[HN Gopher] Defending the city: An overview of defensive tactics
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Defending the city: An overview of defensive tactics
        
       Author : jdmark
       Score  : 63 points
       Date   : 2024-05-06 01:35 UTC (1 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (mwi.westpoint.edu)
 (TXT) w3m dump (mwi.westpoint.edu)
        
       | davidw wrote:
       | We're seeing massive use of drones in the UA/RU war. I wonder how
       | those change these points?
        
         | jacoblambda wrote:
         | I'd argue it's still the same, there's just a tech
         | accessibility difference between defense and offense. When they
         | are equal, defense still tends to win out but it'll take a bit
         | for the access to catch up.
         | 
         | The counter for drones will be the proliferation of CRAM/CIWS
         | and APS. Currently there exists cheap, publicly available (and
         | commonly heavily open sourced) tech stacks for drones but the
         | same is not the case for CRAM/CIWS and APS. But fundamentally
         | the systems that can effectively kill artillery shells, mortars
         | shells, rockets, and missiles in flight will be able to kill
         | drones as well. There are some differences (such as that drones
         | tend to fly lower/slower) but fundamentally the tech applies
         | the same.
         | 
         | And to be entirely honest this proliferation is almost entirely
         | a software problem. Of course the existence of public hardware
         | designs is important as well but getting effective sensor
         | integration, detection, targeting, tracking, and response at a
         | low enough latency will be bottlenecked by access to high
         | quality domain specific software.
        
           | throwup238 wrote:
           | I don't think we've even seen the real potential of drone
           | warfare on the battlefield, yet. Right now their guidance is
           | very crude, little more than the adaptation of consumer FPV
           | technology. Once US/RU/CN have had time to develop the
           | technology, build up the manufacturing and logistics, and
           | give them AI automated target selection, it's going to
           | completely change the nature of warfare IMO.
           | 
           | Instead of dropping tons of expensive guided bombs and
           | shells, attackers will drop tens of thousands of cheaper
           | small anti-personnel hunter-seeker drones that can not only
           | seek out human targets but wait in low power mode for a
           | target to appear if it can't identify one at first. It'll
           | make most kinds of static installations and defenses
           | untenable. Units will have to constantly be on the move and
           | camouflaged, and avoid giving up all kinds of life signs like
           | sound/gunshots, thermal, RF comms, etc. The smaller drones
           | will be able to help larger drones with targeting any armor
           | they can't handle themselves while acting like free flying
           | land mines.
           | 
           | I agree that it's a software problem. The Slaughterbots video
           | [1] is already six years old and all of the pieces to make
           | killer drone swarms were already there (just not as
           | miniaturized as the video). Now there's data in Ukraine about
           | how well individual drones work; AI is getting better and
           | better; the compute is getting cheap enough to just slap on a
           | drone; SOTA single use aluminum air batteries can already
           | enable drones with much longer flight times than consumer
           | batteries. All the pieces are there to make a nightmarish
           | weapon that changes warfare as much as the machine gun, land
           | mine, or air support.
           | 
           | [1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ecClODh4zYk
        
             | flawsofar wrote:
             | And thus begins the serious electromagnetic weapons age
        
             | unethical_ban wrote:
             | I think/hope civilian organizations get access to this
             | technology or the defensive counterparts before it is
             | banned.
             | 
             | Having guns and food and ammo is good, but if civilians
             | want to have a chance against NYPD or (insert dystopian
             | boot) then night vision, drones for surveillance and
             | offense, as well as drone defense are needed.
             | 
             | Having offensive drone tech in the hands of domestic law
             | enforcement scares the shit out of me. I think we are one
             | human generation away from the Matrix "Sentinels" being a
             | reality. Swarms of autonomous disposable killer drones.
        
               | oceanplexian wrote:
               | I agree and am a huge advocate for the idea that self
               | defense is a human right.
               | 
               | Civilians should have a right to access to the exact same
               | technology that a government employs with its infantry.
               | I'm not talking Nuclear Weapons or Stealth Bombers, if a
               | 17-year-old recruit can be trusted to operate a drone to
               | kill human beings in a far off foreign country, law-
               | abiding citizens should have access to the same
               | technology. Or, alternatively, we can ban the technology,
               | as long as the police are restricted from using it the
               | same as civilians.
        
             | 082349872349872 wrote:
             | > _attackers will drop_
             | 
             | From what will they be dropping them?
        
               | throwup238 wrote:
               | I assume US/RU/CN/etc will drop them from stealth and
               | supersonic bombers. Everyone else will use basic bombers
               | and cargo planes if they can punch a hole in AA defenses
               | and if they cant, release them from 20ft shipping
               | containers or box trucks as close to enemy lines as
               | possible.
               | 
               | They're also small enough to deploy with infantry.
        
               | PeterisP wrote:
               | You could probably fire them with special artillery
               | shells, just as deploying remote minefields or cluster
               | munitions.
        
           | denton-scratch wrote:
           | CRAM and CIWS are for point-defence; it would be very
           | expensive to cover e.g. 100 miles of international border
           | using those systems. Because drones are steerable, they can
           | fly between the gatling guns and on to their target. Of
           | course, if the target has point-defence, that won't work!
           | 
           | In Ukraine, it seems that a lot of the defender's drones are
           | hybrid surveillance and attack, so they don't know what their
           | target is at launch. You can't point-defend a trenchline. I
           | think the Russians are relying on jammers. Broadband jamming
           | must require a lot of power (and presumably impairs their own
           | comms); narrowband jamming requires knowledge of the
           | attacker's frequency.
           | 
           | CRAM/CIWS generally consists of several weapons systems, and
           | a command centre with the radar, communicating by radio. So
           | those defensive systems are also exposed to jamming, which
           | could be achieved by a high-altitude drone; these systems
           | aren't designed to shoot things at 20,000 ft., although many
           | of them can have a SAM system strapped on.
           | 
           | Anyway, I suspect that drone-antidrone warfare is going to
           | come down to a radio arms-race; i.e. jammer vs. anti-jammer.
           | And you can defeat a jammer using beamforming.
        
       | JohnMakin wrote:
       | > Military theorists have long described the defense as the
       | strongest form of war, and current doctrine agrees.
       | 
       | Indeed - one of the first wars fought with modern rifling, the
       | American Civil War, had General Lee learn this lesson in a very
       | hard way on the last day of the Battle of Gettysburg, in a failed
       | infantry assault known as "Pickett's Charge."[0]
       | 
       | Lee mistakenly attacked a position that was very easily
       | defensible by Union artillery on faulty theory that it would be
       | weakened due to a (failed) artillery barrage that happened
       | previously. The Union correctly predicted Lee would attack there,
       | and he sent over 12,000 men in a futile assault that resulted in
       | 50% casualties in less than 1 hour, one of the bloodiest hours of
       | the entire war.
       | 
       | [0]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pickett%27s_Charge
        
         | runamuck wrote:
         | Good point. For a counter point, the German Blitzkrieg helped
         | them get France in WW2.
        
           | asdasdsddd wrote:
           | Only worked because armor was so dominant and anti armor
           | wasn't there yet.
        
             | sushibowl wrote:
             | This is in my opinion an oversimplification. Generally, the
             | success of blitzkrieg had more to do with speed and
             | coordination than the strength of armour. A combination of
             | mechanised infantry, tanks, and close air support were
             | instrumental to the tactics. German tanks were the only
             | ones universally equipped with radio units at the start of
             | the war.
        
               | llamaimperative wrote:
               | And, counterintuitively, _lack_ of coordination.
               | Blitzkrieg units were uniquely autonomous and trusted to
               | meet higher level objectives how they saw fit rather than
               | following a recipe book written weeks before and miles
               | away from the action.
        
               | fyt2024 wrote:
               | the ghost division :-)
        
               | asdasdsddd wrote:
               | The point is that tanks at the time were faster(along
               | with mechanized infantry) and virtually unstoppable past
               | enemy lines. This is pretty much unprecedented which
               | allowed them to basically take strategic objectives
               | uncontested.
               | 
               | This would not happen today because the exposed tanks
               | would be taken out by relatively cheap anti tank
               | missiles.
        
               | llamaimperative wrote:
               | There were several innovations bundled into Blitzkrieg so
               | I don't think it's productive to clarify what _the_ point
               | is.
               | 
               | Virtually unstoppable armor helped, extreme local
               | coordination helped, and extreme general decoupling
               | helped. All of these factors are relevant to Blitzkrieg's
               | success.
        
             | sabarn01 wrote:
             | The british and French assumed the germans were going to
             | swing though belgium again as they had done in WW1. Also
             | they spread their tanks out as infantry support the germans
             | had concentrated tank units.
        
           | georgeecollins wrote:
           | Even more modern example: The little green men who seized
           | Ukraine.
        
             | llamaimperative wrote:
             | Eh, seized a small sliver and failed with extremely high
             | casualties to seize a much larger chunk.
             | 
             | The botched invasion was _nothing like_ the German
             | Blitzkrieg.
        
           | zeteo wrote:
           | Just because the defense is stronger doesn't guarantee it
           | will always win. Take two sports teams with different levels
           | of skill, for example. In a single game, the team considered
           | weaker can pull off a surprise win. However, over a span of
           | several games, the stronger team will usually pull ahead.
           | 
           | In war, various factors, like the element of surprise, can
           | allow the offense to temporarily overcome an inherently
           | stronger defense. In 1940, the Germans quickly overran the
           | French by catching them off guard tactically and
           | strategically. The French couldn't adapt their defense
           | quickly enough and suffered too many crucial losses early on.
           | 
           | Next year, the Soviets fared even worse than the French
           | initially; but due to geography they managed to survive two
           | crucial years and, at Kursk in 1943, they showed how a well
           | designed defense could stop cold even the best German tanks.
           | The French themselves had a similar experience in WW1: after
           | initially surviving for two hard years, they gave the German
           | attackers a very bloody nose at Verdun.
        
       | ninininino wrote:
       | I want a tool that I can use to feed it a block of text or a URL
       | to a website and it will give me an LLM and a text prompt that
       | would yield said text/website.
       | 
       | I decided to ask ChatGPT 3.5 about what a Westpoint Academy
       | instructor would have to say about defending a city and defensive
       | tactics beyond those commonly known and the answer was not nearly
       | as interesting.
        
         | flawsofar wrote:
         | be the language model you want to see in the world
        
         | itronitron wrote:
         | or you could just visit the page
        
       | m3kw9 wrote:
       | Not updated to include drone tactics
        
       | rossant wrote:
       | (2022)
        
       | wolverine876 wrote:
       | (2022)
       | 
       | The date is important because it was written before the Ukraine-
       | Russia war's use of drones ramped up. The article doesn't mention
       | drones (UAVs) afaict - how to use them in attack and defense, how
       | to protect yourself - which is today a major omission.
        
       | lambdato wrote:
       | This paper is missing the new modern underdog tactic of forcing
       | your own population to stay in the combat zone, publicizing the
       | resulting carnage media widely, and using world-wide geopolitics
       | to force the opponent to retreat.
       | 
       | Bonus points for using hospitals as base of operations.
        
         | Facemelters wrote:
         | but it's a wall built and patrolled by the opponent that is
         | preventing the population from leaving the combat zone
        
         | webdoodle wrote:
         | PSYOP's are the most powerful and most used weapon in the U.S.
         | arsenal.
        
         | petsfed wrote:
         | I said as much in response to another (rightly) dead post:
         | 
         | Human shield tactics are basically as old as permanent
         | settlements, because forcing your enemy past their own ethical
         | limits has always been a tactic of occasional effectiveness.
         | Its basically how insurgencies work against technologically and
         | numerically superior opponents, and this has been true for
         | millennia.
         | 
         | And for just as long, there have been military and political
         | leaders describing it as cowardly or unsporting. But again, the
         | state of the art of military tactics is a catalog of what
         | _works_ , not what's _ethical_. The practice of war itself is,
         | by and large, unethical. If it didn 't work, they wouldn't keep
         | doing it. Speaking entirely for myself, I don't ever want to be
         | in the mental state to say "its ok for the SWAT team to shoot
         | through the hostages; its their fault for going to a bank that
         | could be robbed in the first place".
         | 
         | Absolutely, the party that provoked the war in the first place
         | is in the wrong for the attack that provoked it. But that
         | doesn't give the side prosecuting the war carte blanche to
         | respond as brutally as they please.
        
       ___________________________________________________________________
       (page generated 2024-05-07 23:01 UTC)