[HN Gopher] Why are debut novels failing to launch?
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       Why are debut novels failing to launch?
        
       Author : Caiero
       Score  : 30 points
       Date   : 2024-06-07 19:57 UTC (3 hours ago)
        
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 (TXT) w3m dump (www.esquire.com)
        
       | jonahbenton wrote:
       | My long retired parents met and worked in publishing. The
       | continued deterioration of the industry is a source of deep
       | sadness for them. I personally however recently found my own ray
       | of hope. By chance I started reading something I really liked,
       | found it was published by a tiny house that has a subscription
       | plan- which is different from an aggregator having a book of the
       | month kind of thing- and publishes super niche unique voices,
       | mostly translations into English. Have read 6 of their books this
       | year, every single one has been just great. Think the breakdown
       | of the big house and homogeneity of the star model leaves space
       | for new shoots to find their audience.
        
         | rudyfink wrote:
         | What you said reminded me of this Royal Road
         | (https://www.royalroad.com/home) website I came across. It is
         | not physical publishing (at least I don't think so), but it is
         | a large collection of different authors who release books /
         | work incrementally. The work mainly seems to be fiction of
         | different varieties.
        
           | davisp wrote:
           | Royal Road is a place for a lot of folks to get audiences
           | seeded before they inevitably move on to some combination of
           | Patreon, Amazon Kindle Unlimited, and Audible.
           | 
           | One very notable example of this is Dungeon Crawler Carl by
           | Matt Dinniman. He's even just announced that he managed to
           | sell publishing only rights to Ace for large scale
           | distribution which to my knowledge is a first (from authors
           | that started on Royal Road).
           | 
           | https://x.com/mattdinniman/status/1780998536529883622
           | 
           | Also, I'd highly recommend reading Dungeon Crawler Carl if
           | you enjoy anything close to Douglas Adams-esque comedic sci-
           | fi. Its definitely trends a lot more "adult" than Douglas
           | Adams, but that's about as close as I can think of off the
           | top of my head for comparison. And I'd very much recommend
           | the Audible versions narrated by Jeff Hayes for anyone that
           | does audio books. The Sound Booth Theater production is also
           | good but I'd only recommend that if you're doing a re-listen.
        
         | carabiner wrote:
         | Naturally, you mustn't mention the name in order to keep it
         | exclusive.
        
           | jonahbenton wrote:
           | The publisher is And Other Stories, UK based.
           | 
           | Not a pitch. Just my experience.
        
         | satvikpendem wrote:
         | What are the names of these books?
        
           | jonahbenton wrote:
           | Mammoth, Inland, Down The Rabbit Hole, Open Door, Zbinden's
           | Progress, The Luminous Novel, I Don't Expect Anyone To
           | Believe Me. Actually that is 7. All very different, but
           | arresting.
           | 
           | Purity, All Dogs Are Blue, and Lightning Rods are next up for
           | me, not sure which one will grab me, probably Purity.
        
       | boznz wrote:
       | Spent several years writing and editing my first book before
       | thinking the job was finished when I hit the publish now button.
       | But it is literally only half the job done.
       | 
       | The hell now is unless you get friends and family or an agency
       | involved to push it and market it it will languish on the 500th
       | page of any Amazon search forever. Oh and did I say that there
       | are thousands of books a day released and there is nowhere you
       | can self-promote stuff if you do not have social media, HN and
       | reddit will also immediately block self-promotion even if
       | relevant to the audience (I guess I can understand why). I guess
       | the only ones destined to read it are the AI training algorithms.
       | 
       | Still it wont stop me writing, having a book published, even if
       | nobody reads it is very self-satisfying and leaves something of
       | you in this world when you are gone.
        
         | pavlov wrote:
         | Ten years ago I wrote a science fiction novel in Finnish,
         | printed 300 hardcover copies at my own expense, and gave them
         | away to people over the years. I would guess less than 10% of
         | those copies have actually been read. (A few people claim they
         | liked it, but of course that doesn't necessarily mean they read
         | it.)
         | 
         | So, a waste of time and money? That's not how I feel about it
         | at all. The creative process was illuminating. And as you say,
         | it's satisfying to think that there's now a physical artifact
         | of my mind that's longer and deeper than any other work I've
         | produced, and it will probably stay for a while on somebody's
         | bookshelf after I'm gone.
        
         | ghaff wrote:
         | So it's either a hobby--which is fine!--or it's an adjunct to a
         | day job which can be very profitable--which is very fine!.
         | 
         | But, yes, publishing a book that you think will be a bestseller
         | with or without exceptional promotion is probably a lost hope.
        
         | xhevahir wrote:
         | > I guess the only ones destined to read it are the AI training
         | algorithms.
         | 
         | I'm imagining a lone genius toiling away at a novel and dying
         | in obscurity, with his work gaining recognition only after his
         | death, a la Herman Melville, except in this future the writing
         | eventually enters the canon by deeply impressing not human but
         | machine readers.
        
           | troutwine wrote:
           | Melville was a prominent author, an early sex symbol even,
           | owing to the success and popularity of his novels before Moby
           | Dick. That novel was hugely controversial in its day --
           | perceived as blasphemous, overwrought -- and it ruined his
           | reputation as an author. Also, he'd spent money he didn't
           | really have during the writing of Moby Dick so that when it
           | flopped he couldn't survive on the famine part of the
           | feast/famine divide.
           | 
           | Point being, had Melville continued writing south pacific
           | adventure novels he probably would not be remembered today
           | but might have died a well-off man.
        
         | devbent wrote:
         | > HN and reddit will also immediately block self-promotion even
         | if relevant to the audience (
         | 
         | HN doesn't block self promotion if it comes up as part of a
         | conversation, e.g. "I'm having this technical problem." Re: "I
         | wrote a book about how to solve that!"
         | 
         | Also you can at least put a link in your profile!
         | 
         | Reddit has tons of self promos all the time, it just depends on
         | the subreddit. Also it helps if you're a long time active
         | member in a community.
        
           | modeless wrote:
           | HN doesn't block self promotion in stories either. There's a
           | whole section for it, "Show HN".
        
         | er4hn wrote:
         | I agree on it being self satisfying. I wrote a short story on
         | my blog once that I seriously doubt anyone ever read. It was a
         | cyberpunk story, but the themes were really very much about how
         | I felt about having my startup crash and burn early on. After
         | finishing it I felt like I'd finally been able to express how I
         | felt about everything.
        
         | jimbokun wrote:
         | I don't understand why Hacker News and Reddit block self
         | promotion.
         | 
         | "Hey, look at a thing I made!" is a lot more interesting than a
         | lot of the other drivel that gets posted.
        
           | modeless wrote:
           | Hacker News doesn't block self promotion. You are free to
           | post your own stories linking to your own work, I've done it,
           | people do it all the time. There's a whole section for it,
           | 'Show HN' (although it's not required to post there). And
           | you're free to post links to your work in comments when
           | relevant.
           | 
           | Of course spam is unwelcome everywhere. Don't overdo it and
           | don't be deceptive about it, and you'll be fine.
        
           | PheonixPharts wrote:
           | As mentioned repeatedly, HN doesn't block self-promotion.
           | 
           | But reddit something else entirely. It so clear that all of
           | the major subs are constantly being manipulated by firms
           | working PR for large companies, but the second someone posts
           | "I made this!" people get up-in-arms.
           | 
           | Of course who really knows how much of reddit is even real
           | people anymore.
        
         | laurex wrote:
         | Isn't "Show HN" a thing that exists for self-promotion? It
         | doesn't guarantee anyone will upvote it, but seems like it's
         | fine?
        
       | pfdietz wrote:
       | Because there are way too many books being written.
        
         | surfingdino wrote:
         | "Everyone has a book inside them, which is exactly where it
         | should, I think, in most cases, remain." -- Christopher
         | Hitchens
        
           | UniverseHacker wrote:
           | I find that to be an awful attitude... self-absorbed people
           | with nothing interesting to write about will assume it
           | doesn't apply to them because they are so interesting, and
           | people not so sure of themselves but having an actual unusual
           | idea or story they are passionate about, could easily be
           | discouraged from sharing something valuable.
           | 
           | I say, if you have something to say that fits well in a book,
           | write it. Let other people decide if it is worth reading or
           | not. A lot of the best books ever written were kept private,
           | or were not well received at first.
        
       | japhib wrote:
       | Seems like almost every creative industry (music, video games,
       | art, writing) is having the same issue: Creation & publication
       | tools are getting cheaper & easier to use, which means a lot more
       | people can publish their creative ideas. With such a huge number
       | of choices, discovery is now the issue.
       | 
       | IMO discovery of what is truly high quality is still an unsolved
       | problem. Seems like recommendation systems generally just
       | recommend things that are already popular. For someone that has
       | zero following, but an interesting creative product, there's not
       | much they can do. You're kind of relying on either "going viral"
       | or hoping that someone with a lot of followers takes notice of
       | your work and draws other people in.
        
         | namaria wrote:
         | Time is a great filter. That's why it's commonplace to complain
         | about 'art these days' and to be nostalgic about past books and
         | music.
         | 
         | Some of the greatest, most interesting books I've ever read are
         | thousands of years old.
        
         | spondylosaurus wrote:
         | Trusted (human) reviewers and critics are more important than
         | ever to me. Like you said, lists of whatever's popular or
         | trending are just... things that are trending. For good reasons
         | or otherwise.
         | 
         | Meanwhile if I read a Richard Brody review I get a sense of
         | whether a movie might be worth watching--even though we don't
         | have identical taste, I've learned a lot about his, and now I
         | know how his taste translates into reviews. Curation is totally
         | the name of the game now.
        
         | photonthug wrote:
         | > With such a huge number of choices, discovery is now the
         | issue.
         | 
         | It's frustrating if people don't see that this is almost always
         | a _manufactured_ problem, not some an inevitable outcome of
         | simply having more choices. Platforms want to disable the
         | ability for users to differentiate between organic, self-
         | directed discovery vs advertised or promoted content.
         | 
         | Discovery needs to be just good enough so that users won't
         | leave, and if there's no alternatives in a space, even that
         | doesn't matter. Having poor discoverability directly increases
         | engagement and nevermind that engagement is high because doing
         | simple things is painful, the take-away for your stock-price
         | here will just be that you're explicitly _user hostile_ and no
         | one leaves, so you must have a captive audience.
         | 
         | Every notice how when you're looking for something obscure, you
         | can only find something popular, and when you're looking for
         | something popular, you can only find something obscure? It's
         | not random, it's just the platform working out what profits the
         | company the most.
         | 
         | In the case of streaming content for platforms like
         | spotify/amazon prime, some content is cheaper for them to
         | offer. The perfect user is someone who wants low-royalty or
         | completely unencumbered content, because it's cheaper for the
         | platform to license, but the end-user sees the same number of
         | ads for the same length of time. The average user is also
         | someone who can be _tricked_ into being a perfect customer.
         | Suppose the user is searching for RoboCop, and it is missing
         | from the catalog. Terminator _might_ be a better recc, but why
         | not just offer the user some shitty CyborgCopIII instead, just
         | to cut your costs and bump your profits, just in case the user
         | is a sucker? If the user is not a sucker.. great, they 'll type
         | more searches, engagement is up, and platforms win either way.
         | 
         | Think about how much more data FAANG has than say, GoodReads.
         | GoodReads is small enough that people just rank stuff and it
         | works fine, and people curate lists, and you find what you like
         | that way. It's not working because GoodReads has AI super-
         | powers, it's working because they don't sabotage it _away_ from
         | working.
        
           | StrangeDoctor wrote:
           | Goodreads is faang?
           | 
           | The problem is manufactured or conspiratorial, it's just
           | baked into sorting so much content on so few metrics.
        
       | surfingdino wrote:
       | The market is dominated by large publishers. They do not need to
       | compete, they have already won. At the same time, they don't want
       | to loose the marketshare, which makes them less likely to bet on
       | an unknown author.
        
       | johnea wrote:
       | Even though I still retain an entire bookcase of novels (mostly
       | sci fi) from my youth, I now find fiction to be, well... boring.
       | 
       | Personally I'd rather read about something that actually
       | exists...
        
         | pfdietz wrote:
         | How do you feel about history?
        
       | medion wrote:
       | Publishers only want to publish authors with large social
       | followings. The first question they ask is a list of your
       | socials.
        
       | SamoyedFurFluff wrote:
       | There is a great podcast called the publishing rodeo where they
       | talk about this. One of their episodes covered a minimum viable
       | threshold where if there isn't enough marketing points (a viral
       | tweet, a lot of followers, marketing money, etc) there is no way
       | for a book to succeed regardless of quality.
        
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