[HN Gopher] How private intelligence companies became the new sp...
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       How private intelligence companies became the new spymasters
        
       Author : dsr12
       Score  : 78 points
       Date   : 2024-10-07 20:06 UTC (2 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (engelsbergideas.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (engelsbergideas.com)
        
       | cyberax wrote:
       | A couple of years ago, a dipshit moron in the US Army leaked a
       | bunch of top secret documents on Discord, mostly related to the
       | Ukrainian war.
       | 
       | The thing is, these documents were kinda bad. The information in
       | them was not any better than the work of open source
       | intelligence, and analyses were as good (bad) as that of many
       | armchair analysts.
       | 
       | So it's no wonder that spy agencies are getting left behind.
        
         | stonethrowaway wrote:
         | Well don't leave us hanging, what did the documents reveal?
        
           | r721 wrote:
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022%E2%80%932023_Pentagon_doc.
           | ..
        
             | Modified3019 wrote:
             | Oh, the thugshaker incident. Now I remember.
        
           | tourmalinetaco wrote:
           | Their post is somehow even worse quality than the stuff
           | they're complaining about. To answer your question, a lot of
           | the documents were vehicle/weapon data, thickness of armor
           | plates of tanks and such. Specifically regarding what is best
           | searched as "War Thunder Discord leaks", as it was,
           | supposedly, a bunch of War Thunder players trying to one-up
           | each other on how knowledgeable they were on military
           | hardware. Some of them (there were a good handful over the
           | years) are detailed here: https://steamcommunity.com/sharedfi
           | les/filedetails/?l=polish...
        
             | neaden wrote:
             | War Thunder are to my knowledge the only game studio who
             | have had to publicly tell their fans not to send them
             | classified material in order to advocate for a balance
             | change.
        
         | martinky24 wrote:
         | Any source for the "not any better than the work of open source
         | intelligence" part?
        
           | l33t7332273 wrote:
           | I think it's GP's own evaluation
        
         | vjulian wrote:
         | I'd prefer a neutral account. In conclusion, is it fair to say
         | that the leak was a breach of US protocol or law and was
         | publicly-available information?
        
         | JumpCrisscross wrote:
         | > _information in them was not any better than the work of open
         | source intelligence_
         | 
         | Now look at the dates on those documents.
         | 
         | Big difference between knowing the Japanese fleet is off Pearl
         | Harbor at 7AM versus 8:01.
        
         | tolerance wrote:
         | I don't understand why your comment is being retrieved so
         | unpopularily thus far.
         | 
         | The decline in quality that you're describing not withstanding,
         | I'm not surprised that private intelligence companies are on
         | the rise as opposed to state agencies. I reckon that won't be
         | for long though and that eventually any distinction between the
         | two will be nominal.
        
           | ImPostingOnHN wrote:
           | _> I 'm not surprised that private intelligence companies are
           | on the rise as opposed to state agencies_
           | 
           | Me, neither. The private sector almost universally pays more
           | for top talent, so much of the top talent will go there. It's
           | also probably a better culture.
           | 
           | As more government agencies outsource intelligence (and
           | consequently, decision-making) to the private sector,
           | companies like Palantir and OpenAI will become even more the
           | de-facto government than they already are.
        
             | sudoshred wrote:
             | This is a feature of capitalism, nothing to see here.
        
             | tolerance wrote:
             | > As more government agencies outsource intelligence (and
             | consequently, decision-making) to the private sector,
             | companies like Palantir and OpenAI will become even more
             | the de-facto government than they already are.
             | 
             | This is basically what I was alluding to. The stage is set
             | all too well for this not to occur.
        
               | kridsdale1 wrote:
               | I predict we'll head to a Holy Roman Empire or Snow Crash
               | style of federated fragmented powers that in aggregate we
               | can call The United States but in reality it's a bunch of
               | jockeying nobles and oligarchs.
               | 
               | Maybe it always was, and the US Revolution was to allow
               | this by tearing down unitary monarch power.
        
       | jklinger410 wrote:
       | Sounding like a broken record here. Your bank and state
       | government will sell your data to these brokers. Just in case any
       | of you think your TOR browser saves you.
        
         | JumpCrisscross wrote:
         | Not what this article is about.
        
         | hammock wrote:
         | Sell and buy
        
       | jongjong wrote:
       | Looking at the past 10 years of the software industry, I still
       | can't wrap my head around the approach that most large companies
       | have taken to hiring software engineers; treating them as literal
       | cogs in the machine, designing processes which place trust in the
       | hands of middle managers and bureaucrats instead of engineers.
       | There was literally no vetting process for engineers. Now every
       | corner of the internet is full of viruses, spyware and backdoors
       | and of course middle managers had no idea. Nobody is responsible
       | for the software so it belongs to intelligence agencies and
       | hackers.
       | 
       | The software industry turned out so different from how I thought
       | it would. When I decided to pursue it as a career, I thought that
       | software engineers would be treated and given responsibilities
       | like managers.
       | 
       | It's crazy when you think about it; managers are responsible for
       | their people, whom they have limited control over... Yet software
       | engineers have zero responsibility for the software they produce,
       | which they have almost full control over.
        
         | dataviz1000 wrote:
         | I was a private yacht chef for 7 years. They would hire anyone
         | off the street to work on a $35,000,000 private yacht without
         | checking references or a background check. I had unprecedented
         | access to CEO's of Fortune 100 companies and phone numbers of a
         | couple billionaires on my phone. I thought about writing a spy
         | novel where a bunch of college students got entry level jobs on
         | a yacht and used the access to plant bugs. The plot is they get
         | caught and have to escape the Caribbean while being chased.
        
         | gavmor wrote:
         | > Nobody is responsible for the software
         | 
         | Sounds like the accountability sink[0].
         | 
         | 0. https://www.ft.com/content/2e1042d5-5e89-4fb6-bbee-
         | de605a534...
        
         | aeternum wrote:
         | In almost every industry this is the case. Perhaps with the
         | exception of some government contractors.
         | 
         | Even with projects that went to extreme cost to maintain
         | secrecy ultimately failed to do so, IE the Manhattan project.
         | 
         | Most tech companies (and non-tech companies) take a fairly
         | pragmatic approach. Generally trust your employees but
         | configure systems with an audit trail so you can hold them
         | accountable later for malicious actions. If accidental, there's
         | not much you can do anyway so just buy insurance.
        
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