[HN Gopher] Astronomers see a black hole awaken in real time
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Astronomers see a black hole awaken in real time
        
       Author : croes
       Score  : 189 points
       Date   : 2024-06-19 10:57 UTC (12 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.eso.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.eso.org)
        
       | Waterluvian wrote:
       | Is there a convenient listing of the timeframe of cosmic events?
       | 
       | I have a poor sense of when we're talking hours, years, decades,
       | millennia, MA, GA. Might make for a really cool static website
       | project.
       | 
       | Same with geologic events, too!
        
         | rodolphoarruda wrote:
         | The most relevant event to us here is the arrival of
         | Trisolarans in about 400 years.
        
         | djtriptych wrote:
         | which event are you referring to?
        
         | nashashmi wrote:
         | to go from a supernova to a black hole, it takes a couple of
         | days. For a galaxy to be rearranged by a black hole, it take a
         | couple of millennia. (my information is not precise nor the
         | latest, so it could have been revised recently.)
        
           | dylan604 wrote:
           | > (my information is not precise
           | 
           | you're in good company. most cosmological "dates" are not
           | precise. for example, the age of the universe is suspected to
           | be about 13.7 billion years +/- 20 million years. That's a
           | really big +/- in years, but just 0.2% tolerance. the size of
           | milky way is estimated at 26.8 +- 1.1 kiloparsecs. again,
           | that's a lot of miles/kilometers of a range. it's not like
           | they can run out and "pull tape" to take that measurement.
           | 
           | it's one of my favorite quirks of astronomy. of course even
           | the tolerances/variances are going to be astronomically
           | large.
        
             | lukan wrote:
             | I apologize in advance, but I still point to the relevant
             | comic:
             | 
             | https://xkcd.com/2205/
        
             | mr_mitm wrote:
             | I don't get it. Isn't precision always relative? Who cares
             | how large the numbers sound in certain units?
        
               | oh2aa wrote:
               | No, precision or error can measured in absolute or
               | relative terms. In either case, the unit is irrelevant,
               | you could say +/- "0.000001 big bang timespan." The point
               | is that in the realm of human experience, that tracking
               | error is quite big.
        
           | AnimalMuppet wrote:
           | Could you define what you mean by a galaxy being "rearranged"
           | by a black hole?
        
             | nashashmi wrote:
             | The theory behind spiral galaxies is that a black hole of
             | considerable magnitude and time lies right in the center.
             | Gravitational waves spirals out for millennia. They start
             | moving towards the center but also move towards each other.
             | Closest stars move towards the center and other stars begin
             | following the close stars and so on. This should ordinarily
             | end up like an octopus with multiple arms extending from
             | the center outwards. But then the Universe must also be
             | rotating like a disc. And so the galaxy spirals out with
             | curved arms instead.
        
               | AnimalMuppet wrote:
               | So, yes, we think there is a massive black hole at the
               | center of all (or just spiral?) galaxies. And
               | gravitational waves move at the speed of light, so if
               | something changes the mass of the central black hole, and
               | the galaxy has a radius of 25,000 light years, it will
               | take 25,000 years for that wave to propagate out to the
               | rim of the galaxy, rearranging things along the way. But:
               | 
               | 1. The massive, central black hole did not come from a
               | supernova. There are no stars anything like that big.
               | 
               | 2. Even if there were a huge central mass and it
               | collapsed, that doesn't actually change the mass
               | distribution as far as the rest of the galaxy is
               | concerned. There is very little change to propagate. The
               | existence of the huge central mass would have already
               | "arranged" the galaxy.
               | 
               | 3. Galaxies spiral with curved arms due to their own
               | rotation, not due to the universe's rotation. If the
               | universe were rotating like a disk (and that was causing
               | the spiral of galaxies), then you would expect the spin
               | of galaxies to all be aligned. And they aren't; not at
               | all.
        
         | foota wrote:
         | Fun fact, supernovae take only seconds to undergo extremely
         | violent processes that typically result in their explosion.
         | 
         | E.g., "Within a few seconds of the collapse process, a
         | substantial fraction of the matter in the white dwarf undergoes
         | nuclear fusion, releasing enough energy (1-2x10^44 J) to unbind
         | the star in a supernova."
        
           | jvanderbot wrote:
           | I've always wondered how realistic the timing was for the
           | supernova explosion at the end of The Fountain. Seems they
           | didn't do so bad!
        
             | Fezzik wrote:
             | Extending the tangent: The Fountain is a criminally
             | underrated movie!
        
       | lukan wrote:
       | It means not the creation of a black hole (like I initially
       | thought), but an activity by the hole to blast out gas and
       | energy.
       | 
       | "In late 2019 the previously unremarkable galaxy SDSS1335+0728
       | suddenly started shining brighter than ever before. To understand
       | why, astronomers have used data from several space and ground-
       | based observatories, including the European Southern
       | Observatory's Very Large Telescope (ESO's VLT), to track how the
       | galaxy's brightness has varied. In a study out today, they
       | conclude that they are witnessing changes never seen before in a
       | galaxy -- likely the result of the sudden awakening of the
       | massive black hole at its core."
       | 
       | "Follow-up observations are still needed to rule out alternative
       | explanations. Another possibility is that we are seeing an
       | unusually slow tidal disruption event, or even a new phenomenon"
        
         | logtempo wrote:
         | I guess "black hole awaken" is a more attractive headline than
         | "black hole fart" !
         | 
         | It's really cool to see that we have so much instruments, we
         | can actually monitor (a very small part) of the universe
         | activity.
        
           | q1w2 wrote:
           | A more correct title is "Galaxy brightens and scientists
           | suspect it might be due to the galaxy's black hole"
           | 
           | There is no direct evidence the black hole is doing anything
           | - it's just the only theory we have.
        
         | prewett wrote:
         | > It means not the creation of a black hole (like I initially
         | thought),
         | 
         | There was a candidate for a stellar collapse to a black hole a
         | few years ago:
         | 
         | https://www.livescience.com/disappearing-star-black-hole-no-...
         | 
         | Unfortunately it's in a galaxy far, far away, so we couldn't
         | see the star directly, we just saw a characteristic emission
         | line disappear without a corresponding supernova. Given that it
         | seemed like a large star, one possibility is direct core-
         | collapse.
        
       | revskill wrote:
       | I should know this 4 years ago
        
       | api wrote:
       | What if we are quietly watching from a distance (in both space
       | and time) as thousands of civilizations are helplessly irradiated
       | to death by gamma rays?
        
         | lukan wrote:
         | Or enlightened and transformed to a higher dimension?
         | 
         | The answer is probably the same. We would not know and continue
         | our daily chores.
        
         | robofanatic wrote:
         | What we are watching right now has happened millions of years
         | in the past.
        
         | nikbackm wrote:
         | It's not likely that life will survive long enough to form
         | civilizations that close to a black hole. It has probably fed
         | like this many times before already.
        
           | denton-scratch wrote:
           | > that close to a black hole
           | 
           |  _How_ close to a black hole? This isn 't a common-or-garden
           | black hole, it's supermassive. If it's (300M years ago)
           | suddenly started producing intense radiation that we can
           | measure here, then I assume that anyone in the galaxy that
           | can see the central region is receiving _a lot_ of radiation,
           | as well as a storm of high-energy particles.
        
         | greggsy wrote:
         | It's around 300 million light years away, so this technically
         | occurred a long time ago in a galaxy far far away.
         | 
         | With that in mind, I can imagine that millions of voices
         | suddenly cried out in terror and were suddenly silenced.
        
           | dylan604 wrote:
           | So what you're suggesting is that this might be a blast from
           | the Death Star and we just saw Alderaan get wiped out?
        
             | slowmovintarget wrote:
             | No. The scale is galactic, not planetary.
        
           | BubbleRings wrote:
           | > ... _now_ radiating much more light at ultraviolet...
           | 
           | I noticed that too <grin>
           | 
           | Is this too far away to try to detect the gravitational
           | waves, if it made some? I forget, do gravitational waves
           | travel at C?
        
             | danparsonson wrote:
             | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_gravitational_wave_
             | o...
             | 
             | Seems well within range; and yes they travel at C - there
             | have been some LIGO observations that were successfully
             | correlated with more traditional (e.g. optical or radio)
             | observations.
        
         | HarHarVeryFunny wrote:
         | Well, some alien species a few hundred million light years
         | away, with a big telescope, could be currently watching the
         | Chicxulub meteor hit earth, and all the dinosaurs subsequently
         | starving to death.
        
           | BurningFrog wrote:
           | 65 million light years away, unless there is a system of
           | giant mirrors out there.
           | 
           | It is a nice thought though. That was a real rough day for
           | Earth, but we turned out alright in the end.
        
             | steve_adams_86 wrote:
             | It just occurred to me that if dinosaurs never existed here
             | and we found them somewhere else, they'd be such an
             | incredible discovery. We're lucky to have such an awesome
             | history of life on this planet.
        
               | lukan wrote:
               | "We're lucky to have such an awesome history of life on
               | this planet."
               | 
               | We are probably lucky, to have life at all.
        
               | vlovich123 wrote:
               | Humans are probably unique. Intelligent life probably not
               | and life at all is likely commonplace. It would be quite
               | a miracle if given the size and scale of the universe
               | Earth is the only place where life arose and also managed
               | to evolve multiple intelligent species also emerged
               | (cephalopods, dolphins, elephants, and primates at least)
        
               | wruza wrote:
               | It depends. If simple life is common, how rare is GOE or
               | a similar event? If GOE is not that rare, it feels like
               | intelligent life is just a matter of time, ice ages and
               | enough branches to grab on. Otoh if we are the result of
               | a long domino chain, the universe life is screwed.
        
               | withinboredom wrote:
               | Reminds me of "Carl's Doomsday Scenario" where they pick
               | up a pet that happens to be an "a species seeded on all
               | life-supporting planets, but a nasty asteroid caused them
               | to go extinct here. I believe they are called
               | 'Velociraptors' here."
        
               | BurningFrog wrote:
               | Dinosaurs were only first discovered in 1824:
               | https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/01/europe/megalosaurus-first-
               | din...
               | 
               | It must have been an incredible discovery at the time.
        
           | mensetmanusman wrote:
           | They were actually boiled alive due to reentry of earth rocks
           | back to earth heating the atmosphere.
        
         | mensetmanusman wrote:
         | The death of one individual is a tragedy, the death of a
         | billion civilizations is an HN comment.
        
       | qwertox wrote:
       | Correct link is now https://www.eso.org/public/news/eso2409/
       | instead of https://www.eso.org/public/germany/news/eso2409/,
       | which is leading to a login page.
        
         | stronglikedan wrote:
         | Maybe regional. I'm not getting a login page in the US, but I
         | am getting the German language page. Of course, I like your
         | link better, since my German is very rusty (non-existent,
         | really). Thanks.
        
         | Udo wrote:
         | Even when I click on the correct link I get forwarded to the
         | German page anyway. Granted, I'm in Germany, but I absolutely
         | hate this behavior.
        
       | NVHacker wrote:
       | Anyone else finds the "real time" attribute hilarious in the
       | context of these cosmic events ?
        
         | tekla wrote:
         | No because light-speed is the speed of causality. It is by all
         | definitions, real time
        
           | mulhoon wrote:
           | You've just blown my mind.
        
             | yesbabyyes wrote:
             | Another mind-blowing perspective is from that of a single
             | photon; since time slows when approaching _c_ , from its
             | perspective it's eternal, and, since distance shrinks when
             | approaching _c_ , from its perspective it's also
             | omnipresent.
        
               | d1sxeyes wrote:
               | Well, it's not exactly eternal, it's that time is not
               | passing for that photon. It's also (as far as I can tell)
               | only correct to say that distances shrink as speed
               | increases when you're talking about massive objects. A
               | photon would not experience space contraction in any
               | meaningful way.
        
           | EncomLab wrote:
           | You are conflating reference frames - it determines causality
           | in your local reference frame but not in any other reference
           | frame. The concept of "real time" - like all time - is
           | entirely relative to the reference frame you are using.
        
             | wruza wrote:
             | Correct, there's no global timeline, so it's not clear what
             | "just" 300M years ago even means. Some RFs seen it already,
             | and some will never see it. But in ours it happened in Jun
             | 2024. It's 300M light years away, not ago.
        
               | mfranc42 wrote:
               | But there is a global timeline. The age of the universe
               | itself. It happened when the universe was roughly 300M
               | years younger. Somebody might say the universe was
               | created a year ago if they traveled through it extremely
               | close to the speed of light. But we know how fast we
               | travel by measuring redshift/blueshift of the cosmic
               | microwave background and it's definitely far from any
               | relativistic speed. There must be some effect of gravity,
               | but that is also within a rounding error. So, I'd say we
               | are much closer to the "truth" than somebody who travels
               | through the universe a few percent of the speed of light
               | or "lives" right next to the supermassive black hole.
               | Whether something we will never see exists or happens is
               | a philosophical question akin to "if a tree falls in the
               | forest..."
        
         | BearOso wrote:
         | At the center of the black hole, time has relatively stopped
         | with respect to us. So, yes.
        
         | onetimeuse92304 wrote:
         | It is not hilarious, it is actually the correct use of the
         | term.
         | 
         | Otherwise, you would have to contend with the fact that "real
         | time" does not exist at all, as information about any event has
         | to necessarily take time to travel to reach you.
         | 
         | So no "real time" coverage of anything -- the information
         | always takes time to travel the distance.
         | 
         | What is not a correct understanding of how time works is
         | claiming that it happened some thousands of years ago. No, from
         | our reference frame it happened now. It is meaningless to say
         | that it happened thousands of years ago because it happened
         | thousands of years ago in some other, arbitrary reference
         | frame.
        
           | yoav wrote:
           | You're using reference frames incorrectly.
           | 
           | It didn't happen in real time, but they did observe in it
           | real time.
           | 
           | One is a measurement of the event and one is a measurement of
           | when the photons reached us.
        
             | baq wrote:
             | we saw it happening in real time from here. does it even
             | matter here that elsewhere sees it at a different time?
        
             | anyonecancode wrote:
             | This is why any faster-than-light travel must either be
             | impossible or mean that that traveling backwards in time is
             | possible.
             | 
             | I point my telescope at a planet four light years away (I
             | have super advanced telescope that can see these details),
             | and use a worm-hole or other plot device to teleport
             | instantly to that spot. Where do I arrive -- at what I
             | observed, or at some point in empty space because I've just
             | arrived at where that planet was four years ago?
             | 
             | If the former, I must somehow have traveled back in time by
             | four years to arrive at the spot I had observed.
             | 
             | If the latter, I suppose we could instead say our
             | destination is where we calculate the planet will be four
             | years from now. Except that my travel time was
             | instantaneous, so again either I've arrived too early and
             | need to wait around for four years, or I jumped 4 years
             | into the future (at which point that's not really FTL
             | travel, just kind of stepping outside of time into some
             | nether state for four years).
        
         | bamboozled wrote:
         | Yeah, it's old news.
        
         | insane_dreamer wrote:
         | "as it unfolded" would be more accurate than "real time"
         | 
         | Technically, one can argue that "real time" is relative to the
         | time frame in which we observe something, but that's not how we
         | generally use "real time", but rather we use it to define an
         | event that is observed at the same moment (or very close to)
         | the moment in which it occurs, such as a match broadcast live
         | on TV (though there is some delay).
        
         | wruza wrote:
         | We say that it happened in the past, using our wall clock
         | ideas. But you can't rush there and look back to "see
         | dinosaurs", so it's at least as correct to say that it happens
         | in real time. This is an event, registering _now_ in _our_
         | reference frame. Nothing else provided.
        
       | nashashmi wrote:
       | shower thoughts:
       | 
       | Galaxies of stars are like people traveling through the cosmos
       | together in one group.
       | 
       | Elliptical galaxies have a direction of travel, that is why they
       | are elliptical.
       | 
       | A galaxy gets it first massive supernova, and a black hole is
       | formed, and it becomes a spiral galaxy, kind of like when a
       | seismic social event happens and everyone gets in line.
        
         | spacecadet wrote:
         | shower thoughts:
         | 
         | - bubbles in water act like black holes
         | 
         | - the universe itself may only be a bubble among many
         | 
         | - the multiverse looks like foam
        
         | danparsonson wrote:
         | You might enjoy this if you haven't already seen it:
         | https://youtu.be/71eUes30gwc - TL;DW black hole density
         | decreases with increasing radius, and the average density of
         | the observable Universe is potentially greater than that of an
         | equivalent-sized black hole, so maybe the whole Universe is
         | inside one...
        
         | gus_massa wrote:
         | No.
         | 
         | I tried looking for more details in
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Galaxy#Types_and_morphology but
         | my conclussion is that it is a complicated topic.
        
       | ycombinatorics wrote:
       | old news, happened already 300million years ago
        
       | gigatexal wrote:
       | Ahh so we saw the Simulators turn on a black hole in their
       | Universe Simulator of which we are NPCs. ;-)
       | 
       | In all actuality this is really really cool.
        
         | ck2 wrote:
         | https://crowdmade.com/cdn/shop/files/Dev_Are_Watching_Shirt_...
         | 
         | ( https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v-aP1J-BdvE )
         | 
         | ( alt https://www.pbs.org/video/what-if-physics-is-not-
         | describing-... )
        
           | gigatexal wrote:
           | I'm curious if the downvote was calling us all NPCs or the
           | entire joke being not funny. I know we all try to be serious
           | and contribute to the conversation here but come on it's
           | funny, no?!
        
             | spacecadet wrote:
             | Hacker news man, least funny place on the internet.
             | Incoming down votes.
        
       | _joel wrote:
       | https://www.eso.org/public/unitedkingdom/news/eso2409/?lang for
       | British English users, sent me to the German page
        
       | ajuc wrote:
       | So if I understand correctly the black hole was there already,
       | doing nothing, and then some matter was passing near it and
       | started falling inside, releasing the surplus energy as radiation
       | in the proccess?
        
         | m463 wrote:
         | I've always wondered what happens if two black holes run into
         | each other? Can previously trapped matter somehow escape?
        
           | ajuc wrote:
           | The only way anything "escapes" from black holes is Hawking
           | Radiation - virtual pairs of particles that appear and
           | disappear constantly - can be split when they happen on event
           | horizon - and that slowly drains the energy from black hole.
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hawking_radiation
           | 
           | If 2 black holes collide - they join together.
        
             | umvi wrote:
             | > If 2 black holes collide - they join together.
             | 
             | Presumably though some of the matter "escapes" as energy
             | released during the merger, in the form of gravitational
             | waves.
        
               | ArnoVW wrote:
               | Yes. If memory serves this is the first event that LIGO
               | detected. Two black holes of 20-30 solar masses each,
               | joining and releasing 1-2 solar masses worth of gravity.
               | 
               | Which resulted in the earth (and space) being stretched
               | by less than a fraction of a proton.
               | 
               | And we measured it...
        
               | okanat wrote:
               | Interferometers are just magical in their accuracy.
        
               | nomel wrote:
               | Merging black holes release more energy than anything
               | else in the universe: https://bigthink.com/starts-with-a-
               | bang/merging-supermassive...
        
       | newobj wrote:
       | What are the odds of being alive and having the technology in
       | place to witness any galactic event, on the galactic timescale?
       | That's just so wild to me.
        
         | saagarjha wrote:
         | Well, the galaxy being big helps ;)
        
       ___________________________________________________________________
       (page generated 2024-06-19 23:00 UTC)