[HN Gopher] New study simulates gravitational waves from failing...
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       New study simulates gravitational waves from failing warp drive
        
       Author : nabla9
       Score  : 116 points
       Date   : 2024-07-29 15:23 UTC (1 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.aei.mpg.de)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.aei.mpg.de)
        
       | oulu2006 wrote:
       | I love the summary:
       | 
       | "we study the signatures arising from a warp drive 'containment
       | failure', ...."
       | 
       | "Our work highlights the importance of exploring strange new
       | spacetimes, to (boldly) simulate what no one has seen before."
       | 
       | Have just been re-watching StarTrek Voyager.
        
       | vessenes wrote:
       | I love, so much, the idea that we might get a sort of galactic-
       | scale AAA roadside warning service "Uh-oh, 2 billion years ago
       | somebody's warp drive went wonky in Sector ZZ9 Plural Z Beta"
       | before we can easily move around our own Solar System. Humans
       | would be like the old guy in a neighborhood listening to the
       | police scanner, essentially.
        
         | floren wrote:
         | This was done computationally, no gravitational waves actually
         | came into existence.
        
           | jkingsman wrote:
           | I think the commenter's point was that a model for detecting
           | events caused by advanced tech before we even get our space
           | exploration training wheels off would be a funny irony.
        
             | Already__Taken wrote:
             | kinda the premise of Stargate where most aliens copied
             | other aliens advanced tech. So actually anyone who could
             | build it from scratch was kinda rare.
        
               | thaumasiotes wrote:
               | > kinda the premise of Stargate where most aliens copied
               | other aliens advanced tech
               | 
               | This is how all technology has always worked.
        
               | noduerme wrote:
               | Pyramids, writing, and agriculture with irrigation
               | developed independently in at least two completely
               | separate places on Earth within just the last 3000 years.
        
               | thaumasiotes wrote:
               | And, as a percentage of cultures using pyramids, writing,
               | and agriculture, that would be...?
        
               | dumpsterdiver wrote:
               | Irrelevant.
        
               | thaumasiotes wrote:
               | I think you mean "zero". Why would you expect technology
               | to work any differently between planets?
        
               | dumpsterdiver wrote:
               | No, I mean irrelevant, as is your newest argument. The
               | functional capabilities of technology between planets is
               | irrelevant to the observation that disparate groups
               | develop similar levels of technology independently.
        
               | exe34 wrote:
               | precisely
        
               | noduerme wrote:
               | This is survival bias. As of 1000 years ago, the answer
               | was an entire hemisphere. So as long as barriers like
               | oceans or space between stars slow the propagation of
               | technology, technology will develop on its own.
        
               | thaumasiotes wrote:
               | > As of 1000 years ago, the answer was an entire
               | hemisphere.
               | 
               | You honestly believe that there was just one culture
               | across the entire geographical and historical extent of
               | the Americas, despite not believing the same thing about
               | the Old World?
        
               | pkaeding wrote:
               | Developed independently? Or were both visited by aliens
               | sharing the ideas?
        
           | quotemstr wrote:
           | The absence of such detections is yet another unsettling
           | input to the Fermi paradox.
        
             | marshray wrote:
             | On the bright side, maybe it is evidence against Dark
             | Forest theory?
        
               | shepardrtc wrote:
               | The Dark Forest theory is fear-mongering anyway. If
               | there's a civilization out there that wants to conquer
               | others, it just has to send a probe to every star out
               | there. Sufficiently advanced automation would allow this
               | to happen without much work on their part. In theory, WE
               | could do that right now, though very clumsily and with
               | many failures. 3D printing, AI, harvesting materials off
               | asteroids. Not outside of possibility, just hard at our
               | level of tech. Now imagine the boogeyman of the Dark
               | Forest theory - they would obviously have a greater level
               | of tech if they're so dangerous, and it would be much
               | easier.
        
             | SoftTalker wrote:
             | Why unsettling?
        
               | quotemstr wrote:
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Filter
        
               | kevin_thibedeau wrote:
               | You don't need FTL travel to expand into our light cone
               | at this point in the evolution of the universe.
        
               | pfdietz wrote:
               | That makes absence of FTL detections comforting, not
               | unsettling.
        
             | 7thaccount wrote:
             | I saw something recently that one explanation is that we're
             | in a cosmic void. Sure the milky way is big, but we're
             | still exposed to a fraction of the worlds that a non-void
             | area would be.
             | 
             | Of course there are 80,000 other explanations that are also
             | fascinating. A wonderful subject.
        
               | IsTom wrote:
               | For me what makes most sense is that we're relatively
               | early in cosmic history. You need enough heavy (and
               | diverse!) elements to be able to support
               | life/civilization and you won't get that from early
               | stars.
        
               | jajko wrote:
               | Most probably yes, I mean we only have few generation of
               | stars actually producing heavy elements enough to see
               | what we see ie on Earth, not just some hydrogen & helium
               | ball.
               | 
               | Also most probably there isnt any way to travel back in
               | time, since we would most probably be eliminated at the
               | seed to not compete for resources or avoid aggression.
               | For all wonderful things mankind did and does, we are
               | still deeply flawed and highly emotional primitive
               | beings, and we may kill ourselves due to this.
        
               | JoeAltmaier wrote:
               | The real tragedy, we're taking so many others with us.
        
               | BriggyDwiggs42 wrote:
               | On cosmic scales of time, theres no reason to assume
               | spacefaring humans would remotely resemble us in any
               | recognizable way. Imo especially their minds, they'd
               | almost certainly have augmented and modified their
               | thinking drastically.
        
               | wongarsu wrote:
               | And earth has been around for 1/3rd of the current age of
               | the universe. As far as things go it's pretty old.
               | 
               | Add to that that we probably aren't as "normal" as we
               | initially believed. A solar system with small rocky
               | planets on the inside and big gas giants on the outside
               | seems to be the exception and was very important for
               | earth's development. Then there's the above mentioned
               | "void" we are in, and probably other things we don't
               | realize yet.
               | 
               | There's a really good case that we are among the earliest
               | spacefaring civilizations
        
               | shepardrtc wrote:
               | Well don't forget that Earth had it's reset button
               | smashed 66 million years ago. Let's say another world
               | started out at the same as we did but never encountered
               | such a cataclysm. Even if they took an additional 65
               | million years to develop, they'd still be a million years
               | older than us.
        
               | quotemstr wrote:
               | The KT boundary is hardly a "reset button smashed". Yes,
               | it was a mass extinction event, but these things happen.
               | The products of billions of years of evolution survived,
               | even if megafauna had a setback. Evolution spent billions
               | of years figuring out basic things like the genetic code,
               | sexual reproduction, and mitochondria. All these
               | technologies survived the KT boundary. Complex
               | multicellular life emerged only about 560 million years
               | ago (after single-celled life had been around for
               | _billions_ of years). The implication is that the early
               | innovations in life (ribosomes, etc.) were  "harder" than
               | later ones involving eyes, brains, and so on.
               | 
               | A "reset button" would be more like the impact that
               | created the moon: ramming a Mars-sized body into Earth
               | turns Earth into a magma ocean. Nothing survives that. By
               | comparison, the KT boundary asteroid is small potatoes.
        
             | mr_mitm wrote:
             | Or warp drives are simply impossible or at least ultra
             | unfeasible. Nothing unsettling about that thought.
        
               | quotemstr wrote:
               | Superluminal travel being infeasible probably limits our
               | species to our own solar system.
        
               | evilduck wrote:
               | You don't need anything near light speed for single human
               | lifetimes to navigate beyond the solar system but it will
               | be a one way trip mostly devoid of communication. We can
               | seed the galaxy but can't watch it bloom.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _but it will be a one way trip mostly devoid of
               | communication_
               | 
               | Which describes our species' travels until only a few
               | thousand years ago.
        
               | Loughla wrote:
               | It is unsettling though. Because it places a limit on
               | what has so far been essentially limitless success as a
               | species.
               | 
               | Without travel beyond our solar system, we won't last
               | forever.
               | 
               | And that's kind of sad for me.
        
               | dTal wrote:
               | We won't last forever anyway. Nothing does.
        
               | rkagerer wrote:
               | If I was a really advanced civilization and the universe
               | was nearing its end, I'd embark on a project of
               | unparalleled scale that might wind up resembling a big
               | bang with a spark of panspermia-precursor seasoned in.
        
               | luxpir wrote:
               | Goosebumps thinking of how many universes could have
               | played out before this one. Or alongside it.
        
               | lloeki wrote:
               | Goosebumps just with ours already:
               | https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=uD4izuDMUQA
        
               | mab122 wrote:
               | May I... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Last_Question
        
               | worstspotgain wrote:
               | Indeed, we know so little about the nature of things that
               | it's really a bit premature to hold our current
               | understanding as the final word over what will happen.
               | 
               | For one thing, a large fraction of possibilities involves
               | simulations. In a simulation with successful traits, some
               | constants and elementary particles might turn out to have
               | been misunderstood later on...
        
               | tshaddox wrote:
               | Doesn't seem like a limit to me, other than a limit on
               | speed (and of course there will be limits on speed).
        
               | ben_w wrote:
               | We don't need a warp drive to get to the next star, it
               | would just make it faster.
        
               | wongarsu wrote:
               | Exactly. If we set our minds to it and dedicated enough
               | resources we could likely reach the next star within the
               | century: 40 years travel time at 0.1c with something like
               | nuclear pulse propulsion, and we could probably get the
               | remaining technical challenges for achieving that out of
               | the way in 30 years.
        
               | SanderNL wrote:
               | It's sad to not last forever? That's an interesting
               | thought. I understand, don't get me wrong, but it's
               | completely unnatural in so many ways.
        
               | baq wrote:
               | In a physically constrained system all exponential growth
               | becomes at best a sigmoid sooner or later... it's only
               | sad if you let it make you feel this way.
        
               | pfdietz wrote:
               | We don't need FTL to colonize beyond the solar system,
               | not at all.
        
               | rkagerer wrote:
               | Not unsettling, but a little bit melancholy.
        
             | downrightmike wrote:
             | If you're spending at least a quadrillion dollars to build
             | a warp drive, you better make sure it doesn't fail or fails
             | safe. We may never see a failure, even if we make it
             | depending on where it is.
        
               | exe34 wrote:
               | if they have accountants, CEOs and shareholders, they'll
               | cut corners.
        
               | K0balt wrote:
               | No worries, it will be built by Boeing.
        
             | pfdietz wrote:
             | Unsettling? It's highly comforting.
             | 
             | What would be horribly unsettling is detection of ET
             | intelligence, as it would imply either interstellar travel
             | is impossibly difficult or that the Great Filter is in our
             | future.
        
             | hoseja wrote:
             | Or the ETs know about signal hygiene. Hell, careless warp
             | drive signatures are even a plot point in Three Body
             | Problem.
        
             | thegrim33 wrote:
             | We have no gravitational wave detectors with the
             | sensitivity at the needed frequencies to be able to detect
             | such events.
        
             | mystified5016 wrote:
             | We haven't actually looked for them yet. The frequency of
             | the theoretical gravitational waves is also beyond what our
             | current detectors can reasonably pick up.
             | 
             | IIRC, a warp bubble a few km in diameter moving at <0.3c
             | produces gravitational waves at a frequency just beyond
             | what we can currently detect. Superluminal warp bubbles
             | haven't been simulated, apparently that's beyond the
             | computational resources available to this team.
             | 
             | Don't expect a real detection any time soon. We'll need
             | another generation or two of development on our detectors
             | and to actually simulate a more realistic (small and
             | superluminal) warp field.
             | 
             | Personally, I think we'll find _something_ once we build
             | detectors good enough. I 'm a firm believer that purely
             | based on statistics there has to be someone else out there.
             | I also choose to believe that superluminal travel is
             | possible because the universe would be a much less
             | interesting place otherwise.
        
         | m463 wrote:
         | the trick is to say:
         | 
         | Looks like your ship has a mechanical problem <click for
         | more...>
         | 
         | and collect click information about their civilization before
         | they get any information about their warp drive
        
         | dreamcompiler wrote:
         | Or like the Vulcans, who were constantly listening for warp
         | signatures and thus discovered the humanoids of Earth after
         | Zefram Cochrane invented the warp drive.
         | 
         | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zefram_Cochrane
        
       | josefritzishere wrote:
       | They're simulating imaginary things?
        
         | throwaway48540 wrote:
         | The latest research in this field says it's physically (not
         | just mathematically) possible - negative energy is no longer a
         | requirement.
        
           | vlovich123 wrote:
           | Do you have any pointers?
        
             | throwaway48540 wrote:
             | https://www.space.com/warp-drive-possibilities-positive-
             | ener...
        
               | LeifCarrotson wrote:
               | https://arxiv.org/pdf/2405.02709
               | 
               | https://github.com/NerdsWithAttitudes/WarpFactory
               | 
               | I'm impressed that they've removed the requirement for
               | negative energy, but it's not quite ready to hand the
               | drawings to your local machine shop to build one. It
               | requires matter packed to an energy density on the order
               | of 10^39 joules per cubic meter.
               | 
               | According to [1], oil has a (chemical) energy density of
               | 4.5x10^10 joules per cubic meter, purified uranium
               | produces 1.5x10^15 J/m^3 in a fission reactor, and that
               | same uranium in pure mass-to-energy conversion produces
               | on the order of 10^21 J/m^3. Uranium has a density of
               | 19x10^3 kg/m^3, and the nucleus of an atom or neutron
               | star has a density on the order of 4x10^17...if you can
               | build the entire ship out of pure neutrons, you're still
               | coming up short by a factor of ~100.
               | 
               | All that does suggest that it seems reasonable we'd be
               | able to observe gravity waves from a long distance if a
               | machine like that ever experienced a loss of compression.
               | 
               | [1]: https://drexel.edu/~/media/Files/greatworks/pdf_sum1
               | 0/WK8_La...
        
               | adamnew123456 wrote:
               | > and the nucleus of an atom or neutron star has a
               | density on the order of 4x10^17...if you can build the
               | entire ship out of pure neutrons, you're still coming up
               | short by a factor of ~100
               | 
               | Would you be getting into black hole territiry at that
               | density?
        
           | acchow wrote:
           | > not just mathematically
           | 
           | Let's be clear here. Alcubierre's original "warp drive" idea
           | was for super-luminal speeds (faster than light) and required
           | "exotic matter" (negative energy).
           | 
           | This new one is for sub-luminal speeds (slower than light).
           | It does not require "exotic matter", but it's hardly a "warp
           | drive"
        
             | JumpCrisscross wrote:
             | > _it 's hardly a "warp drive"_
             | 
             | Why not? From my understanding, to the ship's occupants,
             | they'd be travelling (EDIT: subjectively) super-luminally.
             | In one lifetime they could go more than 100 ly.
        
               | mr_mitm wrote:
               | That doesn't match any definition of super-luminal that I
               | have ever seen. Super-luminal means faster than light,
               | period.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _doesn 't match any definition of super-luminal that I
               | have ever seen_
               | 
               | I didn't say it's physically super-luminal. The undefined
               | term is "warp drive."
               | 
               | Given the ship's occupants would subjectively travel
               | super-luminally, it would seem to tick the boxes for
               | warp. If it worked, you or I could travel to the other
               | side of the galaxy. Hundreds of thousands of years would
               | have elapsed outside the bubble. But we'd be alive.
        
               | marshray wrote:
               | Typically we think of "speed" as observed from outside
               | the moving [object], but I guess "typically" it doesn't
               | matter.
               | 
               | I think it's an interesting point and you're not wrong to
               | say it ticks at least one of boxes. It just doesn't match
               | the concept that people have in mind, so an otherwise
               | interesting discussion ends up rat-holing on semantics.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _Typically we think of "speed" as observed from outside
               | the moving_
               | 
               | Is it? We don't colloquially consider the Earth's
               | rotation or revolution.
               | 
               | This isn't a _Star Trek_ warp drive. But dismissing it as
               | "hardly a warp drive" seems categorically wrong.
        
               | mr_mitm wrote:
               | Sub luminal speeds are in an entirely different category
               | than super luminal speeds. It's hard to overstate how
               | different it is, so the original objection is completely
               | appropriate. You can argue about the wording, but what's
               | the point in that? Everyone with half a brain agrees on
               | the facts.
        
               | marshray wrote:
               | I don't recall having considered this point before,
               | though granted I will call half a brain a good day.
        
               | marshray wrote:
               | > We don't colloquially consider the Earth's rotation or
               | revolution.
               | 
               | Wasn't this choice of reference frame the basis for that
               | whole drama with Galileo, or am I misunderstanding?
        
               | groby_b wrote:
               | We discovered a couple of centuries later that there's
               | more than one reference frame, you can choose, and the
               | choice matters. It's been a pretty interesting
               | development!
        
               | zmgsabst wrote:
               | I don't think it's a "warp drive".
               | 
               | It's a "warp stasis" bubble or field: you've effectively
               | suspended (or considerably slowed) the people inside to
               | preserve them for the future -- stasis.
               | 
               | I think you're running into objections because while it
               | is warp technology, it's not a _drive_ in that it's not
               | providing atypical propulsion (ie, Star Trek warp drives,
               | Star Wars hyperspace drives, Babylon 5 subspace jump
               | drives, etc).
               | 
               | You're correct that we're trying to define "warp drive",
               | but each of "warp" and "drive" are used independently --
               | and your usage of "warp drive" doesn't respect their
               | independent usage. That you have a 1:1000 slowdown in
               | perceived time to real time as your example suggests at
               | some level you recognize this isn't a _drive_.
               | 
               | I think warp _stasis_ is a super cool technology all on
               | its own, though.
        
               | lloeki wrote:
               | > it's not a drive in that it's not providing atypical
               | propulsion (ie, Star Trek warp drives,
               | 
               | AIUI in Star Trek, Cochrane's "space warp generator" and
               | descendants are essentially the Alcubierre design: I
               | don't seem to understand that the warp bubble provides
               | any propulsion by itself (although grav waves could be
               | surfed)
               | 
               | Instead AIUI actual movement is created by a secondary
               | mechanism, which I'm unclear about from a cursory search.
               | Maybe impulse engines? Or maybe those are
               | inefficient/incompatible with warp and it's using a
               | secondary system that comes as a (intentional by design)
               | byproduct of nacelles, like a ramjet engine airplane
               | essentially has two propulsion systems since requires
               | forward speed so you gotta have regular engines.
        
               | altruios wrote:
               | Being able to move space around a ship, and being able to
               | move space around a ship faster than the speed of light
               | seem to require orders of magnitude different energies.
               | being in a 'warp bubble' doesn't mean that bubble is
               | traveling at super luminal speeds.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _being able to move space around a ship faster than the
               | speed of light seem to require orders of magnitude
               | different energies_
               | 
               | They require different _kinds_ of energies. Specifically,
               | the latter requires negative energy, something we have no
               | evidence exists.
               | 
               | > _being in a 'warp bubble' doesn't mean that bubble is
               | traveling at super luminal speeds_
               | 
               | Nobody claimed as much. The physically-possible warp
               | bubble lets you slow down time. So a 100,000-year journey
               | would feel, to the ship's occupants (and its structure
               | and computers, _et cetera_ ), like possibly months.
               | 
               | (You also get the capability to transport people and
               | things forward in time without degradation. Or, I
               | believe, to speed up time inside _e.g._ a production or
               | computational environment.)
        
               | altruios wrote:
               | > The physically-possible warp bubble lets you slow down
               | time.
               | 
               | that... seems odd to me. without substantial changes in
               | velocity - how does a warp bubble (that's sub-luminal -
               | so relativistic velocities) alter the fabric of space-
               | time so fantastically? It's not moving fast: so where
               | does the time dilation come from?!
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _not moving fast: so where does the time dilation come
               | from?!_
               | 
               | I think it's from shifting momentum?? The paper is far
               | beyond me [1]. But as I understood it, you're directly
               | modifying space-time with energy instead of using
               | acceleration as a go-between.
               | 
               | [1] https://arxiv.org/html/2405.02709v1
        
               | ben_w wrote:
               | The mass distribution in the metric can do that; IIRC
               | this was chosen in order to _not_ have time dilation, so
               | I think someone 's getting confused (and maybe that
               | someone is me?)
        
               | wyago wrote:
               | The main appeal of FTL is I think the ability to return
               | to where you came from. If 1000 years pass before your
               | return, it would only be superficially the same place.
               | That being said I would think that the defining feature
               | of a warp drive would be that it uses warped spacetime
               | for motion rather than propellant.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _main appeal of FTL is I think the ability to return to
               | where you came from_
               | 
               | If that's your metric this isn't the warp drive for you.
               | That hardly means it isn't a warp drive. The lifetime-
               | lightyear travel boundary for possible experiences would
               | be breached.
        
               | andreasmetsala wrote:
               | Can a normal drive even do that?
        
               | hoseja wrote:
               | You can travel arbitrary distances in one lifetime, even
               | with just constant 1g acceleration. It's just that aeons
               | will pass for the outside observers.
        
         | knappe wrote:
         | You could have said that about the Nice model until we found it
         | explained a lot of the early solar system formation and unified
         | a lot of disparate working theories.
         | 
         | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nice_model
        
         | rbanffy wrote:
         | They are imaginary just until their first detection.
        
         | JumpCrisscross wrote:
         | > _simulating imaginary things?_
         | 
         | Doesn't this describe the lead up to any theoretical
         | breakthrough?
        
         | itishappy wrote:
         | By definition. That's what simulation means. ;)
        
           | JumpCrisscross wrote:
           | > _That 's what simulation means_
           | 
           | Not really. Utah teapots are simulations of known objects
           | [1]. Flight simulators of known phenomenon.
           | 
           | This is closer to Einstein or Schwarzschild's theorising.
           | 
           | [1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Utah_teapot
        
             | itishappy wrote:
             | Utah teapot is not real (it cannot hurt you). Despite being
             | based on actual physical things, no Utah teapot will ever
             | hold tea.
             | 
             | A simulation cannot be real. Results obtained from a real
             | object are measurements.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | The simulation is an imaginary thing. It is simulating
               | something that is not imaginary.
               | 
               | If I'm simulating a bug, it doesn't make the bug
               | imaginary. The simulation is immaterial. (I wouldn't
               | quite call it imaginary. Computers don't imagine.) But I
               | am simulating a real thing. If, on the other hand, I
               | simulate a bug the size of Paris, I am simulating
               | something imaginary.
               | 
               | All simulations are immaterial. But the things they are
               | _simulating_ can be real or imagined.
        
               | itishappy wrote:
               | I understand, completely agree, and plan to continue
               | digging myself into this pedantic hole anyway thank you
               | very much.
               | 
               | Interesting that a difference of scale alone determined
               | the nature of a thing! More interesting, perhaps, are the
               | number of factors that aren't considered!
               | 
               | Would a simulation of a Peruvian ant on the Tibetan
               | Plateau be real or imagined? What about a simulation of
               | an ant after 20 years of climate change? How about an ant
               | in space or experiencing the Big Bang?
               | 
               | On the other hand, is a simulation of a black hole real
               | or imaginary? What about simulations of the history of
               | the universe involving dark matter and dark energy?
               | 
               | I appreciate a sibling comment's (thanks marshray)
               | suggestion that there exists a spectrum of
               | theoreticalness. Theoreticity?
               | 
               | > the simulation in this paper is theoretical to a much
               | larger degree than that of the teapot.
        
               | Joker_vD wrote:
               | > If, on the other hand, I simulate a bug the size of
               | Paris, I am simulating something imaginary.
               | 
               | Are you _really_ sure about that?
        
               | alfiedotwtf wrote:
               | The original Utah Teapot is definitely real and can hold
               | tea :)
        
               | itishappy wrote:
               | I could certainly use some tea now to wash away the taste
               | of the foot I just pulled from my mouth.
               | 
               | However, as an enjoyer of pedantic semantics, is the real
               | Utah Teapot the physical pot or the model?
        
               | marshray wrote:
               | I've personally seen the physical teapot in the Computer
               | History Museum.
               | 
               | We routinely make detailed simulations of how such a
               | physical teapot interacts with visible wavelengths of
               | light, specifically for the purpose of comparing them
               | with reality. From this we know that we do in fact have
               | the ability to simulate this aspect of reality to a high
               | degree of precision.
               | 
               | The ability to detect gravitational waves is just
               | recently coming on-line, and we have no example of an
               | actual warp drive to measure, so the simulation in this
               | paper is theoretical to a much larger degree than that of
               | the teapot.
        
               | kelseyfrog wrote:
               | What parent is trying to say is that they are about as
               | similar as the map and the territory
               | 
               | Or you may have heard as it as all models are wrong
        
               | smeagull wrote:
               | Things don't have to be real for them to hurt you.
        
               | itishappy wrote:
               | I'm hurt that you'd imply that.
               | 
               | https://knowyourmeme.com/memes/skull-cow-isnt-real-it-
               | cant-h...
        
         | mr_mitm wrote:
         | They do that all the time.
        
         | colechristensen wrote:
         | This is how a lot of science works. You guess that something
         | exists and works a certain way, you build a model, then you see
         | what measurable things that model predicts.
         | 
         | Gravitational waves themselves were "imaginary" for a century
         | or more (depending on who you credit) until they were directly
         | measured in 2015.
        
         | exe34 wrote:
         | isn't that like 99% of modern mathematics?
        
       | Tomte wrote:
       | PBS Spacetime: https://youtu.be/8hvzF5oQe1g?si=dU7YRdomARPQzDtd
        
       | rbanffy wrote:
       | A positive would mean two amazing news at once: that there are
       | aliens travelling in deep space and that they do so using faster-
       | than-light spaceships.
        
         | Filligree wrote:
         | Only one of those. Warp fields are useful if they can be made,
         | but probably won't allow for FTL.
        
           | quotemstr wrote:
           | Right. Because FTL, no matter its form, breaks causality.
        
             | JonChesterfield wrote:
             | And causality is known to be axiomatic because?
        
               | Joker_vD wrote:
               | Because it seems to hold empirically quite stubbornly.
        
               | K0balt wrote:
               | Not really at the quantum level, at least not in the form
               | that is typically understood as causality. There are all
               | kinds of ways that you can interfere with probability and
               | when you do, the "no taksie-backsies" rule goes out the
               | window. You can prove this to yourself with a flashlight
               | and 3 diffraction gratings.
        
               | Filligree wrote:
               | Only if you don't think MWI is accurate...
        
               | K0balt wrote:
               | That's where probability manipulation really gets
               | interesting.
               | 
               | My preferred conjecture is that all things exist, at all
               | times, in all places, but only a fraction of all of those
               | infinite-dimensional probability vectors will produce the
               | act of your observation, so those are all of the vector-
               | spaces that you can detect. We can't observe, for
               | example, a probability vector-space where water boils at
               | 15c/1bar, or where e=3 because we would never have
               | existed to observe within that environment. Perhaps other
               | things exist and observe those places, but not carbon
               | based biological life as we know it.
               | 
               | I think that the Casimir effect and especially Casimir
               | pressure in constrained geometries, Zero point energy,
               | the uncertainty principle and other observable phenomena
               | point towards the possibility of a continuum of multiple
               | overlapping observable probability fields, but obviously
               | that could be just a convenient hand wavy explanation.
               | 
               | In the bandwidth of overlapping probability fields
               | flavour of MWI there is no branching or creation of new
               | realities, merely extant vector spaces drifting in and
               | out of observability based on probabilistic functions.
               | Vector spaces within observability tend to be similar,
               | and the overall aggregate sum is what we perceive as a
               | unified observation.
               | 
               | As we make changes that manipulate this probability
               | space, new probabilities dominate our perception. The
               | apple was very unlikely to be seen on the table until we
               | moved it there, making it then extremely probable to be
               | observed in that position.
               | 
               | There are some very interesting ramifications that appear
               | to be observable phenomena if this line of thought is
               | drawn out to its extrema. It's one of my favourite
               | possible models.
               | 
               | Perhaps one day I or someone else will figure out how to
               | experimentally test the idea, but so far it seems to be
               | unfalsifiable (which obviously doesn't mean that it is
               | more correct, just that it's hard to test, like the
               | simulation conjecture and many others)
        
               | Joker_vD wrote:
               | Um, sorry, how does that experiment prove anything
               | quantum? It's explained entirely by Malus' law of I = I0
               | * cos^2(alpha) which has an entirely classical, simple
               | wave-theoretical explanation (even if Malus himself was
               | an emissionist and derived his law by introducing
               | transversal asymmetry in the light corpuscles).
        
               | K0balt wrote:
               | Malus's law does indeed describe the amplitudes of the
               | resulting light, but it does not say "why", only how. In
               | the same way that Newtonian physics assumes gravity but
               | fails to explain its existence.
               | 
               | For more in depth look at this there is a 1995 paper by K
               | Wodkiewicz contrasting the corpuscular formula with the
               | quantum explanation IIRC.
               | 
               | Obviously, despite its explanatory power, we know that QM
               | is incomplete so YMMV, but I'll take QM over light
               | corpuscles, until something better comes along.
        
               | mr_toad wrote:
               | For one thing it can create paradoxes, like your future
               | you deciding they didn't like where they ended up and
               | stopping yourself from setting out on a journey in the
               | first place.
        
               | marcyb5st wrote:
               | This is true if and only if we live in a universe with a
               | time continuum that is not branching (i.e. a line).
               | Instead, if we live in a time continuum that can branch
               | (which will result in a directed acyclic graph) the act
               | of traveling faster than light simply creates a new
               | branch in which you go to the past and in that branch
               | your past self never traveled.
               | 
               | This relates to the different interpretation of quantum
               | mechanics. The one that has paradoxes is the Copenhagen
               | interpretation and the one with the branching is the
               | many-worlds interpretation.
               | 
               | There is also the pilot wave interpretation, but I am
               | unsure how to map the example you proposed to that one.
        
               | mr_mitm wrote:
               | Branching in MWI happens when quantum systems become
               | entangled, not when time travellers arrive. I don't think
               | MWI is going to save you here
        
               | irobeth wrote:
               | I thought branches happened when a wavefunction
               | 'collapsed' -- i.e. for every possible value of the
               | wavefunction, you get a branch with a unique answer for
               | 'value of the wavefunction'?
        
               | Filligree wrote:
               | The wavefunction decoheres; it doesn't collapse. Collapse
               | is a function of collapse theories like Copenhagen, but
               | has never been observed in reality.
               | 
               | That said, decoherence doesn't branch time in the sort of
               | absolute manner you might be thinking of. "How many
               | timelines exist" is a question similar to "how long is a
               | coastline"; it depends on how closely you're looking. At
               | the smallest scales, 'timelines' interfere and mingle in
               | a way that distinct universes really shouldn't. It's only
               | once decoherence has gone well out of control that they
               | can be said to be truly separate, and even then the
               | interference never goes to zero, only approximately zero.
        
               | exe34 wrote:
               | it breaks the sacred timeline
        
               | NoGravitas wrote:
               | If we exist in a block universe, then all time-travel
               | effects are "already" baked in. Just because something's
               | path through the block isn't always "forward" doesn't
               | mean it can change its path, or anything else's.
               | 
               | In a growing block universe, I think time travel would be
               | impossible, but I also think that the growing block
               | universe theory is cope.
        
               | evanb wrote:
               | If causality isn't then what do you mean by 'because'?
        
             | AmericanChopper wrote:
             | This is a nitpick. The warp drive concept doesn't allow for
             | FTL travel, but it could allow for you to get from point a
             | to point b faster than light could.
        
               | ImHereToVote wrote:
               | This breaks causality.
        
               | jbstack wrote:
               | The idea behind a warp drive is that it utilises
               | expansion of space, which is not subject to speed of
               | light restrictions. The universe has already expanded
               | faster than light without breaking causality.
        
               | ben_w wrote:
               | The causality violation examples I've seen in relativity
               | all involved going back to where you started. No return
               | trips, which includes the cosmic horizon, no causality
               | violation.
               | 
               | One question I've got though: does relativity (1) remove
               | the _need_ for universal frame of reference, or (2)
               | preclude the _possibility_ of a universal frame of
               | reference?
               | 
               | Because if it's the former, then (I think) FTL doesn't
               | need to also be a time machine?
        
               | rbanffy wrote:
               | > No return trips, which includes the cosmic horizon, no
               | causality violation.
               | 
               | The drawback is that if a warp drive going from A to B
               | leaves expanded space in its wake, a return trip will
               | take longer than light would take to make a round trip.
               | At the same time, an observer on B looking in the
               | direction of the ship will see a shift to blue until the
               | ship arrives, and, then, would see a marked shift to red
               | when observing A.
        
               | Filligree wrote:
               | Nothing in specific would stop you going _around_ the
               | Krasnikov tube, however?
        
             | dustingetz wrote:
             | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Closed_timelike_curve
        
             | K0balt wrote:
             | Causality is not robust, and you can prove it to yourself
             | with three sheets of light polarizing gratings. When we
             | figure out how to put probability hooks on things other
             | than photons, it's going to get rowdy.
        
             | cherryteastain wrote:
             | Afaik, if we introduce a special frame of reference (e.g.
             | the cosmic microwave background frame) and this special
             | reference frame is the only frame in which FTL is
             | permitted, FTL does not violate causality
             | 
             | See https://physics.stackexchange.com/questions/203708/can-
             | ftl-c...
        
               | quotemstr wrote:
               | That's a fascinating thread. Thanks for the link.
        
           | marshray wrote:
           | Would they allow a reactionless drive?
        
             | Rhapso wrote:
             | There is "ftl" then there is "reactionless" then there is
             | "doing better than the rocket equation"
             | 
             | We will take any of it.
        
         | taneq wrote:
         | Three, because also that their warp drives fail. :D
        
           | rbanffy wrote:
           | Or it's just them hitting the brakes hard.
           | 
           | I'm suddenly terrified advanced species capable of FTL travel
           | would have Starfleet levels of shoddy engineering. A
           | Kardashev type 3 is always one idiot away from destroying the
           | universe.
        
       | m3kw9 wrote:
       | You have 2 things that have not been discovered/invented yet and
       | you go and simulate how one fails
        
       | snakeyjake wrote:
       | Every single second spent 'studying' warp bubbles is a second
       | wasted. A dollar misspent. A CPU cycle squandered.
       | 
       | "How do you move the warp bubble?"
       | 
       | uh... uh... uh... uhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh... this paper's title is
       | sexy and will get me published!
       | 
       | Even string theory is better than this nonsense.
        
         | groby_b wrote:
         | What interesting research are you currently pursuing? Would
         | love to read the papers!
        
           | snakeyjake wrote:
           | 15 years ago I played a small, insignificant but still
           | important, role in saving Hubble: https://ntrs.nasa.gov/api/c
           | itations/20080023344/downloads/20...
           | 
           | Now I design sensors that go on things designed to kill
           | Russian soldiers in Ukraine.
           | 
           | I am very confident that what I have done has been a tangible
           | net benefit to humanity and is not the modern-day equivalent
           | of spending time and money on the study of Orgone Energy.
        
             | snapcaster wrote:
             | So you were helping kill people who you've never met but
             | bashing on the dudes studying warp drives? Not even saying
             | you're a bad person but stones and glass houses man
        
               | snakeyjake wrote:
               | >So you were helping kill people
               | 
               | Not were, am.
               | 
               | My sensors are also good at quantifying sea level
               | changes, measuring shore erosion, determining plant
               | foliage density and water content, and can find ancient
               | buried ruins given the right conditions so it's a win-win
               | for all of humanity!
        
               | snapcaster wrote:
               | How is it a win/win unless you value human life of
               | russian people at 0? Would you say that to the face of
               | the victims of your work? Do the russians you help kill
               | not have families and partners? Are they any more at
               | fault than the average american was for Iraq?
        
               | coryrc wrote:
               | I would value their lives as negative. Lots of people
               | have lives of negative impact, like Thomas Midgely Jr or
               | the Russian people carrying out genocide in Ukraine.
        
             | groby_b wrote:
             | Thanks for sharing (I really meant the "I like reading
             | interesting papers" request).
             | 
             | In an odd coincidence, that means you're the second person
             | I met this month who helped save Hubble.
        
         | swid wrote:
         | You make the bubble after you are already moving in the
         | direction you want to go. The bubble will keep moving. What
         | else would it do? Out of all the questions, this is not a hard
         | one...
        
           | ben_w wrote:
           | That answer has always bugged me.
           | 
           | In relativity, observers only agree on motion at exactly c,
           | so the idea that a warp drive speeds up normal motion...
           | feels like a contradiction.
           | 
           | But then, I know I can't fully grok the relatively simple
           | maths of SR, let alone GR.
        
           | snakeyjake wrote:
           | Precisely!
           | 
           | You get it!
           | 
           | If you have to spend the entire combined annual energy output
           | of all of humanity getting up to speed, why convert the
           | equivalent of 1% of the mass of the sun into energy to create
           | and maintain a warp bubble?
        
       | KingOfCoders wrote:
       | There is zero evidence for aliens, still people believe in them.
       | And millions and millions are wasted in the search. Just because
       | neon green elephants are and seam possible, doesn't mean there
       | are any. In fact, there are none, except we create them.
        
         | ViktorRay wrote:
         | The universe is so fast. Why are you so certain that life only
         | evolved on our planet?
         | 
         | When you say "there are none" it seems you are making a more
         | unbelievable statement than the people who say aliens exist.
        
           | tgv wrote:
           | TBF the comment says that there's no evidence, not that there
           | are none. And indeed, the belief in extraterrestial aliens is
           | much, much bigger than its theoretical underpinnings warrant.
        
             | KingOfCoders wrote:
             | Indeed, especially as 85% of atheists in the US believe in
             | aliens. With zero evidence, no signs, nothing.
        
             | ViktorRay wrote:
             | The parent comment literally said:
             | 
             |  _"In fact, there are none, except we create them."_
             | 
             | I was saying that the claim that life in this universe only
             | evolved on our planet is more extraordinary than the claim
             | that life evolved elsewhere.
             | 
             | So the parent comment's claim that "there are none" would
             | be a belief that is actually bigger than the belief that
             | there are.
        
         | postalrat wrote:
         | It's the biggest and most important question we can answer.
        
         | elphinstone wrote:
         | The amount of tax dollars to SETI vs. amount given in bank
         | bailouts in various crises is orders of magnitudes different,
         | setting aside historic and scientific importance.
        
           | KingOfCoders wrote:
           | Would you be fine with the government spending millions of
           | tax dollars in the search for god?
        
         | suzzer99 wrote:
         | 2 trillion galaxies in the observable universe, each with 100s
         | of billions of stars on average. How weird would it be if life
         | only arose _once_ out of all those chances?
        
           | dudinax wrote:
           | We don't know.
        
           | KingOfCoders wrote:
           | There are 21 sextillions grains of sand on earth. One of them
           | MUST be the shape of my face. This is not science, this is
           | religion.
        
             | Saigonautica wrote:
             | A more accurate analogy would be that without looking at
             | very much sand, you already possess one grain of sand in
             | the exact shape of your face. This spikes your curiosity
             | and you ask: What are the chances of finding another?
        
               | KingOfCoders wrote:
               | I do think these are two different arguments.
               | 
               | 1. Aliens can exist because we exist
               | 
               | 2. Aliens do exist because of probabilities
               | 
               | Mine was about 2
        
               | suzzer99 wrote:
               | I think it would be orders of magnitude more astounding
               | if aliens didn't exist than if they did, just given the
               | sheer odds of life only happening once in the observable
               | universe. That's all I'm saying.
        
             | mtlmtlmtlmtl wrote:
             | Holy straw-man.
        
               | KingOfCoders wrote:
               | Funny, no-one said straw-man when I had these discussion
               | in philosophy studies at university. Looks like there are
               | different people on HN than those studying philosophy.
               | Learned something!
        
             | snapcaster wrote:
             | There probably is one though right? depending on how you
             | define similarity
        
           | thrance wrote:
           | You can't know, that's the thing with having a sample of n=1
           | (Earth). You can't deduce anything.
           | 
           | There are no evidence for any alien civilizations. If they
           | existed, you'd expect them to have a great impact on the
           | space around them, just like we had a great impact on our
           | planet. Destroying stars to get the hydrogen, building
           | megastructures, shaping galaxies... Yet, we see nothing
           | unnatural in our neighborood.
        
             | suzzer99 wrote:
             | I can't know what? That there are ~200 sextillion stars in
             | the known universe? I'm not saying I know there's life out
             | there, just that it would be pretty amazing if something
             | only happened once in 200 sextillion opportunities.
             | 
             | It's very possible intelligent life destroys itself fairly
             | quickly after becoming industrialized. It's also possible
             | that the technical challenges of doing something at a
             | galaxy scale where we could see it from millions of light
             | years away are insurmountable.
        
               | thrance wrote:
               | I meant you can't know wether it's weird or not, n=1.
               | 
               | Personally, I believe life is extremely rare. The more I
               | learn about geology and biology, the more I think Earth
               | and the Solar System are very special, and life appearing
               | spontaneously is nothing short of a miracle.
               | 
               | Now, my crackpot theory: I believe that if there are
               | aliens civilizations out there, they are so far from us
               | that the light from their achievements has not reached
               | us. And if it had, then they would be here already,
               | because they travel at roughly the speed of light in
               | every directions. They would have colonized Earth, which
               | would have prevented us from appearing. Thus why we can't
               | see any aliens in the night sky.
        
               | suzzer99 wrote:
               | I think life is extremely rare too. But 200 sextillion is
               | a big number.
        
       | negativelambda wrote:
       | Here is the paper: https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.02466v2
        
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