[HN Gopher] Hydrothermal explosion at Yellowstone National Park
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Hydrothermal explosion at Yellowstone National Park
        
       Author : jandrewrogers
       Score  : 528 points
       Date   : 2024-07-23 19:49 UTC (1 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.jhnewsandguide.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.jhnewsandguide.com)
        
       | jandrewrogers wrote:
       | From the US Geological Survey:
       | 
       | "At around 10:00 AM MST on July 23, 2024, a small hydrothermal
       | explosion occurred in Yellowstone National Park in the Biscuit
       | Basin thermal area, about 2.1 miles (3.5 km) northwest of Old
       | Faithful. Numerous videos of the event were recorded by visitors.
       | The boardwalk was damaged, but there were no reports of injury.
       | The explosion appears to have originated near Black Diamond Pool.
       | 
       | Biscuit Basin, including the parking lot and boardwalks, are
       | temporary closed for visitor safety. The Grand Loop road remains
       | open. Yellowstone National Park geologists are investigating the
       | event."
        
         | m_a_g wrote:
         | > no reports of injury
         | 
         | I feel like that's pure luck. Things could've gone way worse
        
       | willy_k wrote:
       | Is this a potential sign of the fault shifting or whatever the
       | correct terminology is? A warning shot before a massive
       | earthquake? Or just a geyser-like phenomenon?
        
         | swatcoder wrote:
         | From
         | https://www.usgs.gov/volcanoes/yellowstone/science/hydrother...
         | 
         | > These very large and violent hydrothermal explosions are
         | independent of associated volcanism. None of the large
         | hydrothermal events of the past 16,000 years has been followed
         | by an eruption of magma. The deeper magma system appears to be
         | unaffected even by spectacular steam explosions and crater
         | excavations within the overlying hydrothermal system.
        
           | pfdietz wrote:
           | Note, however, that much larger hydrothermal explosions have
           | occurred than the one that just happened. There are some
           | large craters in Yellowstone Lake from hydrothermal
           | explosions. These would certainly kill people who were nearby
           | if they happened again.
        
         | ofalkaed wrote:
         | If it was a sign of something larger it probably would not be
         | so isolated, all the geysers in the area would have gone off. I
         | would guess this is either the formation of a new geyser or an
         | old one which has a long duration between eruptions or just a
         | one off.
        
         | DaoVeles wrote:
         | Arm chair take here. Probably means nothing. On the scale of
         | earthquakes and larger geology, this is insignificant.
         | 
         | Look at the White Island eruption a few years back. If you are
         | on the island it was an awful event. But in terms of eruption
         | scale it was so small it barely registered.
        
         | docbarlow wrote:
         | Seems to have happened before - this article has a small
         | thumbnail of an explosion at the same site a few years ago:
         | https://www.usgs.gov/observatories/yvo/news/hydrothermal-exp...
        
       | mikeodds wrote:
       | Yellowstone supervolcano eruption
       | https://www.yellowstonepark.com/things-to-do/yellowstone-vol...
       | 
       | pros:
       | 
       | - band aid on global temperatures
       | 
       | - interested in any others commenters may know of
       | 
       | cons:
       | 
       | - several states getting reset
       | 
       | - volcanic ash covering the North American bread basket
       | 
       | - pretty long list really
        
         | LinuxBender wrote:
         | I do not have links for you, but the last time I checked there
         | was a general consensus among the majority of scientists that
         | given the low percentage of molten lava in the upper chamber
         | and low percentage of molten magma in the lower chamber we
         | would have at least 10K years of low probability of a VEI 8
         | eruption. An eruption currently may damage part of the park
         | from low basaltic flows and part of the park would be shut
         | down. Should that happen it _may_ impact the park 's tourist
         | revenue but the governor is working on diversifying the states
         | income. The risk level of eruption was a decision making factor
         | in my moving so close to Yellowstone.
        
           | mikeodds wrote:
           | Thanks, it does look a great part of the world to live in.
           | 
           | I've taken liquefaction maps into account previously when
           | finding places to live, but not had to look up magma chamber
           | reports yet.
        
             | SoftTalker wrote:
             | My only concern is flood plains. I had 8' of water in my
             | basement at the first house I lived in. Technically not in
             | a flood plain but close enough to a river. Never again.
        
               | FredPret wrote:
               | 8 '!
               | 
               | How high were your basement ceilings - was there any
               | breathing room at all?
        
               | robocat wrote:
               | Yeah: common risks across a neighbourhood will usually
               | lead to severe problems trying to claim your cover. And
               | subsequent property resale issues: if insurance is
               | unavailable, a mortgage is unavailable; if a home can't
               | get a mortgage then you can only sell for cash at extreme
               | discounts.
               | 
               | Avoid risky areas unless you can afford to lose your
               | home.
               | 
               | Lots of people in Australia got caught out during floods,
               | in part due to unobvious exclusions.
               | https://mdlaw.com.au/news-insights/flood-insurance-
               | australia...
               | 
               | In my city Christchurch, an earthquake led to problems
               | for many many people.
        
           | moralestapia wrote:
           | >Should that happen it may impact the park's tourist revenue
           | but the governor is working on diversifying the states
           | income.
           | 
           | Oh no! Wyoming might lose 0.007% of their GDP. I hope the
           | governor can save them in time!
        
         | mlhpdx wrote:
         | If you want to worry, worry about Newberry.
         | 
         | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Newberry_Volcano
        
           | mikeodds wrote:
           | There truly is a website for everything:
           | 
           | https://hypotheticalvolcanoes.fandom.com/wiki/2081_Eruption_.
           | ..
           | 
           | I'll be sure to give it a wide berth in 2081
        
           | redleggedfrog wrote:
           | I go to Paulina Lake every year. It's a glorious place, even
           | with all the geological activity.
        
           | solardev wrote:
           | Hey, I live right there, and just hiked it a couple months
           | ago! I didn't realize it was still active (dormant?). Kinda
           | cool to think about.
           | 
           | If it goes boom, I'll try to take pics and report back.
        
             | lukan wrote:
             | "If it goes boom, I'll try to take pics and report back."
             | 
             | Better do a livestream then, in case we cannot recover your
             | camera/mobile.
        
               | solardev wrote:
               | 2124 Show HN: I found a GoPro buried in lava from the GPT
               | era
        
         | readthenotes1 wrote:
         | If Yellowstone blew up like it has before, human civilization
         | would end as would our contribution to global warming. More
         | than a band-aid!
        
           | fullstackchris wrote:
           | As far as I remember, the caldera erupting is not an
           | extinction level event (for humans at least)... would be bad
           | for sure, but southern hemisphere would manage I think
        
             | Filligree wrote:
             | Depending on size, duration and prevailing winds, there's a
             | pretty good chance the EU would be fine. Even parts of the
             | USA could survive!
        
               | BirAdam wrote:
               | I wouldn't say "fine". It would be a year without summer,
               | and the loss of life due to starvation would be rather
               | severe.
        
               | Kostic wrote:
               | Would starvation be a problem? Don't most countries have
               | food reserves for these cases? At least enough food for
               | one season?
        
               | southwesterly wrote:
               | Ha ha ha ha ha where is the profit in that?
        
               | throwaway290 wrote:
               | You are unsure where is profit in having alive
               | workers/military/etc?
        
               | bregma wrote:
               | Leftist radical.
        
               | 0xBDB wrote:
               | Having a supply of something that is suddenly supply
               | constrained is pretty much a literal definition of how to
               | make a profit. No need for a ??? step on that one. Of
               | course you will take a storage cost loss for potentially
               | thousands of years first.
        
               | abofh wrote:
               | We didn't have toilet paper because some people freaked
               | out, you think there's a maintained warehouse of
               | perishable supplies? Or just a big vault of cans
               | somewhere?
               | 
               | No, nations do not have the means to feed their
               | constituents in a nation ending disaster. It's easy to
               | move food from Florida to California in a state sized
               | crises, but the logistics of maintaining a just in case
               | food supply for hundreds of millions distributed around
               | the country? It's a safer bet to assume you'd die in the
               | disaster than to convince people to plan for the future.
        
             | Mistletoe wrote:
             | I find this result in researching many things. For instance
             | in nuclear armageddon, the southern hemisphere is
             | relatively ok, temperature and fallout wise. Wondering if I
             | should move there.
             | 
             | https://www.reddit.com/r/MapPorn/comments/1bvy6sz/by_popula
             | r...
        
           | StimDeck wrote:
           | Ok, but it did just blow up a little.
        
         | hanniabu wrote:
         | cons:
         | 
         | - would set back solar adoption
        
         | hindsightbias wrote:
         | pros:
         | 
         | - volcanic ash would replenish the NA bread basket soil erosion
        
         | cyberax wrote:
         | Supervolcano for the president! Vote for TRUE destruction!
        
         | sliken wrote:
         | A fair bit of the rich soil in the mid west, west, and north
         | west are from previous volcanic eruptions. Substantial areas
         | have 1 meter or more of high quality soil, which we are
         | squandering by over watering, overly intense agriculture, not
         | preventing erosion, and using too much fertilizer.
         | 
         | Not only is fertilizer very energy intensive to produce, it
         | also contributes to de-oxygenation of lakes, rivers, and the
         | ocean. It's no exaggeration that this might well end
         | civilization on earth. If we lose the oceans (which are already
         | becoming oxygen depleted) it's going to be that much harder to
         | feed everyone.
         | 
         | So I'd consider volcanic ash a pro, not a con. Sure we might
         | lose a single growing season, but could help us for centuries,
         | if properly managed.
        
           | rocqua wrote:
           | Fertilizer isn't just energy intensive, the phosphorus part
           | of it is non renewable. We get it from mining, there are
           | limited deposits, the process of building the deposits
           | happens on geological timescales. My hope is that the running
           | out will be a slow process that comes with a slow price
           | increase so people are eventually incentivized to find
           | alternatives.
           | 
           | Also, the mining process leaves very toxic tailings, but that
           | is true for most mining.
        
             | pfdietz wrote:
             | Eventually we'll be mining average crustal rock for
             | phosphorus, at 0.1% concentration, as well as recycling
             | phosphate-containing wastes back to soils. It could be the
             | mineral that sets the minimum global annual mined volume
             | after fossil fuels are done (those currently dominate,
             | ignoring such things as gravel and ground water.)
             | 
             | On the positive side, I believe most phosphate fertilizer
             | is not immediately absorbed by plants, but instead goes
             | into forming relatively insoluble phosphates in the soil
             | (phosphate fertilizer is formed by solubilizing phosphate
             | minerals by treatment with large amounts of acid). This
             | forms a phosphate bank in the soil. Over time, if I
             | understand correctly the residual solubility of these
             | minerals (especially under the influence of organic acids
             | secreted by plant roots) will reduce the need for
             | additional phosphate additions, assuming the soil doesn't
             | erode away.
        
           | kmbfjr wrote:
           | Volcanic ash is extremely acidic, you will lose more than
           | just a single growing season.
           | 
           | It also pulverized rock and volcanic glass, which causes all
           | manner of hell when the wind blows.
        
         | coltonv wrote:
         | Yellowstone will not explode and end civilization (or American
         | civilization for that matter) in many many lifetimes:
         | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ypn3Fe_PLts
        
       | hnthrowaway0315 wrote:
       | Are the tourists lucky to not get hit? Since the bridge goes
       | through the pool maybe it could erupt right under their feet?
        
         | kzrdude wrote:
         | See the second video of the broken bridge and the rocks thrown
         | around. Clearly someone could have been badly injured if they
         | were there. I don't think it goes through the pool, just close
         | to it.
        
       | OutOfHere wrote:
       | Ideally we should be mining Yellowstone completely for its
       | geothermal power, starting at its periphery, then digging inward
       | gradually. If we don't, the only other eventual outcome is
       | destruction of North America from its supervolcano eruption.
       | Mining it kills two problems with one stone, the energy problem
       | and the supervolcano problem. Of course no fracking chemicals
       | should be used.
        
         | notaustinpowers wrote:
         | National Parks (and the ADA) are some of the few great things
         | that America has going for it and turning Yellowstone National
         | Park into a power plant would not be one of them.
        
           | OutOfHere wrote:
           | You are not even trying to understand. Aesthetics is not more
           | important than existence. If Yellowstone is not mined, then
           | when it blows, there will be no Americans left to appreciate
           | it.
           | 
           | Secondly, the mining stations will be limited. Yellowstone is
           | a vast land. There is expected to be no diminishing of the
           | forest.
        
             | tomrod wrote:
             | Supervolcanoes in the area have blown many times and
             | recovered. I was surprised to learn this from PBS Eons:
             | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2ofNufZVcMU
        
           | SoftTalker wrote:
           | Norway doesn't seem to have a problem with it.
        
             | dboreham wrote:
             | Iceland.
        
               | SoftTalker wrote:
               | Indeed, thank you for the correction.
        
               | iSnow wrote:
               | In Iceland, they don't drill into the geysir park, they
               | have some hydrothermal plants, but in other areas.
        
         | altgoogler wrote:
         | Mining yellowstone for its geothermal power in order to prevent
         | a volcanic eruption would be a Kardashev Scale Type I
         | accomplishment.
         | 
         | In other words, such a thing is completely infeasible given our
         | current understanding of science and technology.
         | 
         | The time required to develop such a capability would span so
         | many lifetimes that is it effectively science fiction.
        
           | OutOfHere wrote:
           | It is not that big a deal. It is in fact a lot easier than
           | mining deeper geothermal which we can also do, but at much
           | greater expense. Yellowstone aside, exploitation of resources
           | is one thing America is profoundly good at. If we start now,
           | we can finish it in say one thousand years and fully
           | eliminate the supervolcano risk, also enjoying much green
           | energy in the process.
        
           | SoftTalker wrote:
           | Extracting geothermal power for its own sake would not be,
           | and probably should be done.
        
             | akira2501 wrote:
             | And you're going to transmit it.. where?
        
         | cossatot wrote:
         | I wrote about this in a previous HN thread a few years back.
         | Not clear that it's a great idea:
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28593452#28599027
        
           | OutOfHere wrote:
           | The answer to your concern is right there for you, both by
           | YokoZar, and also in my comment above.
           | 
           | It is that we start at the periphery, very gradually going
           | inward over a thousand year period. We should have enough
           | data of the effects of our peripheral perturbations in the
           | first few hundred years. It should provide a testable model
           | for how to proceed safely as we go inward.
        
         | dredmorbius wrote:
         | I've made this suggestion myself in the past.
         | 
         | Via a flagged comment, a counterargument is deep geothermal,
         | accessed via boreholes, and not strictly limited to extant
         | surface geothermal fields:
         | 
         | <https://www.quaise.energy/>
         | 
         | Thomas Homer-Dixon is also an advocate that I'm aware of:
         | <https://homerdixon.com/a-big-bet-on-geothermal-could-help-
         | pr...>
         | 
         | I'm not sold on this (deep geothermal pilots such as the
         | Geothermal Habanero project in Australia have proved expensive
         | busts, and the productive lifespan of a given borehole is
         | limited to a few decades). But it's worth consideration.
         | 
         | I've written on Habanero previously. The project consistently
         | overran time and cost estimates, and delivered far less power
         | than initially planned. That's not to say that the concept is
         | fatally flawed, but it's also not the panacea first projected.
         | By contrast, surface geothermal fields have been and _are_
         | developed _at commercial scale_ worldwide, and have been for
         | years: The Geysers in California, in Iceland, Japan, the
         | Philippines, New Zealand, and elsewhere. In fact _most_ viable
         | fields have already been tapped, with the largely untapped
         | resources now existing in the African Rift Valley (largely
         | within Kenya, where it could hugely bolster the country 's
         | fairly anemic generating capacity), and of course Yellowstone
         | in the US, where there are significant environmental and
         | political barriers. A USGS survey getting on two decades ago of
         | US geothermal resources conspicuously excludes Yellowstone from
         | any consideration at all. From 2007:
         | <https://www.usgs.gov/publications/usgs-national-
         | geothermal-r...>
         | 
         | See:
         | 
         | "Habanero Geothermal Project Field Development Plan". A largely
         | sober summary of the project, noting that it's been concluded
         | rather than expanded. <https://arena.gov.au/knowledge-
         | bank/habanero-geothermal-proj...>
         | 
         | My own 2014 summary: <https://web.archive.org/web/2023060107371
         | 7/https://old.reddi...>
        
           | OutOfHere wrote:
           | In Yellowstone, if I am not mistaken, the energy is
           | extractable at its land surface, or quite close to it.
           | Drilling 4 km does not seem necessary at Yellowstone. Is this
           | incorrect?
           | 
           | Secondly, there exist efficiencies of scale that come with
           | drilling at ten or a hundred sites rather than just one or a
           | few.
        
             | zamadatix wrote:
             | The top of the magma chamber starts ~5-17 km from the
             | surface with another magma chamber ~20-50 km from the
             | surface. Heat starts and goes well above that of course but
             | if your goal is to meaningfully hook into and extract the
             | heat of the chamber itself it's quite deep. Put from
             | another perspective: if a significant amount of the energy
             | of the chamber were imminently near the surface it would
             | already fizzle itself out over thousands of years without
             | the need of digging short holes to do it in a few.
             | 
             | Geothermal in Yellowstone is no better or more useful than
             | geothermal at many other less important places. It isn't
             | even the place with the most surface level geothermal
             | energy in the first place. Overall geothermal technology
             | advancement makes a lot of sense but starting said
             | advancement via sandbagging for an outcome 1000 years after
             | developing one of the best national parks to do so does not
             | make sense.
             | 
             | Regardless of all of that, there are significantly more
             | than the two possibilities of either starting drilling
             | today or having catastrophe in an eruption.
        
               | OutOfHere wrote:
               | The reason why I noted a thousand year period is because
               | Yellowstone is said to have a lot more energy than we can
               | use right now.
               | 
               | Regarding the investment, if a 5 km well is dug, I don't
               | expect it to exhaust its energy without a significant
               | payback.
        
               | dredmorbius wrote:
               | AFAIU the "last mile" (or last 5--17 km) transfer largely
               | occurs through ground-water migration. Yellowstone
               | combines extensive geothermal energy with ample surface
               | water flow (e.g., Lake Yellowstone, which is itself a
               | major geothermal zone). I'm _really_ well beyond my depth
               | here, though looking up soem background:
               | 
               | Geological diagram of Old Faithful: <https://public-
               | media.smithsonianmag.com/filer/bd/06/bd0603df...>
               | 
               | From this _Smithsonian_ article:
               | <https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/seeing-
               | beneath-old...>
               | 
               | "Old Faithful's Geological Heart Revealed": <https://www.
               | sciencedaily.com/releases/2017/10/171005190243.h...>
               | 
               | Mostly addresses seismic activity, though there's some
               | discussion of inferred structures from that. Based on the
               | journal article by Sin-Mei Wu, Kevin M. Ward, Jamie
               | Farrell, Fan-Chi Lin, Marianne Karplus, Robert B. Smith.
               | "Anatomy of Old Faithful from subsurface seismic imaging
               | of the Yellowstone Upper Geyser Basin". _Geophysical
               | Research Letters_ , 2017; DOI: 10.1002/2017GL075255
               | <http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2017GL075255>
               | 
               | (The _Smithsonian_ piece is based on the same article.)
        
               | OutOfHere wrote:
               | Exactly. I am not convinced that drilling 5 km is
               | necessary at Yellowstone. I suspect the energy is ripe
               | for the taking much closer to the surface due to this
               | water migration.
        
             | dredmorbius wrote:
             | AFAIU yes, absolutely.
             | 
             | Yellowstone has accessible thermal gradients. Even if a
             | remote approach is made, say, outside the National Park
             | boundaries and intended to minimise surface impacts,
             | necessary drilling should be minimal, and a small number of
             | wells should provide far more energy return than a large
             | number of deep boreholes.
             | 
             | That said, I'm, ahem, well out of my depth here ;-)
        
             | dredmorbius wrote:
             | Efficiencies of scale from multiple drilling operations
             | likely pale in comparison to the costs of each well. Keep
             | in mind that some factors, such as well casings, drilling
             | mud, drill bits, labour, and support costs remain high on a
             | per-well basis. A 10% savings evaporates quickly if 100
             | wells are required to match the energy return of 1 or 10.
             | Well depth and diameter are major determinants of drilling
             | costs in both petroleum and geothermal operations.
             | 
             | The ability to achieve a high, long-term return on
             | relatively shallow drilling operations probably trumps any
             | learning-curve efficiency improvements in drilling itself.
             | Sites such as Yellowstone (based on some former research
             | I'd made) contribute significantly to US baseload
             | electrical generation, should the US choose to exploit
             | them.
             | 
             | It's also worth noting that there already _is_ considerable
             | expertise in drilling generally, with over 160 years of
             | experience over millions of individual wells, and that the
             | efficiency  / improvement curve is likely fairly ... well
             | ... exploited.
             | 
             | "Geothermal Drilling Costs" (2006)
             | <https://www.thedriller.com/articles/84584-geothermal-
             | drillin...>
             | 
             | "Cost analysis of oil, gas, and geothermal well drilling"
             | (2014) <https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S
             | 092041051...>
        
         | FergusArgyll wrote:
         | I am probably one of the most free-market leaning ppl on HN.
         | National Parks are a _very_ good place to curb the free market.
         | It 's a classic Tragedy of the commons, the value is huge and
         | would not exist without the government. There is no incentive
         | structure where privatization would leave millions of acres
         | open for a token fee.
         | 
         | I quite often think how people should be encouraged more to go
         | to the natl. parks, they really take your breath away and are
         | something to cherish. Buffalo running wild, Grey wolves if
         | you're lucky, crazy weird geysers, go!
        
         | dboreham wrote:
         | I live about 40 miles from the edge of the caldera. I've
         | wondered about drilling down to get heat. Nobody else has done
         | it though, with the exception of the various hot springs around
         | here. There is a hot-ish spring on our property, in that it
         | stays snow free through the winter. That said, if there was a
         | bunch of heat near the surface presumably our well water would
         | be hot. It isn't.
        
       | Aeroi wrote:
       | Used to guide in Yellowstone. This has no bearing on the greater
       | Yellowstone Caldera (supervolcano) which spans nearly 30miles by
       | 40miles. In my time there I never saw anything like this. If
       | you're ever in a situation similar to this, run as fast and as
       | far as you can.
       | 
       | The interesting thing about geysers and pools is how relatively
       | predictable they are... until they are not. A mathematical and
       | statistical person would have a lot of fun building prediction
       | models for all the different geysers.
        
         | 0xdde wrote:
         | > A mathematical and statistical person would have a lot of fun
         | building prediction models for all the different geysers.
         | 
         | It's so popular that one of the datasets immediately available
         | in base R is the set of waiting times between eruptions for a
         | Yellowstone geyser [1].
         | 
         | [1]
         | https://www.rdocumentation.org/packages/datasets/versions/3....
        
           | verandaguy wrote:
           | In fairness, the geyser in question is Old Faithful, among
           | the best-known geysers in the world, renowned for its
           | regularity.
           | 
           | I'm not sure that it's particularly more regular than most
           | other geysers, but that's what is known for.
        
             | dmckeon wrote:
             | Before a 1959 earthquake, Old Faithful had a very regular
             | cycle time - thus the name. Since then, the name has become
             | less apt.
        
         | adamredwoods wrote:
         | Very exciting time for a geologist! Once every few hundred
         | years I'm guessing?
        
           | bandyaboot wrote:
           | They're not that rare. The USGS statement references a few
           | examples of similar events including one from 2009 in this
           | same basin, one from 1989 in the Norris basin, and another
           | (small) event in the Norris basin earlier this year.
        
           | glennon wrote:
           | Over 60 observations of this hot spring erupting in some
           | fashion over the last 18 years.
           | https://geysertimes.org/geyser.php?id=Black+Diamond Many of
           | the reports mention black water and rocks and "big" -- so not
           | particularly rare. This eruption appears to be larger though
           | -- typically the rocks and debris do not make it to the
           | boardwalk.
        
             | glennon wrote:
             | A geyser gazer friend of mine shared the following image
             | pair: a "before" Google Earth image and a USGS overhead
             | image captured today after the event. The debris field
             | surrounding the spring is evident -- including the damaged
             | boardwalk. (links to a png) https://drive.google.com/file/d
             | /1Dcd55YX7oF8KPrHsog75vPS_Mc9...
        
         | ethbr1 wrote:
         | > _If you 're ever in a situation similar to this, run as fast
         | and as far as you can._
         | 
         | Yellowstone tourists have a proud tradition of not running from
         | things they should be.
        
           | aargh_aargh wrote:
           | Oh yeah, bring it, mama bear...
        
           | johnla wrote:
           | I think most of them are new to this type of nature so you're
           | stuck in "is this normal? Am I in danger? If I run, will I
           | look like a fool?" So you're standing there and looking for
           | other people's reactions before making your own. So it's a
           | bunch of people frozen and looking at each other before 1
           | person makes a run for it and everyone else does too.
        
             | jsbg wrote:
             | They're presumably referring to people e.g. taking selfies
             | with bison.
        
               | chrisco255 wrote:
               | Yeah, lots of folks think they have a similar demeanor to
               | cows and don't realize they are in danger while doing so.
        
               | jimmaswell wrote:
               | Even cows can be dangerous if you make them mad.
        
               | chrisco255 wrote:
               | Of course but bison are way less predictable and don't
               | have 10K years of selective breeding for docile behavior
               | like modern cattle do.
        
               | ethbr1 wrote:
               | I saw one take a rearview mirror clear off a car with a
               | lazy flick of its head, while walking past without
               | breaking stride, just because it didn't like something
               | about the car.
               | 
               | As Sean Connery says in _Hunt for Red October_ , "We must
               | give this American a wide berth."
        
               | 1659447091 wrote:
               | ..and the big cute deer (elk or moose) and calves. Let's
               | go feed them...
        
             | ethbr1 wrote:
             | Absolutely. That's what you see in the videos. Finally one
             | person starts really running, and it prompts the others.
             | 
             | I think of it as the National Park discontinuity: few
             | people these days have experience being in environments
             | that can be rapidly lethal.
             | 
             | And there isn't a sign in National Parks saying "Past this
             | line, there are apex predators, dangerous natural features,
             | no cell phone service, and/or the nearest medical facility
             | being a backcountry airlift away."
             | 
             | That's a big change from most people's everyday normal.
        
         | Aeroi wrote:
         | A great followup for someone looking to dive into the
         | statistical side of this would be the Steamboat Geyser in
         | Yellowstone. [1] (Worlds tallest active geyser)
         | 
         | It has a pretty irregular major eruption pattern. What people
         | often forget, is that geysers don't wait for the day time, so
         | many events occur at night when nobody is around to witness the
         | beauty. When a geyser like this only erupts a handful of times
         | a year and for approximately 3 minutes, you have to get very
         | very very lucky to witness it. Especially when you take into
         | account how enormous YNP is.
         | 
         | [1] https://www.nps.gov/yell/learn/nature/steamboat-
         | geyser.htm#:....
        
         | malingo wrote:
         | Just this morning when I couldn't sleep I was reading the
         | Wikipedia E-M algorithm page with its illustration of
         | clustering the bimodal eruption distribution of Old Faithful:
         | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expectation%E2%80%93maximiza...
        
           | firewolf34 wrote:
           | If ya can't sleep, ya might as well learn something. Thanks
           | for the link! Sincerely, ~also can't sleep.
        
             | LeonB wrote:
             | Hmmm -- isn't it possible that too much awareness of our
             | pending apocalyptic peril at the mercy of the Yellowstone
             | Caldera is what's arresting your slumbers in the first
             | place?
        
               | progmetaldev wrote:
               | If only my late night existential crises were based on
               | realistic apocalyptic peril, rather than some kind of
               | unknown that's impossible to put into words. At least
               | then, there's some kind of science and "natural rules" to
               | limit the exposure.
        
           | 38 wrote:
           | https://wikipedia.org/wiki/Expectation-
           | maximization_algorith...
        
         | InDubioProRubio wrote:
         | Is a geyser not inherently self-destructive? As in its a load-
         | bearing pressure test-run on a random set of connection in
         | stone. Meaning the rock fracks itself, and only the valve to
         | above ground allows for repeated runs? Or do they fix fractures
         | with minerals?
        
           | pfdietz wrote:
           | There's nothing about a geyser that requires rock to be
           | fractured during an eruption. Geysers occur due to positive
           | feedback as liquid water is removed, reducing the pressure on
           | underlying heated water, allowing it to boil.
        
             | sqeaky wrote:
             | Sort of a temporary equilibrium of boiling temperatures as
             | long as water keeps coming out? but because water supply is
             | finite that will only be a few second or ms?
        
         | consf wrote:
         | The complexity and variability of geothermal features
        
           | bnug wrote:
           | Anyone know how apparent bot posts like this wind up here?
           | Third one I've seen today, now easy to notice after someone
           | pointed it out on another topic.
        
             | progmetaldev wrote:
             | I can only theorize, but my guess is that a human signs up,
             | then allows the bot to post. I get this quite often from
             | clients where they have an online form with a reCAPTCHA,
             | and they are getting regular spam. I have to explain that
             | some bots are able to figure out the reCAPTCHA, as well as
             | let them know that sometimes real humans are just paid to
             | fill out forms and bot detection isn't going to help in
             | those cases. This is especially true with services like
             | Fiverr.
        
         | animal531 wrote:
         | Another tip, if you're running away from rocks falling out of
         | the sky (or extremely big hailstones) then at least put an arm
         | over your head.
         | 
         | It might just save your life.
        
           | toss1 wrote:
           | Another tip for falling objects (although this applies only
           | on the descent phase, so more for objects falling from cliffs
           | or building above you):
           | 
           | If when looking up, the object has an apparent motion
           | (left/right/back), it won't hit you, and certainly don't move
           | in the direction it appears to be moving. If it appears
           | stationary in the sky, it _WILL_ hit you or very close, so
           | _move_ fast. Best default strategy with limited time  &
           | options is to hug the rock face, especially under an
           | overhang.
        
             | syngrog66 wrote:
             | > and certainly don't move in the direction it appears to
             | be moving.
             | 
             | I hereby dub this the Ridley Scott's Prometheus Rule
        
             | staplung wrote:
             | It's not just for falling objects. In ship navigation this
             | is known as Constant Bearing, Decreasing Range.
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Constant_bearing,_decreasing_
             | r...
        
               | toss1 wrote:
               | Yup! Also applies to cars on intersecting roads
               | especially at odd angles; if it's staying in the same
               | spot in the windshield/side window, one of you needs to
               | change speeds or you'll have an unscheduled rapid
               | disassembly at the intersection.
               | 
               | It's also a real problem for certain intersection angles
               | where vehicles or bicycles with unfortunate timing will
               | be obscured behind the A-Pillar until nearly too late.
               | There was an article (iirc) on HN years ago about just
               | such an intersection repeatedly injuring/killing
               | bicyclists. I once had to seriously threshold brake at an
               | off-angle intersection to avoid a fire truck running a
               | red light, when the timing/speed/distance/angle all lined
               | up to hide the entire truck behind the A-Pillar for a few
               | seconds approaching the intersection.
        
               | psunavy03 wrote:
               | And in aviation. Aircraft tracking across your
               | canopy/windscreen? Usually NBD. Aircraft staying in the
               | same spot on your canopy/windscreen? Potentially a Very
               | Bad Thing.
        
               | rconti wrote:
               | And on the racetrack: car in front of you out of control?
               | Drive to where it is, because it won't be there for long.
        
         | billsmithaustin wrote:
         | Just playing back what you said because it's surprising. You're
         | saying that explosion was not caused by water that was
         | superheated by the supervolcano below the greater Yellowstone
         | Caldera? It was heated by some other source?
         | 
         | Interested because I was there a few weeks ago.
        
           | mapt wrote:
           | A defined hydrothermal basin like this is heated by a very
           | local pocket of magma or more properly magma-that-has-mostly-
           | solidified-into-hot-rock, only a kilometer or so deep in this
           | case, that has leaked up from multiple layers of deeper
           | basins creeping up through faultlines, and which is being
           | gradually cooled by water seepage in a dynamically stable
           | way. Depending on the area, there may or may not be an
           | intermediary superheated brine functioning as a heat
           | transport mechanism, per https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geothe
           | rmal_areas_of_Yellowston...
           | 
           | Local explosions like this are not very indicative of
           | movements in the county-sized reservoir of magma ten times
           | deeper down that underlies the entire caldera.
           | 
           | Local hydrothermal basin, upper magma chamber, lower magma
           | chamber, mantle plume:
           | https://www.yellowstonepark.com/news/supervolcano-magma-
           | cham...
        
         | burtonator wrote:
         | > If you're ever in a situation similar to this, run as fast
         | and as far as you can.
         | 
         | I really really want to underscore this point.
         | 
         | You're literally standing on top of ground and under that is
         | boiling water.
         | 
         | If that breaks and you fall in you're going to be in boiling
         | water with no way to get out and you will die screaming.
         | 
         | Also NEVER walk on ground that has no vegetation. If you look
         | around a geyser you will see that the ground is white and has
         | no vegetation. That's because the temperature is too high and
         | it has water under it that's heating the ground.
         | 
         | Walk on that and there's a chance you will fall in.
         | 
         | In the back country there are no fences so you can fall right
         | through the crust.
        
           | sandworm101 wrote:
           | >> Also NEVER walk on ground that has no vegetation.
           | 
           | There are also places on this planet where toxicity issues
           | preclude vegetation. If there are fumes coming through the
           | soil so powerful that grass doesn't grow, take the hint.
        
             | sqeaky wrote:
             | They mean never in the context of fleeing from these
             | explosions.
             | 
             | My sidewalk has no vegetation, but that is because I
             | weedwhacked on Tuesday not because a geyser 10 meters away
             | is flash boiling water in a pressure vessel made of stone
             | and glass shrapnel-to-be.
        
         | lostlogin wrote:
         | White Island exploded and killed 22 visitors here in New
         | Zealand in 2019 [1]. As you say, if an eruption starts, run.
         | Video from that day is chilling, with comment made about how
         | different to normal the pools looked.
         | 
         | Those with uncovered skin suffered horribly, and it's quite
         | surprisingly how little covering was helpful.
         | 
         | There is a good documentary on it [2].
         | 
         | [1]
         | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Whakaari_/_White_Island...
         | 
         | [2] https://m.imdb.com/title/tt21439528/
        
           | HeyLaughingBoy wrote:
           | I saw that movie. Not much scares me, but that did!
        
         | advantager wrote:
         | I am a groundwater modeler (hydrogeologist) and often work in
         | fractured rock (mainly for mining clients). No experience with
         | modeling for hydrothermal projects though. While the physics of
         | modeling fluid flow in these environments is possible (e.g.
         | discrete fracture networks), mapping and having confidence in
         | the distribution and actual inter-connectivity of the fractures
         | (i.e. preferential flow pathways) is incredibly difficult.
        
           | ethbr1 wrote:
           | Is the difficulty because the sensing techniques give general
           | but not-localized results? I.e. porosity in an area, but no
           | information about specific connected fissures? Or something
           | else?
           | 
           | My cousin is in hydrogeology as well! Fascinating subject!
        
         | strangattractor wrote:
         | Surprisingly no one stopped to take selfie:)
        
       | stouset wrote:
       | Every time I see videos like this I'm astonished by how blase
       | onlookers are about the whole thing.
       | 
       | I know it's armchair quarterbacking but please don't be like the
       | people in the video. If the Earth is erupting in front of you:
       | turn and run. Don't stay there filming. Don't gently jog while
       | constantly checking over your shoulder. Turn. And run.
       | 
       | I'm not saying panic. I'm not saying trample anyone in front of
       | you. But get to a safe distance with alacrity. You have _no_ idea
       | if the situation will rapidly escalate, and you may only have one
       | opportunity to put enough distance between you and the unfolding
       | situation. Assume the worst until you know better.
       | 
       | In this scenario, falling rocks are a concern. Superheated steam
       | is a concern. Poisonous gases could have been a concern.
       | Corrosive liquids could have been a concern. Lava could have been
       | a concern. Further eruptions could have been a concern. For all
       | of these your odds are improved with distance. In the moment you
       | have no idea of the full extent of the dangers and in many cases
       | by the time you realize it's too late.
       | 
       | That said I'm very thankful nobody was hurt in this incident.
        
         | Murky3515 wrote:
         | I don't understand the psychology of it either. It's like they
         | think that appearing overly concerned about something
         | potentially dangerous is more embarrassing than being killed by
         | something actually dangerous. That or they have lived such safe
         | and sheltered lives that they cannot identify real danger. I
         | don't have any other explanation.
        
           | secstate wrote:
           | Years ago there was a hurricane that made it up the New
           | England coast. I remember a story of a father and daughter in
           | Acadia National Park who had wandered out onto some exposed
           | rocks (with about 40 other people) to watch these huge waves
           | crash just below them. Eventually one wave was larger than
           | the others and it knocked all 40 people onto their asses,
           | while dragging the father and daughter (who were right on the
           | edge) into the ocean. The father drowned.
           | 
           | All I could think was how colossally dumb you had to be to
           | assume the waves just going to sit there crashing below you.
           | It was clearly a huge storm surge. And then how horribly
           | tragic and preventable the outcome was. Some people, man.
           | 
           | EDIT: Misremembered it. Three people were swept out, and it
           | was the 7-year-old daughter who died. God damn, how awful.
           | 
           | https://www.bangordailynews.com/2009/08/23/news/three-
           | swept-...
        
             | wahern wrote:
             | Here on the US West Coast so-called sneaker waves kill a
             | handful of people every year, sometimes sweeping (and
             | killing) entire families into the ocean who were strolling
             | along a beach with unthreatening surf. I was oblivious to
             | this until the _3rd_ or so incident that caught my
             | attention, then on a hunch poked around with Google search
             | enough to realize (after over 15 years living in the Bay
             | Area) it 's actually a regular occurrence. It happens on
             | some stretches more than others, and its more likely in the
             | winter, but it's not confined to "dangerous" beaches and
             | can happen at any time. For some reason it hasn't captured
             | the public's (or media's) attention to become a "thing"--a
             | known hazard that people keep in mind. Every incident tends
             | to be reported in isolation, notwithstanding any blurbs
             | about recent incidents if they happened to occur close
             | enough in time and locality.
             | 
             | It's natural to qualify and rate tragic events by degree of
             | perceived "innocence". Families swept off quiet beaches to
             | their doom without warning is about as innocently tragic as
             | you can get. That said, some incidents are arguably less
             | innocent then others, such as fishermen venturing onto
             | narrower stretches of beach at low tide during winter, when
             | Pacific surf is stronger and more varied. But even then
             | usually it seems people aren't doing anything that
             | onlookers would consider inviting tragedy, and quite often
             | it happens on well trafficked beaches and during times of
             | the year that people wouldn't consider risky.
             | 
             | Fortunately I grew up along the Gulf Coast so Pacific surf
             | has always felt ominous to me. OTOH, I have a higher risk
             | tolerance than many others, especially of younger
             | generations, so maybe it's a wash for me.
        
               | FireBeyond wrote:
               | I had one in Oregon with my then 8 or 9 year old step
               | daughter. We were on rocks WELL above the wave line (like
               | 6+ feet, dry rock leading the surf maybe 20 feet away).
               | And (this is where I screwed up) we were about 50-100
               | yards out on this outcrop (so rapid scramble not
               | possible).
               | 
               | Then, sneaker wave. I basically had her jump up "into my
               | arms" so to speak, wrap arms around my neck, legs around
               | my waist, while I situated myself as best I could, and
               | grabbed onto rock with both hands. The water came up to
               | my waist.
               | 
               | That was a genuinely terrifying experience.
        
           | joemi wrote:
           | I would assume it's more due to them not realizing that this
           | isn't just something that periodically happens at the park
           | (like Old Faithful). It might seem unusual, but they don't
           | know how unusual or dangerous it is. It might just be no more
           | unusual than a low road near a body of water that gets a tiny
           | bit flooded in one spot after a heavy rain -- the kind where
           | locals who know about it just drive through because it's only
           | an inch or two deep but visitors might be more hesitant
           | about. In the case of this explosion, the aftermath video
           | shows that it was indeed very unusual and dangerous.
        
           | xeromal wrote:
           | It's not that. I was on a plane where a guy tried to break
           | open the door to the outside mid flight and it takes a good
           | 30-60 seconds for people to comprehend reality and make a
           | decision. It's easy to judge from a screen but when an actual
           | disaster hits, the brain does weird things
        
             | pixl97 wrote:
             | It typically takes much longer for people to process and
             | make 'intelligent' decisions on novel information than we
             | realize.
             | 
             | Again, typically the brain will skip these checks and go
             | into fight or flight mode where you punch or run without
             | knowing what you are doing. I'd like to think we break a
             | lot of this response in the modern world by not being
             | around a lot of spontaneous dangerous stuff, which leaves
             | us gawking at times.
        
           | highcountess wrote:
           | It is a combination of those factors along with what I call
           | TV-Brain, a subconscious assumption that it's not real, it's
           | just like when I see it in the rectangle.
           | 
           | Remember, most people in the western and especially American
           | world, simply do not experience real world risks and dangers,
           | everything is so sanitized and cleaned and protected and
           | safe, that they simply do not connect reality with their own
           | demise or even a risk to it. On a related note, it is alway
           | why I believe there are so many and increasing numbers of
           | injurious contacts with bisons, moose, elk, bears, etc in
           | Yellowstone, because they think they're cuddly animals that
           | they saw in wildlife documentaries and know from cartoons and
           | tv stories of the child that is friends with the talking
           | bear, etc. most people are simply so detached from reality
           | that they simply have no reference for what they are doing
           | that is extremely dangerous to their continued state of being
           | alive.
        
             | lanstin wrote:
             | The first time I visited the Everglades there was a family
             | that had been at Disney for some time and the kids would
             | not believe the many enourmous alligators laying around
             | were real.
             | 
             | On the other hand, my two year old (who had been hitting
             | kids in preschool and getting a lot of "don't hit"
             | messaging, turned and queried, of an alligator on the
             | boardwalk about ten or twenty feet in front of us "No hit
             | the Alligator?"
             | 
             | While my heart and heart rate spiked, I swiftly grabbed him
             | up and agreed, "yes, no hit the alligator!"
        
             | FireBeyond wrote:
             | The other side of that is "everything is very survivable on
             | TV". Like you see constant explosions and people just
             | getting knocked over, dusting themselves off, and keep
             | going.
             | 
             | Real life, a lot less so.
        
           | ordu wrote:
           | If you run in a panic when normal geyser erupts, it would be
           | embarrassing, right? Now, what is a normal geyser eruption
           | and what is not normal? If you never tried to research this,
           | you do not know.
           | 
           | So we come to an uncertainty. This seems pretty big, and
           | probably is not normal, isn't it? Or it is? So you are not
           | sure, should you shake off social norms of behavior (being
           | calm, not shouting, acting like a grown adult) and to switch
           | to a survival behavior (running away, shouting commands "run"
           | to others, dragging people with you by their limbs, or doing
           | whatever you think is the adequate behavior for such a
           | situation).
           | 
           | Looking at the video carefully, people in a few seconds come
           | to a conclusion that this is dangerous and start moving away,
           | but they didn't get away from norms of everyday behavior.
           | These two different priorities (to act normal or go to the
           | survival mode) are still there, and they are still fighting
           | in minds of people for a dominance.
           | 
           | Their response was "gently jog while constantly checking over
           | your shoulder", because they decided it is dangerous and you
           | need at least jog away, but they are feel that they may be
           | underestimating (or overestimating) the danger, and they keep
           | themself aware of the events to be able to change their
           | behavior accordingly to them.
           | 
           | The very situation prompts for rapid change from a normal
           | mode of existence to a survival mode, and there is no clear
           | unambiguous signal that it is the case. The geyser erupts?
           | Didn't we come here to watch geysers? Wouldn't it be
           | embarrassing to run from the geyser? There are a lot of
           | questions, and System 2 is a slow one. People are educated to
           | keep System 1 in a check and to think things through. They
           | are educated to know some dangerous situations and they can
           | react to them immediately, but this is something unusual,
           | they are not trained for it, and their minds become
           | overwhelmed by a massive visual stimulus and by all the
           | thoughts and ideas that may be relevant, but only System 2
           | could decide and to prioritize them properly.
           | 
           | When I was watching the video I instantly saw that it is
           | dangerous, but I was prompted about it by the article, so I
           | was ready to see something impressive AND dangerous.
           | Therefore I'm not sure would I be better in that situation if
           | I was watching it in real life without any prompting.
           | 
           |  _> they have lived such safe and sheltered lives that they
           | cannot identify real danger._
           | 
           | I wrote about it above, but I want to stress it out:
           | 
           | 1. we are conditioned to _think_ before acting,
           | 
           | 2. most of us have no experience with geysers and we cannot
           | access the hazard level of a geyser at the first glance, and
           | we know that we can't, so... goto 1.
        
             | creer wrote:
             | There is also the imperative to get the video. Which for
             | once was well done.
        
           | JoshTriplett wrote:
           | > It's like they think that appearing overly concerned about
           | something potentially dangerous is more embarrassing than
           | being killed by something actually dangerous.
           | 
           | This is a real psychological phenomenon. Most people don't
           | want to be the first person to yell "fire!", or to appear to
           | take a situation more seriously than it warrants, because
           | they might be wrong and they'd stand out as being wrong and
           | feel embarrassed. That feeling can "stick" shockingly long
           | after you'd think the situation was obvious.
           | 
           | We have not socially normalized and trained the concept that
           | it's better for people to _occasionally_ be understandably
           | wrong than to delay reacting to problems. The right reaction
           | to quick reactions that turn out to be incorrect should be
           | "Thanks for calling attention to what might have been a
           | problem!", not an array of signals that all convey "what a
           | weirdo".
        
           | prewett wrote:
           | Having been there recently, it definitely would not have been
           | immediately clear to me that there would be a problem. The
           | boardwalk is next to the pools but clearly not in structural
           | danger. The videos show the eruption being basically
           | vertical, so if you aren't directly next to it, it isn't
           | obvious that the ejecta will spread out a little, and that
           | doesn't happen for a couple of seconds. So if you aren't
           | right next to it, it initially doesn't seem unsafe.
           | 
           | Also, you are likely to visit this area before Old Faithful,
           | so the most you will have seen is some steam going up. My
           | visit was the first time I'd ever seen a geyser, so I would
           | have had no idea what to expect, and presumably the boardwalk
           | is in a safe location. If it were unsafe, they wouldn't have
           | built the boardwalk there, right? (And it doesn't seem like
           | anyone was injured, so...)
        
         | beejiu wrote:
         | Most people are familiar with "fight or flight", but there's a
         | third response which is "freeze". That's probably what you are
         | seeing in the video.
        
           | bloopernova wrote:
           | There's also "Fawn". i.e. play along in the hope you don't
           | get hurt.
        
           | paxys wrote:
           | Pulling out your phone and hitting record doesn't quite
           | qualify as "freeze".
        
           | datavirtue wrote:
           | The default is freeze, or trip and fall.
        
         | mycodendral wrote:
         | I felt the same way when watching the Trump Assn. attempt. The
         | number of people in the stands who just remained standing and
         | gawking with no self preservation instinct (duck!) was eerie.
        
         | odyssey7 wrote:
         | Agreed: don't end up like Lot's wife.
        
           | sebastiennight wrote:
           | Someday close to the Dead Sea we'll find Edith's clay tablet
           | with what would have been the ultimate TikTok video of an
           | epic rain of fire
        
         | swatcoder wrote:
         | It's a big boardwalk feature at a high-profile park and sees
         | hundreds of visitors a day with vanishingly rare incident. It
         | triggers the same kind of passive trust that people bring with
         | them to Disneyland or a dinner theater, where guests default to
         | thinking everything is part of the show and needn't warrant
         | actual concern. It's the same reason people get too close to
         | the wildlife there.
         | 
         | It's thoughtful of you to encourage people here to be more
         | vigilant, but the lack of that vigilance is a direct outcome of
         | the park trying to culture an experience of safety and wonder
         | instead of danger and awe (in its traditional meaning).
        
           | freedomben wrote:
           | Exactly. It's very well developed and seems an incredibly
           | "safe" environment. People aren't in the mindset that there
           | could be danger (even if they should be).
           | 
           | It takes processing time before people even realize that this
           | isn't normal. Also there's social proof all over. When it
           | goes off people look around, see that nobody else is bailing,
           | so they assume things are ok. It takes a little time to
           | override that tendency and get people to start moving.
        
             | giantg2 wrote:
             | "People aren't in the mindset that there could be danger
             | (even if they should be)."
             | 
             | This could be said of life generally. It seems like very
             | few people even have a minimal level of situational
             | awareness while walking to the mailbox or walking through a
             | store.
        
               | actionfromafar wrote:
               | And having that situational awareness at all times can
               | easily result in exhaustion.
        
               | giantg2 wrote:
               | Not really. There are different levels of situational
               | awareness. One doesn't have to be on high alert. Just
               | being alert enough that you hear a pallet jack coming
               | down the cross aisle is more alert than half the people
               | seem to be.
        
               | xattt wrote:
               | As GP said, it's hard to maintain that situational
               | awareness on a constant basis.
               | 
               | However, it may be prudent to tune in when you are in a
               | new environment or you hear a new sound in an environment
               | you're used to.
        
               | giantg2 wrote:
               | "or you hear a new sound"
               | 
               | What you've just described _is_ situational awareness.
               | 
               | Maintaining condition yellow "relaxed awareness" should
               | not be hard to do at all.
        
               | TeaBrain wrote:
               | Maintaining any level of vigilance is still more
               | exhausting than maintaining none at all, even if at some
               | personal level you believe it shouldn't be hard to do.
        
               | nonrandomstring wrote:
               | And insensitivity. That's why we put one person on guard
               | so everyone else can go 'shields-down'. Dangerous
               | situation requires an assigned responsible person whose
               | job is to be heads-up for that time and empowered to
               | raise alarms, order people back etc. I guess if this is
               | some kind of "nature spectacle theme park" you need
               | someone permanently around who is an expert on the
               | situation and knows when to call it.
        
               | akira2501 wrote:
               | > minimal level of situational awareness
               | 
               | "People don't pay for things they don't plan on using."
               | 
               | > while walking to the mailbox or walking through a
               | store.
               | 
               | Traditionally _not_ dangerous activities.
        
               | giantg2 wrote:
               | Being near, or crossing, streets are traditionally
               | dangerous. There are plenty of lawsuits from people
               | getting hurt in stores every year. People who think they
               | don't need to pay attention to what's around them in
               | those situations are just ignorant.
        
           | freitzkriesler2 wrote:
           | Doesn't matter. People need to wake TF up. Even Disney world
           | can be dangerous. I know the NPC meme is dehumanizing but FFS
           | people make it so hard sometimes.
        
           | mindslight wrote:
           | At least when I last visited Yellowstone, the place was full
           | of signs and stories about how people have died (and IIRC,
           | their bodies were never recovered) from trying to swim in the
           | colorful fun-looking pools of water, or from kids and pets
           | wandering off. I don't know what else they could do to add
           | more "danger and awe" apart from planning on having some
           | sacrificial tourists every day. People are just generally bad
           | at perceiving or respecting abstract danger.
        
             | datavirtue wrote:
             | Never walk alone.
        
               | mindslight wrote:
               | I'm not sure if you're commenting on Yellowstone
               | specifically, national parks and wild areas in general,
               | or simply the everpresent risk from our heads being ~6ft
               | above the ground and kept aloft by one hell of an
               | inverted pendulum problem.
        
             | krisoft wrote:
             | But that also adds to the same effect! Their moral is to
             | stay on the boardwalk and don't stray off from it. Their
             | morale is to look out for your kids and pets that they do
             | the same. Which equates boardwalks with safety. Which, as
             | an approximation is kinda true. But then something like
             | this happens which undermines the assumptions under that
             | approximation and if you are still using it as a heuristics
             | you can be in trouble.
             | 
             | > People are just generally bad at perceiving or respecting
             | abstract danger.
             | 
             | Maybe? But also, all the yellowstones hydrothermal features
             | look like the gods have cursed the land. If you were just
             | galavanting through the forest and you come up seeing that
             | without any prior knowledge or park rangers to assure you
             | you would say "oh, hell no" and you would turn around. The
             | park cultivates a sense of safety otherwise it wouldn't be
             | a park.
        
               | mindslight wrote:
               | > _If you were just galavanting through the forest and
               | you come up seeing that without any prior knowledge or
               | park rangers to assure you you would say "oh, hell no"
               | and you would turn around_
               | 
               | I think you're assuming much more individualism in the
               | primitive dynamic than actually existed. As I said,
               | individual humans are terrible at judging danger. There
               | was an article posted a few days back about collapses
               | while trenching for construction, and the difficulties of
               | getting people to take that risk seriously until it
               | actually happens.
               | 
               | So at the state you're envisioning, I'd say it's more
               | like others in your tribe telling you to stay away from
               | those weird holes in the ground, because some tribe
               | members had already been killed by them. And the
               | contemporary dynamic is more like an extreme scaling up
               | of that, with a much more nuanced understanding of the
               | dangerous mechanisms.
        
           | slg wrote:
           | >It's a big boardwalk feature at a high-profile park and sees
           | hundreds of visitors a day with vanishingly rare incident.
           | 
           | It is also important to consider the context of the park
           | itself. Roughly half of the world's known geysers are in
           | Yellowstone. One of the primary reasons to go there is to see
           | all the hydrothermal features. It is easy to watch this video
           | from your laptop and _know_ it is dangerous, but if you saw
           | this explosion an hour after seeing this[1], the danger would
           | likely be much less obvious.
           | 
           | [1] - https://www.youtube.com/shorts/L5a0zinKGA8
        
           | jaza wrote:
           | Similar issue was at play in the 2019 Whakaari / White Island
           | eruption in New Zealand (which, sadly - unlike today's
           | Yellowstone explosion - caused numerous deaths and serious
           | injuries). The visitors were made to feel safer than they
           | actually were. The tour operators were complacent, and were
           | later found negligent of having an inadequate safety regimen
           | in place. Too much trust, too little vigilance, human memory
           | too woefully short compared to geological event timescales.
        
         | xyst wrote:
         | If it erupted as per your hypothetical, then they wouldn't have
         | stood a chance anyways. Video wouldn't exist because the
         | headline would read as "Dozen of tourists died at Yellowstone
         | due to sudden eruption"
         | 
         | I think we underestimate people's reaction to dangerous events.
         | Surprisingly, most people will appropriately respond.
         | 
         | Millions of years of evolution, right?
        
         | voisin wrote:
         | The same could be said of how many people barely reacted to the
         | shooting in the Trump assassination attempt. For god's sake, if
         | someone is firing, hit the deck!
        
         | nashashmi wrote:
         | There is a funny meme About this: cameraman never dies.
        
           | sebastiennight wrote:
           | Disaster movie directors hate this one simple trick!
        
         | lofaszvanitt wrote:
         | People are overly comfy and out of touch with reality.
        
           | ren_engineer wrote:
           | this, I feel like a lot of people are just so abstracted away
           | from harsh reality in the modern world that many don't take
           | things seriously. Massive normalcy bias and enhanced
           | bystander effect. A lot of people's first instinct is to pull
           | out their phone and record something as well
        
         | jarsin wrote:
         | Ever since I watched that documentary on the steam volcano
         | eruption that killed all those tourist in New Zealand I would
         | never go near anything steam related coming out of the ground.
        
         | metadat wrote:
         | If you check out the video
         | (https://youtube.com/watch?v=Z64etOuLZDQ), most people did in
         | fact immediately begin running and urging others to do the
         | same.
         | 
         | I appreciate your concern for folks' safety, though I'm not
         | sure how the criticism applies to this instance. The bystanders
         | behaved reasonably.
        
           | y-c-o-m-b wrote:
           | Did you watch the whole thing? Skip to the 1:15 mark where
           | people go back. The criticism is absolutely warranted here. I
           | guarantee none of those people are capable of predicting what
           | comes next after an explosion like that. I certainly don't.
           | What if the next one is beneath where they're standing at the
           | 1:15 mark and beyond?
           | 
           | I'm not sure how OP's comment doesn't reflect HN's standard
           | of quality. It's exactly the type of quality response that's
           | appropriate for this instance. I'd say your response isn't
           | quite up to it if anything because you're making an argument
           | against someone that is encouraging safety and well-being;
           | and for no apparent reason at all but to point out someone is
           | flawed? I don't get it.
        
             | metadat wrote:
             | After it stopped and no additional material was being
             | expelled, they do go back to look. Not recommended, but how
             | often are big eruptions followed by even bigger eruptions?
             | 
             | Are you saying they should've run away from the park for
             | the entire rest of the day or trip?
             | 
             | See @Saurik's sibling comment:
             | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41051381
        
               | y-c-o-m-b wrote:
               | Three simple facts here: 1) This is obviously abnormal
               | enough for the people in the video to flee 2) the
               | aftermath - (1:15+) - clearly demonstrates it was unsafe
               | to be there and 3) there is no way to predict if the next
               | eruption would be equally abnormal or worse unless one
               | were trained in this field
               | 
               | There is no arguing those facts, it's 100% clear from
               | that video you linked. Am I going to stay away from the
               | park the rest of the day? I don't know, maybe. It really
               | depends on the circumstances. I am not a volcanologist.
               | I'm not even a scientist. I don't understand the
               | specifics involved here. If it were me, and I can clearly
               | see something abnormal happened, I would NOT risk going
               | back unless I can somehow verify it was safe to do so.
               | That's common sense. It might involve finding a park
               | ranger to speak with or calling the ranger station to get
               | more information. I've been to the geyser at Iceland
               | where they have signs that explicitly tell you about the
               | unpredictable nature of it and how people have been badly
               | burned. This is not a no-risk situation, especially when
               | the situation is not the norm.
               | 
               | I've been to the big island of Hawaii during volcanic
               | activity and they explicitly tell you to stay away from
               | it due to the gasses, rocks, lava, etc. Maybe that
               | elevates my skepticism over the safety here, but it seems
               | that's for good reason.
               | 
               | EDIT: here you go mate, you don't need to look at Hacker
               | News comments. Take it from the Park itself:
               | 
               | https://www.nps.gov/yell/learn/news/240723.htm
               | 
               | > Biscuit Basin, including the parking lot and
               | boardwalks, are temporarily closed for safety reasons.
               | The Grand Loop Road remains open.
               | 
               | > Park staff and staff from USGS will monitor conditions
               | and reopen the area once deemed safe.
        
               | oxygen_crisis wrote:
               | > how often are big eruptions followed by even bigger
               | eruptions?
               | 
               | Quite often, I'd say.
               | 
               | Disruptions in the stability of geological processes
               | frequently have a compounding domino effect... a volcanic
               | eruption is often preceded by the opening of smaller
               | vents, small landslides can trigger large landslides,
               | small sinkholes can suddenly develop large ones, a
               | trickle over a levee can turn into a total breach, most
               | M>7.0 earthquakes have foreshocks...
               | 
               | You can't tell where the peak severity will be in a
               | cluster of geological events except in hindsight after
               | the entire cluster is passed.
        
               | jquery wrote:
               | >how often are big eruptions followed by even bigger
               | eruptions?
               | 
               | Extremely often. Just like earthquakes, the #1 predictor
               | of a big quake is a smaller quake shortly before.
               | 
               | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=993wlZ6XFSs (not an
               | eruption, but eruptions are a type of explosion)
               | 
               | Another - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NNJ2Z6hrCPc
               | 
               | There's no way to know if you're dealing with that until
               | after the fact. A lot of the gawkers taking video ended
               | up with serious injuries (not sure they all survived,
               | some of those videos are quite close in retrospect)
        
             | aaron695 wrote:
             | > What if the next one is beneath where they're standing at
             | the 1:15 mark and beyond?
             | 
             | Looks to me like they are forced to walk back to get home.
             | A couple of people are dawdling, otherwise it's an exit. Do
             | you want to disagree and OSINT it?
             | 
             | Map to get started - https://www.google.com/maps/place/Bisc
             | uit+Basin+Geyser/@44.4...
             | 
             | I don't want to argue with dumb nerds flipping out brain
             | farts. Have you thought about it from the safety of your
             | own home and felt like they actually went back in that
             | video or is this thread a waste of time?
             | 
             | Under your "anywhere could explode" "theory" you'd be
             | getting angry if they sheltered in place and waited for
             | helicopters.
             | 
             | HN is why women don't like men anymore, sitting around
             | circle jerking about being irrationally afraid of stuff
             | that hasn't and won't happen to them. How will they ever
             | do... public speaking?
        
         | saurik wrote:
         | I honestly can't tell which part you think wasn't normal. Other
         | people have kind of poked back at what you are saying, but I
         | feel without really questioning which part of this you don't
         | like, as it kind of sounds as if you are just saying "don't
         | hang around near geysers... and, thereby, don't go to visit
         | Yellowstone".
         | 
         | If you saw this same video but without the black color, would
         | you have run? Because that would feel a bit silly to me: these
         | kinds of explosions are happening all around you the entire
         | time you are there. Some are even larger than this one, and you
         | don't just stay as they happen: you sit on a bench and wait for
         | an hour or two hoping to see it while you are there, and there
         | are giant clocks trying to estimate when the next eruption will
         | be.
         | 
         | Now like, what if the color were grey and there was mud? Some
         | of the geysers have mud. Most of these are not a concern. What
         | was a concern here was the black color... but as someone who
         | has spent a bunch of time filming these geysers I found the
         | black color so _confusing_ that it really took me a moment to
         | go  "oh shit those are rocks". I could easily see myself having
         | that pause we see from the other people before they all start
         | running.
         | 
         | But, again: I don't feel like you are saying "these people
         | should know rocks are dangerous" or "this was obviously
         | different and you should be informed and on your toes ready to
         | run"... you seem to be saying that, if you were standing
         | somewhere and the ground suddenly exploded that you'd _of
         | course_ run; and, maybe that would be the absolute safest thing
         | you could do, but then... why are you even there in the first
         | place, if not to see an explosion of superheated steam?
         | 
         | Also, remember that the entire region seriously smells like
         | sulfur and other strange gases... this is an area of terrain
         | that people have long ago artistically (maybe even
         | mythologically) described as the doorway to hell, between the
         | smells, the color, the explosions, and the regions of trees
         | that are either scorched, petrified, or merely poisoned. It
         | honestly does make sense to question why people visit such an
         | area in the first place, but once you decide to be there...
         | well, it seems strange to question why you don't see everyone
         | panicking about the explosion.
        
         | orthecreedence wrote:
         | I've seen people at Yellowstone pet bison and surround grizzly
         | moms walking with their cubs for a quick photo op. I don't
         | think a lot of these people have a real concept of nature and
         | the unlimited ways it can kill or permanently injure you.
        
         | jayknight wrote:
         | You see all kinds of things splashing and shooting out of the
         | ground at Yellowstone. It would be easy to initially assume
         | this is just another splashy thing you normally see. From the
         | videos it seems people figure out this isn't the norm in about
         | the right amount of time.
        
         | doe_eyes wrote:
         | It's really easy to offer advice like that on the internet, but
         | having found myself in a couple of unexpectedly dangerous
         | situations in real life... it just happens. You're not as
         | rational as you think you are. I keep going back to these
         | situations and thinking how I should have acted differently,
         | but it's not how your brain works at the time - not unless you
         | train for it beforehand.
         | 
         | Even on a conscious level, this advice just doesn't work. If
         | you duck for cover because a nearby car misfires, you're gonna
         | get mocked or worse. Modern life gives as far more
         | opportunities to overreact than to underreact to risk, so to
         | appear rational and function in a society, we learn not to be
         | too jumpy.
        
           | stouset wrote:
           | This isn't a car misfiring. This is a large eruption of tens
           | of feet in front of you. Even primed to anticipate geysers,
           | this needs be setting off alarm bells. The quicker you can
           | assess danger and override your social instincts that
           | minimize your response in a situation like this, the more
           | likely you are to survive.
           | 
           | Yes it's easy to armchair quarterback. I have no idea if I
           | would perform any better than those in the video. But we
           | should all aim to respond more accurately when in actual
           | danger.
        
         | ignoramous wrote:
         | > _I 'm astonished by how blase onlookers are about the whole
         | thing_                 When people are in groups, they make
         | decisions about risk differently from when they are alone.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Groupshift
         | 
         | > _please don 't be like the people in the video_
         | A person is less likely to take responsibility for action or
         | inaction when other bystanders or witnesses are present.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diffusion_of_responsibility
        
         | gensym wrote:
         | About a year ago, I was in the United Club at O'Hare, and the
         | fire alarm went off. I was getting a Bloody Mary when it
         | happened, so I left my drink on the bar, went to the table
         | where my family was, and said "let's go". Other than the sound
         | of the alarm, you wouldn't know anything was happening. People
         | were still getting food from the buffet, sitting at their
         | tables, like nothing was going on.
         | 
         | A minute after we left the area, everyone else came out - not
         | all willingly, it seems. Fortunately, the fire turned out to be
         | nothing (flare up in the kitchen, I heard) and we were let back
         | into the club after a bit. I learned quite a bit about human
         | nature that day.
        
           | AmericanChopper wrote:
           | A life time of fire drills teaches everybody that a fire
           | alarm is just some box tickers way of pointlessly
           | interrupting your day to confirm that nobody has forgotten
           | how to walk out of a fire exit. You can pretty safely bet
           | your life that nothing bad is happening.
        
         | lmm wrote:
         | Meh. It takes an incredibly fine-tuned level of danger for run
         | vs jog to make a difference.
        
         | pants2 wrote:
         | Looks like it would be difficult to run in this scenario where
         | you're confined to a narrow wooden platform. You'd either have
         | to start shoving people off or risk burning your feet in the
         | ground below.
        
         | compiler-devel wrote:
         | Adding this to my copypasta collection
        
         | whyenot wrote:
         | Are we watching the same video? The people in the video I saw
         | turned and started running almost immediately.
        
           | Keyframe wrote:
           | Yeah, even away from (their own) kid. I am judging, but I
           | haven't been in the situation. What I know is I couldn't live
           | with that.
        
         | dheera wrote:
         | Unfortunately we have created a reward system that gives a huge
         | number of "followers" to the one who records. Followers are
         | capital that translate to money (cf. cougar guy, hawk tuah,
         | etc.) Someone could be the next to monetize their following as
         | the "yellowstone lava dude".
         | 
         | Can we somehow instead create an socioeconomic system that
         | instead rewards those that turn and run?
         | 
         | Like if you can prove that you turned and ran, you don't have
         | to pay taxes that year to the IRS.
         | 
         | The government in turn saves money on rescue efforts of sorts.
         | It all works out.
        
           | thaumasiotes wrote:
           | > Unfortunately we have created a reward system that gives a
           | huge number of "followers" to the one who records.
           | 
           | What's unfortunate about that? Everyone else benefits from
           | the recording.
        
         | beardedwizard wrote:
         | They had to go that way to get back to the parking lot. The
         | alternative would be walking on the ground, which is even more
         | dangerous and why the boardwalk exists.
         | 
         | Every time I see posts like this admonishing people I am
         | astonished by the apparent ego of the authors and the power of
         | assumptions.
        
           | stouset wrote:
           | Nowhere in my post do I criticize the direction in which
           | onlookers left the scene. My concern was the lack of urgency
           | in their response.
        
         | xattt wrote:
         | In a similar vein, I've heard an old priest say that if you
         | start seeing a supernatural phenomenon, including the second
         | coming of Jesus, don't stick around.
        
         | 0x1ceb00da wrote:
         | Or it wasn't that big. It's hard to tell the actual scale of
         | the explosion from a phone video.
        
         | nilamo wrote:
         | We will all die. But if a historic event can be captured on
         | film, the event can be studied in greater detail. I'm all for
         | people choosing to place their very lives at risk in order to
         | further our scientific understanding of the universe.
        
         | francisofascii wrote:
         | Humans take risks all the time to fulfill our desire to explore
         | or see wondrous things. Travelling to space for example. Maybe
         | all the other intelligent life in the universe is prioritizing
         | survival.
        
       | racl101 wrote:
       | I think I would've just ran and not kept looking back. Screw the
       | chance to get a video from my phone.
        
       | bugbuddy wrote:
       | Yellowstone mass extinction event is exactly the curve ball no
       | one expects for 2024.
        
         | anthk wrote:
         | Nah, the UFO comes first. As an European, Go, Nevada, Go!!!
        
         | jaza wrote:
         | Don't look down!
        
       | metadat wrote:
       | Direct link to the actual video (TFA "Play Button" image wasn't
       | clickable for for me).
       | 
       | https://youtube.com/watch?v=Z64etOuLZDQ
        
         | munchler wrote:
         | That's actually a slightly different video from the one in the
         | article, which is
         | https://www.facebook.com/1288518484/videos/465839182979896/
        
           | laweijfmvo wrote:
           | this one shows the explosion as well!
        
             | metadat wrote:
             | Thanks for pointing this out, else I might not have seen
             | it! Really cool.
        
           | pimlottc wrote:
           | You can actually see the person filming the FB video you
           | posted in the YouTube video!
        
         | laweijfmvo wrote:
         | warning for the annoying screaming you're about to endure.
         | there's not much sound for the geyser so you may as well just
         | mute.
        
         | CorpOverreach wrote:
         | It saddens me that we've normalized the recording of vertical
         | videos. There'll be so many more historical events caught on
         | video... but it's now so much more likely that it'll be a
         | vertical video. :(
        
           | tamimio wrote:
           | To be fair, the vertical recording here fits the context.
           | Also, the fact that the recorder held the camera steady and
           | kept the content within the frame is great by itself. A lot
           | of times, you end up with shaky, useless footage.
        
             | usefulcat wrote:
             | > To be fair, the vertical recording here fits the context.
             | 
             | Briefly, near the beginning. But not for the rest of the
             | video.
             | 
             | If you're watching a video on a phone, it's trivial to
             | rotate the phone 90 degrees. On a TV or computer, not so
             | much, so you end up with a ridiculous amount of wasted
             | screen real estate and objectively inferior image
             | resolution.
        
               | xvector wrote:
               | The primary modality through which most people experience
               | media today is their phones, so vertical video is just
               | fine.
        
               | archerx wrote:
               | Vertical video is never fine.
        
               | ddalex wrote:
               | Isn't this a technological choice though? Cameras are
               | sufficiently advanced nowadays so it's possible to take
               | horizontal video while keeping the phone vertical, so
               | it's just a software feature away (at the expense of
               | horizontal resolution), or hw feature away (at the
               | expense of a device internal gimbal)
        
               | rhplus wrote:
               | You'd need square sensors, not an internal moving gimbal,
               | so manufacturers would be left with a choice: should the
               | square fit the circle or the circle fit the square? The
               | first would lower quality and the second would increase
               | costs and add wasted pixels (vignette).
        
               | ddalex wrote:
               | Aren't all sensors square already (well 4:3, or 3:2) ,
               | and fitting the circle ?
        
               | rhplus wrote:
               | No, 4:3 is not a square.
               | 
               | I found a discussion on the topic here[*]. The consensus
               | seems to be that "wasted" sensor area outside the circle
               | would not be marketable.
               | 
               | https://photo.stackexchange.com/questions/109452/is-
               | there-an...
        
               | TeMPOraL wrote:
               | It's not a technological choice, at least not at the
               | level of camera design. It's trivial to record videos the
               | right way; people just can't be arsed.
               | 
               | Suppose you implement horizontal recording while the
               | phone is vertical; this would mean the _video preview_ is
               | now scaled and takes only a fraction of the screen (the
               | same way watching horizontal video on YouTube while in
               | "portrait mode"), which people would find annoying.
               | 
               | Alternatively, you could _not scale_ the video; now the
               | video preview displays only a vertical slice of the
               | frame. It looks OK, but people would soon discover the
               | actual video _a screen 's worth of image on each side of
               | the preview_, leading to anxiety and worry - people would
               | have pay extra attention to not capture things that
               | weren't intended to be on the video; they'd soon look for
               | a way to turn this off.
               | 
               | The unfortunate reality is, it's a social problem
               | partially caused by a technological one. Vertical videos
               | are driven by the phone form-factor _and_ because
               | portraits and selfies actually need to be vertical, and
               | people being people, shooting photos of themselves and
               | other is what they care about the most.
        
               | ddalex wrote:
               | So this comment and the sibling mentioning square sensors
               | raise some good points. Let me rephrase the technological
               | challenge: Make all phone screens square. All phones are
               | now squares. Use Generative AI to fill in the sides of
               | non-square screens. Problem solved. I think I need to
               | make this an AI photo startup.
        
               | esskay wrote:
               | For amateur footage it's absolutely fine, especially in
               | this instance where it's actually a benefit. Nobodys
               | advocating for vertical movies or tv shows.
               | 
               | There's far better things to focus false internet
               | collective outrage at.
        
               | baq wrote:
               | Vertical video is perfectly fine if the device on which
               | it is played back on has a vertical screen. _Never_ is
               | very out of place here.
        
               | immibis wrote:
               | And that's the vast majority of devices that are used to
               | watch videos. "Vertical video is never fine" stems from
               | the good old days of PCs with monitors. In these phone
               | days, according to the same logic, horizontal video is
               | never fine.
        
               | ryankrage77 wrote:
               | But the phone can easily be rotated to landscape, so
               | landscape has wider compatability.
        
               | falcolas wrote:
               | If, and only if, the application supports it.
               | Frustratingly, not all do, so you're stuck with the
               | biggest black bars framing a microscopic landscape video.
               | 
               | Contrast with a monitor, where it will at least be
               | viewable vertically, even if it too only fills a portion
               | of the monitor horizontally.
        
               | shadowgovt wrote:
               | For something you want to capture immediately, the amount
               | of time it takes for the phone's accelerometer to decide
               | you have rotated it is already too long.
        
               | voidUpdate wrote:
               | Vertical video and picture is fine when the thing you're
               | capturing is vertical, eg a person or something shooting
               | into the air
        
               | YurgenJurgensen wrote:
               | Rotating a phone 90 degrees is trivial and takes a
               | fraction of a second. Rotating a computer monitor 90
               | degrees is a pain at the best of times. Rotating a laptop
               | 90 degrees makes it unusable. Rotating a television 90
               | degrees probably requires a toolkit and an assistant.
               | Which of these adaptations seems more reasonable?
        
               | KronisLV wrote:
               | For people who don't use computers and TVs much, no
               | adaptation probably makes the most sense. There's a
               | surprising amount of people out there who are mostly just
               | on their phones nowadays, plus I'm pretty much sure large
               | platforms like TikTok and YouTube Shorts and such also
               | pander to that format.
        
               | lynx23 wrote:
               | TVs and Computers are a boomer thing :-) Still alive, but
               | almost dead...
        
               | greenish_shores wrote:
               | "Mainstream" (as opposed, to, say, amateur SSTV) video
               | broadcasting, aka TV, is definitely very obsolete and too
               | elitist in implementation to even get me "onboard". Not a
               | second of interesting content per day for me there. But
               | you know that you couldn't have written this comment
               | without a computer? Regardless of its form-factor...
        
           | MattRix wrote:
           | I wouldn't be surprised if the majority of views also come
           | from people viewing vertical screens, so it kind of makes
           | sense? I personally have started to prefer the vertical
           | format for certain kinds of videos, especially when viewing
           | them on my phone... so I've also started taking more vertical
           | videos with my phone.
        
             | avz wrote:
             | Phones can easily be oriented either way, unlike most
             | laptop and workstation screens.
             | 
             | Majority of views certainly come from people whose eyes are
             | horizontally next to each other and therefore whose field
             | of view has a greater extent in the horizontal rather than
             | vertical direction.
             | 
             | Admittedly I don't understand where the vertical recording
             | fad comes from. Personally I take pictures and photos that
             | are almost exclusively horizontal except in rare cases like
             | taking a picture of a very tall building.
        
               | basil-rash wrote:
               | Or... a geyser? Kinda the one thing absolutely known for
               | going up and down.
        
               | jaza wrote:
               | I assume that the vertical recording fad primarily comes
               | from:
               | 
               | 1. the people doing the recording being too lazy to
               | rotate their phones, and/or the people doing the
               | recording catering to the lowest common denominator of
               | expecting viewers to be too lazy to rotate their phones;
               | 
               | 2. so many "influencer" and related videos these days
               | consisting solely of the narrator's face being right in
               | front of the camera, which makes for vertical being the
               | optimal orientation, due to the human face being taller
               | than it is wide (hence the term "portrait orientation"!).
               | 
               | I also hate it, and I also still shoot almost all my
               | photos and videos in horizontal / landscape orientation.
               | I guess that makes me old.
        
               | floating-io wrote:
               | IMO, it's also because vertical orientation is
               | effectively the default on a phone.
               | 
               | Nobody expects to have to turn their video camera
               | sideways to capture in the "correct" orientation... but
               | you must on a phone.
        
               | lynx23 wrote:
               | Well, I used to want to do photos/videos in landscape
               | mode. Until I learnt the hard way that orientation
               | detection is not very reliable on (at least the older)
               | iPhones. Had my share of "come on, turn 90 degrees you
               | useless thing" moments, until I gave up completely on
               | wanting to reorient my phone. Since then, it has stayed
               | in portray mode forever.
        
               | notachatbot1234 wrote:
               | Watching videos on phones, which "natively" have a
               | vertical orientation, is pretty popular. I expect the
               | majority of videos watched this way.
        
               | xinayder wrote:
               | For social media, vertical pictures and videos is
               | preferred. Instagram adds some borders around your media
               | if it's in landscape mode, same with TikTok, so the idea
               | is to use vertical recording to not have added black bars
               | around your media.
        
               | bregma wrote:
               | When you're taking a self-portrait it's easier to hold a
               | phone vertically one-handed, your self image fits the
               | screen better, and your followers are going to view it in
               | portrait mode on TikTok anyway.
               | 
               | When you go yo take a selfie of something other than your
               | face, you just keep the habit.
        
               | wruza wrote:
               | I can't easily re-orient my phone when I'm laying (my
               | main use circumstance) because then I have to hold it
               | above my stomach awkwardly. Gets worse when it's
               | charging. Can't put it because I'm fat enough for screen
               | to "dive" and become obstructed. Vertical mode has no
               | such issue.
               | 
               | When I'm sitting, holding vertical feels natural, holding
               | horizontal feels awkward again. I can put my hand on a
               | lap and basically rest in vertical. High risk of dropping
               | it in horizontal (and while rotating). Same for walking.
               | 
               | I don't really see how you can do it "easily" apart from
               | purely geometric considerations. I can rotate my PC
               | display more easily cause it's arm-mounted (which is one
               | of the PC life changers).
               | 
               |  _where the vertical recording fad comes from_
               | 
               | Most popular content today is "person focus". People are
               | vertical.
        
           | metadat wrote:
           | Being "saddened" by the dimensions of a recording of a
           | potentially life changing scenario comes across as
           | excessively pendantic.
           | 
           | Your comment history demonstrates you are an exceptional
           | human being who cares about human beings and the has
           | humanities best interests at heart - which is inspiring and a
           | really good sign. Cheers and best wishes @CorpOverreach.
        
           | JaggedJax wrote:
           | To be fair, a geyser is one of the better situations to film
           | in vertical.
        
           | m463 wrote:
           | aren't our eyes spherical?
        
             | DaoVeles wrote:
             | Yes this is true, but we tend to favor horizontal
             | information over height. Thus our eyes are horizontal. A
             | decent rational would be because that would favor our
             | survival since most things are pinned to this plane via
             | gravity.
        
             | jaza wrote:
             | Yes, but there are two of them, and they're to the left and
             | right of each other, not above and below each other.
        
           | notachatbot1234 wrote:
           | The subject is in a vertical orientation, so it is perfect
           | and desirable that the original video has all its resolution
           | dedicated to capturing the phenomenon in the best quality
           | possible. A horizontal video would mean that there are less
           | pixels on the subject matter.
        
           | thanatos519 wrote:
           | Even worse this video appears to have been padded to 16:9 so
           | I can't fullscreen it properly on my phone on YouTube web or
           | app.
        
             | wruza wrote:
             | Can't you pinch in? Double tap? Something like that should
             | work, afair.
        
           | VeejayRampay wrote:
           | it's really sad that videos are recorded in the exact format
           | that fits the medium used to read them :(
        
           | cbm-vic-20 wrote:
           | PSA: Vertical Video Syndrome
           | 
           | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dechvhb0Meo
        
           | amw-zero wrote:
           | What a weird thing to care about
        
             | gosub100 wrote:
             | It's a redditism
        
           | whycome wrote:
           | I mean, the action was happen vertically.
        
       | buescher wrote:
       | I grew up in the surrounding area. Tourists, and some locals,
       | died every year, frequently at Yellowstone. Relevant Baudrillard
       | quote:
       | 
       | > Disneyland exists in order to hide that it is the "real"
       | country, all of "real" America that is Disneyland (a bit like
       | prisons are there to hide that it is the social in its entirety,
       | in its banal omnipresence, that is carceral). Disneyland is
       | presented as imaginary in order to make us believe that the rest
       | is real, whereas all of Los Angeles and the America that
       | surrounds it are no longer real, but belong to the hyperreal
       | order and to the order of simulation. It is no longer a question
       | of a false representation of reality (ideology) but of concealing
       | the fact that the real is no longer real, and thus of saving the
       | reality principle.
        
         | _wire_ wrote:
         | Fantastic reference!
         | 
         | More to enjoy...
         | 
         | The Precession of Simulacra" by Jean Baudrillard, Translated
         | from English into American by Sean Joseph Patrick Carney
         | 
         | https://continentcontinent.cc/archives/issues/issue-2-2-2012...
        
           | buescher wrote:
           | If you've been socialized not to really believe anything is
           | really real, and your life is mostly spent in social
           | modulation, physical danger that doesn't register immediately
           | with the hindbrain can really trip you up.
           | 
           | I know of a scenic overlook someone falls off every couple of
           | years, going well back before the smartphone selfie era.
        
       | istjohn wrote:
       | Thanks for the reminder to check out the book Death in
       | Yellowstone. According to Randall Munroe it's quite a read.
        
       | sharpshadow wrote:
       | I've heard that a very big explosion ontop of the Yellowstone
       | expanding magma bubble could burst it with devastating
       | consequences.
       | 
       | Is something like this realistic and considered in national
       | security?
        
         | chx wrote:
         | At least for the next 2500 presidential cycles or so the
         | chances of the Yellowstone Supervolcano erupting is considered
         | quite low. We have some understanding of the physics involved,
         | there's not enough lava and magma in the chambers currently for
         | such an eruption. Even if a previously unseen phenomenon
         | started to rapidly fill those, rapidly on a geological scale is
         | still measured in thousands of years.
         | 
         | Also, similar things like "the Big One is due in the Northwest"
         | are just sensational headlines. The Cascadia Subduction Zone
         | indeed produces earthquakes every 3-500 years and the last one
         | was in 1700 but that doesn't mean there's an equivalent of a
         | hourglass. It just means there's a historical average of that.
         | 
         | And it's the concern of FEMA to act after something like this
         | happens, not a matter of national security. National security
         | concern, I imagine, would involve defusing these via some
         | military ways and defusing such events are far beyond the
         | capability of humankind at this time.
        
         | andrewflnr wrote:
         | As explosions go, especially volcanic explosions, this was
         | pretty tiny. Also I don't know where you're getting this idea
         | of an "expanding magma bubble" that could "burst". There's
         | magma chamber that is not to my knowledge changing size, and it
         | can't really erupt at all right now. There's certainly no air
         | inside it, unless you want to count dissolved gas in the magma.
        
           | sharpshadow wrote:
           | I mean an external explosion which triggers the burst of the
           | magma bubble. For example L. Ron Hubbard speaks about it
           | where Xenu does this. "Hydrogen bombs were then lowered into
           | the volcanoes and detonated simultaneously, killing all but a
           | few..."[1].
           | 
           | 1. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Xenu
        
             | andrewflnr wrote:
             | L. Ron Hubbard is one of the worst sources on volcanology I
             | can imagine. Are you trolling?
        
         | HeyLaughingBoy wrote:
         | It would probably take a sizeable nuke to have that kind of
         | impact. And if someone is lobbing nukes at us, we have more
         | immediate concerns that a potential volcanic eruption.
        
           | sharpshadow wrote:
           | But would it actually be possible to bring an volcano to
           | errupt with a explosion? They don't remove a lot of soil
           | layers as far as I understand.
        
             | HeyLaughingBoy wrote:
             | I doubt that it is even possible. I was pointing out that
             | in that scenario, the last thing to be worried about is an
             | eruption.
        
             | HeyLaughingBoy wrote:
             | I doubt that it is even possible. I was pointing out that
             | in that scenario, the last thing to be worried about is an
             | eruption.
        
       | consf wrote:
       | The importance of respecting and understanding the natural forces
       | at work in geothermal areas
        
       | Bluescreenbuddy wrote:
       | The survival instincts of a bag of rocks.
        
       | randomtoast wrote:
       | What is the estimated TNT equivalent of this explosion based on
       | what we can see in this video?
        
         | tonetegeatinst wrote:
         | Expert scientist here. The estimated TNT equivalent is about
         | tree fitty
        
         | gosub100 wrote:
         | 5 millitons
        
       | EchoReflection wrote:
       | archived version:https://web.archive.org/web/20240723212115/https
       | ://www.jhnew...
        
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