[HN Gopher] Research in psychology: are we learning anything?
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Research in psychology: are we learning anything?
        
       Author : ctoth
       Score  : 72 points
       Date   : 2024-10-08 18:30 UTC (2 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.experimental-history.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.experimental-history.com)
        
       | MailleQuiMaille wrote:
       | Oof. What was the point of that article ? It felt like an
       | unnecessary tough read.
        
         | toolz wrote:
         | I found it insightful and pleasant to see that there are people
         | inside of a an important field being intellectually curious and
         | honest about the direction of their field of study.
        
           | MailleQuiMaille wrote:
           | That's the promise that initially brought me to the article,
           | and I like the reason of the article. I'm just not sure I got
           | more info from the title than the content of the article
           | itself. But that is maybe just me, another fellow
           | psychologist.
        
       | godelski wrote:
       | I think one of the great ironies is that psychology is one of the
       | hardest sciences but is treated so soft. I say this holding a
       | degree in physics! (undergrad physics, grad CS/ML)
       | 
       | By this I mean that to make confident predictions, you need some
       | serious statistics, but psych is one of the least math heavy
       | sciences (thankfully they recently learned about Bayes and
       | there's a revolution going on). Unlike physics or chemistry, you
       | have so little control over your experiments.
       | 
       | There's also the problem of measurements. We stress in
       | experimental physics that you can only measure things by proxy.
       | This is like you measure distance by using a ruler, and you're
       | not really measuring "a meter" but the ruler's approximation of a
       | meter. This is why we care so much about calibration and
       | uncertainty, making multiple measurements with different
       | measuring devices (gets stats on that class of device) and from
       | different measuring techniques (e.g. ruler, laser range finder,
       | etc). But psych? What the fuck does it even mean "to measure
       | attention"?! It's hard enough dealing with the fact that "a
       | meter" is "a construct" but in psych your concepts are much less
       | well defined (i.e. higher uncertainty). And then everything is
       | just empirical?! No causal system even (barely) attempted?! (In
       | case you've ever wondered, this is a glimpse of why physicists
       | struggle in ML. Not because the work, but accepting the results.
       | See also Dyson and von Neumann's Elephant)
       | 
       | I've jokingly likened psych to alchemy, meaning proto-chemistry
       | -- chemistry prior to the atomic model (chemistry is "the study
       | of electrons") -- or to astrology (astronomy pre-Kepler, not
       | astrology we see today). I do think that's where the field is at,
       | because there is no fundamental laws. That doesn't mean it isn't
       | useful. Copernicus, Brahe, Galileo (same time as Kepler; they
       | fought), and many others did amazing work and are essential
       | figures to astronomy and astrophysics today. But psych is in an
       | interesting boat. There are many tools at their disposal that
       | could really help them make major strides towards determining
       | these "laws". But it'll take a serious revolution and some major
       | push to have some extremely tough math chops to get there. It
       | likely won't come from ML (who suffers similar issues of rigor),
       | but maybe from neuroscience or plain old stats (econ surprisingly
       | contributes, more to sociology though). My worry is that the slop
       | has too much momentum and that criticism will be dismissed
       | because it is viewed as saying that the researchers are lazy,
       | dumb, or incompetent rather than the monumental difficulties that
       | are natural to the field (though both may be true, and one can
       | cause the other). But I do hope to see it. Especially as someone
       | in ML. We can really see the need to pin down these concepts such
       | as cognition, consciousness, intelligence, reasoning, emotions,
       | desire, thinking, will, and so on. These are not remotely easy
       | problems to solve. But it is easy to convince yourself that you
       | do understand, as long as you stop asking why after a certain
       | point.
       | 
       | And I do hope these conversations continue. Light is the best
       | disinfectant. Science is about seeking truth, not answers. That
       | often requires a lot of nuance, unfortunately. I know it will
       | cause some to distrust science more, but I have the feeling they
       | were already looking for reasons to.
        
         | empiko wrote:
         | The parallels to ML you drew are on point. ML has this tendency
         | to oversimplify complex phenomena with a easy to produce
         | datasets, because that's what ML folks do, they find a smart
         | and easy way to create a dataset and then they focus on the
         | models. But this falls apart pretty quickly when you go into
         | societal problems, such as hate speech or misinformation. Maybe
         | there it would be nice to have some rigor and theory behind the
         | dataset instead of just winging it. I am working on societal
         | biases in NLP and I feel confident that majority of the
         | datasets used have practically no validity.
        
           | godelski wrote:
           | I love ML. I came over from physics because it is so cool.
           | But what I found odd is that few people were as interested in
           | the math as I was, and even moreso were dismissive of the
           | utility of the math (even when demonstrated!). It's gotten
           | less mathy by the year.
           | 
           | My criticisms of ML aren't out of hate, but actually love.
           | We've done great work and you need to be excited to do
           | research -- and sometimes blind and sometimes going just on
           | faith --, because it is grueling dealing with so much
           | failure. Because it's so easy to mistake failure for success
           | and success for failure. It's a worry that we'll be overtaken
           | by conmen, that I have serious concerns that we are not
           | moving towards building AGI. But it's difficult to criticize
           | and receive criticism (many physics groups specifically train
           | students to take it and deal with this seemingly harsh
           | language. To separate your internal value from your idea). So
           | I want to be clear that my criticism (which you can see in
           | many of my posts) is not a call to stop ML or even slow it
           | down, but a desire to sail in a different direction (or even
           | allow others to sail in those directions as opposed to being
           | on one big ship).
           | 
           | I do know there are others in psych with similar stories and
           | beliefs. But there's a whole conversation about the structure
           | of academia if we're going to discuss how to stop building
           | mega ships and allow people to truly explore (there will
           | always be a big ship, and there always should! But it should
           | never prevent those from venturing out to explore the
           | unknown. (Obviously I'm a fan of Antoine de Saint-Exupery lol
           | ))
        
         | miksumiksu wrote:
         | Not all psych is as jurasic as you describe. For example
         | cofnitive psychology has better theorios with more predictive
         | power than personal psychology that is often picked at. Sure
         | journals are flooded with underpowered studies and studies with
         | very little links to theory, and there is still massive gaps in
         | scientific knowledge but core consturcts are solid.
        
         | goldfeld wrote:
         | Psychology is not inherently treated as soft, it's jusst that
         | its human element attracts intuitive people much more than
         | rational ones. If nore rationally minded people took up the
         | study and research of psychology fields, more hard stuff would
         | come to the front, although soft stuff is hardly behind in
         | intelligence.
        
         | artemavv wrote:
         | > I do think that's where the field is at, because there is no
         | fundamental laws
         | 
         | I think that there are some fundamental laws, which are based
         | on perceptions and their interplay. Speaking very briefly,
         | there are five classes of perceptions: emotions, wishes,
         | thoughts, beliefs, and body sensations. The division of
         | perceptions into these classes is not a result of purely
         | intellectual exercise or idle theorizing. If one starts
         | carefully and diligently observe contents of their mind, these
         | contents will delaminate into such classes naturally. Try that
         | yourself and you will see it as a fact.
         | 
         | Further introspection and assessment of arising perceptions
         | would reveal some interesting patterns: there are two mutually
         | incompatible kinds of emotions, and two mutually incompatible
         | kinds of wishes, and so on.
         | 
         | One could make observations about the interplay of these
         | perceptions and their dynamic. For example, if someone in some
         | specific situation experiences an emotion X and a wish A (with
         | some specific qualities), they can either realize that wish or
         | choose not to do so. Each choice will lead to some changes in
         | the contents of the mind: emotion X is replaced by emotion Y,
         | and/or wish A is changed into wish B, and so on. Gather enough
         | observations of that kind, and you could eventually formulate
         | some hypotheses about possible general laws of perceptions
         | (e.g. make a prediction that emotion X will change to emotion Y
         | in specific set of circumstances).
         | 
         | These hypotheses could be verified by training several people
         | to observe the same five classes of perceptions in the same
         | manner. Arrange various test events for them, record their
         | choices and outcomes of these choices (described in the same
         | language of five classes of perceptions).
         | 
         | If most of them report more or less the same subjective
         | outcomes (without being told about hypothesis and predictions,
         | of course), that's the first step of verification for a
         | possible general law of perceptions.
         | 
         | The second step of verification would be to apply brain imaging
         | to those trained people, allowing us to map emotions X,Y,Z to
         | some distinct patterns of the brain activity. After that do the
         | same experiments with people who are untrained: arrange same
         | test events for them while recording their brain activity. If
         | changes in their brain patterns match for emotion X changed to
         | emotion Y, that would be an objective confirmation of
         | hypothesis formulated earlier.
        
         | closed wrote:
         | As someone who did statistics and psychology, I'm very
         | surprised by this take, for a few reasons:
         | 
         | 1. Many of the early pioneers in statistics were psychologists.
         | 
         | 2. The econ x psych connection is strong (eg econometrics and
         | psychometrics share a lot in common and know of each other)
         | 
         | 3. Many of the people I see with math chops trying to do
         | psychology are bad at the philosophy side (eg what is a
         | construct; how do constructs like intelligence get established)
        
           | SubiculumCode wrote:
           | As in many fields, the strength of statistical practices
           | continually improve. And the parent comment has it right
           | about the difficulty. In physics its much easier to ensure
           | your sample is representative (heterogeneity is huge), and
           | you have no way of ensuring that last sample of 100
           | participants have the same characteristics as your next
           | sample of 100.
        
         | mistermann wrote:
         | Lots of great points. I would start with semiotics, including
         | during the problem definition phase, otherwise you could easily
         | end up lost in language without the slightest clue of the
         | predicament you're in.
         | 
         | Epistemology is also useful, because it might allow one to
         | wonder if the problem space is non-deterministic (or not
         | discoverable as).
        
       | guerrilla wrote:
       | This was awesome. Don't just read the comments. Spoiler:
       | psychology is not stupid, it's just young.
       | 
       | I completely agree. This is how I see psychiatry after having
       | experienced it for decades: it's just slightly better than going
       | to a shaman. It's witchcraft and it mostly doesn't work because,
       | well, it's witchcraft. We just are not at a point in history
       | where we can do much about these things and we have to be adults
       | and accept that. It's okay, there was a time when we'd die of
       | simple infections too. That's how psychology is now, very young
       | and full of witchcraft.
       | 
       | Also, the article was funny... And wtf is that cheeseboat?
        
         | kranke155 wrote:
         | I think this is very fair. Every science that was starting out
         | was indistinguishable from nonsense when starting out. But to
         | say we shouldn't have pursued alchemy, because we didn't
         | understand chemistry? One likely led to the other.
        
         | masfuerte wrote:
         | I had the same question. It's Cincinnati chili. Wikipedia has
         | an article [1] and Serious Eats goes into way more detail [2].
         | It actually sounds pretty good. I'll give it a go but with much
         | less cheese.
         | 
         | [1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cincinnati_chili
         | 
         | [2]: https://www.seriouseats.com/cincinnati-chili-
         | recipe-8402230
        
       | cheeseomlit wrote:
       | I agree with the authors identification of the problems in the
       | field, but I'm not sure about their conclusions, or 'ways
       | forward', which are
       | 
       | 1. Debunk 'folk' psychology, with comparisons to the illegitimacy
       | of 'folk' biology and 'folk' physics
       | 
       | 2. Shake things up- meaning don't be afraid to question
       | established dogma regardless of reputational risks
       | 
       | I, a completely unqualified internet commenter, will give number
       | 2 a try. I'd argue that psychology is a folk science, which is to
       | say its not a science at all, but an art. As we've recently
       | discovered, a massive swath of psychological studies are non-
       | reproducible. So maybe we shouldnt treat psychology as if it were
       | a rigorous scientific pursuit, but a philosophical one, or even a
       | therapeutic one (IE. make it synonymous with psychiatry). Leave
       | the science to the neuroscientists, who can quantify and measure
       | the things they're studying (I understand there is some overlap
       | between these fields sometimes). If your study consists of asking
       | people questions and treating their answers as quantitative
       | measurements of anything, I don't know- it feels like something
       | has been lost in the sauce there. Too many variables to draw any
       | meaningful conclusions.
        
         | lazyeye wrote:
         | In a similar way Im wondering what gender studies would be
         | called?
        
         | dudu24 wrote:
         | What a stereotypical hackernews comment, wow.
         | 
         | > I, a completely unqualified internet commenter,
         | 
         | Just leave it there.
        
           | dartos wrote:
           | How would people learn if they don't get feedback on their
           | ideas?
           | 
           | Why go out of your way to gatekeep random internet comments?
        
             | mrguyorama wrote:
             | Sometimes you should make the effort to learn _before_
             | sharing your idea with other people.
             | 
             | So many people will blindly walk forward in the dark,
             | completely in ignorance, and then get upset that people ask
             | them to light a candle first.
        
           | cheeseomlit wrote:
           | Care to enlighten me? It's not like I stated any of that as
           | fact, it was qualified with an admission of my own ignorance-
           | I'm open to being corrected. Or are you just demonstrating
           | what happens when established dogma is questioned in this
           | field? If so point taken, I can see why they're having
           | problems
        
             | DinoDad13 wrote:
             | Which established dogma do you want to challenge and why?
        
               | cheeseomlit wrote:
               | Moreso 'question' than 'challenge'- but it seems like the
               | idea that psychology is a hard science at all is sort of
               | a baseline assumption, or dogma. This article goes into
               | great detail on all sorts of issues in the field, but
               | stops short of questioning whether or not the whole thing
               | could even be classified as scientific. I'd argue that
               | the reproducibility crisis throws that into question to
               | some degree (though that crisis apparently extends into
               | 'harder' sciences as well, so maybe not?)- And
               | intuitively, human psychology just doesn't seem like
               | something you can quantify, at least not to the level of
               | granularity required by the scientific method. That is,
               | unless you're measuring the activity of neurons,
               | synapses, hormone levels, any physical measurable
               | phenomena, to draw your conclusions- and I'm not sure how
               | much of that is done in psychology as opposed to
               | neuroscience
        
             | feoren wrote:
             | I think there's a common pattern on Hacker News that goes
             | something like:
             | 
             | A: Overly broad generalization of a huge body of work put
             | together over 100 years by tens of thousands of
             | professionals
             | 
             | B: Ugh, hate this take from armchair experts
             | 
             | A: Okay, then give me _all the examples_! Otherwise you 're
             | proving me right!
             | 
             | I happen to think your overly broad generalization is more
             | right than wrong, but I also recognize the silliness of
             | asking to be "enlightened" on an entire branch of human
             | endeavor via internet comments. This is a problematic
             | argument form, and someone calling out this behavior does
             | not prove you right.
             | 
             | So let's be clear about what "enlightening you" means. If
             | your argument is "psychology is based on a fundamentally
             | flawed/useless study design (surveys) and we can never
             | learn anything real from it", then a few examples of
             | reproducible, interesting, not a-priori obvious results
             | from surveys should be sufficient to show that we actually
             | can learn real things from surveys. (And be careful not to
             | fall into the "I could have told you that!" fallacy.)
             | Luckily, this question was already asked on Reddit, and I
             | think there are some strong examples:
             | 
             | https://www.reddit.com/r/AcademicPsychology/comments/qktt6h
             | /...
             | 
             | On the other hand, the field is absolutely _rife_ with
             | problematic study design and even some entire psychology
             | departments (e.g. Stanford) seem to be completely rotten.
             | The most salient example of this is the  "implicit bias"
             | studies that came out of Stanford. Their study design was
             | something like:
             | 
             | Task 1: Associate good words with white/Christian/American
             | themes as fast as you can
             | 
             | Task 2: Associate bad words with "foreign" themes
             | 
             | Task 3: Associate good words with white/Christian/American
             | themes _again_
             | 
             | Task 4: Associate good words with "foreign" themes
             | 
             | And the result is: you're racist because Task 4 takes you a
             | few milliseconds longer. It never occurred to them (or it
             | did and they intentionally forced the result) that in Task
             | 4, you're literally _unlearning_ what you 've just
             | practiced 3 times. It was one of the most blatantly bad
             | studies I've ever seen in my life and I didn't see anyone
             | else calling out how problematic it was, because
             | _Stanford_.
             | 
             | So in general I actually agree with your take: the field is
             | rife with junk science, some of it obvious, and almost
             | certainly some of it intentional. But please also recognize
             | that "I'm an expert in tech and therefore everything, and
             | if you can't prove me wrong in an internet comment then
             | that proves me right!" is a very problematic argument
             | style. It sounds like you're trying to prove yourself
             | right, and a much more efficient way to get smarter is to
             | habitually try to prove yourself _wrong_.
        
               | SubiculumCode wrote:
               | To be fair, most studies of implicit bias are randomly
               | ordered on a trial to trial basis.
        
               | cheeseomlit wrote:
               | I appreciate the productive answer- You're right, re-
               | reading it now my tone was more argumentative than
               | inquisitive- Itd be foolish to dismiss such a large body
               | of work as 'useless' and I hope it didn't come off that
               | way- Of course understanding human psychology is
               | immensely useful for all sorts of reasons
        
         | bee_rider wrote:
         | Philosophy is often very well grounded, often annoyingly so. We
         | gave up on it because it turns out you can create iPhones if
         | you ignore the philosophical problem of induction, go do
         | science instead, and assume the laws of physics won't try and
         | conspire against you.
         | 
         | Rather, I wonder if Psychology would be better thought of as
         | something _even less_ grounded than science. Something where
         | we're just are happy with an accumulation of stuff that's
         | happened to work well enough, without pretending that we're
         | hunting fundamental principles. Something like a profession:
         | Engineering, Doctoring, that sort of stuff.
        
           | mistermann wrote:
           | Why would the problem of induction prevent one from inventing
           | things?
           | 
           | Also, where did you learn it was given up on, _and_ that is
           | the reason why?
        
         | dambi0 wrote:
         | Neuroscience isn't immune from non-reproducibility, for example
         | this https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41672599 from just a
         | couple of weeks ago
        
       | bbor wrote:
       | Oo my favorite topic! Great writing and the right themes are
       | there, but I think they're missing a lot by not taking a more
       | historically-holistic view. Aka wondering what all the people
       | who've been criticizing psychology think, from Chomsky to Piaget
       | to Lacan to Freud to Husserl to Hegel to Kant to Locke to Scotus
       | to Ibin-Sinna all the way back to the OG, Aristotle.
       | 
       | Obviously some were more empirical than others so you can't
       | believe them all, but without engaging with their works -- even
       | in a negative way - you're forced to reinvent the wheel, like the
       | bitcoin people did with banking regulations.
       | 
       | For example, this quote makes me feel the author thinks
       | psychology is more special/unusual than it is:
       | We're in good company here, because this is how other fields got
       | their start. Galileo spent a lot of time trying to overturn folk
       | physics: "I know it seems like the Earth is standing still, but
       | it's actually moving."
       | 
       | In what way has any natural science been anything other than
       | overturning folk theories? What else could you possibly do with
       | systematic thought other than contradict unsystematic thought?
       | 
       | In this case, this whole article is written from the assumption
       | that true, proper, scientific psychology is exclusively the
       | domain of the Behaviorists. This is a popular view among people
       | who run empirical studies all day for obvious reasons (it's way
       | cheaper and easier to study behavior reliably), but those aren't
       | the only psychologists. Clinical psychology (therapy) is usually
       | based in cognitive frameworks or psychoanalytical, pedagogy is
       | largely indebted to the structuralism of Piaget, and
       | sociology/anthropology have their own set of postmodern, Marxist,
       | and other oddball influences.
       | 
       | All of those academies are definitely part of psychology IMO, and
       | their achievements are undeniable!
       | 
       | For anyone who finds this interesting and wants to dunk on
       | behaviorists with me, just google "Chomsky behaviorism" and
       | select your fave content medium -- he's been beating this drum
       | for over half a century, lol.
        
       | Notatheist wrote:
       | >epicycles all the way down
       | 
       | I don't mind this idea at all! I'm the abyss staring into itself.
       | 
       | That said I don't think digging into skulls until we identify the
       | neurons that cause the big sad or teaching people ways to cope
       | with their awful lives is worth much. I want psychology to help
       | me understand (a maybe terrible) existence, not to solve it.
       | Something like overturning our intuitions is perfect. If tomorrow
       | they make a flawless anti-depressant that will let me endure
       | misery I argue we'll be worse off.
        
       | inSenCite wrote:
       | This was a great write up.
       | 
       | One thing that struck me as to the difficulty / young-ness of
       | this field is also the fact that it is the only science that is
       | us studying our thinking selves. It's almost like trying to draw
       | a picture of the exact spot you are standing on.
        
         | parpfish wrote:
         | i think that that issue leads to particularly intense 'folk
         | psychology' because everybody has experience with _a_ mind
         | which will lead to everybody having their own litle set of folk
         | psychology beliefs that the scientists need to overturn.
         | 
         | contrast that to something like... geology. i'm sure there was
         | folk geology back in the day about where different types of
         | rocks come from, but for 99% of people they weren't
         | particularly invested in it. so when the scientists came out
         | with empirical research, most people would be fine with it.
         | 
         | but when psychologist confront folk psychology, people often
         | take it as a personal affront. any comment section about
         | psychology research (HN included) is filled with armchair
         | experts contradicting researchers with their own pet theories
        
       | parpfish wrote:
       | i think that before a science can be "a science" with powerful
       | theories and universal laws, there needs to be a long period of
       | existing as a proto-science where people aren't doing experiments
       | and are just observing and describing.
       | 
       | before darwin, you had to have linneaus just describing and
       | cataloging animals.; before {astronomy theory guy}, you had to
       | have {people just tracking and observing stars}.
       | 
       | psychology may have tried to jump the gun a bit by attempting to
       | become theoretical before there were a few generations of folks
       | sitting around quantifying and classifying human behavior.
       | 
       | this was definitely true in cognitive neuroscience. once folks
       | got their hands on fMRI, this entire genre of research popped up
       | that was "replicate an existing psychology study in the scanner
       | to confirm that they used their brain". imo, a lot more was
       | learned by groups that stepped back from theory and just started
       | collecting data and discovering "resting state networks" in the
       | brain.
        
         | simonebrunozzi wrote:
         | Astronomy: you might go with Galileo Galilei, and you wouldn't
         | be too wrong. [0]
         | 
         | [0]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Galileo_Galilei
        
         | mistermann wrote:
         | By forcing formal study of the mind into the constrained
         | methods used for studying the physical world, it allows the
         | government and profit/power seekers to be the only actors free
         | to use the methods that work best.
         | 
         | I wonder if this is purely a coincidence.
        
       | titanomachy wrote:
       | I'm floored by the suggestion that professional training as a
       | therapist does not produce a statistically significant
       | improvement in ability to treat mental health conditions.
       | 
       | It's interesting that one comparison they offered was between
       | advice from a random professor versus a session with a therapist.
       | I can remember several helpful conversations with kind, older
       | professors during difficult times. Maybe we should identify
       | people whose life experiences naturally make them good counselors
       | and encourage them to do more of it, instead of making young
       | adults pay $200k for ineffective education and a stamp saying
       | they can charge for therapy.
        
         | thierrydamiba wrote:
         | I think a lot of people just never find the right therapist and
         | then assume all therapists are terrible.
         | 
         | It's interesting because even the most staunch opponents of
         | mental health talk therapy have people in their life they talk
         | to, they just don't consider them therapists.
        
           | lr4444lr wrote:
           | But this begs the same question: if mental illness really is
           | what psychologists say it is, and if treatment is a learnable
           | skill, then the practitioner shouldn't matter that much
           | assuming his training was good.
           | 
           | But most evidence suggests that some "je ne sais quoi" has to
           | exist in the therapeutic relationship.
           | 
           | In other words, Freud was right about Transference as a
           | necessary ingredient to psychotherapy (and probably about a
           | lot else that is still too controversial to talk about or
           | pass IRB muster).
        
             | staticvoidstar wrote:
             | Isn't the "je ne sais quoi" just feeling safe to be
             | themselves and open? Whatever that means for each person
        
           | wk_end wrote:
           | Well, sure, but "people in their life that they talk to"
           | aren't really therapists. They're functioning quite
           | differently - they can have a personal involvement that a
           | therapist, ethically, isn't permitted to have. The sorts of
           | things someone talks to with their friends overlaps with but
           | is also often quite distinct from the sort of thing a
           | therapist is probing for. There's no direct financial
           | incentive to keep the "patient" coming. And they're making no
           | claim to, broadly, help someone improve their overall mental
           | health - people vent to their friends because it feels nice,
           | not because it's necessarily constructive.
        
           | datavirtue wrote:
           | So the patient is holding the therapist wrong?
        
           | scarmig wrote:
           | Although I agree it's a matter of finding the right
           | therapist, I think that undersells the problem a fair bit.
           | 
           | There are large barriers to trialing a lot of therapists, and
           | finding the right one can be like finding a needle in a
           | haystack. Therapy is quite expensive, and many therapists
           | already have a full caseload. And the pool of therapists is
           | very homogeneous: essentially, a ton of well-off white women
           | who might not have the tools or shared experiences to
           | facilitate a helpful therapeutic alliance with individuals
           | coming from a broader background than they're comfortable
           | with.
        
         | solfox wrote:
         | As much as that's an eye-catching headline, even the author
         | admits it was a bad study that hasn't been reproduced.
        
           | dustyventure wrote:
           | If the author told you their psychology study was
           | reproducible, not dismissing it would be the other category
           | of error.
        
         | codingdave wrote:
         | Where did it say the education was ineffective? There are
         | reasons to believe it is not the only path to being effective
         | at helping others, but that does not invalidate that if you
         | spend a few years learning tools and techniques and pattern
         | matching to behaviors, you have a valid toolkit in front of you
         | for being a therapist.
         | 
         | Now, it is a valid argument whether or not it should be
         | required (and there is no requirement to label yourself as a
         | "coach"), and the price tag on it is of course always a
         | consideration. But being dismissive of higher education is just
         | as silly as being overly dependent on it.
        
         | ordu wrote:
         | _> professional training as a therapist does not produce a
         | statistically significant improvement in ability to treat
         | mental health conditions._
         | 
         | It produces a statistically significant improvement, just not
         | with people who are already gifted at it. You can get not
         | gifted people and teach them to be not worse than gifted. It is
         | not much, but it is not nothing either.
        
         | lemonwaterlime wrote:
         | Part of the problem is the therapists (and medical
         | practitioners in general) are often forbidden from doing the
         | thing they were trained to do for a variety of reasons: risk
         | and liability, patient turnaround, standardization. These
         | things can get in the way of doing the right thing in the times
         | where that is known. That's before considering the ambiguous
         | cases.
        
           | JamesBarney wrote:
           | Can you give some examples?
        
           | hotspot_one wrote:
           | > often forbidden from doing the thing they were trained to
           | do for a variety of reasons
           | 
           | you forgot to add `insurance company rules` to your list.
        
       | lcnPylGDnU4H9OF wrote:
       | > The best thing to do is forget all of it, estrange yourself
       | from the word "creativity" entirely, and start with the extremely
       | bizarre fact that humans write songs and novels and solve math
       | problems, and we don't know how this happens.
       | 
       | (Found in note [10] in the article.)
       | 
       | This reads, very much in a positive way, like someone is
       | describing the idea of "root cause analysis". That bodes well for
       | this person to epistemicly "know" stuff like they write about. At
       | least they'll be more likely to "know that they don't know" yet,
       | which is a necessary step along the way.
       | 
       | It reminds me of a saying I've heard: "Forget what you know."
       | ("Forget" is even in the quote. I wouldn't be surprised if the
       | author is familiar with the saying.) Perhaps more clearly,
       | "Forget what you think you know." The idea being for one to
       | identify and challenge their assumptions in order to work it out
       | from "first principles".
        
       | lutusp wrote:
       | A great article, particularly for its candor.
       | 
       | As Neil DeGrasse Tyson and others have said, in the same way that
       | chemistry replaced alchemy, neuroscience will replace psychology.
       | But this isn't likely to happen soon -- the human brain is too
       | complex for present-day efforts.
       | 
       | But there's some progress. In a recent breakthrough, we fully
       | mapped the brain of a fruit fly
       | (https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-024-03190-y).
        
         | SubiculumCode wrote:
         | Its a piss poor article that was written to vent, but it didn't
         | try very hard to find good psychological research. Episodic
         | memory psychological literature is very strong, IMO, yet never
         | gets brought up in these kinds of articles. Its always the
         | fluffy puffy research that fuels tabloid headlines, not the
         | research that shows, for example, differential patterns of
         | memory strategies over child development, or the contributions
         | of context to recognition memory, the differences between
         | recollection and familiarity processes supporting recognition
         | memory..you know, all the stuff that is not flashy for
         | tabloids, but is real psychological science. Dr. Charan
         | Ranganath was a member of my dissertation committee who
         | recently wrote a wonderful book about memory and gave some
         | really fantastic interviews. For example, on Fresh Air:
         | https://www.npr.org/transcripts/1233900923 Now yes, some of
         | this is informed by neuroimaging and neuroscience spanning
         | human and animal models, but also lots and lots of behavioral
         | memory research. And the findings that are discussed are pretty
         | reliable, shown over and over again in different ways. So, no,
         | this article is not great. It did not do diligent research. Its
         | a rant that focuses on specific types of research that is a
         | small majority of the REAL field.
        
         | SketchySeaBeast wrote:
         | > neuroscience will replace psychology
         | 
         | That seems like say that hardware engineers should be the ones
         | debugging software.
        
       | randomNumber7 wrote:
       | Because you don't even know what Freud actually did.
       | 
       | He assumed the human is a machine and used _analytical_ thinking
       | trying to understand it.
       | 
       | Yet you think the interpretation of dreams is just BS. Either you
       | only read secondary literature or you have a deficiency in
       | reasoning.
        
       | photochemsyn wrote:
       | > "Another way of thinking about it: of the 298 mental disorders
       | in the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual, zero have been cured.
       | That's because we don't really know what mental illness is..."
       | 
       | I'm of the firm belief that today's understanding of
       | psychological maladies is comparable to mid-19th century theories
       | of the causes of disease - when doctors had little idea of the
       | causality of infectious disease or cancer or heart disease
       | (indeed they had no way of distinguishing between transmittable
       | infectious diseases and other types of illness).
       | 
       | Take the importance of insect control and water treatment and
       | condoms in preventing infectious disease from bubonic plague to
       | cholera to HIV and syphilis - they just had no idea until Koch
       | and Pasteur came along. It's probably safe to compare this to our
       | current advertising system, which deliberately makes people feel
       | miserable about various aspects of their appearance and social
       | status with the goal of convincing them that buying some product
       | or other will fix their lives - and it's especially damaging when
       | developing children and teenagers are the targets.
       | 
       | The fact that capitalist consumer society norms are as much as
       | source of mental illness in modern populations as the filthy open
       | sewers of old European cities were of infectious disease is a
       | concept I suspect today's corporatized academic institutions will
       | have a hard time accepting.
       | 
       | A further issue is that currently illegal psychedelic drugs show
       | more potential for understanding and treating a wide variety of
       | mental illness conditions under controlled conditions than any of
       | the widely prescribed antidepressants do, and yet most
       | governments are rigidly opposed to their legalization.
        
       | gargalatas wrote:
       | I have a solid example here that bogles my mind every now and
       | them watching people killing other people especially in the US: I
       | would expect after all those years mental health to be accounted
       | in a serious criminal case like killing somebody. Meaning that a
       | person who kills somebody else definitely has mental issues that
       | come from their childhood. So what about parents in those cases,
       | aren't they having their part on the sick mentality of their
       | child? Why not pressing charges to them?
        
         | nverno wrote:
         | > a person who kills somebody else definitely has mental issues
         | that come from their childhood
         | 
         | People that kill other people often function well in their
         | society. It doesn't make sense to me to classify that as mental
         | issues. People are inherently territorial, aggressive animals -
         | at least to the extent being so doesn't make them much of an
         | outlier.
        
         | xboxnolifes wrote:
         | > Meaning that a person who kills somebody else definitely has
         | mental issues that come from their childhood. So what about
         | parents in those cases, aren't they having their part on the
         | sick mentality of their child? Why not pressing charges to
         | them?
         | 
         | Even assuming the premise of killing someone implies mental
         | illness, and assuming the mental illness stems from trauma,
         | there's a pretty large leap in reasoning here. Why must the
         | trauma come during childhood? Why not in adulthood? Even in
         | childhood, why does it have to come from the parents?
         | 
         | Then you have the idea of continuing up the causal chain. Why
         | are we pressing charges to the parents? If the parent's
         | traumatized their kids, there's good chance they did it due to
         | their own mental illness/trauma, which means the parents
         | themselves were abused in childhood. So we should go after
         | their parents.... except that just means we should go after
         | there parents.... ad infinitum.
        
       | taurath wrote:
       | > There's a thought that's haunted me for years: we're doing all
       | this research in psychology, but are we learning anything?
       | 
       | Advancements in PTSD, dissociation, treatment resistant
       | depression and attachment disorders is astounding. We know a lot
       | more about how people work.
       | 
       | Psychology has always been a person centered field - humans are
       | complex, and what it does is more akin to QA than coding. It's
       | individualized. It doesn't love studies because the underlying
       | mechanism or traumas can be different even for people who went
       | through the same things.
       | 
       | Unfortunately advancements are not evenly distributed. There is
       | an army of CBT therapists who work in one method that works for
       | some but not the majority. Finding a practitioner is a crapshoot
       | even when looking for specialists.
       | 
       | The DSM is functionally treated as a billing manual, and to be
       | paid practitioners need to jump through a long series of hoops.
       | The medical billing side can't deal with the complexity.
       | 
       | All these aside, there are people who are really truly healing in
       | ways they wouldn't without the field. There are ideas that
       | propagate through human culture make human behavior more
       | understandable.
        
         | acchow wrote:
         | Given that "humans are complex" and "it's individualized",
         | would advancements be greater and faster by just allowing
         | clinicians and scientists to just talk things out instead of
         | coming up with "studies" which pretend to be "science" with a
         | low reproducibility rate (and non-publishing on null results)?
        
       | autoexec wrote:
       | We've learned that it hasn't produced much research that holds up
       | to replication, that the vast majority of research never gets
       | properly replicated at all anyway, and that despite the endless
       | meta-analysis of glorified internet surveys people's mental
       | health hasn't been improving.
       | 
       | We're certainly learning how to use psychology to manipulate
       | people though. Advertising, dark patterns, propaganda, and
       | behavioral conditioning just wouldn't be the same without
       | psychology research. We're performing research on children to
       | learn the youngest age they can recognize a brand name (age 3
       | last I checked) or how best to keep them hooked playing a video
       | game/child casino though and that research is making companies
       | money hand over fist.
        
       | antonkar wrote:
       | I'm afraid that after reading this guy, people will just give up,
       | thinking there is nothing that works. And this is not the case at
       | all, depression and many other problems are curable. Mine got
       | cured, in addition to anxiety, anger management problem and
       | suicidality. You can get help or start by reading a workbook
       | yourself.
       | 
       | He links to a meta analysis* that says CBT does cure depression
       | and does so consistently for many decades without any declines in
       | effectiveness. Later for some reason, he says no single mental
       | illness was ever cured.
       | 
       | It seems the main point of the article is to say that nothing
       | except "nudges" ever worked in psychology - this is nonsense that
       | he himself contradicts as I mentioned above.
       | 
       | Skip this sensationalist guy, use https://scholar.google.com to
       | do your own research
       | 
       | * https://research.vu.nl/ws/portalfiles/portal/26037670/2017_C...
        
       | Michelangelo11 wrote:
       | > I recently read The Secrets of Alchemy by Lawrence Principe,
       | which I loved, especially because he tries to replicate ancient
       | alchemical recipes in his own lab. And sometimes he succeeds! For
       | instance, he attempts to make the "sulfur of antimony" by
       | following the instructions in The Triumphal Chariot of Antimony
       | (Der Triumph-Wagen Antimonii), written by an alchemist named
       | Basil Valentine sometime around the year 1600. At first, all
       | Principe gets is a "dirty gray lump". Then he realizes the recipe
       | calls for "Hungarian antimony," so instead of using pure lab-
       | grade antimony, he literally orders some raw Eastern European
       | ore, and suddenly the reaction works! It turns out the Hungarian
       | dirt is special because it contains a bit of silicon dioxide,
       | something Basil Valentine couldn't have known.
       | 
       | > No wonder alchemists thought they were dealing with mysterious
       | forces beyond the realm of human understanding. To them, that's
       | exactly what they were doing! If you don't realize that your ore
       | is lacking silicon dioxide--because you don't even have the
       | concept of silicon dioxide--then a reaction that worked one time
       | might not work a second time, you'll have no idea why that
       | happened, and you'll go nuts looking for explanations. Maybe
       | Venus was in the wrong position? Maybe I didn't approach my work
       | with a pure enough heart? Or maybe my antimony was poisoned by a
       | demon!
       | 
       | > An alchemist working in the year 1600 would have been justified
       | in thinking that the physical world was too hopelessly complex to
       | ever be understood--random, even. One day you get the sulfur of
       | antimony, the next day you get a dirty gray lump, nobody knows
       | why, and nobody will ever know why. And yet everything they did
       | turned out to be governed by laws--laws that were discovered by
       | humans, laws that are now taught in high school chemistry. Things
       | seem random until you understand 'em.
       | 
       | Well, this example doesn't just fail to support the argument, but
       | undercuts it. Basil successfully identified the kind of antimony
       | that would work, -despite- having no concept of sulfur dioxide.
       | He did not write down something like "not all kinds of antimony
       | work for this recipe, so get a bunch of different kinds and try
       | them all" -- that, or a stronger version ("sometimes the recipe
       | fails, we don't know why"), would support the author's point.
       | 
       | So we're left with the author trying to argue that this alchemist
       | thought the world was "too hopelessly complex to ever be
       | understood" on the basis of ... the alchemist correctly
       | identifying the ingredient that would make the recipe work.
        
       | jasonhong wrote:
       | One big area of psychology not mentioned in the article that has
       | been seeing a good amount of success is applied psychology with
       | respect to Human-Computer Interaction.
       | 
       | For example, there's a lot of basic perceptual psychology
       | regarding response times and color built into many GUI toolkits
       | in the form of GUI widgets (buttons, scrollbars, checkboxes,
       | etc). Change blindness
       | (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Change_blindness) is also a known
       | problem for error messages and can be easily avoided with good
       | design. There's also a lot of perceptual psychology research in
       | AR and VR too.
       | 
       | With respect to cognitive psychology, there's extensive work in
       | information foraging
       | (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Information_foraging) which has
       | been distilled down as heuristics for information scent.
       | 
       | With respect to social psychology, there are hundreds of
       | scientific papers about collective intelligence, how to make
       | teams online more effective, how to socialize newcomers to online
       | sites, how to motivate people to contribute more content and
       | higher quality content, how and why people collaborate on
       | Wikipedia and tools for making them more effective, and many,
       | many more.
       | 
       | In past work, my colleagues and I also looked at understanding
       | why people fall for phishing scams, and applying influence
       | tactics to improve people's willingness to adopt better
       | cybersecurity practices.
       | 
       | Basically, the author is right about his argument if you have a
       | very narrow view of psychology, but there's a lot of really good
       | work on applied (and practical!) psychology that's going on
       | outside of traditional psychology journals.
        
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