most situations, and
               | then leaving hints of progressivism where other's find it
               | most convenient.
               | 
               | Ultimately, even the most progressive woman is looking
               | for a man who is somewhat kind and maybe he can get away
               | with painting his nails. But he must still be masculine,
               | he must not cry very much if ever, and he must always be
               | a low level of emotional labor. Women want to deal with
               | things like grappling with the shame of dating a man who
               | paints his nails and the social repercussions of that,
               | they don't also have the bandwidth to deal with, say,
               | depression. That's step 100, we're still getting past
               | step 1.
        
               | skyyler wrote:
               | > Women want to deal with things like grappling with the
               | shame of dating a man who paints his nails and the social
               | repercussions of that, they don't also have the bandwidth
               | to deal with, say, depression.
               | 
               | When you say "women" here, do you mean yourself? Do you
               | mean the women you have interacted with in the past? Do
               | you mean all women, everywhere? How do you know how they
               | feel about this?
        
               | consteval wrote:
               | This is all purely anecdotal as I've noted at the
               | beginning, because there's no studies on this or anyone
               | looking into this at all.
               | 
               | I don't mean myself, I mean the heterosexual women and
               | men I know. I'm gay, almost all my friends are women and
               | it's just what I've observed.
               | 
               | And, to be clear, I'm not blaming women. Because
               | relationships, too, are a performance.
               | 
               | This part is really important:
               | 
               | > Women want to deal with things like grappling with the
               | shame of dating a man who paints his nails and the social
               | repercussions of that
               | 
               | It's not just men who lose respect when masculinity isn't
               | performed to a high enough standard, women associated
               | with them lose respect too. Women have a lot to deal
               | with, it's unreasonable for them to also take on
               | additional emotional burden when they already have to
               | manage the appearance of their relationship to outsiders.
               | 
               | As for how I know how they "feel" - well, I don't. But I
               | see their actions and what they choose to tell me. From
               | what I've seen, it's extremely risky for heterosexual men
               | to be vulnerable in their relationships. The odds are
               | incredibly high that will come back to bite them, often
               | immediately, sometimes much later. And, women seem very
               | hesitant to talk about any perceived feminine traits in
               | the men they date. Typically, they do the opposite,
               | almost talk them up. I think there's some perception
               | management going on.
        
               | standardUser wrote:
               | I really appreciate your perspectives on this. This is
               | possibly the most important conversation of the current
               | era and, like you've expressed, we've barely begun to
               | have it.
               | 
               | The part that strikes me the most is the idea that women
               | aren't ready to accept new gender norms among men. We're
               | definitely in a transition era where expectations are out
               | of whack. I do think a lot of women want an unrealistic
               | blend of traditional masculinity with just the right
               | types and amounts of femininity. And they are _not_
               | finding it very often.
               | 
               | This is one of several recent surveys that show a sharp
               | and rapid turn away from traditional gender and
               | sexuality: https://news.gallup.com/poll/611864/lgbtq-
               | identification.asp...
               | 
               | The trend is obvious in Millennials and then it
               | absolutely skyrockets among Gen Z. More than a quarter of
               | Gen Z women are rejecting traditional straightness in one
               | capacity or another. I imagine many more have
               | perspectives that are far more open than the traditional
               | norm, even if doesn't change how they identify. I think
               | that _these_ women are capable of accepting a new form of
               | masculinity in their partners. I think they are 10 steps
               | ahead and they create a huge opportunity for men to
               | embrace their gender in different ways without being
               | ostracized. In fact, I think men will be rewarded, and
               | the allure of those rewards will accelerate male
               | rejection of traditional masculinity.
               | 
               | Not to get too personal, but in my hyper-progressive
               | bubble of NYC, I see this exact dynamic playing out
               | amongst my younger friends in their late 20's to late
               | 30's. And they aren't even Gen Z. I like to think it's a
               | preview of the large trends to come.
        
               | consteval wrote:
               | I 100% agree things are getting better and only getting
               | better. It's just a very slow change, because I think
               | those young people have to grapple with the people who
               | are raising them and who they respect.
               | 
               | But - I will say in terms of sexuality among women - it's
               | not all rainbows (ha). The majority of bisexual women I
               | know would not date bisexual men, and they make it known.
               | The "gap" in progressivism exists there too, just much
               | less. Meaning, a lot of bisexual women are willing to
               | accept all kinds of women and have a self-expression of
               | wide variety, but many still look for what they deem to
               | be a traditional, heterosexual man (when they are dating
               | men).
               | 
               | It's complicated and then that really gets into a more
               | intersectional issue because the elephant in the room is
               | there's many strings connecting sexuality to masculinity.
               | I think, in general, there's less genderized implications
               | for behavior for women who are bisexual than there are
               | for men who are bisexual. Being a bisexual man just comes
               | with much more assumptions and baggage about identity in
               | terms of masculinity/femininity that I don't really see
               | for bisexuality in women. You can sort of see this in
               | statistics, where bisexual women self-identify
               | significantly more than bisexual men.
               | 
               | But bright side: this is improving, too. I see a lot less
               | men hiding their bisexuality these days than I saw 10
               | years ago.
        
               | magospietato wrote:
               | Unfortunately women's successes are a side issue here.
               | 
               | Disenfranchised men are in a chaotic state right now, but
               | it's only going to take one decently charismatic leader
               | to coerce them into a globally connected league of
               | brownshirts.
        
               | standardUser wrote:
               | Shitty men have never had to contend with an alliance of
               | empowered women and the ~30% of men who aren't
               | susceptible to a cultish victim mentality.
        
               | mensetmanusman wrote:
               | Societal collapse looks a lot more like the powerlines
               | not being fixed then advertising dollars being
               | inefficiently spent.
        
               | standardUser wrote:
               | Is the implication that we need big, strong men to do
               | big, strong man work? Because that era already has one
               | foot out the door.
        
               | DrPimienta wrote:
               | You have electricity because of men. You have running
               | water because of men. You have sewage and plumbing
               | because of men. You have internet because of men. It's
               | not women smashing apart concrete and installing cables
               | and pipes, it's men. Most women I know struggle to pour
               | themselves a drink from a newly open gallon jug. You are
               | a fool if you believe a team of women can go out in a
               | hurricane and replace powerlines at anywhere near the
               | same rate that a team of men can.
        
               | standardUser wrote:
               | Machines have already supplanted male strength in most of
               | the ways it used to be indispensable. Do you see that
               | trend reversing any time soon? Any serious observer can
               | only see that trend accelerating, rapidly.
               | 
               | And no one is calling for an end to men. Are you kidding
               | me?? But pretending that men's size and strength is some
               | irreplaceable virtue is laughable.
        
               | DrPimienta wrote:
               | Women are not propping up society. The majority of your
               | food was grown by men. The majority of your food was
               | transported across the country by men. Your home
               | (apartment) was built by men. The building you work in
               | was built by men. Your water purification, your power
               | generation, your internet infrastructure, all done by
               | men.
               | 
               | If the next generation of men feels that working these
               | jobs will never afford them the ability to buy a house,
               | start a family, and retire, then don't expect these jobs
               | to be filled by women, because women are neither willing
               | nor capable of doing them in the vast majority of
               | instances.
        
               | kwere wrote:
               | Authoritarianism is present in a lot of postmodern
               | "leftist" movements that captivate younger women votes.
               | it's justified with "fig leaves" reasons like curtailing
               | free speech to contain hate speech, limiting liberties in
               | the name of safety, Coercing personal behavior for
               | greater causes like climate change, giving privileges to
               | certain groups in the name of "penitence to ancestral
               | sins", etc....
               | 
               | Isolationism is an issue that is hurting women too, way
               | less than males as women tend to have stronger social
               | networks
               | 
               | While at scale there isnt a trend of Reactionism, it
               | looks that there is a greater political polarization and
               | advocacy that compared to past generations hinders
               | relations between ideologically different/incompatible
               | groups
        
               | standardUser wrote:
               | Ignoring the more irritating leftists for a moment, most
               | of the left is grappling with finding solutions to real
               | problems. It's not "fuck you, change your life to stop
               | global warming". It's "oh shit, we need to stop global
               | warming and dramatic actions are needed. What do we do?".
               | They are questions in need of answers, and no one is
               | going to like all of the answers. No one ever does. Some
               | answers may be authoritarian, but it's not a desire for
               | authoritarianism driving these ideologies, it's a desire
               | for solutions and too many people have a blind eye to the
               | consequences of their proposed solutions.
               | 
               | Maybe that's too forgiving of a take, but I think you're
               | take is too accusatory.
               | 
               | The right just openly supports authoritarianism for
               | authoritarianism's sake.
        
             | tpm wrote:
             | It would be wrong to ascribe this to the politics, it's the
             | change in the physical and social reality that enabled this
             | situation, off which some politicians are feeding their
             | movements.
             | 
             | Young men might not be as socially adept, which matters
             | more now than it did before. And that creates a lot of
             | undesirable side effects. But politics didn't create this
             | situation.
        
               | DrPimienta wrote:
               | Politics had a large part in creating this situation.
               | Women have made up the majority of college graduates for
               | about half a century now. And yet we still hear that we
               | need more women in college, and in fact there are far
               | more times as many college scholarships for women as for
               | men.
               | 
               | Not to mention that women make up the majority of
               | government benefit recipients, and piles of other
               | examples. This entire time, politicians have made lots of
               | gains from supporting women. Where is the support for
               | men?
        
           | pixelpoet wrote:
           | > Alcohol and other drug use
           | 
           | Seems like a small thing but it's really not: I appreciate
           | your use of "alcohol _and other_ drugs "; the phrase you'll
           | hear 99% of the time is "drugs and alcohol", where alcohol
           | tries to avoid being lotted in with people using _drugs they
           | don 't like_.
           | 
           | Do you know many people prone to beating their wives after
           | smoking a joint? Yeah, nevermind any of that I guess.
           | Meanwhile, Singapore will gladly imprison or execute you for
           | possession of cannabis[0], but as usual alcohol gets a free
           | pass. Absolute lunacy, complete lack of logical thinking
           | capacity.
           | 
           | From my German point of view, our nation has plenty of energy
           | to protest what's going on in Haiti or Syria etc, and while
           | I'm not saying those issues aren't important, I want to draw
           | attention to how Singapore in particular somehow gets a pass
           | for _literal state-sponsored murder for smoking a joint
           | instead of drinking a beer_. It 's absolutely no mystery why
           | this exception exists: Singapore is rich.
           | 
           | [0] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx251p55le8o
        
             | s1artibartfast wrote:
             | One can have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of alcohol
             | independent of its grouping with other drugs.
             | 
             | Alcohol doesn't get a pass _because_ is it separated. Seems
             | like you are placing excessive meaning on the distinction.
        
               | pixelpoet wrote:
               | The phrase "drugs and alcohol" (used 100-eps% of the
               | time) in common speech implies a separation of alcohol
               | from "drugs", the latter being a worse category.
               | 
               | This "distinction" is like saying "meat and beef", i.e.
               | no distinction at all. I'm mostly preaching to the formal
               | system choir on HN, I just don't think I'm being out
               | there saying the phrase "drugs and alcohol" is no
               | accident in trying to distance alcohol from general drug
               | use. The name Marijuana itself was deliberately made up
               | to have negative connotations [0]:
               | 
               | > The use of "marihuana" in American English increased
               | dramatically in the 1930s, when it was preferred as a
               | "foreign-sounding name" to stigmatize it during debates
               | on the drug's use.[12] [13] The word was codified into
               | law and became part of common American English with the
               | passing of the Marihuana Tax Act of 1937.
               | 
               | [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marijuana_(word)
        
               | EvanAnderson wrote:
               | > The phrase "drugs and alcohol" (used 100-eps% of the
               | time) in common speech implies a separation of alcohol
               | from "drugs", the latter being a worse category.
               | 
               | I appreciate you posting this (even if it is terminology
               | nitpick). The social connotations associated w/ verbally
               | separating alcohol from other drugs hadn't occurred to
               | me. I'm going to try to use this phrasing in the future.
        
               | Tade0 wrote:
               | The issue with alcohol is that it's present in a lot of
               | foods in concentrations suffient to cause an effect. Same
               | goes for fermented fruit. Additionally even today it
               | serves as a preservative and solvent. You cannot
               | meaningfully eliminate it from use.
               | 
               | Meanwhile drugs were always understood as something
               | produced for the specific purpose of getting high.
               | 
               | There's a distinction because these are in fact different
               | things.
        
               | s1artibartfast wrote:
               | Like I said above, Im not arguing that alcohol isnt a
               | drug, just that I think you are making way to big of a
               | deal out of the phrasing.
               | 
               | Alcohol isnt viewed more favorable _because_ it is held
               | apart. It is held apart because it is viewed more
               | favorably.
               | 
               | It is a distinction stemming from real world practice.
               | You wont fail a drug test at work and be fired due to
               | alcohol. You wont get shunned and kicked out thanksgiving
               | for having a glass of wine.
               | 
               | One can argue that people should take alcohol more
               | seriously, but coming at it from a semantic rationale
               | seems silly.
        
               | serf wrote:
               | >It is a distinction stemming from real world practice.
               | You wont fail a drug test at work and be fired due to
               | alcohol. You wont get shunned and kicked out thanksgiving
               | for having a glass of wine.
               | 
               | it doesn't really work like that in practice though -
               | there are plenty of 'drugs' that won't ruin your life or
               | social-status, and they're not all listed separately like
               | alcohol.
               | 
               | I'm a firm believer that the reason the linguistics that
               | we now use came about was due to the legalities of the
               | substances involved and the market action. Alcohol is big
               | business, and legal -- so it deserves a distinction.
               | That's about the singular distinction. The market was
               | allowed to push phrases into the public purview, and
               | luckily for them the phrases stuck.
               | 
               | During western prohibition it (alcohol) was called
               | 'poison' or 'narcotic', or 'intoxicant' in the
               | propaganda.
               | 
               | The google ngrams viewer verifies this suspicion; the
               | phrase ' drugs and alcohol ' wasn't in (real) use until
               | much later in American history.[0]
               | 
               | [0]: https://books.google.com/ngrams/graph?content=drugs+
               | and+alco...
        
             | The_Colonel wrote:
             | > Seems like a small thing but it's really not: I
             | appreciate your use of "alcohol and other drugs"; the
             | phrase you'll hear 99% of the time is "drugs and alcohol",
             | where alcohol tries to avoid being lotted in with people
             | using drugs they don't like.
             | 
             | "drugs" often means illegal drugs in colloquial use while
             | alcohol is legal in most places, so the distinction has a
             | use.
             | 
             | > I want to draw attention to how Singapore in particular
             | somehow gets a pass for literal state-sponsored murder for
             | smoking a joint instead of drinking a beer.
             | 
             | I wonder what's your motivation for such an extreme
             | exaggeration. The article you linked quite clearly states
             | that the "punishment" for consuming is a 6 months
             | rehibilation which, while quite harsh, is very far from
             | your claim of death penalty. You need to possess 500 grams
             | of Marijuana to get the death penalty which is like a 1000
             | or more joints.
        
               | pixelpoet wrote:
               | I think it's crazy to be sentenced to death for having
               | 500 grams of cannabis. Nobody is going to overdose on it,
               | almost nobody is going to make a business of it if it
               | were actually legal, ... this isn't a heroin, meth or
               | even moonshine operation we're talking about.
               | 
               | Is there really a way to overstate the insanity of state-
               | sponsored killing people for this? Please let's not stray
               | too far from the subject of, what justification for
               | killing this drug user are you looking for?
        
               | The_Colonel wrote:
               | > I think it's crazy to be sentenced to death for having
               | 500 grams of cannabis.
               | 
               | I think it's a bad law, but surely not as bad as you
               | originally tried to mislead people into believing.
               | 
               | > Is there really a way to overstate the insanity of
               | state-sponsored killing people for this?
               | 
               | Apparently yes, by intentionally making a false claim
               | that you get executed for smoking a joint.
               | 
               | > Please let's not stray too far from the subject of,
               | what justification for killing this drug user are you
               | looking for?
               | 
               | They won't get executed for being a drug user, but for
               | trafficking drugs. Given that 500 grams is a huge amount,
               | I think it's reasonable to consider the offenders to be
               | drug traffickers (even if I don't agree with the
               | punishment).
        
               | malermeister wrote:
               | A single plant can easily produce 500 grams. In other
               | words - you could be killed for growing one plant for
               | your own personal consumption.
        
           | 123yawaworht456 wrote:
           | not just the West, really
           | 
           | in my very non-Western country, it's been years since I saw
           | an adolescent with a cigarette. 20 years ago, non-smoking
           | 13-year boys were a minority - I shit you not.
        
             | dylan604 wrote:
             | how many of them now vape though? in the US, if you look at
             | vaping in adolescents, I would not be surprised to see an
             | increase in nicotine users just in a different form.
        
               | Viliam1234 wrote:
               | Vaping was advertised as a healthier alternative to
               | smoking, but it's actually a comeback of smoking.
        
               | dleink wrote:
               | Probably, but it is healthier.
        
       | s1artibartfast wrote:
       | I wonder how much of this is attributable to legalization or
       | other factors.
       | 
       | Teen Alcohol use has gone down ~50% over the last 30 years, and
       | but there has been no legalization effort there. Similarly, teen
       | sex rate has also gone down ~50% over the same time period.
       | 
       | Overall, abstention from behaviors seems to be a major trend. I
       | would be curious to know if this is due to a cultural aversion to
       | perceived risky behaviors, lack of autonomy, or some other factor
       | like rate of behavior modification medicine.
        
         | ToDougie wrote:
         | Some ideas:
         | 
         | Parents are being cautious with their (statistically fewer)
         | children.
         | 
         | Prevalence of CCTV and panopticon theory making risky behavior
         | seem impossible.
         | 
         | Disappearance of third spaces.
         | 
         | Crazy homeless druggies everywhere. Consequences of abuse are
         | far more obvious.
        
           | potato3732842 wrote:
           | Proliferation of scheduled stuff beyond the school day
           | leaving less free time to engage in activities that can't be
           | done on a screen.
           | 
           | I think your comment about homeless is too specific to
           | certain regions.
        
             | SoftTalker wrote:
             | Or, the "always there" nature of screen activities makes it
             | very easy to never do anything else.
             | 
             | When I was a kid we had no mobile phones, nor did we have
             | computers or internet. if you wanted to talk with your
             | friends you had to go meet up with them in person. So
             | hanging out at the mall or at a park or an arcade was
             | pretty common. So were after-school activities, sports,
             | band, clubs, etc. A lot of this stuff, being away from
             | home, was marginally or totally unsupervised, so there was
             | a lot more opportunity to try "illegal" things.
        
         | tayo42 wrote:
         | I think I've seen the sex thing attributed to the "loneliness
         | epidemic" and internet use that comes up alot.
         | 
         | If that is true, makes sense for the same cause to apply to
         | smoking and drinking. Drinking beers by yourself as a teen is
         | weird, you generally at least start that stuff with friends.
        
           | alephnerd wrote:
           | I'm a Zillenial and my sibling is Gen Z.
           | 
           | Most people our age in general are much more cautious about
           | decisions because a bad mistake like an unplanned pregnancy
           | can ruin your life.
           | 
           | Also, in general, abstinence and non-abstinence doesn't have
           | any moral baggage for us. We aren't judging you if you choose
           | to do drugs or have sex, but we also aren't judging people
           | who choose not to do that stuff.
        
             | s1artibartfast wrote:
             | Why do you think the caution is higher? do you have any
             | thoughts on what _changed_?
        
               | noitpmeder wrote:
               | It's more accessible what the negative consequences are.
               | For example, I doubt many people 50 years ago knew what a
               | lung looks like after a lifetime of smoking, or exactly
               | how much it increases your cancer rates. Now everyone's
               | seen the photos even if they aren't a smoker.
        
               | michaelsbradley wrote:
               | When I was growing up in the 1980s in the US, anti-
               | smoking campaigns were everywhere all the time every day:
               | on TV, in magazines, posters, etc. A lung damaged by
               | lifetime smoking was a common visual.
               | 
               | So I don't think that information is _much_ more
               | accessible, broadly speaking, though Internet access has
               | certainly increased the amount of information on the
               | topic that 's readily accessible.
               | 
               | The shift in attitude could be owing to other factors, or
               | maybe it just took time for the warnings to sink in, i.e.
               | generationally.
        
               | s1artibartfast wrote:
               | And people in the 80's knew that pregnancy was a risk of
               | fucking.
               | 
               | I wonder if it is change in the way risks are processed
               | and considered overall.
        
               | ryandrake wrote:
               | I think the definition of "ruin your life" is different
               | now than it was in the 80s. Stakes are higher for kids
               | now, and one little mistake can put you on the road to
               | the have-nots instead of the haves.
               | 
               | Back when I was in high school, you could make mistakes
               | and still end up successful. You could get a few B's in
               | your grades, you could decide not to do so many sports
               | and extracurriculars, you could get detention, you could
               | even get in light trouble with the police for horsing
               | around--and still make it into a good University and move
               | on to a good career. I know because I made all of those
               | mistakes. Plus, the consequences for being mediocre were
               | not too severe. B students had community college, C and D
               | students had decent jobs at the mill and the factory or
               | could learn a trade, and so on.
               | 
               | Today, the bar for entry into a comfortable, middle class
               | career is so high, that my kid needs to make zero
               | mistakes. She has to get straight As, she has to stay out
               | of any kind of trouble, she has to have the right
               | polished "profile" for all the various career- and life-
               | gatekeepers she will meet and need to pass. And if she
               | doesn't pass the gatekeepers, where is she going to end
               | up? There is no safety net and no real humane jobs left
               | for lower-performers. Life is so much more bifurcated
               | now, the kids know it, and they stress about not making a
               | mis-step.
               | 
               | In the 80s I was competing with my small town. Now, kids
               | are competing with the entire world.
        
               | tiberious726 wrote:
               | Eh, growing up around the same time as you, I think
               | that's just how it's always looked to certain parents.
        
               | s1artibartfast wrote:
               | I think you absolutely on to something, but I wonder how
               | much of this a shift in perception vs reality.
               | 
               | I agree the linear progression of school>College>good job
               | seems a lot more cutthroat and inflexible. That said, it
               | seems like there are still lots of alternative paths out
               | there for smart motivated people- they just arent clearly
               | paved.
               | 
               | I have a long time to think about it, but I'm not even
               | sure if I will encourage my kids to go to college, for
               | the reasons you outlined. They may be better off doing
               | work that isnt readily outsourced. Much of this will
               | depend on what the economy looks like in 15 years.
               | 
               | As it stands today, I'd be tempted to give my kid 150k to
               | start a plumbing business instead of paying for college.
        
               | mschuster91 wrote:
               | > Why do you think the caution is higher? do you have any
               | thoughts on what changed?
               | 
               | In the US, Roe v Wade obviously. In Germany, more and
               | more doctors willing to perform abortions are retiring
               | and less new doctors enter the force [1], leaving
               | pregnant women (or women who think they might get
               | pregnant) pretty much down on their luck.
               | 
               | [1] https://www.mdr.de/nachrichten/deutschland/gesellscha
               | ft/unge...
        
               | s1artibartfast wrote:
               | Seems like sex has been trending down since the 80's or
               | 90's. I dont think it was because teens had premonitions
               | of the 2022 overturn of Roe.
               | 
               | Edit: It seems the correction actually goes the opposite
               | direction. Teen sex is lowest in blue states that are
               | most protective of abortion, and highest in red states.
               | California take the cake with lowest teen sex rate [1].
               | Correlation obviously isnt causation, but it is
               | interesting to see the clear cultural differences in teen
               | sex.
               | 
               | https://www.guttmacher.org/sites/default/files/report_pdf
               | /yo...
        
               | alephnerd wrote:
               | > do you have any thoughts on what changed?
               | 
               | Caution was always a thing, but societal and peer
               | pressure is much less now.
               | 
               | Look at older Millenial shows like Futurama and Archer.
               | They are hilarious, but they absolutely perpetuate the
               | idea that drinking alcohol is cool and a core part of
               | being an adult.
               | 
               | On the other hand, a Zillenial or Gen Z targeted show
               | like Bojack Horseman, Rick and Morty, or Solar Opposites
               | doesn't show substance abuse in a similar manner - it
               | still makes jokes about it, but also shows the dark side.
               | 
               | In high school getting a fake id to drink some beer,
               | getting laid, or smoking weed or cigarettes with the
               | stoners just isn't a cultural milestone anymore.
               | 
               | It's like what Chef said in South Park - "There's a time
               | and a place for everything, and that's college"
        
           | s1artibartfast wrote:
           | I dont think it makes sense to draw a causal attribution from
           | loneliness.
           | 
           | It seems like these would both be related symptoms of a
           | shared cause.
           | 
           | Also, I dont know when the loneliness epidemic kicks in, but
           | I usually hear about it in terms of adults. Are teens also
           | increasingly lonely?
        
             | aSanchezStern wrote:
             | Yeah, younger generations are spending less and less time
             | with friends in person [1] and feeling lonelier and
             | lonelier as a result [2].
             | 
             | [1] https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-
             | room/4037619-teens-a... [2]
             | https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/social-issues/teens-
             | lon...
        
           | Der_Einzige wrote:
           | Weed is uniquely fun to do by yourself. It's the ultimate
           | drug for zoning out on the computer and playing video games
           | with. Weed is the perfect drugs for "incelish" lonely
           | teenager who sit at home all day - an increasingly large
           | percentage of the youth.
           | 
           | Alcohol is not like this at all.
        
         | logicchains wrote:
         | Gen Z men have been becoming more and more conservative
         | politically, maybe it also translates into more conservative
         | views on drugs and alcohol.
        
           | znpy wrote:
           | > Gen Z men have been becoming more and more conservative
           | politically, maybe it also translates into more conservative
           | views on drugs and alcohol.
           | 
           | i'm not sure that's the right way to read that.
           | 
           | if you cut out the extremes (of the content Gaussian) you see
           | that much content geared towards GenZ males is of self-care
           | nature: go to the gym, take care of your own body, avoid
           | alcohol and other drugs, take care of your mental health and
           | go to therapy if you can, read philosophy.
           | 
           | it's a beautiful change since i was a teenager (~15 years
           | ago), way much healthier than what i was exposed to as a
           | teenager.
           | 
           | it's not problems-free of course, but still, i view it as
           | positive change.
        
             | s1artibartfast wrote:
             | Unfortunately, rates of depression, misery, and loneliness
             | are also significantly up, so I wouldn't be so fast to call
             | the overall cultural change a healthy and beautiful win. I
             | wonder how much these factors go hand in hand.
        
               | consteval wrote:
               | From what I've seen they go hand and hand a lot. All
               | anecdotal of course, but much of the "self-improvement"
               | content I've seen for young men is from the angle that
               | they are failures, and they can "cure" their inadequacies
               | through various channels.
               | 
               | Of course it's not really true, just a bit true. Going to
               | the gym won't make you stop hating yourself, any
               | bodybuilder will tell you that. Going to the gym, no-fap,
               | etc are all chosen as channels because they provide an
               | immediate sense of accomplishment while being relatively
               | easy. But they don't materially improve the circumstances
               | of your life.
               | 
               | It's simple to spend an hour at the gym and you will
               | immediately feel better. But you didn't magically gain
               | friends, a community, a sense of belonging or a reason to
               | live. Those require being uncomfortable and pushing
               | yourself mentally, emotionally, and socially. That's much
               | more difficult than pushing weight.
               | 
               | Ultimately young men just want to believe and feel like
               | they're doing something right.
        
           | giraffe_lady wrote:
           | The modern american conservative movement is becoming
           | decoupled from the _practice_ of evangelical christianity
           | (which is the origin of republican teetotaling) even as it
           | becomes more closely aligned with its policy goals. So I 'm
           | not sure I'd expect to see this connection hold with young
           | conservatives. It might though, but I can't find anything
           | reputable looking at it directly.
        
           | Der_Einzige wrote:
           | The downvotes you experience from making a super obvious
           | connection is indicative of why democrats have a real risk of
           | losing this election.
           | 
           | The inability to sense the collapse in support for democrats
           | among young men of all types (especially strong among
           | black/latino young men) is why democrats seem to be
           | structurally unable to win over any kind of non traditional
           | voting groups en mass.
           | 
           | Left leaning folks have also been sticking their head in the
           | sand about the rapid evangalization/anti-catholic reaction
           | that is sweeping through American latino communities right
           | now. I am witnessing this both among personal friends and
           | again and again in the news/sociological articles. Democrats
           | are reacting to this by trying to move to the right on
           | immigration. It's not working, and we are doomed as a result.
        
             | standardUser wrote:
             | I broadly agree with the assessment, but I don't think
             | there's an obvious solution. There is only so far the left-
             | leaning half of this country is willing to compromise with
             | the increasingly less-educated, hyper-masculine right side.
             | And while the right side may (barely) have the numbers to
             | stay politically competitive, it's also the side rapidly
             | losing out in terms of education, wealth and status.
             | Backlashes can stall the broader trends, but they generally
             | don't reverse them.
        
         | r00fus wrote:
         | Could also be that alcohol is like 2x as expensive over the
         | past 30 years.
        
           | onlyrealcuzzo wrote:
           | Except it's not when adjusted for wages:
           | https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3631317/
        
             | r00fus wrote:
             | a) your data is only till 2011 and misses some extreme
             | inflation in the past 10 years.
             | 
             | b) we're talking youth - who are nowadays also less likely
             | to be manning the fast food counters - I remember working
             | at 14 years old and now in many states that's not permitted
             | until 16. So even less disposable income.
        
               | onlyrealcuzzo wrote:
               | Unemployment is lower today than it was 20 years ago:
               | https://www.statista.com/statistics/217882/us-
               | unemployment-r... (though it hasn't materially changed
               | one way or the other).
               | 
               | If teens and young adults NEEDED to work but couldn't
               | find jobs, the unemployment rate for that age group would
               | show it.
        
           | s1artibartfast wrote:
           | Maybe, But still incredibly cheap for a teen looking to
           | drunk. 1.75 Liters of vodka is $8.99 at the corner store.
           | That will get 20 kids puking drunk for the price of a
           | hamburger.
        
         | dfxm12 wrote:
         | There are probably many/a combination of reasons. One thing I
         | think that hasn't been brought up in this thread yet is a
         | smaller amount of popular media portraying marijuana use in a
         | tolerable light.
         | 
         | In terms of movies, how few and far between are big weed
         | movies? Was the last one Pineapple Express, 15 years ago? Go
         | back a few decades and there were a bunch of big movies, songs,
         | etc. year after year about smoking weed.
        
         | dyauspitr wrote:
         | The standard answer to this is teens are spending a significant
         | amount of their time on social media which ends up replacing
         | these other vices.
        
         | thescriptkiddie wrote:
         | it kinda seems to me like teenagers are abstaining from
         | behaviors altogether, not just risky ones. possible
         | explanations that come to mind are widespread anhedonia
         | (depression) and the the fact that suburban kids who are too
         | young to drive can't leave their homes without their parents.
        
         | AuryGlenz wrote:
         | As someone who just quit doing high school senior photography
         | last year I think it's a lot more simple:
         | 
         | They don't have time. I can't tell you how incredibly hard it
         | is to schedule (and especially reschedule) sessions with many
         | of them. A lot of kids _always_ have some sport or other after
         | school activity going on. Those sports often have training
         | before the school day, after the school day, with actual
         | competitions or more training on weekends.
         | 
         | Oh, and summer is no exception.
         | 
         | Combine that with loads of homework and they're being run
         | ragged.
        
       | hx8 wrote:
       | How accurate can youth self reported drug usage statistics
       | actually be? It seems like the type of thing that would sway
       | heavily based on if the kids were in a serious mood or a playful
       | mood, who was giving the survey, etc.
        
         | moomin wrote:
         | The good news is it doesn't really matter. The absolute numbers
         | might be inaccurate, but the skew is likely to stay the same
         | over decades. So it probably is dropping.
        
           | elliottkember wrote:
           | > the skew is likely to stay the same over decades
           | 
           | This is a huge assumption.
        
             | hx8 wrote:
             | Yeah, I don't agree with that at all. A simple change such
             | as "More schools are giving the survey right before
             | standardized tests instead of at the end of the school day"
             | may skew numbers over years.
             | 
             | Edit: There's probably dozens of variables with how the
             | survey is given that will skew the bias. They probably
             | don't even ask the exact same question in the exact same
             | way on the physical survey.
        
               | mikem170 wrote:
               | > A simple change ... may skew numbers over years
               | 
               | Is this your guess, or is there other conflicting data?
        
               | elliottkember wrote:
               | The point is that we don't know, and this means the data
               | may be wrong. For an experiment to prove something, you
               | need to control for these variables.
        
               | moomin wrote:
               | You can't do experiments on entire populations. That's
               | precisely why we have studies in the first place.
        
               | hx8 wrote:
               | Am I the only one that questions the validity of self
               | reported survey data? No, the concerns are extremely well
               | documented, including documentation about psychological
               | and situational factors that impact the results.
        
       | rgbrgb wrote:
       | worried about the youth if this is true. are we alienating them
       | from a relatively safe form of mischief and mind expansion by
       | making it legal and socially accepted?
       | 
       | hoping that perhaps it's reporting error as kids get smart about
       | surveillance etc. hoping for the kids.
        
         | jackcosgrove wrote:
         | Kids these days!
        
       | chis wrote:
       | Teens are basically doing less of everything because of the
       | phones. Alcohol, sex, getting a drivers license, going to movies,
       | basically any activity you could name has declined rapidly
       | starting around 2012 when phones became ubiquitous.
        
         | throw09230923 wrote:
         | Maybe they are just more informed with phones.
         | 
         | Memes about permanently stoned people are spreading fast.
         | Propaganda about "cool" hippies does not work any more.
         | 
         | The same with myths around sex, real anti-conception
         | effectiveness...
        
         | Spivak wrote:
         | Except no one has been able to establish any kind of causation.
         | The observation is real but the explanation is dubious.
         | 
         | If you consider sex, drugs, and alcohol to be forms of "stuff
         | to do" then it sorta sounds plausible but why driver's
         | licenses? Why not sports or extracurriculars? Why not video
         | games? Why are tabletop rpg getting more popular?
         | 
         | You could just as easily blame ubiquitous access to porn for
         | most of this as well and it would be just as plausible.
        
           | candiddevmike wrote:
           | TikTok brain rot. Streamers. Influencers.
           | 
           | Teens are living their lives vicariously through other
           | people. Capitalism has finally created the perfect
           | consumption slave. They buy what they're told to buy via peer
           | pressure feedback loops and stay at home contended with their
           | entertainment bubble.
        
             | MisterBastahrd wrote:
             | People complaining they don't have money for groceries with
             | their collection of different colored $40 stainless steel
             | mugs in the background.
        
           | spiffytech wrote:
           | > but why driver's licenses?
           | 
           | Anecdotally from my social circles: youth already hang out
           | online, with any or all of their friends at the same time.
           | Why go somewhere just to see fewer people? And once you're
           | there, are you going to do something besides chat and play
           | games, which works fine online?
           | 
           | Older generations saw a driver's license as freedom, but
           | younger generations don't see as much appeal in what a
           | licensed driver is free to do.
        
           | mock-possum wrote:
           | Well - in the case of porn, that'd be putting the cart before
           | the horse.
        
         | bawolff wrote:
         | I don't think phones are to blame for movies declining in the
         | age of streaming. The more shocking part is that anyone is
         | going to movies these days.
        
           | hx8 wrote:
           | What hardware are teens most likely to stream on? I would
           | guess teens are more likely to stream to phone/tablet than
           | the general population.
        
         | r00fus wrote:
         | Why blame phones when you can simply blame cost? Everything is
         | crazy expensive nowadays - from cars&insurance to movies &
         | alcohol.
        
           | galleywest200 wrote:
           | Marijuana is dirt cheap in legal states. I am talking like an
           | ounce for $80 in some places.
           | 
           | You can also still get the half-gallons of super cheap vodka,
           | but getting that is more difficult because you need someone
           | who is 21 to procure it for you.
        
             | canucker2016 wrote:
             | Many high school dances have lower attendance or are
             | canceled altogether. see
             | https://www.today.com/parents/social-media-killing-school-
             | da...
        
       | ravenstine wrote:
       | Is there _anything_ that today 's youth are doing that isn't in
       | decline? Allegedly, they're drinking less, doing less drugs,
       | having less sex, watching fewer movies, driving less, owning
       | fewer cars, watching sports less often, and so on. Maybe they're
       | playing more games? Or are the youth _seemingly_ doing less
       | overall because the way we are polling them has changed?
        
         | randomNumber7 wrote:
         | Phones was already an argument.
         | 
         | At least from my observation in germany I would add that it is
         | also maybe due to less opportunities.
         | 
         | Here the youth has also less money and less good job
         | opportunities while the cost of living has dramatically
         | increased. When you want to move to a new flat the rent is
         | insane.
        
           | mock-possum wrote:
           | Weed isn't exactly expensive though.
        
           | Glawen wrote:
           | Is this really a thing or just repeating their laments? Gen Z
           | are also a very whiny generation that don't seem to tolerate
           | the 'suck it up we all went through the same shit' message.
           | 
           | I mean young engineers in my company get paid nicely in
           | comparison to their older peers. Noone can really complain
           | about not finding a flat and live correctly. Moreover they
           | are definitely not into having kids, as they prefer to keep
           | money for leisure, so I really don't buy their whining.
        
             | KK7NIL wrote:
             | > I mean young engineers in my company get paid nicely in
             | comparison to their older peers.
             | 
             | No, they don't, not after you adjust for inflation and
             | housing prices.
             | 
             | And young engineers are a very privileged few, the vast
             | majority of young American workers have had it much worse.
             | Good luck getting a respectable job that will allow you to
             | buy a house and raise a family while your wife stays at
             | home without a STEM degree nowadays.
             | 
             | And the US education system is uniquely terrible at STEM
             | education before college, meaning many American kids who
             | could have gotten onto the STEM gravy train instead get
             | replaced by immigrants like me.
        
             | ToDougie wrote:
             | I know a few couples making an incredible amount of money
             | (both engineers, or lawyers, or doctors, or some
             | combination thereof) on a path to retire by 40 (50 at the
             | latest) with no kids, and they don't seem to have any
             | desire to have children to spend those post-retirement
             | years with. Their lives are full of collections, but I just
             | look at those trinkets and shrug.
             | 
             | I'd rather have my kids go hang out with their kids in the
             | back yard and throw a ball around, scrape a knee, cry,
             | grow, and then extend an invitation to hang out again next
             | weekend. But I can't because they have their "reasons" to
             | not have children which have always seemed superficial
             | (barring the obvious serious health issues) and usually
             | based on a fear mindset and a desire to enjoy a life of
             | overconsumption, leisure, and gluttony.
        
             | HaZeust wrote:
             | >"I mean young engineers in my company get paid nicely in
             | comparison to their older peers."
             | 
             | Yeah, because they're 10% of Gen Z (and I'm part of that
             | 10% Gen Z). Most of my peers, my former classmates, and
             | friends are struggling to make ends meet in an increasingly
             | antagonistic status quo to present-day starters, the likes
             | of which are not comparable to any other contemporary time
             | - both through anecdotes and data - excluding 1971-73, and
             | that was quickly rectified (and you STILL have people who
             | joined the workforce in those years complaining about it 50
             | years later). And as for kids, they can't afford them.
             | Young engineers probably can, old news - but that's not the
             | bulk of the generation. If you want a functioning society,
             | you must account for options and outcomes for ALL sectors
             | of the bell-curve. Not _just_ people from the sectors you
             | associate with.
             | 
             | This comment screams myopia and a lack of perspective, and
             | an obvious lack of interest in trying to amend either.
        
         | bawolff wrote:
         | Interestingly, all these examples (except maybe driving/cars)
         | are activities associated with numbing oneself.
         | 
         | Maybe the youth just have better mental health than in
         | yesteryear.
        
           | dageshi wrote:
           | Perhaps tiktok is a cheaper, more convenient solution for
           | numbing?
        
           | pesus wrote:
           | I don't think this is a very accurate interpretation. Maybe
           | for some, but I'd reckon sex, drugs, and alcohol (and
           | partying in general) are more often than not used for the
           | opposite reason.
        
           | s1artibartfast wrote:
           | I think they can be associated with numbing oneself, but
           | aren't necessarily. I would also associate most of those
           | things with vivacity, exploration, spontaneity, and risk
           | taking.
           | 
           | Perhaps there is also a shift in the dominant narrative of
           | associated with these activities.
           | 
           | Studies seem to show the youth mental health is at an all
           | time low. I wont go as far as to claim that lack of drinking
           | and fucking is the cause, but I do think they are related,
           | perhaps as the result of a third factor.
           | 
           | I don't have data to support this, but my gut tells me the
           | root may be more reserved and cautious approach to life in
           | general.
        
           | mmanfrin wrote:
           | > Maybe the youth just have better mental health than in
           | yesteryear.
           | 
           | Hiiiiiighly doubt this.
        
         | jasonfarnon wrote:
         | smut, obviously
        
         | ikmckenz wrote:
         | Suicide is pretty much the only thing bucking the downward
         | trend. As kids stop having sex, doing drugs, smoking, etc. they
         | are killing themselves.
        
       | joshdavham wrote:
       | > In 2011, 23.1% of adolescents indicated they were current
       | users, but by 2021, this figure had dropped to 15.8%.
       | 
       | I suspect that these results are being confounded by the covid-19
       | pandemic. Clearly there has been a decline in use, but it's not
       | clear what's behind it, especially when teens couldn't go outside
       | during that time and pass a joint around mouth-to-mouth.
        
         | hmmm-i-wonder wrote:
         | It was declining before covid hit, and from what I've seen
         | reported (sales etc.) use increased at the start of covid then
         | trended back to normal (declining) rates.
        
       | oigursh wrote:
       | If you get wasted on anything, or do anything silly, or act
       | weird, someone will pull out a phone and video you.
       | 
       | That would have stopped a lot of the testing my limits I did when
       | I was young and even more dumb.
        
         | kkielhofner wrote:
         | > If you get wasted on anything, or do anything silly, or act
         | weird, someone will pull out a phone and video you.
         | 
         | Anecdotally this seems to be the key impact. With social media
         | almost everyone now has a "brand" and that brand is typically
         | not supported with a post of you out of it, sloppy, etc.
         | 
         | Along those lines, there also seems to be MUCH more emphasis on
         | health - granted superficial health (looking good) but health
         | nonetheless. Fortunately the standards for "ideal beauty" for
         | women especially have shifted from the 90s/2000s no-such-thing-
         | as-too-thin dangerous and extremely unhealthy to a physique
         | that is well-muscled and actually healthy (while being
         | inclusive of different body types).
         | 
         | When I'm at the gym and the high school/college kids show up I
         | just can't believe their level of physical fitness and
         | development. Self-selecting given it's the gym but when I was
         | in high school (class of 2002) the most fit kid on the
         | football, basketball, track, volleyball, etc teams would look
         | out of shape next to what appears to be the "average" gym-goer
         | of this generation. The numbers also seem to be quite a bit
         | higher - there are A LOT of these kids hitting it really hard
         | in the gym.
         | 
         | Needless to say this clearly obsessive-level focus and work is
         | not supported by using drugs like marijuana and alcohol. If
         | nothing else having a lot of followers is much more important
         | and "cool".
         | 
         | If anything I'm more interested in usage statistics of steroids
         | and other performance-enhancing drugs. Some of the physiques,
         | performance, etc I see just don't seem possible to achieve
         | naturally at 16-25.
        
           | SoftTalker wrote:
           | 'Cause they aren't doing it naturally.
        
       | lenerdenator wrote:
       | Marijuana is now "the man", complete with licensing and lawsuits.
       | 
       | The hip young people are moving on to things that are still
       | transgressive.
        
       | _fat_santa wrote:
       | My bet is that this all stems from higher housing prices / cost
       | of living.
       | 
       | Previously you moved out at 18 or so and moved into a
       | dorm/apartment with folks you age and this dynamic introduced a
       | space where you could experiment with "vices" (alcohol, drugs,
       | sex, parties, etc).
       | 
       | Now with cost of living being so insane, kids are instead
       | choosing to live with parents and thus never get a space to
       | experiment like this. And by the time they do have enough money
       | to move out on their own, the "experimentation" phase is largely
       | over.
        
         | hmmm-i-wonder wrote:
         | On the flip side, the number of kids I see smoking/having sex
         | at their parents houses now blows me away. My generation
         | (millenials) it was a lot more rare to find tolerating/"non-
         | narc" parents. Most of my friends with kids figure they'll do
         | it anyways so might as well let them be safe about it.
        
           | s1artibartfast wrote:
           | If I was a parent of a teen I would just be glad they are
           | socializing and fucking instead of being depressed in their
           | room alone and doom scrolling.
        
         | adventured wrote:
         | It's due to the decline of in-person socializing by young
         | people.
         | 
         | Young people don't get introduced to it as much. Less in-person
         | peer pressure. Fewer parties. Young people do things in groups
         | that they won't bother doing alone because it's not as fun.
        
       | rifty wrote:
       | I think I want to see this juxtaposed against all-type drug usage
       | rates for youth before examining this as a cultural trend towards
       | less drug usage. I have a feeling during this period of drop for
       | marijuana and alcohol with the youth, we will see an increase in
       | prescribed drug usage like SSRI and stimulants by youth, with
       | prescription and lack of it.
        
       | d--b wrote:
       | Maybe marijuana getting a lot stronger plays a role here? I for
       | one could smoke a joint while I was a teen, but nowadays the
       | stuff makes me super sick every time, like the last two times I
       | had to lie down and ended up barfing before getting better.
        
       | wly_cdgr wrote:
       | Well yeah, legal things aren't cool. I'm sure they'll find
       | something else that's still illegal to use/abuse/do instead
        
       | owenversteeg wrote:
       | I'm going to repost a comment of mine from a while ago, because I
       | still believe the main cause is simple: Weed just isn't cool
       | anymore.
       | 
       | >[Marijuana] revenues have actually declined on a per-state level
       | for three years now in some states despite inflation. General
       | sales tax receipts are up by 27% since 2020 [0] and meanwhile
       | California's weed sales are down. Even better, until recently
       | they were rising at a rapid pace, having rose 2.82x from Q1 2018
       | to Q2 2020. [1]
       | 
       | >The reason why is obvious to anyone who's attended a party in
       | the last few years: weed isn't cool anymore. Partly by being
       | illegal, it used to be cool, but now it's accessible to anyone. A
       | lot of people had that realization when they heard "oh, I'm into
       | weed now" from their uncool middle-aged uncle whose previous
       | hobbies had included LARPing and painting miniatures. It's not
       | even just about the legality though: smoking a joint is a hell of
       | a lot cooler than sucking on a USB stick that smells like candy
       | grapes, and vapes, being far more convenient, have now been tied
       | to weed's image. Something being cool is far better marketing
       | than any ad ever designed.
       | 
       | [0] https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/QTAXT09QTAXCAT1USYES
       | 
       | [1]
       | https://www.cdtfa.ca.gov/dataportal/charts.htm?url=CannabisT...
        
         | darth_avocado wrote:
         | Legal weed sales being down doesn't necessarily mean people are
         | no longer using it. It just means people aren't buying it
         | legally and paying taxes.
        
           | Tade0 wrote:
           | So many people who want to have a say regarding policy don't
           | understand this.
           | 
           | My country has a particularly high rate of sugar consumption.
           | Are we a nation with a sweet tooth? Hardly, as it's inversely
           | correlated with alcohol consumption as measured via sales
           | figures and the process of moonshine production is greatly
           | enhanced by the use of sugar as feedstock.
           | 
           | Meanwhile there's a whole movement that aims to limit alcohol
           | availability in stores. A noble pursuit, but a misguided one,
           | as the reported increases in alcohol sales over the past
           | years are actually a sign of people preferring to buy instead
           | of producing their liquor now that they can afford it.
        
         | citizenpaul wrote:
         | It could be that weed is now orders of magnitude stronger than
         | it used to be. Its almost impossible to buy something that is
         | not some sort of specialized ultra high THC strain. A lot of
         | people myself included don't want to be that messed up, so they
         | cant even function. Its like if you could no longer buy
         | anything lower than 180 proof alcohol to drink. A lot of people
         | don't want to be that drunk and would just stop or greatly
         | limit their drinking.
        
       | LisperFan wrote:
       | I wonder if there is a link to the increased use of Adderall and
       | other ADHD treatments. Younger people may no longer be self-
       | medicating because they have other, more effective alternatives
       | available.
        
       | Rallen89 wrote:
       | A thing I dont see alot of people talking about here is the
       | increase in strength over time. For first time users who
       | experience a more 'modern' weed strain that will mess you up if
       | you dont have a tolerance, I dont think they would try it again
       | soon.
        
       | thechronic wrote:
       | As with all things, there are probably many interdependent
       | reasons for this drop, but the one for my use is that weed is
       | just too strong these days.
       | 
       | When I was 16 in the 90s, weed was mild, bags were filled with
       | seeds, and worst case you'd get some dry mouth and maybe
       | lightheaded after passing a couple joints around or hitting a
       | gravity bong in your friend's parent's sink. Now you take a
       | couple hits of some joint that turns out is 25%+ THC and dipped
       | in kief and you're taking a cold shower wondering if you're a
       | waste of life (you're not). It's just not fun, and the people I
       | know that love weed are likely addicted and hiding from their
       | feelings.
       | 
       | As an adult my favorite weed experiences have been hanging with
       | locals in Jamaica smoking some regular outdoors sitting on the
       | beach trying to understand the patois. The opposite of walking
       | into an LED flooded store in Manhattan or whatever that store
       | that thinks they're the Apple store is in LA that gives me
       | migraines. I feel like the industry got into an arms race and
       | forgot that weed is to relax amongst friends, not get blasted
       | into oblivion.
        
       | easymodex wrote:
       | I will quote one of the nested comments which really hit the mark
       | imo:
       | 
       | """I think the definition of "ruin your life" is different now
       | than it was in the 80s. Stakes are higher for kids now, and one
       | little mistake can put you on the road to the have-nots instead
       | of the haves.
       | 
       | Back when I was in high school, you could make mistakes and still
       | end up successful. You could get a few B's in your grades, you
       | could decide not to do so many sports and extracurriculars, you
       | could get detention, you could even get in light trouble with the
       | police for horsing around--and still make it into a good
       | University and move on to a good career. I know because I made
       | all of those mistakes. Plus, the consequences for being mediocre
       | were not too severe. B students had community college, C and D
       | students had decent jobs at the mill and the factory or could
       | learn a trade, and so on.
       | 
       | Today, the bar for entry into a comfortable, middle class career
       | is so high, that my kid needs to make zero mistakes. She has to
       | get straight As, she has to stay out of any kind of trouble, she
       | has to have the right polished "profile" for all the various
       | career- and life-gatekeepers she will meet and need to pass. And
       | if she doesn't pass the gatekeepers, where is she going to end
       | up? There is no safety net and no real humane jobs left for
       | lower-performers. Life is so much more bifurcated now, the kids
       | know it, and they stress about not making a mis-step.
       | 
       | In the 80s I was competing with my small town. Now, kids are
       | competing with the entire world."""
       | 
       | This nails it, the bar for "normal" life is really high, coupled
       | with social media where every day you're bombarded with what you
       | can achieve if you try really hard or pay enough money for it -
       | traveling, having fun, luxury, having a perfect body and being
       | envied by other people, etc. Being an overachiever try-hard is
       | cool these days. Weed makes you a bit lazy and when you smoke
       | you're not 100% super productive and you're not living your life
       | to your "fullest potential".
        
       | ShepherdKing wrote:
       | Communication about health risks for marijuana use needs to be
       | on-point, especially among young people. From what I've read, use
       | during brain development (prior to ages 25-30) risks learning
       | disabilities and other mental health disorders due to how it
       | affects cortisol. Marijuana is also an immune system suppressor,
       | which may explain some elevated cancer rates. The effects on the
       | immune system may also explain some food allergies, but
       | susceptibility for fungal and viral infections resulting from
       | marijuana use is fairly well established.
       | 
       | Citing some relevant papers on the subject:
       | 
       | https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8229290/
       | 
       | https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7258471/
       | 
       | https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3930618/
       | 
       | https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC4586361/
        
       ___________________________________________________________________
       (page generated 2024-10-28 23:01 UTC)