[HN Gopher] The USDA's gardening zones shifted, this map shows y...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       The USDA's gardening zones shifted, this map shows you what's
       changed
        
       Author : geox
       Score  : 397 points
       Date   : 2024-05-13 12:32 UTC (10 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (apps.npr.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (apps.npr.org)
        
       | ericmay wrote:
       | I thought that was a really nice website and visual journey.
        
       | blinding-streak wrote:
       | Amazing job by NPR. Made a very dry topic really interesting.
        
       | taylodl wrote:
       | There have been 3 updates to the zones in the past 50 years. Some
       | of the updates are due to better accuracy after years of
       | collecting data, but the 800-pound gorilla in the room is climate
       | change. Where I live, winters are 4.5 degrees warmer. It has
       | definitely affected my gardening.
        
         | angry_moose wrote:
         | Same here. The longstanding "rule" for my area is "no planting
         | before Mother's Day!"
         | 
         | For the last 8 years or so, ~April 20th has been very safe. I
         | usually pick the first weekend after ~April 15th, which doesn't
         | have an overnight low under 38 on the 10 day forecast. Haven't
         | had an issue yet.
         | 
         | Thankfully some of the stores are starting to break the "rule",
         | because for a long time it was impossible to even get plants
         | before Mother's Day.
        
           | jvm___ wrote:
           | "No mow May" to save the bees/over-wintering insects - is now
           | almost impossible as you'll have more than a foot high of
           | regular lawn grass before June 1.
        
             | MikeTheGreat wrote:
             | Genuine question: how does not mowing your lawn helps bees
             | / insects?
             | 
             | I'm guessing that the lawn itself is incidental, and by not
             | mowing you're letting flowers (including dandelions and
             | clover?) grow?
             | 
             | Also, I'm gonna be up front about my ulterior motive: I
             | hardly mow my lawn anyways and would love to have another
             | reason to justify / rationalize what I'm already doing :)
             | 
             | But still - genuine question.
        
               | angry_moose wrote:
               | Many insects lay their eggs in the grass which hatch in
               | early spring. By mowing early you may be destroying all
               | of these eggs before they hatch.
               | 
               | There's debate about how effective it is, but that's the
               | theory at least.
        
               | jvm___ wrote:
               | Also any sort of wildflowers let the bees eat an easy
               | first meal before everything blooms.
        
             | andybak wrote:
             | Impossible or inconvenient?
        
               | jvm___ wrote:
               | Irresponsible looking if you share 20ft of grass with a
               | neighbour.
        
               | alistairSH wrote:
               | Meh. They could stop over-tending their yard.
               | 
               | The perfect lawn is a relatively new thing - blame Scott
               | lawn and other lawn-care companies.
        
             | HeyLaughingBoy wrote:
             | I already have foot-high grass in places. Ask me if I care
             | :-)
        
         | onlyrealcuzzo wrote:
         | > Where I live, winters are 4.5 degrees warmer.
         | 
         | 4.5 degrees warmer since when? And where?
        
           | angry_moose wrote:
           | The map has an explanation:
           | 
           | About this data
           | 
           | The 2012 USDA hardiness zones were calculated using the
           | average lowest winter temperature for the observation period
           | of 1976-2005. The new zones are calculated using the years
           | 1991-2020. These two observation windows overlap. Colors show
           | the difference between the two 30-year averages for each
           | place on the map.
           | 
           | My area is 3.8F warmer using this method.
        
           | playingalong wrote:
           | FWIW they likely mean Fahrenheit. I.e. 2.5 Celsius.
        
             | taylodl wrote:
             | Yes, I did. 4.5 degrees Celsius would be a newsworthy
             | increase in winter temperatures! :)
        
               | voisin wrote:
               | Where I am at, in the Canadian Rockies, the daily
               | temperature this winter was routinely 7-9 degrees Celsius
               | above average (1970-2020) according to my iOS Weather
               | app. They introduced this feature last year and I have
               | been checking it nearly every day. Other than a cold snap
               | in January (that killed my bees!) the weather was warmer
               | every single day.
        
         | georgeburdell wrote:
         | Same. Blueberries, which require a certain number of chill
         | hours, are perhaps the most affected
        
         | Salgat wrote:
         | Climate change is rough here in Austin TX because it's getting
         | hotter, but we're also getting more extreme spikes in freezing
         | temperatures. There's a whole slew of plants and trees that
         | can't survive here because of how cold it gets for only a
         | couple days a year. It's not uncommon to lose something like a
         | Palm tree due to one cold day out of the entire year.
        
           | bee_rider wrote:
           | Maybe we should start calling it climate instability instead
           | of climate change.
        
             | SV_BubbleTime wrote:
             | If the reliable granular data is 100 years or so, and the
             | core samples are known to be lacking granular indication...
             | how a you prove that the spikes and dips are atypical?
        
               | lesuorac wrote:
               | Eh, try like 300 years at least; you can get data from
               | 1662 to now easy from NOAA. Governments love to collect
               | data about mundane things; you could probably get a
               | larger archive from a country that existed prior to 1781.
               | 
               | https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/cdo-web/datasets
        
               | SV_BubbleTime wrote:
               | Yea, I'm not sure we can rely on 1 degree of reliable
               | resolution for when people believe in unicorns, dragons,
               | a geocentric universe theory, and when the Celsius scale
               | was not when water freezes at zero and boils at 100.
        
               | lesuorac wrote:
               | So you don't trust data from 2024; got it.
        
               | steve_adams_86 wrote:
               | I don't doubt that those records lacked quality due to
               | inconsistent measuring equipment, standards, and
               | practices. It has nothing to do with the beliefs of
               | people at the time, though.
               | 
               | This was a time period in which scientists actually
               | improved these technologies and practices, and we stand
               | on the shoulders of that progress. They were doing the
               | best they could with what they had.
               | 
               | Geocentrism was also well on the way out 300 years ago.
               | 
               | My point is mostly that people in the past did some great
               | work, and having weird beliefs didn't diminish that.
               | People in the future will think we were similarly
               | clueless for all kinds of reasons. You just do the best
               | you can with the information and environment you've got.
        
               | anonymousiam wrote:
               | One could use the same argument to include forest fire
               | data prior to 1960, or to include heat/drought data prior
               | to 1979, but climate alarmists do not want to do that
               | because it destroys their narrative.
        
               | steve_adams_86 wrote:
               | If you read what I said again, you should notice that I'm
               | not saying the data from 300 years ago should necessarily
               | be used. I'm saying that the reason not to use it has
               | nothing to do with people believing in dragons or
               | unicorns.
               | 
               | The part about measurements is fair (they weren't
               | standardized at the time), but the rest is irrelevant.
               | The decision of whether or not to use data should be on
               | the basis of its scientific rigour and veracity, not the
               | scientist's beliefs.
        
               | bee_rider wrote:
               | I don't really care to prove it, I was going off that
               | Texan's report of their personal experiences.
        
               | Repulsion9513 wrote:
               | If they look atypical for the last 100 years or so, and
               | also look atypical from the less "granular", even-longer-
               | term samples... then how do _you_ prove that they 're
               | typical?
        
               | itishappy wrote:
               | Does it matter if they're typical or not when plants no
               | longer grow where they use to?
        
             | melenaboija wrote:
             | If climate stability has changed I like it being called
             | climate change.
        
               | bee_rider wrote:
               | It just sounds a little dry. I think environmentalists
               | have done a good job drilling the fact that it is a bad
               | thing into us, but in the face of it "climate change"
               | sounds like a sort of generic and neutral process. Global
               | warming was a little better (I think? Or maybe I just
               | grew up knowing it was a bad thing).
               | 
               | Climate Instability sounds sort of clearly bad (I think
               | most people consider instability bad).
        
               | et-al wrote:
               | If we're workshopping this for you: "climate change" has
               | alliteration and is only 3 syllables compared to
               | "instability" which has a mouthful of 5 syllables.
        
               | umanwizard wrote:
               | Alliteration has to do with sounds, not letters.
        
               | bee_rider wrote:
               | Someone else suggested Climate Crisis which is actually
               | alliterative and also sounds bad rather than neutral like
               | "change."
        
               | SV_BubbleTime wrote:
               | Seems like you are really interested in marketing.
        
               | bee_rider wrote:
               | It's just the way the conversation happened to flow. I
               | think everyone has an opinion on names.
               | 
               | For solutions I'm in favor of really aggressive carbon
               | taxes and sanctions/secondary sanctions against that
               | don't implement them. But that's the sort of thing better
               | left to regulators and diplomats.
        
             | bee_rider wrote:
             | I seem to be getting lots of downvotes on what I thought
             | was a pretty mundane and off the cuff post. Maybe there's
             | some history I'm not aware of.
             | 
             | My thought process was: Climate change is mostly bad, but
             | it sounds like a sort of neutral, or even natural process.
             | Environmentalists have done a good job pointing out that it
             | is bad, but the name isn't doing them any favors.
             | Instability seems to be one of the major side effects and
             | instability is very obviously bad.
             | 
             | I guess I'm curious if there's a "pro-fixing the problem"
             | argument against "climate instability." By default I'm
             | going to assume that I'm mostly being downvoted by climate
             | deniers. But I'd be happy to be educated otherwise, if
             | there's a real argument against calling it instability.
        
               | buildsjets wrote:
               | You are being downvoted because making spurious
               | complaints about nomenclature is a classic denialist
               | tactic.
        
               | peatmoss wrote:
               | I've written similar comments in other forums and have
               | gotten a similar response. To me, global warming is on
               | average true, but doesn't encompass the full range of
               | negative local impacts.
               | 
               | Climate change feels euphemistic compared to climate
               | instability. Like, all things change, so it's chill,
               | right? I like "instability" because it feels like the
               | time of chaos and contempt that the scientific consensus
               | tells us we're facing.
               | 
               | But... then I realize I'm wordsmithing a problem. While
               | rhetoric is important and all, I think many of our
               | current issues get over-talked and under-actioned. I
               | don't know that the wording is significant relative to
               | other barriers to bringing about change.
        
               | bee_rider wrote:
               | I think you are right.
               | 
               | I don't love "climate change" because it sounds too
               | euphemistic, IMO. But the wording isn't the biggest
               | problem anyway. A
               | 
               | nd it has solid associations at this point.
        
             | pjc50 wrote:
             | "Climate change" is already watered down from "global
             | warming", because people were nitpicking that it wasn't
             | _always_ warmer _everywhere_. Things like the late cold
             | snaps people mention in this thread. But: on average, it 's
             | warmer almost everywhere.
        
               | bee_rider wrote:
               | Does instability sound more watered down than change? IMO
               | instability is more obviously bad.
        
               | scruple wrote:
               | "Global warming" is what you get when you let the
               | scientists pick the name. "Climate change" is better but
               | you can still get the sense that it's lacking in a solid
               | PR person to figure this out. I'd have thought that, by
               | now, any of the hundreds of corporations attaching
               | themselves to Sustainability, Inc. would've solved this
               | particular naming problem for us.
        
               | mistermann wrote:
               | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Streetlight_effect
        
               | papercrane wrote:
               | The term "climate change" usage had a PR person behind
               | it. Republican strategist Frank Luntz pushed for
               | politicians to use the term instead of "Global warming"
               | has it sounds less severe.
               | 
               | The term is often misattributed to Luntz, but it existed
               | before him.
        
               | klyrs wrote:
               | Apocalypse is only 3 syllables.
        
             | specialist wrote:
             | I now say "climate crisis".
        
               | bee_rider wrote:
               | That seems even better, it has all the negative
               | connotations I wanted, while remaining punchy and
               | alliterative.
        
             | treflop wrote:
             | I'm not sure why this is so downvoted.
             | 
             | I think instability sells it better to someone who is not
             | sure if they believe in climate change because they can
             | personally see it (worsening hurricanes, worsening cold
             | snaps, hotter days).
        
             | gorwell wrote:
             | Just call it "climate"
        
           | jkestner wrote:
           | Also in Austin. We have almost all native species, so no
           | maintenance in theory but it's getting harder. We're focusing
           | on drought resistance. I can do my best to cover the ones in
           | danger of freezing on those few days, but harder to water
           | everything constantly.
        
           | morkalork wrote:
           | I'm in Canada and spring is starting earlier and earlier
           | every year but we will still get blasts of (what used to be
           | normal for that time of year) frost/snow/freezing rain. The
           | problem is with the warm weather, fruit trees will start to
           | bud early and when the cold comes at night it kills all the
           | buds and that's it, no fruit. Last year apple orchards all
           | over lost their crops to this. The instability is what's
           | going to cause chaos in the world.
        
             | steve_adams_86 wrote:
             | Have you heard about the damage done to grape and stone
             | fruit crops in BC? It has been happening consistently
             | enough that I expect some vineyards not to exist in the
             | next decade.
             | 
             | Even where I am it's considered a temperate climate and a
             | friend's grape crops were almost totally destroyed from a
             | snap freeze in late February. He said it wasn't that
             | uncommon for the freezes to happen when he started, but
             | what changed is how early the vines start budding, like you
             | mentioned.
             | 
             | Late-starting crops can bypass this problem, but my
             | understanding is that they often need irrigation because
             | they grow into the tail of summer. That's not really viable
             | here either, as water's gradually diminishing from our
             | extended drought.
        
             | randomdata wrote:
             | Spring seems like it comes later and later to my eye. When
             | I started farming in Canada we would have the ground
             | prepped in mid-April and were really to start planting May
             | 1st.
             | 
             | In the last 5-10 years we struggle to even get on the
             | ground until mid-May. This year is no exception. May 13th
             | already and we have only half of a field planted so far.
        
             | adra wrote:
             | BC wine industry in some areas purportedly had a crop loss
             | of something like 90% by some estimates. With a 3 year turn
             | around to re-establish the plants, and a very smoke tainted
             | 2021, their industry is certainly in a trouble spot. Let's
             | see if they have enough reserves to sell to get them past
             | this disaster.
        
               | red-iron-pine wrote:
               | not just smoke tainted, a small bit of Kelowna (the heart
               | of BC wine country) straight up burned down last year
               | 
               | https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-
               | columbia/mcdougall-cr...
               | 
               | the whole area is actually surprisingly dry in terms of
               | rain due to being in the rain shadow of the mountain. the
               | lakes nearby make it tolerable, but even a small shift in
               | climate patterns will turn the area into a near-desert.
        
           | bgentry wrote:
           | I'm also in Austin and laughing a bit at these results. It
           | seems like the dataset cuts off after 2020 while trying to
           | illustrate that winters haven't gotten very cold lately, and
           | that is the reason we've been changed to a different zone.
           | 
           | And yet just after that in 2021 we had temps drop to 0degF or
           | slightly negative. In each of the subsequent 2 winters we've
           | also had temps drop lower than anything shown on this graph
           | :)
        
           | spuzz wrote:
           | Crazy how these days even the native Texan palm tree is in
           | trouble.
        
             | bcrosby95 wrote:
             | Record breaking heat last summer killed off a lot of cactus
             | in Arizona.
        
               | throw0101d wrote:
               | Too hot for some planes to fly:
               | 
               | * https://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-
               | way/2017/06/20/533662790...
               | 
               | * https://www.azfamily.com/2023/07/20/how-extreme-heat-
               | can-imp...
               | 
               | Air is no longer dense enough:
               | 
               | * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Density_altitude
               | 
               | * https://skybrary.aero/articles/density-altitude
               | 
               | * PDF: https://www.faasafety.gov/files/events/NM/NM07/202
               | 3/NM071202...
        
           | hn_throwaway_99 wrote:
           | Yep, was thinking the same thing. Climate change is also (at
           | least partially) responsible for instability in the polar
           | vortexes that shoot south more often now. Between Winter
           | Storm Uri in Feb 2021 and "icemageddon" in Feb 2023 we lost a
           | ton of plants and trees. We have a retaining wall in the back
           | of our property and had a couple giant, cascading rosemary
           | bushes that completely covered the wall - they were so pretty
           | and always smelled amazing. I still get sad thinking about
           | how Uri took those beauties out...
        
             | galangalalgol wrote:
             | Yeah... Ok, my average temperature increased by %4.x
             | percent, but my variance increased by quite a bit more than
             | that. The assumptions underlying the growing zone
             | approximation were never great ones, but I find the whole
             | idea largely irrelevant now. Cold snaps a good ten degrees
             | below normal have now repeatedly killed established natives
             | (as in you could find them in local wildlife preserves).
             | And the long dry spells averaging what used to be the
             | yearly high, now kill plants adapted to live in actual
             | deserts. Is it wrong that part of me is fascinated to see
             | what comes next?
        
               | voisin wrote:
               | > my average temperature increased by %4.x percent
               | 
               | Can you do that with temperatures not in kelvin (with
               | true zero)?
        
               | cozzyd wrote:
               | you can do what you want but it doesn't make it
               | meaningful
        
               | DangitBobby wrote:
               | It's not more meaningful in Kelvin. 1 to 4 is a 300%
               | increase and so is 200 to 800. So hearing 300% tells you
               | absolutely nothing, without the added context of "from
               | the previous average temperature of the region".
        
               | voisin wrote:
               | My point is that a 4% increase in numbers on a scale
               | where zero does not equate tot he total absence is not
               | actually 4% hotter.
        
             | aftbit wrote:
             | Things like this make me want to install some kind of
             | heaters near my most prized plants. The power cost would be
             | pretty high, and they wouldn't be sufficient to make it
             | through the winter or anything, but they might allow us to
             | weather a night or two of freezing temperatures in the
             | early spring.
        
           | deadbabe wrote:
           | How long might it be until certain plants capable of
           | surviving these swings in temperature evolve?
        
             | RoyalHenOil wrote:
             | Quicker for plants that reproduce very rapidly, like garden
             | weeds. Very slow for plants that takes a long time to
             | reproduce, like shrubs and trees.
        
             | klyrs wrote:
             | And then how long until we have cultivars of those species
             | that viably contribute to human nutrition?
        
         | llambda wrote:
         | > but the 800-pound gorilla in the room is _climate change_.
         | Where I live, winters are 4.5 degrees _warmer_.
         | 
         | The George W. Bush administration (e.g. via Frank Luntz)
         | advocated for the term "climate change" because Republican
         | strategists wanted to leverage perceived uncertainty about
         | global warming as much as possible.[0]
         | 
         | This is a PR effort that seems to have largely succeeded (both
         | in adoption and its goals) and it's unfortunate that when we
         | are literally talking about warming we adopt a term that is
         | less precise; you are talking about global warming here.
         | 
         | [0]
         | https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2003/mar/04/usnews.c...
        
           | Spivak wrote:
           | This is an odd telling of history because the term climate
           | change was also pushed by the scientific community as a more
           | precise alternative because people didn't grasp how global
           | warming could make some places colder with larger temperature
           | swings in both directions.
           | 
           | It's conflating two things, Luntz and Republicans at the time
           | did want to push a narrative of uncertainty surrounding
           | greenhouse gas emissions _and_ they wanted to switch
           | terminology in a pro-environmental move because of the
           | existing connotations surrounding global warming and
           | "environmentalists" made it hard to get any Republican
           | support.
        
             | ryandrake wrote:
             | You're not going to gain support/understanding for
             | something, from people who have made up their minds, simply
             | by changing the name of the thing. The same people who were
             | sending chain E-mails in the 90s that said "How could it be
             | Global Warming if it's so cold outside! LOL" are now
             | posting Facebook memes that say "Duh, Climate has always
             | been Changing!" Any new name someone gives it will be
             | equally ridiculed, because its opponents don't care what
             | it's called.
        
         | nozzlegear wrote:
         | I was surprised to learn that the average in my town had only
         | gone up 1 degree since the last update. I expected a bigger
         | jump like yours, purely based on vibes.
        
           | abdullahkhalids wrote:
           | Many of the impacts of climate change have to do with
           | increased variance rather than with shifted average.
           | 
           | For example, every +0C day in the winter leads to snow melt.
           | The total amount of snow collected per winter depends highly
           | on the number of +0C days in the winter. Your average
           | temperature might only go from -11C to -10C, but if there are
           | 20 additional +0C days, you might end up with a lot less snow
           | cover.
        
         | vondur wrote:
         | Weird, in my area in SoCal winters have become cooler. Summers
         | are definitely warmer.
        
         | timr wrote:
         | This update is based on a dataset change that shifts the
         | observation period by 15 years. Buried within a footnote that
         | nobody will ever read:
         | 
         | > The 2012 USDA hardiness zones were calculated using the
         | average lowest winter temperature for the observation period of
         | 1976-2005. The new zones are calculated using the years
         | 1991-2020. These two observation windows overlap. Colors show
         | the difference between the two 30-year averages for each place
         | on the map.
         | 
         | So while climate change may or may not be the explanation for
         | broader trends in the map, you cannot rule out noise for any
         | particular location, especially given that the methodology uses
         | the _lowest winter temperature_ in that window as the basis for
         | the zone. That 's a fundamentally noisy metric. For example,
         | this drops the blizzard of 1978 -- one of the largest ever in
         | US history -- from the dataset. It's hard to know how that
         | affects the zones without careful inspection, but major weather
         | events like that can easily affect simple outlier analysis. You
         | can see this in the dot plots for Raleigh (the default), which
         | had two outliers in the winters around 1995, and then _an
         | otherwise flat series of data_. What was the prior dataset? We
         | don 't know.
         | 
         | IMO, the fact that NPR buried this information while hyper-
         | focusing on specific locations is just another failure of basic
         | journalism. Telling people that an arbitrarily defined metric
         | has been changed is meaningless, unless you tell people the
         | specific change that was made. It should be the first or second
         | thing they tell you, not buried in a hidden footnote.
        
       | WarOnPrivacy wrote:
       | West central FL has been losing winter. Anecdotally, I felt my
       | lowest temps of the year go from teens (1990s) to high 30s & 40s.
       | 
       | Not sure if it was my perception, I looked up a chart and it
       | confirmed the trend.
       | 
       | edit: I can't find the chart I saw for my region. The closest is
       | this: Avg Jan temps but for whole state.
       | 
       | https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/climate-at-a-gla...
        
       | kop316 wrote:
       | If you actually want to view the map:
       | https://planthardiness.ars.usda.gov/
       | 
       | The frame link goes to:
       | https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/b1d1fd9b284e46dcaa4...
        
         | queuebert wrote:
         | Thank you. That website was an abomination. Scrolling to do
         | anything but move the content up should be highly discouraged.
        
           | Workaccount2 wrote:
           | The difference between people who look at data to be informed
           | and people who look at data to feel informed.
        
             | jameshart wrote:
             | The website linked is a news article, not a map.
        
               | toss1 wrote:
               | Yes, and the complaint is that news should be about
               | informing, not about entertaining to make people feel
               | informed [0]. This is more infotainment than information.
               | 
               | [0] This concept implemented at scale by Roger Ailes,
               | founder of Fox news, who famously said "Our viewers don't
               | want _be_ informed, they want to _feel_ informed ", which
               | became the motto of the newsroom
               | 
               | One ref among many:
               | https://www.marketplace.org/2017/05/18/roger-ailes-
               | transform...
        
               | jameshart wrote:
               | The article provides useful context about how much the
               | hardiness grades have changed, where, and why; it
               | provides context about what these ratings do and don't
               | mean; it adds context about other climate changes that
               | aren't captured in this data; and it frames it with
               | advice about planting, underpinned by a visually
               | interesting data plot, and a tool that allows you to
               | explore that data in a way that makes it personally
               | relevant to you.
               | 
               | Why on earth would you choose an article like this to
               | jump on a hobby horse about infotainment?
        
               | toss1 wrote:
               | I found it only marginally informative, the "interactive"
               | map didn't work as well as I expected, and overall I
               | found it disappointingly info-tainment-ish.
               | 
               | I would not have said anything, but seeing the prior two
               | comment, I responded to add something; sorry you found it
               | disappointing, but my intent was not to "jump on a hobby
               | horse about infotainment".
        
               | jameshart wrote:
               | You probably didn't scroll down very far then.
               | 
               | Did you already know that these 'hardiness' climate zones
               | are only based on mean winter minimum temperature? They
               | say nothing about drought prevalence, peak heat, or the
               | timing, frequency and duration of cold snaps?
               | 
               | If you did, well, sure, this probably wouldn't have been
               | very informative. But for anyone for whom all that was
               | news, this is pretty good information - and in particular
               | is valuable context over and above just a raw map of the
               | zones.
        
               | toss1 wrote:
               | Yes, I did know that, and I did scroll down to the
               | bottom. Even though it contained some good information, I
               | just thought it was presented in a way that excessively
               | got in the way of actually understanding and using the
               | info, and that the graphic presentation was lame, just
               | A:B with a very constrained and poorly working city-
               | picker box (said enter city, wouldn't work or even give
               | an error message unless you entered only one of the
               | cities they actually had in their list, so should have
               | been presented as a drop-down, not a free-entry box),
               | didn't show the areas where there were differences vs
               | stayed in the same zone, etc. etc. etc.
        
               | burkaman wrote:
               | Just looking at the map doesn't tell you what hardiness
               | zone means or how to apply (and not apply) this
               | knowledge. I would say it makes you feel informed by
               | teaching you a piece of trivia ("I'm in zone 8a") without
               | actually informing you by giving you the tools to use
               | what you've learned.
        
               | supplied_demand wrote:
               | ==without actually informing you by giving you the tools
               | to use what you've learned==
               | 
               | The title of the article doesn't imply that it will teach
               | you how to implement. The title explicitly states it is a
               | map to show you the shift in zones, and it does that very
               | clearly.
        
             | digitalsushi wrote:
             | i find that opinion somewhat gatekeepy and i disagree with
             | it
        
               | bombcar wrote:
               | It may be gatekeepy but it nailed it; this type of
               | website is an entertainment product, not an actual data
               | product.
               | 
               |  _That may not be bad_ but it may not be what you wanted.
        
               | baq wrote:
               | Not really. It is a tutorial-class material. What you
               | want when you say 'just give me the map' is a reference-
               | class material.
               | 
               | Anecdotally I learned a lot from this - haven't even been
               | aware of the concept.
        
               | nozzlegear wrote:
               | This is also gatekeepy. You don't need to be a stats
               | dweeb staring at maps and raw data points to be or become
               | informed.
        
               | karaterobot wrote:
               | No, it's an educational product. It is a walkthrough
               | explaining the context and meaning of the map for those
               | poor, ignorant people who don't know everything already.
               | All you have to do to dismiss it forever is click a
               | single button, "explore map", which is always on the top
               | left of the screen.
        
               | dyauspitr wrote:
               | It's an educational product. A product where someone
               | looks at masses of data, pulls out the salient points and
               | presents them directly. Why would most people want to go
               | to a site with csv files for weather data in every zip
               | code?
        
               | HelloMcFly wrote:
               | It's a gentle - and to my eyes effective - introduction
               | and overview on a topic many people have heard about but
               | most have probably not really read or considered further.
               | It wasn't just meant to be a "look at old vs. new map" -
               | it had a lot more context and information than that
               | compiled for personal relevance and easy of
               | understanding.
        
               | seany wrote:
               | gatekeeping is important some times
        
               | arrowsmith wrote:
               | Just ask the people of Troy!
        
             | cameronh90 wrote:
             | Many people absorb information better when it's presented
             | in a more easily consumable format.
        
               | hightrix wrote:
               | Agreed, but I would consider
               | https://planthardiness.ars.usda.gov/ to be much more
               | easily consumed than the NPR article.
               | 
               | As another said, scrolling to do anything but move
               | content up and down is a miserable experience for some
               | people.
        
           | dyauspitr wrote:
           | I disagree. I liked the experience. It wasn't jittery and the
           | content was short enough to be presented in that format.
        
           | kps wrote:
           | It also doesn't respect `:prefers-reduced-motion` or
           | `:prefers-color-scheme`.
        
           | Repulsion9513 wrote:
           | Even once I got to the end I couldn't actually use the map
           | because the left side of it (with the legend and year-
           | switcher) was off-screen :) best web design A++
        
           | riedel wrote:
           | It worked for me sewhat after I understood the interaction
           | and was somehow nice UX (I agree that there is better option
           | for immediately better usability) However, I think even
           | considering UX, there are clearly interaction hints missing
           | to encourage the scrolling interaction in the first place.
           | Secondly, it makes it really hard to find information again
           | after reading it once sequentially. A menu type thing would
           | probably fix that as well.
        
             | danginurass wrote:
             | I am _physically_ unable consume that kind of  "here comes
             | the airplane" content. Oddly someone would say this makes
             | me autistic.
        
         | sjs382 wrote:
         | As a jpg:
         | https://planthardiness.ars.usda.gov/system/files/National_Ma...
        
       | jrgd wrote:
       | and that's the canadian version; for those living up-north and
       | frustrated like me to not be able to see something continent-wide
       | 
       | http://planthardiness.gc.ca/?m=1
       | 
       | i would love to see something for the south as well (just quickly
       | googled) https://davisla.wordpress.com/plant-zones/south-america-
       | plan...
       | 
       | I'm unsure though if they receive an update recently or if they
       | will anytime soon
        
         | thrusong wrote:
         | Thank you for this-- I was equally frustrated I couldn't look
         | up Canada too!
        
       | mithr wrote:
       | Really nicely delivered, and a pretty great practical
       | illustration (to the right audience) of the effects of global
       | warming.
        
       | rqtwteye wrote:
       | I so much hate this format where you have to scroll for each
       | little paragraph and can't jump quickly from one part to another.
        
       | asdajksah2123 wrote:
       | I wish the US had a similar "bug zone". Where I live has seen a
       | whole slew of bugs that did not exist beyond several states South
       | making it all the way up here over the last decade and a half.
        
         | JKCalhoun wrote:
         | Armadillos now as far north as Illinois, Nebraska. Wild.
        
         | tcmart14 wrote:
         | I havn't seen maps for bugs in general. But there are some maps
         | the track specific bugs. Like I check for maps regarding ticks.
         | They are getting farther and farther north.
        
       | dgrin91 wrote:
       | I'm really curious about the taxonomy of these zones. Why are
       | there 13 zones with an 'a' and 'b' zone for each number? Why not
       | just 26 zones?
        
         | bombcar wrote:
         | The Plant Hardiness Zone Map (PHZM) is based on the average
         | annual extreme minimum winter temperature, displayed as
         | 10-degree F zones ranging from zone 1 (coldest) to zone 13
         | (warmest). Each zone is divided into half zones designated as
         | 'a' and 'b'. For example, 7a and 7b are 5-degree F increments
         | representing the colder and warmer halves of zone 7,
         | respectively.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hardiness_zone
         | 
         | (It was originally the 13 bands, but as things got more
         | detailed they realized splitting them made a difference, I
         | suspect.)
        
         | hosh wrote:
         | The "a" and "b" zones subdivides it.
         | 
         | Zone 10 is tropical, and never gets frost. Each "a" and "b"
         | represents a 5 degree range.
         | 
         | You can also create microclimates, local areas where the zone
         | effectively shifts up or down about 5 degrees.
         | 
         | As an aside, there is a heat hardiness zone that rarely gets
         | talked about.
        
           | madcaptenor wrote:
           | You can find that if you scroll down the article far enough,
           | or at https://ahsgardening.org/about-us/news-
           | press/cool_timeline/h... - it's based on the number of days
           | above 86 degrees F (30 degrees C).
           | 
           | I would like to see these two maps overlaid on each other
           | somehow.
        
         | VyseofArcadia wrote:
         | Because it was initially divided into 13 zones. In 1990 they
         | subdivided each zone into a and b zones.
         | 
         | I'm not finding any rationale on why subdividing instead of
         | renumbering, but it probably alleviated confusion at the time.
         | If you're in zone 6b, but you're used to thinking of yourself
         | as zone 6, you're still mostly right even if you forget whether
         | you're in a or b. Easier to remember than suddenly you're in
         | zone 13.
        
           | jellicle wrote:
           | "This plant is zone 6"
           | 
           | "Old numbering or new numbering?"
           | 
           | "I don't know, just says zone 6"
           | 
           | If you reuse your numbering system, you have to specify which
           | version you're using. Using an all-new numbering scheme
           | eliminates that.
        
             | justsid wrote:
             | Isn't it the exact opposite? If it just says zone 6, it's
             | the old system because no a or b suffix.
             | 
             | If the number space got doubled zone 6 would still exist
             | but mean something completely different now. You can't tell
             | if it's the old or new system at all because the first
             | numbers all got re-used but with different meaning.
        
       | willcodeforfoo wrote:
       | Really nice data visualization... PMTiles!
       | https://apps.npr.org/plant-hardiness-garden-map/assets/synce...
        
       | monkburger wrote:
       | I've gone from 6b to 7a.
       | 
       | Winters almost do not exist here in the mid-Atlantic. Sure, there
       | are some cold snaps, but they do not last as long as 20 to 30
       | years ago. Snowfall? Getting less and less with an occasional
       | nor'easter here and there.
       | 
       | Ancedotally, in late February, I had to mow the lawn.
       | 
       | We've started measuring TTFF. (Time-to-first-frost).
       | Historically, it was in early to mid October for decades. Now
       | it's pushing mid-November. The growing seasons are longer, for
       | sure.
        
         | kbenson wrote:
         | > Winters almost do not exist here ... Snowfall? Getting less
         | and less with an occasional nor'easter here and there.
         | 
         | That seems like a regional saying, which translates very poorly
         | to an online global audience. I read winters almost do not
         | exist and assumed you were being more literal than "there's
         | less snow".
         | 
         | It's snowed here 2-3 times in the last couple decades, each
         | time for maybe a minute or two. I still wouldn't say we don't
         | have a winter. For this area, winter is when it rains. Which is
         | different than summer because there's no rain in the summer,
         | almost ever (maybe one day on average as freak weather).
         | 
         | Edit: I seem to have struck a nerve here, but I'm not sure why
         | noting that a particular turn of phrase might be confusing to
         | people from other areas would do so.
        
           | monkburger wrote:
           | Our last big snowstorm was in 2016. Afterwards we were in a
           | snowfall drought for years (well below average)
           | 
           | We had a few close calls for big snow, but they never
           | materialized. This is unheard of.
           | 
           | Even during strong El Nino patterns, the east coast is
           | supposed to receive good snowfall. It did not happen. Even
           | with a -NAO, -AO, +PNA!
        
             | kbenson wrote:
             | My point was that in some areas they equate winter with
             | snow, and reduction of snow seems to be interpreted as no
             | winter. If the weather patter is still notably different
             | than summer, it's winter. Equating snow in the current area
             | to winter and lack of it to not being winter is a regional
             | thing. It makes certain statements, like "winters almost do
             | not exist here" come across very differently to people in
             | other regions, which what what I was trying to express.
             | 
             | For example, my initial interpretation of your early
             | statements in that comment was that you were saying there's
             | little difference between fall and spring from winter, that
             | your winters don't have a noticeable difference to the
             | other seasons. From the rest of your comment it sounds like
             | it's just somewhat milder than it used to be, but still
             | notably different weather pattern.
        
         | TylerE wrote:
         | Here in quasi-coastal NC, I'm down to maybe 10 days a year
         | wearing long pants. It got up to 71F New Years Day this year,
         | and February had days in the 80s (and none below freezing).
         | There's basically pollen season, summer, fall, repeat. It
         | doesn't seem to be much colder, if at all, in January than
         | November. i barely ever see my breath.
         | 
         | Not at all how it was in the exact town 35 years ago as a kid.
         | It wasn't frigid, even then, but we had a real Winter season
         | where it would consistently stay cold for 3-4 months.
         | 
         | Now, even though it can get cold, it seems like you have a
         | "nice day" weekend at least once a month.
        
           | monkburger wrote:
           | Indeed. We have a very limited winter. There are often more
           | warm days than cold days.
           | 
           | The last time I had to use my snowblower was in a mega
           | snowstorm during the winter of 2015/2016. That is simply
           | unheard of! (at least here)
        
           | genewitch wrote:
           | I saw my breath outside, yesterday, in louisiana. It was 66
           | degrees and slightly raining.
           | 
           | edit: I don't think this has solely to do with the ambient
           | temperature and more to do with wet bulb temperatures.
        
         | linuxftw wrote:
         | Hardiness zones are about the minimum temperature. This doesn't
         | impact annuals, but perennial crops such as fruit trees, the
         | minimum is the most important metric. It doesn't matter if you
         | hit -3 degrees (for example) once a decade, or once a year, it
         | will kill your orchard.
         | 
         | This map update is nonsense for my area.
        
           | Ylpertnodi wrote:
           | -3F or -3C?
        
         | genewitch wrote:
         | here in louisiana it's snowed 3 times in the last 11 years. It
         | routinely will go several days at a hard freeze. It very nearly
         | is always at or below freezing at night. I have a CSV of
         | 5-minute granularity temperatures going back several years (at
         | least 5 years).
         | 
         | It's gotten to freezing in southern california, in that decade,
         | as well - at night. Growing up there, it never did, but around
         | 2002 or so it got to 30 one night. I have friends in the PNW,
         | utah, colorado, texas. The US has a _long_ cycle, and listening
         | to people who have either moved around a lot or not been alive
         | for more than 1 cycle is funny to me.
         | 
         | I enjoy talking to old timers, especially about nature. Prior
         | to 2021, the year everyone made fun of Texans, there was 1
         | large freeze in the early or mid 2000s, where ice formed on
         | power lines and broke the lines. Prior to that, it hadn't
         | happened for at least 30 years to anyone's recollection.
         | 
         | Oh, and i live in a sub-tropical rainforest. It rained exactly
         | 5" this weekend - i just went and checked. I comment a lot
         | about the weather on my boring facebook account, so i can see
         | all the times it's rained more than an inch or two - or where
         | rain was predicted but didn't appear.
         | 
         | Come summertime, when it's "the hottest ever recorded", there
         | will be different arguments from one side, as usual.
        
       | unnamed76ri wrote:
       | When this new map was first released, it was very amusing
       | watching people in gardening Facebook groups start planning to
       | grow plants that have died whenever they tried in the past. Just
       | because the government gave them a new number, they think it
       | suddenly changed the reality on the ground.
       | 
       | I grow 25+ kinds of fruit and I'd love to add more. But the
       | reality is that fruits like figs and muscadines still die every
       | winter where I am at.
        
       | TylerE wrote:
       | Does anyone else HATE pages like this? Just show me the damn map
       | and not 5 different pop up overlays, many animated, depending on
       | how hard scrolled down I am.
       | 
       | Oh, and their "zip code" search is broken, it takes me to the
       | state capital over a hundred miles away, in a totally different
       | climactic zone. Doubly broken.
        
         | tzs wrote:
         | They don't have a zip code search as far as I can tell. It asks
         | you to enter your city and state or use the "Surprise me!"
         | button.
        
           | TylerE wrote:
           | 99.9% of web search forms that ask for a city accept a zip
           | code, and are often more accurate when doing so, as even a
           | mid sized city can be composed of dozens of zip codes, never
           | mind places like Central Manhattan where some zipcodes
           | resolve all the way down to single buildings.
        
             | itslennysfault wrote:
             | ...but this page is part of the 0.1% (by your math) that
             | actually wants what it asked for. So, this is just a case
             | of user error. Enter what it asked for and it works great.
        
           | interestica wrote:
           | As a Canadian, constraining the data viz by political border
           | is annoying.
        
         | danginurass wrote:
         | Your tax dollars paid for it btw
        
           | danginurass wrote:
           | There's nothing more progressive than giving part of my
           | paycheck indirectly to a shitty developer who can only work
           | at an NGO
        
           | Sparkle-san wrote:
           | NPR could have spent every single taxpayer dollar they
           | received for the year on this one project and it would still
           | be a rounding error on the national budget.
        
           | TylerE wrote:
           | Less than 1% of NPR funding comes from taxes.
        
       | mattgrice wrote:
       | It is very nice to see US-targeted media use F. All climate
       | related news seems to use C and I'd bet that 95%+ of Americans
       | don't know 2 degrees C = 3.6 degrees F. So most Americans are
       | underestimating the effects of climate change by almost a factor
       | of 2. And those are the ones that believe in it.
       | 
       | I think the US should move to SI but as long as we haven't (and
       | have actually taken steps backwards during the Bush
       | administration) as far as I am concerned it is journalistic
       | malpractice if not active disinformation to report temperature
       | changes in C in US media.
        
         | nemo44x wrote:
         | > I think the US should move to SI
         | 
         | F is a much better unit than C for everyday use.
        
           | kd5bjo wrote:
           | Having lived in regions that use both, I have to say that
           | there's not much difference in everyday experience once
           | you've gotten used to it. I don't think I'd like to be
           | dealing with Kelvin (the actual SI temperature unit) on an
           | everyday basis, though. Or maybe I'd get used to it just as
           | easily as switching between C and F.
        
           | Illniyar wrote:
           | I've used C all my life, but moved to the US lately and
           | trying to start using F.
           | 
           | Probably the easiest measurement change to get used to.
           | There's very little difference in actual practice.
           | 
           | C makes it easier to reason regarding freezing/boiling - it's
           | simpler to think about if it's going to snow by relating it
           | to 0 then 32. But that's about the only difference in day to
           | day use I can think of.
           | 
           | I haven't heard any reason to prefer F over C however (unlike
           | Feet for example).
        
             | DataDive wrote:
             | > _Probably the easiest measurement change to get used to._
             | 
             | here is a counter-anecdotal evidence I moved to the US 25
             | years ago, still hate F with passion
             | 
             | I gave it a serious go. After trying to get used to F for
             | 20-some years, I went back and set all my thermometers and
             | online weather maps to Celsius.
             | 
             | Farenheit is an absurdly bad scale choice. It is needlessly
             | granular for everyday use and feels wholly arbitrary.
             | 
             | 32 degrees is freezing, so how far is 19 F from freezing?
             | 32-19 ... ummm 13 degrees and that is as far as 32+19 ...
             | ummm 51 degrees ... what are we talking about? -10 and +10
             | Celsius ...
             | 
             | I still don't know if 120F would burn my hands or not, if
             | 150 F scalds or not. I have no sense about temperatures
             | above 100F (and that one only because it is a threshold for
             | fever)
        
               | tzs wrote:
               | > I still don't know if 120F would burn my hands or not,
               | if 150 F scalds or not. I have no sense about
               | temperatures above 100F
               | 
               | I don't see how C would be easier for that. How do you
               | know if 49 burns or 66 scalds?
        
           | NeoTar wrote:
           | > F is a much better unit than C for everyday use.
           | 
           | People say this, and it confuses me.
           | 
           | Basically the only difference between the two is the absolute
           | numbers and the resolution.
           | 
           | Regarding resolution, for me the difference between, say 22 C
           | and 23 C isn't consistently noticeable - it depends on what
           | I'm wearing, my recent activity level, humidity, etc. having
           | a finer resolution - i.e. between 72 and 73 F isn't that
           | useful. That is to say, I'd change my plans if it were say 8
           | C outside instead of 18 C, but I wouldn't if it were 17
           | instead of 18.
           | 
           | Regarding absolute numbers - sure with Fahrenheit you don't
           | need to use negative numbers as much, but apparently you
           | still need to across much of the US, and dealing with
           | negative numbers is... fine? Having generally smaller numbers
           | (i.e. most of Earth has natural temperatures of - 40 to +40)
           | is probably better? And having that obvious distinction of
           | when water freezes makes some sense maybe?
           | 
           | I honestly don't thing either is particularly better for
           | everyday use, it's just that a lot of people are habituated
           | to one or the other.
        
             | hanniabu wrote:
             | F is nice b/c it's pretty much on a 0-100 scale. 0 is
             | really cold, 100 is really hot. Anything below 0 or about
             | 100 is pretty much death without proper care.
        
             | dmoy wrote:
             | > but apparently you still need to across much of the US,
             | and dealing with negative numbers is... fine?
             | 
             | Honestly, you don't really need to, at least on a day-to-
             | day basis. I grew up somewhere where it got <0F every year
             | for like a week at a time. You will just colloquially refer
             | to it as "below zero" which roughly translates into "yea
             | f** that, we aren't going outside".
             | 
             | The only time I ever really remembered distinguishing
             | between degrees below 0 was midwestern trash talk between
             | e.g. IL, WI, MN, and ND. (If I remember correctly, ND wins
             | on wind chill)
        
           | CatWChainsaw wrote:
           | "30 is hot, 20 is nice, 10 is chilly, 0 is ice".
           | 
           | You're welcome.
        
           | RoyalHenOil wrote:
           | I use both F and C (I grew up exclusively using F, but now I
           | have a lot of experience with both), and I prefer C.
           | 
           | It's more handy for cold weather because freezing is 0deg
           | (which is way less awkward than 32deg), and it's more handy
           | for cooking because boiling is 100deg (which is way less
           | awkward than 212deg).
           | 
           | It's also nice that the human body temperature is a round
           | 37deg (rather than 98.6deg).
           | 
           | For warmer weather, F and C are about the same to me. It's
           | easy to remember that 20degC is perfect, 30degC is hot, and
           | 40degC is miserable -- just as it is easy to remember the
           | equivalent 70degF, 85degF, and 100degF.
           | 
           | So I have found that C is better for day-to-day use, even
           | though it's not what I grew up with and I have drastically
           | less experience with it. All I needed was a little time to
           | get used to it.
        
       | throwaway2016a wrote:
       | This is cool but I found the UX confusing at first. It was not
       | intuitive to me at all I had to scroll to see more information.
        
       | g051051 wrote:
       | The worst excesses of "modern" web presentation, coupled with a
       | complete lack of actual gardening info...I'm completely baffled.
       | 1% "here's your zone", and 99% "your zone is almost no use for
       | gardening"
        
       | Illniyar wrote:
       | This is such a well made site. Nice to look at, not too flashy
       | and very informative.
       | 
       | Made me keep reading on a subject I care not at all about.
        
       | cyanydeez wrote:
       | They refuse to update so many hazard maps due to improved
       | science, im amazed no ones disputed this
        
       | swalling wrote:
       | This NPR map looks wrong in some places, I would just trust the
       | actual USDA map https://planthardiness.ars.usda.gov/
       | 
       | For instance, the NPR source says that Portland, OR was
       | reclassified as 9b, whereas the actual USDA map says that
       | depending on your elevation, it's still either 8a or 8b.
        
       | downrightmike wrote:
       | That little walking plant is cool for 5 seconds, but super
       | annoying and you can't close it
        
       | adversaryIdiot wrote:
       | how can i get that cute ass pot walking around my screen 24/7?
        
       | zwieback wrote:
       | No change in my hometown of Corvallis OR but plenty of change in
       | the areas surrounding the Willamette Valley.
        
       | Tiktaalik wrote:
       | Was at the garden centre yesterday and on some plants over top
       | the regular labels the store had put their own stickers on top:
       | 
       | "Not winter hardy in our new climate"
       | 
       | Kind of a "buyer beware" type thing for long time customers used
       | to buying these plants that while previously dependable
       | perennials now might not be.
       | 
       | Really disturbing stuff to see.
        
         | bagels wrote:
         | Because the minimum temperature is higher or lower than before?
        
           | Tiktaalik wrote:
           | I suspect due to colder weather and because of more
           | erraticness. We've had some colder stretches and we're now
           | experiencing more sudden cold snaps deeper into Spring.
           | Latter situation especially bad if a plant is coming out of
           | dormancy and then experiences freezing temperatures.
           | 
           | The label I saw was on a native to Mexico plant.
        
       | VoodooJuJu wrote:
       | I was excited to see this and the changes that occurred, but this
       | "map" is one of those preachy hyperinteractive visual
       | storytelling scrollslop things that the likes of NYT routinely
       | creates.
       | 
       | Anyone have a link to the actual map of the zone changes without
       | the interactive TikTok experience?
        
       | j-bos wrote:
       | While I didn't have patience to see the full page, the walking
       | potted plant works perfectly on mobile! It was nice.
        
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