[HN Gopher] Whistleblower Josh Dean of Boeing supplier Spirit Ae...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Whistleblower Josh Dean of Boeing supplier Spirit AeroSystems has
       died
        
       Author : Freedom2
       Score  : 406 points
       Date   : 2024-05-01 23:17 UTC (23 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.seattletimes.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.seattletimes.com)
        
       | slater wrote:
       | https://archive.is/zOqdj
        
       | twiddling wrote:
       | Hmm. another Boeing-related whistleblower expired
        
       | trhway wrote:
       | Just yesterday here were a bunch of comments and jokes about how
       | it would look like if this guy dies too. And here we go ... fast
       | spreading infection in a 45 years old guy.
        
       | nxobject wrote:
       | Spirit Aerosystems: the part Boeing spun off because even it did
       | its own thing. Without the public profile of Boeing, it must have
       | been an even more hostile place to be.
        
       | hnthrowaway0328 wrote:
       | How many are left?
        
       | boring-alterego wrote:
       | I thought for a second what if the whistleblowers get into
       | witness protection, then I looked up what planes the us Marshalls
       | have ... It's not looking good for the whistleblowers.
        
       | carabiner wrote:
       | The author, Dominic Gates, long time Boeing coverage reporter for
       | Seattle Times and Pulitzer winner, has this to say:
       | 
       | > I've had enough
       | 
       | > Because I knew Josh, I had to report this - and the coincidence
       | with Mitch, whom I also knew
       | 
       | > But if you really believe Boeing has adopted Putin-style
       | assassination, unfollow me and go away
       | 
       | > If you're joking, it's not even slightly funny to joke about
       | this death
       | 
       | https://twitter.com/dominicgates/status/1785812827581849988
       | 
       | FYI 11,000 people die of MRSA every year.
        
         | ALittleLight wrote:
         | Actuarial table says death from all causes at 45 is ~0.4%. It's
         | an unlikely death, paired with another unlikely death - the
         | previous Boeing whistleblower.
         | 
         | I'm really confused by the reporter's attitude. It seems like
         | the exact opposite attitude from what you'd want in a reporter.
         | He seems to be dismissing the unusual coincidence based on... I
         | guess nothing? Just "come on, you can't believe that - we
         | aren't Russia."
         | 
         | How many Boeing whistleblowers are there? How many should we
         | expect will die by chance this year? If another one dies is
         | that the cutoff where it's reasonable to be suspicious?
         | 
         | I don't understand why I would extend any courtesy to Boeing. I
         | was suspicious when the first whistleblower died. Why shouldn't
         | I be? You may be a perfectly nice guy, but if the witnesses
         | testifying against you start dying, I'm going to be suspicious.
         | Why should I treat Boeing any differently?
        
           | tom_ wrote:
           | The reporter does not want his wife, children or other family
           | members to commit suicide or fall ill and die.
        
             | carabiner wrote:
             | Gates has been reporting news critical of Boeing for 20+
             | years. He is not a fanboy and never has been. They probably
             | should have taken him out long ago.
        
           | shadowgovt wrote:
           | There are still a lot of unanswered questions around the
           | first death.
           | 
           | In a post-COVID world, a 45-year-old dying of a respiratory
           | infection isn't at all surprising. I concur with the
           | reporter's assessment that more evidence of foul play before
           | open accusations is warranted in this second case.
        
           | carabiner wrote:
           | Check your priors. What's your base rate likelihood for a
           | person dying from:
           | 
           | * suicide (many documented cases)
           | 
           | * infectious diseases (ditto)
           | 
           | * corporate assassinations (zero cases in the US documented)
           | 
           | Everyone thinking Boeing is carrying out killings that have
           | minimal potential upside and massive downside is succumbing
           | to some cloak and dagger deus ex machina. After age 40 people
           | die from all sorts of causes. This is not about "courtesy,"
           | but rational thinking that there would be almost no point in
           | killing an employee when the company is already mired in bad
           | news and that corporate assassinations just don't happen in
           | the US.
        
             | darth_avocado wrote:
             | > corporate assassinations (zero cases in the US
             | documented)
             | 
             | That's the whole point of corporate assassinations isn't
             | it, get rid of people without raising suspicions.
        
               | ceejayoz wrote:
               | But the chances of them being both a) widespread and b)
               | perfectly gotten away with is pretty slim.
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/EBay_stalking_scandal
               | doesn't inspire confidence in big corporate cospiracies,
               | heh.
        
             | jjk166 wrote:
             | Zero documented cases of corporate assasinations in the US?
             | 
             | https://www.justice.gov/usao-sdga/pr/two-sentenced-their-
             | rol...
             | 
             | Homicide is a top 10 leading cause of death for americans
             | in their mid 40s.
        
           | XorNot wrote:
           | "It was definitely a murder to create a chilling effect on
           | whistleblowers" says a guy on the internet, pushing a
           | narrative that if you whistleblow on Boeing you'll definitely
           | be murdered.
           | 
           | What effect do you imagine that might have?
        
         | kube-system wrote:
         | > FYI 11,000 people die of MRSA every year.
         | 
         | In the US alone.
        
       | halfer53 wrote:
       | Another one damn
        
       | quantified wrote:
       | What's the survival rate of Boeing whistleblowers compared to
       | non-whistleblowers?
        
         | nokeya wrote:
         | Right now it seems close to zero.
        
           | ithkuil wrote:
           | Isn't the survival rate of us all technically zero anyway?
        
             | 15155 wrote:
             | On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone
             | drops to zero.
        
             | nokeya wrote:
             | Yes, but we all hope for later zero, not for sooner or
             | sudden zero:)
        
             | agilob wrote:
             | In the long term yes, but I'm here shitposting and the two
             | other guys are dead, and it's only been 2 months.
        
             | 8fingerlouie wrote:
             | Life is the only sexually transmitted disease with a 100%
             | mortality rate.
        
               | nithssh wrote:
               | Gospel
        
           | glandium wrote:
           | Sam Salehpour is not dead yet, is he?
        
             | protomolecule wrote:
             | He should be worried then
        
         | RachelF wrote:
         | It appears that criticizing Boeing is even more dangerous than
         | flying in one.
        
         | hulitu wrote:
         | They had the right to remain silent. /s
        
         | penguin_booze wrote:
         | At least we know that the survival rates of Boeing whistle
         | blowers and passengers are comparable.
        
       | jmcgough wrote:
       | This'll definitely have a chilling effect for future witnesses,
       | which is likely what they paid for.
        
         | nokeya wrote:
         | Shouldn't it attract more attention from prosecution? It is
         | clear who is behind all this (some of Boeing top managers), so
         | they must interrogate them all about double kill.
        
           | RecycledEle wrote:
           | Look at how Frito Lay got away with murdering the Mexican Inn
           | family.
           | 
           | There are many other cases.
        
             | uejfiweun wrote:
             | What is this Frito Lay incident you speak of? Nothing comes
             | up for the query "frito lay mexican inn".
        
           | protomolecule wrote:
           | That's how Kosovo leaders got away with war crimes and crimes
           | against humanity[0]. Even Thaci almost did[1].
           | 
           | [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kosovo_War_crimes_witness_i
           | nti...
           | 
           | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hashim_Tha%C3%A7i#Resignati
           | on_...
        
           | mandmandam wrote:
           | > Shouldn't it attract more attention from prosecution?
           | 
           | It 'should' - but it won't.
           | 
           | Look at how the legal system has treated whistleblowers who
           | go against the MIC and fossil fuels - Assange, Snowden,
           | Donziger, Winner, etc. High profile cases where the whole
           | world was watching.
           | 
           | They're not handing out fines to fossil fuel companies for
           | lying to the planet as they set it alight. Instead, they're
           | handing out harsher and harsher sentences to the activists
           | trying to bring attention to the issue. A lovely 54yo woman
           | was sentenced to 4k in damages, a 3k fine, 60 days in jail
           | and 24 months of supervised release for putting RINSABLE
           | PAINT on the CASE of Degas' Little Dancer. Not even NPR would
           | state that it was rinsable paint - how often do you hear oil
           | companies advertising on them?
           | 
           | Why would you have any faith in that system to protect us
           | from murderous corporations? The trend for these things is
           | dramatically in the wrong direction, and it was bad when
           | companies were allowed to fund and aid literal Nazis without
           | repercussion.
        
             | kingspact wrote:
             | People who deface art in museums should have their
             | citizenship stripped and be banished for life, at a bare
             | minimum. The JUST STOP OIL billionaire woman's a heavy
             | investor in the Chinese lithium sector.
        
               | mandmandam wrote:
               | > People who deface art ...
               | 
               | No art was defaced.
               | 
               | A _glass case_ was smeared with _water rinsable_ paint.
               | 
               | You wouldn't know it from the hysterics from mainstream
               | media, the gallery Director, or the Judge, but absolutely
               | no damage was done to Degas' piece. This was
               | intentionally harmless.
               | 
               | > The JUST STOP OIL billionaire woman's a heavy investor
               | in the Chinese lithium sector.
               | 
               | This wasn't a Just Stop Oil thing. It was the 'Declare
               | Emergency' group. Your statement is a complete non
               | sequitur.
               | 
               | Let's have the war, fossil fuel, polluters and banking
               | criminals "stripped of citizenship and banished for life"
               | before throwing fits about those who "deface art" by
               | putting easily washable paint on their cases. Yaknow?
               | Priorities.
               | 
               | Personally, I would rather lose _every_ Degas, Picasso,
               | Modigliani, Botticelli, Rodin, and Van Gogh piece; than
               | keep losing species at the rate we are.
               | 
               | Fossil fuels, the military, polluters and big agri are
               | committing far, far far worse crimes than damaging art,
               | and our justice system _protects them_. Our politicians
               | need them to win elections. Our media run cover for their
               | crimes. Our regulators seem to be mostly former
               | employees. Our own taxes subsidize them to an absurd
               | degree.
               | 
               | If we only knew what we've already lost, we'd do worse
               | than banish these guys..
        
             | stordoff wrote:
             | > RINSABLE PAINT
             | 
             | Is there a source for/further information about this? I
             | can't find it mentioned anywhere (including on the Declare
             | Emergency website), and it seems difficult to square it
             | with the gallery's claim that it cost $4,000 to repair the
             | damage.
        
           | Stranger43 wrote:
           | It should and the if it don't this is going to lead to "House
           | Select Committee on Assassinations" levels of distrust with
           | the entire sector.
           | 
           | Its still possible that this is a freak occurrence but any
           | agency claiming that as a proven fact right now is going to
           | look suspicious.
        
       | AndyMcConachie wrote:
       | Boeing is currently 2-0 with whistleblowers.
       | 
       | I wonder if you could give someone MRSA intentionally. Is that
       | even possible?
        
         | eqvinox wrote:
         | Not in the Aljazeera reporting, but Seattle Times says he
         | initially was hospitalized for "trouble breathing":
         | https://www.seattletimes.com/business/whistleblower-josh-dea...
         | 
         | And "trouble breathing" could mean any of a whole bunch of
         | things, a few of which you probably _can_ give someone
         | intentionally...
        
         | RecycledEle wrote:
         | MRSA (staph) can be transmitted by wiping a used bandage on
         | someone.
        
           | kingspact wrote:
           | You could even mail it to somebody and when they open the
           | mail, BAM. Or it could be included in the glue of business
           | reply mail. Or wiped on your doorknob.
        
         | topspin wrote:
         | > 2-0 with whistleblowers
         | 
         | Once is happenstance. Twice is coincidence. Three times is
         | enemy action.
         | 
         | How many are left, anyhow?
        
           | emayljames wrote:
           | 30 to go it seems
           | https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2024/4/19/boeing-
           | subject-o...
        
       | XorNot wrote:
       | EDIT 3: God damn it - forget it. The rate is per 100,000 - the
       | site I got it from was terrible [1].
       | 
       | So the numbers don't work at all - the death rate should be about
       | ~0.8% in any given year for the full population going by [2]
       | (798.8 deaths per 100,000 in 2022).
       | 
       | Just to elaborate: my thesis before I edited this post was that
       | if you have a large number of whistleblowers, the chance of
       | someone in the population dying of normal causes over a given
       | time frame might become quite large.
       | 
       | [1] https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.DYN.AMRT.MA
       | 
       | [2] https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/mortality-dashboard.htm
        
         | kangda123 wrote:
         | "That is, in any given recent year, if you take a sample of
         | 1000 random males, within a year, almost 16% of them will have
         | died."
         | 
         | Surely this can't be true.
        
           | XorNot wrote:
           | You'd be correct they're not - it's much lower - per
           | 100,000[1]. Should've cross-checked with birth data.
           | 
           | The underlying point though is valid: whether the rate of
           | people dying is particularly high depends on quite a few
           | factors. The estimate for 2023 in Q2 is 944 / 100,000 = 0.9%
           | or so. So within a population of 100, you'd still be
           | unsurprised to find 1 person has randomly died of some cause.
           | So if you take say, the 30 presumed people who have
           | complained about Boeing over the last 3 years and tracked
           | them as a quorum...
           | 
           | [1] https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/mortality-
           | dashboard.htm
        
           | blackwateragent wrote:
           | OP's original statement of "The death rate in the United
           | States per 1000 male adults as of 2022 is 163." comes from
           | [1]. That statistic is defined as, "Adult mortality rate,
           | male, is the probability of dying between the ages of 15 and
           | 60--that is, the probability of a 15-year-old male dying
           | before reaching age 60, if subject to age-specific mortality
           | rates of the specified year between those ages." [2]
           | 
           | [1] https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.DYN.AMRT.MA?end=2
           | 022...
           | 
           | [2] https://databank.worldbank.org/metadataglossary/health-
           | nutri...
        
             | orlp wrote:
             | And if you assume that death rate is age agnostic between
             | 15 and 60 (it's not of course, but bear with me), then this
             | allows you to calculate the yearly chance of death as a US
             | male adult as 1 - ((1000 - 163) / 1000)^(1/(60 - 15 + 1)).
             | This comes to 0.386%, or ~1 in 259.
        
         | progval wrote:
         | > The death rate in the United States per 1000 male adults as
         | of 2022 is 163.
         | 
         | Where did you get that number?
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_the_United_Sta...
         | and https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/deaths.htm are an order of
         | magnitude lower for the general population.
        
           | XorNot wrote:
           | Yeah I misread the graph - I've corrected the post, although
           | the errors sort of cancelled towards the overall result
           | anyway. With a CDC reported rate of ~0.8-1% per year, then in
           | a group of 10 you'd expect 0.1 deaths if they were suitably
           | random. In a group of 100 you'd expect at least 1.
           | 
           | They're not random, but it's also a group with one-way
           | membership. John Barnett was a whistleblower from 2017 till
           | his death in 2024. So for 7 years he was a Boeing
           | whistleblower, but every year he is he's still in that 0.8-1%
           | chance of all-cause mortality across the general population
           | (likely more given specific non-murder related risk factors).
           | 
           | EDIT: I guess the reason I'm posting up a storm on this is
           | not to defend Boeing, but that there's an actual,
           | identifiable harm to the conspiracy theory narrative which is
           | that it's all fun and games unless _you_ work at Boeing and
           | see evidence of wrongdoing. We the public want and need you
           | to come forward, and a storm of commentary which says  "lol
           | Boeing just straight kills people" is all good hot-take fun
           | till you're in an actual position where it might feel quite
           | real. Even if the odds were _much_ worse, going on the
           | internet and saying  "this was definitely murder to create a
           | chilling effect* is helping create a chilling effect.
        
         | xcv123 wrote:
         | > Plug that into the fact that it doesn't work to kill someone
         | after they have testified
         | 
         | This way deters future whistleblowers.
         | 
         | If they got rid of whistleblowers before they blew the whistle,
         | no one would hear about it. It would not be widely reported.
         | Just another random employee who died.
        
           | bandyaboot wrote:
           | Wouldn't they want to carry out their whistleblower
           | deterrence operation before there were already 30 other
           | whistleblowers?
        
             | xcv123 wrote:
             | Get rid of whistleblowers before they blow the whistle? So
             | they just start killing random employees who look
             | suspicious?
        
         | eurleif wrote:
         | I agree that it doesn't make much sense to kill someone after
         | they've testified, but that 1.6% figure (I think you
         | inadvertently omitted a decimal point) doesn't account for age.
         | Joshua Dean was 45 (0.4% chance of a 45 year old male dying in
         | a given year). John Barnett was 62 (1.5% chance).
        
           | XorNot wrote:
           | Yeah I was way off on the death figure, but the point is
           | relevant: the risk of a large population and a low
           | probability event is that the low probability event can
           | become a near certainty due to normal causes.
           | 
           | ~30 whisteblowers[1] over 3 years is a fair number of people
           | in your chance pool - not guaranteed, but there's confounding
           | factors (i.e. stress, disruption to work and family life
           | etc.)
           | 
           | My point was meant to be that saying "there's a chilling
           | effect" is also _creating_ the chilling effect by implying it
           | 's there, when in reality it can just be something more akin
           | to the Birthday Paradox.
           | 
           | [1] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2024/4/19/boeing-
           | subject-o...
        
             | jhugo wrote:
             | > ~30 whisteblowers[1] over 3 years is a fair number of
             | people in your chance pool - not guaranteed, but there's
             | confounding factors (i.e. stress, disruption to work and
             | family life etc.)
             | 
             | People who already feel like they have nothing to lose
             | (which I imagine would be correlated with higher chance of
             | death, with causation in either direction) might also be
             | more willing to become whistleblowers in the first place.
             | Doesn't seem a factor in this case though.
        
               | XorNot wrote:
               | The issue is that becoming a Boeing whisteblower is a
               | 1-way gate: once you are one, you're a member of that
               | group for the rest of your life.
               | 
               | Which means if you have a lot of whistleblowers, because
               | you've got a lot of problems, then you have this ever-
               | expanding pool of people who are "Boeing whistleblowers".
               | Which means the probability a Boeing whistleblower dies
               | in any given year goes up as the pool expands.
               | 
               | Which is fine and normal, unless the narrative question
               | we're answering is: "is Boeing killing whistleblowers to
               | deter future whistleblowers?"
               | 
               | And one conclusion is: "no, but they're being deterred
               | anyway, because everyone is insisting they were
               | intentionally killed". Basically the "chilling effect" is
               | the conspiracy theory, not any actual action.
               | 
               | Though I would note a better way to see if they were
               | doing it would be to look at the death rate of _current_
               | Boeing employees, since if you were killing
               | whistleblowers that 's what it would presumably look like
               | - people presently employed by Boeing dying under
               | explainable circumstances without ever taking any action.
        
               | jhugo wrote:
               | > Though I would note a better way to see if they were
               | doing it would be to look at the death rate of current
               | Boeing employees, since if you were killing
               | whistleblowers that's what it would presumably look like
               | - people presently employed by Boeing dying under
               | explainable circumstances without ever taking any action.
               | 
               | Well, that wouldn't have much deterrent effect. I don't
               | think it's likely that Boeing is knocking off
               | whistleblowers, but if they were, it would be more
               | effective as a deterrent for them to do it once the
               | person became well-known.
        
         | HekeHakkeri wrote:
         | Surely the average age of the whistleblowers is quite a bit
         | lower than the average male of the whole male pop, or did you
         | take that into account?
        
       | eqvinox wrote:
       | I've seen some speculation
       | [https://zeroes.ca/@maggiejk/112369197303623748] that this looks
       | a whole bunch like COVID, and that sounds vaguely on point. Then
       | again we're all armchair doctors now...
       | 
       | [Ed.] also note that
       | https://www.seattletimes.com/business/whistleblower-josh-dea...
       | says the initial hospitalization was for "trouble breathing";
       | this doesn't seem to be in the Aljazeera reporting.
        
         | 2-3-7-43-1807 wrote:
         | then again this is why i would kill someone in a way that looks
         | like covid if i would be such inclined. also i don't know
         | anybody who ever died of covid, not even indirectly. so, yeah
         | ...
        
       | drcongo wrote:
       | To lose one whistleblower, Mr. Boeing, may be regarded as a
       | misfortune; to lose both looks like carelessness.
        
       | sva_ wrote:
       | Qatari propaganda outlet Aljazeera on the frontpage. Perhaps it
       | could be a replaced by a more credible one?
        
         | isr wrote:
         | I reckon the vast majority of planet Earth would take Al
         | Jazeera's word over the BBC, CNN, etc, most days of the week.
         | 
         | And twice on Sundays.
        
         | alan-crowe wrote:
         | I think that you are missing how credibility and propaganda
         | intertwine. The BBC gives you accurate reports on Indonesia and
         | Chile to build credibility for when they want to lie to the
         | benefit of Britain. Aljazeera give accurate reports on Boeing
         | and Airbus to build credibility for when they want to lie to
         | the benefit of Qatar. NPR give accurate reports on Angola and
         | Bangladesh to build credibility for when they want to lie to
         | the benefit of the USA.
         | 
         | One navigates an adversarial information environment by
         | harvesting the free truth provided by those seeking to build
         | credibility. Then one tries to avoid the flames when the same
         | organisations burn their credibility to boost their funders and
         | owners.
        
           | xgi wrote:
           | Encouraging conspiracy theories against one of the largest
           | components of the US military industrial complex is precisely
           | something Al Jazeera would be willing to risk losing
           | credibility over. Not that they actually would, because there
           | could never be sufficient evidence to disprove such a
           | conspiracy.
        
       | kome wrote:
       | that's crazy. that's the second one... how can the authorities
       | ignore the "coincidence"?
       | 
       | government is really weak with the strong and strong with the
       | weak.
        
         | lambdaxyzw wrote:
         | Do you have any proof it's not actually a coincidence? There
         | were 30 whistleblowers, and it's over 3 years.
        
           | kome wrote:
           | i hope they won't be stupid enough to kill a third one
        
       | pshirshov wrote:
       | What, again? Pure coincidence.
        
       | easywood wrote:
       | Good that they have mentioned the actual illness, or people would
       | assume it was acute lead poisoning.
        
         | vdfs wrote:
         | "Sudden illness"
        
       | Tycho wrote:
       | There should be a huge investigation, but since the last death
       | was self-inflicted, and this one was due to some mysterious
       | illness, I'm not holding my breath. I wonder if the bank accounts
       | of coroners ever get audited.
        
         | 2OEH8eoCRo0 wrote:
         | Influenza B is mysterious?
        
         | alamortsubite wrote:
         | What's "mysterious" about the flu and MRSA?
        
           | Tycho wrote:
           | It's mysterious for healthy people to suddenly die from flu
           | in their mid 40s, yes.
        
             | alamortsubite wrote:
             | Healthy people don't have bacterial co-infections, so no.
        
       | greasegum wrote:
       | The movie Michael Clayton springs to mind for some reason.
        
       | hnthrowaway0328 wrote:
       | Considering the sensitivity of their profiles, is there going to
       | be at least a cursory investigation?
        
         | peteradio wrote:
         | It would seem to be pretty rare for this to occur for a man his
         | age. Intubation is pretty serious, was that the cause of the
         | MRSA?
        
       | datascienced wrote:
       | Boeing getting "lucky" again
        
       | sharpshadow wrote:
       | If Boeing would only manufacture airplanes they would struggle
       | from these recent developments.
        
       | kingspact wrote:
       | Boeing's on military welfare, like many companies. It has no need
       | to actually produce civilian planes or make profits any more. So
       | why not bump off whistleblowers? Anyway the era of air travel for
       | the masses is coming to a close if you look at all the different
       | plans being hatched to roll up environmental fees into flying
       | which are designed to be unaffordable for ordinary people.
        
       | 0xC0ncord wrote:
       | Move along. Nothing to see here.
        
         | amne wrote:
         | and your username is also a coincidence. moving along now
        
       | bonzini wrote:
       | At some point, another one apparently found two missing lug nuts
       | on a wheel of his car, and texted his lawyer "if I die I am not
       | suicidal".
        
         | eli wrote:
         | I doubt that happened.
        
         | bovermyer wrote:
         | Got a source for that?
        
           | jader201 wrote:
           | No reason to downvote someone for asking for a source (before
           | one was given).
           | 
           | A source is helpful context for claims like this, and the
           | person that responded with one may not otherwise have had it
           | not been questioned.
        
         | sp332 wrote:
         | https://prospect.org/infrastructure/transportation/2024-04-3...
         | 
         |  _Inside the whistleblower's text was a photo of a wheel
         | missing two lug nuts.... "If anything happens," they told me,
         | not for the first time, "I'm not suicidal."_
        
           | eli wrote:
           | According to a text from that unnamed (and not reported
           | elsewhere?) whistleblower
        
         | lynndotpy wrote:
         | I don't know why you're being downvoted and questioned. This
         | was widely reported last month when John Barnett was found dead
         | from a gunshot wound in the head. AFAIK, (and don't quote me on
         | this), only one source had said this.
         | 
         | I don't think it's wildly conspiratorial to discuss this, even
         | if the implication is "this might be a pattern of foul play".
         | 
         | Even if both of these deaths are coincidences and within
         | statistical reason, I imagine the perceived pattern must have a
         | chilling effect on other would-be whistleblowers.
        
           | bonzini wrote:
           | Agreed, hence my use of "apparently". Even if it's not
           | substantiated further, the implications are much worse than
           | those of someone dying of pneumonia (which may be bad luck).
        
       | lionkor wrote:
       | Democratic republic and all its bodies working as intended
        
       | baq wrote:
       | Boeing has _some_ competent people, apparently. Sad and
       | aggravating that it 's this particular department.
        
         | boppo1 wrote:
         | C'mon man, haven't you seen Michael Clayton? They're
         | independent contractors.
        
         | siva7 wrote:
         | Probably the chief of "special operations" dept. could take
         | over the QA dept.
        
       | FrustratedMonky wrote:
       | More coincidence? 3rd's the charm, when it will be a trend to
       | investigate?
        
       | paulryanrogers wrote:
       | Clever idea, to infect someone with a nasty yet natural
       | virus/bacteria. Still, if it doesn't work and unlucky things keep
       | happening then authorities may start looking more closely.
        
         | AnimalMuppet wrote:
         | Nit: MRSA is a bacterium, not a virus.
        
           | FrustratedMonky wrote:
           | Nit picking.
           | 
           | Can't both virus and bacteria be injected?
           | 
           | Has MRSA been used in attacks before?
        
             | a3w wrote:
             | Might be a criminal or state behaviour, to chose exposure
             | to germs as a method to hurt or kill someone. But that as
             | far as we know is not corporate style.
             | 
             | A car bomb, to deter other would-be whistleblowers, is more
             | like the typical MO. As has happened with the original
             | Panama Papers reporter on Malta.
        
               | gjsman-1000 wrote:
               | A. Who says they need to follow the MO?
               | 
               | B. Plenty of killings that we know of do not follow your
               | typical MO. For example, the killing of Litvinenko by
               | polonium which can only be created in a nuclear reactor
               | (still the most overkill death of a whistleblower ever
               | known).
               | 
               | C. In which case, is it possible you think that's the MO,
               | because the others didn't get caught? And the
               | corporations are now realizing a car bomb is too
               | predictable?
        
               | Findecanor wrote:
               | BTW, the previous whistleblower: John Barnett, had worked
               | at the Material Review Segregation Area (MRSA) at the
               | Boeing plant.
               | 
               | If this is just a coincidence, it is a weird one.
        
               | eli wrote:
               | How could that possibly be anything other than a
               | coincidence?
        
               | ByThyGrace wrote:
               | "Let this be a message to all others in our department:
               | no one messes with the MRSA".
        
           | CyberDildonics wrote:
           | MRSA means Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus
           | 
           | A bacterium is a single bacteria and to be resistant there
           | needs to be a lot more than one (we all have some on us at
           | any time, an infection is greater than or equal to 4
           | micrograms/mL).
           | 
           | MRSA is bacterial, not a single bacterium.
        
       | ActionHank wrote:
       | Once is by chance. Twice is a coincidence. Three times is a
       | pattern.
        
         | HideousKojima wrote:
         | "Once is happenstance. Twice is coincidence. Three times is
         | enemy action." - Ian Fleming
        
           | ActionHank wrote:
           | Thank you for the original.
        
         | MyFirstSass wrote:
         | No conspiracies are true, i know that from my time in the
         | business world, even in small companies i've never actually
         | seen anyone conspire, create hidden alliances og plot something
         | so surely in larger companies it's even less likely to happen.
         | /s
        
           | lenerdenator wrote:
           | "Trust no one! The minute God crapped out the third caveman,
           | a conspiracy was hatched against one of them! " -- Col.
           | Hunter Gathers, OSI
        
             | peteradio wrote:
             | This might be my favorite quote I've ever heard. Thanks!
        
         | morkalork wrote:
         | Look at the size of pool of whistleblowers and associated
         | people that bad actors would want to harm, their demographic
         | and what that demographic's mortality rate is like. Two deaths
         | in a year is borderline acceptable, three would be extremely
         | unlikely.
        
         | 2-3-7-43-1807 wrote:
         | the question is where do you start to count. how about number 1
         | is one of those covered up incidents where dozens of people
         | died instead of making sure it doesn't happen again?
        
         | 0xbadcafebee wrote:
         | Four times is God having a vendetta against you. Five times is
         | quantum physics wants you dead. Six...
        
       | free_bip wrote:
       | Let me guess, we're chalking this one up to coincidence too, are
       | we?
        
         | ceejayoz wrote:
         | I'm not saying it's _impossible_ , but were I an assassin I'd
         | probably want something a little more guaranteed than inducing
         | pneumonia.
        
       | jodacola wrote:
       | While the first death opened up many questions for me, this death
       | was the result of a MRSA infection, stroke, and pneumonia.
       | 
       | This headline feels like it's trying to play on the conspiracy
       | theorists among us, with the important bit way down in the
       | article. Well, they got my view.
        
         | gjsman-1000 wrote:
         | As though MRSA isn't a great thing to inject into an enemy...
        
           | ceejayoz wrote:
           | 2% of people are carrying it around; it's a pretty common
           | hospital complication.
        
         | imglorp wrote:
         | It's also possible that there were multiple, uncoordinated acts
         | of malice and thus not a conspiracy. There are many parties
         | that would like this to go away, from investors to unions to
         | airlines.
        
       | camgunz wrote:
       | Can you imagine working at Boeing right now? Utterly terrifying.
        
         | s1artibartfast wrote:
         | Yeah, it would be tough being the target of a media cycle and
         | conspiracy theories.
        
           | camgunz wrote:
           | I know you're being sarcastic, but isn't what you said also
           | true?
        
             | s1artibartfast wrote:
             | I wasn't being sarcastic. I honestly think it would be
             | tough and weird to be a Boeing Employee today.
             | 
             | Imagine being a good honest engineer on the good honest
             | team in a media cycle painting you and your company as
             | incompetent or evil. Imagine reading news articles
             | insinuating that your leadership team is hiring assassins
             | to sneak into hospitals and kill with whistleblowers.
             | 
             | Everything today is just hyperbalized and emotionally
             | cranked up to 10.
        
       | jefftk wrote:
       | How many people would, if they suddenly died, be reported as a
       | "Boeing whistleblower"? The lower this number is, the more
       | surprising the death.
        
         | silverquiet wrote:
         | What if it's a giant company with a lot of problems? Couldn't
         | there be a ton of whistleblowers? It's easy to suspect foul
         | play, but I don't know how pneumonia subsequent to MRSA
         | infection could be deployed as a weapon of assassination. And
         | I'd imagine that every part of being a whistleblower is
         | depressing; you are inevitably alienated from one of your main
         | social groups when you do so.
        
           | ricardobeat wrote:
           | Reports say there were seven whistleblowers in the original
           | 737 Max hearing.
        
         | bee_rider wrote:
         | It also ought to be pretty shocking, if things are so bad at
         | Boeing that multiple whistleblowers dying is just an expected
         | thing as a result of statistics.
         | 
         | I mean that's probably the more likely story than MRSA
         | corporate assassins. But it is still pretty nuts, right?
        
       | queuebert wrote:
       | > ... he had contracted pneumonia in April and suffered a stroke
       | following an MSRA infection.
       | 
       | That should be "MRSA", for Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus
       | aureus. Terrible fact checking.
       | 
       | (But they did helpfully provide a hyperlink to Facebook-related
       | stories.)
        
         | a3w wrote:
         | Bacterial infection, grammatical inflection, both natural
         | causes of death [According to uncyclopedia Wiki probably? Don't
         | ask me, I am not germ-anist here in germ-any]
        
       | binarymax wrote:
       | I'm having a hard time seeing how pneumonia and stroke could be
       | inflicted on a person as part of a cover up. Seems like this was
       | just unfortunate illness.
        
         | outime wrote:
         | I have no idea but if many decades ago they revealed this [1],
         | at this point it's safe to assume there are much better things.
         | 
         | [1] https://www.military.com/video/guns/pistols/cias-secret-
         | hear...
        
           | pazimzadeh wrote:
           | Do you know what the toxin was?
        
         | erikerikson wrote:
         | I once worked with a researcher who was apparently the world's
         | expert on giving mice strokes. Pneumonia seems more difficult.
        
           | 2-3-7-43-1807 wrote:
           | certainly not out of reach for a determined and powerful
           | adversary. infecting someone with a respiratory virus isn't
           | exactly rocket science. just spraying a subperceptibly thin
           | aerosol into someone's face should do it.
        
             | siamesedream wrote:
             | Or putting black mold in the air ducts in their home. Easy
             | to pass off as just poor home maintenance.
        
             | dyauspitr wrote:
             | You're putting yourself at a massive risk though. This is
             | an airborne bacteria, the "assassin" is probably going to
             | get infected too.
        
           | stusmall wrote:
           | What a business card
        
         | echelon wrote:
         | MRSA [1], though? He could have been inoculated with it.
         | 
         | MRSA is awful, difficult or impossible to clear, and can
         | certainly be fatal.
         | 
         | This could be a very diabolical way to assassinate someone.
         | 
         | How would you be able to trace it? It could have been laced in
         | his food or drink. Or simply transfered by touch (got on his
         | hands, then wiped on his face or nose). Or aerosolized as he
         | walked by.
         | 
         | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Methicillin-
         | resistant_Staphylo...
        
           | cogman10 wrote:
           | MRSA is fairly common especially in hospital settings. After
           | all, you have a setting where people are coming in sick with
           | a disease that is hard to kill and resistant to antibiotics.
        
           | foxyv wrote:
           | It's also trivially easy to culture MRSA. A lot of university
           | micro-bio classes induce anti-biotic resistance in e-coli as
           | an experiment for under graduates.
        
             | echelon wrote:
             | Can confirm. I did undergraduate bio and cultured lots of
             | different bacteria species. I even used agrobacterium
             | (which smell like feet) to clone genes into plants.
             | 
             | This is easily within the reach of DIY bio folks. You just
             | need a freezer, bath, growth serum, and other easy inputs.
        
           | kube-system wrote:
           | There are 3 million Americans unknowingly walking around with
           | MRSA in their nose right now, all around us. It is so common
           | I'm not sure it would be a good assassination weapon even if
           | you tried.
        
             | echelon wrote:
             | It matters where the infection takes hold. If it's in the
             | respiratory system, that's a much different disease than
             | surface legions and boils.
        
           | chasil wrote:
           | Up to 30 of us carry staph variants in our noses.
           | 
           | https://now.uiowa.edu/news/2013/06/be-gone-bacteria
        
         | peteradio wrote:
         | Guy comes in with routine influenza, transfer him to emergency,
         | pacify him and forcibly intubate him with MRSA infected tube.
         | The rest happens as if by mistake.
        
           | kodt wrote:
           | So now Boeing and the hospital staff are in on the
           | conspiracy. This place is turning into reddit.
        
             | aaomidi wrote:
             | Historically companies have not shyed away from killing
             | people for profit. Boeing is a very very well connected
             | company, and it can barely be considered a truly private
             | company to begin with anyway.
        
               | kodt wrote:
               | So now the US government is involved too :)
               | 
               | It seems the risks of murdering whistleblowers,
               | especially after they have already testified, is too
               | great. They just want revenge here?
        
               | g00gler wrote:
               | Just pointing out, now these guys will never be on 60
               | minutes or giving interviews to popular mechanics, Rogan
               | or Lex Friedman. Whatever testimony is made available
               | will be all that we have on the topic.
        
               | kodt wrote:
               | And that is better for Boeing than people believing they
               | were murdered by Boeing?
        
               | g00gler wrote:
               | One guy killed himself and the other got MERSA. Only
               | kooks believe that Boeing killed them!
        
               | s1artibartfast wrote:
               | Historically companies have _absolutely_ shied away from
               | killing people.
               | 
               | Has it happened, yes. Is it commonplace, absolutely not!
               | 
               | nobody considers Boeing a private company. It is publicly
               | traded on the stock market.
        
               | sophacles wrote:
               | Boeing is a private company in the sense that its stock
               | is owned by private indviduals as opposed to entities
               | like Amtrak, USPS, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, etc, which
               | are companies that are owned by the government. That is
               | it's a private sector company (vs public sector or
               | government).
               | 
               | It's an admittedly weird overloading of the term "private
               | company" but it's a useful thing to know about - usually
               | context clues can help, but definitely gives me a pause
               | when I encounter the term.
        
               | s1artibartfast wrote:
               | I agree contacts please help a lot, but in this case the
               | context was someone that thinks companies casually murder
               | people and that Boeing is de facto socially owned because
               | of the influence that Boeing has. I'm not sure how
               | oversized influence on government translates to citizen
               | ownership, but asking for coherence is probably too much.
               | 
               | think using the full terms publicly/privately traded can
               | help a lot in this area.
        
               | sophacles wrote:
               | It's also worth noting that "killing people for profit"
               | is not limited to murder: companies kill people all the
               | time - rarely in the form of murder, less rarely in the
               | form of homicide (think security and military
               | contractors), commonly in the form of gross negligence,
               | safety violations, and polution.
        
               | s1artibartfast wrote:
               | If someone thinks that building bombs or killing via
               | pollution is evidence for homicide, they are making a
               | gross category error. The former has very little bearing
               | on the latter.
        
             | highcountess wrote:
             | He didn't say that's what happened, just someone did not
             | understand how it could be done. The response suggested a
             | possible way it could have been done. People are
             | blackmailed and encouraged with carrots to do all kinds of
             | extreme things. I know this for a fact.
             | 
             | I think people massively underestimate what a huge keystone
             | Boeing is in the American empire. The top of the system has
             | rapidly started getting extremely anxious about the
             | stability of the whole system, especially as they are
             | fomenting war with China and Russia and their plans not
             | only becoming unstable, but actions they've taken revealing
             | themselves as extreme risks in the light of stalled
             | progression and unaccounted faults like what has been
             | observed at Boeing the last years.
             | 
             | I personally see just the suspicion of what happened to
             | these folks far more is a symptom of a failing system than
             | is the failing system had neutralized them in hopes of
             | snuffing out threats to keystone components if the empire.
             | The people arts loosing confidence in the competence of the
             | system, a far greater threat than even Boeing failing.
        
             | 2OEH8eoCRo0 wrote:
             | It's quickly becoming worse than Reddit w/ regard to
             | conspiracy nonsense that hits the first page within 5
             | minutes of being posted. Either HN loves conspiracy
             | nonsense or it's being played by inauthentic actors.
        
               | colpabar wrote:
               | What is so hard to believe about a weapons manufacturer
               | killing someone?
        
               | 2OEH8eoCRo0 wrote:
               | My problem is that you're all implying an unprecedented
               | criminal conspiracy and cover up with absolutely no
               | evidence. My problem is mainly the no evidence part and
               | that's not why I come here- I come here for
               | evidence/fact-based discussion. Not conspiracy nonsense.
               | With this amount of evidence we could claim anything and
               | everything!
        
               | orthecreedence wrote:
               | I don't think anybody's saying "This happened!" but are
               | rather expressing a deep (and well-founded) distrust for
               | the system in which _whatever did actually happen_
               | occurred.
        
             | samatman wrote:
             | This is specifically against the guidelines:
             | 
             | > _Please don 't post comments saying that HN is turning
             | into Reddit. It's a semi-noob illusion, as old as the
             | hills._
        
         | highcountess wrote:
         | Que the leaked pentagon briefing from ... what was it, 12 years
         | ago ... about the use of "vaccines" to alter the brain
         | chemistry of people with "extremist" views, so they too may
         | benefit from approved values.
        
           | ceejayoz wrote:
           | There's a long history of zany ideas being looked at. I'm not
           | inclined to conclude it's technologically feasible just from
           | that.
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gay_bomb, for example.
        
         | 2-3-7-43-1807 wrote:
         | both is very easy to achieve and also kind of medically obvious
        
         | ghusto wrote:
         | I'm not at all inclined to believe this is anything more than a
         | co-incidence, but those things can definitely be induced in a
         | way that's difficult to detect.
        
         | RobotToaster wrote:
         | The US military used to have a stockpile of Q-fever bioweapons,
         | that they claim to have destroyed. Q-fever can cause pneumonia.
        
           | dralley wrote:
           | A fucking cold can also cause pneumonia. There are thousands
           | of things that cause pneumonia. WTF are you talking about.
        
             | coldtea wrote:
             | He talks about a historical factoid. He also talks about
             | something that can induce pneumonia that's deadly, not just
             | waiting for some common cold to turn to pneumonia in an off
             | chance. WTF about what he is talking about was difficult to
             | parse?
        
           | dudeinjapan wrote:
           | Doubt Boeing or its spook going to use a bioweapon to off a
           | whistleblower. Too complex, too many parties involved, too
           | much of a trail, too high consequences if caught (i.e.
           | terrorism), too high survival % vs. the panoply of less
           | exotic options. It's a Wile E. Coyote-level plot.
        
         | smsm42 wrote:
         | Pneumonia is just a lung infection, so I imagine there's a
         | number of ways you can make a person to unknowingly inhale
         | something.
         | 
         | However, it looks way too complicated for a plot. There are
         | many tried and proven methods of getting rid of people. Spooks
         | aren't actually _that_ good in hiding their works - we know
         | about a lot of cases where people were assassinated (of course,
         | we may also not know about many, but I think we have a good
         | sample). Among those, we have a lot of ways it can be done -
         | shootings, stabbings, explosions, poisons, drownings, falling
         | from heights, whatever - but I can 't remember any case where a
         | biological agent were used. And thinking about it - biological
         | agents are hard to produce, hard to handle, unstable,
         | unpredictable in use, can't be properly targeted, why would
         | anyone use that instead of dozens of easier and more common
         | methods?
         | 
         | So while it does look suspicious on its face, I'd have hard
         | time believing it's an example of an assassination.
        
           | candiodari wrote:
           | "Something?". Having them inhale oil or dirt will do it.
           | Pneumonia is usually caused by a bacteria that's just
           | everywhere (though usually on the skin), that's too simple.
           | If it starts growing in your lungs, you can try antibiotics.
           | If that doesn't work, well, nice knowing you.
           | 
           | We are surrounded by lethal bacteria. That humans survive
           | depends on the immune system having a 100% success rate
           | preventing bacteria from forming even a small colony in the
           | lungs (and several other places, like the teeth, where
           | infections can rapidly and surprisingly turn deadly)
           | 
           | This is why people cough so extremely hard when inhaling
           | solid or liquid stuff in their windpipes.
           | 
           | Also this happens all the time. That someone dies from
           | pneumonia is not uncommon (though for oil it's usually
           | someone who manages to spray themselves with aerosolized oil
           | at work). So even if an autopsy found a few specs of dirt in
           | the lungs, and even if they actually trace that to be the
           | cause, that's not extremely suspicious. (Plus why would they
           | check? Obviously with a pneumonia patient you know the cause
           | of death)
        
           | matsemann wrote:
           | This sounds a bit like the toupee fallacy - you have never
           | seen a good toupee, because the good ones you don't recognize
           | as anything other than normal hair.
        
           | prmph wrote:
           | > why would anyone use that instead of dozens of easier and
           | more common methods?
           | 
           | So that you will think it is not suspicious
        
           | generalizations wrote:
           | > Spooks aren't actually that good in hiding their works
           | 
           | This is pretty similar to the old argument about why mass
           | surveillance is unlikely to be happening - we're just not
           | that good at keeping secrets. Seems like a pretty safe bet
           | that there's good spooks who are good at hiding their works.
           | 
           | > we know about a lot of cases where people were assassinated
           | (of course, we may also not know about many, but I think we
           | have a good sample). Among those, we have a lot of ways it
           | can be done
           | 
           | Let's not forget about survivorship bias. You only know about
           | the assassinations you know about. You don't know about the
           | assassinations that were successfully kept secret.
        
             | snowwrestler wrote:
             | > This is pretty similar to the old argument about why mass
             | surveillance is unlikely to be happening - we're just not
             | that good at keeping secrets.
             | 
             | Not a great example since we know for a fact that mass
             | surveillance is happening. The U.S. Congress just voted to
             | extend and expand it.
        
               | zarzavat wrote:
               | I believe that was indeed their point. People used to
               | dismiss mass surveillance of the US on its people as a
               | crackpot conspiracy theory, until the full extent of it
               | was revealed by Snowden.
               | 
               | Some conspiracy theories turn out to be true. Just a
               | handful though.
        
             | smsm42 wrote:
             | > Seems like a pretty safe bet that there's good spooks who
             | are good at hiding their works.
             | 
             | But that's not true - actually, we learned about the mass
             | surveillance reasonably soon after it started. They aren't
             | actually good at hiding. True, there was a period that
             | somebody could say "we haven't learned about it _yet_ so it
             | probably doesn 't exist" - which would be fallacious - but
             | within a reasonable period of time, that option had
             | disappeared.
             | 
             | Now, with assassinations, the biological weapons option has
             | been existing for almost 100 years. If that were so common
             | that even corporate machinators don't hesitate to use it to
             | silence a witness of fairly low importance - we'd have
             | heard at least a couple of cases, at least some rumors or
             | defector reports. Just as we did with all other means of
             | getting rid of witnesses. Since we didn't, I attribute very
             | low probability to the possibility that this is how we
             | learn about this being common.
             | 
             | > You don't know about the assassinations that were
             | successfully kept secret.
             | 
             | Yes, I mentioned that in my comment. However, as I also
             | mentioned, we have, over the years, pretty generous sample
             | out of the mass of all assassinations. It would be rather
             | weird if assassinations specifically using biological
             | agents were somehow so special that while we have leaks
             | about pretty much every other kind, we don't have any
             | indications specifically about those. One could assume that
             | is because this method is used only by the very best
             | operatives going for very high-value target - but then we'd
             | need to explain why suddenly Boeing corporates have access
             | to it to deal with a pretty low-grade issue (and frankly I
             | don't even see how it helps them by now - they are so deep
             | in doo-doo anyway that one less witness is not going to
             | save them). Such assumptions do not form a coherent picture
             | if you look at the likelihood of the events involved.
        
           | rising-sky wrote:
           | > why would anyone use that instead of dozens of easier and
           | more common methods?
           | 
           | Like... head shot in an alley? suffocating them in their
           | sleep? drowning them in a body of water?
           | 
           | I think you can probably answer your question yourself if you
           | think about it
        
           | coldtea wrote:
           | > _Spooks aren 't actually that good in hiding their works_
           | 
           | That's because it's the failures we learn about. Which could
           | be 90% or 5% of "their works".
           | 
           | But never mind the spooks. We are also told "there's no
           | perfect crime". Yet, less than half the murders get solved in
           | the US, for example:
           | 
           | https://www.npr.org/2023/04/29/1172775448/people-murder-
           | unso...
        
             | generalizations wrote:
             | Similar - the average IQ of prison inmates is lower than
             | the general population. Which can be taken to imply that we
             | only catch the dumb ones.
        
               | epiccoleman wrote:
               | That only really holds if you assume criminal behavior is
               | evenly distributed among the bell curve of IQ, which is
               | is a fairly large assumption!
        
               | Paul-Craft wrote:
               | Not really. It depends more on how you interpret the
               | phrase "the dumb ones." It's clear that if the IQ
               | distribution of prisoners skews lower than the general
               | population, then we only catch "the dumb ones" with
               | respect to the general population. What isn't necessarily
               | clear is that we only catch "the dumb ones" with respect
               | to the IQ distribution of all criminals. (I don't think
               | we even know or have any good way of determining what the
               | IQ distribution of all criminals even is, do we?) It's
               | just another instance where plain language can fail to be
               | precise.
        
             | ChrisMarshallNY wrote:
             | The Russians _want_ you to know they did it; just with
             | plausible deniability.
             | 
             | They brought back the time-tested art of defenestration.
        
             | lordnacho wrote:
             | This is a good point. People here seem to be assuming that
             | Boeing is competent at carrying out hits, which I highly
             | doubt. We should consider whether they have actually tried
             | it on a bunch of people.
        
             | Eji1700 wrote:
             | The murders not being solved aren't "Perfect crimes". It's
             | a matter of resources and timing.
             | 
             | 99% of murder investigations mostly boil down to:
             | 
             | 1. Literally witnessed by one or more people, possibly
             | officers or on camera. 2. They brag about it. 3. A brief
             | investigation of friends and family where it turns out so
             | and so always hated them and happens to have a gun, and hey
             | look at that the ballistics match.
             | 
             | There are a very small number of officers in comparison to
             | the total population (as it should be), and the vast
             | majority of them are not the kind being assigned to
             | homicide.
             | 
             | Some major % of the "unsolved" murders in the US that
             | mostly just get thrown on the pile because they find out 2
             | weeks later and either can't identify the victim, or can't
             | find enough useful information to start investigating.
             | Forensics is very useful, but hardly as portrayed in shows
             | like CSI, and the simple realities of "well we didn't find
             | much, found out weeks later, and it'll be weeks before we
             | get any lab results back" often just mean there's 10 other
             | "no shit" murders to deal with instead.
             | 
             | And this isn't even on the core topic here of "could this
             | have been a hit by Boeing", which is just insanely
             | unbelievable, ESPECIALLY given the method. People are off
             | handledly mentioning things like Ricin or Polonoium
             | attacks, but the important things about those is that they
             | are INSANELY LETHAL and extremely easy to control.
             | 
             | "Lets infect him with pneumonia that turns into MRSA" has
             | got to be one of the most risky, difficult, expensive, and
             | unreliable methods of killing someone ever.
             | 
             | Hell if you want deniability there's probably at least 10
             | or so ways to easily cause a human to have a heart attack
             | and look like they died of natural causes as compared to
             | some magic MRSA gun.
        
           | ksherlock wrote:
           | If you're a spook for an authoritarian government, it's
           | probably better for your work to be somewhat visible to keep
           | the serfs in line.
        
           | pazimzadeh wrote:
           | > why would anyone use that instead of dozens of easier and
           | more common methods?
           | 
           | Ask Suge Knight: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vxPTtFv4AkM
           | 
           | You can assume criminals have gotten better at this type of
           | thing since 1995
        
           | ekianjo wrote:
           | ricin was used BY the Soviet Union and Russia also used
           | radioactive agents to kill someone not super long ago. And a
           | nerve agent was used to kill someone close to Kim too
           | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Assassination_of_Kim_Jong-
           | na...
        
         | mattmaroon wrote:
         | I figure there's like a 99% chance it happened naturally, and a
         | 1% chance it was the most brilliant assasination of all time
         | specifically because any rational person would think it's
         | unlikely to have been one.
        
         | ReptileMan wrote:
         | I think there were some heavy metal poisons (not Alice Cooper
         | or Bret Michaels) that had symptoms of pneumonia, and the
         | treatment for pneumonia fucked up the patient a bit.
        
         | normalaccess wrote:
         | Running someones immune system or poisoning them is a fantastic
         | way to get plausible deniability. No smoking gun...
         | 
         | Plausible Deniability is when a person's involvement or
         | culpability in an event might be denied, or at least mitigated,
         | by creating a situation where they can claim ignorance or an
         | inability to act.
        
         | jmcgough wrote:
         | There are a lot of easy ways to give someone pneumonia, like
         | aspiration.
        
         | lubesGordi wrote:
         | Agreed. Being a whistleblower is probably very stressful.
        
         | alex_lav wrote:
         | Not to say that I believe it happened, but there is a
         | difference between actual cause of death and reported cause of
         | death. As in, just because it was written down that pneumonia
         | and stroke were involved doesn't necessarily make it true.
         | 
         | Again, I do not believe this happened, but that's probably how
         | you'd do it.
        
         | walterbell wrote:
         | In 2020 and 2021, there was endless online discussion of
         | airborne pathogen distribution, measurement and defense.
        
         | dyauspitr wrote:
         | I don't think too many spooks want to handle something as
         | dangerous as MRSA. How do you even infect someone with that
         | without infecting yourself in the process.
        
         | autoexec wrote:
         | He had a sudden mysterious illness that caused him to have
         | problems breathing. If this were a cover up, that illness would
         | have been the cover up attempt, not the pneumonia. The
         | breathing problems required the whistleblower to be intubated
         | and he later developed pneumonia, and later still MRSA.
         | 
         | The pneumonia and MRSA were certainly just an unfortunate
         | illness. The more conspiratorial can debate over if the
         | original breathing difficulties that brought him into the
         | hospital were the result of an assassination attempt or not.
         | For all we know he just had Covid.
        
       | swarnie wrote:
       | All in on Boeing.
       | 
       | Any company willing to murder two people to maintain the share
       | price is an excellent investment in my books.
        
         | AnimalMuppet wrote:
         | You should re-think that. First, it's immoral. Second, it's
         | highly unwise.
         | 
         | If the whistleblowers are right, then planes are going to keep
         | breaking. If planes keep breaking, the share price is going to
         | collapse.
        
           | greenavocado wrote:
           | A defense contract will suddenly materialize
        
           | kergonath wrote:
           | It sounded like sarcasm, to be honest.
        
             | swarnie wrote:
             | It was but i also don't see the civilian arm of the USAF
             | ever going broke.
             | 
             | Loading up.
        
           | b3lvedere wrote:
           | I don't know. Ford Motor Company and General Motors still
           | exist after their inventive ways to circumvent repairs that
           | could have saved lives. Yes, i know they are very sorry.
        
         | b3lvedere wrote:
         | Companies don't murder people. People murder people.
        
           | Zigurd wrote:
           | Corporate personhood. Checkmate!
        
           | anderber wrote:
           | Companies are people S(deg_deg)S
        
             | b3lvedere wrote:
             | Then why don't they get sued to the max?
        
               | phatfish wrote:
               | Because they are single entity with "rights" when it
               | benefits them (them being actual real people with a
               | significant stake or control), and completely
               | unaccountable in a finger-pointy way when it doesn't.
        
       | JasserInicide wrote:
       | Will our federal government get off their asses and investigate
       | this one?
        
         | s1artibartfast wrote:
         | I hope not. There was nothing suspicious
        
         | cies wrote:
         | They may also finally look into all the people that died
         | surrounding the Clintons? Fucking wild west if you ask me
         | (which according to historians was a pretty peaceful place
         | unlike how it's portrayed in popular culture).
        
       | sidcool wrote:
       | I thought this only happened in second and third world countries.
        
         | ethagnawl wrote:
         | Yes
        
         | dagmx wrote:
         | Isn't that viewpoint just the result of nationalist propaganda
         | in education/media in the US?
         | 
         | The US is infamous for extra judicial killings, both
         | domestically and internationally.
        
         | lupire wrote:
         | That's not what the world numbers mean.
        
       | nojs wrote:
       | > His mother wrote on Facebook that he had contracted pneumonia
       | in April and suffered a stroke following an MSRA infection.
       | 
       | I love a good conspiracy theory but this sounds pretty far
       | fetched, how do you cause someone to contract pneumonia?
        
       | chakintosh wrote:
       | > His mother wrote on Facebook that he had contracted pneumonia
       | in April and suffered a stroke following an MSRA infection.
       | 
       | So which one is it? Suddenly or not?
        
         | lenerdenator wrote:
         | I mean, all death is sudden when you think about it.
         | 
         | (I say this with all of the seriousness of a 1980s British
         | comedian who probably thought it before I did)
        
           | masfuerte wrote:
           | It's like the Hemingway quote:
           | 
           | "How did you go bankrupt?"
           | 
           | "Two ways. Gradually and then suddenly."
        
       | deadbabe wrote:
       | It's trivial to make someone's cause of death appear completely
       | natural if you know how. Even better if you know they have some
       | pre-existing condition you could leverage.
        
       | belter wrote:
       | Top Boeing Shareholders -
       | https://www.investopedia.com/articles/insights/052116/top-3-...
        
       | Brosper wrote:
       | Whops...
        
       | treprinum wrote:
       | Is there a must have course on executive voodoo and "dark
       | rhetoric" for execs of large dysfunctional companies? Which MBA
       | teaches sociopathic courses like these? I only know about one
       | such college in Paris...
        
       | _xander wrote:
       | The Onion: "Boeing Promotes Mysterious Employee Known Only As
       | 'The Panther'": https://www.theonion.com/boeing-promotes-
       | mysterious-employee...
        
       | hx8 wrote:
       | The thing about being suspected of one murder is that you tend to
       | get blamed for other deaths.
        
         | hinkley wrote:
         | You'll never make a good Dread Pirate Robert's with that
         | attitude.
        
       | Night_Thastus wrote:
       | People need to put down the spy thriller books.
       | 
       | Dude was sick. _Really sick_. Had been for awhile. Nothing
       | nefarious here, just a shitty clickbait title to get people riled
       | up as usual.
        
         | FrustratedMonky wrote:
         | ""He was 45, had been in good health and was noted for having a
         | healthy lifestyle.""
         | 
         | https://www.seattletimes.com/business/whistleblower-josh-dea...
        
           | Night_Thastus wrote:
           | He had pneumonia _and_ MRSA. As we just saw with covid,
           | respiratory issues can be a death sentence easily.
        
             | FrustratedMonky wrote:
             | Sure. But from Healthy to Dead in 2 weeks is still pretty
             | extreme. It isn't like pneumonia and MRSA aren't known
             | factors.
             | 
             | Perhaps a 'weaponized' MRSA?
        
       | brianjking wrote:
       | Okay, this is just nuts at this point.
        
       | GartzenDeHaes wrote:
       | This was before use of the internet was widespread, but I knew a
       | women who worked at a regional airport. She repeatedly reported
       | safety violations to the (politically connected) operator of the
       | airport, but was ignored. Eventually, she reported them to the
       | FAA who launched an investigation.
       | 
       | - She started receiving threatening phone calls
       | 
       | - Pictures of her kids walking home from school showed up in her
       | mailbox
       | 
       | - Her house was shot up in the middle of the night
       | 
       | - The family dog was killed, disassembled, and the parts were
       | strung up in the house
       | 
       | The police wouldn't do anything and she eventually had to quit
       | her job and move out of the county.
        
         | lxgr wrote:
         | Similar things happened to journalists and activist short
         | sellers reporting on irregularities at Wirecard before it all
         | blew up. (The German authorities reacted swiftly to the reports
         | by... banning short sales of Wirecard shares and investigating
         | the journalists for market manipulation.)
         | 
         | Occasionally, reality apparently is as crass as some classic
         | corporate conspiracy thrillers suggest.
        
         | hn_throwaway_99 wrote:
         | Do you have a source or reference for this? I'd be really
         | surprised if some of your items (e.g. her house being shot up,
         | her dog "disassembled") wouldn't result in some level of
         | journalistic coverage.
         | 
         | My apologies, but my time on the Internet has definitely
         | trained me to be skeptical of extreme reports that make me
         | enraged, without additional evidence.
        
           | user_7832 wrote:
           | I suppose one would have to take OP's word. A 3 year old
           | account doesn't seem to be the kind (hopefully) engaging in
           | false rumors. And after all this I definitely wouldn't expect
           | her to go forward lest her family gets harmed.
           | 
           | Sidenote, but coming from a country where it's "known" that
           | speaking up against corruption can likely end up killing you,
           | it's funny to see people being skeptical about it. It's maybe
           | similar to racism/sexism - yes, don't believe anything
           | without proof - but if someone claims it's happened and give
           | details, it's certainly quite plausible.
        
             | arp242 wrote:
             | People exaggerate or flat-out lie about these sort of
             | things all the time if they feel victimized (rightfully or
             | not). Threatening phone calls I can believe, but it gets
             | more and more unbelievable the further down the list.
             | 
             | I make no judgements, but this is absolutely a "trust, but
             | verify" type of situation IMHO.
        
         | jjtheblunt wrote:
         | what county? sounds evil-crazy obviously
        
         | hinkley wrote:
         | This sounds like a movie plot where the mafia has taken over a
         | major corporation.
        
         | 0xbadcafebee wrote:
         | I know a lot more women who have had this kind of thing happen
         | to them, and they didn't work in airlines. They were just women
         | with stalkers.
        
         | HumblyTossed wrote:
         | Just call Liam Neeson.
        
         | Nextgrid wrote:
         | The eBay stalking case
         | (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/EBay_stalking_scandal) suggests
         | this isn't as implausible as it sounds.
        
           | jjk166 wrote:
           | Frankly tame compared to the Wolf Tree case.
           | 
           | https://www.justice.gov/usao-sdga/pr/two-sentenced-their-
           | rol...
        
         | snowwrestler wrote:
         | I'm not surprised to read this, as it only takes 1-2 people to
         | do these sorts of things, and some people are capable of it.
         | They may not be totally mentally stable, or they feel
         | desperate, or confident they can get away with it, or all of
         | the above.
         | 
         | American history is full of these sorts of incidents of
         | harassment, violence, and sometimes even murder. The history of
         | the labor movement or civil rights movement is sobering.
         | 
         | It doesn't take a CEO making a call to some assassin on the
         | corporate payroll. Usually the reality is far more banal: a
         | supervisor or coworker or neighbor who just takes matters into
         | their own hands.
         | 
         | To be clear, I'm NOT claiming that that is what happened to
         | Josh Dean; I'm speaking generally about people getting harassed
         | for trying to do what they think is the right thing.
        
       | sagebird wrote:
       | Perhaps the whistle itself is contaminated.
        
       | m00x wrote:
       | Damn, what a crazy coincidence.
        
       | bicijay wrote:
       | Shit, im gonna play the devils advocate... Unless they forged the
       | cause of death, we are indeed having a surge in pneumonia cases
       | around the globe...
        
         | andai wrote:
         | Is deadly infection really a viable assassination method? Seems
         | kind of like blowing a zero day exploit. Doesn't really seem
         | worth it?
        
         | kube-system wrote:
         | MRSA was already killing 120,000+ people per year already. It
         | is nasty shit.
        
       | whatamidoingyo wrote:
       | Are there other whistleblowers?
       | 
       | If there are, I can't imagine how they feel.
        
         | josu wrote:
         | According to this article there are 30[1]. Another
         | whistleblower allegedly committed suicide two months ago [2].
         | 
         | [1] "Aside from Mr Barnett and Mr Dean, there are some 30
         | Boeing whistleblowers, including Mr Salehpour."
         | https://theloadstar.com/im-scared-says-boeing-
         | whistleblower-....
         | 
         | [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Barnett_(whistleblower)
        
       | foobarian wrote:
       | Could be there are just a lot of Boeing whistleblowers.
        
         | hrdwdmrbl wrote:
         | Yes, 2 out of how many? The denominator is important here.
        
         | DavidSJ wrote:
         | Something something survivorship bias plane meme. But maybe
         | that one's in poor taste under the circumstances.
        
           | dotnet00 wrote:
           | Would punch too many holes in the argument :)
        
         | dmbche wrote:
         | I believe there were 7
         | 
         | Edit0: Nope - 32 whistleblower complaints in the last three
         | years, but I imagine some of those could be from the same
         | person - so up to 32.
         | https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2024/4/19/boeing-subject-o...
        
         | sophacles wrote:
         | Either way, boeing looks kinda suspect here...
         | 
         | Small number of whistle-blowers: boeing looks pretty suspect,
         | because why do they keep dying?
         | 
         | Large number of whistle-blowers: boeing looks pretty suspect,
         | because why so many?
        
         | causal wrote:
         | Yeah, so perhaps there's no conspiracy of assassination. But if
         | you're so shady that SO many people have come forward to blow
         | the whistle that MULTIPLE are likely to die purely by chance in
         | the course of investigation - you probably deserve whatever
         | suspicion you're getting by that point.
        
       | FrustratedMonky wrote:
       | ""He was 45, had been in good health and was noted for having a
       | healthy lifestyle.""
       | 
       | https://www.seattletimes.com/business/whistleblower-josh-dea...
       | 
       | From Healthy to Dead in 2 weeks is still pretty extreme. It isn't
       | like pneumonia and MRSA aren't known factors.
       | 
       | Perhaps a 'weaponized' MRSA?
        
         | eep_social wrote:
         | Stress kills and he was under a lot of stress but I'm not sure
         | how anyone would be able to produce enough evidence to be
         | certain.
        
         | samdcbu wrote:
         | Antibiotic resistant MRSA kills thousands of people a year in
         | the US. The idea that he went to the hospital with pneumonia
         | and then contracted antibiotic resistant MRSA from the hospital
         | environment is very plausible.
        
           | marricks wrote:
           | Pretty sure the cause of death "seeming very plausible" is
           | highly valued.
        
             | wrs wrote:
             | Indeed. That doesn't make it less plausible.
        
           | withinboredom wrote:
           | > then contracted antibiotic resistant MRSA from the hospital
           | environment is very plausible.
           | 
           | Wouldn't other people in the hospital contract it as well?
        
         | shadowgovt wrote:
         | MRSA is already a weaponized MRSA.
         | 
         | I don't think people who don't spend a lot of time in hospitals
         | have any idea how quickly a person's fortune can change.
         | They're still the best place to care for the sick, but they're
         | also hotbeds of disease because, hey, we keep all the sick
         | people there.
         | 
         | One overlooked sanitization, one visit from a relative who
         | touched the wrong thing on the way to your room, one spot of
         | genetic bad luck that makes you particularly susceptible to
         | infections you'd be likeliest to encounter _in_ a hospital, one
         | never-diagnosed allergic response... That 's all she wrote.
         | Doesn't matter over-much how healthy you were before because
         | "on your back struggling to breathe for days on end in a
         | strange environment" is a wildly different environment to
         | "enjoying the fresh mountain air close to home."
        
           | FrustratedMonky wrote:
           | Boeing and Conspiracies aside, this is the scary thing.
           | 
           | Discussing 'conspiracies' is actually an entertainment so we
           | don't have to think about the reality like anti-biotic
           | resistant diseases that could cause another pandemic.
           | 
           | Easier to contemplate secret assassin organizations, hired by
           | big Corps. Or a Boeing, Military Industrial complex, CIA
           | connected death squad.
        
       | intunderflow wrote:
       | The only thing more dangerous than flying on Boeing appears to be
       | criticising them
        
         | kube-system wrote:
         | The total number of deaths in _all_ airplane crashes combined
         | since 1970 is about as much as MRSA kills in 8 months of a
         | typical year.
        
           | mjburgess wrote:
           | I'm not sure what you think this shows.
           | 
           | If we had an organization responsible and capable of
           | preventing MRSA deaths, and was failing to do so, they'd be
           | in prison at 8 million deaths.
           | 
           | The issue here isn't how many deaths, it's whether boeing has
           | a duty and capability to prevent them; whether it has failed
           | to do so; and whether this failure has caused a systematic
           | problem with its recent planes that could lead to more
           | deaths.
           | 
           | On all accounts it seems: yes, they've gutted product quality
           | and it has lead to severe accidents.
        
             | kube-system wrote:
             | I'm simply pointing out the relative frequency of these
             | incidents, that's all.
             | 
             | > If we had an organization responsible and capable of
             | preventing MRSA deaths
             | 
             | MRSA is known for spreading in hospital settings. Hospitals
             | are supposed to prevent this from happening, but it is
             | hard.
        
               | sxg wrote:
               | > Hospitals are supposed to prevent this from happening,
               | but it is hard.
               | 
               | Physician here. Hospitals do work to prevent the spread,
               | and it is hard--so much so that it's nearly inevitable.
               | MRSA is a naturally occurring part of the respiratory
               | tract and skin. How do you stop that? Also important to
               | note that those who do acquire and die from MRSA
               | infections tend to be relatively ill to begin with.
               | Usually those patients are admitted to the hospital for
               | some other serious issue and then develop a MRSA
               | infection either from their own body or the hospital.
               | While you can mitigate the latter, you can't do anything
               | about the former.
        
               | ClumsyPilot wrote:
               | > relative frequency of these incidents
               | 
               | Is about the same as frequency with which Putin kills his
               | political opponents. [1]. So either frequency is not a
               | very good way of judging criminal culpability and
               | morality, or Putin is a great guy.
               | 
               | https://www.newsweek.com/putin-critics-dead-full-list-
               | navaln...
        
               | singleshot_ wrote:
               | I agree, preventing the spread of illness in a hospital
               | sounds challenging.
               | 
               | You know what isn't very hard, is making sure nuts are on
               | bolts instead of in the trash.
        
               | kube-system wrote:
               | I agree! And if Boeing can't manage to do that, they
               | probably can't manage to surreptitiously assassinate
               | people. Infectious disease is more than common enough on
               | its own to explain this.
        
               | singleshot_ wrote:
               | Trapped by my own logic. Totally fair and also grounded
               | in the article rather than slinging mud at Boing. Well
               | put.
        
               | clankyclanker wrote:
               | ...but, like drowning, plane crashes aren't infectious.
               | 
               | There might be something to your analogy if a crash in
               | Boise caused everyone in town to come down with a plane
               | to the head, but that's not how that works so it's kind
               | of apples to oranges.
        
           | electric_mayhem wrote:
           | So you're saying there's a tremendous allowance to be made
           | for quality to diminish further before you feel like it's a
           | real problem?
        
             | kube-system wrote:
             | No, I'm saying that this MRSA infection was likely natural.
             | About 3 million Americans are MRSA carriers.
        
           | atlas_hugged wrote:
           | While your point is perfectly valid, I think it should
           | include fairer comparisons than infectious diseases. Most
           | people don't willingly participate in something that would
           | risk MRSA, whereas many do fly. Not sure what a better
           | comparison would be though.
           | 
           | In this case, it would be something that includes: number of
           | deaths or injury or near death (door flying off and
           | potentially getting sucked out at 30000 ft) due to flying
           | Boeing vs driving X number of miles in a car.
           | 
           | This would be a similarly rare occurrence but would be nice
           | to see the comparison between plane types.
        
             | throwaway48476 wrote:
             | Viruses tend to kill the old and the sick whereas plane
             | crashes kill all equally.
        
           | reactordev wrote:
           | You don't find it concerning and possibly suspicious that
           | both whistleblowers have died? The first one said "if
           | anything happens to me, it's not suicide". Now this...
        
             | kube-system wrote:
             | > The first one said "if anything happens to me, it's not
             | suicide".
             | 
             | That's what one of his female friends claimed he said. You
             | don't think it's more likely that a grown man of the boomer
             | generation might not be up-front about his mental health to
             | his female friends?
             | 
             | Meanwhile, others who were closer to him said he was having
             | a tough time. And he was found in his own truck, shot with
             | his own gun, with his hand on the trigger, and a note,
             | across state lines from where he lived. And the responding
             | investigators didn't report any signs of foul play.
             | 
             | It's certainly a possibly, but the evidence just doesn't
             | add up that way. As humans, our brains are wired to fall
             | for the narrative fallacy, even when it isn't a good
             | explanation.
        
           | Zenzero wrote:
           | This is just juxtaposition of two completely unrelated
           | things. The only relationship they have is an endpoint of
           | death.
        
         | aaronbrethorst wrote:
         | I dunno, I'd imagine that being on the receiving end of a
         | Boeing Harpoon missile is probably a bit more dangerous.
        
       | phaedryx wrote:
       | Could the explanation be that being a whistleblower is really
       | stressful and hard on your health?
        
         | marricks wrote:
         | Sure, but I'm not sure why we have to invent excuses for
         | companies. They create them themselves just fine.
        
           | shadowgovt wrote:
           | I wouldn't say "expecting horses and not zebra" is "creating
           | excuses."
           | 
           | You can refrain from giving Boeing the benefit of the doubt
           | here and still come to the conclusion "It's not weird that
           | someone didn't recover from a respiratory infection during
           | flu season."
        
             | ryandrake wrote:
             | I wonder how many whistleblowers (raw number or percentage)
             | dying would cross the threshold where we don't give Boeing
             | the benefit of doubt or explain it as a coincidence. Seems
             | the answer so far on HN is "unknown but at least greater
             | than two."
        
               | shadowgovt wrote:
               | Me personally: I find the first death extremely
               | suspicious and someone with MRSA dying in a hospital not
               | very suspicious.
        
         | shadowgovt wrote:
         | Given that he died of MRSA in a hospital two weeks after
         | falling ill, yes.
        
         | sevagh wrote:
         | That's how the thread dismissed the last one.
        
       | ComputerGuru wrote:
       | The first Boeing whistleblower to "off himself" allegedly told
       | his family shortly before he died that if anything happened to
       | him, "it's not suicide."
       | 
       | https://www.newsweek.com/john-barnett-boeing-whistleblower-p...
        
         | sciolistse wrote:
         | From what I've seen that's kind of overselling it, his own
         | family hasn't claimed that he said that, an anonymous person
         | who claimed to be a friend of his did.
         | 
         | But I may have missed any further developments to actually
         | verify that his family had been told something similar.
        
           | zamadatix wrote:
           | Yeah, his family said "He was suffering from PTSD and anxiety
           | attacks as a result of being subjected to the hostile work
           | environment at Boeing which we believe led to his death". As
           | much as a conspiracy for fear of being next could come into
           | it I'd have to believe it'd be more than a lone and anonymous
           | friend of the family that would speak out if confided with
           | this info.
           | 
           | Between that and the 30 some whistleblowers in the last 5
           | years that two died close to one another isn't all that
           | damning.
           | 
           | https://www.cbsnews.com/news/john-barnett-boeing-
           | whistleblow...
        
             | simplicio wrote:
             | And in Barnett's case, he'd been talking since 2019. Even
             | if one thinks Boeing would be willing to have people
             | murdered, the time to do so would be _before_ they became
             | public whistleblowers, not a half-decade later.
        
               | codedokode wrote:
               | Maybe they were hoping he will give up himself due to
               | bureaucracy.
        
           | dralley wrote:
           | >But I may have missed any further developments to actually
           | verify that his family had been told something similar.
           | 
           | You have not, his family thinks he killed himself, but blames
           | Boeing for making his life awful for several years.
        
           | TylerE wrote:
           | An unarmed "family friend" who hadn't spoken to him in over a
           | decade. Total hearsay at best.
        
         | FireBeyond wrote:
         | Apropos of the context of this situation...
         | 
         | As a paramedic, I'd take this with a grain of salt: I have been
         | on calls for a non-trivial number of patients who've sworn
         | black and blue that they're "no longer suicidal", "no longer a
         | threat", "if anything happens to me, it wasn't suicide" who,
         | you guessed it, went on to attempt or commit suicide in very
         | short order.
        
       | rakoo wrote:
       | If they were really killed because of their leaks, I struggle to
       | find what could be so sensitive that an assassination is ever an
       | option. Do Boeing engineers work on stuff that secretive ? Are
       | you given the nuclear codes on your first day ? I'm really
       | curious
        
         | intunderflow wrote:
         | The effect on the value of the company and the strategic effect
         | of letting Airbus (a European company) dominate aerospace
         | manufacturing is a pretty big threat
        
           | dh2022 wrote:
           | well, whoever would make this type of "executive decision"
           | should be prepared to go to jail for a really long time next
           | to really violent bad people. Multinational execs did not
           | show propensity for these types of decisions (the propensity
           | at C-Suite is to pay a fine and move on....) So prior
           | knowledge makes me think these are accidents.
           | 
           | It would be really good to get as much information about
           | these deaths (and closure for the families)
           | 
           | PS. for arguments sake, if another Boeing whistleblower would
           | get a sudden disease I would be more inclined to think that
           | maybe there is some chemical/mechanical exposure in the
           | Boeing / Spirit factories rather then some Michael Clayton-
           | type action...
        
             | Arn_Thor wrote:
             | When is the last time someone from the C suite and had a
             | good relationship to the government/defense sector went to
             | big boy jail? I can't think of an occasion, even though I
             | can think of many deadly events where it's very well
             | arguable there should be criminal liability
        
               | psunavy03 wrote:
               | Generally any white collar criminal does not need to go
               | to "big boy jail," and I'm not sure why that needs to be
               | a thing. Is this like joking about prison rape, where we
               | just assume that the consequences of being incarcerated
               | aren't enough, and we need "Bubba" to add a little
               | "extra" because we're not as civilized as we believe we
               | are?
               | 
               | Either way, rest assured that in the real world, a
               | hypothetical executive who was convicted of ordering a
               | hit would end up being treated the exact same way as a
               | mafioso who did the same.
        
               | grecy wrote:
               | > _a hypothetical executive who was convicted of ordering
               | a hit would end up being treated the exact same way_
               | 
               | Sure, but the point is they'll never be convicted.
        
               | SrslyJosh wrote:
               | > Generally any white collar criminal does not need to go
               | to "big boy jail"
               | 
               | Why not? Are they special because they hurt people
               | indirectly instead of directly?
               | 
               | > a hypothetical executive who was convicted of ordering
               | a hit
               | 
               | Well, there's the rub. They would have to be convicted.
               | How often are executives held accountable for anything
               | their company does?
        
               | Arn_Thor wrote:
               | You seem to be reading something into my wording there
               | that I didn't intend. I meant proper jail, not a fine,
               | not a suspended sentence or one of the cushy prisons
               | financial criminals tend to go to. I mean the same jail
               | as a non-rich murderer, for example. No " don't drop the
               | soap" tropes implied. Those piss me off too.
               | 
               | But yeah, white color crime that for example kills people
               | (deadly pollution for example) should absolutely be
               | treated like murder, or manslaughter at the very least.
               | Why the hell not?
        
               | knowaveragejoe wrote:
               | I see two different instinctual kneejerks here from HN.
               | One, that this person's death must be a conspiracy, and
               | two, that there is never accountability about any of
               | these things. I understand why that is intuitive, but I
               | think it betrays an understanding of the world that is
               | closer to a movie-plot rather than reality(which is slow
               | and boring and doesn't always result in satisfying
               | "justice" delivered).
        
           | psunavy03 wrote:
           | And the (hypothetical) effect on the value of a company in
           | the (hypothetical) event they are proven to assassinate
           | critics is . . . what exactly?
        
             | barryrandall wrote:
             | In the long term? Not much. Dow is Boeing's future.
        
               | psunavy03 wrote:
               | I'm sorry, your tinfoil hat is slipping.
        
             | user_7832 wrote:
             | Are we talking about cases where someone at the company
             | _explicitly_ asked /ordered a kill, or including *wink*
             | "handlings" of people? For example in 2012 the (EU) ECCHR
             | said Nestle was responsible for the 2005 death of Luciano
             | Romero in 2005. What about when in the case of the Banana
             | Massacre you had Chiquita Banana making payments to the
             | United Self-Defense Forces of Colombia, who caused the
             | deaths?
             | 
             | Looking at Nestle's historic stock performance I see no
             | (significant) change around 2005 or 2012.
             | 
             | [0] - https://www.dw.com/en/nestle-under-fire-over-
             | colombian-murde...
        
               | Eji1700 wrote:
               | While obviously horrific, there's a large difference
               | between paying a bunch of paramilitary members of a
               | country where out and out murder by government is already
               | an issue, and murdering citizens using arcane secretive
               | methods such as suicide by hanging and magic mrsa
               | infection.
               | 
               | If boeing is SO important to the government that justice
               | doesn't matter, then it's probably a fuckload easier to
               | bribe a judge or two and make sure the court cases never
               | get anywhere than to orchestrate not one, but two,
               | clandestine hits.
        
           | Swenrekcah wrote:
           | Boeing will never fail financially or fall out of use because
           | of their importance for US geopolitical status. I don't think
           | the USA cares much about the issue except insofar as the USA
           | wants Boeing to deliver reliable high quality products.
           | 
           | However, Boeing executives can (and should) get in to
           | trouble. They probably care very much about what comes to
           | light in court.
        
             | gklitz wrote:
             | > Boeing will never fail financially or fall out of use
             | because of their importance for US geopolitical status
             | 
             | If the trial concludes with "Yes boing knew the planes were
             | not safe but let people fly in them" it doesn't matter how
             | important it is to the US, no passenger will want to fly
             | them.
        
               | stoperaticless wrote:
               | 1. Ivestigation/prosecution/Trial of which country?
               | (people can be influenced)
               | 
               | 2. As last resort: Us Gov can take over and actually
               | reform Boeing (fixing public perception)
               | 
               | And there is whole continuum between 1 and 2.
               | 
               | (I really doubt that anything shady happened with this
               | pneumonia; but IF something shady was done, US will make
               | effort to preserve/save national aviation giant)
        
               | jamwil wrote:
               | We already know that is the case and we continue to fly
               | in them because we have no choice but to.
               | 
               | Also humans have startlingly short term memories.
        
               | Swenrekcah wrote:
               | People may not want to fly Boeing but they still want to
               | fly.
               | 
               | Even if all US airlines wanted to switch, it would take
               | Airbus a few decades to deliver replacements, by which
               | time the issue will be forgotten (unless they keep
               | crashing and falling apart midair).
               | 
               | US airlines will probably not be allowed use chineese
               | planes as replacements.
               | 
               | I'm not trying to minimise Boeing's responsibility, just
               | saying that assuming the company starts to turn things
               | around, nothing that comes out of the trial will affect
               | the future of Boeing the company much, but it might well
               | be catastrophic for the top brass.
        
           | slowmovintarget wrote:
           | By turning out bad product, Boeing has let Airbus dominate
           | commercial aerospace manufacturing all on their own.
        
         | colechristensen wrote:
         | This is the commercial arm of Boeing, but not even that bit a
         | spun off bit of Boeing that just builds airframes called
         | Spirit.
         | 
         | Boeing does do highly classified things in other branches of
         | the company that have nothing to do with any of this, even then
         | nobody would be assassinated for the most egregious espionage
         | outside of some absurd movie plot scenario. Spies go to prison
         | if they're not recruited for counterintelligence.
         | 
         | Influenza and MRSA would be very odd assassination tools.
        
         | cm2187 wrote:
         | Any other industry I would have called bullshit, but defense
         | companies are always a bit murky, with close links to
         | intelligence services (who help in international negotiations
         | and industrial spying) and current/former military. So lots of
         | people who would know who to call to make things happen.
         | 
         | I have in mind for instance the Taiwan frigate scandal that has
         | seen all sort of mysterious deaths, including Thiery Imbot
         | (former DGSE, and son of former head of the DGSE), who died
         | falling from a window in Paris. The official investigation
         | blamed the wind which will make anyone who lived in Paris
         | laugh.
         | 
         | So, I don't know, but not implausible.
        
           | rakoo wrote:
           | Oh you're right, I completely forgot their involvement in
           | defense projects. Maybe something involving the level at
           | which Boeing along wiah the US gov spied on Airbus to win
           | contracts as well.
        
         | ClumsyPilot wrote:
         | > I struggle to find what could be so sensitive that an
         | assassination is ever an option.
         | 
         | When Putin's regime punishes a critic or dissident, it is not
         | done to stop this particular critic disclosing something
         | sensitive. It is done as a warning to future critics. If you
         | think this principle is never applied by western agencies, look
         | at what happened to Julian Assange - after being prosecuted for
         | 12 years the dude has lost it and Ecuador has kicked him out
         | for smearing faeces on embassy walls.
         | 
         | Additionally, western corporations were, multiple times,
         | accused of being involved in assassinations of union leaders in
         | developing countries.
         | 
         | And they used to do it in the USA, in 1920's.
         | 
         | https://prospect.org/features/coca-cola-killings/
         | https://www.vice.com/en/article/88n97g/3-union-leaders-were-...
        
           | rakoo wrote:
           | Yeah I have no doubt this serves as a message for future
           | whistleblowers, but damn that is some level of prevention.
           | 
           | > Additionally, western corporations were, multiple times,
           | accused of being involved in assassinations of union leaders
           | in developing countries.
           | 
           | Unions are the kryptonite of capitalists and threaten their
           | very existence, so it isn't that out of field; if we are to
           | make the parallel, it means there is something in what they
           | know that threatens the very existence of Boeing and I fail
           | to imagine what
        
         | bogwog wrote:
         | I'm not a fan of conspiracy theories, but I do like crime
         | thrillers so I'll add that one potential reason could be that
         | one or more people at the company are worried about prison time
         | for something they did. That kind of thing could lead someone
         | to make desperate moves, like assassinating a whistleblower.
         | Hell, it doesn't even need to be someone high up on the ladder,
         | it could be one of the factory workers that worked on a plane
         | that went down, and is panicking because he got bad legal
         | advice from ChatGPT!
         | 
         | ... but I'm like 99.9998% confident this is actually just a
         | series of non-malicious, tragic coincidences rather than a
         | conspiracy.
        
         | shepardrtc wrote:
         | > I struggle to find what could be so sensitive that an
         | assassination is ever an option
         | 
         | It's a warning to future whistleblowers.
        
       | bioneuralnet wrote:
       | My first thought is "WTF!" But my second is this: every single
       | person who's ever criticized Boeing is going to die (eventually).
       | With so many people in a position to notice and speak out about
       | Boeing's issues, it isn't terribly surprising that a few deaths
       | have occurred.
       | 
       | Combine that with one headline-grabbing (apparent) suicide during
       | a deposition, and we're now all primed to notice these deaths and
       | attribute intent.
        
         | graywh wrote:
         | 32 whistleblowers in the last 3 years
        
           | throwup238 wrote:
           | That's a lot of assassinations! I bet Boeing gets a volume
           | discount.
        
             | mattmaroon wrote:
             | I assume he meant there were 32, of which those two died,
             | not 32 died.
             | 
             | If 32 died, ok, they're killing people. If 2/32 died,
             | that's within the realm of possibility.
        
               | slg wrote:
               | Yes, it is 2 dead out of 32 total [1].
               | 
               | We can ballpark these odds relatively easily. Dean was 45
               | and Barnett was 62. Let's assume they are somewhat
               | representative of the average whistleblower and the
               | average whistleblower is in average health. Let's use the
               | standard government actuarial tables[2] and assume the
               | average age is 56 just to make the math easier since the
               | odds of a single 56 year old dying in a given year is
               | roughly 1%. The odds of at least 1 of the 32 dying would
               | be 28% and the odds of 2 dying would be 4%. Unlikely
               | enough to be suspicious, but not unlikely enough to be
               | anything close to the smoking gun that some are
               | suggesting.
               | 
               | [1] - https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2024/4/19/boeing-
               | subject-o...
               | 
               | [2] - https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html
        
               | throwup238 wrote:
               | So what you're saying is that there's a 96% chance Boeing
               | did it. If that doesn't conclusively settle the matter, I
               | don't know what would.
               | 
               | Boeing would have gotten away with it too if it weren't
               | for us meddling hackers!
        
               | amelius wrote:
               | Thank you!
        
               | foxyv wrote:
               | I always love people who actually do the math.
        
               | ekianjo wrote:
               | > The odds of at least 1 of the 32 dying would be 28% and
               | the odds of 2 dying would be 4%.
               | 
               | the deaths happened in two months. not in the space of a
               | year. you need to take that in account.
        
               | blueelephanttea wrote:
               | > If 2/32 died
               | 
               | Also his isn't quite correct. John Barnett (first death)
               | left Boeing in 2017 and his whistle blowing did not occur
               | within the last 3 years. The 32 complaints stat is for
               | the last 3 years.
               | 
               | Also it's not even clear if the most recent death (Josh
               | Dean) would be included in those stats. He worked for
               | Spirit and claims that he reported improperly drilled
               | holes in the 737 Max fuselage and that nothing was done.
               | The claim would probably be against Spirit not Boeing.
               | It's being reported in the media as Boeing, but in
               | paperwork it would probably be against Spirit.
        
           | orblivion wrote:
           | Out of how many wistleblowers? How does that compare to other
           | people with the same demographics?
        
             | orblivion wrote:
             | (I can't edit or delete anymore but see the sibling
             | comments. 32 is the total, not the dead.)
        
           | tootie wrote:
           | Where did you get that number?
        
           | coliveira wrote:
           | People should stop and do some very serious investigation
           | about a company that has 32 whistleblowers just in the last 3
           | years....
        
         | danielfoster wrote:
         | Not to mention how old some of them must be.
        
           | dingnuts wrote:
           | well this guy was 45 and described as healthy in the article,
           | but shows up to the hospital with a mysterious lung problem
           | and then gets MRSA
           | 
           | it's not exactly a smoking gun but you can't blame the guy's
           | age, either. 45 is just middle age, I hope
        
             | cft wrote:
             | The chance to die from all causes at the age of 45 is 0.41%
             | https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html
             | 
             | Combined with the suicide two months ago (with his prior
             | warning "please don't believe that I committed suicide")
             | this deserves an investigation, not a simple dismissal.
        
               | kingTug wrote:
               | Does anyone know if they're investigating that? It was
               | supposedly in his car, in the hotel parking lot he was
               | staying at for the deposition. Seems implausible there
               | wasn't a security camera somewhere in the vicinity.
        
               | somenameforme wrote:
               | Actuarial tables are for all people. So it also of course
               | includes deaths from cancer, obesity related diseases,
               | alcoholism/drug abuse, etc. The odds of a healthy 45 year
               | old just randomly dying from a mysterious infection are
               | going to be orders of magnitude lower than 0.41%.
        
               | danielfoster wrote:
               | People can easily be paranoid and suicidal at the same
               | time.
        
             | neom wrote:
             | In my opinion it's highly unlikely he was murdered, however
             | if he was, personally, I would be more inclined to pin the
             | blame on an adversary of the Americans to sew some distrust
             | vs Boeing or it's shareholders.
        
             | rootusrootus wrote:
             | As someone who crossed 45 not that long ago, I gotta say
             | that I have definitely noticed an uptick in people dying
             | who I'm acquainted with.
        
             | tootie wrote:
             | A friend died at 40 from lung cancer despite never smoking.
             | It's rare but it happens. How many proven assassinations of
             | corporate whistleblowers have happened in the US? I think
             | it's zero in the last 100 years at least.
        
               | jjk166 wrote:
               | https://www.justice.gov/usao-sdga/pr/two-sentenced-their-
               | rol...
               | 
               | Assassinations of corporate whistleblowers also falls
               | under the category of "it's rare but it happens."
        
               | tootie wrote:
               | I mean, that's not exactly the same. These guys were
               | running a local tree-cutting serving, not a Fortune 500.
               | And they weren't just accused of negligent business
               | practice, they were accused of human trafficking and
               | theft. They murdered a whistleblower to keep themselves
               | out of jail, not to protect share prices.
        
               | jjk166 wrote:
               | > These guys were running a local tree-cutting serving,
               | not a Fortune 500.
               | 
               | I imagine Boeing can do anything a local tree-cutting
               | service can do.
               | 
               | > And they weren't just accused of negligent business
               | practice, they were accused of human trafficking and
               | theft. They murdered a whistleblower to keep themselves
               | out of jail, not to protect share prices.
               | 
               | Boeing execs are accused of committing massive fraud
               | which endangered the lives of thousands, as well as other
               | crimes to cover up the safety issues. They are currently
               | under criminal investigation, with many individuals
               | facing possible jail time. When people say corporate
               | assassination, they mean people working for a corporation
               | orchestrate the death of a person for reasons associated
               | with the corporation.
        
             | lamontcg wrote:
             | > then gets MRSA
             | 
             | That's just due to what is happening to health care in this
             | country.
             | 
             | The underlying cause is the same short-term-profits
             | capitalism that has fucked over Boeing.
             | 
             | The conspiracy is just the trivial one that requires only
             | perverse economic incentives and not assassination.
        
         | CrazyPyroLinux wrote:
         | > (apparent) suicide
         | 
         | The one where he specifically told his family beforehand that
         | he wasn't suicidal...
        
           | mattmaroon wrote:
           | My ex killed herself not long after telling me she wasn't
           | suicidal. This may surprise you, but suicidal people often
           | lie about being suicidal. Or, they rapidly go from not being
           | suicidal to being so. Or, due to mental illness, they've lost
           | a grip on reality.
        
             | shepardrtc wrote:
             | This is a little different, he literally said to his
             | friend, "I ain't scared but if anything happens to me it's
             | not suicide."
        
               | nathancahill wrote:
               | Not leaning either way, but there was a famous case about
               | a lawyer in Guatemala who recorded a video message
               | claiming he wasn't suicidal and that the government was
               | out to kill him. He was killed days later and the video
               | was released. The country was (briefly) thrown in to
               | turmoil. A few days later it came out that he had ordered
               | a hit on himself.
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rodrigo_Rosenberg_Marzano
        
               | kenjackson wrote:
               | I'd never considered a technique to strengthen your
               | argument. Put in that light -- it makes it more
               | plausible.
        
               | lordnacho wrote:
               | Wasn't there an old movie about this scenario? Guy orders
               | a hit on himself, decides actually he wants to live?
        
               | nkingsy wrote:
               | That article is an absolute hodgepodge of statements and
               | retractions, but the same hitman appears to have also
               | killed the laywer's clients, who were causing problems
               | for the regime. That seems like pretty strong evidence
               | that it wasn't a suicide by hitman, unless the lawyer
               | also had his own clients killed?
        
             | karaterobot wrote:
             | He was also in the _middle_ of testifying against the
             | company that had made his life hell for years. That is a
             | rather strange time to kill yourself.
        
               | mattmaroon wrote:
               | I don't know, it was presumably extremely stressful.
               | Extremely stressful events or when a lot of people kill
               | them themselves.
               | 
               | I don't really have a strong opinion on this particular
               | instance one way or another. It seems unlikely to me that
               | even Boeing is like hiring hitman to whack people and
               | make it look like suicide, and that seems much more
               | unlikely than a guy who was about to commit suicide
               | saying he wasn't going to make it look that way.
               | 
               | But also, it is not impossible. People have undoubtedly
               | killed for a lot less money than what this stuff is
               | costing Boeing.
        
           | dralley wrote:
           | >The one where he specifically told his family beforehand
           | that he wasn't suicidal...
           | 
           | This game of telephone is absurd.
           | 
           | His family has said no such thing. A proclaimed "friend of
           | the family" claimed he told her this.
        
         | delfinom wrote:
         | OR, we are living in a simulation and this is just a joke.
         | 
         | I mean just the other day, the emergency slide fell off a
         | Boeing aircraft and landed essentially, in the backyard of the
         | lawyer suing Boeing. Lol
        
           | paul7986 wrote:
           | omg lol https://www.businessinsider.com/missing-delta-
           | emergency-slid...
        
         | akira2501 wrote:
         | > every single person who's ever criticized Boeing is going to
         | die (eventually)
         | 
         | That's extremely tautological.
         | 
         | > it isn't terribly surprising that a few deaths have occurred.
         | 
         | It's surprising they have so many whistle blowers that more
         | than one has died in a short span of time, in particular,
         | before the investigations over their allegations have been
         | satisfactorily and publicly completed.
         | 
         | > and we're now all primed to notice these deaths and attribute
         | intent.
         | 
         | That doesn't mean it's pointless to ask questions and to
         | investigate further. There's a lot of people who seem very
         | eager for this all to just "go away." That should make anyone,
         | let alone a forum of hackers, somewhat suspicious.
        
         | sxg wrote:
         | I'm baffled by this comment. It's exceedingly rare for two
         | middle-aged and otherwise healthy people to die without
         | warning.
         | 
         | > With so many people in a position to notice and speak out
         | about Boeing's issues
         | 
         | So many? Both were whistleblowers of which there are allegedly
         | no more than 32 in the last few years.
        
           | cbsmith wrote:
           | > I'm baffled by this comment. It's exceedingly rare for two
           | middle-aged and otherwise healthy people to die without
           | warning.
           | 
           | No. It happens every day. Yes, if you pick two random middle-
           | aged people at random, it's exceedingly rare for both of them
           | to die without warning. However, if you pick a large
           | population of otherwise healthy middle-aged people, the
           | probably that two of them might die without warning is
           | actually quite high.
           | 
           | The question is, how large is the population? If the union is
           | to be believed (and there's a lot of credibility there),
           | Boeing whistleblowers are a pretty large population. Add in
           | to that the stress & disruption of being a whistleblower, and
           | then layer on the stress from any retaliation from Boeing
           | (which allegedly is happening on a daily basis), and the
           | probability of two of them dying around the same time isn't
           | really that low.
           | 
           | e.g., if you assume a mortality rate of 1 in 1000/yr (which
           | seems very low, considering their circumstance) and a
           | population of 100, the odds of two of them dying over the
           | course of a year is over 50% (1-0.999^100)^2 = 53.29%.
        
             | peter422 wrote:
             | One of those people died of a gunshot wound, so whether it
             | was self-inflicted or not, their age and health and any
             | related statistics have nothing to do with the death.
        
               | cbsmith wrote:
               | > One of those people died of a gunshot wound, so whether
               | it was self-inflicted or not, their age and health and
               | any related statistics have nothing to do with the death.
               | 
               | Mental health is health. Age and physical health are
               | factors that can effect mental health, particularly when
               | someone is under tremendous amounts of stress. Their age
               | and health could very well have something to do with
               | their death.
        
             | somenameforme wrote:
             | I'm really trying to figure out where you got 53.29% from.
             | Your formula is not only not how you'd calculate this, but
             | gives 0.009. If you want to know the right answer, the
             | easiest way is to do a binomial calculation, which is
             | easiest using a calculator [1].
             | 
             | The answer is there being _at least_ (so this value
             | includes all possible values  >= 2) 2 deaths in a
             | population of 100 with a rate of 1 in 1000, would be
             | 0.464%.
             | 
             | [1] - https://stattrek.com/online-calculator/binomial
        
               | cbsmith wrote:
               | You're right. I screwed up the math.
        
               | LZ_Khan wrote:
               | So... it's extremely unlikely two would die in the same
               | year from natural causes.
               | 
               | (given a pool of 100, not even 32!)
        
               | cbsmith wrote:
               | _If_ we assume their base mortality rate is 0.1%, that
               | the pool is only 100, and that the deaths are completely
               | independent (and we know that since they were both
               | whistleblowers, both worked for the sample employer, that
               | may very well not be true), it 's a low probability case,
               | yes. The sense is that those are both extremely
               | conservative numbers.
               | 
               | Try looking at the cumulative probability for P(X>=2)
               | when you manipulate the numbers a bit. Even if you just
               | change the base probability of mortality to 1%, it jumps
               | to 26% chance. If you restrict the population to 32
               | people, the threshold for it be more likely to happen
               | than not is a 5.2% chance of death.
        
               | LZ_Khan wrote:
               | Well luckily the mortality rate for 45-55 in the US is
               | well-documented at 0.5%.
               | 
               | Plugging that in the binomial calculator, P(X>=2) at 32
               | trials is... 0.09%!! Astronomically low odds.
               | 
               | And you are right, their deaths are certainly not
               | independent :)
        
               | cbsmith wrote:
               | I'm not sure why you think the 0.5% figure is relevant.
               | One of them was 62. Even if they were both 45-55, their
               | risk of death would no doubt be dramatically higher than
               | the mean. They were both whistle blowers, and not just
               | ordinary whistle blowers, but whistle blowers in a high
               | profile story. IIRC, at least one of them had been fired
               | from their job in the last year. That's not average for
               | that age group.
        
             | sxg wrote:
             | I agree with you in that the population size is the key
             | question here. However, I have two issues:
             | 
             | First, otherwise healthy people don't just die from stress.
             | Stress can sometimes exacerbate underlying health issues
             | and lead to a long, downward spiral in health that can
             | result in death, but it does not happen in a matter of just
             | weeks or a couple months. It also does not happen in people
             | without underlying health issues.
             | 
             | Second, while a mortality rate of 0.001/yr is reasonable
             | for middle-aged men, that assumes we know nothing about
             | them or their deaths--that isn't the case here. John
             | Barnett's death was a suicide. According to the CDC, there
             | were 14,668 suicides in the 45-64 age group in 2021. The
             | 2020 census shows that there are 85 million people in the
             | US in that same age group. The suicide mortality rate comes
             | out to 0.00017, which is about an order of magnitude lower
             | than your estimate. Josh Dean was otherwise healthy from
             | what's being reported. Given his age and state of health,
             | his 1-year mortality rate is also likely substantially
             | lower than your estimate
        
               | cbsmith wrote:
               | > First, otherwise healthy people don't just die from
               | stress. Stress can sometimes exacerbate underlying health
               | issues and lead to a long, downward spiral in health that
               | can result in death, but it does not happen in a matter
               | of just weeks or a couple months. It also does not happen
               | in people without underlying health issues.
               | 
               | First, there's a difference between being "otherwise
               | healthy" and _appearing_ to be  "otherwise healthy".
               | People who seem otherwise healthy but under a tremendous
               | amount of stress are absolutely more likely to die from a
               | sudden heart attack or stroke. People who seem otherwise
               | healthy but under a tremendous amount of stress are
               | absolutely more likely to commit suicide. People who seem
               | otherwise healthy but under a tremendous amount of stress
               | are absolutely more likely to be in a car accident...
               | 
               | > Second, while a mortality rate of 0.001/yr is
               | reasonable for middle-aged men, that assumes we know
               | nothing about them or their deaths--that isn't the case
               | here. John Barnett's death was a suicide. According to
               | the CDC, there were 14,668 suicides in the 45-64 age
               | group in 2021. The 2020 census shows that there are 85
               | million people in the US in that same age group. The
               | suicide mortality rate comes out to 0.00017, which is
               | about an order of magnitude lower than your estimate.
               | Josh Dean was otherwise healthy from what's being
               | reported. Given his age and state of health, his 1-year
               | mortality rate is also likely substantially lower than
               | your estimate
               | 
               | I don't agree that John Barnett's death was as likely to
               | occur as anyone else in that age group. He was almost
               | certainly experiencing stress above the level of the top
               | percentile of the 45-64 population. The mean likelihood
               | of suicide mortality isn't representative of his risk
               | condition.
               | 
               | But you're right, if you narrow it down to the specifics
               | of the deaths, you can absolutely reduce the probability
               | to ridiculously low percentages. Like throw in the day of
               | the week that they died, the hour of the day, the use of
               | a gun, the specific gun used, etc. Does that really
               | reduce the chances that they died though?
        
               | jjk166 wrote:
               | > But you're right, if you narrow it down to the
               | specifics of the deaths, you can absolutely reduce the
               | probability to ridiculously low percentages. Like throw
               | in the day of the week that they died, the hour of the
               | day, the use of a gun, the specific gun used, etc. Does
               | that really reduce the chances that they died though?
               | 
               | The chance they died is 100%. The question we're asking
               | is what are the odds we'd be talking about their death.
               | If it had been a different day of the week or a different
               | model of gun, that would not have an influence. If the
               | cause of death were different, it would. No one would be
               | talking about foul play had he died of say a long term
               | chronic condition, or cancer, or a natural disaster. The
               | odds of dying under suspicious circumstances are
               | inherently less than the odds of just dying in general.
        
               | cbsmith wrote:
               | > The chance they died is 100%.
               | 
               | There you go. Because it is after the fact, it's a given.
               | It's not surprising that you can find a connection of
               | some kind between them after the fact. Just because you
               | can, after the fact, draw the connection, doesn't change
               | the probability that they are dead.
        
           | cbsmith wrote:
           | > Both were whistleblowers of which there are allegedly no
           | more than 32 in the last few years.
           | 
           | Yeah, out of a population of 32, it's unlikely to happen. It
           | seems likely that this number is grossly underrepresenting
           | the size of the population. Maybe whistleblowers are being
           | targeted, maybe there are a lot more than 32, maybe both of
           | those are true, but it seems unlikely that both of them are
           | false.
        
             | jjk166 wrote:
             | There were 2 deaths from the population of known
             | whistleblowers. If there are additional unknown
             | whistleblowers, they still don't count as members of the
             | population. There's no way to count deaths among unknown
             | whistleblowers.
        
               | cbsmith wrote:
               | "I'm baffled by this comment. It's exceedingly rare for
               | two middle-aged and otherwise healthy people to die
               | without warning."
               | 
               | That statement is not even limited to whistleblowers.
               | 
               | If you restrict the population to known Boeing
               | whistleblowers whose first name starts with J, the odds
               | get even longer.
        
           | dialup_sounds wrote:
           | _I 'm baffled by this comment. It's exceedingly rare for two
           | middle-aged and otherwise healthy people to die without
           | warning._
           | 
           | Suicide is the 7th leading cause of death for men 55-62. It's
           | considerably more common than murder.
           | 
           |  _Both were whistleblowers of which there are allegedly no
           | more than 32 in the last few years._
           | 
           | Barnett hadn't worked for Boeing since 2017, and was being
           | deposed as part of his appeal of his original whistleblower
           | complaint. It makes no sense to think that someone trying to
           | silence him would wait until 7 years and one Netflix
           | documentary have transpired.
        
           | dudeinjapan wrote:
           | 2 down 30 to go.
        
           | genewitch wrote:
           | I'd say it _was_ exceedingly rare for people in that cohort
           | to die suddenly without warning. Now, though?
           | 
           | and one died after ventilation?
        
         | cbsmith wrote:
         | > With so many people in a position to notice and speak out
         | about Boeing's issues, it isn't terribly surprising that a few
         | deaths have occurred.
         | 
         | Also, let's not kid ourselves, even if Boeing doesn't retaliate
         | (and there is a lot of reason to think they have), being a
         | whistleblower adds a tremendous amount of stress & disruption
         | to your life. Whatever your life expectancy was before you were
         | a whistleblower was, it's going to be lower (likely MUCH lower)
         | afterwards. It's a terrible price to pay, which is why they
         | deserve as much protection & support as possible.
        
           | jen729w wrote:
           | Indeed. In my home town we had the 'metric martyr', a
           | greengrocer who defied EU law and continued selling bananas
           | in metric measures.
           | 
           | There was a whole court thing, he lost, and then he died aged
           | 39 of a heart attack.
           | 
           | https://www.chroniclelive.co.uk/news/north-east-
           | news/metric-...
        
             | riffraff wrote:
             | > continued selling bananas in metric measures.
             | 
             | Probably in imperial measures? Unless bananas were somehow
             | sold in metric grams and the EU imposed some weird unit I
             | don't know about.
        
               | pdpi wrote:
               | Yup, you're right. From the link:
               | 
               | > The prosecution of Sunderland greengrocer Steven
               | Thoburn for selling bananas in imperial measures helped
               | turn public opinion against the EU
        
             | autoexecbat wrote:
             | An actual arrest seems wildly disproportionate for this.
             | Simple administrative fines should have been enough
        
             | seabass-labrax wrote:
             | To be pedantic though, refusing to comply with a recently-
             | passed law is not whistleblowing; it is civil disobedience.
        
         | coldtea wrote:
         | Everything is going to die eventually.
         | 
         | This is some very specific, public, whistleblowers, in the span
         | of months. Not some pool of thousands, or even hundreds people
         | with mere "potential to criticize".
        
           | arp242 wrote:
           | Unlikely things happen. And there have been more than two
           | (former) Boeing employees who have come forward, most of whom
           | managed to survive.
        
             | exoverito wrote:
             | Corporations also conspire, especially those deeply
             | embedded in the military industrial complex.
        
               | arp242 wrote:
               | Corporations conspiring to kill not just one but several
               | undesirable employees is very rare. Actually, I don't
               | really know of any other example.
               | 
               | And here it also doesn't make any sense; the cat is out
               | of the bag, there is nothing to cover up because we
               | already know about Boeing being a clusterfuck. Killing
               | anyone doesn't really make much difference.
               | 
               | "Surely it can't be coincidence", "corporations
               | conspire", and vague references to "military industrial
               | complex" are exceedingly poor arguments - actually
               | they're not really arguments at all because you can say
               | that sort of thing about almost anything.
        
         | behringer wrote:
         | This one might be, but the first one is almost certainly no
         | suicide.
        
           | tootie wrote:
           | This is not alleged as a suicide. It was acute bacterial
           | infection.
        
         | constantcrying wrote:
         | Sure, but how many people are whistleblowers about Boeing
         | misbehavior. I would guess at most a hundred, the chances that
         | two of them die in such a short time seems low. What are the
         | odds that an apparently healthy person just drops dead in two
         | weeks over the span of maybe two years. Certainly seems
         | somewhat unlikely.
        
         | squigz wrote:
         | How many would have to die under these circumstances for you to
         | consider they're not natural deaths?
        
           | volkk wrote:
           | at LEAST one more...then i'll raise an eyebrow!
        
         | tomca32 wrote:
         | well yeah but the previous whistleblower committed suicide
         | after literally telling his family "If anything happens to me
         | it's not suicide".
         | 
         | A month later another whistleblower who was in good health dies
         | suddenly and unexpectedly.
         | 
         | I don't think it's surprising to think that this combination of
         | events is extremely unlikely.
        
           | BobaFloutist wrote:
           | > well yeah but the previous whistleblower committed suicide
           | after literally telling his family "If anything happens to me
           | it's not suicide".
           | 
           | I mean if I had dedicated my life to taking Boeing down and
           | was contemplating suicide, I'd consider saying that too.
        
         | janalsncm wrote:
         | I guess what's missing is the denominator. How many Boeing
         | whistleblowers are there? It's a nice little math problem.
         | 
         | Let's say both of the whistleblowers were age 50. The
         | probability of a 50 year old man dying in a year is 0.6%. So
         | the probability of 2 or more of them dying in a year is 1 -
         | (the probability of exactly zero dying in a year + the
         | probability of exactly one dying in a year). 1 - (A+B).
         | 
         | A is (1-0.006)^N. B is 0.006 _N_ (1-0.006)^(N-1). At 60 A is
         | about 70% and B is about 25% making it statistically
         | insignificant.
         | 
         | But they died in the same 2 month period, so that 0.006 should
         | be 0.001. If you rerun the same calculation, it's 356.
        
       | theGeatZhopa wrote:
       | There is someone who has a interest not in losing money when
       | one.. for sure! Some stock holders with access to Bakteria. It's
       | easy and effective. Without suspects. Hmmm.. I see what you did
       | last summer next year then...
       | 
       | /Irony
        
       | 0xbadcafebee wrote:
       | > Parsons said Dean became ill and went to the hospital because
       | he was having trouble breathing just over two weeks ago. He was
       | intubated and developed pneumonia and then a serious bacterial
       | infection, MRSA.
       | 
       | Am I the only one who knows a half dozen people who have gone
       | into hospitals for a sprained ankle and died of an infection?
        
         | Pigalowda wrote:
         | Easy to get infected when you're dying of radiation poisoning
         | and have no immune system.
        
       | helix278 wrote:
       | What happened to the other thread about this news item?
        
         | pvg wrote:
         | Freak milk frother accident.
        
           | helix278 wrote:
           | What does that mean in normal english? I'm not a native
           | speaker, and my question about the other thread was genuine.
        
             | pvg wrote:
             | You can find the various posts with the search thing. A
             | bunch of them got merged which is what usually happens with
             | a pile of dupes
             | 
             | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40239031
        
       | HumblyTossed wrote:
       | As suspicious as this sounds, surely the amount of pressure he
       | was under could lead to him to getting sick, then once in the
       | hospital contracted the pneumonia and it all went downhill from
       | there.
        
       | squarefoot wrote:
       | According to cdc.gov, the MRSA bacteria which killed him can
       | spread by simple contact with infected people _or objects_. I can
       | 't but recall the anthrax attacks happened shortly after 9/11.
       | It's completely unrelated and 100% speculation, but an infection
       | caught by something received by a intercepted and compromised
       | package couldn't be completely ruled out.
        
       | m3kw9 wrote:
       | Vs what are the chances any 40 year olds can die from the same
       | causes in the same geographic area?
        
       | walterbell wrote:
       | Are whistleblowers considered legal witnesses who qualify for
       | protection programs? A Streisand-effect website could aggregate
       | the claims of all dead whistleblowers, regardless of cause of
       | death. This could increase incentives for protecting
       | whistleblowers until their legal cases have been resolved.
        
       | ddp26 wrote:
       | I looked [1] at all the prominent whistleblowers in the last ~50
       | years, and while some people have been seriously harassed and
       | felt their lives were in danger, there's only a single case where
       | someone was plausibly murdered by a private company. (Governments
       | murder whistleblowers all the time.)
       | 
       | Interestingly, it was in the 1970's and the woman blew the
       | whistle for safety practices around the handling of plutonium!
       | 
       | [1] https://twitter.com/dschwarz26/status/1786133630474977785
        
         | sgt101 wrote:
         | There's a really good movie about it too.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Silkwood
        
         | cyounkins wrote:
         | Do you mean that you did the research, or your AI product did
         | the research? How are you assessing whether a death was
         | plausibly murder? So strange that the one example you find is
         | of a car crash (one of the most common ways people die!) and no
         | citation that it was found to be murder.
        
         | squigz wrote:
         | Don't misrepresent this - you used your own AI-powered product
         | to do "research"
         | 
         | > So across the ~50 or so prominent whistleblower cases against
         | big co's that I researched with futuresearch.ai, retaliation is
         | common, harassment is rare but does happen, but murder is not.
         | And given the details of Joshua Dean and John Barnett's death,
         | it's simply much too plausible that this is a fluke of timing.
        
         | sdfhbdf wrote:
         | Thanks for taking the time to tackle this research.
         | 
         | I think you should mention that ,,I looked" was done with help
         | of your AI project. That does not spark much confidence given
         | current state of LLMs and their ,,research".
         | 
         | From your twitter article:
         | 
         | > So across the ~50 or so prominent whistleblower cases against
         | big co's that I researched with futuresearch.ai, retaliation is
         | common, harassment is rare but does happen, but murder is not.
        
         | jjulius wrote:
         | >I looked [1]...
         | 
         | Your AI looked at it, you didn't. I also have the hunch that
         | your research was limited to US whistleblowers only, can you
         | confirm?
        
       | simple10 wrote:
       | Suspicious deaths of whistleblowers is terrible PR for Boeing.
       | Seems unlikely anything nefarious would be going on as it only
       | invites additional scrutiny. Unless maybe we buy into the
       | conspiracy that Boeing needed to send a message to future
       | whistleblowers.
       | 
       | The airline manufacturing industry has few employers. The threat
       | of being blackballed for future employment is much more of an
       | incentive to keep quite IMO. But maybe I'm being naive?
       | 
       | Or maybe there's some backhanded government connection that
       | someone outside of Boeing wants to keep quite.
        
       | from-nibly wrote:
       | I cant put my tin foil hat on any harder boeing.
        
       | avi_vallarapu wrote:
       | Is this a coincidemnce ? Or a pattern leading to an outlier ?
        
       | tptacek wrote:
       | There's a whole mythology about John Barnett, the previous Boeing
       | whistleblower who died. But Barnett's whistleblower case against
       | Boeing had been wrapped up years prior, and his outstanding
       | litigation, over defamation, was insignificant to Boeing's bottom
       | line. Boeing simply didn't have a reasonable motive to be
       | involved in his death; to argue that Boeing had a hand in it, you
       | need to be arguing that Boeing is something more than ruthless.
       | 
       | Barnett's case sparked a lot of interest because it was a
       | suicide. Here, Dean died of an illness, so to pursue a
       | conspiracy-theoretic angle to this story, you again need to
       | suggest that Boeing is more than ruthless (for Barnett, that
       | "more" is "irrational"; for Dean, it's "Bond-villain
       | theatrical").
        
         | srj wrote:
         | If I were considering blowing the whistle on some behavior at
         | Boeing I'd sure think twice now that two people have died. It
         | may be that their testimony was complete but there's still a
         | chilling effect on future whistleblowers.
        
           | tptacek wrote:
           | By that logic every large corporation in the world should be
           | randomly killing people to deter prospective whistleblowers.
        
       | neilv wrote:
       | It might be interesting to think about reasons a whistleblower
       | assassination could happen. (I found #6 below kinda interesting,
       | because I didn't think of it immediately, but only once I started
       | thinking through possibilities.) Non-exhaustive:
       | 
       | 1. Warlord-like show of power, signaling that they're so strong
       | they can openly act with impunity. Such as gratuitously using a
       | military weapon not publicly available and on another country's
       | soil, or a straight-faced coroner's determination of suicide by
       | two self-inflicted gunshots to the back of the head before
       | throwing self through a skyscraper window. (I don't see this in
       | the Boeing situation.)
       | 
       | 2. Powerful person lashing out due to mental illness
       | instability/pettiness. Where there's no gain to be had, but their
       | ego or other trigger was stepped upon. In the news in recent
       | years, we've seen at least a couple powerful high-profile
       | personalities who might fit the profile. (I don't see a
       | connection to the Boeing situation.)
       | 
       | 3. Prevent the whistleblower from testifying further. (I guess
       | probably the cat's already out of the bag on the Boeing
       | situation.)
       | 
       | 4. Warning to other whistleblowers by that same entity, if
       | further testimony could do more harm than has already been done.
       | (Again, I guess probably the cat's out of the bag on Boeing.)
       | 
       | 5. Lower-ranking individual's self-interest. Let's say there's no
       | advantage to an organization or higher-up persons in
       | assassinating a whistleblower, but... some lower-ranking person
       | doesn't want to be implicated personally by something this
       | whistleblower knows, or there is some unrelated mini-scandal that
       | could be exposed as the whistleblower is interviewed. In general,
       | I suspect that lower-ranking butt-covering is the source of
       | massive number of problems and misbehavior in organizations,
       | including all sorts of "coverup is worse than the crime"
       | outcomes. (But I'd guess unlikely there's a big enough motivation
       | for any lower-ranking individual connected to the Boeing
       | situation to murder anyone over it.)
       | 
       | 6. Uninvolved party sending a message to all high-profile
       | whistleblowers. Let's say you're a powerful person, and evil (or
       | imagining yourself serving some worthy cause through evildoing),
       | and you're sitting on top of what could be a massive scandal, and
       | you're vulnerable to whistleblowers. So, on the occasion of
       | whistleblowers being in the news on some other high-profile
       | scandal -- unrelated to you -- and possibly planting
       | whistleblowing ideas among people who are a threat to you, you
       | take the occasion to shift public sentiment about the
       | desirability of whistleblowing in general. (Farfetched.)
       | 
       | 7. Foreign sabotage, sowing social disorder. Make it look to
       | people of the target country like their country is so corrupt
       | that whistleblowers are assassinated openly and with impunity.
       | (Farfetched, especially since we have so much erosion of trust
       | already, I'm not sure we need any more pushes.)
        
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