[HN Gopher] The warring conmen at the heart of a EUR5B carbon tr...
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       The warring conmen at the heart of a EUR5B carbon trading scam
        
       Author : elorant
       Score  : 38 points
       Date   : 2024-06-04 17:59 UTC (5 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.theguardian.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.theguardian.com)
        
       | asdff wrote:
       | I think the fundamental issue with things like carbon credits, is
       | that we are asking an industry that knowingly got us into this
       | mess in bad faith to suddenly act in good faith to get us out of
       | this mess. It almost feels like giving tax credits to the mafia
       | for helping an old lady across the street.
        
         | neaden wrote:
         | It also incentives for hostage taking like behavior. "Oh wow
         | sure is a nice forest I own, it would be a shame if I cut it
         | down if only someone would pay me to keep it."
        
           | asdff wrote:
           | Not to mention, sometimes estimates for how much carbon a
           | given credit producing entity captures are way off. Sometimes
           | maliciously poorly estimated I am sure. There's also no doubt
           | enforcement and oversight mechanisms are insufficient by
           | design.
        
           | Scoundreller wrote:
           | And to keep your coal/cement/refinery/whatever plant
           | operating as long as you can until you get a huge cheque to
           | stop.
           | 
           | And if/when carbon credits become a thing, you know that
           | nobody else can just start up as freely as you did and
           | compete with you. You got there first so you're special!
        
           | lupusreal wrote:
           | The carbon credits based on counterfactuals (e.g. how many
           | trees on this forest _would have been_ cut down in some
           | alternate universe) are true insanity. Impossible to verify
           | by their very nature, and the schemes to estimate their
           | truthfulness (measuring deforestation of neighboring forests)
           | are easy to game. For instance the owner of a forest that
           | wouldn 't have been deforested anyway can claim he would
           | have, then pay locals a smaller reward to ruin neighboring
           | forests to "verify" the legitimacy of his claim.
        
         | Hermel wrote:
         | No, the fundamental issue with carbon credits is its economics.
         | It would be much healthier to set a fixed price for carbon
         | emissions. This price should be based on the externalities
         | caused by the emissions. In the worst case, the price is the
         | cost of extracting the CO2 from the atmosphere again. Such a
         | fixed price, a carbon tax, would help the industry because it
         | would make production costs more predictable, and it would be
         | much more fair than carbon credits assigned to those firms that
         | hire the best lobbyists. When fixing the emission quantity
         | instead of its price, the price of carbon credits tend to
         | either go to 0 (if there are too many) or infinity (if there
         | are not enough) at the end of a credit period, which is total
         | nonsense. However, for politicians, carbon credits are much
         | more attractive because being able to distribute them gives
         | them power.
        
       | Timothee wrote:
       | This story is told in the Netflix documentary "Lords of Scam".
       | 
       | There's also the fiction-based-on-a-true-story French movie
       | Carbon from 2017.
        
       | yieldcrv wrote:
       | this is just the tip of the iceberg in carbon credit folly
       | 
       | there is no unified carbon credit, they are issued just like
       | cryptocurrencies, with 'accrediting organizations' based on
       | nothing. very lucrative, same sentiment pumping them. amusing
       | goal of selling them to a polluter in 2030.
        
         | immibis wrote:
         | This gives me an idea: Carbon credit crypto currency. You know
         | it's good because it's alliterative. Also, no cryptocurrency
         | ever turned out to be a scam.
        
       | Sabinus wrote:
       | Carbon trading is never going to work. Carbon tax now.
        
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       (page generated 2024-06-04 23:02 UTC)