[HN Gopher] How do merging supermassive black holes pass the fin...
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       How do merging supermassive black holes pass the final parsec?
        
       Author : jnord
       Score  : 66 points
       Date   : 2024-10-24 02:12 UTC (20 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.quantamagazine.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.quantamagazine.org)
        
       | andrewflnr wrote:
       | > In some scenarios, the lightest of the three holes is ejected
       | 
       | That's terrifying. Imagine a rogue supermassive black hole
       | floating in intergalactic space.
       | 
       | But I mostly want to know how badly self-interacting dark matter
       | messes up the existing LCDM simulations that most astrophysicists
       | sort of rely on?
        
         | tivert wrote:
         | > That's terrifying. Imagine a rogue supermassive black hole
         | floating in intergalactic space.
         | 
         | Why terrifying? It's literally doing nothing, far away from
         | anything. Seems like the safest place for it to be.
        
           | andrewflnr wrote:
           | Not doing anything yet. If galaxies can collide, the rogue
           | black hole can collide with your galaxy, and you won't get
           | much warning either. (I mean, realistically you're right, in
           | the same way that our galaxy colliding with Andromeda is
           | scary but has negligible chance of affecting us. But,
           | imagine.)
        
             | yongjik wrote:
             | Galaxies are big, including our own. Unless the rogue black
             | hole is traveling near light speed, you will get at least
             | tens of thousands of years of advance warning. (What you
             | could do with that warning is a different matter,
             | though...)
        
               | andrewflnr wrote:
               | If you were lucky enough to see the ejection happen, yes.
               | But if one was already on the way?
        
               | chowells wrote:
               | You would absolutely notice the gravitational distortions
               | a very long time in advance. That's a lot of mass. You
               | can't miss the way it's distorting space for a very long
               | way around it.
        
               | khafra wrote:
               | There are lots of easily visible stars on the other side
               | of any supermassive black hole that's nearer to you than
               | other galaxies are. When those stars start lensing in
               | ways visible to the naked eye, you're going to know
               | something weird is going on.
        
             | The_Colonel wrote:
             | > and you won't get much warning either
             | 
             | A supermassive blackhole floating towards you would have
             | very visible effects, it would be impossible to miss for
             | millenias before it gets to you.
             | 
             | It's the micro black holes which can hit you without a
             | warning.
        
               | rompledorph wrote:
               | The article state that small black holes have the size of
               | stars. Micro black holes should be quite big too I guess?
        
               | The_Colonel wrote:
               | That's likely a mistake in the article. "Small" black
               | holes (i.e. smaller than supermassive) have star/stellar
               | mass, but not size.
               | 
               | Micro black holes are only hypothesized so far, but they
               | could get very small - e.g. a black hole with Earth mass
               | would have less than 1 centimeter in diameter.
               | 
               | The size itself is not that important for spotting black
               | holes, though. Even if it's as large as a star, all you
               | see staring at the black hole "object" is nothing. What's
               | important are the gravitational effects on the
               | environment, and there the differences are stark. At a
               | distance of 1000 light years, it will be difficult to
               | spot a stellar-mass black hole floating through empty
               | space, because its pull is strong enough only at stellar
               | distances and won't produce enough disturbance in
               | interstellar space for us to notice. OTOH supermassive
               | blackholes will deform whole surrounding star systems
               | because of its immense mass and gravitational pull. A
               | micro black hole (e.g. Earth mass) passing through the
               | solar systems would likely go undetected unless it
               | collides with something (which is improbable). There
               | could be a measurable disturbance, but it would be one-
               | off and difficult to attribute to a black hole.
        
               | ordu wrote:
               | _> A micro black hole (e.g. Earth mass) passing through
               | the solar systems would likely go undetected unless it
               | collides with something (which is improbable)._
               | 
               | Solar wind? Would it generate some interesting effects
               | when coming too close to a black hole? All these protons
               | accelerated to a near light speed, probably hitting each
               | other and running away into a black hole.
        
               | The_Colonel wrote:
               | An Earth-mass black hole will have a similar
               | gravitational effect on solar winds as Earth. Can we
               | detect these effects on solar winds from distance? Maybe
               | if we watch for them in that particular direction of
               | empty space, but will we? The effects would be localized
               | and short-lived at each particular place on the
               | trajectory.
        
               | usbsea wrote:
               | An earth mass black hole would surely peturb various
               | orbits of planets in a solar system though?
        
               | zesterer wrote:
               | There are likely several > earth-mass objects in our
               | solar system that are as-yet uncatalogued, and almost
               | certainly many hundreds of dwarf planet-mass objects too.
               | Granted, they are further out, but their influence is
               | almost undetectable even over millions of years. It's
               | pretty unlikely that the presence of an earth-mass black
               | hole for just a few years (since it would likely be
               | moving many times solar escape trajectory) would have
               | much in the way of a measurable impact.
        
           | 3eb7988a1663 wrote:
           | I am reminded of a quote from Mass Effect 2. Eventually that
           | black hole could hit something.                 Damn
           | straight! I dare to assume you ignorant jackasses know that
           | space is empty. Once you fire this hunk of metal, it keeps
           | going till it hits something. That can be a ship, or the
           | planet behind that ship. It might go off into deep space and
           | hit somebody else in ten thousand years. If you pull the
           | trigger on this, you are ruining someone's day, somewhere and
           | sometime. That is why you check your damn targets! That is
           | why you wait for the computer to give you a damn firing
           | solution! That is why, Serviceman Chung, we do not "eyeball
           | it!" This is a weapon of mass destruction. You are not a
           | cowboy shooting from the hip!
        
         | FredPret wrote:
         | In Neal Stephenson's Seveneves (read immediately) the moon
         | explodes for an unknown reason.
         | 
         | I always imagined it as being caused by a rogue mini black hole
         | zipping through.
        
         | caf wrote:
         | A rogue star having a close interaction with our solar system
         | would be catastrophic enough, and we _know_ there 's lots of
         | those in our galaxy.
        
       | ardel95 wrote:
       | The potential to detect Supermassive Black Hole mergers is one of
       | the reasons I'm really excited about the LISA project [1], and
       | hope it actually gets funded and doesn't delay too much.
       | 
       | [1]
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laser_Interferometer_Space_Ant...
        
       | libraryofbabel wrote:
       | Now, maybe I'm just a jaded cynic with a stale physics masters
       | degree, but isn't there something depressing about this? Like,
       | faced with an interesting anomaly out there in the world, we have
       | to resort to tweaking the model of dark matter that is _already_
       | an invention to fit observational anomalies. We've no way to
       | detect dark matter directly, and so no way to prove or disprove
       | this hypothesis, so is this really progress in physics at all? I
       | mean, I know, I know, modified theories of gravity have a lot of
       | problems, but what are the other possibilities here? Any current
       | physicists care to weigh in?
        
         | andrewflnr wrote:
         | They did mention how they're hoping to find evidence from the
         | pulsar timing array. It's not exactly easy to find the
         | evidence, and it won't be tomorrow, but the idea at least seems
         | falsifiable.
        
         | antognini wrote:
         | I actually spent quite a while in grad school thinking about
         | the last parsec problem, and although I'm not in the field
         | anymore I still think about it from time to time. (My thesis
         | was on gravitational dynamics.)
         | 
         | My perception of the field (which is now about a decade out of
         | date, so take it with a grain of salt), is that there is quite
         | a bit of skepticism about invoking exotic physics to solve the
         | last parsec problem. Galaxies are generally pretty messy
         | places, and the centers of galaxies are especially messy, so
         | it's hard to know if you've correctly modeled all the relevant
         | physics. A lot of astronomers aren't convinced that there
         | really is a last parsec problem.
         | 
         | The main "standard" approach to solve the last parsec problem
         | is from scattering stars (which the article mentions).
         | Basically, every now and then stars from the galaxy wander
         | close to the orbit of the black hole binary and then get
         | slingshotted out of the system. This removes energy from the
         | orbit, and causes the black hole binary to shrink. The problem
         | with this approach if you do a naive calculation is that the
         | stars have to come from a particular set of directions, called
         | the "loss cone" in the jargon. And since the orbits of stars in
         | galaxies are probably fairly static, once a star gets kicked
         | out of the loss cone, it doesn't come back. So over time the
         | loss cone empties and the black hole orbit stops shrinking. The
         | question is, does the orbit shrink far enough before the loss
         | cone empties, and the answer to this question has generally
         | been "no."
         | 
         | The way around this is to question how static the orbits of
         | stars in galaxies really are. One of the more important papers
         | on the topic found that if an elliptical galaxy is sufficiently
         | triaxial (that is, sufficiently non-spherical), then
         | interactions between stars in the galaxy can repopulate the
         | loss cone and cause the orbit to keep shrinking. But as I
         | vaguely recall, not everyone was convinced by that result.
         | 
         | I personally have had some ideas that galactic tides might
         | contribute, especially right after the merger before all the
         | orbits have had time to thermally relax. But I'm not in the
         | field anymore and haven't really had time to really model this
         | idea and see if it would work.
        
           | davedx wrote:
           | Considering the three body problem and extrapolating I would
           | expect star orbits in a galaxy to be completely chaotic on
           | long time scales?
        
             | neutronicus wrote:
             | A galaxy is a pretty degenerate instance of the n-body
             | problem, though.
             | 
             | A system of one or two giant bodies orbited by a collection
             | of tiny ones. Each tiny one spends most of its time in a
             | very weakly-perturbed two-body problem, quasi-stably
             | orbiting the giant one(s) with tiny deviations caused by
             | all the other ones. So you have to do some statistics to
             | see how often an assumed distribution of quasi-stable
             | orbits results in the tiny bodies approaching each other
             | closely enough to kick one another into meaningfully
             | different orbits of the giant ones.
             | 
             | This gives you a better idea of how long is "long" and how
             | it compares to the age of the universe
        
             | privong wrote:
             | > Considering the three body problem and extrapolating I
             | would expect star orbits in a galaxy to be completely
             | chaotic on long time scales?
             | 
             | That's more or less captured by the loss cone calculation.
             | On a very "long time scale" the loss cone will probably be
             | occasionally replenished by stars coming in from scattering
             | on larger scales, but the timescale for this to become
             | significant for galaxies is substantially longer than the
             | age of galaxies (and also longer than the Hubble time,
             | which is the ~age of the Universe). So, at least from this
             | back of the envelope calculation, that doesn't solve the
             | final parsec problem.
             | 
             | See, e.g., https://www.astro.umd.edu/~richard/ASTRO620/Dyna
             | mics_Lec3.pd...
        
         | rob74 wrote:
         | I don't have a physics masters degree, or anything comparable,
         | but when I read "Astrophysicists have a new suggestion: Dark
         | matter could sap angular momentum from the two black holes and
         | nudge them closer" I also thought "Really? Is _dark matter_ now
         | the stand-in explanation for anything unexplainable? "
         | 
         | But who knows, when one day someone will come up with a better
         | model that does away with the "dark matter kludge", it will
         | turn out that these phenomena actually have a common root
         | cause?
        
           | red1reaper wrote:
           | I mean... isn't that the point of dark matter and dark
           | energy? To be a stand-in name for stuff we have to account
           | for but can't detect properly? The dark here means dark as in
           | "we are in the dark about that".
           | 
           | It does not really matter if those exist or are an artifact
           | of current theories, replacing relativity is not that easy
           | and there are already a ton of physicists working on that
           | anyway.
           | 
           | In the meanwhile of either having instruments capable of
           | detecting these or a new theory that demostrates that those
           | are artifact emerge... they have to exist. That's the point
           | of them.
        
             | at_a_remove wrote:
             | Dark matter does not mean "we are in the dark about this,"
             | at all.
             | 
             | It's astronomy. It means "anything that is not shining like
             | a star but we can detect it via inference." _Light_ matter
             | is stars. Dark matter can include MACHOS: neutron stars,
             | black holes, brown dwarfs, rogue planets. No new physics
             | required for MACHOs, as opposed to WIMPs.
        
           | dguest wrote:
           | More positive spin: every "kludge" you add puts more
           | constraints on what dark matter could be. If we can verify
           | that the angular momentum transfer under this theory is
           | consistent with other dark matter models, we can build a
           | better framework to test a whole suite of theories with one
           | experiment.
        
           | ykonstant wrote:
           | If it exists and is ubiquitous then it makes sense to
           | contribute to all sorts of disparate phenomena; are we
           | surprised that "mass" pops up in all sorts of places?
           | 
           | Besides, epistemologically it is very good to suspect and
           | investigate the effects of DM on all kinds of phenomena.
           | Then, if it does not exist, we will have many more points of
           | reference from which to derive experimental or theoretical
           | contradictions.
        
           | exe34 wrote:
           | or conversely, I wonder how many different phenomena are
           | "explained" by dark matter, since it's infinitely
           | parametrisable.
        
         | elashri wrote:
         | > We've no way to detect dark matter directly, and so no way to
         | prove or disprove this hypothesis
         | 
         | We can and we are already searching for dark matter directly
         | [1] and indirectly [2]. The phase space is being closed every
         | now and then and this is progress. This gives us information
         | about where to look next.
         | 
         | [1]
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Direct_detection_of_dark_matte...
         | 
         | [2]
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indirect_detection_of_dark_mat...
        
           | empath75 wrote:
           | One way to think of non-detection is as evidence that we're
           | looking in the wrong place. Another way to think of non-
           | detection is as evidence that it doesn't exist.
        
             | mr_mitm wrote:
             | > One way to think of non-detection is as evidence that
             | we're looking in the wrong place
             | 
             | We aren't looking in only one place
             | 
             | > Another way to think of non-detection is as evidence that
             | it doesn't exist.
             | 
             | Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence. Exhausting
             | the parameter space until evidence is found is simply the
             | normal scientific progress.
        
               | zmgsabst wrote:
               | How many places do I need to look before I start to have
               | evidence my lost wallet isn't in my house?
               | 
               | The normal spot on the shelf? ...checking my pockets?
               | ...searching the bags I used to go shopping?
               | 
               | At each step, another of my theories about where my
               | wallet is gets disproven -- but none are direct evidence
               | it's not in my house.
               | 
               | We are playing the same game with dark matter: they keep
               | checking spots and it keeps not being there. At what
               | point does checking wrong theories start to suggest that
               | the entire idea is flawed?
        
               | mr_mitm wrote:
               | When you exhausted the parameter space (assuming you can
               | with our current technical abilities) or a competing idea
               | with actual evidence comes along. It's not like people
               | aren't trying.
        
               | elashri wrote:
               | The parameter space is usually (not only) a two
               | dimensional plot of mass and the coupling force
               | parameter. Those can give you a space that you would want
               | to explore. There will be no one experiment that would
               | give you sensitivity in all the parameter space. So you
               | design experiments and collect data. If you don't find in
               | the region your experiment were sensitive too (and you
               | did your analysis carefully) then you establish a limit
               | that says basically it cannot be in this region, look in
               | other regions, then repeat.
               | 
               | The analogy with your wallet is misleading because we
               | know your habits, we don't know about nature habits.
               | 
               | As I explained, when we exhaust the parameter space
               | regions and can't find anything then this would tell us
               | to give a shot to something else. Not that people are not
               | doing this now already anyways.
        
             | nkrisc wrote:
             | Except you don't know which it is until you've exhausted
             | the search space.
        
             | elashri wrote:
             | "Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence"
             | 
             | William Wright [1]
             | 
             | [1] https://quoteinvestigator.com/2019/09/17/absence/
        
               | marcosdumay wrote:
               | That's only true if you don't look.
        
           | margalabargala wrote:
           | The statements "We are attempting to directly detect dark
           | matter, so far without success" and "We have no way to detect
           | dark matter directly" can both be true. The first does not
           | disprove the second.
        
         | biorach wrote:
         | > but isn't there something depressing about this? Like, faced
         | with an interesting anomaly out there in the world, we have to
         | resort to tweaking the model of dark matter that is already an
         | invention to fit observational anomalies
         | 
         | This is unnecessarily negative. Physics progresses in fits and
         | starts, with plenty of blind alleys and red herrings. Maybe
         | we're in a phase akin to the aftermath of the Michelson-Morley
         | experiment. Or maybe it really is that complicated out there.
        
           | pantulis wrote:
           | > Maybe we're in a phase akin to the aftermath of the
           | Michelson-Morley experiment.
           | 
           | Loving this comparison, and I hope this is the case.
        
           | horsawlarway wrote:
           | I don't really find it unnecessarily negative.
           | 
           | I find dark matter seems to fit into the same pattern as
           | epicycles. We can add additional complexity to the theory to
           | make our models better match observational data, and that's
           | _useful_ but also strongly hints that something more basic
           | about the model is fundamentally incorrect. That 's
           | depressing.
        
             | mr_mitm wrote:
             | Which additional complexity has been added to dark matter?
             | I'm not aware of anything. A WIMP would still explain
             | everything, no? I don't see the comparison to epicycles at
             | all. Then again, almost no one with a formal education in
             | cosmology or partical physics at the PhD level does.
             | Curious how that works.
        
               | horsawlarway wrote:
               | See - now this... this I find needlessly negative.
               | 
               | > Then again, almost no one with a formal education in
               | cosmology or partical physics at the PhD level does.
               | 
               | This is also just wrong. I think we're seeing a number of
               | established voices starting to question the underpinnings
               | of dark matter as a theory.
               | 
               | As for
               | 
               | >Which additional complexity has been added to dark
               | matter?
               | 
               | Let's start with the fucking article we're discussing,
               | where we now need to have "self-interacting" dark matter,
               | as a new spin on the theory to account for the forces
               | needed to explain what we're observing...
        
               | mr_mitm wrote:
               | Which established voices do you mean? All I see is the
               | usual suspects, i.e. McGaugh, Kroupa, etc.
               | 
               | The article is also not adding complexity. We didn't get
               | new evidence that required modification of DM. We got a
               | phenomenon which has many potential explanations as the
               | "fucking" article points out, one of which could be a
               | subset of all DM theories. The final parsec problem isn't
               | challenging DM at all, instead one particular flavor of
               | DM could help explain the observation. If anything, it
               | could constrain DM. Why wouldn't you explore this
               | possibility?
        
               | tsimionescu wrote:
               | Dark matter models have different amounts and
               | distributions of it for each galaxy we care to look at,
               | so there is no predictive power, similar to how they had
               | to add new epicycles to explain the motion of every new
               | planet they observed.
        
               | Keysh wrote:
               | That's not even remotely correct.
               | 
               | Just today I heard a talk about people looking at stellar
               | motions in ultra faint dwarf galaxies, because standard
               | dark-model theories predict they should have centrally
               | cusped dark-matter density profiles -- and fuzzy dark-
               | matter models predict different profiles, which they
               | could potentially discriminate between.
        
             | sebzim4500 wrote:
             | Detecting objects by first detecting their gravitational
             | influence has been successful in the past, see the
             | discovery of Neptune for example.
        
           | zmgsabst wrote:
           | Michelson-Morley worked; we call it LIGO.
           | 
           | The period after the apparent failure to the present success
           | has been incredibly fruitful.
        
             | tsimionescu wrote:
             | The two are quite unrelated. Michelson-Morley was looking
             | for a difference in the speed of light reaching the Earth
             | from the Sun depending on the direction of motion of the
             | Earh. Gravitational waves are not related to that in any
             | way.
        
         | misja111 wrote:
         | The article did mention some other possibilities: stars swung
         | out of the surrounding galaxy into the orbiting black holes,
         | our friction due to surrounding gas disks. Both of these events
         | would take out angular energy as well but it's not sure if it
         | would be enough though.
        
         | bradley13 wrote:
         | I don't think you're a cynic at all. I object to the entire
         | "dark matter" hypothesis, because there is zero evidence for
         | it. What we have, are observations that indicate errors in our
         | models. We need to look for those errors, not invent ever more
         | abstruse version of "ether" to explain them away.
        
         | marcosdumay wrote:
         | When you get a more complex blank to fill, the normal thing to
         | do is to improve all of your blank-filling models to adapt for
         | it.
         | 
         | There's nothing wrong with that part.
         | 
         | I do have a problem with the single-minded insistence on
         | disqualifying any exploratory study on alternatives to a model
         | that gets more and more partially falsified all the time1. To
         | the point that only iffy personalities that don't care for
         | their careers decide to work on them. But on a situation like
         | this, those other models would probably be tweaked too.
         | 
         | 1 - I've never noticed it before, but that phrase gives me
         | great "Superstring Theory" vibes.
        
         | InDubioProRubio wrote:
         | It is interesting though.. if you think about the stage of
         | physics before relativity. The made up compensations
         | accumulating, but these made up formulas and compensation
         | strategies had a signature- a sort of kinematic model
         | connection, from which one could have guessed with a
         | unconventional thinker at the encompassing more correct model.
         | Like a formula, whos convex hull you can trace by swinging it
         | wildly.
        
       | mpreda wrote:
       | Is there an equivalent of Tidal Heating [1] taking place between
       | the two black holes? It would extract kinetic energy and put it
       | into.. heating the black holes.. whatever that may mean. Assuming
       | there is movement and friction in the core of a black hole.
       | 
       | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tidal_heating
        
         | isoprophlex wrote:
         | A black hole only has mass, angular momentum, and charge. So
         | you can only deal with those three... not deform and knead a
         | physical mass of planet as in tidal heating.
        
           | orlp wrote:
           | This is often stated but it literally can't be true. It's
           | true for _stationary solutions_ to the relevant equations,
           | but we 're very much not living in a stationary world.
           | 
           | Here's a simple thought experiment disproving your claim. A
           | person hovers just above the origin of a supermassive black
           | hole. They chuck a massively charged object into the black
           | hole. If what you said is true they should observe the charge
           | instantly being transported to the singularity, since a black
           | hole can't have any attributes such as where charge is
           | distributed within the horizon.
           | 
           | Where it gets impossible is that someone very far away around
           | the same supermassive black hole could observe a small charge
           | increment. They in turn could chuck charged stuff into the
           | black hole and now you've got faster than lightspeed
           | communication.
        
             | elashri wrote:
             | > above the origin of a supermassive black hole
             | 
             | I spent couple of minutes trying to understand your thought
             | experiment and was puzzled why can't I understand it. It
             | seems that it is probably because I don't understand what
             | you mean by "just above the origin of supermassive black
             | hole"?
             | 
             | I feel that you have something interesting to say but not
             | clear.
        
               | orlp wrote:
               | Mental typo, I meant horizon, not origin.
        
               | elashri wrote:
               | The no-hair theorem (scientific term for what you are
               | descriping) essentially states that black holes can be
               | completely described by only three externally observable
               | classical properties: mass, charge, and angular momentum.
               | The internal distribution of matter or charge within the
               | black hole is irrelevant from the outside once it crosses
               | the event horizon.
               | 
               | The charge of an object thrown into a black hole doesn't
               | need to "instantaneously" reach the singularity. In fact,
               | it doesn't even "travel" in the sense that the observer
               | would see a time delay based on where the charge is
               | inside the horizon. The EM field generated by this
               | charged object can still be observed outside the horizon
               | before the object crosses the horizon. In classical GR,
               | the exterior of a charged black hole is governed by the
               | Reissner-Nordstrom metric [1], and it already includes
               | the influence of charge. Once the object enters the
               | horizon, the outside observer will perceive the black
               | hole's external field to have changed. The field
               | adjustment is instant for the outside observer because,
               | from their point of view, the object never actually
               | crosses the event horizon (due to infinite time dilation
               | at the horizon from their perspective). The charge
               | appears to have been "absorbed" by the black hole when
               | the object is still outside the horizon.
               | 
               | So no-hair theorem doesn't imply that properties such as
               | charge or angular momentum must be "smeared"
               | instantaneously to the singularity inside the black hole.
               | The theorem only describes how these properties manifest
               | externally, not their behavior inside the horizon. Once a
               | charge object passes the event horizon, the information
               | about its charge is not causally connected to any
               | observer inside the black hole (except in QM contexts,
               | where the information paradox becomes relevant). However,
               | the charges affects the external metric of the black hole
               | immediately and completely as seen by external observers.
               | Also it doesn't say that the charge or mass needs to be
               | uniformly distributed or behave in any specific way
               | inside the event horizon. It only states that from the
               | outside, black holes look like point-like objects
               | characterized by mass, charge, and angular momentum. The
               | specifics of how charge is distributed inside the black
               | hole's event horizon aren't visible to outside observers
               | and therefore don't affect the validity of the theorem.
               | 
               | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reissner%E2%80%93Nordst
               | r%C3%B6...
        
               | orlp wrote:
               | Again, the no-hair theorem only talks about stationary
               | solutions:
               | 
               | > The no-hair theorem (which is a hypothesis) states that
               | all *stationary* black hole solutions of...
               | 
               | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/No-hair_theorem
               | 
               | > The field adjustment is instant for the outside
               | observer
               | 
               | And as my above thought experiment shows, any instant
               | changes like such could be used for FTL communication.
        
               | elashri wrote:
               | What is unique about your thoughts experiment that makes
               | it applies only to dynamical phases?
               | 
               | I am really not getting what you are trying to say?
        
               | orlp wrote:
               | The point I'm trying to make is that everyone always
               | cites the no hair theorem but completely leaves out the
               | "stationary solution" part, leading to misconceptions. My
               | thought experiment highlights that one _can 't_ treat a
               | black hole as a particle that only has mass, charge and
               | angular momentum in a dynamic world, because such a
               | treatment must inherently lead to instantaneous updates
               | to large regions of spacetime in response to 'stimuli'
               | (in the form of mass, charge or angular momentum) for
               | super massive black holes, which is impossible.
        
               | elashri wrote:
               | I understand that this is valid for stationary solution
               | which is what an astronomical black hole would be most of
               | the time. What I don't get is why do you assume that this
               | would violate causality. In GR the idea that changes must
               | "instantaneously update" large regions of spacetime due
               | to supermassive black holes ignores relativistic effects
               | like time dilation. From the perspective of an external
               | observer, as an object falls into a black hole, time
               | appears to slow down near the event horizon. The
               | infalling object's influence on the black hole's external
               | field (e.g., its charge or mass) is perceived gradually
               | by distant observers.
               | 
               | For supermassive black holes, this process might seem
               | slow due to the massive scale of spacetime curvature near
               | the event horizon, but there is no requirement for
               | instantaneous changes. In fact, relativistic causality
               | ensures that no information can propagate faster than
               | light, so updates to the black hole's charge, mass, or
               | angular momentum are constrained by the speed at which
               | signals (gravitational or electromagnetic) can travel.
        
               | WJW wrote:
               | I think time would pass incredibly slowly for an observer
               | that close to the black hole? Since the event horizon
               | provides a singularity where time slows to zero, it makes
               | sense that any non-zero speed along it would go to
               | infinity for an outside observer.
               | 
               | I doubt you could usefully exploit this behavior, because
               | any charges would still need to travel to and away from
               | the black hole at no more than light speed, and because
               | time slows down the further you get to the event horizon
               | the shortest path "around" a black hole would probably
               | not go through it.
        
             | saagarjha wrote:
             | You can't actually observe objects going into a black hole.
             | They just become redshifted and fall slower and slower from
             | your perspective towards the event horizon.
        
             | isoprophlex wrote:
             | The singularity is not the same thing as its event horizon.
             | 
             | That said, it's the no hair _theorem_. It could of course
             | still be wrong...
        
             | ben_w wrote:
             | The object will be observed asymptotically _decelerating_
             | as it approaches the event horizon, never gets observed
             | crossing by a distant observer.
             | 
             | IIRC the event horizon expands to encompass the object just
             | before it gets to the original horizon, due to the
             | Schwarzschild formula.
             | 
             | Also IIRC, the electric field is blurred out by the
             | geodesics by this point, as if it were from the interior.
             | But that's based on what I've heard, I have yet to derive
             | useful results from the Einstein field equations, even
             | though I think I should give it a go and I can follow them
             | well enough to code a simple simulation...
        
         | gizmo686 wrote:
         | Gravitational waves have a similar effect of sapping the
         | kinetic energy of orbiting black holes. Instead of heating the
         | black holes, the energy is emitted as gravitational radiation.
         | Having said that, now that we have actual observations of the
         | gravitational radiation emmited from merging black holes, we
         | can be pretty confident in our understanding of the magnitude
         | of this energy loss. And that understanding is that it does not
         | become significant until well into the last parsec.
        
           | vlovich123 wrote:
           | But however insignificant it is, wouldn't it always be there
           | sapping angular momentum & over a long period of time drag
           | any two objects closer and closer together? What would be the
           | repulsive force counteracting this?
        
             | Salgat wrote:
             | So the question isn't how they merge, but how they do it so
             | quickly.
        
               | antognini wrote:
               | Yes, dynamical friction can "quickly" (on the order of
               | 100 Myr) bring the two black holes to a distance of ~1 pc
               | to each other. Gravitational wave radiation can "quickly"
               | cause a merger if they are within a bit less than ~0.1 pc
               | of each other. But how they go from 1 to 0.1 pc on a
               | timescale of ~100 Myr is unknown.
        
             | ardel95 wrote:
             | It would be. Which is why any pair of orbiting bodies will
             | eventually collide.
             | 
             | It's just that for black holes this effect is insignificant
             | (a merger would take much longer than the age of the
             | Universe) until they get close to each other, much closer
             | than 1 parsec.
        
       | euroderf wrote:
       | OT but, is there any good reason why "parsecs" are used as
       | distance units rather than "light-[time units]" ? The latter
       | enjoys broad familiarity in the general community.
        
         | lou1306 wrote:
         | Not a physicist but it seems to be part of astrophysics
         | culture, and it's a good "base measure" for interstellar space
         | (i.e., if something is < 1pc away it's likely within your same
         | star system). A parsec is ~3.26 lys, for context.
        
           | hnuser123456 wrote:
           | At the stellar density in our region of the galaxy, sure. The
           | density is hundreds of times higher closer to the center.
        
         | vikingerik wrote:
         | It's customary in astronomy because it correlates more directly
         | with observation. An object 10 parsecs away exhibits a parallax
         | shift of 1/10 arcsecond.
        
         | sulandor wrote:
         | supposedly not besides being a good shibboleth
        
       | dguest wrote:
       | link to papers:
       | 
       | - https://arxiv.org/abs/2401.14450
       | 
       | - https://arxiv.org/abs/2311.03412
       | 
       | - https://arxiv.org/abs/2311.18228v1
        
       | Jean-Papoulos wrote:
       | "heh it's probably dark matter"
       | 
       | Saved you a click.
        
       | foobarkey wrote:
       | Every time the math doesn't check out throw in some dark matter
       | :)
        
       | mxmilkiib wrote:
       | Diaspora, by Greg Egan
        
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