[HN Gopher] Wind farms can offset their emissions within two yea...
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       Wind farms can offset their emissions within two years, new study
       shows
        
       Author : geox
       Score  : 78 points
       Date   : 2024-05-16 17:48 UTC (5 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (newsroom.taylorandfrancisgroup.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (newsroom.taylorandfrancisgroup.com)
        
       | butternick wrote:
       | But how much energy is used to create the wind farm?
        
         | floren wrote:
         | That's exactly the question the study was answering
         | 
         | > The study reviewed current literature on wind farms, as well
         | as using real construction data to take into account everything
         | from the manufacturing of individual turbine parts, to
         | transporting them into place, to decommissioning the entire
         | wind farm at Harapaki - which comprises 41 turbines.
        
         | yareal wrote:
         | A lot less than they create? Like, if it was a negative return
         | on investment, energy wise, no one would be building wind
         | farms.
         | 
         | Wind turbines produce whole integer MW, which is way more than
         | they cost to make.
        
           | pedroma wrote:
           | >negative return on investment, energy wise, no one would be
           | building wind farms
           | 
           | I don't think it's this simple considering politics is
           | usually involved.
           | 
           | But if it was a simple profit question I still don't think
           | people would be building wind farms.
        
             | Alupis wrote:
             | Exactly right. Government subsidies makes a lot of things
             | appear viable and/or affordable, when in reality they are
             | not. Subsidies are bolstered by politics.
             | 
             | Wind farms appear as ridiculous as they are. Yet... they
             | keep getting built because there's government money to be
             | made. There's government money to be made because they give
             | the appearance of "doing something, anything" while in fact
             | doing almost nothing. Follow the votes...
        
               | mikeyouse wrote:
               | Wind farms generate substantial quantities of power at
               | like $0.04/kwh unsubsidized - they're in no way
               | ridiculous. California generates well over 10% of their
               | total electricity demand via wind, Texas is closer to 25%
               | of their total demand (more than coal and nuclear
               | combined). Hundreds of thousands of cheap, carbon-free
               | GWh produced is an odd definition of "doing almost
               | nothing".
        
               | Alupis wrote:
               | They are ridiculous for a number of reasons, including
               | the quantity needed and the storage problem. Neither are
               | trivial issues to solve - making any stand-alone
               | production numbers meaningless.
               | 
               | The obvious answer has been staring us in the face for
               | decades. Yet... underinformed electorate continues to be
               | unrationally scared, making it politically infeasible.
               | 
               | We could have been 100% "green" energy decades ago. Let
               | that sink in... follow the votes.
        
               | mikeyouse wrote:
               | "Wind can't be the entire solution" is such a different
               | statement than whatever this misinformed smug dismissal
               | is trying to get at.
        
               | Alupis wrote:
               | If you were able to read the statement you would clearly
               | see no such thing.
               | 
               | Erecting more and more wind farms to make you feel fuzzy
               | at night is absurd. We have the solution - metaphoric you
               | just doesn't want it because _reasons_.
        
               | verall wrote:
               | I think it's fun to imagine that this solution you're
               | miming at is closer to soylent green rather than only-
               | viable-through-subsidies nuclear.
        
               | zer00eyz wrote:
               | >> including the quantity needed
               | 
               | Texas power has gone negative, CA has dropped to zero.
               | That means power flowing on to the grid either has no
               | where to go or is only being charged transmission fees
               | (and those in CA are gonna be excessive).
               | 
               | Transmission and storage are big issues. But they are
               | solvable ones. Storage can be localize and the grid can
               | be upgraded (and needs to be).
               | 
               | Candidly we need to look for ways to decouple energy
               | creation, storage and transmission from each other. How
               | do I buy enoung fractional shares in creation and storage
               | so I only have to pay the cost of transmission? How do I
               | make my utility into an asset!
        
               | thebruce87m wrote:
               | > Wind farms appear as ridiculous as they are.
               | 
               | What do you mean by this? My country is mostly powered by
               | wind.
               | 
               | Edit: https://electricityproduction.uk/in/scotland/
        
               | Alupis wrote:
               | Scotland is microscopic in relation to the landmass and
               | population that is the US. Yet... look at the sheer
               | volume of wind turbines Scotland has to operate to get
               | anywhere between 10% - 80% of their power generation,
               | depending on the day and wind conditions.
               | 
               | You cannot build a reliable grid based on wind. It
               | requires other non-temperamental energy sources to be
               | available when the wind isn't blowing. Solar? What if
               | it's an overcast day?
               | 
               | If you look at that chart - you'll notice Nuclear takes
               | over the heavy lifting when necessary. So... why not just
               | have a couple more nuclear plants and forgo the
               | unreliable sources?
               | 
               | Using wind and/or solar does not automagically make your
               | system better or more green. People have pigeon-holed
               | themselves into a reality where only wind and solar are
               | acceptable... and then we hide away the actual sources
               | that provide the necessary backfill.
        
               | pedroma wrote:
               | I'm not sure the linked study has accounted for the
               | energy required to acquire and operate the batteries used
               | alongside these wind farms. But it would be interesting
               | to see what percentage batteries factor into this
               | equation. I would imagine it's massive.
        
               | Alupis wrote:
               | > I would imagine it's massive.
               | 
               | It has to be massive. There is no other way to manage a
               | 70% production swing in as short as a couple minutes and
               | not have the grid go dark. Which then begs the question
               | of how green the batteries are over decades.
               | 
               | We've picked the least reliable energy source and
               | intellectually anchored ourselves to it - then we don't
               | talk about how we _actually_ keep the lights on 24 /7.
               | It's kind of nuts.
        
               | 2024throwaway wrote:
               | As nuts as just burning anything flammable we can get our
               | hands on?
        
               | ck425 wrote:
               | No one's suggesting 100% wind or solar but we can still
               | improve the system with more. Plus both are incredibly
               | quick to build compared to nuclear and fossil fuels, so
               | if you're a country dependant on those (like the UK) it's
               | one of the best ways to quickly improve your energy
               | security.
        
               | CyberDildonics wrote:
               | _Yet... look at the sheer volume of wind turbines
               | Scotland has to operate_
               | 
               | What 'sheer volume'? You didn't give any numbers or
               | sources.
               | 
               | Here is some actual information:
               | 
               | https://www.gov.scot/publications/renewables-and-wind-
               | power-...
               | 
               | " In 2022, almost 28 TWh of zero carbon electricity was
               | generated by renewable wind in Scotland, representing 35%
               | of all wind generation in the UK. This could power the
               | equivalent of approximately:
               | 
               | a. 10 million households - over a third of the total
               | households in the UK. b. 85% of total Scottish annual
               | electricity demand."
               | 
               |  _It requires other non-temperamental energy sources to
               | be available when the wind isn 't blowing. Solar? What if
               | it's an overcast day?_
               | 
               | Good thing the entire UK is on a shared grid.
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Grid_(Great_Britai
               | n)
               | 
               |  _Using wind and /or solar does not automagically make
               | your system better or more green._
               | 
               | Why not?
               | 
               |  _People have pigeon-holed themselves into a reality
               | where only wind and solar are acceptable..._
               | 
               | Says who?
               | 
               |  _and then we hide away the actual sources that provide
               | the necessary backfill._
               | 
               | What does this mean? People are happy that there are
               | economically viable and scalable sources of electricity
               | that don't burn oil and gas. Who is 'hiding' anything
               | away?
        
               | verall wrote:
               | > What does this mean?
               | 
               | The powers that be are hiding our most renewable resource
               | - ourselves. We just someone to make a tiktok dance out
               | of jumping into the bioreactor and then we won't need any
               | evil wind turbines or PVs anymore.
        
               | pounderstanding wrote:
               | Uranium deposits are relatively small. It will last 200
               | years or so.
        
               | rootusrootus wrote:
               | > Subsidies are bolstered by politics.
               | 
               | That right there is irony.
        
               | 7952 wrote:
               | The main reason for subsidy is that the costs are all
               | upfront and electricity prices are unpredictable. That is
               | not a problem that is unique to wind, particularly in the
               | climate change era. Systems like strike prices can be
               | competitively priced and avoid overpayment.
               | 
               | Arguably the main problem is that countries take a
               | natural monopoly and then try and treat it like a market.
               | When a well run state company could invest with more
               | certainty.
        
               | nerdbert wrote:
               | They can be built much more quickly than nuclear plants
               | and they take coal and oil out of furnaces right now,
               | which is exactly what we need. That's nothing but good.
        
               | cycomanic wrote:
               | Seriously did nobody read the article?! The article was
               | specifically about this question, windfarms generate all
               | the energy they needed to make them in 2 years time. This
               | is completely unrelated to government subsidies.
               | 
               | Sometimes I loose faith in humanity.
        
             | yareal wrote:
             | I didn't speak to profit. I spoke to energy return.
        
               | pedroma wrote:
               | My answer applies to both cases actually.
               | 
               | For example, if one wanted to maximize profits, energy
               | wise, there are better options than wind turbines and
               | batteries. The choice to go with wind seems politically
               | motivated due to optics of the alternatives.
        
               | andyferris wrote:
               | I thought wind was often quoted as the cheapest per MWh
               | compared to everything else?
               | 
               | (I realise that profit in $ might differ in that the wind
               | doesn't blow on demand while eg gas might - but even then
               | businesses will spring up to fill every profitable
               | niche).
        
               | garbageman wrote:
               | Maybe 20 years ago. On-shore wind and solar are currently
               | the cheapest practical way to make electricity based on
               | LCOE.
               | 
               | https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/electricity_generation/p
               | df/...
        
               | pedroma wrote:
               | I'm not familiar with this metric but does it at least
               | account for the cost that non-wind sources must incur to
               | keep their facilities running? For example, if you have a
               | wind farm you will prioritize using that energy when
               | available, but the natural gas facility still needs to
               | employ people for low wind situations right?
               | 
               | So the natural gas facility is not generating very much
               | most of the year, but still needs quite a bit of people
               | with the expertise to keep it operational despite that in
               | addition to land lease costs, equipment maintenance etc.
               | Does LCOE turn the cost of the natural gas facility cost
               | into $0 during those situations to be fair?
               | 
               | -
               | 
               | Edit: Just glanced at the Wikipedia article and the
               | variables involved in the LCOE equation. Seems to
               | unfairly benefit wind and solar.
               | 
               | "One of the most important potential limitations of LCOE
               | is that it may not control for time effects associated
               | with matching electricity production to demand."
               | 
               | "In particular, if the costs of matching grid energy
               | storage are not included in projects for variable
               | renewable energy sources such as solar and wind, they may
               | produce electricity when it is not needed in the grid
               | without storage. The value of this electricity may be
               | lower than if it was produced at another time, or even
               | negative."
        
               | yareal wrote:
               | It's not either or, it's both and. Of course there are
               | different options that have better results in some axes.
               | Building wind does not mean not building nuclear, solar,
               | hydro, tidal, biomass pyrolysis, etc.
        
               | pedroma wrote:
               | Yes, but due to the nature of wind being fickle, we have
               | to keep these other energy facilities running and people
               | employed. This adds to the costs of these other energy
               | solutions while they are doing very little while wind is
               | blowing. This messes all these metrics up.
        
           | uoaei wrote:
           | > if it was a negative return on investment, energy wise
           | 
           | Unfortunately, cost does not track emissions that closely.
           | People do all sorts of things that cause emissions all the
           | time, and usually their choice is dictated by which option is
           | lowest cost.
        
         | bastawhiz wrote:
         | Who cares? What matters is the emissions, which is exactly what
         | this article is about.
        
       | telepathy wrote:
       | Their OWN emissions? Wow...
        
         | christkv wrote:
         | There is still the problem of recycling the blades.
         | https://theconversation.com/wind-turbine-blades-inside-
         | the-b....
        
           | xnx wrote:
           | Why do blades need to be recycled? What's the harm in piling
           | them up on empty land until someone finds use for them (or
           | not)?
        
             | vuln wrote:
             | Could take the same route with nuclear waste imho.
        
               | hn_throwaway_99 wrote:
               | Except old turbine blades tend not to leak out and make
               | surrounding land unlivable by humans.
        
               | MetaWhirledPeas wrote:
               | This not a battle between nuclear and wind. Why not use
               | both? Nuclear has dangers (which people are learning to
               | mitigate) but wind, solar, and geothermal cannot be used
               | in every situation. When no better choice exists we
               | _should_ embrace nuclear.
        
             | heavyset_go wrote:
             | That's basically what's happening with them besides the
             | ones that are burned or buried.
             | 
             | One potentially bad thing is that plastics degrade and
             | leach into the environment over time.
        
               | MetaWhirledPeas wrote:
               | Is it preferable to burn coal and natural gas then? I'm
               | not saying you're wrong (you could be right) but let's
               | not forget why we are pushing for renewable energy.
        
               | heavyset_go wrote:
               | Definitely better than burning coal. Doesn't mean we
               | shouldn't look for ways to reduce or recycle waste
               | products.
        
             | MetaWhirledPeas wrote:
             | We need to be considering the impact of any big changes we
             | make in regards to our energy. But the thing is, we already
             | know the answers to most of these "but what about"
             | questions and they've been answered time and time again,
             | yet they keep being brought up and used in an effort to
             | slow progress.
             | 
             | Which is worse, the __________ caused by technology Z or
             | the airborne carbon dioxide they prevent?
             | 
             | THE CARBON DIOXIDE IS WORSE, most of the time.
             | 
             | Can we at least start at a place of _the carbon dioxide is
             | worse_ and go from there? I 'm not against listening to
             | reason, I'm just against people looking for every reason
             | _not_ to change how we gain and consume our energy.
        
               | mattmaroon wrote:
               | This is actually why I tell people recycling is mostly
               | bad. The impact of some plastic in the landfill is less
               | than the extra carbon emissions.
        
               | XorNot wrote:
               | I straight up do not care a about plastic use at all
               | anymore.
               | 
               | Specifically: provided the plastic is going to well-
               | managed landfill, and not being washed into the oceans or
               | waterways, then really, what is the problem? Once in
               | landfill it's CO2 which won't end up in the atmosphere,
               | or water, or really doing much of anything while it just
               | sits there.
               | 
               | And every bit of it is oil production which _won 't_ be
               | burned.
        
               | heavyset_go wrote:
               | > _And every bit of it is oil production which won 't be
               | burned._
               | 
               | Some plastics get incinerated, it isn't all sequestered
               | in landfills.
        
             | CyanBird wrote:
             | The blades could easily be cut and used as modern "sleek"
             | housing, or games for kids in parks
             | 
             | There is market for that I feel
        
             | hi-v-rocknroll wrote:
             | We do need to disassemble them and move them somewhere, so
             | those costs should be included. Perhaps they should be made
             | to where they can be broken down into sections and reused
             | as durable seawall filler or as construction filler in
             | levees or dams.
        
           | ajuc wrote:
           | How's the recycling of burned oil and coal going?
        
             | hi-v-rocknroll wrote:
             | Let's start off with just the cleaning off vehicles and
             | people merely to move tar sands sludge around the ground
             | that goes everywhere.
        
       | xnx wrote:
       | That's an amazing investment if it can pay for itself entirely in
       | 2 years and keep generating money after that.
        
         | pedroma wrote:
         | That would be amazing if it was the case (and wind would get a
         | lot more support if so), but it doesn't say that. It says it
         | pays for itself emissions-wise.
        
           | SV_BubbleTime wrote:
           | It says "can" and op said "if". Is not one else seeing how
           | these posts are pandering?
        
           | tills13 wrote:
           | In a moral society, paying off the environmental deficit of
           | production is as important as the monetary deficit.
        
       | ggm wrote:
       | A conversation about second order effects against first order
       | deliverables. This is proof of the obvious because very few
       | people seriously believed their emission cost inputs exceeded
       | their energy production, it's been necessary to prove it because
       | of politics, not serious scientific questions to their aggregate
       | burden.
       | 
       | During early years on lower efficiency sure, it's possible wind
       | and solar had higher input costs and lifetime burdens than they
       | produced. We're well beyond that phase now.
       | 
       | If you don't think this, ask yourself if the gas wastage,
       | consumption and fugitive emission at production and supply chain
       | facilities in aggregate is ever costed against the energy returns
       | through the use of the product. I never see serious analysis of
       | things like fugitive gas emissions on the cost side of gas
       | production overall. CCS had no solution for this. It's huge.
        
         | xenonite wrote:
         | Massive amounts of carbon fiber used in wind blades is coming
         | from ... oil. So same problem here. And it becomes unusable
         | toxic waste.
        
           | phero_cnstrcts wrote:
           | These studies are funded by the companies anyway. Can't ever
           | trust them.
        
           | XorNot wrote:
           | We don't _burn_ the wind turbine blades when we use them, nor
           | when they break.
           | 
           | The scale of issue in dealing with a bunch of solid waste you
           | can just bury compared to climate change is insignificant.
        
             | xcskier56 wrote:
             | Well... technically... some people are starting to
             | https://www.energy.gov/eere/wind/articles/carbon-rivers-
             | make... but this also produces energy and compared to the
             | amount of electricity they produce during their lifetime
             | this carebon can only be incredibly negligible
        
               | XorNot wrote:
               | Pyrolysis is not burning - from your link:
               | 
               | > Carbon Rivers' recycling uses pyrolysis--a process
               | during which organic components of a composite (e.g.,
               | resins or polymers) are broken down with intense heat in
               | the absence of oxygen and separated from the inorganic
               | fiberglass reinforcement.
        
           | Tagbert wrote:
           | Massive on a personal scale but miniscule compared to the
           | scale of oil production and combustion.
           | 
           | So many people are worried about small scale downsides to
           | technologies that are trying to address truly massive
           | problems.
        
             | glenstein wrote:
             | Right, and this is what makes it such a frivolous talking
             | point. I mean, if it really were the case that the
             | expenditures of oil were indeed at scales that overwhelmed
             | any advantages of wind, that would be a legit argument.
             | 
             | But to make that case you'd actually have to do the next
             | step of assessing the _relative_ scales of how much oil
             | gets used compared to an alternative case where the same
             | amount of energy is produced from fossil fuels.
             | 
             | I feel like if we're going to bring up the fossil fuel
             | inputs into the creation of critical components for
             | windmills, the mandatory next sentence has to be an
             | acknowledgment of the scale of consumption necessary,
             | compared to the scale of what's being offset. Otherwise
             | it's a throwaway line with no context.
        
         | glenstein wrote:
         | And to your point, albeit with a more frivolous example, wind
         | power has been subject to tests for aesthetic satisfaction that
         | never have to be passed with such regularity by, say, telephone
         | wires, roads or sidewalks, other forms of electricity
         | infrastructure, big box stores, oil and gas infrastructure, gas
         | stations, etc.
         | 
         | In some cases if you even ask the question you might be
         | dismissed as a crank because, well, roads and sidewalks can
         | crumble and fall into disrepair, but obviously we're not going
         | to just get rid of sidewalks and roads. There's kind of an
         | unspoken and shared understanding that the necessity of the
         | infrastructure trumps aesthetic concerns.
         | 
         | Status quo extremism might be summed up by the demand that new
         | things have to pass novel and specific tests that would never
         | be applied to the status quo.
        
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