[HN Gopher] Another Reason Why You Should Sleep on It Before Mak...
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Another Reason Why You Should Sleep on It Before Making an
Important Decision
Author : gnabgib
Score : 28 points
Date : 2024-09-23 19:06 UTC (3 hours ago)
(HTM) web link (today.duke.edu)
(TXT) w3m dump (today.duke.edu)
| antimemetics wrote:
| In the words of the ancients, one should make his decisions
| within the space of seven breaths. If discrimination is long, it
| will spoil.
| bena wrote:
| But they were all the same, so the box they chose didn't matter.
| The first is just as good as the last.
|
| So the people who made the snap judgements were no better or
| worse off than those who slept on it. I would say this study says
| close to nothing.
| manwe150 wrote:
| The article says they also valued them 10% higher, meaning they
| would have been willing to pay 10% more for something which
| gave them no actual additional value. (although I don't know if
| the conclusion that sleeping on it made them better at
| evaluation, or simply more forgetful of what made them
| different causing a regression to the mean, which also just
| happened to align with the study design)
| bena wrote:
| 10% in this case is $2. Hardly anything worth noting.
|
| Like, it matters that all the boxes were of equal value.
| There should have been boxes of multiple values, where the
| apparent value was on top, in middle, on bottom, and mixed.
|
| Then if the snap judges valued all the boxes on the tops,
| while the sleepers had better estimates, that would say
| something. But that's not what they did. They made all the
| boxes of equal value, had them choose. But you can't win or
| lose.
|
| They could have also had people rank the boxes from most to
| least valuable. Which would be funny since all the boxes are
| equal. But they didn't do that either.
|
| This is the sort of "soft science" study in which the results
| will never get repeated, but the conclusions will get
| repeated ad nauseum as some sort of universal truth. Like the
| marshmallow test, the samaritan test, the Milgram experiment,
| etc.
| MattPalmer1086 wrote:
| The whole point is that they had the same value, but the
| perception of value changed over time.
| snapcaster wrote:
| I always sleep on big decisions, but I also can't think of any
| instance in which I changed my mind after sleeping on it
| stvltvs wrote:
| I bought solar panels from a door-to-door sales guy and signed
| some papers cuz he knew a friend of mine and seemed honest. I
| woke up the next morning with a pit in my stomach realizing,
| like any chump, I hadn't done basic due diligence. I found out
| they had horrible reviews and were too expensive, called them
| up, and backed out of the deal immediately.
|
| Always sleep on big decisions.
| bequanna wrote:
| The saying "time kills all deals" seems to apply here.
|
| Increasing the amount of time you dwell on a decision seems to
| decrease the amount of risk you're willing to take.
| aeternum wrote:
| The fact that humans are averse to change is a strong reason not
| to sleep on it.
|
| Choosing status-quo has a gravity to it, and often the longer you
| wait the stronger the pull.
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