[HN Gopher] The depletion of the Ogallala Aquifer in Western Kansas
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       The depletion of the Ogallala Aquifer in Western Kansas
        
       Author : speckx
       Score  : 66 points
       Date   : 2024-06-30 17:07 UTC (5 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (kansasreflector.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (kansasreflector.com)
        
       | jmclnx wrote:
       | Especially with the latest US Supreme Court Rulings, the agencies
       | cannot do anything, it is up to just Kansas or Congress. And
       | without a National Commitment, Kansas alone will be unable to do
       | much.
        
         | toomuchtodo wrote:
         | Not a bad thing. The aquifer will be depleted, existing use
         | cases will die, and solving this can be revisited decades or
         | centuries from now after the electorate and representatives
         | have turned over. The outcome is based on choices made.
         | 
         | Sibling comment mentions returning the land to nature; new
         | expanded national lands would be great. If anything, efforts to
         | accelerate the depletion should be undertaken to speedrun the
         | outcome. This avoids the slow decline of unnecessary intensive
         | farming of the land, and pushes the system to failure more
         | rapidly.
        
           | kibwen wrote:
           | You can't fix a depleted aquifer on human timescales. The
           | ground settles and loses the ability to hold water.
        
             | toomuchtodo wrote:
             | Even better, thanks for the context.
        
               | kibwen wrote:
               | For an even more urgent example of this in action right
               | now, see how Mexico City is currently sinking at an
               | incredible rate: https://www.sciencealert.com/mexico-
               | city-is-sinking-at-an-al...
               | 
               |  _" Some areas in Mexico City are slipping as fast as 20
               | inches a year in recent decades, according to
               | researchers. Overall, the clay layers under the soil have
               | compressed by 17 percent in the last century. A culprit
               | for the uneven sinking in Mexico City, researchers say,
               | is pumping water from underground. The water extraction
               | enables the porous soil to compact and depress. Because
               | more than half of the city's water supply comes from
               | underground aquifers, its leaders have struggled to
               | tackle the problem. Most of this sinking, the researchers
               | say, is irreversible because the Earth is still
               | compacting and responding to the ways water was drained a
               | long time ago. Cabral-Cano and his colleagues project the
               | land is going to sink another 100 feet over the next 150
               | years."_
        
         | onlypassingthru wrote:
         | At some point, people have to come to terms with their poor
         | choices. Building in a flood zone, building in a dense forest
         | and farming in an arid land all seem like poor choices for long
         | term success. However, there may be some good to come of
         | depopulating SW Kansas. With the farmland abandoned, maybe we
         | can finally give it back to the bison?
        
           | beambot wrote:
           | Why should they care when FEMA will just keep bailing
           | everyone out, subsidized by everyone else's tax dollars. Just
           | look at New Orleans, but now imagine it scaled up to the
           | entire state of Florida...
        
             | bilbo0s wrote:
             | I don't know man?
             | 
             | I was working for Halliburton, so I knew there were good
             | reasons to bail Houston/New Orleans out. Just take a
             | cursory look at any map of our energy infrastructure.
             | 
             | Conversely, there is little reason to bail out Kansas.
             | 
             | There are just some uncomfortable realities about how
             | logistics and infrastructure work in this nation. And that
             | means places like, LA, Norfolk, Seattle, New York, New
             | Orleans, Houston, etc are far more important than, say,
             | Fort Lauderdale or Miami. Not that we shouldn't try to help
             | places like Fort Lauderdale or Miami. But for instance, not
             | that it ever would, but if it came down to Norfolk or
             | Miami, it's gotta be Norfolk we save. If it ever came down
             | to Houston or Savannah, it's gotta be Houston we save.
             | Those choices are just engineering sense.
             | 
             | The issue here is Kansas didn't do anything to make that
             | area of its state indispensable to the US. Maybe wind farms
             | or something? I don't know? But having been around the
             | people who make those calls, I can tell you they aren't
             | terribly sentimental by nature. If they are sentimental at
             | all, it is by legal obligation (ie - force) or political
             | pressure.
        
           | cyanydeez wrote:
           | No, actully, people can jusdy keep doing stupid things
           | because we have such a largesse of basic comfort. They arnt
           | going to suddenly change and fascism.is likely the.equal
           | choice than any.ecologically smart.one'
        
       | anonymouskimmer wrote:
       | > But Kansas water rights are based on the "first in time --
       | first in right" principle, which means the earliest users are
       | given priority.
       | 
       | It's not the "earliest users", but the earliest plot of land,
       | municipality, et cetera that gets priority. You can stake your
       | claim and transfer it from what I can tell.
       | 
       | I honestly don't understand how this doesn't fall afoul of the
       | Article 1, Section 10 Titles of Nobility clause. I asked a lawyer
       | who wrote about this clause once in an email and he thought it
       | odd to think that this is a violation of the Titles of Nobility
       | clause. But shouldn't any heritable and transferable privilege to
       | a public good be considered a "title of nobility"?
        
         | btilly wrote:
         | What Title do you think has been granted by having a particular
         | property right tied to a particular piece of property?
        
           | anonymouskimmer wrote:
           | Something equivalent to manorial lordship. The title itself
           | would be "senior water rights holder". The right granted by
           | this heritable privilege is the right to first service. A
           | first service which may result in an inferior holder of water
           | rights not getting any water at all.
           | 
           | It's important to note that, at least some, constitutional
           | scholars see a focus on an actual "title" as beside the
           | point. A state can call Michael Jackson the "King of Pop"
           | without violating the clause because this title does not
           | actually grant noble privilege in any way. It's just a name.
           | However granting a heritable privilege that is not available
           | to anyone meeting a similar, non-heritable requirement (such
           | as a driver's license, which is theoretically equally
           | available to all), does violate the titles of nobility
           | clauses even if no actual "title" is granted with it.
           | 
           | https://constitution.congress.gov/browse/essay/artI-S9-C8-2/.
           | ..
        
             | lazide wrote:
             | The reason why the lawyer looked at you strange is because
             | if you applied that rule it would literally break all
             | property rights, everywhere in the US. So of course no
             | court is going to apply it that way.
             | 
             | Since property can always be inherited, and ownership of
             | property confers rights.
             | 
             | None of this involves 'nobility' (necessarily) either.
        
               | anonymouskimmer wrote:
               | Property rights are not rights to a common resource. Some
               | mineral rights can be, but management of mineral rights
               | (including gas) commonly fall under government
               | supervision with any benefits (i.e. money) of use of the
               | rights apportioned appropriately among all rights
               | holders. Water rights, with seniority, are not so
               | apportioned.
               | 
               | It's this senior right privilege, that is granted
               | exclusively by the state, that I'm claiming is the title
               | of nobility.
        
               | vundercind wrote:
               | > Property rights are not rights to a common resource.
               | 
               | You're disagreeing with John Locke, among others, here.
        
               | anonymouskimmer wrote:
               | I am not an economist. Yes, common resources such as
               | water are rivalrous, and thus not public goods, but
               | forgive me for not having the full vocabulary that a
               | student of economics and privileges would.
               | 
               | You should be understanding the points I'm making here as
               | I believe I've highlighted what I think is salient.
               | Others can disagree with whether these points are indeed
               | salient, but they (and you) should at least basically
               | understand the point I am trying to make.
               | 
               | I assume John Locke would understand, as he was alive
               | during the passing of the Tenures Abolition Act of 1660.
        
               | HeatrayEnjoyer wrote:
               | Locke was a dunce, what of it?
        
               | vundercind wrote:
               | I mean, that is also true.
        
               | kdmccormick wrote:
               | But at the very least Henry George agrees with GP ;)
        
               | lisper wrote:
               | > Property rights are not rights to a common resource.
               | 
               | They can be. Native Americans considered e.g. land to be
               | a common resource, and yet today you can own it. What is
               | a "common resource" is a matter of social convention, not
               | a consequence of the laws of physics.
        
             | jcranmer wrote:
             | > Something equivalent to manorial lordship.
             | 
             | A manor lord _is not a noble_. Functionally speaking,
             | people like Thomas Jefferson and George Washington, who
             | held large estates, would have been roughly equivalent in
             | stature to a manor lord, or what was by that time a
             | gentleman. They would have been eligible to vote in, or be
             | a member of, the House of Commons, but not the House of
             | Lords. In general, the goal of the Titles and Nobility
             | clause is to foreclose the possibility of an American
             | peerage.
             | 
             | It is worth noting that there is a very important
             | difference between a title of nobility and title to
             | property rights. Were I an English peer, I would have no
             | right to decide who should inherit my title upon my death
             | (or even before then); the title's inheritance is strictly
             | decided by the monarch. But for property, I can generally
             | subdivide the property at will, and even grant other people
             | the property or use thereof subject to almost whatever
             | constraints I can put on it (this is where things like the
             | rule against perpetuities come in).
             | 
             | Water rights are property rights, not titles of nobility,
             | and it's not even a close question.
        
           | cyanydeez wrote:
           | Its the right to withdraw water, which isnt static
        
         | doctorpangloss wrote:
         | > Article 1, Section 10 Titles of Nobility clause
         | 
         | It's an intriguing idea. Now spend even one minute thinking
         | deeply about the Equal Protection Clause, and drown in sorrow.
        
       | readthenotes1 wrote:
       | "Ogallala Aquifer... is recharged on a geological time scale...
       | That depletion is accelerated by climate change and continued
       | over pumping of water."
       | 
       | Is it obligatory to put in stuff about climate change in spite of
       | the fact that it's barely relevant?
       | 
       | We are over pumping when we exceed the replenishment rate. And
       | that is going on in just about every aquifer I have heard about.
       | Climate change has nothing to do with it. Almond tree growing,
       | ease of well drilling, and improper use of the pure water have
       | more to do with it (e.g.,
       | https://www.protectouraquifer.org/issues/poas-fight-to-stop-...)
        
         | anonymouskimmer wrote:
         | In general I understand and agree with your point. With respect
         | to recharging aquifers, climate change can have an effect in
         | two ways:
         | 
         | 1) Some plants are far better at recharging aquifers than
         | others (indeed, some will basically prevent aquifer recharge).
         | Climate change, along with probably the more significant human
         | element here, will affect what plants grow here.
         | 
         | 2) Rainfall. https://climate.k-state.edu/precip/county/ I'm not
         | seeing huge changes over the last 129 years, so maybe this
         | really isn't affecting recharge of the aquifer from Kansas at
         | least.
         | 
         | Some parts of the aquifer seem to be recharging well. I know
         | that Texas has some recharge locations, but I wonder what
         | Nebraska is doing right. https://www.climate.gov/news-
         | features/featured-images/nation...
        
           | MrDrMcCoy wrote:
           | It's my understanding that there's no meaningful way we can
           | recharge the aquifers:
           | 
           | > Aquifers hold water in between bits of sand, gravel, or
           | clay. When the amount of clay in an aquifer is particularly
           | high, the grains arrange themselves like plates thrown
           | haphazardly in a sink--they've basically got random
           | orientations, and the water fills in the spaces between the
           | grains. But if you start extracting water from an aquifer,
           | those spaces collapse and the grains draw closer together.
           | "Those plates rearrange themselves into more like a stack of
           | dinner plates that you put in your cupboard," says Sneed. "It
           | takes a lot less space, obviously, to stack the plates that
           | way. And so that's the compaction of the aquifer system that
           | then results in land subsidence at the surface." > > But
           | wouldn't pumping more water back into the aquifer force the
           | clay plates back to their random, spacey orientations?
           | Unfortunately, no. "It'll press those grains apart a little
           | bit--you'll get a little bit of expansion in the aquifer
           | system represented as uplift on the land surface. But it's a
           | tiny amount," says Sneed. We're talking maybe three quarters
           | of an inch of movement. "They're still stacked like the
           | plates in your cupboard," she continues.
           | 
           | https://www.wired.com/story/the-ongoing-collapse-of-the-
           | worl...
        
             | anonymouskimmer wrote:
             | Yeah, you'd preferably want to recharge it before the land
             | subsides. But even if you don't it's best to try to
             | maintain the current levels than let them decrease even
             | more.
        
             | mturmon wrote:
             | This is an important point, and true insofar as it goes
             | (because the discussion you quote is about clay).
             | 
             | But not all aquifers are clay. The ones that are composed
             | of coarser material are more stable. Like a lot of Earth
             | science, it's complicated.
             | 
             | But, yes, once clay has compacted, it's not reversible and
             | that natural storage space has been lost.
        
           | mechagodzilla wrote:
           | Increased temperatures also affect evaporation rates (and
           | hence how much watering needs to be done). Climate change and
           | the future of farming are pretty intimately connected.
        
       | cyberax wrote:
       | OK, I started reading the article, and then found this gem:
       | 
       | > The Kansas aqueduct is a nutty idea, but one that has taken
       | root among some individuals in western Kansas desperate for a
       | solution to continue irrigation after the depletion of the
       | Ogallala Aquifer. Aside from its expense and impracticality, it
       | is a regressive idea that harkens back to the days of ditches and
       | avoids a conversation about us having squandered the resource
       | beneath our feet.
       | 
       | Like, WTF? How the hell a "conversation" can solve the depletion
       | issue? An aqueduct is a possible solution, yet it's bad because
       | it can solve the issue?
        
         | germinalphrase wrote:
         | It's not a solution because it doesn't solve the problem of
         | excessive water use.
        
           | cyberax wrote:
           | What makes the water use "excessive"?
           | 
           | In the case of the aquifer, it's clear. It's a finite
           | resource that is going to be depleted sooner rather than
           | later.
           | 
           | But that doesn't apply to diverting water from the Missouri
           | River.
           | 
           | I guess the author just wants people to self-flagellate and
           | repent their sins, rather than look for solutions?
        
             | warcher wrote:
             | The solution is obvious and inevitable.
             | 
             | These businesses are going to go under. You cannot run food
             | manufacturing operations with the amount of water they have
             | available. We will grow food someplace with more water.
             | 
             | The people who own those businesses will hold on until the
             | bitter end. This is expected. They will try increasingly
             | desperate measures to continue running their business,
             | including but not limited to ecologically destructive
             | practices. It won't work. There's no water.
        
             | anonymouskimmer wrote:
             | The Missouri discharges an average of 2,445 cubic meters of
             | water per second (2004). This is 77.1 cubic kilometers per
             | year, but it varies significantly per year, and per time of
             | year. In (2000) 26 cubic kilometers of water was removed
             | from the Ogallala aquifer. So for an average year we're
             | looking at 1/3 of the total flow over the entire basin. And
             | on those years when water is needed the most this is likely
             | to be an even larger share of the river (such as 2006 when
             | 26 cubic kilometers was just over 2/3 of the total Missouri
             | discharge).
             | 
             | 2004 -
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_rivers_by_discharge
             | 
             | 2000 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ogallala_Aquifer
             | 
             | It might work, though would be expensive, but what are the
             | literal downstream effects?
        
               | cyberax wrote:
               | Sure. And that would be a good reason to promote more
               | efficient irrigation along with the aqueduct. And to
               | limit the amount of water removed from the river, and to
               | construct reservoirs to manage the seasonality.
               | 
               | However, calling the proposed aqueduct "regressive" is
               | not a good reasoning.
        
               | anonymouskimmer wrote:
               | It seems kind of regressive for a common tax to pay for
               | the aquifer that primarily benefits the farmers. If its
               | paid for by taxing the farmers directly, or at least
               | proportionately, then sure, it probably wouldn't be
               | regressive.
        
               | cyberax wrote:
               | I don't think the author meant "regressive" in that
               | sense.
               | 
               | For them it means: "Actually thinking about a solution
               | instead of wringing hands"
        
         | nraynaud wrote:
         | They are going to deplete the river, like the Colorado river,
         | losing most of it through evaporation. This is a stupid idea
         | beacause it is stupid in the south west.
        
         | downrightmike wrote:
         | China already did a project like this to move water from the
         | wet part to the dry, because their leaders were eager engineers
         | and wanted to do it. Turns out that the wet part isn't making
         | enough water to the dry part now because of climate change.
         | Same thing would happen here. The rockies already create a rain
         | shadow over the great plains, there isn't a way to get water
         | from the other side of the rockies, because that is what it
         | would take. and Cali has been in a drought for along time too.
         | There just isn't water available.
        
           | cyberax wrote:
           | I'm curious to read about it, do you have links? I can
           | (slowly) read Mandarin.
        
       | kickout wrote:
       | We don't need western Kansas agriculture's production from a
       | national supply perspective. All of those row crops can be grown
       | in other rainfed places.
        
         | anonymouskimmer wrote:
         | Western Kansas seems to average in the upper teens to mid 20s
         | of inches of rainfall per typical year (drier years do come as
         | the article notes). If it could be husbanded well you'd think
         | that would be sufficient rainfall to grow these crops.
        
           | darth_avocado wrote:
           | It is sufficient to grow the crops, but not at the yields you
           | want. You can't grow in that region without irrigation.
        
             | anonymouskimmer wrote:
             | Your user name makes me trust the accuracy of your comment.
        
               | anonymouskimmer wrote:
               | To the downvoters: I just assume that a person who
               | identifies enough with the high water use avocado to have
               | it in their user name would have done some research into
               | agricultural water use.
        
           | kickout wrote:
           | That's an average calendar year most likely. A corn crops
           | roughly needs 20 inches of water to be viable. Corn is
           | usually only grown in 1/3 of the year.
           | 
           | We just shouldn't subsidize crops in this region. If people
           | want to make a run at it, more power to them and it may work
           | in some years. But no subsidy
        
       | exabrial wrote:
       | We need to stop the enormously stupid ethanol requirements in
       | gasoline, and corn subsidies to produce them.
        
         | toomuchtodo wrote:
         | 43 million acres of land are farmed for ethanol. Key political
         | positions depend on the corn and ag lobby support, including
         | Iowa. We won't remove these subsidies, we'll only destroy
         | demand with rapid EV uptake that destroys gasoline demand for
         | light vehicles (and the ethanol blended into it).
         | 
         | https://www.cardin.senate.gov/press-releases/end-subsidies-f...
         | 
         | https://www.taxpayer.net/energy-natural-resources/understand...
         | 
         | https://afdc.energy.gov/fuels/laws/ETH?state=US
        
           | exabrial wrote:
           | progress, not perfection. Chip at it one bit at a time.
        
             | toomuchtodo wrote:
             | Certainly, I'm just saying that if the thought is the
             | change is going to happen on the policy side, that is
             | unlikely due to entrenched self interested parties and US
             | governance having mostly failed.
             | 
             | Think in systems. If you are attempting to force them to
             | failure, find the weakest points and exert maximum force at
             | those points.
        
             | TylerE wrote:
             | That's one of the easiest bits to chip off, though. There
             | is zero technical or environmental reason to do it (and
             | quite a few not to).
        
         | kickout wrote:
         | Agree, but from a political standpoint it's cheap. The
         | subsidies are overall not expensive and it's good to
         | incentivize over production of crops from a nation security
         | standpoint.
         | 
         | Below comments are correct, EVs will ultimately be the
         | equalizer
        
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