[HN Gopher] Cargo Airships Are Happening
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Cargo Airships Are Happening
        
       Author : elidourado
       Score  : 176 points
       Date   : 2024-10-14 16:31 UTC (1 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.elidourado.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.elidourado.com)
        
       | oatsandsugar wrote:
       | Time to order a leather hat, goggles and a scarf.
        
       | thecrumb wrote:
       | I see this brought up every few years but nothing ever seems to
       | happen. I used to live not far from the Weeksville station in NC
       | and would occasionally see flights from there. Would love to see
       | these all over. https://www.atlasobscura.com/places/weeksville-
       | dirigible-han...
        
         | fl0id wrote:
         | This. Anybody remember cargolifter?
        
           | myspy wrote:
           | I still remember seeing the big hall in a Galileo broadcast
           | https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cargolifter-Luftschiffhalle
        
           | user_of_the_wek wrote:
           | For anyone not familiar with Cargolifter, this might be a
           | useful start: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CargoLifter
           | 
           | I remember when i had a students job, some older colleague
           | told me he sunk a nice sum into this. Foolishly, maybe!
        
       | metalman wrote:
       | Cargo airships will not happen,in any land based area where wind
       | happens,ie :anywhere this has been hammered flat on numerous
       | aviation engineering forums the only way around the guaranteed
       | ground handling debaucle is to engineer mega structur masts for
       | anchoring,which will need to have a circular pad underneath,where
       | the cargo would have to follow the LTA,as it pivots in the wind
       | so back to a debaucle,with lots of smashing stuff one possibility
       | is airship to ocean ship transfers where wind drift can be
       | managed.....sort of could be made to work for passengers snd
       | small cargo that loads through the central pivot in the mast
       | still the anchoring phase will always be very high risk
        
         | frickinLasers wrote:
         | I'd bet a bunch of former SpaceX engineers will figure out a
         | solution.
        
           | peterashford wrote:
           | Yeah, dude was head of Hyperloop. Nailed that one
        
             | frickinLasers wrote:
             | I take your point in that there are a lot of naysayers
             | here, as there were with Hyperloop. There were also
             | hundreds of volunteers working on the project, who clearly
             | thought it had a chance of working--and many more saying
             | rockets would never be made reusable, it had been tried
             | before, too many problems that can never be solved...
             | 
             | "Success is stumbling from failure to failure with no loss
             | of enthusiasm." - Winston Churchill
        
               | cjbgkagh wrote:
               | Apples and oranges. Of my many engineer friends none of
               | them thought the hyper loop was viable, it's an absurdly
               | bad idea. Like installing compressed air jets in cars for
               | faster acceleration. Another one of Elons missives.
               | 
               | Reusable rockets were more of an economic issue, is there
               | enough demand for economic viability. That was always
               | going to be the real magic. I think that is still an open
               | question but it at least appears plausible.
        
               | Wytwwww wrote:
               | Even if they solve most of the technical issues could
               | this ever be competitive with planes/ships/trucks? Under
               | what circumstances?
               | 
               | It just doesn't seem very practical, basically you'd need
               | to transport freight to places with no access to
               | sea/roads or rails and can't fit it on an airplane. Is
               | there a lot of demand for this? Also presumably such
               | areas would have harsh and unpredictable weather..
               | 
               | > Success is stumbling from failure to failure with no
               | loss of enthusiasm
               | 
               | Survivor bias? For every case of it working out there are
               | many more of people wasting time and enthusiasm on
               | something that's a dead end (and this was the general
               | consensus for the past 80 years or so)
        
               | usrusr wrote:
               | Some loads simply don't fit on trucks, or rather on the
               | roads that the trucks have to use. Heavy lift airship
               | would operate in a market segment that does not even
               | exist without them.
        
               | Wytwwww wrote:
               | > market segment
               | 
               | So I'm just curious what is that segment and how large
               | ($) can it be? What cargo exactly would it be
               | transporting?
        
               | usrusr wrote:
               | Wind turbine blades is the obvious one. On-shore turbines
               | would be much larger (which btw implies lower rpm, which
               | implies being less annoying) if they were not constrained
               | by land transport.
        
               | pclmulqdq wrote:
               | Why do people lionize trying ideas that are known to be
               | dumb and/or impossible? Is it because we just no longer
               | believe that things truly are impossible (or dumb)? The
               | ideas that all turn out to be "impossible" successes are
               | ones where the math or physics bears out the idea but the
               | engineering is "impossible."
               | 
               | Hyperloop (and vacuum train systems for the ~100 years
               | they were called that before the Musk rebrand) had
               | physics problems, and no matter how hard anyone tried,
               | they were guaranteed to run into them. Cargo airships
               | also have a physics problem that make them absurdly
               | expensive and risky to put cargo on. In both cases, this
               | is an idea that is 100 years old and where the physics
               | has been studied. This time is not different unless you
               | have solid reasoning.
               | 
               | Contrast that with rockets, to use another Musk example:
               | Rockets are well within the bounds of physics, but a hard
               | engineering problem. Landing a rocket propulsively was
               | also known to be an "impossible" engineering challenge
               | that was first demonstrated in the 1990's (with too low
               | reliability).
        
               | Qwertious wrote:
               | >Why do people lionize trying ideas that are known to be
               | dumb and/or impossible?
               | 
               | Because airships are really cool.
        
               | frickinLasers wrote:
               | Because airships are simple and cheap, and as the blog
               | post says: if they can get cargo point-to-point across
               | the Atlantic, they will put air freight out of business.
               | 
               | If they can't do that, at least they could be
               | competitive.
        
               | pclmulqdq wrote:
               | Ships are simple and cheap. Airships are known to combine
               | the drawbacks of ships (slow, weather-dependent) with the
               | drawbacks of airplanes (needs to be light so it can fly).
               | 
               | That is not a winning combination for putting any kind of
               | freight carrying out of business. The main reason people
               | use air freight today is to get something from one
               | continent to another in 24 hours. Airships will never do
               | that.
        
               | pclmulqdq wrote:
               | Great, form an airship club. Stop throwing $100 million
               | after $100 million of your investors' cash at your hobby.
        
               | frickinLasers wrote:
               | Well, TIL something I thought was demonstrated mid-
               | century didn't happen until the 90s.
        
             | dralley wrote:
             | Hyperloop succeeded at exactly what it was meant to succeed
             | at, which was planting just enough FOMO to get a handful of
             | rail projects in California delayed and ultimately
             | canceled.
        
           | panick21_ wrote:
           | There are tons of dumb startups that were created by former
           | SpaceX people. Having worked at SpaceX doesn't magically turn
           | you into a superior person that can solve all problems. But
           | having worked at SpaceX is a great way to convinced investors
           | to give you money.
        
         | jordanb wrote:
         | Modern airships are semi-rigid. They have a keel and a rigid
         | structure to support the empennage. The rest of the structure
         | can be deflated and collapsed just like a non-rigid blimp.
        
         | usrusr wrote:
         | It absolutely can happen, but not for routine goods where being
         | on schedule is highly important. But for outsize goods, waiting
         | for a favorable weather forecast is a much smaller concern than
         | strengthening roads or perhaps even removing a bridge or two.
         | For how wind turbine deployment, freight airship would be a
         | gamechanger and there's a long (but truly narrow) tail of more
         | niche use cases. Including any "unknown unkowns" that really
         | can't exist before matching transportation.
         | 
         | The challenge is fitting the engineering required into the
         | revenue that could be expected from those tiny markets It's
         | tempting to characteristize turbine blade delivery as bigger
         | than tiny, but compared to commodity transport like shuttling
         | containers between China and the rest of the world that's still
         | tiny.
        
       | 00N8 wrote:
       | One challenge I've heard of is: If you carry 100 tons of cargo
       | from point A to point B in an airship, for the airship to return
       | to point A, it needs to take on another 100 tons of new cargo (or
       | ballast), or it needs to vent (or compress) lifting gas, in order
       | to maintain the correct buoyancy. I wonder what the best approach
       | is here, & how it affects the economics? Is water ballast safe &
       | cheap enough, or is there a better way?
        
         | jordanb wrote:
         | Yeah although typically they used water ballast, which is cheap
         | and easy to find.
         | 
         | One thing worth considering is going back to hydrogen as a
         | lifting gas. Not only is it a better lifting gas than helium
         | and much cheaper, it could be used as fuel.
         | 
         | An airship that burned its own lifting gas would have the
         | curious property of getting heavier the further it traveled.
         | This could be countered by dual-fueling it and also have
         | engines that burned heavier-than-air fuel like kerosene or
         | propane. The hydrogen engines could burn the lifting gas at the
         | same rate as the kerosene engines burn the ballast-fuel.
        
           | jodrellblank wrote:
           | The Graf Zeppelin burnt Blaugas[1] because it's about the
           | same density as air, so as the fuel tanks emptied the
           | buoyancy didn't change. See [2] for other things the
           | Zeppelins did, which says " _The LZ 127 Graf Zeppelin had bi-
           | fuel engines, and could use gasoline and Blau gas as a
           | propellant. Twelve of the vessel 's gas cells were filled
           | with a propellant gas instead of lifting gas with a total
           | volume of 30,000 cubic metres, enough for approximately 100
           | flight hours. The fuel tank had a gasoline volume of 67
           | flight hours. Using both gasoline and Blau gas, one could
           | achieve 118 hours of cruise time._"
           | 
           | That article mentions that the Zeppelins experimented with
           | burning Hydrogen lift gas as fuel "without much success" but
           | doesn't add detail.
           | 
           | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blau_gas
           | 
           | [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Buoyancy_compensator_(aviat
           | ion...
        
             | jordanb wrote:
             | My understanding was blau-gass was unpressurized propane,
             | which is a little more dense than air. But I guess
             | according to that article it's slightly less.
             | 
             | I'd expect that, like a lot of problems zeppelins had in
             | the 1920s, burning hydrogen would be more feasible with
             | modern technology.
             | 
             | I'd also point out that the thing that made hydrogen
             | dangerous in those airships was that the skin was two
             | layers. The inner skin was the gas bags, which were very
             | fragile, and then the rigid structure and the outer skin to
             | protect the fragile bags. This was a problem because
             | hydrogen could accumulate and mix with air between the
             | inner and outer skins. The outer skin also was quite
             | flammable. Nowadays, we can make materials that are both
             | strong enough to serve as an outer skin and impervious
             | enough to serve as a gas bag for lifting gas, so modern
             | airships have only one skin and nowhere for the lifting gas
             | to mix with air inside the structure.
        
               | knowaveragejoe wrote:
               | The way the cutaway images on their site look, the
               | bouyant members would be nestled in the actual structure
               | in large tanks.
               | 
               | https://www.shipbyairship.com/
        
               | jordanb wrote:
               | This actually makes me think these people are unserious.
               | This is an obsolescent airship design. ZeppelinNT,
               | Airlander 10, and Lockheed P-719 all use the semi-rigid
               | design with integral gas bags.
        
               | usrusr wrote:
               | Uncompressed propane would have simply been called
               | Propangas I think. That term had been established well
               | enough in the second half of the century and while the
               | Zeppelin-era was before that, I doubt that the term
               | changed much.
               | 
               | But if you aim for a buoyancy-neutral fuel, you can just
               | add hydrogen to the mix, as little or much as you need.
               | That custom blend then would be precisely the thing you
               | don't invent a creative name for but just use a color
               | code ("the blue one").
        
           | __MatrixMan__ wrote:
           | To move in the opposite direction you could use photovoltaics
           | to electrolyze lifting/fuel hydrogen from water. Up there
           | above the clouds you'd have pretty good conditions for solar
           | if you could make the panels light enough.
        
         | imoverclocked wrote:
         | > it needs to take on another 100 tons of new cargo (or
         | ballast) ... in order to maintain the correct buoyancy.
         | 
         | Sounds perfect for a cargo situation. Add new cargo as old
         | cargo is removed.
        
           | knowaveragejoe wrote:
           | As I understand it, it's common for a cargo ship to unload
           | full containers and take on empties for the return voyage.
           | Are cargo vessels holds always partially full vs. empty
           | containers, bouncing between ports?
           | 
           | Would this issue even be a problem for fixed routes? If
           | you're always taking full containers between two points, that
           | is.
        
         | __MatrixMan__ wrote:
         | Rather than taking a huge shipment, delivering it, and having
         | to deal with an empty airship, maybe it's better to think of it
         | as a slowly drifting warehouse. Drones can handle delivery and
         | restock across short distances, and the airship doesn't land at
         | all. This would let you maintain a more or less consistent
         | mass.
        
           | danpalmer wrote:
           | That's cool, but also a quite different business and
           | operating model where storage and delivery multiplexing are
           | much more of a thing than with air freight.
           | 
           | The other problem is the drones. For this to work you'd be
           | shipping either regular TEU containers or the air freight
           | equivalent (not sure what they're called but there's a
           | standard shape I believe), however no drone available today
           | can move either of those. That means new drones, new shipping
           | form factors, or both, and those are both hard problems that
           | you probably don't want to face when already trying to launch
           | a new freight modality.
        
             | xg15 wrote:
             | Awesome idea, but as you say, seems more like a sort of
             | "last mile delivery vehicle" than cargo transport.
             | 
             | You could imagine some sort of futuristic flying Amazon
             | warehouse/drone carrier: It would be pre-stocked at a
             | distribution center, with packets already arranged in a way
             | that they can be picked up by drones individually. Then it
             | floats over a neighborhood while the drones deliver the
             | individual packets to the homes below.
        
               | __MatrixMan__ wrote:
               | I was thinking of these as an alternative to having a
               | distribution center. They're just always traveling on a
               | few routes determined mostly by prevailing winds, making
               | big circles around the planet. If you live on one of
               | those routes, you can last mile delivery directly from
               | the warehouse as it passes overhead. If not, the drones
               | are loading/unloading a train or some such.
        
       | xnyan wrote:
       | The (biggest) problem that keeps airships from practical use is
       | that they are huge sails. Big sails mean even small amounts of
       | wind can be powerful forces acting on the airship. In the air a
       | big push from the wind might be safely managed, but if you're
       | near anything solid such as the ground, you can get smashed to
       | bits.
       | 
       | To safely operate a suitably efficient (large) airship, we'd need
       | both huge specialized docks with extremely strong mooring
       | structures to keep wind from smashing the airship into whatever
       | is near it, and a system (such as a 3-axis propulsion system on
       | the airship) that is capable of counteracting wind force acting
       | on the airship when it's near the ground or other solid objects
       | and not docked.
       | 
       | Despite the many attractive advantages of airships, there's yet
       | been anything like a good solution to this problem. There are
       | other challenges too (what do you do when you drop off your cargo
       | and the airship wants to shoot up into the air? Vent gas? Rapidly
       | compress your gas?), this is just the biggest.
        
         | labcomputer wrote:
         | > There are other challenges too (what do you do when you drop
         | off your cargo and the airship wants to shoot up into the air?
         | Vent gas? Rapidly compress your gas?)
         | 
         | Not to detract from your overall point, but you do the same
         | thing you do when burning fuel while cruising: Add ballast.
         | 
         | Yes, but how do you add ballast to an airship while it is
         | underway? Simple: condense water out of the exhaust like the
         | zeppelins did.
        
           | zabzonk wrote:
           | > Simple: condense water out of the exhaust like the
           | zeppelins did.
           | 
           | Citation? Would not the condenser need to burn fuel, thus
           | lightening the ship?
        
             | imoverclocked wrote:
             | You are carrying fuel and using oxygen from the atmosphere
             | to combust it. When it's hot, it's a gas. By simply cooling
             | it and recovering most of it, you are potentially left with
             | more mass than you started off with... and Oxygen is
             | relatively heavy.
        
               | sethherr wrote:
               | The article describes electric airships
        
               | mitthrowaway2 wrote:
               | The GP asked about burning fuel. But in the case of
               | electric airships, you can run an electric condenser,
               | extracting atmospheric water vapor.
        
               | shiroiushi wrote:
               | That seems like it would be really bad for energy
               | efficiency: now you need batteries large enough for
               | propulsion during the whole trip, plus extra for
               | extracting water vapor.
               | 
               | Why not just take on some liquid water at the destination
               | when you drop the cargo?
        
               | Qwertious wrote:
               | Because that's less flexible and there may not be water
               | at the destination in the first place. That said, Flying
               | Whales are trying to do exactly that, because ballast
               | tech just isn't capable enough yet.
        
               | bondarchuk wrote:
               | You're both missing the forest for the trees, when the
               | airship is electric obviously you don't have to add
               | ballast while flying because you don't have to compensate
               | for burnt fuel.
        
               | Qwertious wrote:
               | The ballast is for cargo, which needs to be picked up and
               | dropped off. Fuel is just a potential solution.
        
               | Ajedi32 wrote:
               | Why condense water from fuel or the air then when you can
               | just connect to the local municipal water system? You're
               | already at port!
        
               | pclmulqdq wrote:
               | This idea of extracting water from air keeps coming back,
               | but every time someone tries it, they learn of the same
               | thermodynamic limits. It is _extremely energy-intensive_
               | to extract water from the air, and it only really works
               | if the climate is humid enough that there is water in the
               | air to extract. This is exactly what a dehumidifier does,
               | and the off-the-shelf version you can buy at home depot
               | is no more than 5-10x worse than the thermodynamic limits
               | - those generate a pitiful amount of water for a lot of
               | energy intake.
        
               | Qwertious wrote:
               | Do we even need to extract the water? The point is to
               | capture weight, and the only reason to liquefy the water
               | is to store it more efficiently, by volume.
               | 
               | Storing higher humidity air doesn't sound very efficient,
               | storing liquefied humid air sounds like a disaster
               | waiting to happen, and storing compressed air sounds like
               | an unnecessarily complicated alternative to just
               | compressing the hydrogen.
        
               | QuadmasterXLII wrote:
               | The article describes diesel electric airships.
        
               | dotancohen wrote:
               | The fine article shows them lowering a container from a
               | crane. I'd love to see them connect the crane to an
               | electric generator and actually regen the potential
               | energy of the container into electricity.
        
           | jandrese wrote:
           | It has to be more energy efficient to re-compress your
           | lifting gas back into storage bottles. What do modern
           | airships do? This has to be a solved problem.
        
         | 0xCMP wrote:
         | I think they're aware of all these problems because they do
         | mention almost everything you said in the linked post thinking
         | through the idea: https://www.elidourado.com/p/cargo-airships
         | 
         | Obviously that was simply a post thinking through everything
         | hypothetically and I didn't read anything that seemed like they
         | actually had the best solution, but at least they seem to be
         | aware of the challenges to landing and off-loading cargo
         | efficiently.
        
           | ben-schaaf wrote:
           | Reading that article I see no proposed solutions to this sail
           | problem. They mention wind as an issue for delivery times but
           | not safety. There's also no acknowledgement that the "scaling
           | law" that makes building huge airships lucrative also makes
           | these problems worse.
        
             | wang_li wrote:
             | You're failing to see the secret that is exposed by the
             | fact that their Chief Engineer comes from hyperloop.
             | They're going to dig tunnels connecting all their
             | destinations and run the airships underground in a vacuum
             | sealed network. No atmospheric drag at all! Bingo!
        
               | withinboredom wrote:
               | How can you call yourself an engineer and work on the
               | hyperloop. Literally only takes about 30s of thought to
               | realize it is an impossible idea.
        
               | dr_dshiv wrote:
               | Please reveal the impossibility of the idea?
        
               | withinboredom wrote:
               | Sure.
               | 
               | If you put it above ground, you are a few short bullets
               | from killing everyone in the loop. Hitting a wall of air
               | in a vacuum at hundreds of miles per hour is going to be
               | like hitting a brick wall. Ask any reentering spacecraft.
               | 
               | The same problem exists underground, the weakest points
               | being the stations themselves which can be bombed.
               | 
               | A failure in the system itself (even just a power outage
               | or malfunctioning equipment) would mean people suffocate
               | inside after a matter of minutes.
               | 
               | So, sure, it is possible to create it, but it is
               | impossible to make any sort of safety guarantees. In
               | other words, literally any other mode of transport would
               | be safer, including a hydrogen-filled dirigible.
               | 
               | So, sure, the concept itself might be possible, but an
               | engineer doesn't concern themselves with possible. That
               | is for scientists. An engineer considers what is
               | realistic AND possible, because that is an engineer's
               | job: to make the possible real. This cannot be real;
               | literally no regulator would ever sign off on it.
        
               | alluro2 wrote:
               | I don't particularly defend feasibility of Hyperloop, but
               | did want to point out that your comment sounded awfully
               | like when people were ridiculing the idea of human
               | flight, landing on the moon etc... Finding engineering
               | solutions to what looked as "impossible" challenges were
               | some of the best feats of humanity so far.
        
             | 0xCMP wrote:
             | Right, I am not saying they're right or wrong (not
             | something I would know anything about), but it seems
             | they've been vaguely aware of the issues from the start.
             | Namely, _before the SpaceX engineer and starting the
             | company._
        
         | fulafel wrote:
         | I think if that was the biggest problem, they'd be used much
         | more. There are a lot of places with light and regular winds,
         | and we're also pretty good at predicting winds in the 1 day
         | forward timescale. And of course there's the regular and
         | predictable high winds that were traditionally used by sail
         | ships.
        
           | eptcyka wrote:
           | The article is talking about atlantic freight trips - middle
           | of the ocean is not one of those places with light winds.
        
             | dole wrote:
             | "Hindenburg made 17 round trips across the Atlantic in 1936
             | -- its first and only full year of service -- with ten
             | trips to the United States and seven to Brazil."
        
               | withinboredom wrote:
               | A modern ship can make the same number of trips and not
               | be dependent on weather at all.
        
           | giantrobot wrote:
           | Even a light wind with a giant sail area is dangerous. An
           | _empty_ 20ft shipping container weighs about two tons. If it
           | 's hanging from an airship and the wind causes it to shift
           | even a foot it'll kill you dead if it hits you. If it hit a
           | light frame building it would bust right through a wall. It
           | would also easily knock down a non-reinforced cinder block
           | wall.
           | 
           | A cargo airship would lowering cargo would essentially be an
           | incredibly dangerous crane. The sail area of the airship
           | makes it far more dangerous than lowering external cargo with
           | a helicopter.
        
         | dylan604 wrote:
         | Just cover the thing in solar, and run it on electric. Add a
         | couple of wind turbines too. I mean, the whole concept is
         | preposterous, so why not just lean into it?
        
           | bee_rider wrote:
           | Solar powered airships floating around the world, following
           | the prevailing winds, accepting durable goods by... catapult
           | or something, delivery by chucking it out the window over
           | populated areas. Paint them some nice pastel colors and we're
           | in Solarpunk world.
        
             | Ekaros wrote:
             | Jet packs and tax free shopping as next step. Wait for your
             | friendly airship to come around and go get your duty free
             | stuff somehow... Surely there is some places they can visit
             | on the way so it counts...
        
             | jandrese wrote:
             | Wouldn't delivery be done by quadcopter drones? There have
             | already been pilots projects where Amazon does delivery by
             | drone in a couple of places. I don't think they were a
             | success, but an airship adds some constraints that might
             | make the more viable. Downside is the copters needs to
             | return to whatever altitude the ship is currently cruising
             | at, which might be close to their ceiling.
             | 
             | But on a side note my first reaction to the headline of
             | this article was "no they are not". Airships have a number
             | of fundamental drawbacks that I don't think we are any
             | closer to solving. Ultimately they're as slow as a cargo
             | ship, can only carry a relatively small and light payload
             | like an airplane, require specialized ports like ships and
             | airplanes, and are expensive to build and operate. They
             | just don't have a viable niche.
        
               | dylan604 wrote:
               | > Wouldn't delivery be done by quadcopter drones?
               | 
               | But if you drop them via cheap parachute, you wouldn't
               | need anything to return. I bet they'd only be slightly
               | less accurate delivery than what their "don't give a
               | damn" delivery system in place now.
        
               | jandrese wrote:
               | Maybe, but as you point out you lose your pinpoint
               | accuracy and also it consumes a parachute for every
               | delivery. Your customers end up with a whole bunch of
               | cloth to dispose of and you have to store enough for
               | every delivery. The beauty of the quadcopter is that it
               | is reusable. It can also use air brakes to help slow the
               | descent and really only burn power on the very last bit
               | of the delivery and then on the ascent back up, where it
               | is no longer burdened by the package.
        
               | dylan604 wrote:
               | You seem to be losing the spirit of the conversation, and
               | that spirit is the idea is preposterous. In that spirit,
               | being reusable is irrelevant. I'm sure if they wanted,
               | they could figure out how to make a disposable parachute
               | that can be composted or recycled. At that's a far as
               | practical as I'm willing to go
        
             | marcosdumay wrote:
             | I avidly wait for that factorio mod!
        
             | DowagerDave wrote:
             | or the final panel of an xkcd comic!
        
             | svilen_dobrev wrote:
             | how about people? why only freight?
             | 
             | enter the Jump-o-cabin, press The Button, be catapulted
             | into airship 3, fly to somewhere else, get parachuted
             | down..
             | 
             | Bonus: the just-landed Jump-o-cabin can be used as free-
             | standing toilet. uh, Was already used as...
        
               | dylan604 wrote:
               | I like the people delivery idea. Maybe wrap them in
               | bubble wrap, and then drop them with a smallish parachute
               | like NASA did with the Mars lander.
        
           | numitus wrote:
           | I calculated, than the airship with 100tonns capacity, and
           | wind speed 25m/s require 25tons trust to compensatecthenwind.
           | It is Boeing jet engine, not Electric fan require.
        
             | dylan604 wrote:
             | I've seen some YouTube videos converting Boeing jet engines
             | to electric, but you have to smash that like and ring that
             | subscribe bell to be able to see the build
        
         | mschuster91 wrote:
         | > what do you do when you drop off your cargo and the airship
         | wants to shoot up into the air? Vent gas? Rapidly compress your
         | gas?
         | 
         | As long as it's just one small bubble with hydrogen, you can
         | flare it off or combine with oxygen from the air outside to
         | reduce lift.
        
         | Ajedi32 wrote:
         | What makes you think "docks with extremely strong mooring
         | structures" is a particularly difficult problem to solve? A
         | giant metal hook anchored in concrete attached to the ship with
         | some steel cables doesn't seem like it would be _that_
         | difficult for a team of smart engineers with a multi-million
         | dollar budget to figure out a good design for. Certainly not so
         | difficult or expensive as to threaten to make the entire
         | concept nonviable.
        
           | jandrese wrote:
           | Historically the difficulty isn't in building the mast, it is
           | in preventing the airship from being smashed into the mast by
           | the wind. Or in dramatic cases flipping end over end because
           | it was only moored on one location.
        
             | Ajedi32 wrote:
             | Interesting. Why a mast and not just the ground? Pull up
             | the mooring lines (probably more than the amount needed to
             | actually hold the ship, for redundancy), connect them to
             | the ship, then pull on the lines with winches until the
             | ship is on the ground. That's basically how seafaring ships
             | work... are there any unique challenges with airships?
        
               | jandrese wrote:
               | The unique challenge is that everything is way up in the
               | air and constantly moving around.
        
       | cookiengineer wrote:
       | I think this has actually great potential for fruit transports.
       | 
       | Many countries export and import fruits from neighboring
       | countries, because goods like fruits need a riping process and
       | time, and storage space locally is more expensive than
       | transporting them via container ship.
       | 
       | For example, almost the same fruits that are exported from Hawaii
       | are simultaneously imported from Chile, and vice versa. Both
       | nations grow those natively, but storage space on the ground is
       | more expensive than shipment.
       | 
       | If this was part or focus of the airship freighting company, I'd
       | see great potential there. Not even that, they wouldn't even need
       | to transport anything, if they could invent a storage space in
       | the air that's tax free, or maybe even offshore above the water.
        
         | jodrellblank wrote:
         | > " _if they could invent a storage space .. offshore above the
         | water_ "
         | 
         | like, a boat?
        
           | cookiengineer wrote:
           | On water: More like atlantis, with a harbor and a loading
           | dock.
           | 
           | Above water: maybe rope-anchored airships.
           | 
           | What I wanted to point out is that taxes are ground based,
           | meaning the volume that's available above the ground usually
           | is not used because of physical limitations of buildings and
           | construction.
           | 
           | You could increase that efficiency of recurring costs for
           | land vs storage space with airships.
        
             | cjbgkagh wrote:
             | I don't see how storage space in airships could come
             | anywhere as cheap as storage space on land even taking land
             | taxes into account. Airships are not cheap and would need
             | regular maintenance. I guess the water analog of a
             | warehouse would be a barge to get perhaps you're thinking
             | more of an airbarge concept. Even still, warehouses are
             | cheap in a way that flying things are not.
        
               | cookiengineer wrote:
               | Well, this discussion is in the context of airships, so
               | there's no question that everything that doesn't require
               | potential energy to defeat gravity and to stay in
               | position is more efficient.
               | 
               | The most efficient solution is btw not doing anything,
               | and just leave the goods where they are produced, and
               | stop producing too much for the own population. I'm
               | pointing out that the concepts of finance and economies
               | don't necessarily come hand in hand with what's more
               | efficient to build. Otherwise people would use trains and
               | not cars and planes.
        
               | cjbgkagh wrote:
               | Color me confused. I do not understand what point you're
               | making - it appears to be all over the map until the end
               | where it makes no point at all.
        
         | drivebyhooting wrote:
         | I just want to say that fruits need a ripening time because
         | they are picked too early to accommodate transportation.
         | 
         | Fruits picked ripe from the tree are significantly tastier and
         | probably healthier.
        
           | selimthegrim wrote:
           | Meet ethylene.
        
       | dpflan wrote:
       | What is the current target use-case for this company's airships,
       | the use-case that will get them a consistent business that will
       | allow them to grow?
       | 
       | What is the target operating speed considering cargo weight?
       | 
       | How much cargo can such an airship carry at its target operating
       | speed such that this is more efficient than air-freight and land-
       | freight?
        
         | Invictus0 wrote:
         | Read the article dude
        
           | dpflan wrote:
           | Yes, this seems like the best paragraph from the article
           | related to those questions:
           | 
           | Airship Industries is designing its vehicle to dominate
           | transoceanic air freight. It checks all the right boxes. It
           | shortens end-to-end freight delivery time. It lowers freight
           | handling costs, delays, and breakage. It's highly profitable
           | on a unit basis. It lowers fuel burn and carbon emissions by
           | 75 percent without any sustainable fuel breakthroughs.
           | 
           | How many shipping container can a single airship carry?
        
       | satisfice wrote:
       | The article said nothing about weather hazards or the fact that
       | it's a big fat target for a war drone to bring down.
       | 
       | It's not just an easy target to hit, it's a symbolic target.
       | 
       | Airships were abandoned because very large objects falling out of
       | the sky did not appeal to the public... and too many of them
       | fell.
       | 
       | Extremely severe weather brings down relatively tough aircraft,
       | but once on the ground or in hangars they are relatively safe.
       | Airships are flying cheesepuffs.
        
         | imoverclocked wrote:
         | Luckily, we have much better weather forecasting than we did
         | last time we tried airships for realsies.
        
           | bobthepanda wrote:
           | Severe turbulence in clear conditions is increasing due to
           | climate change:
           | https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20240524-severe-
           | turbulenc...
        
             | imoverclocked wrote:
             | Turbulence for an airliner is going to be experienced
             | differently for an airship. I'm not sure what to expect,
             | TBH, but the difference between a plane moving at Mach 0.8
             | and an airship moving at 80 mph will definitely be real.
        
             | mike_hearn wrote:
             | There has been no increase in air turbulence accidents per
             | passenger mile over the past 30 years despite a quadrupling
             | of air traffic (so more chances to encounter turbulence).
             | 
             | https://www.ntsb.gov/safety/safety-
             | studies/Documents/SS2101....
             | 
             |  _After normalizing the data by annual flight hours, there
             | was no obvious trend over time for turbulence-related Part
             | 121 accidents during this period [1989-2018]._
             | 
             | The BBC article cites a modelling paper. In a conflict
             | between real data and a simulation, real data should win.
        
           | dudisubekti wrote:
           | But even then, forecasted storms mean more delay to the
           | already-slow airship.
           | 
           | Also the airship is simply too slow to dodge any sudden
           | severe weather, even if they saw it coming hours before.
        
             | imoverclocked wrote:
             | Perhaps. Airships will likely want to travel along jet
             | streams since the wind speeds can outpace the airspeed of
             | the airship. The neat thing here is that weather that will
             | be problematic can be predicted days in advance, not just
             | hours. Even 2 hours gets you pretty far in an airship in
             | wind-calm, especially compared to (say) container ships.
             | When you aren't in wind-calm, you can probably take
             | advantage of winds by choosing your altitude wisely.
        
         | MitPitt wrote:
         | > too many of them fell
         | 
         | How many of them fell? Tried searching this up and barely any
         | fell. Very few deaths too.
        
           | dudisubekti wrote:
           | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_airship_accidents
           | 
           | This list is quite comprehensive I think
        
             | hluska wrote:
             | That's a good article. I found this one:
             | 
             | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/L-8
             | 
             | The L-8/Ghost Blimp took off with a crew of two from San
             | Francisco in 1942. They found an oil slick (which was the
             | last time either crew member was known to be alive) and
             | then drifted before it crash landed in front of a home in
             | Daly City.
             | 
             | I had never heard of this event before now and it's a heck
             | of an interesting late night rabbit hole. Thanks for the
             | link!
        
           | ben-schaaf wrote:
           | A partial list:
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_airship_accidents.
           | 
           | The list of Zepplins is also enlightening:
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Zeppelins
        
       | stubish wrote:
       | This effort is just starting up? Flying Whales expect to have an
       | airship in 2025 and be operational in 2028 per
       | https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-10-11/outback-town-launches... .
       | Not that this is a race; better if several companies succeed.
        
         | tim333 wrote:
         | I'm old enough to remember Airship Industries (1979):
         | 
         | >The AD500 was "a new-generation airship making use of advanced
         | materials and technology." It was 164 feet (50 m) long and
         | contained 181,200 cubic feet (5,130 m3) of helium.
         | 
         | >Unfortunately, on 8 March 1979, the month-old AD500 was
         | seriously damaged when the nosecone failed while the ship was
         | moored in high winds.
         | 
         | And various other things not really working till they went bust
         | in 1990. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Airship_Industries
         | 
         | I wonder if Airship Industries (2024) will do any better?
         | 
         | Their ships don't looks very different - old co
         | https://www.airliners.net/photo/Airship-Industries/Airship-I...
         | 
         | New co
         | https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_...
        
           | 1propionyl wrote:
           | >Unfortunately, on 8 March 1979, the month-old AD500 was
           | seriously damaged when the nosecone failed while the ship was
           | moored in high winds.
           | 
           | "Well the front's not supposed to fall off, for a start."
        
       | fernly wrote:
       | Maybe a smaller issue than wind, but something is wrong with this
       | claim:
       | 
       | "If you can pick up goods directly from a customer on one side
       | and deliver them directly to a customer on the other..."
       | 
       | How do you handle customs inspections and duties on imports? As
       | TFA states, in current air freight, "there is a trucking company,
       | a warehouse, a customs broker..." Freight has to go through the
       | warehouse on arrival in-country so the customs inspectors can
       | look at it and assess duties. The article seems to envision the
       | airship dropping down directly at the destination address, which
       | would be that nation's customs agency's worst nightmare.
        
         | nielsbot wrote:
         | Yeah--I came here to highlight this too. I think all the legacy
         | systems around international shipping won't permit direct to
         | consumer pick up and delivery. Unless someone can show me an
         | existing example?
        
           | mmooss wrote:
           | Some international logistics businesses pickup from and ship
           | directly to customers. They are well-practiced in avoiding
           | customs delays and have extensive experience with non-
           | traditional transport, such as semi-submursibles.
           | 
           | Seriously, if a Toyota supplier in Japan delivers parts daily
           | to a factory in Ohio, do they go through regular customs or
           | is there some other arrangement? Can they fly directly to an
           | airfield near the factory?
        
             | nevi-me wrote:
             | That feels like a different scenario. Intuitively I would
             | expect some pre-arranged clearance process that is valid
             | for some period to avoid say daily paperwork lodging. Even
             | the inspection process could be streamlined if there's some
             | trust between the authorities and the regularly shipping
             | parties.
             | 
             | It still doesn't address the case where a random small
             | business receives a container full of their latest items
             | from a supplier.
             | 
             | The first thing I funnily thought of with direct-to-
             | customer was narcotics. If countries don't inspect goods
             | coming in (assuming that countries with a risk of narcotics
             | being shipped out have already lost), then it makes for a
             | great muling opportunity, or just wholesale shipment.
        
             | prmoustache wrote:
             | The facts parts are sent and delivered daily doesn't mean
             | they travel in 1 day.
             | 
             | Frequency != latency
        
           | mcculley wrote:
           | In the U.S., a shipping company that is also a registered
           | "Importer/Exporter of Record" can move stuff directly.
           | 
           | I ran a tugboat business and we had all of the required
           | paperwork to file directly with U.S. Customs.
           | 
           | In many cases, we moved cargo too big to be transferred at a
           | port or terminal.
        
             | dotancohen wrote:
             | > I ran a tugboat business
             | 
             | Wildly OT, but this company and informed discussion is what
             | kept me on /. and keeps me on HN.
        
         | mr_toad wrote:
         | > How do you handle customs inspections and duties on imports?
         | 
         | Probably no different from private airfields, you have to file
         | customs paperwork before arriving, and they can send inspectors
         | out.
        
           | bilbo0s wrote:
           | Not quite how it works. (At least, not in the US).
           | 
           | Firstly, not just any FBO is a point of entry.
           | 
           | Which brings us to the second point, the entire reason for
           | designated points of entry is so that the customs officials
           | can be on site already. As in, assigned to that FBO. Now at
           | times specialists have to be sent out. (Think exotic or rare
           | animals or biological/agricultural products.) But if that
           | happens, your freight, and maybe even you, are quarantined
           | and your freight isn't going anywhere any time soon. Believe
           | me.
           | 
           | Most important, and relevant in this context is the third
           | issue. Which is the fact that arrivals are met by customs
           | officials and passengers and cargo are _always_ subject to
           | the same inspections /regulations as they are at any
           | commercial airport.
           | 
           | So the original question is valid, how are they handling
           | customs at the scale they're hoping to achieve in a fashion
           | any faster than anyone else?
        
             | pistoleer wrote:
             | FBO = fixed base operator = private jet terminal or service
             | provider at airports that caters to general aviation (non-
             | commercial) flights. FBOs provide services like fueling,
             | hangar space, and sometimes even customs clearance for
             | international flights.
        
               | conductr wrote:
               | So they build operate their own airship FBOs? Honestly
               | seems like the smaller hurdle to jump if all the
               | engineering problems are solved, they will find a way to
               | navigate this too. It's a bit naive to assume they will
               | comply with existing constraints versus defining what the
               | airship industry would need. They won't roll this out
               | globally on day one, the largest and most obviously
               | profitable areas will be source/destinations are probably
               | easy to guess. They could even do their proof of concept
               | it less regulated markets before coming to the US later.
               | Plenty of room to solve these problems later.
        
         | csomar wrote:
         | Also the customs exist at both ends. Usually, you have to do
         | preliminary enforcement too. That's what DHL does at least.
         | Still, most of your time "wastage" will happen at customs and
         | there is no technological innovation for that. There is no way
         | any (or most) governments will allow you to by pass them.
        
         | tim333 wrote:
         | It's down to the laws of the country and the government could
         | make an exception to go direct if they want for special items.
         | One of the things the airships might make sense for is huge
         | wind turbine blades that are too large to go by road. The
         | government might well do it for that kind of thing.
         | 
         | But for regular freight I doubt it. I use to fly from England
         | to France in a single engine plane, pre Brexit, and you might
         | think just stick stuff in the plane in an airfield in the UK,
         | fly to a field in France drop it off, vive the single market
         | and that. But no you have to fly to a customs airport in the
         | UK, queue up with your passport as usual, do the same in France
         | then fly on to your field. Probably France to Germany say would
         | be ok. It all depends on the local laws.
        
           | Ekaros wrote:
           | Also how many hours you save compared to truck/van? You still
           | have to load it to one to drive it to where ever airship is
           | moored, and then unload it, load to airship. Fly that to
           | destination(weather depending). And same. Or you could drive
           | from start to end. At certain distances it might make sense,
           | but I think those might be somewhat limited.
        
         | xg15 wrote:
         | Not sure how realistic, but could the inspectors go to the
         | airship instead? They are not planes: Not only can they "park"
         | while airborne, but at least there were concepts of
         | boarding/unboarding in the air as well:
         | https://www.nytimes.com/2010/09/26/realestate/26scapes.html
        
           | rtkwe wrote:
           | They could in theory but I'm dubious governments will be
           | willing to shape their customs enforcement to accommodate
           | this company. Best case I think they might be able to do a
           | drop off at a place for customs inspections and pick them up
           | again with a different craft once cleared.
        
             | DonnyV wrote:
             | I bet they would change their workflow if it was an Amazon
             | warehouse. Amazon could change the rules in DC.Accomodate
             | for certain size warehouses.
        
               | rtkwe wrote:
               | That's a chicken and egg problem. You have to get big
               | enough to move enough cargo to make it worth getting
               | special accommodations or go through the paperwork of
               | being a proper import/export business to self report.
        
             | acdha wrote:
             | Is that really so different from how customs officers go on
             | board trains now?
        
           | BWStearns wrote:
           | I agree with most other criticisms in the thread about the
           | feasibility of this, but your suggestion is not _totally_
           | crazy. There are airports where you can land _if_ you give
           | customs a heads up that you'll be flying there from abroad
           | and they'll send a dude. The only one I've interacted with is
           | in the Bahamas but I don't see any reason it's a showstopper.
           | There're a lot bigger showstoppers on the critical path for
           | this project than that.
        
           | Dylan16807 wrote:
           | That sounds _expensive_.
        
       | maw wrote:
       | _If you can pick up goods directly from a customer on one side
       | and deliver them directly to a customer on the other, you can
       | actually beat today's air freight service on delivery time._
       | 
       | I didn't understand this part, specifically how you could beat
       | today's air freight. Why wouldn't airships be subject to the same
       | (ahem) overhead at either end?
       | 
       | Competitive enough on speed while being less expensive makes
       | sense, though.
        
         | danielheath wrote:
         | Airships don't require a runway; a century ago they could moor
         | to skyscrapers, or ships at sea.
         | 
         | If (big regulatory issues here) you can deliver directly from
         | one site to another, you eliminate trucking goods to the source
         | airport & from the destination airport. A 3 hour dirigible
         | flight is slower than a 45 minute cargo plane flight, but
         | buffering at a warehouse to loading / unload a truck (twice)
         | could easily add 2-3 days latency.
        
           | maw wrote:
           | That makes it make more sense. Thanks.
           | 
           | You're right that there are big regulatory issues still.
        
       | bzmrgonz wrote:
       | They are missing out on a golden opportunity, North Carolina
       | disaster could be where they shine and show the world what they
       | can do!!! Someone needs to advise these folks, they are desperate
       | for non-road transportation up there... (western NC AND Eastern
       | TN).
        
         | tim333 wrote:
         | I wonder what
         | 
         | >Lighter Than Air, a company owned by Google's co-founder,
         | begins testing Pathfinder 1, a next-generation airship that
         | could revolutionize air travel, cargo transport, and the
         | movement of humanitarian aid.
         | 
         | are doing with their ship? I think it's built and sitting
         | around. (https://www.domusweb.it/en/sustainable-
         | cities/gallery/2023/1...)
        
         | pclmulqdq wrote:
         | > They are missing out on a golden opportunity, North Carolina
         | disaster could be where they shine and show the world what they
         | can do
         | 
         | They currently are showing the world what cargo airships can do
         | ( _ie_ nothing). The world just perpetually doesn 't want to
         | listen.
        
       | Animats wrote:
       | The article on the site is vague, but if you go to the company's
       | site, and examine the images, you can get a close look at the
       | airship design. The image on the web site [1] is higher
       | resolution than the web site needs, and you can zoom in if you
       | open the image directly.
       | 
       | The cargo capacity of the airship shown appears to be four
       | 20-foot containers, or 4 TEU. This is comparable to a B-747
       | freighter. Current new price of a B-747 freighter is about US$400
       | million. Trips per unit time would be less but fuel cost would be
       | lower.
       | 
       | Large container ships are now in the 20,000 TEU range.
       | 
       | It's not clear there's much demand for faster container shipping.
       | Container ships tend to run slower than they can, to save fuel.
       | Maersk has some 4,000 TEU high speed container ships capable of
       | 29 knots, but due to lack of a market and huge fuel costs,
       | they're mothballed in a loch in Scotland.
       | 
       | [1] https://images.squarespace-
       | cdn.com/content/v1/66b24fc3f58cf0...
        
         | Sammi wrote:
         | For the curious the search string you want is "Maersk cargo
         | ships in Loch Striven".
        
           | user_of_the_wek wrote:
           | I searched around a bit and it seems they have been gone from
           | the Loch since 2011:
           | https://inflatableboatjourneys.blogspot.com/2011/07/kyles-
           | of...
           | 
           | Or maybe they are back? There aren't a lot of sources I could
           | find.
        
         | pier25 wrote:
         | At some point in the future the real cost of operating with
         | fossil fuels will catch up.
        
           | Qwertious wrote:
           | Battery cargo ships make a lot of sense, since you can slow-
           | steam far slower without losing efficiency, with an electric
           | motor.
        
         | pbmonster wrote:
         | > The cargo capacity of the airship shown appears to be four
         | 20-foot containers, or 4 TEU.
         | 
         | Either that's a smaller airship than his articles describe, or
         | it's just artist's discretion. They always talk about 500 ton
         | cargo ships - as in "delivering 500 tons of cargo", not "500
         | ton total mass". And 500 tons of cargo are at minimum 25 TEU.
         | 
         | If they are competing with 747 freighters, those containers
         | will almost always be "cubed out" (the container volume is full
         | long before reaching its maximum legal weight), meaning the
         | airship would load several times as many containers.
         | 
         | This is another advantage they have against air freight. Those
         | 747s are frequently cubed out themselves, flying lighter than
         | they would like. And you can't easily build much more volume
         | into jet aircraft (well, you can, that's what the Airbus Beluga
         | XL is, and apparently several air freight companies are
         | pestering Airbus to re-open a production line for those).
         | Airships, on the other hand, will be practicably impossible to
         | cube out.
        
           | Animats wrote:
           | > Either that's a smaller airship than his articles describe,
           | or it's just artist's discretion. They always talk about 500
           | ton cargo ships - as in "delivering 500 tons of cargo".
           | 
           | From their images, the airship is about 30 containers long.
           | That's only 600 feet, shorter than the Macon or the
           | Hindenburg. Useful lift of the Hindenburg was 232,000 kg.
        
       | fergie wrote:
       | Articles about airship dreambuilding have been a mainstay of HN
       | and Reddit since the early days. The tech has always been super
       | inspiring, yet "just around the corner". It would be almost sad
       | to see them actually become a reality.
        
         | hi-v-rocknroll wrote:
         | Unrealized futurism predating both in magazine form was Popular
         | Mechanics and Popular Science hype of Moller skycars as the
         | original goat, and virtual reality being a close second.
        
         | adolph wrote:
         | Jet packs seem to be getting actually closer, maybe perpetually
         | 5 years off instead of perpetually 10 years away.
        
       | floppiplopp wrote:
       | To summarize: "It'll surely work this time. Please invest."
        
       | verzali wrote:
       | Is there an actual problem here that airships solve? Is getting
       | cargo across the Pacific one or two days faster (and that's
       | presumably a best case, since airships are heavily weather and
       | wind dependent) actually that valuable? I would have though the
       | scale of international shipping would anyway mean its pretty
       | cheap to set up a continuous stream of cargo, which airships
       | would struggle to replicate in any efficient way.
       | 
       | Honestly, it sounds like a cool thing to work on, but this
       | article is not convincing about the potential market. I can
       | easily imagine former SpaceX and Hyperloop engineers thinking a
       | cool technology will simply find a market, but that's not really
       | what Elon Musk did with SpaceX.
        
       | hi-v-rocknroll wrote:
       | Vaporware hype.
        
       | LordHeini wrote:
       | Sounds good does not work.
       | 
       | Reminds me of CargoLifter:
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CargoLifter
       | 
       | The german article states that the price the Zeppelin GmbH (yes
       | those guys) calculated, that the costs of transportation via
       | airship, would be about 10 times as high as conventional methods.
       | 
       | CargoLifter used helium which is stupidly expensive, this is
       | supposed to use hydrogen and more modern materials but i think
       | that does not make a factor of 10.
       | 
       | Also "current FAA guidance disallows the use of hydrogen as a
       | lifting gas". So good luck with that.
       | 
       | As you burn fuel you must either gain weight or vent gas.
       | 
       | Old Airships had either rain collectors (yep really) or piston
       | engines which burned gas with a similar density to air (which
       | digs a lot into your carrying capacity and volume).
       | 
       | Venting helium is way to expensive and one of the reasons
       | CargoLifter failed, was that they never managed to get water
       | collection running.
       | 
       | This article and the linked website have no idea how to solve the
       | propulsion problem. There is some stuff about turbines going with
       | the the old Zeppelin approach, of burning gas. Or something about
       | solar cells, which obviously would not work because solar cells
       | are rigid and heavy but this is supposed to be semi rigid. And
       | you would need heavy batteries too.
       | 
       | Also airships sink when they get wet. And it gets warm the gas
       | expands and it rises. You need ballast to account for that; this
       | is large so it will do that a lot.
       | 
       | Don't forget how stupidly large these things are and thus how
       | much wind is a problem. The linked website claims a predicted
       | length of 388 and width of 78 Meters minimum!
       | 
       | So maneuverability is going to be a large problem, you can
       | overcome this by adding lots of propellers everywhere but that
       | add weight and uses fuel.
       | 
       | Now imagine a 388x78 m giant filled with hydrogen, with hordes of
       | engines everywhere, dropping of a bunch of containers at some
       | delivery center...
       | 
       | Since wind might be coming from every direction you need a
       | landing circle (!) of roughly a km in diameter. This is why old
       | Zeppelins landed at large (!) airstrips or sometimes on masts
       | attached to skyscrapers.
       | 
       | Then cargo gets loaded off and ballast of the same weight must be
       | moved onto the ship.
       | 
       | That ballast has to go somewhere, so the ship either needs water
       | tanks (again loss of carrying capacity). Or the landing strip has
       | some attachable ballast (how do you transport that back and
       | forth?).
       | 
       | If you have the infrastructure to accommodate this thing you can
       | be reached by truck or rail, which is cheaper, not depended on
       | weather and so on... And weirdly enough you can be reached by
       | cargo aircraft which is a solved problem!
       | 
       | Door to door delivery was exactly what CargoLifter was supposed
       | to do. But it was basically a more expensive and clunky
       | helicopter. Thus it failed.
        
         | pantalaimon wrote:
         | > As you burn fuel you must either gain weight or vent gas.
         | 
         | Can't you just compress lifting gas to reduce it's volume?
        
           | marcosdumay wrote:
           | Yes, if you do the mechanical adjusts on the vessel. What may
           | be much harder than expected.
           | 
           | But compressing the gas takes time. If you intend to leave
           | the ship parked there until you finish this, you will need a
           | lot more of space.
        
       | calmbonsai wrote:
       | No. They absolutely are NOT happening. In fact, this is one of
       | the very few technical solutions I'm very confident to state is
       | never happening.
       | 
       | 1) The economic model is unproven so even initial costs will be
       | far too high to pay of debt incurred to manufacture, market, and
       | maintain and they're not competitive with extant mass-market
       | alternatives on cost & time out-of-the-gate with no clear pathway
       | to even being niche competitive, let alone having mass-market
       | adoption. And no, the Airship cruise industry is never going to
       | take-off (heh) because there wouldn't be any extant "ports of
       | call" (unlike with sea-going cruise ships) and no way to
       | economically stimulate their construction.
       | 
       | 2) Inclement weather mitigations (aside from docking, re-routing
       | (delaying), or rescheduling (also delaying)) are virtually non-
       | existent so there's a much higher trip variance which eats into
       | fuel, time, labor, and ultimately a far higher cost variance
       | which (as a 2nd order effect) leads to an overall MUCH higher
       | cost to operate ANY route compared to conventional cargo or
       | mixed-mode transportation. As a historic model, look at the air
       | cargo transport costs in the transition from mandated multi-stop
       | piston engine refueling and in-weather flying in the late 1930s
       | to single-hop above-the-weather flying in the gas turbine "jet
       | age" of the late 1940s. It's not JUST that jets were much faster,
       | they were also far more predictable to service routes AND had far
       | lower maintenance costs. A lower, slower, and less predictable
       | airship with higher maintenance costs and, at best, a handful of
       | percentage points off of the dollars/mile/ton figure with a
       | higher initial cost outlay doesn't merit investment.
       | 
       | 3) Safety is still a huge issue for any airship attempting
       | station-keeping or full-authority-navigation close to any ground-
       | effect altitude which is, unfortunately, also the airspace where
       | any accident is likely to cause the most collateral damage. No
       | other form of transport has this problem and, with current tech,
       | would seem insolvable without turning the airship into a poorly
       | performing version of a plane or rotor-craft.
        
         | eesmith wrote:
         | Agreed. I've been reading about the return of airships since I
         | was a kids in the 1980s. The fundamentals haven't changed.
        
         | pclmulqdq wrote:
         | As it turns out, ships are just really good at shipping. People
         | keep trying airships with no fundamental tech or economic
         | breakthroughs and they should all expect the same result.
        
       | awiesenhofer wrote:
       | Even grifters seem to run out of new ideas...
        
       | Terretta wrote:
       | > _Over the summer, Jim incorporated Airship Industries. He hired
       | a team of cracked ex-SpaceX engineers. And he raised a large pre-
       | seed round..._
       | 
       | This typo is perfect.
        
         | ralfd wrote:
         | I am blind. What typo?
        
           | HenryBemis wrote:
           | I assume the word "cracked"?
        
           | VyseofArcadia wrote:
           | "Crack engineer" means an engineer who is smart and capable.
           | "Cracked engineer" means an engineer who is insane.
        
             | n_jd wrote:
             | It's just how the kids and the terminally online are saying
             | it these days
        
               | brcmthrowaway wrote:
               | Cracked founders!
        
               | cthalupa wrote:
               | Not even particularly new. I remember seeing it used
               | talking about Counter-Strike pros in the early 2000s
        
             | echelon wrote:
             | > (slang) Extremely good at something (usually a video
             | game).
             | 
             | >> 20 kills? Dude, you're cracked.
             | 
             | https://en.wiktionary.org/wiki/cracked
        
               | VyseofArcadia wrote:
               | Except for the very online, I think meaning 5
               | 
               | > (slang) Crazy; crackpot.
               | 
               | is more common in every day use than meaning 4
               | 
               | >(slang) Extremely good at something (usually a video
               | game).
               | 
               | Neither the Merriam-Webster dictionary nor the Cambridge
               | dictionary[0] list meaning 4, further hinting that it is
               | a use that is mostly occurring in niche online
               | communities. Note that I'm not saying meaning 4 is
               | _incorrect_ [1]. There's no such thing. Words is words.
               | Usage _is_ meaning. But I think I am justified in my
               | belief that it is still relatively uncommon.
               | 
               | [0] The OED wanted money to show me their list of
               | meanings.
               | 
               | [1] Although it is almost assuredly a mishearing of
               | "crack".
        
               | sn9 wrote:
               | This is an extremely online place filled with people who
               | game or are gamer-adjacent.
               | 
               | This intended meaning is obvious from context.
        
               | echelon wrote:
               | It's generational. Gen Alpha increasingly use "cracked"
               | to mean talented.
               | 
               | Even "S-tier" has crept into the non-gamer vernacular. My
               | wife and her friends - not gamers - are using it.
               | 
               | TikTok spreads this stuff like wildfire.
               | 
               | https://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=Cracked
               | 
               | https://www.tiktok.com/discover/what-does-cracked-mean-
               | in-sl...
        
         | lazide wrote:
         | Nothing says fun times like a mad rocket scientist!
        
         | Finbarr wrote:
         | I don't think it's a typo. There's an emergent usage of
         | "cracked" meaning "awesome".
        
         | staticvoidstar wrote:
         | Cracked is coming form Irish slang? As in the `craic is 90`.
         | Pronounced `crack` [0]
         | 
         | [0]: https://ireland-calling.com/irish-slang-craic/
        
         | LaGrange wrote:
         | They did survive SpaceX, after all. You'd expect a few scars.
        
       | voidUpdate wrote:
       | > "But for air freight service, end-to-end delivery takes a week
       | or more, involving multiple parties: in addition to the air
       | carrier and freight forwarder, at both the origin and
       | destination, there is a trucking company, a warehouse, a customs
       | broker, and an airport. Each touchpoint adds cost, delay, and the
       | risk of theft or breakage."
       | 
       | How does an airship solve any of those problems? Its still got to
       | go through customs and such, and still go through local truck
       | delivery
        
         | Thorrez wrote:
         | I'm not sure about how they solve customs, but the picture
         | shows an airship dropping cargo directly off at a warehouse
         | (avoiding trucks).
        
           | MichaelZuo wrote:
           | How will the airship and its cargo clear customs at a random
           | warehouse with presumably no staffing of border agents?
        
             | patl wrote:
             | Maybe it's still a customs/border facility. It can just be
             | inland now, away from the very expensive waterfront/costal
             | property
        
               | dylan604 wrote:
               | Would that inland facility still have a 100 mile
               | jurisdiction boundary around it as well?
        
               | withinboredom wrote:
               | Yes, of course, with a grid of these facilities across
               | the country.
        
               | DowagerDave wrote:
               | the reason that property is so expensive is because
               | that's where the people are. There's no point in avoiding
               | the biggest cost of air freight - getting goods to
               | consumers who don't live near the limited freight hubs,
               | if you land it in the middle of nowhere and now need to
               | ship by rail or truck AND last mile delivery
        
               | nickff wrote:
               | There are lots of people inland and away from sea ports.
               | Many hubs of industry (such as Wisconsin which makes many
               | mechanics' tools) could take advantage of this if it were
               | available.
        
             | closewith wrote:
             | Not that I put any credence into the idea in the article,
             | but for your particular question, the same way it occurs
             | now at airports - bonded warehouses.
        
               | MichaelZuo wrote:
               | Which airports have bonded warehouses but do not already
               | host customs facilities or agents?
               | 
               | I think that has to come after, not before.
        
               | closewith wrote:
               | I don't know if you're aware, but bonded warehouses are
               | customs facilities. The vast majority of goods never pass
               | through a Government customs facility.
        
               | MichaelZuo wrote:
               | In which countries are they legally identical, or even
               | mostly identical, to the customs facilities commonly
               | found in international airports?
        
               | nickff wrote:
               | I am not the parent, but they did not say bonded
               | warehouses were identical to government customs
               | facilities at airports.
               | 
               | > _" Please respond to the strongest plausible
               | interpretation of what someone says, not a weaker one
               | that's easier to criticize. Assume good faith."_
               | 
               | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
        
               | MichaelZuo wrote:
               | Hence why I also said 'or even mostly identical'?
               | 
               | If it's only vaguely similar in fact, then that seems
               | hardly convincing.
        
             | ozim wrote:
             | Implementation details /s
        
             | LaGrange wrote:
             | Easy, put it on a starship instead, and fire it off like a
             | ballistic missile at the target warehouse.
        
           | hazmazlaz wrote:
           | I guarantee that's not going to be a viable option. No
           | nation, especially China or the USA, is going to allow an
           | aircraft free access to land unknown cargo at a random
           | warehouse without going through customs. It's going to have
           | to land at some kind of airfield just like a cargo plane
           | would.
        
             | UncleOxidant wrote:
             | Next article: Transparent Airships Are Happening
        
             | nickff wrote:
             | I am not sure what US law on the matter is, but many
             | countries have what are known as "bonded warehouses", which
             | store uncleared goods within the destination country. Are
             | you a customs expert? If so, please comment on whether the
             | US has an equivalent.
        
               | emmelaich wrote:
               | There's also 'free trade' areas within China that allow
               | transfer without import and export tax and other
               | innovations.
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shanghai_Free-Trade_Zone
        
               | anticensor wrote:
               | Not a customs expert, but a short research suggests
               | bonded warehouses do indeed exist in the United States:
               | https://openjurist.org/title-19/us-
               | code/section-1311/bonded-...
        
             | dash2 wrote:
             | I mean, the US just lets Chinese spy balloons wander
             | aimlessly through its airspace :-P
        
           | traceroute66 wrote:
           | > but the picture shows an airship dropping cargo directly
           | off at a warehouse
           | 
           | Yeah, and that shit isn't going to happen either for a
           | bazillion $very_good_reasons.
           | 
           | Not least safety.
           | 
           | I mean, yeah, let's just turn up at a densely populated
           | environment and use a winch to long-line drop a few tons of
           | cargo.
           | 
           | Whilst the general public and employees are walking around
           | the place ?
           | 
           | When there's overhead cabling around ?
           | 
           | Even in perfect weather, with no wind, no rain, its still a
           | dumb-as-shit idea.
        
             | m4rtink wrote:
             | Yeah, doesn't it kida turn anything under it into a heavy
             | cargo crane safety zone ? Like, you not let people walk at
             | random under suspended loads & thats what a
             | loading/unloading operation for this turns into.
        
         | CountHackulus wrote:
         | The article isn't about solving those problems, it's about
         | taking a few days longer to do the actual travel to save a
         | bunch of money, since there's already massive delays on either
         | end.
        
           | dash2 wrote:
           | No, the article is saying "actually I was wrong about being
           | longer and slotting in between airplane and cargo ship; we
           | can be as fast as planes, but cheaper, and take a big slice
           | of that whole huge market". Which is why they need to explain
           | why airships won't also have customs etc.
        
         | psunavy03 wrote:
         | This already happens, has happened for ages, and yet somehow
         | the logistics industry manages to accomplish transshipment
         | without fucking everything up . . . most of the time, anyway.
        
         | danw1979 wrote:
         | It doesn't. The author is dreaming that airships might be able
         | to just drop cargo off anywhere and I guess customs just
         | happens in software somehow.
         | 
         | Nor is it clear how they are refuelled, or how they are immune
         | from the same fluctuations in fuel cost as conventional cargo
         | aircraft.
         | 
         | But what is clear is that you should "possibly invest" in his
         | syndicate which is funding all this...
        
           | mananaysiempre wrote:
           | Customs in software is already a bit of a thing, judging from
           | what postal tracking reports on occasion. I guess that
           | doesn't obviate the need for physical inspections, but it
           | should make them faster.
        
             | Retric wrote:
             | The issue is customs isn't going to happen at some random
             | factory / job site. International mail looks point to point
             | from and end users perspective but as far as the government
             | in concerned it's all going throw a small number of
             | locations as it enters the county. At least relative to the
             | number of street addresses.
        
             | Scoundreller wrote:
             | Sadly, the US still receives 95% of all postal imports
             | through 1 of 5 international service centres: Chicago, IL;
             | Los Angeles, CA; Miami, FL; New York, NY, and San
             | Francisco, CA
             | 
             | Northwest = NO YUO!
             | 
             | Technically 22 other places are supposed to accept
             | international mail, but in reality, the other 5% go through
             | Newark (for some surface mail), Hawaii, Guam and American
             | Samoa.
             | 
             | This creates some long detours.
             | 
             | https://www.uspsoig.gov/reports/audit-
             | reports/international-...
        
             | loeg wrote:
             | Sure, but why does that only benefit airships and not
             | conventional airplanes?
        
               | mananaysiempre wrote:
               | I don't expect it will, I'm just surprised whenever my
               | parcel shows it's been cleared by customs before it has
               | even left the origin country. (And that's not a timezone
               | bug, it's explicitly described as a remote authorization,
               | a preauthorization, or something like that.) Customs
               | (partly) in software is not an absurd idea, was my point,
               | I have no opinion on airships other than acknowledging
               | their inherent coolness.
        
               | ErrantX wrote:
               | Manifest approvals has been a reality for a while. But
               | that works because, not despite, the bottlenecks.
               | 
               | Countries know goods must flow through certain choke
               | points so they can essentially quality control the
               | manifests.
               | 
               | Remove that and pre-authorised customs will go again.
        
           | UncleOxidant wrote:
           | A smuggler's dream.
        
           | xhkkffbf wrote:
           | They don't need to be immune from the same fluctuations in
           | fuel costs. But if they use less fuel per ton, then a rise in
           | fuel prices should benefit them more.
        
           | dbingham wrote:
           | Airships could potentially be electric and solar powered.
           | That would insulate it from fuel cost fluctuations. It would
           | also resolve the issue with refueling.
        
             | sn9 wrote:
             | Or you could just have a Terraform fuel plant synthesizing
             | fuel colocated with every landing site.
        
         | Gasp0de wrote:
         | Let's say airfreight takes 7 days, with the flight being one of
         | them. Then his airship would take 11 days, which is not much
         | worse. He was expecting the comparison to be 5:1.
        
           | loeg wrote:
           | That's the take I would have made too, but no, the author
           | explicitly claims that airships can be _faster_ than
           | airfreight by somehow magically sidestepping customs,
           | warehousing, and trucking.
           | 
           | > For air freight service, end-to-end delivery takes a week
           | or more, involving multiple parties: in addition to the air
           | carrier and freight forwarder, at both the origin and
           | destination, there is a trucking company, a warehouse, a
           | customs broker, and an airport. Each touchpoint adds cost,
           | delay, and the risk of theft or breakage.
           | 
           | > Once you account for all these delays and costs, the 4 to 5
           | days it takes to cross the Pacific on an airship starts to
           | look pretty good. If you can pick up goods directly from a
           | customer on one side and deliver them directly to a customer
           | on the other, _you can actually beat today's air freight
           | service on delivery time_.
        
             | dovin wrote:
             | I'd imagine the author knows that you can't just sidestep
             | customs, and it does feel a bit disingenuous that they
             | didn't call that out. But hey, it's a pitch for money first
             | and foremost. I'd imagine that they're just giving a
             | complete list of things that slow down air freight and that
             | internally they have plans for tackling each one, like not
             | having to unload cargo to get it through customs and so
             | using the airship as its own trucking vehicle post-customs.
        
             | dash2 wrote:
             | Maybe the key phrase here is "If you can pick up goods
             | directly from a customer on one side and deliver them
             | directly to a customer on the other". So he's imagining
             | that big enough companies will have their own airship port,
             | and presumably plug in customs to that.... So then the next
             | question is, how big does an airship port have to be?
             | Presumably it doesn't need huge runways?
        
         | DowagerDave wrote:
         | Yeah my initial reaction was you're comparing today's air
         | freight in a static state with your envisioned optimal airship
         | model; that's not realistic. The alternative to spending big on
         | an entire new industry isn't doing nothing; it's using that
         | investment in some other way, like optimizing air freight, or
         | intra-continental, or addressing the entire overseas
         | manufacturing/shipping model.
        
         | scoofy wrote:
         | Longshoremen, lines at limited numbers of ports, etc., there a
         | lots of problems that airships can solve simply by allowing
         | airship ports to exist in, say, Kansas.
         | 
         | The need for specific geological features dramatically limits
         | the amount of ports we can have, which seriously affects costs.
         | If you could build a single, tiny airship point in every major
         | city, you could save a bundle, and likely be close enough to
         | the destination to unload directly to the customer at the port.
        
           | cma wrote:
           | Is it for bulkier but lightweight stuff that trains can't
           | handle or something?
        
             | scoofy wrote:
             | I would assume that heavier stuff would be where the demand
             | is. Air freight is expensive, because weight is expensive,
             | because fuel is expensive, and it's obviously an
             | environmental disaster.
        
         | emmelaich wrote:
         | My reading is that it doesn't _solve_ it, it just indicates
         | there is a market for non-urgent freight in which airships
         | could compete.
        
           | psunavy03 wrote:
           | That exists and it's called ocean freight. Air freight is
           | where you pay a premium to get a small amount of stuff there
           | NOW. Ocean freight is what you use when you need 15 shipping
           | containers of stuff there in a couple of weeks.
           | 
           | Whether there is any market for an "in between" mode is an
           | open question, and it's the business case of these airships
           | for better or worse.
        
       | d--b wrote:
       | Nice! I guess one of the side effects is that air pirates are
       | finally going to be a thing! Yay!
        
         | vaylian wrote:
         | Is your crew hiring?
        
       | danielovichdk wrote:
       | This reads as a technologist that has absolutely no clue about
       | anything regarding the shipping or the logistics industry. I hope
       | someone told these guys what the spent is on new (water) ships
       | globally, because it points only in one direction.
        
         | ToucanLoucan wrote:
         | I get very similar vibes to this from that group of crypto
         | losers that bought that old cruise ship intending to do a
         | libertarian sea-stead on it. Turns out, running a ship is
         | _hard,_ in a number of ways that you could 've found out with
         | even a cursory amount of research.
         | 
         | The only prayer I say on the regular is "Lord, bless me with
         | the confidence of a mediocre tech bro."
         | 
         | Edit: Love all the people coming to downvote me yet no one has
         | yet replied to defend the group spending near 10 million
         | dollars to buy a ship when not a single person involved knew
         | what was involved with running a ship. Stay salty my friends.
        
           | QuantumGood wrote:
           | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html --
           | 
           | Be kind. Don't be snarky. Converse curiously; don't cross-
           | examine. Edit out swipes.
           | 
           | Comments should get more thoughtful and substantive, not
           | less, as a topic gets more divisive.
           | 
           | When disagreeing, please reply to the argument instead of
           | calling names. "That is idiotic; 1 + 1 is 2, not 3" can be
           | shortened to "1 + 1 is 2, not 3."
           | 
           | Please don't fulminate. Please don't sneer, including at the
           | rest of the community.
           | 
           | Please respond to the strongest plausible interpretation of
           | what someone says, not a weaker one that's easier to
           | criticize. Assume good faith.
           | 
           | Eschew flamebait. Avoid generic tangents. Omit internet
           | tropes.
           | 
           | Please don't post shallow dismissals, especially of other
           | people's work. A good critical comment teaches us something.
           | 
           | Please don't use Hacker News for political or ideological
           | battle. That tramples curiosity.
           | 
           | Please don't comment on whether someone read an article. "Did
           | you even read the article? It mentions that" can be shortened
           | to "The article mentions that".
           | 
           | Please don't pick the most provocative thing in an article or
           | post to complain about in the thread. Find something
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           | Please don't comment about the voting on comments. It never
           | does any good, and it makes boring reading.
        
             | ToucanLoucan wrote:
             | Counterpoint: Not everything deserves thoughtful
             | discussion, even here. Sometimes people get (or try to get)
             | a boat-load of money to do a thing that's bad from first
             | principles, because they lack experience in the relevant
             | field. In my mind at least, that's perfectly fine to make
             | fun of, because it's funny.
             | 
             | In the case of TFA: The airships as proposed solve none of
             | the problems the author claims unless they just bypass
             | customs and border control, which is, you know, a crime.
             | And if your startup is hinged on the idea of committing
             | nation-tier crimes at scale to succeed, that doesn't merit
             | rebuttal. It merits mockery.
             | 
             | Hence why I mentioned the Satoshi, because that's also
             | really funny, for similar reasons: because people who get
             | really good at one complicated thing, in our cases here,
             | programming; suddenly think that everything else is less
             | complicated, and therefore easily handled "in the roadmap"
             | and they go out and make fools of themselves for not doing
             | literally a few minutes of solid research beforehand.
             | 
             | That said I will absolutely cop to the downvote comment. My
             | bad there.
        
               | throw10920 wrote:
               | > Counterpoint: Not everything deserves thoughtful
               | discussion, even here.
               | 
               | Incorrect. The HN guidelines repeatedly emphasize that HN
               | is for thoughtful discussion and intellectual curiosity,
               | and _not_ for sneering, being snarky, flamebaiting, going
               | on generic tangents, internet tropes, or political or
               | ideological battle.
               | 
               | And, these aren't arbitrary - there's a _reason_ for
               | them. Those negative behaviors degrade discourse. The
               | main reason why HN has managed to remain a semi-civilized
               | place to be (as opposed to Reddit and Twitter) after two-
               | ish decades of existence and significant user growth is
               | because of those guidelines and dang 's impartial
               | commitment to implementing them.
               | 
               | Your comment 41849098 above breaks a frankly impressive
               | amount of the guidelines and anyone who even does a
               | cursory read-over of them (they're conveniently copy-
               | pasted above) can see that.
               | 
               | > In my mind at least, that's perfectly fine to make fun
               | of, because it's funny.
               | 
               | Well, then don't do it on HN. Sneering about "crypto
               | losers" and sarcastically saying "The only prayer I say
               | on the regular is "Lord, bless me with the confidence of
               | a mediocre tech bro."" does not gratify intellectual
               | curiosity, breaks the guidelines, is completely value-
               | less fluff, and negatively contributes to the discourse
               | and quality of HN. If you want to do that - do it on
               | Twitter.
        
           | renewiltord wrote:
           | I get why someone will have the conservative position. I even
           | get that someone enjoys schadenfreude at people who are not
           | conservative. I just don't get why someone who has low risk-
           | tolerance would come to a startup forum to express their low
           | risk-tolerance.
           | 
           | That would be like if I spent any amount of time on child-
           | free subreddits or on forums about stanced cars.
        
             | ToucanLoucan wrote:
             | Well for one, the topics covered on here are far broader
             | than just startups. And for two, a lot of the ones that are
             | startups are actually interesting, they're trying to solve
             | actual problems. In fact, putting aside the incompetence,
             | this one I would say falls into that category.
             | 
             | That said, not all ideas are created equal, and IMO at
             | least, this one is not, and what makes it fall short is so
             | obvious that I have trouble treating it as a serious
             | proposition on the part of the people behind it, let alone
             | one worth putting money into.
        
         | simonw wrote:
         | "I hope someone told these guys what the spent is on new
         | (water) ships globally, because it points only in one
         | direction."
         | 
         | What IS spent on new ships globally, and what direction does it
         | point in?
        
           | danielovichdk wrote:
           | New container ships being built is around all time high. Look
           | it up.
           | 
           | It points to that the business is not only doing good but
           | that investments is being made, heavily.
        
             | renewiltord wrote:
             | If the economics work, I'd imagine the best time is when
             | there are the most ships built since that indicates unmet
             | cargo demand.
        
           | QuantumGood wrote:
           | It's a cyclical industry, so whether it "points" or peaks can
           | be argued, but in 2021 561 container ships were ordered vs
           | 114 in 2020
           | 
           | * Approximately 900 container ships are currently being built
           | or on order worldwide
           | 
           | * These have a combined capacity of 6.8 million TEU (Twenty-
           | foot Equivalent Units)
           | 
           | Major shipping lines:
           | 
           | * Evergreen: 20 ships of 15,000 TEU capacity (delivery
           | 2024-2025)
           | 
           | * OOCL: 10 vessels of 16,000 TEU capacity
           | 
           | * MSC: Multiple orders including 24,100 TEU ultra-large ships
           | and smaller vessels
           | 
           | * CMA-CGM: 6 vessels of 15,000 TEU capacity (delivery 2025)
        
         | scottLobster wrote:
         | Yeah, it seems like every attempt at an airship company for the
         | last 70 years or so just ends up speed-running the development
         | of modern travel/logistics that makes airships obsolete. Same
         | way crypto is/was speed-running the need for modern financial
         | regulation.
         | 
         | On a broader scale I also wonder if we're near the top of a
         | technological S-curve. It's worth remembering that until the
         | industrial revolution the average pace of technological advance
         | was extremely slow. The Mongols conquered Asia with weaponry
         | that would have been instantly familiar to people living 2000
         | years earlier. Perhaps our descendants 1000 years from now will
         | still be using refrigerators virtually identical to our own.
        
           | justin wrote:
           | CRISPR, Yamanaka factors, computational biology, brain
           | computer interfaces, Starship, LLMs... we are nowhere near
           | the top of the tech S curve.
        
             | scottLobster wrote:
             | Most of those are still in the lab, Starship is an
             | incremental improvement that was largely a matter of
             | funding, LLMs are at best a threat to telemarketers and
             | customer service reps, perhaps paralegals.
             | 
             | I'm really sick of breathless, Disney-fied tomorrowland
             | fantasies of what technology might theoretically be able to
             | do, and pronouncements of "breakthroughs" that dissolve
             | into nothing once any real-world application is attempted.
             | I understand it's necessary to drum up dumb money for
             | startups, and it makes for a good amusement park ride, but
             | I'll believe the AI "revolution" is here when a car drives
             | itself coast-to-coast through all weather conditions
             | without incident.
             | 
             | I'm still waiting on graphene super-capacitors to make
             | batteries obsolete.
        
               | pnut wrote:
               | I don't know how old you are, but regardless, can you not
               | see how technological change has occurred within your own
               | single human lifespan? This wasn't true in a meaningful
               | way to an individual's life trajectory until the last
               | century or so. The changes are coming so continuously and
               | with such significant future implications, it's
               | impossible for me not to just stand in awe.
               | 
               | Whether the specific proof of radical change you're
               | waiting for happens in the next 24 months or over the
               | next 100 years, it's still instantaneous in comparison to
               | everything that came before it.
        
           | numpad0 wrote:
           | I think it's more like the Western economy is silently
           | crashing than technological development having reverted back
           | to ~19th century rate, although the latter is said to be
           | happening too - something feels wrong about tech lately.
        
         | burnte wrote:
         | I used to have intermodal carriers as customers, so for an IT
         | guy I know a good bit about it. I went to comment on his post
         | and it said only paid subscribers can comment. I'm not going to
         | pay him to point out issues he'd need to deal with.
        
       | wejick wrote:
       | There's oversimplification of how logistic is working. For
       | example it's not gonna happening solving last mile delivery using
       | this airship, not even mentioning the pickup.
        
       | jeffreyrogers wrote:
       | In the render it shows the airship directly loading while
       | hovering above a warehouse. This is currently not allowed under
       | FAA regulations and would require a regulatory change. Not being
       | able to do that makes a lot of the business model assumptions
       | questionable.
        
       | 6510 wrote:
       | It is a wonderful solution looking for a problem. I imagine there
       | must be at least one landlocked country interested in the
       | adventure.
       | 
       | Someone long ago did a napkin calculation for me showing a hard
       | vacuum airship made of reinforced concrete can work if you make
       | it big enough. What are a few miles on the cosmic scale?
        
       | cbeach wrote:
       | On a related note, I recommend this short presentation by Hacker
       | News regular @simonw on the history of airships, including a look
       | at the future of airships:
       | 
       | "When Zeppelins Ruled The Earth" (6m47s)
       | 
       | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=omobajJmyIU&ab_channel=Simon...
        
       | Log_out_ wrote:
       | https://de.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cargolifter
       | 
       | What has changed?
        
       | ttepasse wrote:
       | The CargoLifter-Conendrum:
       | 
       | If you're want to use your cargo airship for point to point
       | transport, you'll need ballast at the target point so that the
       | buoyancy of the airship doesn't change too much. CargoLifter back
       | then used water. Their prototype could lift an armoured vehicle
       | and lower it - while maintaining buoyancy through pumping water
       | with an high speed pump. They planned cargo services for very
       | remote points.
       | 
       | But if you'll can transport water and a high speed pump and a
       | mobile mooring tower to the very remote target, chances are,
       | you'll already can transport the cargo itself to that target.
       | 
       | Today the CargoLifter hangar is the biggest indoor water park.
        
       | graybeardhacker wrote:
       | I feel there were very good reasons that airships were abandoned.
       | I don't know what those reasons were, but unless they enumerate
       | the reasons and explain why they have now solved them, I will
       | assume they are also going to fail.
       | 
       | According to AI, there have been 5 historical attempts to make
       | airships work before the modern resurgence:
       | 
       | The early experimental phase (1780s-1850s), The pioneering era
       | (1850s-1900s), The golden age (1900s-1930s), A post-Hindenburg
       | decline (1930s), Cold War military uses (1940s-1970s), and A
       | modern resurgence (1990s-present).
        
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