[HN Gopher] NASA Made the Hubble Telescope to Be Remade
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       NASA Made the Hubble Telescope to Be Remade
        
       Author : wallflower
       Score  : 90 points
       Date   : 2024-10-03 11:49 UTC (4 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (spectrum.ieee.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (spectrum.ieee.org)
        
       | lucioperca wrote:
       | Nice, but maybe it would have been better to launch a rocket a
       | day to keep the cost away.
        
       | tgsovlerkhgsel wrote:
       | Hubble weighs 11 tons, well within the capacity to LEO of a
       | single $70M reusable Falcon 9 launch (probably around half that
       | cost for SpaceX).
       | 
       | I wonder how expensive a telescope like this would be today, both
       | the design and actual manufacturing, and whether it would be
       | feasible for SpaceX to shut up all the "Starlink satellites are
       | blocking my view of the sky" complaints by launching a Hubble-
       | equivalent space telescope (not more capable, just more modern
       | and presumably much cheaper) and then giving out observation time
       | on it.
       | 
       | Of course, it would not be easily maintainable given we no longer
       | have the space shuttle, but if the majority of the cost was
       | development, the manufacturing + launch costs today might make
       | replacement cheaper than on-orbit repairs.
       | 
       | https://www.space.com/15892-hubble-space-telescope.html claims
       | "Getting Hubble developed and launched cost $1.5 billion".
        
         | TheCraiggers wrote:
         | It's not just people trying to use telescopes to do science,
         | it's also people like me trying to do astrophotography. Time on
         | a LEO telescope, while cool, would not help my photography.
        
           | bongodongobob wrote:
           | As an astrophotographer myself, Starlink has caused me 0
           | issues. I'm not sure if that's what you're trying to imply.
           | Airplanes are the biggest issue but are easily edited out.
        
         | sidewndr46 wrote:
         | Now that we don't have the Space Shuttle maintenance would be
         | trivial. There would be no more involvement of the manned space
         | flight division of NASA at all. The telescope designers would
         | just need to launch something that actually worked, since there
         | is no longer a need to justify a manned spaceflight program.
        
         | rtkwe wrote:
         | There's a lot of limitations with an on orbit satellite you
         | don't run into with ground based systems. Hubble is pretty old
         | and it's mirror pretty small at this point so there are hard
         | limits on it's usefulness for viewing very faint objects, it's
         | mirror simply doesn't gather as much light because it's
         | relatively small at just under 8 feet. Another thing you can't
         | do anywhere nearly as easily are upgrades or adding new
         | experiments. With ground based telescopes it's relatively easy
         | to add new experiments on the side mirror to measure new
         | spectra or measure in a different way. That just can't be done
         | with a space based telescope, even if the design allowed for it
         | the costs sky rocket.
        
           | pfdietz wrote:
           | It doesn't gather as much light as ground based telescopes,
           | but the background (for example, from airglow) is also much
           | lower, so the SNR is pretty good.
        
         | bane wrote:
         | I've written here before with some back of the envelope numbers
         | for a hubble 2.0 + starship as the LV. It gets more interesting
         | if you set up an assembly line for cameras in a tube like the
         | hubble to spread the costs out, and use newer guts for the
         | sensor payloads and on board compute. Make some assumptions
         | about the telescopes, such as being okay to fail since we have
         | so many up tWebb. You could even do experiments in
         | computational photography like the Keck or the VLA to overcome
         | the light collection limits of the mirror size. I forget the
         | numbers I came up with but it's a lot of orbital sensors for
         | the cost of one hubble program and like an entire space station
         | with sensors for the James webb.
        
         | tjoff wrote:
         | Reminded me of this, not sure if anything came out of it.
         | 
         |  _US military gives NASA two better-than-Hubble telescopes
         | (2012)_ :
         | https://www.theregister.com/2012/06/05/military_gives_telesc...
        
         | ianburrell wrote:
         | We know how much new Hubble would cost. The Roman telescope is
         | based on donated donated spy satellite of similar size and
         | design. It will cost estimated $3.2 billion and that doesn't
         | include the mirror and structure.
         | 
         | New Hubble telescope wouldn't solve the Starlink problem. There
         | are lots of smaller ground telescopes that have view blocked.
         | We would need to launch a bunch of smaller, like 1m ones, to
         | compensate. Also, there are a lot of larger telescopes that are
         | only feasible on Earth. Good example is the 8.4m Rubin survey
         | telescope which is only going to cost $700 million but would be
         | lots of billions in space. That might fit in Starship but the
         | Extremely Large Telescope won't.
        
         | nativeit wrote:
         | I'd rather just de-orbit every StarLink satellite, stick next
         | gen data satellites in geostationary orbits, and outlaw more
         | any more space trash at that scale in LEO, full-stop.
        
           | fencepost wrote:
           | Latency's not going to stop being a problem for geostationary
           | orbits, which is why lower altitudes get used.
        
           | dotnet00 wrote:
           | It's a good thing we don't have even more ignorant tyrants in
           | power then
        
             | nativeit wrote:
             | Well, the smart tyrants are certainly making productive use
             | of StarLink, to be sure.
        
           | outworlder wrote:
           | > I'd rather just de-orbit every StarLink satellite, stick
           | next gen data satellites in geostationary orbits, and outlaw
           | more any more space trash at that scale in LEO, full-stop.
           | 
           | Flip side is that stuff in LEO deorbits pretty quicky, while
           | geostationary junk doesn't deorbit in any timeframes humans
           | care about.
        
         | akira2501 wrote:
         | > shut up all the "Starlink satellites are blocking my view of
         | the sky" complaints
         | 
         | These complaints make a lot more sense when you project forward
         | by just a few decades. We're talking about _one_ provider
         | already causing minor hassles. What do you think an entire
         | commercialized segment is going to do?
         | 
         | Maybe we can shut up all the "LEO satellites are the best way
         | to build a communications network" people by building out a
         | reasonable and fair network on the surface of the earth first.
        
         | 0xDEAFBEAD wrote:
         | A democratic space telescope could be an interesting
         | experiment. Imagine if paying $5/month got you access to all
         | the telescope's observations, and also the ability to vote on
         | where it points next.
        
       | xattt wrote:
       | NASA didn't design for serviceability, but rather the NRO.
       | 
       | There's an old photo showing a Hubble mirror being ground by a
       | technician in 1979. It's a cute how-the-sausage-is-made photo,
       | until you think about the timelines when Hubble was donated and
       | realize it's a photo of top secret work being done.
       | 
       | (1)
       | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Hubble_mirror_polishing...
        
         | Zarkonnen wrote:
         | Quite, let's not bury the fact that the HST is a modified KH-11
         | spy satellite aimed the other way.
        
           | lizknope wrote:
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/KH-11_KENNEN
           | 
           | We don't know how much of it is the same but the mirror is
           | very similar.
           | 
           | > KH-11s are believed to resemble the Hubble Space Telescope
           | in size and shape, as they were shipped in similar
           | containers. Their length is believed to be 19.5 meters, with
           | a diameter of up to 3 meters (120 in).[5][23] A NASA history
           | of the Hubble,[24] in discussing the reasons for switching
           | from a 3-meter main mirror to a 2.4-meter (94 in) design,
           | states: "In addition, changing to a 2.4-meter mirror would
           | lessen fabrication costs by using manufacturing technologies
           | developed for military spy satellites".
           | 
           | > In January 2011, NRO donated to NASA two space Optical
           | Telescope Assemblies with 2.4 meters (94 in) diameter primary
           | mirrors,[53][54][55][56] similar in size to the Hubble Space
           | Telescope, yet with steerable secondary mirrors and shorter
           | focal length (resulting in a wider field of view). These were
           | initially believed to be KH-11 series "extra hardware", but
           | were later attributed to the cancelled Future Imaging
           | Architecture program.[57] The mirrors are to be used by NASA
           | as the primary and spare for the Roman Space Telescope.
        
           | _djo_ wrote:
           | That's not accurate. You're thinking of the Nancy Grace Roman
           | Space Telescope [0]
           | 
           | [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2012_National_Reconnaissanc
           | e_O...
        
             | chankstein38 wrote:
             | As someone who doesn't have a lot of knowledge here, I
             | appreciate your corrections and sources!
        
           | akira2501 wrote:
           | And the shuttle was designed to launch and recover DoD
           | payloads. There's a lot of "military synergy" in the early
           | space program. No one else was interested in paying.
        
           | adastra22 wrote:
           | It is not that simple. Hubble was developed in the open by
           | nasa civil servants who did not have access to KH-11 design.
           | The non-optical systems are entirely different between the
           | two platforms. Some of the contractors were shared however,
           | and may or may not have reused IP and tooling. A lot of it is
           | convergent evolution though. The size of the space shuttle
           | payload bay was set by the DOD to be large enough to carry or
           | return a KH 11 spy satellite, even though it was never used
           | for that purpose AFAIK. The size of the Hubble was obviously
           | the max size they could fit in the space shuttle. So they
           | both ended up being identically sized optical telescopes, and
           | it's not surprising that similar design requirements end up
           | making similar devices.
        
             | Kon-Peki wrote:
             | My grandfather worked on some aspect of the Hubble design
             | (I was young; I think the timing would have put him at
             | Lockheed M&S in Sunnyvale at that time). He never said
             | anything about his work on it being classified. He used to
             | say "when I retired, the stack of NDAs was this tall" and
             | show his index finger and thumb being about 3 inches apart.
             | 
             | He was a very serious guy and would never talk about
             | anything he shouldn't have. So yes, I believe the fact that
             | he was willing to talk about Hubble meant it was done in
             | the open. And also, he never expressed any sort of
             | amazement that it was still up there, working. Why wouldn't
             | it be?
        
               | adastra22 wrote:
               | Hubble was done in the open, this is an established fact.
               | Since some of the contractors companies were the same,
               | though usually not the same employees, it's an open
               | question we plebs may never know as to whether some
               | aspects of KH-11 were declassified and shared with the
               | workers doing Hubble.
               | 
               | But if we're talking anecdotes, I worked at Lockheed as
               | well, though not back then, and one of the stories I
               | heard was that when the Hubble was in Sunnyvale to get
               | tested in the vacuum chamber, one of the KH-11 workers
               | stopped by to check it out. He spotted something that was
               | a unique invention for the KH spy satellites and alerted
               | the government. It took a LOT of paperwork to show that
               | nope, it was just accidental convergent design. It was a
               | tricky thing to sort out, but really the only way of
               | solving that problem given the identical requirements.
        
               | Kon-Peki wrote:
               | > usually not the same employees, it's an open question
               | we plebs may never know
               | 
               | The impression was that my grandfather did classified
               | work more often than not; he probably would have been one
               | of the crossovers if it had been the case. He was
               | exceptionally severe if any discussion came too close to
               | whatever line existed, not that anyone else knew if or
               | where such a line was. My mother and her siblings did not
               | find it to be a very happy childhood, on the subject of
               | anecdotes :). The stuff he talked about was fascinating,
               | but you learned quickly not to ask many questions.
        
         | _djo_ wrote:
         | You're confusing two different programmes.
         | 
         | Hubble was a programme dating back to the 1960s as the Large
         | Space Telescope (LST)[0], but first given the full go ahead in
         | 1978. It was designed and developed in the open, with the
         | Marshall Space Flight Center as the main design location.
         | 
         | The donated NRO satellites were the two donated in 2012[1] and
         | were reportedly KH-11s. Only one of those is being developed
         | into a space telescope, the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope.
         | [2]
         | 
         | [0] https://science.nasa.gov/mission/hubble/overview/the-
         | history...
         | 
         | [1]
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2012_National_Reconnaissance_O...
         | 
         | [2]
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nancy_Grace_Roman_Space_Telesc...
        
           | kevin_thibedeau wrote:
           | It's also worth adding that the Hubble mirror was made by
           | Perkin-Elmer with a backup made by Kodak. The Kodak mirror is
           | the one with "heritage".
        
             | _djo_ wrote:
             | Technically both Perkin-Elmer and Kodak had heritage, as
             | Perkin-Elmer had made mirrors for the KH-9, but Kodak was
             | making the KH-11 mirrors.
             | 
             | NASA initially considered a 3m main mirror for the HST, but
             | opted for a 2.4m mirror especially to take advantage of the
             | existing industrial base for 2.4m mirrors for the KH-11. As
             | it was a proven industrial process that derisked the
             | project and reduced cost compared to a 3m mirror.
        
               | adastra22 wrote:
               | And ironically was the part that failed.
        
               | jcrawfordor wrote:
               | Producing these large mirrors is a very specialized
               | industry, the projects are extremely expensive, and the
               | timelines are long. Things tend to get passed around
               | between programs, sometimes for reasons as simple as a
               | mirror having been completed after its original customer
               | cancelled it. So it's hard to establish direct causality
               | sometimes, especially since some of the "synergy" between
               | projects was leveraged by the contractors to complete
               | similar tasks without necessarily having direct
               | interaction between the parent projects.
               | 
               | It's sort of like air surveillance radar. There's only a
               | few companies that make them, the clients are civilian or
               | military, but the economics mean that both the vendors
               | and customers are incentivized to align the civilian and
               | military systems as much as possible (including through
               | shared-use agreements) in order to make the design and
               | purchasing more economical. Thus the civilian designs are
               | all modifications of the military designs and the
               | military designs are all modifications of the civilian
               | designs, they have essentially evolved in parallel.
               | 
               | I used to work on the MRO 2.4 meter telescope (at a small
               | university observatory). Its main mirror was a Hubble
               | design competition prototype that was transferred to the
               | Air Force for intelligence use after the design wasn't
               | selected. The Air Force kept it in storage for a long
               | time and then provided it as part of their incentives to
               | build the 2.4 meter with dual scientific and military
               | applications. A lot of large mirrors used in astronomy
               | and intelligence have stories like this. There's a number
               | of 2.4 meter mirrors out there and pretty much all of
               | them were made for either Hubble, KH-11, or as a shot at
               | both.
               | 
               | Radio astronomy is no exception, there's a reason I bring
               | up radar. Most radio astronomy observatories early on
               | incorporated microwave electronics that were designed for
               | weapons targeting radar---sometimes extremely directly,
               | with military radar prototypes having been "looted for
               | parts" by the astronomy commmunity after they were
               | retired. Microwave electronics were very costly to design
               | at the time and it saved everyone a lot of money to reuse
               | everything.
        
               | _djo_ wrote:
               | That's really interesting information, thanks for sharing
               | it.
               | 
               | And yes, the Hubble official history makes it clear that
               | NASA intentionally sought to reuse industrial capacity
               | and tooling developed for the NRO's surveillance
               | satellite programme.
               | 
               | My point was only that the Hubble was not a donated
               | KH-11, not that it didn't share the same industrial base
               | as the NRO's satellites.
        
         | treyd wrote:
         | I have a theory that the reason they screwed up the optics
         | initially was because they had to adapt the design from the spy
         | satellite design.
        
           | downrightmike wrote:
           | No, the identically made mirror that kodak made in parallel
           | was perfectly fine. the first mirror's manufacturer made a
           | mistake
        
         | reneherse wrote:
         | Indeed the institutional/industrial context of that photo is
         | extremely intriguing and the stories I've heard could fill the
         | pages of a Tom Clancy novel.
         | 
         | The level of secrecy at the facility was so rigorous and taken
         | so much to heart that even years after various NRO programs
         | were declassified (decades after program conclusion), the
         | retired civilian personnel I've had the privilege to know were
         | reluctant to speak openly.
         | 
         | I will see if I can persuade one retired engineer I know to
         | join this discussion!
        
       | ChuckMcM wrote:
       | This reminds me again of the tremendous opportunity of making a
       | spacesuit with a five finger articulated 'hand' at the end of the
       | sleeve. Imagine an astronaut who puts their hand into a
       | controller at the end of the sleeve that wraps around their
       | fingers and hand such that their hand movements are exactly
       | replicated on the robotic 'hand' outside the end of the glove.
       | This would revolutionize what could be done on spacewalks.
       | 
       | At one of the NASA tech days at NASA Ames (Moffet field), they
       | had a space suit glove simulator where you put your hand in it
       | and it had the flexibility that you would expect with a partial
       | pressure spacesuit glove in vacuum. It was super hard to do
       | anything precisely when pushing so hard just to move your fingers
       | around. A robotic 'waldo' type device which replicated your hand
       | movement precisely would minimize hand fatigue and allow for
       | doing precise alignment.
        
         | jjtheblunt wrote:
         | Why not just use your hand through flexible gloves, like in the
         | old days?
        
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