[HN Gopher] Mozilla exits the Fediverse and will shutter its Mas...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Mozilla exits the Fediverse and will shutter its Mastodon server in
       December
        
       Author : rglullis
       Score  : 118 points
       Date   : 2024-09-17 20:09 UTC (5 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (techcrunch.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (techcrunch.com)
        
       | rglullis wrote:
       | The writing was on the wall anyway. With the news of the
       | political struggles between Steve Teixeira (who was pushing for
       | deeper integration with open social web) and Laura Chambers (who
       | seems more interested in keeping Google happy to receive the fat
       | checks) it was clear that the whole "Let's open an instance and
       | call an experiment with new social media" was just a way to
       | pretend they were doing anything in the space while not hurting
       | any of Big Tech's feelings.
       | 
       | Back in May I wrote a series of blog posts about mozilla.social,
       | ActivityPub and what I thought could be done instead.
       | (https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40428098)
        
         | stefan_ wrote:
         | > [Steve Teixeira] began a new effort to explore Moz Social, an
         | ethical social media product.
         | 
         | I don't understand.. was this "Moz Social"? What is "Moz
         | Social"? Google believes its the forums of some SEO bullshit
         | company. Did the "Open Social Web" have 300 users?
         | 
         | God knows they did that guy dirty, but the executives at
         | Mozilla really are a hopeless bunch.
        
       | rvz wrote:
       | Mozilla gave plenty of time for this instance to do something
       | spectacular but perhaps, this experiment never made sense in the
       | first place.
       | 
       | > Mozilla.social was a small instance, having only 270 active
       | users as of the time of Tuesday's announcement.
       | 
       | There is just no financial benefit for Mozilla in spinning up a
       | Mastodon instance only to be used by what <300 active users?
       | 
       | > By comparison, the most popular Mastodon instance,
       | Mastodon.social, has over 247,500 monthly active users.
       | 
       | That's Threads remember? They are now part of the 'fediverse' and
       | interoperate with Mastodon with over ~180M+ monthly active users
       | which is >150x bigger than the monthly active users of the entire
       | fediverse!
       | 
       | We already have the results after witnessing a live experiment
       | [0] when Brazil banned Twitter / X and with lots of alternatives
       | to sign up to; the majority of Brazilians signed up to either
       | Bluesky or Threads.
       | 
       | Maybe Mozilla looked at an _actual_ migration from X to BlueSky
       | or Threads and realized that there was really no point in running
       | a Mastodon instance when Threads was the biggest one.
       | 
       | [0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41408985
        
         | rglullis wrote:
         | Threads is not fully open. If they looked at Threads and
         | thought "that's a lot of people", then it would be *one more*
         | reason to have their own instance.
         | 
         | But anyway, I do agree that having their own instance is kind
         | of pointless. We need to get rid of "servers" and get back to
         | an Open Social _Web_. I wrote in May what I thought would be a
         | smarter approach for them (https://raphael.lullis.net/a-plan-
         | for-social-media-less-fedi...). Instead of yet-another mastodon
         | server, they would be better off if they started building
         | something like https://browser.pub inside of Firefox.
        
         | CaptainOfCoit wrote:
         | > There is just no financial benefit for Mozilla in spinning up
         | a Mastodon instance only to be used by what <300 active users?
         | 
         | Was the instance every actually open to the public? Seems to
         | have been invite-only for the entire duration.
        
           | jeromegv wrote:
           | Yeah that's the biggest issue. I remember when it launched
           | and it was invite only. If they indeed opened the
           | registration at some point nobody knew about it. So they
           | really failed at promoting whatever they were trying to do.
        
         | Vinnl wrote:
         | Only a subset of Threads users are currently exposed to the
         | Fediverse, and I believe only partially (not sure if replies
         | have been enabled yet, and if they are, if they're visible as
         | regular replies, or under a separate heading?).
         | 
         | I'd also note that social media use differs hugely per country.
         | See, for example, WhatsApp vs iMessage use in the US and
         | outside, or how Brazil used to be big on Orkut. I wouldn't draw
         | too many conclusions from Brazilian usage patterns vs the rest
         | of the world.
        
         | winwang wrote:
         | I think the vast majority of users just want a good experience.
         | UI fluidity, timeliness of notifications, DMs, image/video
         | quality, etc. Decentralization is near the last of their
         | concerns.
        
         | abdullahkhalids wrote:
         | As a side note, just remember that Threads is currently in the
         | Embrace (an open protocol) part of the Embrace, Extend,
         | Extinguish sequence. Whether in 2 years or 10, the extend part
         | will eventually come, followed soon after by Extinguish.
        
           | criddell wrote:
           | And in 2 or 10 years, a new federated system will probably
           | launch, learning from the mistakes of systems of the past.
           | Maybe that one will be the one that takes root?
        
           | rglullis wrote:
           | This is pointless FUD. Facebook did not extinguished XMPP by
           | adopting from Messenger, did it?
        
             | timeon wrote:
             | They also bought Instagram and turned it to Ad broadcaster.
        
             | st3fan wrote:
             | Bad example. Probably not intentional, but of course they
             | did kill XMPP usage in the end. Messenger (and all the
             | other big tech non-XMPP platforms) is where the users are
             | now. Nobody recently said "i need to get on XMPP to connect
             | to my community, friends & family".
             | 
             | You can probably give an example that you actively use it,
             | but you are probably one in a million.
             | 
             | Lets hope Meta is not going to steamroll over the fediverse
             | in a similar way.
        
               | redserk wrote:
               | They didn't do federation with XMPP. At best you could
               | use Pidgin or other XMPP clients. That doesn't count as
               | any form of embrace.
               | 
               | XMPP is a needlessly complex protocol with very poor
               | organization and planning that, in the process of trying
               | to cater to everyone, catered to nobody except a vocal
               | aspirational group online.
               | 
               | Simply put, XMPP killed XMPP.
        
               | rglullis wrote:
               | No, they did not. The number of XMPP users pre-Facebook
               | (and pre-Google talk) is on the same order as it is
               | today.
               | 
               | My point is that _even if Facebook were to attempt EEE
               | with ActivityPub, the existing userbase would not give
               | up_.
        
         | Groxx wrote:
         | To perhaps give context here and to others:
         | 
         | 270 users on an instance is 100% fine. There are _tons_ of
         | instances with ~1 person. _It 's a federated system_, it's like
         | them running their own email domain: it costs little and they
         | can interact with everyone, and it provides a measure of
         | provable identity beyond just "@mozilla on
         | totally.real.mastodon.xyz".
         | 
         | It does come with maintenance and moderation needs though, e.g.
         | picking which users and instances you want(/need) to block. And
         | some... quirks... that mean joining a mega-instance actually
         | does behave better than a small instance. Kinda like email.
         | 
         | So far I haven't seen any reasons given why they're shutting it
         | down. Just "it's shutting down". "Only 270 users" is almost
         | certainly not related to it though, closed-registration
         | official hosts is completely normal. Kinda like email.
        
       | maelito wrote:
       | Maybe they realized Mastodon has no real migration from one
       | instance to another, ant that it's been a criticized limitation
       | since 2019.
       | 
       | Edit : people answering my message probably think as I did that
       | Mastodon enables messages migration (your posts), but no. The
       | "fediverse" doesn't allow you to migrate your posts with your
       | profile migration. It's like keeping your android contacts but
       | losing all your photos. Well more precisely, they're on this old
       | hard drive, you can't show them to your friends and the hard
       | drive can disappear anytime.
       | 
       | 2019 issue with 500 likes, core team doesn't care much.
       | https://github.com/mastodon/mastodon/issues/12423
        
         | api wrote:
         | IMHO this is an absolutely fatal design flaw. It means that if
         | it were to become very popular eventually the largest instances
         | would take over the network due to network effects. ActivityPub
         | has eventual centralization baked in.
         | 
         | Nostr is closer to a real decentralized social network, though
         | it has other problems. Chief among these is trying to be
         | Twitter, which has always been a model of interaction that
         | lends itself to obnoxiousness. This was also a problem with
         | Mastodon. If we're trying to do better, we should not be trying
         | to duplicate a toxic environment. Still Nostr is
         | architecturally superior.
        
           | ptero wrote:
           | Can you expand on the Nostr problems? Honest question. I
           | mostly see it trying to offer another (architecturally better
           | and robust to censorship) mechanism for group communication.
           | 
           | I think (hope, TBH) that Nostr can fill the niche of the
           | Usenet of the past where some groups did slide into
           | obnoxiousness but others maintained intelligent and
           | thoughtful discussions for many years. My 2c.
        
             | ethbr1 wrote:
             | I always liked the reddit post-scarcity solution to this --
             | make it as easy as possible to fork / start a new
             | community.
             | 
             | Users will vote with their feet.
             | 
             | What was required to start a new usenet domain? (a bit
             | before my time)
        
         | tedivm wrote:
         | What exactly do you mean? I migrated from one instance to
         | another without problem, and all my followers/followings came
         | over without an issue.
        
           | Tomte wrote:
           | Only if your old instance still exists and cooperates.
           | 
           | I can totally see instance admins denying a transfer after
           | banning you (because if they banned you they probably would
           | like to punish you further).
        
             | maelito wrote:
             | Worse : my old instance had its backup down for months.
             | 
             | Also, no GIF support. I asked the admin if he was wanting
             | to get my help, or some funds to help for the servers. Said
             | no.
             | 
             | Imagine : to get GIF support by switching instance, I would
             | lose my posts.
             | 
             | After I did the migration, we talked, the backup worked
             | again.
             | 
             | Couldn't even see his answers nor thank him, since once the
             | migration is acted you lose access to your past
             | discussions.
             | 
             | Disclosure : my account was censored, I did not respect one
             | of the "laws" specific to the instance.
        
             | echelon wrote:
             | > I can totally see instance admins denying a transfer
             | after banning you (because if they banned you they probably
             | would like to punish you further).
             | 
             | This is the fucked up problem with federation and it's why
             | we need true peer-to-peer social media.
             | 
             | Instead of corporate ideological kowtowing, now it's a
             | thousand little fiefdoms of tiny tyrants deciding if you
             | pattern fit to the ascribed dogma.
        
           | maelito wrote:
           | You've lost your posts.
           | 
           | Of course keeping your followers is important. But having a
           | new empty wall was a real problem for me.
           | 
           | I didn't know it. Nobody told me, from the people to the
           | interface that I would lose my 3500 messages. It's like
           | having your blog content on another domain in the hands of
           | another host, that can shut your old page down when he wants.
           | 
           | It's the perfect walled garden in terms of content.
           | 
           | Also, the instance where I was had its backup feature down
           | for months. Finally, the followers migration failed at 80 %.
        
             | walterbell wrote:
             | Is this doc page incorrect,
             | https://blog.joinmastodon.org/2019/06/how-to-migrate-from-
             | on...
             | 
             |  _> On this page you can also download a copy of your
             | archive that can be read by any ActivityPub software. This
             | archive includes all of your posts and media. So even if
             | the instance that you are moving from shuts down, as is the
             | case with KNZK, you will still have a copy of all of your
             | posts!_
        
           | fencepost wrote:
           | It's a migration for the future, not a migration of your past
           | content - understandable because that past content likely has
           | references from other instances and pushing those changes
           | across would be a heavy operation, unreliable, and probably
           | fraught with potential security problems.
           | 
           | I believe for retaining content it's pretty much retaining it
           | for yourself by downloading an archive, though some instances
           | may allow uploading that. There's also at least one browser-
           | based web app that lets you open and view the content of that
           | archive - otherwise it's kind of useless.
           | 
           | Edit: https://github.com/zero-mstd/mav-z
        
             | maelito wrote:
             | > It's a migration for the future, not a migration of your
             | past content - understandable because that past content
             | likely has references from other instances and pushing
             | those changes across would be a heavy operation,
             | unreliable, and probably fraught with potential security
             | problems.
             | 
             | Yes of course I'm getting the technical and conceptual
             | difficulties as a developer, but it's awful UX. It's a real
             | deal breaker once you discover it. You cannot use Mastodon
             | as your primary content database anymore.
        
               | jeromegv wrote:
               | It's a social network. Do you expect Facebook or Twitter
               | to be your primary content database?
               | 
               | But I do agree UX could and should be better
        
               | ethbr1 wrote:
               | I think most people expect their Facebook and Twitter
               | posts to be around in 5 years.
        
             | nine_k wrote:
             | It's then less like comfortable moving and more like
             | fleeing or going on exile. You're happy to be still alive
             | but you've lost all you had.
        
         | closewith wrote:
         | Wow, I had no idea. This means migration is next to useless.
         | 
         | The people responding to you saying this is expected are
         | missing the point.
        
           | maelito wrote:
           | > This means migration is next to useless.
           | 
           | Well not completely. Lots of people see microblogging as the
           | daily rant, the cat pictures. For them, it's not a big
           | problem.
           | 
           | But for people like me that use microbloging as a way to
           | publish content, that use the search feature quite often to
           | retrieve past thoughts, past links, etc it's a fatal flaw,
           | like other users told it.
        
           | rodgerd wrote:
           | The biggest problem with making Mastodon better is exactly
           | that: anyone who dares suggest the way it's always been has a
           | flaw will quickly be shouted down by people telling them that
           | they're an idiot who clearly doesn't understand that the
           | shortcoming is a feature.
        
             | jeromegv wrote:
             | We are on a forum, having a discussion. Not everyone
             | disagreeing is someone shouting you down. Nobody called
             | each other an idiot here.
        
               | marcus0x62 wrote:
               | Have you expressed disagreement with a duly sworn officer
               | of the Mastodon HOA before? Because they _definitely_
               | like to yell at and call people with whom they disagree
               | idiots.
               | 
               | It is, frankly, a very unwelcoming place.
        
             | nine_k wrote:
             | But maybe _for them_ it 's a feature. It keeps the
             | microblog content in a particular shape, like daily chat
             | but not too-serious, long-term-valuable content.
             | 
             | Clearly there's a market for both. And maybe they could
             | even be... confederated? That is, it might be possible to
             | combine several sources in your stream, and accept
             | identities across servers for easy commenting. Heh, this
             | all awfully reminds me of the stuff that was already built
             | in early 2000s, with RSS/Atom, the original OpenID, and no
             | huge corporations interested in taking over these small
             | potatoes.
        
         | throw7 wrote:
         | The migration issue is why I've never bothered with the
         | "fediverse/mastodon".
         | 
         | The other one is choosing a server. That's actually a critical
         | first step that most don't really understand about the
         | "fediverse". Just looking over the "rules" of mozilla.social is
         | insufferable and a non-starter.
        
         | somat wrote:
         | Don't be a digital serf, run your own instance.
         | 
         | Personally I would start here, not because it is good but
         | because it is simple.
         | 
         | https://humungus.tedunangst.com/r/honk
        
         | pkulak wrote:
         | Yes, unlike every other social network. Or email. Or SMS. Or
         | any other chat. Etc.
        
       | LeoPanthera wrote:
       | Can we fork Mozilla? The browser can become a community product
       | again? Where's Jamie Zawinski when you need him. It's time for a
       | rewrite of the about:mozilla screen.
        
         | BadHumans wrote:
         | Everyone whines when Mozilla does anything that isn't related
         | to Firefox and I don't understand it. I use Firefox daily and I
         | run into maybe 1 bug every 6 months which is much fewer than
         | when I as running Chrome. What exactly do you want them to pour
         | more resources into?
        
         | wmf wrote:
         | Developing Firefox costs $200M per year. You want to replace
         | that with a community of volunteers?
        
           | drpossum wrote:
           | > Developing Firefox costs $200M per year.
           | 
           | Citation please.
        
             | mrighele wrote:
             | The Wikipedia page [1] links to an annual report from 2022
             | [2] where it is stated (page 6) that the expenses for 2022
             | for "Software development" were about 220 Million Dollars
             | [X], though I guess that the entry includes software other
             | than just Firefox and there is no breakdown.
             | 
             | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mozilla_Corporation
             | 
             | [2] https://assets.mozilla.net/annualreport/2022/mozilla-
             | fdn-202...
             | 
             | [X] Plus 58 Million Dollars for "Branding and marketing"
             | and 108 Million Dollars for "General and administrative"
             | ... ouch !
        
           | closewith wrote:
           | I would like you to try to support this with evidence from
           | their annual reports.
        
           | Timshel wrote:
           | For those doubting the corp is 750 peoples (2020). And the
           | Software dev expenses are listed at around $200 millions:
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mozilla_Corporation#Finances
        
             | zihotki wrote:
             | 750 people is a total number. Number of people involved
             | into developing Firefox is way less.
             | 
             | $200 millions are the aggregated expenses of ALL software
             | 'development' efforts of Mozilla Corporation like VPN,
             | Relay, Pocket, mozilla.social, etc. And there are a lot of
             | interesting expenses which are billed as development.
             | According to Lunduke (1) who dived into the details a bit,
             | there are many very questionnable expenses which are not
             | related to Firefox development.
             | 
             | So the questions is still very open, how much does Firefox
             | development actually costs? Developing Thunderbird costed
             | around $2 millions in 2021 (2).
             | 
             | 1 - https://lunduke.locals.com/post/4387539/firefox-money-
             | invest... 2 -
             | https://blog.thunderbird.net/2023/05/thunderbird-is-
             | thriving...
        
               | mempko wrote:
               | Lunduke is heavily biased right wing nut job with an axe
               | to grind. I would not consider him an objective
               | journalist.
        
           | RobotToaster wrote:
           | $190M of which is the CEO's salary.
           | 
           | (an exaggeration, but it wouldn't surprise me if a big
           | portion of that is c suite salaries)
        
           | zihotki wrote:
           | Or does it? https://lunduke.locals.com/post/4387539/firefox-
           | money-invest...
           | 
           | Only a fraction of Mozilla luxurious spending goes for
           | Firefox development.
        
             | nine_k wrote:
             | OK, let's assume that the Mozilla engineering team is 500
             | people. I could not find reliable numbers, but this looks
             | like the right ballpark. Let's assume that an engineer, _on
             | average_ , costs $250k/year; the cost for employer is much
             | higher than just the salary. This is already $125M. There
             | are also people other than engineers needed to run an org.
             | Build infra also costs something. Let's assume that Firefox
             | could keep being developed, as the sole product, for $200M
             | / year.
             | 
             | Then let's assume that a Firefox user would be willing to
             | pay, _on average_ , $5 / mo, or $60 / year, to support the
             | project. More in richer countries, less in less well-off.
             | This would mean that about 3.4 million of paying users
             | would suffice.
             | 
             | Worldwide, Firefox has 362 million users [1]. Only 1% of
             | users would have to pay an equivalent of a hamburger a
             | month to sustain Firefox. If 5% paid, it would be a price
             | of a cup of plain coffee per month.
             | 
             | Now we need just one teeny tiny thing: somebody capable of
             | organizing this.
             | 
             | [1]: https://www.enterpriseappstoday.com/stats/firefox-
             | statistics...
        
               | elric wrote:
               | > we need just one teeny tiny thing: somebody capable of
               | organizing this
               | 
               | That and an efficient way of making those payments. Can
               | we please get an online payment method that's as simple
               | as cash already?
        
               | wmf wrote:
               | If recent history is any guide, that would result in many
               | people immediately losing everything in scams and hacks.
               | 
               | Anyway, $5/month isn't a micropayment and could easily be
               | done through existing app stores.
        
               | ethbr1 wrote:
               | If only HTTP 402 had been widely supported.
               | 
               | https://developer.mozilla.org/en-
               | US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/402
        
               | zihotki wrote:
               | Why 500? For example, https://leadiq.com/c/mozilla/5a1d88
               | fe2400002400628c85/employ... estimates estimates that
               | only 40% of the employees are engineering. And they are
               | all around the world so US salaries don't apply.
               | 
               | Also the question is still open, how many of those people
               | are relevant for Firefox development. There are a lot of
               | people working on other projects of Mozilla Co.
               | 
               | Mozilla tries very hard to not to answer those questions.
               | They could have made a separate fund for Firefox
               | development just like they did for Thunderbird. For
               | comparison, Thunderfird team was 24 people in 2022 and
               | development costed $2 million.
               | 
               | Better save your efforts into making sense of Mozilla's
               | shady politics and economics and invest effort into
               | promoting https://ladybird.org/ - a truly independent
               | browser developed from scratch by a non-profit.
        
               | nine_k wrote:
               | My idea was to show that even if we use rather
               | conservative estimates, with some safety margin, running
               | Firefox development on users' donations / subscription
               | looks very viable.
               | 
               | Also, donating to a non-profit is tax-deductible in the
               | US, so some donations can be larger as a tax
               | optimization.
        
               | jdlshore wrote:
               | What evidence do you have that 1% of users would be
               | willing to pay a subscription to Firefox? Given that the
               | alternatives are free and probably already installed, and
               | given the friction involved with signing up for a new
               | subscription, I suspect the actual percentage is much
               | less.
        
             | wmf wrote:
             | ~$200M Marketing Firefox
             | 
             | ~$200M Developing Firefox
             | 
             | ~$15M Executive salaries
             | 
             | ~$1M Woke stuff
             | 
             | Lunduke is digging in the wrong place.
        
           | elric wrote:
           | Stopping development of user-hostile features could reduce
           | the cost somewhat.
           | 
           | Snark aside, it's crazy how it's basically become impossible
           | to build and maintain a browser unless you're a megacorp or a
           | billionaire.
        
         | unethical_ban wrote:
         | What offends people about Mozilla the organization doing
         | anything outside of providing a state-of-the-art browser as a
         | public good?
        
         | shmerl wrote:
         | You can contribute to Servo?
        
       | Sarkie wrote:
       | Social without social
        
       | FirstLvR wrote:
       | Fediverse, sadly, goes against the full experience we requiere
       | 
       | The objective is desc network but also want a single place for
       | all our stuff, topics, news, etc
       | 
       | Same reason why Reddit haven't been replaced yet :/
        
         | FMecha wrote:
         | This is what traditional forums excel at - for instance, a
         | niche-specific forum may also contain off-topic boards for
         | topics unrelated to the niche, such as general current affairs
         | or media.
         | 
         | wrt to Reddit, I mean, Lemmy does exist, but much like Mastodon
         | instances try to be "another Twitter", Lemmy (instances) also
         | tries to be "another Reddit". At the end of the day, it's a
         | human/userbase problem of "platforms change, hivemind doesn't".
        
       | superkuh wrote:
       | Mozilla slowly retreating from open federated protocols. They
       | dropped off IRC a few years back, now off fediverse. When can we
       | expect them to close the matrix server and start using Slack
       | corporation?
        
       | sub7 wrote:
       | Here's a fun exercise - capture all the traffic Firefox sends to
       | mozilla.com/org and mozgcp.net etc
       | 
       | It's a shocking amount of telemetry, combined with dark patterns
       | to reset settings on every update.
       | 
       | Then you go to their website and see that "safe and private" is
       | part of the headline sales pitch. Absolutely disgraceful.
        
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       (page generated 2024-09-22 23:00 UTC)