[HN Gopher] Glasgow 2024 Hugo Awards Statement - 22 July, 2024
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       Glasgow 2024 Hugo Awards Statement - 22 July, 2024
        
       Author : choult
       Score  : 54 points
       Date   : 2024-07-22 20:47 UTC (2 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (glasgow2024.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (glasgow2024.org)
        
       | i_k_k wrote:
       | A good argument for restricting voting to actual attendees.
        
       | inasio wrote:
       | Keep in mind that you have be to registered and pay a fee to
       | vote, but from the sound of this they don't verify names.
       | 
       | The total tally here is of less than 4,000 votes. It's not
       | surprising that people game this, the economic gains of having a
       | book listed as a Hugo award winner must be huge.
        
         | TheCoelacanth wrote:
         | Huge by sci-fi novel standards. You could gains tens of
         | thousands of dollars.
        
           | ghaff wrote:
           | So basically nothing. (I realize that comes across as blase
           | but it really isn't a lot of money in the scheme of things.)
        
       | drakythe wrote:
       | Might be worth dropping some coin on getting the SFWA Lawyers to
       | contract an outside data analysis group to verify these findings
       | after the absolute fustercluck that was the Hugos 2023. I think
       | this statement is made in good faith, and I believe they believe
       | they are correct in their analysis but the shadow of the 2023
       | Hugos is long and dark. There will be questions regardless of how
       | many good faith statements the committee makes. I don't envy them
       | having to deal with this.
        
       | surfingdino wrote:
       | Is there so much money to be made from winning a Hugo award or
       | are bot farms so cheap?
        
         | TheCoelacanth wrote:
         | Almost certainly not. Probably someone with an axe to grind,
         | not someone trying to make money.
        
         | tialaramex wrote:
         | I would guess that to SF and Fantasy fans "Hugo Award winner"
         | does serve as some indication of merit, beyond what is really
         | entailed (some number of hard core SF/ fantasy fans liked at
         | least one of their works).
         | 
         | Outside, for example buying for a friend or colleague, I
         | imagine it sounds like a generic literary award and they'd
         | expect it was judged excellent by some number of experts, as
         | with say a Booker.
         | 
         | It's also a nice ego boost of course. If you like that kind of
         | thing anyway. If you're Greg Egan or something it's probably
         | dreadful.
        
           | ghaff wrote:
           | The problem is that "literary" awards, e.g. Nebulas in SF,
           | probably tend to award more of a critic's sensibility than a
           | fan's. But I'm not sure that Hugos are worth a whole lot at
           | this point even as a fan's take.
        
             | tialaramex wrote:
             | Hard to say. Several of my personal favourite novels won a
             | Hugo, including both Diamond Age and Rainbows End IIRC
        
               | ghaff wrote:
               | That's quite a long time ago before there was so much
               | politicization. I do think there's still value but
               | probably also increasing reasons for skepticism.
        
         | hdlothia wrote:
         | My friends and I have a book club where we just read hugo
         | winners.
        
       | BryantD wrote:
       | Cost analysis:
       | 
       | The administrators identified 377 ballots and associated
       | memberships as fraudulent. Assuming all fraudulent memberships
       | were new, the minimum cost per voting membership is PS45 [1].
       | Total cost assuming no additional undetected memberships:
       | PS16,965 or just under $22,000 at current exchange rates.
       | 
       | Unfortunately current discussions of the marketing value of a
       | Hugo Award have been somewhat drowned out by those who think the
       | fan value of a Hugo is not as high as it once was, but it's not
       | an influential award; if it's true that a Hugo Award for Best
       | Novel generates a thousand or so additional sales, it's hard to
       | make the economics of buying a Hugo make sense.
       | 
       | [1] https://glasgow2024.org/for-members/memberships-and-tickets/,
       | WSFS Membership.
        
         | Arainach wrote:
         | How many future sales, speaking gigs, etc. does being a "Hugo-
         | winning author" open up?
        
           | ghaff wrote:
           | I expect very little of that makes much money.
        
         | zmj wrote:
         | I read a lot of SFF, but the actual Hugo / Nebula winners don't
         | really move up in my reading list compared to the other
         | nominees.
         | 
         | Maybe the "winner" sticker drives some paper book sales?
        
           | BryantD wrote:
           | Some? Not a ton.
           | 
           | https://humanlegion.com/hugo-award-sales-figures/ has some
           | data for one year. "They do have an effect, but probably no
           | more than a few thousand sales for most books, maybe over ten
           | thousand for the luckiest, and then only in exceptional
           | years."
        
             | ghaff wrote:
             | So maybe a dollar a book on the outside.
        
           | thih9 wrote:
           | To offer a counter anecdote: for a while I enjoyed reading
           | books from the list of joint winners of the Hugo and Nebula
           | awards[1] - and later from the list of winners for a single
           | award (same, Hugo or Nebula).
           | 
           | [1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_joint_winners_of_t
           | he_H...
        
           | bigstrat2003 wrote:
           | Yeah, I've read a couple of more modern Hugo award winners
           | and thought that they sucked. Maybe I just got unlucky, but
           | it certainly didn't inspire confidence that I will enjoy
           | reading the award recipients.
        
         | egypturnash wrote:
         | "I got a Hugo" is probably worth something in negotiations with
         | traditional publishers; exactly _which_ award is being stuffed
         | is not mentioned. If you 're up for, say, "Best Fan Writer" and
         | are looking for a traditional publisher then it's starting to
         | look attractive, if you can think of a clever way to cover the
         | costs.
         | 
         | "Prove you voted for me and you get access to a big download of
         | everything I made in the past decade, which would cost $300 to
         | buy normally" comes to mind as a way to cover a chunk of that.
         | Crowdfunding!
        
       | ilamont wrote:
       | Coming on the heels of the 2023 Hugo Awards disaster (certain
       | authors excluded for fear of offending China, see
       | https://file770.com/the-2023-hugo-awards-a-report-on-censors...)
       | it's hard to believe the supposed post-Chengdu reforms didn't
       | take into account loopholes like this.
        
         | TheCoelacanth wrote:
         | There haven't been any reforms yet, only a transparency pledge
         | by the committee administering this year's vote.
         | 
         | It's not even possible for reforms to take place until the 2025
         | Worldcon because two consecutive business meetings need to
         | ratify any changes.
        
         | yzydserd wrote:
         | What's the loophole?
         | 
         | It's a fan voted prize, and you get a vote for being a member,
         | and you can become a member with a fee.
         | 
         | If some person, people, or organisations attempted to
         | masquerade as multiple non "natural" persons they seem to have
         | been found out, which I would not call a "loophole".
         | 
         | By the way, as a member it seems you get a copy of all the
         | books and stories, which makes the fee pretty decent.
        
         | rodgerd wrote:
         | > certain authors excluded for fear of offending China,
         | 
         | That is an extremely misleading summary of what was uncovered.
        
       | hdlothia wrote:
       | I imagine that working for organizations like this is a thankless
       | job.
        
         | semanticist wrote:
         | Volunteering, not working. Few, if any, people involved in
         | running a WorldCon are getting paid for it.
        
       | NotYourLawyer wrote:
       | > We have no evidence that Finalist A was at all aware of the
       | fraudulent votes being cast for them, let alone in any way
       | responsible for the operation.
       | 
       | X doubt. Name names.
        
       | perihelions wrote:
       | This messy situation demands a lot of trust of the organisers--
       | trust they do not have, after they corruptly tampered with the
       | 2023 votes and tried to cover that up.
        
         | teraflop wrote:
         | Who's "they"? Each year's Worldcon is run by an entirely
         | different set of people.
        
           | rodgerd wrote:
           | While the organisers have changed, up until this year the
           | same person has written the un-audited software and run the
           | voting process previously - which was how he was able to
           | discard huge numbers of votes covertly last year, for
           | example.
        
       | ThinkBeat wrote:
       | This was discovered due to the bad actor being incompetent.
       | 
       | Clearly by spending a bit more, or putting in more of an effort
       | using plausible names for every alleged bot vote it could not be
       | detected.
       | 
       | Gathering a list of 400 real names is trivial.
        
         | perihelions wrote:
         | - _" Gathering a list of 400 real names is trivial."_
         | 
         | The FCC fake-comment fraud involved literally millions of real
         | identities and real names [0]. It was caught for a different
         | reason: many of the comments had identical text strings.
         | 
         | [0] https://ag.ny.gov/press-release/2023/attorney-general-
         | james-...
        
       | danielodievich wrote:
       | Hugo and Nebula awards drive my fun-reading list. It is sad to
       | hear that even this quaint corner of the book world is no longer
       | ignored by vote and review manipulators. Is nothing holy
       | anymore!? _man shakes a fist at the space-ship shaped cloud_
        
         | astrodust wrote:
         | They've been actively under attack for over a decade now.
         | 
         | See: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sad_Puppies
         | 
         | We can't have nice things.
        
       | yzydserd wrote:
       | L Ron Hubbard will have to wait another year.
        
       | edu_guitar wrote:
       | Given how the names were generated, it seems the bad actor might
       | actually want to be caught. Maybe it was trying to get the
       | committee to disqualify a title. Since it doesn't make sense
       | financially, as a sibling comments points out, so personal grudge
       | might be the motivation. But I guess we'll never know.
        
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       (page generated 2024-07-22 23:01 UTC)