[HN Gopher] Recently increased prevalence of human forearm media...
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       Recently increased prevalence of human forearm median artery:
       Microevolution
        
       Author : bookofjoe
       Score  : 36 points
       Date   : 2024-05-25 22:52 UTC (2 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (onlinelibrary.wiley.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (onlinelibrary.wiley.com)
        
       | leblancfg wrote:
       | I read the following:
       | 
       | > The focus of this study was not to analyse the prevalence of
       | the occurrence of the median artery in relation to ethnicity,
       | geographic origin or variations by sex, but to identify the
       | global trends in its occurrence.
       | 
       | and thought "well that explains the astronomical precision of the
       | p-value, they didn't take ethnicity into account!". You would
       | expect to see variation prevalence vary by ethnicity, no big news
       | here.
       | 
       | But no! Thinking about it more, that's exactly what is says on
       | the tin: global ethnic populations changed in the last ~140
       | years, and with it, the prevalence of generic variations. Makes
       | perfect sense -\\_(tsu)_/-
       | 
       | edit: I mean... assuming the causal link ofc. I'm assuming this
       | makes more sense than some kind of evolutionary pressure that is
       | selecting for forearm median arteries.
        
         | akdor1154 wrote:
         | Simpson's paradox...
        
         | penteract wrote:
         | From section 4:
         | 
         | > The present study used an Australian sample of European
         | origin. These results were comparable to those reported in
         | black South Africans, their white counterparts and Malaysians
         | of similar birth years; all these groups had a prevalence of
         | approximately 30%
        
         | aredox wrote:
         | We need to retire the idea that evolution has a goal, or that
         | evolutionary pressure explains everything. There are tons of
         | things in the human body that are very suboptimal or are purely
         | accidental, from the tons of "junk" DNA, our difficult
         | birthing, the appendicitis, wisdom teeth, the way our knees
         | fold, differences in earwax, etc, etc.
         | 
         | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_vestigiality
         | 
         | https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/no-humans-have-no...
         | 
         | "Evolution" is just a (fairly tautological when you think about
         | it) observation that "traits that manage to get passed on,
         | subsist". It weeds out very bad traits, but the rest? It's just
         | a giant lottery, not a great design with a teleological goal of
         | "improving".
         | 
         | (And the human species has been short-lived so far, and may
         | wipe out themselves without the "help" of a meteorite. In the
         | same vein, cockroaches could be argued to be the pinnacle of
         | evolution.)
        
           | IshKebab wrote:
           | Evolution does have a goal - spreading genes. Of course when
           | we say "it has a goal" that doesn't mean it intelligently
           | plans how to get there. Nobody* thinks that.
           | 
           | I think what you probably meant to say is that evolution
           | isn't a perfect optimiser.
        
           | philwelch wrote:
           | > There are tons of things in the human body that are very
           | suboptimal or are purely accidental, from the tons of "junk"
           | DNA, our difficult birthing, the appendicitis, wisdom teeth,
           | the way our knees fold, differences in earwax, etc, etc.
           | 
           | Right, but evolution also can explain those; many of these
           | are tradeoffs for things that do deliver benefits. Difficult,
           | premature births are the cost of big brains, for instance.
           | 
           | > "Evolution" is just a (fairly tautological when you think
           | about it) observation that "traits that manage to get passed
           | on, subsist". It weeds out very bad traits, but the rest?
           | It's just a giant lottery, not a great design with a
           | teleological goal of "improving".
           | 
           | The tautological explanation is extremely powerful, because
           | it means even a small variation that delivers a marginal but
           | consistent advantage is going to be selected for. For
           | instance, a person with dark skin can survive in Northern
           | Europe, and a person with light skin can survive in sub-
           | Saharan Africa, but the ideal skin tones for those regions
           | that optimally trade off vitamin D production with protection
           | against skin damage from the sun are probably pretty close to
           | the ones typical to their indigenous populations.
           | 
           | The actual catch is that there's a lot of path dependence and
           | all changes are stepwise. You can't just install a new trait
           | or body part that's been designed from scratch; it has to
           | evolve from an earlier, similar thing. If you look at the
           | bones of your hand, the bones of a bat's wing, and the bones
           | of the front paw of a dog, the bone structure is basically
           | the same; it's just by changing the proportions that you can
           | get the structure of a flapping wing, a front foot, or a hand
           | with an opposable thumb.
        
       | ano-ther wrote:
       | Are we seeing
       | 
       | 1 A random mutation that is "testing the waters" if this brings
       | some evolutionary benefits?
       | 
       | 2 A mutation that already provides a benefit? (Which one would
       | that be?)
       | 
       | 3 A mutation that is neutral and is neither beneficial nor
       | detrimental?
        
       | FrustratedMonky wrote:
       | What is the environmental pressure? Just a mutation by itself
       | doesn't spread, there should be some advantage? Shouldn't there?
        
         | napoleongl wrote:
         | It's enough that there is no decrease in the success of the
         | offspring really. They don't have to be more successful, just
         | not less.
        
           | bhickey wrote:
           | Under Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium we wouldn't expect a trait
           | to go from 0.1 to 0.3 in a large population in four
           | generations. This suggests that the trait is subject to
           | selective pressure.
           | 
           | There are a lot of potential causes. In my estimation the two
           | most likely causes--
           | 
           | First, hitchhiking. The mutation could be near some other
           | beneficial mutation. The closer genes together on a
           | chromosome the less frequently they'll be separated by
           | crossing over events.
           | 
           | Second, it could have some other, presently unobserved
           | cardiac effect that reduces infant or maternal mortality.
        
             | FrustratedMonky wrote:
             | My joke pet theory is that it helps with mouse control on
             | PC's.
             | 
             | We are living our whole life at a desk, it is providing
             | extra endurance for clicking.
        
       | mometsi wrote:
       | Better-nourished mothers => chonk fetuses => thicker forearms =>
       | increased utilization of arterial supply in the immediate
       | environment of the the fetal median artery => median artery is
       | less likely to atrophy during a critical period of gestation.
       | 
       | No genetic mutations necessary.
        
       | owenversteeg wrote:
       | >Analysis of the literature showed that the presence of the
       | median artery has been significantly increasing (p = .001) over
       | time, from approximately 10% in people born in the mid-1880s to
       | approximately 30% by the end of the 20th century.
       | 
       | That is incredibly fast! That's three generations and change,
       | which I find suspicious... if it indeed is progressing at that
       | rate then I would be quite shocked to learn that the cause is
       | purely genetic.
       | 
       | As another comment noted, "It's enough that there is no decrease
       | in the success of the offspring really. They don't have to be
       | more successful, just not less" - except for the prevalence to
       | change that rapidly is very unusual. In the famous story of the
       | peppered moths, the first black moth was collected 1811, they
       | were about 50/50 in 1864, and they were at 98% in 1895. It took
       | until 2003 for the melanic phenotype to fall to around 10%. A
       | peppered moth generation is one year, versus a human's twenty-
       | seven, and the reproductive pressure was massive (a white moth on
       | black trees can't hide and is easily eaten by birds; I can't
       | imagine anything similar for humans.)
       | 
       | Also quite interesting for the HN audience: >persistent median
       | artery has been suggested to cause pain in carpal tunnel syndrome
       | (Barfred et al., 1985; Lisanti et al., 1995)
        
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       (page generated 2024-05-27 23:00 UTC)