[HN Gopher] Fukushima Reactor: TEPCO robot aims to extract nucle...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Fukushima Reactor: TEPCO robot aims to extract nuclear fuel
        
       Author : rbanffy
       Score  : 84 points
       Date   : 2024-10-07 13:01 UTC (9 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (spectrum.ieee.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (spectrum.ieee.org)
        
       | baq wrote:
       | > "With the goal of completing the decommissioning in 30 to 40
       | years [...]"
       | 
       | Can't decide if it's a success of nuclear or a failure. Leaning
       | towards success:
       | 
       | - ~900 tons of super duper radioactive material is more or less
       | safely sitting in steel enclosures
       | 
       | - we're (as a global civilization) slowly but surely figuring out
       | how to move the hazardous waste to a safer storage, and it may
       | _only_ (ahem) take a couple generations
       | 
       | - OTOH another big earthquake/tsunami can potentially wash it all
       | away and release clumps of radioactive and poisonous metals to
       | the environment...?
        
         | Krasnol wrote:
         | Sound more like a success for the anti-nuclear movement.
        
           | baq wrote:
           | The anti-nuclear movement succeeded in Germany and they're
           | reaping the crops now. Nobody will go back to 1800s quality
           | of life willingly if they can help it, be it by burning coal,
           | trash, plastics, tires or paint cans for heat or electricity.
        
             | Krasnol wrote:
             | Oh, sure they are reaping.
             | 
             | 61.5% of Germany's electricity comes from renewable
             | sources[1]. What nuclear generated has been replaced years
             | ago, and they have a law to phase out coal completely.
             | 
             | The only weird thing about it is that they're being hated
             | on so much from the nuclear-bubble, while the bubble
             | simultaneously drags the shield of innovation and
             | environment protection. Meanwhile, there is negligible
             | innovation in nuclear and saving the environment 2024 means
             | acting fast. Nothing about nuclear is fast.
             | 
             | [2] https://www.bundesregierung.de/breg-
             | de/aktuelles/ausbau-erne...
             | 
             | PS. because it automatically comes up: no, Germany could
             | not phase out coal before nuclear because there are much
             | more jobs connected to coal and no politician would survive
             | such a fast exit. How important it is, can be seen from the
             | name of the commission tasked with the coal phase out: http
             | s://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Commission_on_Growth,_Structur...
        
               | Scarblac wrote:
               | 61.5% sounds like a lot, but how much electricity is
               | needed to replace everything that fossil fuel is now used
               | for? I think it needs to increase to 400% or so to do
               | that.
        
               | ViewTrick1002 wrote:
               | We don't need to replace primary energy with electric
               | energy in a 1:1 ratio.
               | 
               | An ICE car is 20-30% efficient, an EV is 90% efficient.
               | Generally we are looking at a grid expansion, but it is
               | not massive.
               | 
               | See this amazing chart on rejected vs. useful energy:
               | 
               | https://flowcharts.llnl.gov/
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _61.5% of Germany 's electricity comes from renewable
               | sources_
               | 
               | Now. For years they switched to coal. Even today, Germany
               | falls to the siren songs of the gas lobby, who promise a
               | EUR1.5tn investment into gas infrastructure will be
               | happily written off for the sake of the planet.
        
               | Krasnol wrote:
               | FYI: In Germany the same companies who have nuclear
               | reactors, have coal, gas and renewables. They do not
               | lobby against themselves. Therefore, your "lobby" phrases
               | do not work for Germany. You should stop repeating that.
               | It only shows that you have not sufficient knowledge to
               | participate in this discussion.
        
               | TheGamerUncle wrote:
               | ok but lol you are still obviously denying and acting
               | blind to the fact that for many many years, that neither
               | we will nor our lungs will get back, coal had to be
               | ramped up and overused in Germany, Nuclear is safe and
               | effective and until we actually solve the battery problem
               | most of the world should switch to nuclear if we want to
               | survive, Yale has tried to fit the numbers on many
               | occasions but not even them can disagree that nuclear is
               | required
        
               | locallost wrote:
               | > ok but lol you are still obviously denying and acting
               | blind to the fact that for many many years, that neither
               | we will nor our lungs will get back, coal had to be
               | ramped up and overused in Germany
               | 
               | This simply isn't true. Coal use for electricity has been
               | declining consistently in Germany and especially since
               | the first shutdowns of nuclear plants (cca 2011). And the
               | replacement was not natural gas as in e.g. the US.
        
               | dyauspitr wrote:
               | Well then it sounds like they are progressing in the
               | right direction. If in the future you get to a point
               | where 80% of all energy is renewable and 20% are peaker
               | plants that's a pretty good place to be in. I'm all for
               | nuclear but a 1 in a 1000 year event causing a nuclear
               | spill, say by the Danube, that makes multiple countries
               | unlivable is a pretty scary proposition. That being said,
               | I have no idea what the state of the art is when it comes
               | to nuclear power plants so maybe plants are very, very
               | safe now.
        
               | legulere wrote:
               | Nuclear was replaced by renewables, not by coal: https://
               | commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Energiemix_Deutschla... h
               | ttps://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Electricity_genera
               | ti...
               | 
               | A point you certainly can argue about, is that coal
               | should have been replaced by renewables before nuclear,
               | but that discussion is over now.
               | 
               | For gas use electricity production is just a minor use.
               | Most gas is consumed by industry and for heating
               | purposes. Not enough happened in Germany in the last
               | years electrifying them.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _coal should have been replaced by renewables before
               | nuclear, but that discussion is over now_
               | 
               | Right. Coal stayed online where it would have otherwise
               | gone away. That was true for close to a decade.
               | 
               | > _gas use electricity production is just a minor_
               | 
               | And growing. Look at your own chart. The _change_ in
               | natural gas electrical generation is about as large as
               | solar's entire controbution.
        
               | haconBagrid wrote:
               | And here we can see how their electricity generation has
               | fallen
               | 
               | https://energy-
               | charts.info/charts/energy/chart.htm?l=en&c=DE...
        
               | ZeroGravitas wrote:
               | And in France:
               | 
               | https://energy-
               | charts.info/charts/energy/chart.htm?l=en&c=FR...
               | 
               | Note that France has lost more nuclear generation than
               | Germany over this period.
        
               | Krasnol wrote:
               | Where are all those rolling blackouts we've been promised
               | by the fearmongering of the nuclear-astroturf? Weird eh?
               | 
               | Maybe it's not always clever to use US-logic on the rest
               | of the world.
               | 
               | Germany is not Texas.
        
               | pfdietz wrote:
               | Texas, where new nuclear has been dead in the water for
               | years.
               | 
               | > "The cost of new nuclear is prohibitive for us to be
               | investing in," says Crane. Exelon considered building two
               | new reactors in Texas in 2005, he says, when gas prices
               | were $8/MMBtu and were projected to rise to $13/MMBtu. At
               | that price, the project would have been viable with a CO2
               | tax of $25 per ton. "We're sitting here trading 2019 gas
               | at $2.90 per MMBtu," he says; for new nuclear power to be
               | competitive at that price, a CO2 tax "would be
               | $300-$400." Exelon currently is placing its bets instead
               | on advances in energy storage and carbon sequestration
               | technologies.
               | 
               | (passage from Dec. 2018 Physics Today; Texas natural gas
               | is even cheaper than that now)
        
               | littlestymaar wrote:
               | > 61.5% of Germany's electricity comes from renewable
               | sources[1]. What nuclear generated has been replaced
               | years ago, and they have a law to phase out coal
               | completely.
               | 
               | 472g of C02 per kW/h as we speak[1]. 20 times more than
               | France and its nuclear.
               | 
               | A resounding success...
               | 
               | [1]: https://app.electricitymaps.com/zone/DE
        
         | cyberax wrote:
         | > - OTOH another big earthquake/tsunami can potentially wash it
         | all away and release clumps of radioactive and poisonous metals
         | to the environment...?
         | 
         | The reactor itself is high enough to be safe from tsunamis.
        
         | atomic128 wrote:
         | The "super duper radioactive material" you're so afraid of is
         | what's left of the fuel. It's full of energy.
         | 
         | The precious fuel is so full of energy that it gets hot ("decay
         | heat"). Without cooling, it melts. Cooling was lost during the
         | most powerful earthquake ever recorded in Japan, the fourth
         | most powerful earthquake ever recorded anywhere.
         | 
         | The "Great East Japan Earthquake" and its tsunami killed 19,759
         | people. The earthquake was a terrible tragedy. See
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2011_T%C5%8Dhoku_earthquake_an...
         | 
         | Meanwhile, the precious fuel remained safely entombed within
         | the concrete and steel vessel that was designed to contain it.
         | Without cooling, the fuel got hot ("decay heat") and melted,
         | always safely enclosed within the vessel.
         | 
         | Unfortunately, during attempts to cool the fuel in the
         | aftermath of the earthquake, some radioactive fission products
         | were released into the environment: caesium, iodine, xenon,
         | etc. These fission products have been diluted and are harmless.
         | See the section "Radionuclide release" here:
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fukushima_nuclear_accident
         | 
         | How much harm did the radioactive fuel cause? Quoting
         | Wikipedia:                 No adverse health effects among non-
         | worker Fukushima       residents have been documented that are
         | directly       attributable to radiation exposure from the
         | accident,       according to the United Nations Scientific
         | Committee on       the Effects of Atomic Radiation.
         | Insurance compensation was paid for one death from lung
         | cancer (4 years later), but this does not prove a causal
         | relationship between radiation and the cancer.            Six
         | other persons have been reported as having developed
         | cancer or leukemia. Two workers were hospitalized because
         | of radiation burns, and several other people sustained
         | physical injuries as a consequence of the accident.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fukushima_nuclear_accident
        
           | philipkglass wrote:
           | _The "super duper radioactive material" you're so afraid of
           | is what's left of the fuel. It's full of energy._
           | 
           |  _This precious fuel is so full of energy that it gets very
           | hot ( "decay heat")._
           | 
           | Fresh reactor fuel is even more full of potential energy but
           | it doesn't get hot because uranium 235 and 238 have very long
           | half lives. Fuel that has been used in a reactor gets hot
           | primarily due to fission products (lighter elements formed
           | when fuel atoms split apart) that undergo faster radioactive
           | decay. There's also some decay heat from the production of
           | transuranic elements (elements heavier than uranium,
           | generated by neutron capture). But the fission product decay
           | heat dwarfs the transuranic element contribution until
           | several decades have passed.
           | 
           | It makes sense to be more afraid of the super duper
           | radioactive material from spent fuel than the slightly
           | radioactive material in brand new fuel. The radiotoxicity is
           | vastly higher, the heat generation complicates
           | handling/storage, and the chemical composition has gained
           | dozens of elements scattered around the periodic table. In
           | terms of usefulness, a fresh fuel rod is like a clean
           | cardboard box and a used rod is more like a cardboard box
           | that held a hot pizza. It's so dirty that it costs more to
           | recycle it into something usable than to just sequester it
           | and start with fresh material.
        
         | Dalewyn wrote:
         | The Fukushima #1 meltdown was man-made, namely the absolute
         | ineptitude of the Japanese government at the time. As
         | disasterous as the 3/11 earthquake and tsunami were, those were
         | not what ultimately caused the meltdown.
        
           | teamonkey wrote:
           | The government was no more or less inept than any other
           | organisation - government or private - anywhere in the world.
           | 
           | When faced with pressure to save money but still deliver,
           | weighed up against a very low risk of catastrophe in their
           | time, they did the mental math and cut corners, found ways
           | around the safeguarding policies previously put in place and
           | kicked infrastructure spending down the line.
           | 
           | The big problem with nuclear is not technological, it's
           | guaranteeing that whoever is responsible for it will be
           | competent, capable and solvent for hundreds of years.
        
             | Dalewyn wrote:
             | You literally do not know what transpired.
             | 
             | When the tsunami hit and Fukushima #1 lost power and was at
             | risk of meltdown, TEPCO was ready to scuttle the reactors
             | by dumping seawater in them. It would have rendered the
             | reactors unusable, but meltdown would be prevented.
             | 
             | The Japanese government at the time, coming from the Prime
             | Minister (Naoto Kan) himself, denied TEPCO from scuttling
             | them because the government wanted the reactors usable.
             | TEPCO was begging for authorization but it was not meant to
             | be.
             | 
             | So what happened was the meltdown happened and the reactors
             | became unusable anyway.
             | 
             | The blame was then scapegoated on TEPCO, because elite
             | politicians surely can't and shouldn't be prosecuted for
             | their ineptitude.
             | 
             | What happened at Fukushima #1 was a human failure that did
             | not have to happen.
             | 
             | Bittersweet revenge was that the incumbent party at that
             | time, the Democrat Party of Japan, lost the subsequent
             | general election and the party subsequently fell apart.
        
               | jborean93 wrote:
               | How does that refute what the parent comment was saying?
               | Sounds like you are agreeing that the problem is not the
               | technology but the people and processes in place.
        
         | bamboozled wrote:
         | If you were a Japanese tax payer, would it be a success ?
         | 
         |  _The total cleanup costs were estimated to be between 50.5 and
         | 71 trillion yen ($470 to $660 billion). For the cleanup, only
         | 184.3 billion yen was reserved in the September supplementary
         | budget of prefecture Fukushima, and some funds in the central
         | government 's third supplementary budget of 2011._
        
           | autoexecbat wrote:
           | They don't have to pay for it all this year
        
             | bamboozled wrote:
             | Very naive comment. It's still a lot of money.
             | 
             | Are you aware about the current economic and demographic
             | situation in Japan ?
             | 
             | It's not good here. That money could've went to a lot more
             | useful things. Also remember this was a man made disaster.
             | The plant was not upgraded (as recommended) to meet new
             | safety guidelines, because, as if a mega tsunami would
             | actually happen, right ? Then right after the event the
             | operator was downplaying the extent of meltdown for too
             | long. The PM had to step in and get a proper response team
             | organised.
        
               | exe34 wrote:
               | > The plant was not upgraded (as recommended) to meet new
               | safety guidelines, because, as if a mega tsunami would
               | actually happen, right ?
               | 
               | And others on this same thread are trying to use the same
               | disaster to paint nuclear as expensive.
        
           | littlestymaar wrote:
           | And who do you think they will be paying it to?
           | 
           | Subsidizing Japanese companies to develop technologies that
           | may be exported elsewhere isn't that bad of a deal actually.
        
             | bamboozled wrote:
             | What technologies are Japanese companies developing here,
             | and does the tax payer get any of that privately held
             | revenue back in return?
        
         | foxyv wrote:
         | To add to your point. Disposal of nuclear waste at sea was
         | common up until 1993. There is still a couple hundred thousand
         | tons of such waste sitting in the ocean right now. In addition,
         | about 214 times as much radioactive material was generated by
         | nuclear testing than the Chernobyl breach. Fukushima wouldn't
         | even come close to the waste that has already been released
         | prior to the 1994 ban on Oceanic dumping.
        
       | Kon5ole wrote:
       | Are the costs of this 13 years and counting expense tab added to
       | the cost of electricity generated by nuclear power plants in any
       | way?
       | 
       | Seems to me like it should, so that generations-long decisions
       | are not made from overly optimistic numbers.
        
         | kchoudhu wrote:
         | Japan has (within reason) concerns other than the total cost of
         | electricity: having to haul in coal, oil and LNG over an ocean
         | contested by an increasingly hostile neighbor must be very
         | worrying to them.
        
         | baq wrote:
         | Money is numbers in computers, joules and watts are real
         | things.
         | 
         | Coal, gas and oil is full of externalities which are nowhere
         | near being correctly included in the nominal prices of these
         | commodities. Arguably neither are solar panels and wind
         | turbines.
        
           | pfdietz wrote:
           | What are these putative externalities of wind and solar?
           | 
           | These is a constant whataboutist argument from nuclear
           | apologists, but it falls apart when examined closely, as all
           | pro-nuclear power arguments do.
        
             | elzbardico wrote:
             | The fact that their system cost is prohibitive in the real
             | world? The fact that we don't fucking have the slightest
             | idea of how to deal with recycling that stuff on their EOL?
             | Or would be the fact that mining cobalt and lithium in the
             | required quantities to indulge on the fantasy of a
             | solar/wind based grid would poison an inordinate portion of
             | our environment? Or would it be the fact that every single
             | fucking country that went all in on the siren's song of the
             | renewable industry scammer is now plagued with absurdly
             | high energy costs and are slipping into becoming
             | impoverished third world de-industrialized economies like
             | the UK and Germany?
        
               | pfdietz wrote:
               | You provide excellent examples of the bogosity of the
               | arguments. Let me demolish them in turn.
               | 
               | 1) System cost
               | 
               | Sure, it's high. That's because we spend huge amounts of
               | money on energy. ANY system to replace fossil fuels will
               | be expensive, in the trillions of dollars.
               | 
               | But if this is an argument against renewables, it's an
               | even bigger argument against nuclear. Because nuclear is
               | much more expensive than renewables.
               | 
               | 2) Recycling
               | 
               | At worst, we can bury the stuff. Recycling it _is not
               | necessary_. After all, the amount of material is small
               | compared to everything else we do in society, and it 's
               | not some special kind of waste (like high level nuclear
               | waste) that requires some particularly unique handling.
               | 
               | 3) Lithium and cobalt
               | 
               | Lithium is abundant. If you hadn't been paying attention,
               | the price has been crashing, as it pretty much always
               | does after a price spike of a mineral resource, when the
               | price spike encourages investment to increase the amount
               | available. As for cobalt: probably the same is true, but
               | why do you think cobalt is needed?
               | 
               | 4) poison the environment
               | 
               | This is just emotional bullshit. No, renewables would not
               | "poison the environment". You beclown yourself with this
               | nonsense.
               | 
               | 5) absurdly high energy cost
               | 
               | As opposed to those still burning fossil fuels where they
               | are foisting off the cost of the externalities on others?
               | Ignoring those external costs doesn't make them go away.
               | 
               | In any case, the place that's normally pointed to is
               | Germany, where they made a large investment in renewables
               | from 2009-2012. Solar was much more expensive then, and
               | they are still paying that down. But the costs of
               | renewables crash with time, so pointing to past
               | expenditures is grossly misleading. Going forward
               | renewables will be much cheaper. That's why we're seeing
               | so much investment in them now globally.
               | 
               | One can tell the intellectual barrenness of the pro-
               | nuclear position when you have to resort to this sort of
               | deplorable nonsense.
        
               | akerl_ wrote:
               | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
               | 
               | > Be kind. Don't be snarky. Converse curiously; don't
               | cross-examine. Edit out swipes.
               | 
               | > Comments should get more thoughtful and substantive,
               | not less, as a topic gets more divisive.
        
               | OrigamiPastrami wrote:
               | I strongly wish we had more comments like the one you're
               | responding to. I find most comments here to be
               | obnoxiously polite and I wish more ignorant opinions were
               | publicly demolished as they should be, rather than
               | continue to spread misinformation because it's the polite
               | thing to do.
               | 
               | Not all opinions are created equal.
        
               | hollerith wrote:
               | I agree.
        
               | polotics wrote:
               | Indeed you have to look at the figures, no amount of
               | wordage without computation will get you a true answer,
               | still calling someone or something deplorable is, I am
               | sorry, a dog-whistle.
               | 
               | So to clear the air I propose you look at this
               | substantive set of answers:
               | 
               | https://youtu.be/Z4teA8ciuRU?si=9L-_bHawmM8MI5UA (cc to
               | english should work ok)
               | 
               | https://youtu.be/s254IPHXgVA?si=FjWT5B7_Bzao0vRI
        
               | polotics wrote:
               | 1) it's not the money, it's the EROEI 2) at scale, panels
               | recycling does become a very real issue 3) It's not the
               | abundance, it's the mine-able ore at high enough
               | concentration that matters 4) solar panels, read the docs
               | please 5) again, it's the EROEI, maybe panels and wind
               | scrap a 3, early oil was in the hundreds, nuclear is at
               | around 50
               | 
               | After having gotten 0/5 in terms of correctness on actual
               | facts, maybe tone down the sneer?
        
               | pfdietz wrote:
               | EROEI of renewables is fine, some well-debunked garbage
               | studies not withstanding.
               | 
               | No, at scale recycling doesn't become a "real issue" in
               | the sense of being a showstopper. It would be nice if it
               | could save some money (recover aluminum frames, say) but
               | it's only a "nice to have".
               | 
               | "High enough concentration" is dependent on technology.
               | Like other mineral resources, one can expect lithium
               | extraction technology to keep ahead of demand. The doom
               | and gloomers on this sort of thing are _never_ right.
               | Stationary storage doesn 't even require lithium; there's
               | a large variety of storage technologies that could be
               | used instead (including some like pumped thermal that use
               | nothing more than cheap materials like common steel.)
               | 
               | > solar panels, read the docs please
               | 
               | Empty nonsense. Solar panels are not toxic. Please stop
               | making things up.
               | 
               | > again, it's the EROEI, maybe panels and wind scrap a 3
               | 
               | Completely wrong.
        
           | Filligree wrote:
           | On the other hand, the existence of coal power proves that
           | releasing small amounts of radiation is fine, really. So we
           | should be able to build a lot more nuclear power plants; it
           | would take a lot of accidents like these to match the
           | releases from coal.
        
             | fsh wrote:
             | The explosion of Chernobyl released a few thousand PBq of
             | activity. Coal contains a few tens to a few hundreds of
             | Bq/kg. You would have to burn something like 50 times the
             | world coal reserves (and make sure not to use any exhaust
             | filters) in order to match the radiation release of
             | Chernobyl.
        
               | jajko wrote:
               | While I like nuclear on the paper and its theoretical env
               | impact, this one is hard to ignore. Add costs of current
               | projects which became ridiculous in reality. Plus as we
               | see with various wars nuclear powerplants would be a
               | prime target for terrorists or even state actors, they
               | are certainly not considered as excluded from wars, in
               | contrary.
               | 
               | If we move to renewables, over 100 years there would be 0
               | reason to have a single nuclear plant running anywhere,
               | apart from making nuclear weapons fuel. I just wish we
               | were now where we would/will be in 50 years in terms of
               | renewables technology maturity and its spread.
        
               | polotics wrote:
               | Do pray tell calculate a world's energy system looping
               | back while running purely on renewables, with electric
               | powered mining, transport of ores, refining, panels
               | production... You will find that you cannot, cheap (for
               | now) fossil fuels are subsidising solar panels and wind
               | farms massively.
        
               | pfdietz wrote:
               | The mining for renewables would be a small fraction of
               | the mining for industrial society as a whole.
               | 
               | So, if electrification cannot be done on this, industrial
               | society as we know it is doomed, and nuclear cannot save
               | it. Unless you're thinking we're going to have nuclear
               | reactors in our mining vehicles...
        
               | polotics wrote:
               | Chernobyl with its totally mad graphite design is not
               | representative of safe designs like Fukushima, or French
               | plants, or even Chinese plants...
        
               | chasil wrote:
               | Are there safer plants still, that focus on eliminating
               | the daughter nuclei?
               | 
               | I understood that one benefit of molten salt reactors is
               | that the fission products were easier to process or burn.
               | 
               | Edit: "MSRs enable cheaper closed nuclear fuel cycles,
               | because they can operate with slow neutrons. Closed fuel
               | cycles can reduce environmental impacts: chemical
               | separation turns long-lived actinides into reactor fuel.
               | Discharged wastes are mostly fission products with
               | shorter half-lives. This can reduce the needed
               | containment to 300 years versus the tens of thousands of
               | years needed by light-water reactor spent fuel."
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Molten-salt_reactor
        
               | fsh wrote:
               | Fukushima also released more radiation than all the coal
               | that has ever been burned (a few hundred PBq, ignoring
               | the thousands of PBq of Xe-133). The amount of radiation
               | created by a nuclear power reactor is on an entirely
               | different scale than any natural source of radiation.
        
               | wkat4242 wrote:
               | Yet we've had Chernobyl, Fukushima, Three Mile Island,
               | Sellafield and many others (military ones too).
               | Unforeseen accidents happen. Wars too, which tend to
               | destroy safety equipment.
               | 
               | Artillery was fired around Zaporizhzhia when the reactors
               | were still online, Ukraine is currently invading Russia
               | near Kursk where two of the mad-graphite RBMK reactors
               | are still operational today. I hope they try to avoid
               | those when blowing stuff up. Because they _don 't_ have
               | containment vessels.
               | 
               | And then see how difficult it is to clean up an accident
               | like Fukushima where the containment mostly held. It
               | feels like playing with fire.
        
               | exe34 wrote:
               | > It feels like playing with fire
               | 
               | Much safer to burn the rest of the planet instead.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _we 've had Chernobyl, Fukushima, Three Mile Island,
               | Sellafield_
               | 
               | You're comparing rubber ducks and battleships
        
             | ViewTrick1002 wrote:
             | The difference is the cost coming from handling it. The
             | latest figure on the cost to handle Fukushima is $190B from
             | 2016.
             | 
             | The great thing today is that we don't need to accept
             | radioactive releases from either nuclear power or coal.
             | Simply build the cheap scalable option instead: renewables.
        
               | TheGamerUncle wrote:
               | while cheaper in some contexts and somewhat scalable,
               | renewables are nowhere near being as scalable or
               | effective as nuclear, specially as tensions with China
               | rise
        
               | ViewTrick1002 wrote:
               | Nuclear power which currently has zero new commercial
               | reactors under construction in the US while backsliding
               | as an energy source due to cost and construction
               | timelines now apparently is "effective" and "scalable".
        
               | pfdietz wrote:
               | Renewables are vastly more scalable and effective than
               | nuclear.
               | 
               | You mentioned China. Last year, China brought more than
               | 100x more PV on line than they did nuclear (on a rated
               | power basis; levelized basis maybe 30x as much.)
        
           | Kon5ole wrote:
           | Once you decide to run nuclear power in a country you have
           | centuries of unavoidable costs no matter what the next
           | government, or next ten generations of citizens decide to do.
           | This is a unique cost consideration for nuclear power, which
           | IMO is rarely considered by the proponents.
        
             | pyrale wrote:
             | Negative industrial byproducts creating costs for future
             | generations is an unique challenge? Have you heard of
             | climate change?
        
             | bell-cot wrote:
             | > ...centuries of unavoidable costs no matter what...
             | 
             | OR, you put the nasty and long-lived radwaste into (say)
             | lead barrels, and bury those below some nice, deep, easily-
             | monitored ocean trench. Absolutely nobody's going to
             | accidentally dig those up. And if the effort needed to
             | intentionally do so would be greater than the effort to
             | brew their own fresh radwaste, then nobody will bother
             | trying that, either.
        
               | wkat4242 wrote:
               | Barrels don't last when filled with nuclear material. The
               | radiation embrittles the materials over time, they
               | wouldn't last 100 years. And then all that crap will be
               | released into the ocean and swerve all over the world.
        
               | pvaldes wrote:
               | People keep proposing that nonsense from 70's but can be
               | cured studying some really basic biology and
               | oceanography. In 2024 is at a level similar than saying
               | that smoking is good for your children. Is not even funny
               | as a joke.
               | 
               | > Absolutely nobody's going to accidentally dig those up
               | 
               | Read about the concept of vertical migration
        
         | slt2021 wrote:
         | japan has limited land, no oil&gas resources, so the nuclear is
         | the perfect source of electricity for them, plus they have the
         | expertise.
        
           | Krasnol wrote:
           | Japan has 34 000km (21 126 miles) of coastline.
           | 
           | They import about 90% of its energy requirements. This
           | includes nuclear fuel. So this is far away from "perfect" if
           | you can get wind and sun without having to import it.
        
             | vkou wrote:
             | > This includes nuclear fuel.
             | 
             | Nuclear fuel is both relatively plentiful, and can be
             | sourced from a multitude of countries, both Eastern,
             | Western, and, most importantly, unaligned. A lot of
             | countries have economically viable (for power generation)
             | uranium reserves, but do not exploit them because _global
             | prices for it are so low_.
             | 
             | It differs significantly from oil in this respect.
        
             | slt2021 wrote:
             | nuclear fuel: nuclear rods can last about 3-7 years, lets
             | say 5 on avg. 150 rods per 1 GW reactor. so its like one or
             | two rail cars of fuel - extremely compact footprint.
             | 
             | how calculate yourself how much fossil fuel you need to
             | power 1 GW power plant for half a decade, and how much CO2
             | emissions will you generate?
             | 
             | How many rail cars of coal Germany will need to generate 1
             | GW 24/7/365 for 5 years reliably ?
             | 
             | it is just unfair comparison, nuclear is several orders
             | magnitude better in all aspects compared to fossil fuel and
             | renewable - just due to _physics_ of the process. Nuclear
             | is capturing _strong_ and _weak_ forces, while combustion
             | is capturing _electromagnetic_ force with piss poor thermal
             | efficiency and losses abound.
             | 
             | The only reason countries fumble nuclear energy is because
             | they dont invest enough into new designs and constructions
             | and still employ old design plants.
             | 
             | If there was as much investment into new nuclear plants as
             | it was in renewable tech - we would have solved many of our
             | energy needs long long time ago.
        
               | 7952 wrote:
               | So for nuclear power to be successful you just have to
               | change human nature and politics to secure long term
               | investment. And do so in countries that cannot even
               | figure out how to properly fund education.
        
               | slt2021 wrote:
               | the fact that we allowed non-technical people with
               | liberal arts education, who have no concept of physics
               | and energy, to make nuclear a political issue is a big
               | failure.
               | 
               | Plus oil rich countries lobbying LNG as a greener
               | alternative for nuclear is another fail
        
               | 7952 wrote:
               | But it is not within your gift to control human nature or
               | suppress politics. Or at least I hope its not. A good
               | design/proposal/plan considers human factors.
               | 
               | And energy production is not some science experiment
               | where you can control all the baseline conditions. It
               | exists within a complex mix of economy, environment,
               | social system, manufacturing etc. There is no scientific
               | method for navigating that. And your industry will
               | probably ignore it if there was. Politics is all we have
               | for deciding complex interrelated questions.
        
               | visarga wrote:
               | Technically, solar is also nuclear.
        
               | slt2021 wrote:
               | photovoltaic elements inside solar panel rely on
               | _photoelectric_ effect, which is electromagnetic force.
               | It cannot be weak /strong force
        
         | Krasnol wrote:
         | As the generational costs for the waste management should be.
         | 
         | The odds of some weird future generation digging this stuff up
         | for bad reasons already adds enough incalculable costs.
        
         | pyrale wrote:
         | I would be curious to know which industry would survive such
         | drastic standards.
        
         | Zigurd wrote:
         | If you think Hollywood accounting is opaque and full of
         | shenanigans, look into electric utilities. Nuclear power is not
         | conventionally insurable. The NRC has the most understandable
         | explainer I have found here: https://www.nrc.gov/reading-
         | rm/doc-collections/fact-sheets/n...
         | 
         | The current fad of buying old nukes to power data centers is
         | going to be a learning experience for the tech industry about
         | taking on the liabilities entailed.
        
         | credit_guy wrote:
         | At least in the US such costs are factored in. First of all,
         | after Fukushima, the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC)
         | performed a huge "Lessons learned" exercise, and asked all the
         | power plants to do various upgrades. Here are some links [1],
         | [2]. The ask was not "pretty please, can you do this if it's
         | not much of a trouble for you", it was "you have to do this by
         | this date if you want to continue to operate".
         | 
         | Second, it's the nuclear insurance. The scheme is codified in
         | the Price-Anderson Act [3]. Basically, all the nuclear power
         | plants need to purchase insurance for $0.5 BN per reactor. If
         | anything happens, and the cleanup costs exceed this number,
         | then the rest of the industry has to chime in, and the total is
         | up to $16 BN _per reactor_. So, if 3 reactors were to have a
         | core meltdown, the industry would have to pay close to $50 BN.
         | The total estimate of the Fukushima cleanup stands currently at
         | about twice that, so one can say that $50 BN is too little, but
         | it certainly is not nothing.
         | 
         | Edit: the efficacy of the Price-Anderson Act was tested at the
         | Three-Mile Island. Virtually no taxpayer money was used in the
         | cleanup [4]. Of course, there were other costs incurred, such
         | as in collecting data, doing investigations, upgrading
         | regulations and enforcing them, but that's how Government
         | should work.
         | 
         | [1] https://www.nrc.gov/docs/ML2132/ML21322A288.pdf
         | 
         | [2] https://www.nrc.gov/reactors/operating/ops-
         | experience/fukush...
         | 
         | [3] https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/IF/IF10821
         | 
         | [4] https://www.gao.gov/products/117345
        
       | accrual wrote:
       | > TEPCO speculates that radiation passing through camera
       | semiconductor elements caused electrical charge to build up, and
       | that the charge will drain if the cameras are left on in a
       | relatively low-dose environment. It was the latest setback in a
       | very long project.
       | 
       | I found this interesting. I wonder how many of the ICs onboard
       | the robot are radiation hardened, and how many are just COTS with
       | the hope they'll last for the brief mission.
        
         | Animats wrote:
         | There's a company selling a radiation-tolerant TV camera for
         | use inside nuclear reactors.[1] It uses a vacuum tube imager (a
         | vidicon?). But it may be too big to put on the pointy end of
         | the long, thin Fukushima manipulator.
         | 
         | [1] https://diakont.com/nuclear-services/radiation-tolerant-
         | cctv...
        
         | duskwuff wrote:
         | As I understand it, part of the problem is that the vast
         | majority of components simply don't _exist_ in rad-hardened
         | versions. The cost of having a hardened part manufactured and
         | qualified is high, and demand is low; only a few manufacturers
         | bother.
        
       | purpleblue wrote:
       | Can you cut the fuel into small pieces and keep them away from
       | each other so that they don't reach such a high temperature?
        
         | egorfine wrote:
         | We have about 800 tons of the fuel and now we were barely able
         | to pick up a few grains.
        
       ___________________________________________________________________
       (page generated 2024-10-07 23:01 UTC)