[HN Gopher] The aging U.S. power grid is about to get a jolt
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       The aging U.S. power grid is about to get a jolt
        
       Author : sandwichukulele
       Score  : 65 points
       Date   : 2024-06-07 20:01 UTC (2 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.wsj.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.wsj.com)
        
       | neonate wrote:
       | https://archive.ph/sXWU3
        
       | tedunangst wrote:
       | > When the wind blows, for example, power lines are cooler,
       | allowing for more capacity.
       | 
       | Okay, but what do you do when the wind isn't blowing? How do you
       | get people to only charge their cars when it's windy?
        
         | ViewTrick1002 wrote:
         | Solar anti correlates with wind. Then the typical:
         | 
         | - Large grid to decouple weather patterns
         | 
         | - Demand response
         | 
         | - Storage
         | 
         | People already get on hourly contracts and schedule car
         | charging for when it is cheap. The next step is automating it
         | and making it more streamlined.
         | 
         | Some companies already support chargers which integrate with
         | the pricing, they can even give you money back through demand
         | response.
         | 
         | https://support.tibber.com/en/articles/5597987-smart-chargin...
        
         | recursive wrote:
         | > How do you get people to only charge their cars when it's
         | windy?
         | 
         | Market prices and "smart" chargers
        
         | solarpunk wrote:
         | V2G solved this yeah: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vehicle-
         | to-grid
        
           | dangrossman wrote:
           | Maybe it will some day. I have two electric cars in my garage
           | sitting idle most of the day and night. I have no way to
           | connect them to the grid in a bidirectional manner. There is
           | nothing a local electrician can order and install for me that
           | will allow it. If I had a Ford Lightning truck, they could
           | get me a proprietary Ford Charge Station Pro (which doesn't
           | use ISO 15118-2), that's about it.
        
           | pyrale wrote:
           | This article is about power transit, not about fixing
           | production peaks. V2G is not a solution here.
        
         | pyrale wrote:
         | You don't, but you can schedule work on nearby lines at this
         | time for instance.
        
         | hagbard_c wrote:
         | The solution seems obvious in the use of wind turbines: when
         | the wind blows there is power, the lines are cooled and the
         | cars charged. No wind, no power, no need for cooling.
         | 
         | Am I missing something? A <sarcasm> tag maybe?
         | 
         | On a more serious note on how to get people to change their
         | electricity use there is a real solution in flexible (hourly)
         | pricing. This is what we have where I live - Sweden - and it
         | can be a way to lower electricity bills quite a bit [1] by
         | moving power hogs like water heaters, tumble driers and car
         | chargers to the lowest-priced times of day. If you have solar
         | panels and a contract which enables you to sell excess power at
         | market rates (like we do) you can decide to feed their output
         | into the net when prices are at their peak - usually around
         | noon and somewhere between 17.00 and 21.00 (when it is still
         | quite light in much of Sweden given that we straddle the polar
         | circle) - while using most of it for power hogs off-peak.
         | 
         | [1] on the assumption that flexible pricing is controlled by
         | supply and demand, not by some policy-enforcing surcharge.
         | Electricity prices need to be able to go lower as well as
         | higher than 'normal', not just normal or higher.
        
       | pyrale wrote:
       | These 'grid enhancing technologies' look like cheap fixes that
       | can only buy some time before real work is needed. Sure, with
       | better monitoring and some overload management systems you may
       | work closer to some limits, but that's not a solution for long-
       | term usage increases.
       | 
       | Where I work, they are used a lot to adjust for renewables power
       | surges, not to increase transit.
       | 
       | The bit about automaticaly shifting power to other lines in a
       | strained network is interesting, but I wonder how much security
       | analysis is run to make sure it's safe (or if it's just an
       | automation system working within bounds the operator deemed
       | safe).
        
         | neltnerb wrote:
         | Is this not just the same question as for decades?
         | 
         | Which is cheaper, a peaker plant after the transmission line
         | hitting peak capacity, or increased transmission line capacity
         | for a small percentage of the time?
         | 
         | Now it's just battery storage instead of natural gas peaker
         | plants. You can still smooth out the transmission line capacity
         | with downstream storage.
         | 
         | Or have we already done that to the max with peaker plants and
         | now transmission lines are running at their capacity 90% of the
         | time? I haven't read the numbers in a while, it used to be
         | really bad!
        
           | pyrale wrote:
           | Here is the thing: planning a grid is always done with cost
           | in mind, we do not build golden pylons for the sake of it.
           | 
           | But on the other hand, reasonable grid planning is done a
           | decade ahead, more for some equipment. Money spent in a hurry
           | is likely to be wasted in that business.
           | 
           | Storage to optimize grid (not production) cost is neither
           | efficient nor resilient as far as I know.
           | 
           | Also having a peaker plant solves production peaks, not
           | transmission limits. And nobody builds a second peaker at the
           | other end of a line to save on grid costs. Redispatching is a
           | thing, but it is a small optimization, not a solution to an
           | underdeveloped grid.
        
             | neltnerb wrote:
             | Yeah, although distributed power generation is an actual
             | solution to reduce transmission loads, I agree that it's
             | too soon. It is very complicated (but I think doable!), but
             | even then probably takes too much space for populated
             | areas.
             | 
             | I like the idea of knowing if a transmission line is hot
             | enough to start a fire, but that isn't a substitute for new
             | transmission capacity from remote PV farms or just to be
             | more resilient.
        
         | ordu wrote:
         | The article says they are buying the time. New lines are slow
         | to build, so while they are being built, it is possible to
         | squeeze more from the existing lines.
        
           | pyrale wrote:
           | I get it, I'm just baffled with the hint the article gives
           | that the stuff needed now wasn't planned 10 years ago. I
           | guess this is yet another "US infrastructure disaster"
           | article, but with a positive outlook.
        
             | bobthepanda wrote:
             | this is talking about grant awards that are happening in
             | the current year, so it's not like they were planned 10
             | years ago.
             | 
             | hindsight is 20/20 but some things like the growth of data
             | centers was probably not predicted, particularly their
             | location. As a general example, Ireland had to put a
             | moratorium on new data centers until 2028.
             | https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/feb/15/power-grab-
             | hid...
        
           | BurningFrog wrote:
           | They're not being built though. Not at nearly the rate
           | needed.
           | 
           | https://www.canarymedia.com/articles/transmission/the-us-
           | is-...
        
             | JumpCrisscross wrote:
             | > _not being built though. Not at nearly the rate needed_
             | 
             | ...according to "consultancy Grid Strategies and
             | commissioned by trade group Americans for a Clean Energy
             | Grid (ACEG)." This is like the civil-engineering society
             | perennially failing our civil-engineering spending.
        
         | rgmerk wrote:
         | Sure, I get there's only so much that get squeezed out of
         | existing lines without any physical infrastructure changes.
         | 
         | But reconductoring seems like it buys you _a lot_ of extra
         | capacity over the existing physical right of way, and if you
         | use advanced conductors you don't even have to replace the
         | towers if they're in good condition. Yes, you have to replace a
         | lot of equipment at substations, but my understanding is that
         | while there is a shortage of some of this physical equipment,
         | getting permits for new transmission lines is a far harder
         | problem.
        
       | datadrivenangel wrote:
       | Another big thing is streamlining regional abilities to
       | accelerate permitting for replacing old transmission line
       | conductors.
       | 
       | Modern conductors can transmit significantly more energy by
       | better conductor design, so replacing ancient conductors is a
       | relatively cheap way to increase transmission capacity while also
       | reducing line sag which makes the transmission lines safer.
        
       | wcoenen wrote:
       | Summary: utilities will use dynamic rating and other tricks to
       | squeeze a bit more performance out of existing lines.
       | 
       | (Transmission lines have losses, these heat up the wires. If they
       | get too hot, they droop too much. So they have a maximum power
       | rating. Dynamic rating takes weather effects into account to vary
       | that maximum.)
       | 
       | Meanwhile in China: thousands of km long megavolt UHVDC
       | transmission lines. https://www.hitachienergy.com/about-
       | us/customer-success-stor...
        
         | jorblumesea wrote:
         | The US has numerous HVDC lines and the market is set to grow in
         | the next 5 years. It could improve and be better of course.
         | Renewables will probably force more adoption.
         | 
         | https://www.mordorintelligence.com/industry-reports/united-s...
        
         | mnw21cam wrote:
         | So basically, next time there's a heatwave and everyone cranks
         | up their aircon, the system will still collapse.
        
         | lkbm wrote:
         | I was intrigued by one of the other ways--"high-performance
         | wires"--which they don't explain at all. I found one article[0]
         | (podcast, I guess, but with a transcript) that goes into it:
         | old wires are aluminum supported by steel. By using aluminum
         | supported with carbon fiber, you get less weight and less
         | thermal expansion, allowing for more aluminum and without it
         | sagging as much.
         | 
         | High conductivity, less transmission loss. Potentially fewer
         | towers (because you can space them out a little further),
         | offsetting the cost of the wires. Neat!
         | 
         | [0] https://www.volts.wtf/p/one-easy-way-to-boost-the-grid-
         | upgra...
        
         | xkcd-sucks wrote:
         | omg the name just sounds like "precision scheduled railroading"
        
         | luuurker wrote:
         | > Meanwhile in China
         | 
         | Outside China, companies and governments usually have to be
         | careful when making investments. They can't decide to start
         | building transmission lines/housing/fast train lines/deploy 5G
         | everywhere and spend huge amounts of money if the return is
         | small/non existent... And so usually things are only built or
         | improved when there's a demand for it.
         | 
         | China can make a 5 year plan to build UHVDC everywhere and the
         | grid operator won't go under no matter what. This has been
         | working for them so far (even though it creates some serious
         | problems) and certainly gives them an advantage, but you can't
         | do that in most places.
        
           | JumpCrisscross wrote:
           | > _has been working for them so far_
           | 
           | It works in the wake of a decimated economy. War. Natural
           | disaster. Cultural revolution. There is so much slack in the
           | system virtually anything will be put to productive use.
           | 
           | In that state, you can build a road to nowhere _and people
           | will put it to use_ , not because it's a well-placed road,
           | but because it's the only road in the vicinity.
        
       | hi-v-rocknroll wrote:
       | EDIT: Where I live, there is mostly 69 kV and 138 kV, with only a
       | few 345 kV lines. There aren't nearly enough 500 kV lines, and
       | 765 kV aren't present in the region.
       | 
       | EDIT2: Here's what a 765 kV line looks like:
       | https://maps.app.goo.gl/3fV1hFuQmpq3hVNx5
       | 
       | Map of US electric grid:
       | https://www.arcgis.com/apps/mapviewer/index.html?layers=d409...
       | 
       | Real wiring is dominated by current, resistance of the conductor,
       | and cooling.[0,1]
       | 
       | The way out is to rebuild with much high voltages and live
       | monitoring, optionally with superconducting segments like Nexans
       | where advantageous.
       | 
       | 0. Ikeda, Yoshiro and Katsuhiko Yoneta. _Temperature rise of a
       | conductor due to the electric current._ (1931).
       | http://hdl.handle.net/2115/37682
       | 
       | PDF:
       | https://eprints.lib.hokudai.ac.jp/dspace/bitstream/2115/3768...
       | 
       | 1. Riba, J.-R.; Llaurado, J. _A Model to Calculate the Current-
       | Temperature Relationship of Insulated and Jacketed Cables._
       | Materials (2022) 15,6814. https://doi.org/10.3390/ma15196814
       | 
       | PDF: https://mdpi-
       | res.com/d_attachment/materials/materials-15-068...
        
       | Efisio wrote:
       | EFF
        
       | BurningFrog wrote:
       | These are bandaids. Fine in themselves, but not addressing the
       | real problem.
       | 
       | The US really need to legalize transmission line construction!
        
         | klysm wrote:
         | As long as it's not near my back yard - America
        
       | foota wrote:
       | Is building a long high voltage line not profitable? It seems
       | like the potential for arbitrage should allow for sufficient
       | profit, but maybe not?
       | 
       | I know there's a lot of blockers, but if there's money to be made
       | I would have thought more people would have worked around them.
        
         | ntonozzi wrote:
         | It turns out homeowners with veto rights are a lot more
         | powerful than capital in the US.
        
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