[HN Gopher] Patient dies weeks after kidney transplant from gene...
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       Patient dies weeks after kidney transplant from genetically
       modified pig
        
       Author : lxm
       Score  : 52 points
       Date   : 2024-05-12 18:07 UTC (4 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.nytimes.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.nytimes.com)
        
       | goles wrote:
       | https://archive.is/XjlhQ
        
       | sd9 wrote:
       | > The hospital said it had "no indication" his death was related
       | to the transplant.
       | 
       | Additionally, the transplant happened in March, which is "weeks
       | ago" but not 2 weeks ago, which is the timeframe I initially
       | assumed from the headline.
        
         | gexla wrote:
         | Also, I'm guessing it's not actually the hospital's job to post
         | the more detailed info which may be important related to
         | learning from the transplant. I'm way out of my element here,
         | but wouldn't the hospital just be the location and any
         | important info sharing would be handled by someone else?
        
         | AdamJacobMuller wrote:
         | Technically anything (>14 days) could be considered "weeks ago"
         | 
         | I was born more than 2000 weeks ago.
         | 
         | That bit of the headline is just pointless.
        
           | jraph wrote:
           | Commonly, you would say weeks when months wouldn't apply,
           | otherwise it would be misleading if not plain wrong. Usually.
           | (such rules aren't set in stone, allowing humor to exist for
           | instance ("I had a child" "Aw! A boy or a girl?" "Yes");
           | context matters)
           | 
           | Mathematically true isn't sufficient (and possibly sometimes
           | not even relevant), "weeks ago" bears more meaning in common
           | language than "there exists N such that N > 2 and N weeks
           | passed".
           | 
           | So you were born that many weeks ago, but not really weeks
           | ago.
           | 
           | What matters is how things are understood and it's not
           | usually the interpretation of a formal version of the text
           | (or it is, but a complex one that depends on the mood, the
           | culture and the knowledge of the recipient, their
           | understanding of the author, possibly on other factors as
           | well, that most likely doesn't quite match a naive formal
           | translation)
        
       | RcouF1uZ4gsC wrote:
       | > The hospital said it had "no indication that it was the result
       | of his recent transplant."
       | 
       | Sorry, the burden of proof goes backwards. When you are doing
       | something this novel and the patient dies so soon afterwards, the
       | null hypothesis is that it had something to do with the
       | transplant and you have to show evidence that it was not due to
       | the transplant.
        
         | pocketarc wrote:
         | It is entirely possible that the hospital knows what happened
         | and why the person died, and are just not sharing it (maybe to
         | respect the family's privacy, for example).
         | 
         | Having said that, I do think you're right, the cause of death
         | should absolutely be shared, otherwise it looks quite dodgy. If
         | he was indeed discharged with "one of the cleanest bills of
         | health I've had in a long time", then how could he die so
         | shortly after, and why would there not be more discussion
         | around the specifics?
        
           | everforward wrote:
           | It's grim, but he had renal failure requiring an operation in
           | 2018 and then back into renal failure causing congestive
           | heart failure in 2023.
           | 
           | It's very possible for him to have the cleanest bill of
           | health he's had in 6 months or a couple of years, while still
           | dying.
           | 
           | I suspect that unwinding whether his death is related to the
           | transplant or not is non-trivial. He had a few issues that
           | would likely kill him soon. Figuring out which one did, and
           | whether it was caused by the transplant, may be difficult.
        
         | jorlow wrote:
         | On the other hand, you have to be pretty sick to qualify for
         | such extremely experimental procedures. And transplants are
         | pretty intensive operations even when someone is otherwise
         | healthy (and getting human organs). It doesn't seem farfetched
         | for unrelated complications to indeed be the cause of death.
        
         | Someone wrote:
         | If alternative treatment with decent prognosis exists (in this
         | case Hemodialysis is such an option), to get past the ethics
         | committee, first operations like these typically have to be
         | done on patients on their death bed. That doesn't make it
         | likely the patients survive a long time.
         | 
         | For example, here's what Wikipedia says this of the first
         | receiver of a heart transplant
         | (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Louis_Washkansky):
         | 
         |  _"As a result of heart attacks in 1965, approximately only one
         | third of his heart was still functioning. In late October, he
         | went into a diabetic coma, but regained consciousness. Once,
         | when he was swollen with fluid and in considerable pain, his
         | wife Ann asked him in a whisper how he was doing. He managed a
         | smile and whispered, "I'm on top of the world." He was also
         | suffering from kidney and liver failure."_
         | 
         | And that's a case where no good alternative treatment existed,
         | at a time when ethics committees weren't as stringent as they
         | are today, if they existed at all.
        
         | bsder wrote:
         | Someone who has end stage kidney disease practically by
         | definition has a shitload of other problems--any of which can
         | kill the patient.
         | 
         | This is similar to AIDS. AIDS almost never kills directly. Some
         | other disease like cancer or pneumonia does the actual killing.
        
         | rediguanayum wrote:
         | While article doesn't say the cause of death, the patient did
         | suffer from congestive heart failure, as a prior condition.
         | Further congestive heart failure can cause all sorts of
         | complications, meaning that the patient was pretty sick at
         | baseline. According to the article, patient had an earlier
         | human kidney transplant in 2018 that failed in 2023 leading to
         | the congestive heart failure, and thus made patient a candidate
         | for the xeno-kidney transplant. Patient was a pioneer- rest in
         | peace.
        
         | andrelaszlo wrote:
         | This is why there are concepts like relative survival. Maybe
         | new procedures are evaluated using similar methods?
         | 
         | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Relative_survival
        
         | hombre_fatal wrote:
         | Not when the intervention is done on someone already about to
         | die.
        
         | torstenvl wrote:
         | No. When a very ill patient with several terminal comorbidities
         | dies, the null hypothesis is that he died from one of those
         | conditions. Your prior is to be skeptical of new medical
         | interventions, and that's fine, but it is your responsibility
         | to distinguish between your biases and the most likely a priori
         | cause.
        
         | choilive wrote:
         | The patient had a host of other conditions that put their
         | mortality risk already extraordinarily high, which is likely
         | why this experiment treatment got approved in the first place.
         | Kidney function might now be fine but it could have just have
         | easily been one of the other comorbidities that did them in. I
         | am sure they are doing more research on this.
        
       | adamredwoods wrote:
       | So he also had congestive heart failure from the previous kidney
       | failure. Also other articles state "type 2 diabetes and
       | hypertension". Dialysis was becoming a burden.
       | 
       | He was very brave. A decision like this is immense.
        
         | ceejayoz wrote:
         | Yeah, early trials of something like this will be offered to
         | someone who likely wouldn't benefit all that much from a real
         | human kidney either, so as not to waste it.
        
       | nxobject wrote:
       | I am reminded of Barney Clark, the recipient of the Jarvik-7 - he
       | lived for 112 days, but brushed up against the limits of his
       | transplanted mechanical heart as time went on and on.
        
       | zaptheimpaler wrote:
       | > The hospital said it had "no indication" his death was related
       | to the transplant.
       | 
       | I think the transplant team likely did have tons of evidence
       | showing the kidney was fine - monitoring things heavily is just
       | normal procedure after any transplant, even more so after this
       | kind of transplant. He would have had daily or weekly labs
       | showing Creatinine/eGFR, ultrasounds, blood tests, urine tests,
       | regular appointments talking about symptoms and lots more.
       | 
       | Its possible that the pig kidney caused the death in some way
       | that isn't clearly understood yet though. Maybe some proteins in
       | the kidney went into the bloodstream and affected another organ,
       | maybe they exacerbate congested blood vessels somehow etc. Maybe
       | an autopsy will reveal more.
       | 
       | But yeah if you read the history of transplants or any risky new
       | medical procedure, they are very fragile and can be set back
       | decades or stopped when they go bad or mistakes are made. There
       | are incentives for people to cover up the reason's things failed
       | and history of hospitals lying out of their teeth to cover their
       | asses (see Charles Cullen in The Good Nurse).
       | 
       | I guess I'm saying there is plenty of evidence on both sides of
       | the answer to the question of "why did he die".. either way he
       | did something heroic.
        
       | Laaas wrote:
       | "Patient given modified pig kidney dies two months later" would
       | be more apt.
       | 
       | Very editorialized title.
        
         | maerF0x0 wrote:
         | "Patient dies of congestive heart failure, not due to pig
         | kidney transplant" Also would be more apt.
        
           | dyauspitr wrote:
           | That would be misleading too in the other direction, we don't
           | know if it played a role.
           | 
           | "Patient given modified pig kidney dies two months later,
           | cause not confirmed to be kidney" or something along those
           | lines would be the best headline.
        
             | kQq9oHeAz6wLLS wrote:
             | Both your headline and OPs would not have met the first
             | requirement for a headline, which is to draw the reader in
             | so they have to read the article to get the whole picture.
             | 
             | Sadly, the article's headline does just that.
        
             | mrybczyn wrote:
             | "Patient sick enough to need a kidney transplant, dies"
        
       | maerF0x0 wrote:
       | First of all.. RIP Pioneer. Thank you for your service to
       | humanity.
       | 
       | > The hospital said it had "no indication that it was the result
       | of his recent transplant."
       | 
       | A major issue, at least in Canada, is that the system will let
       | you get too sick to recover before helping you. There are times
       | when a healthy person enters the queue, and doesn't get fast-
       | tracked / called upon until their health begins to fail severely.
        
         | morkalork wrote:
         | The cases in Canada are mind bogglingly frustrating, such as a
         | woman ending up with an amputation after getting extreme bed
         | sores while in care. If you think rugular movement and care
         | from nurses to prevent that was too expensive, how does that
         | compare to a whole operation and following recovery? Talk about
         | penny wise and pound foolish.
        
           | sealeck wrote:
           | This is an extremely general problem which I think comes down
           | to temporal biases in the human mind and a kind of
           | survivorship bias.
        
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       (page generated 2024-05-12 23:01 UTC)