[HN Gopher] 100 Years of IBM
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       100 Years of IBM
        
       Author : the-mitr
       Score  : 54 points
       Date   : 2024-05-10 10:25 UTC (1 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.tikalon.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.tikalon.com)
        
       | Nursie wrote:
       | Again? They had one 12 years ago!
        
         | caleblloyd wrote:
         | Yea that was on display at my onboarding in 2012. The 1940s
         | segment skipped over the complicity towards their German
         | partnership with the Nazis in the Holocaust so it was pretty
         | lost on me.
        
       | DeathArrow wrote:
       | Why did former giants like IBM and AT&T became insignifiant? It's
       | bad management, it's ossification? Are Microsoft, Apple and
       | Google condemned to the same fate?
        
         | ikari_pl wrote:
         | IMHO Google may be a good example. They shifted their entire
         | philosophy from innovation to securing their profitability. And
         | it seems there's nothing more boring to the media than a
         | company that's stable.
         | 
         | IBM is not insignificant, it just doesn't get much attention in
         | the headlines.
        
         | bee_rider wrote:
         | "The Innovator's Dilemma" came out in the 90's, but I bet it
         | would still be an ok place to start (I haven't actually read
         | it, but it is a famous book).
        
           | rrr_oh_man wrote:
           | Duuuude, you honestly should read it
        
             | waldothedog wrote:
             | Seconding! It isn't the easiest read, but there are some
             | good lessons/concepts
        
         | Aromasin wrote:
         | There's a good podcast called Acquired. Highly recommend it.
         | They're private equity guys who cover the history of companies
         | and what made them great, and cover the topic very well.
         | 
         | For IBM and AT&T, from what I gather it seems like they missed
         | out on multiple waves of new technologies because there wasn't
         | a market for it, or the revenue was so low it wasn't worth
         | their time. They were market maintainers, not makers. They also
         | rested on the fact that they were the incumbents, so made the
         | incorrect assumption that people would always default to them
         | out of convenience.
         | 
         | Your second question basically falls back to whether FAANG make
         | the same mistake; resting on their laurels while some small fry
         | breaks into a market they deemed too small to serve.
        
           | waldothedog wrote:
           | The essence of the "innovators dilemma"
        
           | abhiyerra wrote:
           | I really liked their recent one on Microsoft. They cover how
           | intertwined Microsoft was in the early days with IBM. IBM did
           | notice the trend towards PCs and made it a skunkwork project
           | out of Florida to remove it from the IBM bureaucracy.
           | 
           | Second there is a book called "The Difference between Larry
           | Ellison and God" which was about the early days of Oracle.
           | Oracle's SQL database was built entirely on research from IBM
           | and a bit from Berkeley. IBM was slow to commercialize on SQL
           | but the reason SQL is a standard is because of IBM.
           | 
           | But one of the interesting things that the podcast covers is
           | that IBM was so large and powerful they were stymied to make
           | the big moves necessary because it would have led to
           | antitrust action. So even though we think of it as ineptitude
           | there was a reason that they missed the mark.
        
         | kitd wrote:
         | Wish I could make $60Bn and be insignificant.
        
         | suprjami wrote:
         | IBM had decades of trash CEOs who focused on returning
         | shareholder dividends at the expense of literally everything
         | else.
         | 
         | You know what's really expensive? Employees! Fire the lot. Send
         | their wages to the shareholders and cheaply outsource every job
         | possible.
         | 
         | Ginny (former CEO) spent years turning this around and only
         | just managed in her last quarter or two. Arvind (current CEO)
         | is the first person they've had in forever who has real vision
         | and understands the modern tech industry.
         | 
         | IBM is a big ship to turn but it's slowly modernising and
         | trying to become relevant to more people besides AIX mainframe
         | renewals. Arvind wants IBM Cloud to displace AWS/GCP/Azure
         | which is certainly aiming for the stars. Even if they get 20%
         | of the way there that'll be huge.
         | 
         | I'm not saying IBM is a guaranteed growth share but they at
         | least seem to be out of their death spiral.
        
           | bequanna wrote:
           | What kind of market share does IBM cloud have? Seems like
           | they are more than a decade late to the game.
           | 
           | I work with F500 clients on data projects and have never,
           | ever heard anyone mention "IBM Cloud" as an option.
        
         | pfdietz wrote:
         | It's because staying on top is really really hard. The default
         | expectation should be that a company doesn't stay on top.
        
         | sgt101 wrote:
         | Well, AT&T was so insignificant that the government broke it
         | into 8, 7 regional phone companies and a core continental
         | provider. The core (AT&T) then sold its tech capability
         | (Lucent). One of the bits (South Western) then ate the core and
         | decided to call itself AT&T once more, now it's one of the
         | biggest (13th) companies in the USA again.
         | 
         | However, the internet meant dumb core, smart edge. This, and
         | regulation meant that telecoms companies have struggled to make
         | themselves relevant to consumers. Any attempt to do so
         | (undermining net neutrality) generally inspires rage in
         | everyone. Technical change has lead to the situation now of the
         | core just being what happens in data centres and between data
         | centres - everything else is just noise. Telcos weren't able to
         | raise the funds to invest in cloud at the rate that Amazon,
         | Google and MS were because they had other investment pulls
         | (3,4,5G, FTTH) and much less free cash - and so they got shut
         | out.
        
           | unixhero wrote:
           | I work in a Telco Fortune500, thanks for a great argument for
           | why telcos didn't innovate.
        
         | dghlsakjg wrote:
         | AT&T had free cash flow of 26.8 billion and EPS of $3.40. They
         | run the largest 5G cell phone network in the US.
         | 
         | I'm not sure that's insignificant or that they can be referred
         | to as a "former" giant.
        
         | WalterBright wrote:
         | Companies form, grow, get old, and die. Like organisms, they
         | start out fresh. They slowly accumulate errors, parasites,
         | inefficiency, unable to adapt to a changing market, etc.
         | 
         | The persistent idea that companies naturally grow into
         | monopolies that take over the world has never actually
         | happened.
         | 
         | For a recent example, Walmart was supposed to be one of those
         | monopolies that take over the world. Yet they've been
         | complaining to the FTC that Amazon is competing unfairly with
         | them.
        
           | brcmthrowaway wrote:
           | I live in a city where Walmart doesn't exist
        
       | qrian wrote:
       | Why are there so many links to irrelevant wikipedia links, such
       | as [wood], [woman], and [boon]? Did they just run a software to
       | tag every noun with a wikipedia article?
        
         | rahkiin wrote:
         | They're giving Wikipedia the hard-needed inlinks for search
         | engines.
        
           | lionkor wrote:
           | Cant tell if you're being serious or sarcastic
        
         | OJFord wrote:
         | Sometimes I wish Wikipedia would get more JS-y, and have no
         | hyperlinks as such in text, but you could click on any word (or
         | something) to go to page if it has one.
         | 
         | Because I've had this the other way around too, where it's not
         | linked and I have to go there myself because I actually do want
         | it. (And that can also be because the word was linked elsewhere
         | on the page.)
        
       | hajimuz wrote:
       | Technically the name of IBM is 100 years old. But the company is
       | 110 years old now.
        
         | hggh wrote:
         | > But the company is 110 years old now
         | 
         | Almost 113 ("14th day of June 1911"):
         | https://books.google.ch/books?id=_8tFAQAAMAAJ&pg=PA3428&redi...
        
       | Animats wrote:
       | IBM's own video at 100.[1]
       | 
       | [1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=59haQ44b7Uc
        
         | l1k wrote:
         | "They Were There"
         | 
         | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MmVCePfMXAU
        
       | JSDevOps wrote:
       | Old school mentality of work 70 hours a week 9 - 5 and unpaid
       | overtime chained to a desk and you'll get promoted. Except when
       | you don't when we need to save cash because of you know
       | dividends.
        
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       (page generated 2024-05-11 23:01 UTC)