[HN Gopher] How to enhance generative AI's problem-solving capab...
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       How to enhance generative AI's problem-solving capabilities, boost
       productivity
        
       Author : monkeydust
       Score  : 32 points
       Date   : 2024-05-26 17:15 UTC (5 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (blogs.lse.ac.uk)
 (TXT) w3m dump (blogs.lse.ac.uk)
        
       | smarm52 wrote:
       | A nice summary of an idea similar to Multi-Agent Systems.
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multi-agent_system
        
       | NicoJuicy wrote:
       | These things will have the same flaw as no-code tools.
       | 
       | No one is going to remember how the system works and all those
       | prompt engineers are going to find out that programming languages
       | are well documented, but things like migrations, multitenancy,
       | ... aren't.
       | 
       | Good luck when an AI api implements a breaking change in an API
       | and people rely on it.
       | 
       | Or when a issue happens and it can't find logs, ... ( If it was
       | even implemented :p )
        
       | Animats wrote:
       | The article starts out as if it's headed for "and that's how we
       | did it". But no. There's no implementation.
       | 
       |  _" Imagine a virtual team of AI agents, each with its workflow's
       | own specialism, collaborating to solve problems and make
       | decisions just like a human team would."_
       | 
       | OK. Where does that go? So far, multi-agent systems have been
       | delegating simple and well-bounded tasks, such as "fetch the
       | weather info for Outer Nowhere" or "check airline schedules for
       | flights from JFK to ORD", or even "what is 25% of $50". Those are
       | questions inexpensive to answer, and don't need much management.
       | If the subagents are complex, they will need management, and
       | probably budgeting. Subagents need to know when to stop and when
       | to approximate. If the subagents are themselves generative AI
       | systems, there's potential for hallucination at the lower levels
       | generating info that the higher levels take as valid. Subagents
       | also need to be able to query their managers - "is this enough
       | detail" is a reasonable question to pass upwards. They may need
       | to talk to their peer agents.
       | 
       | Now you have all the problems of organizational dynamics within a
       | multi-agent AI system.
       | 
       | I look forward to reading papers with titles such as:
       | 
       | - "Teams of generative AI agents for coding - scrum or
       | waterfall?"
       | 
       | - "Span of control - how many subagents should an agent manage?"
       | 
       | - "Does the agent org chart influence the solution too much?"
       | 
       | - "Resolving disagreements between specialized subagents".
       | 
       | That's where this is going. It has to. Once you start to cut a
       | problem into pieces to be handled by different units, all those
       | problems arise.
        
         | fsndz wrote:
         | this is why I have been arguing there will be no AGI
         | https://www.lycee.ai/blog/why-no-agi-openai
        
           | prox wrote:
           | Its a goal looking for a problem, aka AI hype. It's the big
           | thing now, like NFTs before.
           | 
           | I agree with your blog, the definition itself is vague, and
           | what people want to get out of it as well. There is a big
           | "we'll figure it out when we get there" attitude it seems to
           | me.
           | 
           | Imagine a society where everything can be and is done by AGI
           | (and its drones) what then? What do we want out of it? What
           | will define humans in such an environment?
        
         | pessimizer wrote:
         | It's wonderful to have new problems to solve. I'm looking
         | forward to Robert's Rules of Order finally being considered a
         | networking protocol between autonomous agents.
        
         | exe34 wrote:
         | those agents might end up with the same solution we came up
         | with - endless meetings and then make the simplest piece of
         | crap possible to meet half of the requirements.
        
         | interstice wrote:
         | Maybe this is why multi agents are not the answer, or at least
         | not in an individualist proto human sense.
         | 
         | But does every agent have to be completely separate or could
         | this kind of process land somewhere in sub-surface level
         | processing within a single model?
         | 
         | We are already there in some ways with node clusters handling
         | specific subjects at the lowest levels - even being standard
         | human is like being a large collection of processes all running
         | in parallel.
        
           | Animats wrote:
           | > But does every agent have to be completely separate or
           | could this kind of process land somewhere in sub-surface
           | level processing within a single model?
           | 
           | Some agents won't be LLMs.
           | 
           | Wolfram Alpha (now with ChatGPT) is close to this type of
           | system.
        
       | schmidtleonard wrote:
       | > The productivity benefits perhaps take us closer to the
       | aspiration Keynes had when he wrote Economic Possibilities for
       | our Grandchildren in 1930, in which he forecast that in a hundred
       | years, thanks to technological advancements improving the
       | standard of living, we could all be doing 15-hour work weeks.
       | 
       | Well, you see, the benefits have to be split between capital and
       | labor.
       | 
       | The system is called "capitalism."
       | 
       | Figure it out.
        
         | ben_w wrote:
         | We have a higher standard of living than when the book was
         | written. Even the basics have changed a lot:
         | 
         | > It wasn't until the 1930s that new houses were built with
         | indoor toilets and bathrooms as standard, says Zoe Hendon, head
         | of museum collections at Middlesex University's Museum of
         | Domestic Design and Architecture. "At that time, bathrooms were
         | seen as a luxury."
         | 
         | - https://www.bbc.com/culture/article/20210407-how-the-
         | bathroo...
        
           | rakoo wrote:
           | Capitalism isn't about standards of livings, it's about
           | exploitation of the majority by and for a minority, whther
           | you give the exploited schackles or golden shoes.
        
             | prox wrote:
             | Yup, if you read the major economic books coming out of the
             | last decade, they all have that theme.
        
       | hubraumhugo wrote:
       | I recently wrote a blog post about why "AI agents" are still too
       | early, too expensive, too unreliable:
       | https://www.kadoa.com/blog/ai-agents-hype-vs-reality
       | 
       | The WebArena leaderboard[0], which benchmarks LLM agents against
       | real-world tasks, shows that even the best-performing models have
       | a success rate of only 35.8%.
       | 
       | [0] https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1M801lEpBbKSNwP-
       | vDBkC...
        
       | chx wrote:
       | > How to enhance generative AI's problem-solving capabilities,
       | 
       | A zero multiplied by whatever is still zero.
       | 
       | It can not solve _anything_ with one broad category of exceptions
       | as https://hachyderm.io/@inthehands/112006855076082650
       | brilliantly explains:
       | 
       | > You might be surprised to learn that I actually think LLMs have
       | the potential to be not only fun but genuinely useful. "Show me
       | some bullshit that would be typical in this context" can be a
       | genuinely helpful question to have answered, in code and in
       | natural language -- for brainstorming, for seeing common
       | conventions in an unfamiliar context, for having something crappy
       | to react to.
       | 
       | > Alas, that does not remotely resemble how people are pitching
       | this technology.
        
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