[HN Gopher] Debugging the Doctor Brain: Who's teaching doctors h...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Debugging the Doctor Brain: Who's teaching doctors how to think?
        
       Author : jseliger
       Score  : 93 points
       Date   : 2024-04-20 13:10 UTC (9 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (bessstillman.substack.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (bessstillman.substack.com)
        
       | barbariangrunge wrote:
       | In Canada, subjectively, it feels like the quality of newer
       | doctors has gone up dramatically. The training must be a lot
       | better these days. I've been impressed, especially when you go in
       | to a clinic where they actively take in students for their
       | practicums - the old doctors are often stepping up their game as
       | well
        
         | mlinhares wrote:
         | There's considerable research on the subject:
         | https://www.mdlinx.com/article/are-older-doctors-wiser-not-n...
        
           | sampo wrote:
           | > https://www.mdlinx.com/article/are-older-doctors-wiser-
           | not-n...
           | 
           | Link doesn't work in Europe, redirects to https://eu.m3.com/.
        
         | flakeoil wrote:
         | It should be quite naturally so as a lot has happened in the
         | field of medicine in the last 30-40 years. A 60 year old doctor
         | who was trained 35 years ago uses old knowledge and techniques.
         | Even though doctors get some updates via conferences and
         | articles in journals and maybe some hand on course, they cannot
         | absorb all that new knowledge in practice.
        
           | throwaway8877 wrote:
           | Perhaps. But they have advantage of 30-40 years of
           | experience.
        
             | Kalium wrote:
             | It's my understanding that the significance of that age can
             | and does vary wildly. In some specialties, age makes errors
             | more likely: https://psnet.ahrq.gov/issue/radiologist-age-
             | and-diagnostic-...
        
             | prmph wrote:
             | But here's the things I'm not clear about: Surgeon get
             | immediate feedback if they make mistakes because their
             | patient might die or get severely disabled, but is there
             | any feedback to GPs about the effectiveness of their work?
             | 
             | Let's say someone is not treated that well by his doctor
             | for a chronic condition. He gets to the emergency in a
             | different hospital and probably dies. Does his GP get to
             | know about it?
             | 
             | For example, many doctors in my country believe that Left
             | Ventricular Hypertrophy (LVH) on an ECG is nothing much to
             | worry about, as long as there is no anatomical LVH showing
             | up on an Echocardiogram. Yet, study after study online
             | concludes that ECG LVH is a serious marker of cardiac
             | pathology distinct from (but related to) from anatomical
             | LVH.
             | 
             | How do doctors who operate on this assumption going to
             | learn from experience, if they mostly don't know that their
             | patients have cardiac events as a result?
        
               | xyzzy123 wrote:
               | Surgeons don't get immediate feedback because the
               | advisability of procedure X ends up being a statistical
               | matter that might not be decided in the surgeon's
               | lifetime. It depends what it is. They will have opinions
               | of course, but will work with the system and follow
               | process.
        
               | Calavar wrote:
               | > Surgeon get immediate feedback if they make mistakes
               | because their patient might die or get severely disabled,
               | but is there any feedback to GPs about the effectiveness
               | of their work?
               | 
               | I disagree with this. If a patient dies from a surgical
               | complication, it is often weeks or months later, on a
               | nonsurgical service because there are no surgical options
               | left for the patient.
               | 
               | > Let's say someone is not treated that well by his
               | doctor for a chronic condition. He gets to the emergency
               | in a different hospital and probably dies. Does his GP
               | get to know about it?
               | 
               | Yes, they get to know about it. But ascribing cause and
               | effect in a chronic disease is difficult.
               | 
               | Eventually everyone will die, even if they get perfect
               | treatment. I'm not saying there's no such thing as
               | medical error - in some cases there is clear and obvious
               | error - but what's much more common is a situation of
               | "Did I do the wrong thing, or did I do the right thing
               | but they were so sick that they died anyway?" And there
               | are often many years separating cause and effect, which
               | muddies the picture even further. That's why learning
               | from specific patient outcomes is tricky and why doctors
               | lean so heavily on evidence based medicine, which means
               | learning from large medical trials with rigorous
               | statistical controls.
               | 
               | > For example, many doctors in my country believe that
               | Left Ventricular Hypertrophy (LVH) on an ECG is nothing
               | much to worry about, as long as there is no anatomical
               | LVH showing up on an Echocardiogram. Yet, study after
               | study online concludes that ECG LVH is a serious marker
               | of cardiac pathology distinct from (but related to) from
               | anatomical LVH.
               | 
               | There's a difference between serious pathology and
               | serious pathology you can do something about. I agree
               | that LVH on EKG is a bad sign, even if the ultrasound is
               | normal. But what is your GP going to do about it? There
               | are many test results that are abnormal and/or correlated
               | with bad outcomes, but only a subset of those can be
               | labeled with a concrete diagnosis that is well understood
               | medically, and only a subset of those can be treated.
               | 
               | All your GP can do for an ECG finding of LVH is advise
               | blood pressure control, cholesterol control, exercising
               | frequently, and other things that are generally good for
               | heart health.
               | 
               | On the other hand, if there is anatomical LVH, then the
               | next question is whether there's hypertrophic obstructive
               | cardiomyopathy. That's a concrete diagnosis where we know
               | a lot about the underlying mechanism, which leads to
               | specific advice like avoiding strenuous activity. And
               | some patients with HOCM can benefit from a septal
               | ablation. That's why anatomic LVH gets more attention
               | from doctors.
        
               | prmph wrote:
               | > Yes, they get to know about it.
               | 
               | I'm curious. How do they get to know about it? Maybe the
               | process differs between countries. I'm from Ghana, by the
               | way.
               | 
               | > All your GP can do for an ECG finding of LVH is advise
               | blood pressure control, cholesterol control, exercising
               | frequently, and other things that are generally good for
               | heart health
               | 
               | Mostly true, but taking ECG LVH more seriously helps the
               | patient understand how important it is for them to
               | improve their general heart health. It also makes LVH
               | regression (which is possible in more cases than doctors
               | believe) a therapeutic target.
        
               | Calavar wrote:
               | I'm in the US. Part of my hospital's workflow for a
               | deceased patient is calling their GP's office to notify
               | them of the death. As far as I am aware, this is mandated
               | by state law. If a patient is discharged, a summary of
               | their hospital course is faxed to their GP's office at
               | the time of discharge. Or transmitted electronically, if
               | possible.
        
             | flakeoil wrote:
             | 30-40 years of experience using the old knowledge and
             | techniques.
        
               | SoftTalker wrote:
               | Human biology doesn't change in 30-40 years.
               | 
               | 90% of what doctors do is completely routine and they all
               | know and keep up with what the "standard of care" is for
               | common conditions and in many cases it's the same today
               | as was the standard of care in 1984.
               | 
               | Sure, if you have something unusual you might want to go
               | to a younger specialist or a specialty clinic where they
               | focus on leading-edge care for that condition.
               | 
               | A 60-year old GP will do fine for your annual physical.
        
               | dandy23 wrote:
               | The biology doesn't change of course, but the procedures,
               | drugs, medical devices, treatments and overall knowledge
               | and best practices does.
               | 
               | An annual physical is such a small and simple subset of
               | the total medical field so not sure why you bring it up.
        
           | nradov wrote:
           | Physicians are required to complete a certain number of hours
           | of continuing medical education every year. These are
           | training courses (online or in person) which have to meet at
           | least some minimal quality standards; it's not just showing
           | up at a conference. But whether they actually keep their
           | skills current or just check the boxes depends on the
           | individual.
        
             | Tijdreiziger wrote:
             | Not in all countries. Doctors in e.g. Japan aren't required
             | to take any continuing education (IIUC).
             | 
             | (This is my understanding as a layman, so I'm happy to be
             | corrected if wrong.)
        
             | flakeoil wrote:
             | It's quite hard to learn something completely new by taking
             | 1 or 2 week courses once a year.
             | 
             | I had a 55+ year old dentist who wanted to pull out my
             | tooth and replace it with a bridge. The tooth was cracked
             | and 1/3 of the tooth had fallen off. Luckily he worked only
             | half time and was on vacation a lot so difficult to get an
             | appointment so I got to see a young dentist who could fix
             | the tooth by repairing it (building up the missing part).
             | She said it could last a month or forever, but if not
             | lasting then the next option would be a titanium implanted
             | tooth. Making a bridge would have been considered
             | malpractice nowadays she said. The old dentist was probably
             | a master at putting in bridges, but if that method is bad
             | and he never practiced the other technique, which you
             | probably cannot learn in a 1 week yearly course, then tough
             | luck.
             | 
             | Not the perfect example maybe, but imagine you have learnt
             | assembler and C in school and programmed in that for 30
             | years doing say embedded applications. You maybe update
             | yourself regularly in that very field of assembler and C.
             | Then one day you are asked to program a web app using HTML,
             | javascript and CSS and complete it in the same time and
             | with the same quality result as someone who has learnt it
             | in university and with a few years work experience. Quite
             | hard.
        
               | Aerbil313 wrote:
               | Not the perfect example. OT, but dentistry is unlike
               | other fields of medicine, a huge amount of the practice
               | is outright scam. See past thread:
               | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=37022911
        
         | sn9 wrote:
         | At least in the US, the widespread use of Anki by medical
         | students has actually impacted the way standardized testing are
         | written/graded IIRC.
        
       | thenerdhead wrote:
       | In 2021 I presented my doctor a hypothesis that a COVID infection
       | I had recently was persisting in my body leading to long term
       | symptoms. They told me I was completely wrong and that RNA
       | viruses do not do that.
       | 
       | Fast forward to today and the NIH director and leading scientists
       | believe this has backing proof.
       | 
       | https://www.ucsf.edu/news/2024/03/427241/covid-19-virus-can-...
       | 
       | https://www.science.org/content/article/long-covid-trials-ai...
       | 
       | It has taken me almost three years to convince my doctor on the
       | rationale of using therapeutics acting as COVID antivirals to
       | treat my chronic symptoms. I now have to wait until clinical
       | trials present data hopefully this summer to at least try.
       | 
       | So I hope this is a story to show that patients are helping
       | doctors think. And it is very slow going.
        
         | gavinray wrote:
         | Hypothetically, if one had good reason to believe a certain
         | medication/treatment would work, and has some degree of risk-
         | tolerance, they could acquire said medication online from other
         | countries without trying to convince some doctor willing to
         | listen to prescribe it.
        
           | thenerdhead wrote:
           | People have and have been successful. Especially repurposing
           | HIV/AIDS drugs and ordering Paxlovid from India. Mostly due
           | to USA prices being ridiculously high and insurance companies
           | refusing to prescribe more than a 5 day dose.
           | 
           | The other major challenge is that certain approved drugs in
           | other countries can be held by shipping due to FDA approval.
        
             | bingbingbing777 wrote:
             | Not sure why you would be taking Paxlovid for long covid.
        
               | thenerdhead wrote:
               | There is rationale in the science article I posted above.
               | The current hypothesis is viral reservoirs that are
               | replication competent. Here is the blurb as well:
               | 
               | > Paxlovid targets virus that is rapidly replicating--
               | which may or may not be the case for the virus lingering
               | in Long Covid cases.
        
         | pc86 wrote:
         | In 2021 there was almost no evidence of persistent long-term
         | symptoms because very, very few people had COVID far enough in
         | the past (and survived) to have these symptoms start to show
         | up. It's completely reasonable for a front-line GP physician to
         | not go down a rabbit hole like that because their lay patient
         | has a hunch.
        
           | thenerdhead wrote:
           | Not true. There has been evidence of long term symptoms
           | months after the first wave in 2020. By 2021 established
           | hypotheses of viral persistence existed.
           | 
           | Viral persistence(2021): https://www.frontiersin.org/journals
           | /microbiology/articles/1...
           | 
           | Persistent symptoms(2020):
           | https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32644129
        
             | randm_sequence wrote:
             | I've come to the same conclusion about long COVID in April
             | May of 2020. The evidence is shockingly overwhelming and
             | has been grossly ignored. Some of us have found cocktails
             | that work. Would love to discuss if you are interested.
        
       | refibrillator wrote:
       | _> The center for Medicare and Medicaid is the primary source of
       | graduate medical education (residency) funding. Per the Graham
       | Center interactive GME data tool Mt. Sinai received around $175k
       | a year per resident, and pays them a salary of $84,479\year,
       | leaving 90K to pay for their "education."_
       | 
       | This is straight up fraud and should be treated as such.
       | 
       | My wife wanted to be a nurse her whole life, went to school and
       | got a good job, after 3 years at the hospital she had to quit for
       | her own sanity. Every nurse and resident in her circle had a
       | similar story.
       | 
       | U.S. hospitals are for profit assembly lines. Managers with MBAs
       | that have never worked a shift on the floor in their life see
       | staff as fungible. Throwing a pizza party when patient quotas are
       | met, instead of you know, hiring more to relieve overworked and
       | stressed employees.
       | 
       | Seemingly every motivated and caring person in this field is
       | systematically chewed up and spit out.
        
         | anon291 wrote:
         | According to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mount_Sinai_Hospital
         | _(Manhatta..., Mt Sinai is a 'non-profit', but in my opinion,
         | we need a much more expansive definition of 'for-profit'. It's
         | true that there are no shareholders, but the salaries the
         | executives make is a form of profit, and ought to be treated as
         | such. In some ways it's worse because in a company, the board
         | sets the CEOs and execs compensation, and can adjust it
         | according to their own financial interests (which means there's
         | less desire by CEOs to 'waste', because waste means the board /
         | shareholders make less money, and then their compensation is
         | lowered -- theoretically).
         | 
         | In a non-profit, the board uses arbitrary criteria, the board
         | is incentivized to waste all money on executive compensation,
         | because that means the execs throw them excellent parties,
         | galas, soirees, and other social events where they can network
         | with more people to make more profit in their for-profit
         | ventures. Ask me how I know.
        
           | steveBK123 wrote:
           | Hospital donations are also interesting to me as you get
           | billionaires donating amounts of money that.. a FAANG
           | engineer could feasibly have left to give on their demise. Or
           | giving amounts similar to like their 3rd homes value and
           | getting a wing named after them (though the donation clearly
           | only pays for a small fraction of the construction).
           | 
           | Similarly I have a friend whose spouse is extremely talented
           | with a PHD (not MD), and has worked in admin roles at a big
           | nonprofit NYC hospital as well. They have at times had pretty
           | similar compensation, one working at a hedge fund and the
           | other working at a nonprofit hospital. Interesting that. Each
           | side can argue they need to attract talent, and one can argue
           | that hospital admin is closer to doing good for society. It
           | is just surprising to see nonprofit and very high
           | compensation.
        
           | cycomanic wrote:
           | I find this notion completely alien. Paraphrasing (with some
           | exaggeration): "it's outrageous we are paying people working
           | at hospitals/schools/non-profits high salaries, they really
           | should be doing it from the goodness of their hearts. The
           | only people that should be earning big bucks are the
           | engineers devolving the tech to keep us addicted to social
           | media, the ad tech that extracts more value from every person
           | and the fiance people to extract the maximum from the general
           | economy to funnel it into some rich pockets! Really people
           | working on things that are actually good for society, should
           | be happy with that and work for free! "
        
         | salawat wrote:
         | It's a systematic thing. As long as management is decoupled
         | from actually doing the job one is expected to manage, that
         | outcome will be inevitable as a consequence of the overarching
         | fiscal optimization function being applied Procrustean Bed
         | style to all fields of capitalistically orchestrated human
         | endeavor.
        
         | pc86 wrote:
         | You're talking about two unrelated things. Non-clinical MBAs
         | running hospitals is very obviously dumb, but so is pretending
         | the only cost of a resident is the salary they're paid
         | directly.
         | 
         | > _Every nurse and resident in her circle had a similar story._
         | 
         | Most don't quit after 3 years.
         | 
         | > _U.S. hospitals are for profit assembly lines._
         | 
         | Absolutely true, regardless of the actual IRS profit
         | classification.
        
         | Aurornis wrote:
         | > This is straight up fraud and should be treated as such.
         | 
         | Running a residency program takes resources, staffing, and
         | people. If you expect everyone in the doctor education and
         | residency chain to work for free, there wouldn't be much of a
         | residency program to speak of.
         | 
         | It's a reality of life: doing things within a business takes
         | money. I know some people scoff at the idea of health care
         | being a business, but even in government-run programs there are
         | still budgets to be managed and costs to be paid.
         | 
         | > U.S. hospitals are for profit assembly lines. Managers with
         | MBAs that have never worked a shift on the floor in their life
         | see staff as fungible. Throwing a pizza party when patient
         | quotas are met, instead of you know, hiring more to relieve
         | overworked and stressed employees.
         | 
         | Your view is very US-centric, but this is a common story in
         | other countries too. Healthcare is a very complicated and
         | demanding field, and it has high turnover rates outside the US
         | as well. The harsh reality is that these organizations are
         | operating like any other: They compensate as necessary to reach
         | the supply/demand equilibrium. As long as new people continue
         | to seek out and take the jobs at a high enough rate to keep the
         | organization running, they're not going to arbitrarily increase
         | compensation.
         | 
         | That's always the answer: It's supply and demand equilibrium.
         | We can complain all we want about who "should" be paid more or
         | similar musings, but as long as the jobs are filled
         | sufficiently at the current rate and the system keeps chugging
         | along, that's how it will be.
        
         | phkahler wrote:
         | >> This is straight up fraud and should be treated as such.
         | 
         | They have to cover overhead for that person. In e gineering
         | that adds 30 to 50 percent. I think doctors have additional
         | overhead, like malpractice insurance, and since this is an
         | educational environment more oversight. 2x doesn't seem bad.
        
         | 77pt77 wrote:
         | > see staff as fungible
         | 
         | It's like that in almost every field.
        
       | ryan93 wrote:
       | Seems like a good thing that purdue lets many students into
       | engineering who can't hack it(i couldn't!). If they didn't have
       | mayn failing that would mean they would be rejecting too many
       | edge case students who might be able to make it through the
       | program.
       | 
       | Don't get her argument that someone willing to show up to a
       | 7:30am class is necessarily smart enough for o-chem. Tendentious
        
         | Kalium wrote:
         | The author prefers to believe that it was poor instruction. The
         | implication is that because they were willing to show up for a
         | 7:30am lecture, they were capable of making it.
         | 
         | On the one hand, the author is on to something. Most people
         | learn _much_ better with intensive, one-to-one instruction than
         | with large lectures. The real issue, as with all educational
         | programs, is the cost in time and money to teach. More
         | personalized, intensive training from more specialists in
         | teaching a specialized subject simply costs more to get the to
         | the same goals as bulk lectures. Nobody wants to say  "There
         | was a very rational cost-benefit analysis and I lost out".
         | Instead, it's all framed as a need to dedicate more time and
         | money at an already demonstrably drawn-out and expensive
         | process.
         | 
         | On the other hand, a person's ability and willingness to show
         | up at 7:30am are probably irrelevant. No matter how relevant it
         | _feels_ to a person who wants to show their dedication,
         | passion, and drive.
        
           | dap wrote:
           | But, assuming we take the facts of the post at face value,
           | there clearly wasn't a rational cost-benefit analysis that
           | resulted in only teaching large lecture-style courses and
           | deliberately serving only those who could thrive that way.
           | The instructor's claim was not that the author needed more
           | instruction that wasn't available (indeed, they turned her
           | away from seeking such instruction). Rather, it was that
           | people like her simply can't "hack it", which the author
           | demonstrated to be false.
        
             | gopher_space wrote:
             | I just wish I had known that o-chem gets easier if you
             | start first thing in the morning.
        
             | Kalium wrote:
             | There was no cost-benefit analysis on offer, you are
             | correct. This is not the same as there being none, though.
             | Weed-out courses are a classic example implemented at the
             | institutional level - they exist to find as early as
             | possible who is likely to be compatible with the
             | educational program to come. Like any system working on
             | messy humans (who like to defy neatly delineated
             | categories), there are marginal cases who just need a
             | little help to flip from one category to the other. The
             | author calculated that they were such a marginal student
             | and invested accordingly. This should not be confused for
             | assuming that every passionate, driven student is a
             | marginal case who just needs a little help.
             | 
             | The author is essentially arguing at length for a greater
             | emphasis on benefit and less on cost. Not just in o-chem,
             | but at every stage of medical training.
        
           | wisty wrote:
           | They were complaining about a weed-out class being a weed-out
           | class. The students wanted to get into an extremely
           | prestigious career. Weed-out courses exist because there's a
           | limited number of prestigious spots, or because most students
           | need the pressure to work harder. It would make sense if she
           | then explained that we should make medicine less prestigious
           | (letting far more students become doctors) but that wasn't
           | the point.
           | 
           | The point was that learning the fundamentals was prioritised,
           | instead of "deep learning". However there's a ton of research
           | that suggests that in many cases, learning the fundamentals
           | is one of the best ways to get students to start the process
           | of deep learning. Obviously there's a point where
           | overtraining the fundamentals is no longer a good thing (e.g.
           | trying to memorise every possible edge case and combination)
           | but that's a rare edge case. In most cases, simply getting
           | the grips with the basics quickly, then thinking for yourself
           | (e.g. looking at hard cases rather than asking how someone
           | can teach you how to think at a higher level) is what works.
           | 
           | Education has a long-running holy war between implicit vs.
           | explicit instruction (though "implicit instruction" has a lot
           | of name changes as it always seems to lose credibility and
           | need rebranding). Saying "we need to stop teaching students
           | what to think, but how to think" isn't deep, it's a cliche,
           | and it needs a lot more than vague criticisms of explicit
           | instruction to be worth listening to.
           | 
           | Probably the worst thing about the "deep learning" crowd is
           | that so many of them are in medicine, where it kind of works.
           | You can teach medical students badly, and they'll figure
           | things out. Giving them more independence and teaching badly
           | (while pretending to be wise) can perversely work, in some
           | ways, for medical students who've survived the weed-out
           | classes. But then a few academic studies on how to teach
           | medical students better (apparently they haven't yet learnt
           | how to learn, or how to think critically?) is then used to
           | convince politicians, education academics, and other people
           | who understand little about teaching that it's the best way
           | to teach reading in underprivileged elementary schools.
        
             | CobaltFire wrote:
             | In the military we train this as being "brilliant on the
             | basics" with the follow on, as you said, that it is the way
             | to train an adaptable and competent professional who works
             | in high stress situations.
        
           | p1esk wrote:
           | _The real issue, as with all educational programs, is the
           | cost in time and money to teach._
           | 
           | LLMs should help with that.
        
       | ohnononomahboi wrote:
       | That the answer to a cultural-intellectual problem is monetary is
       | not fully convincing to me. Do we really want 30% more attending
       | physicians of the orientation this article describes?
       | 
       | These all seem like valid, but unrelated complaints. On one hand,
       | there is a complaint that doctors are judged subjectively, rather
       | than objectively. But in the next breath those same objective
       | metrics are skewered as deductive and maybe even greedy.
       | 
       | The current attending physicians, according to the author, have a
       | population-wide cultural problem where they don't believe they
       | should have to teach. The author's solution to this problem is to
       | hire more attending physicians.
       | 
       | Many of the issues raised in this article merit investigation,
       | but this piece feels too eclectic in its thesis to serve as a
       | launchpad for policy direction.
        
       | WaitWaitWha wrote:
       | I know we hold doctors in high regard, but I must decline in
       | allocating some magical "vibe" or "spidey-sense" as the article
       | writes.
       | 
       | In my opinion a well built system will replace _all doctors_ in
       | non-research, medical functions.
       | 
       | The notion that somehow one needs "vibe" to recognize something
       | is wrong when Gladys in the example "vomited a huge quantity of
       | blood" is concerning, and wee bit self-aggrandizing. The doctor
       | reacted because there was clear evidence of an issue, not because
       | supernatural abilities.
       | 
       | > A doctor's foundational clinical mental models are built during
       | residency...
       | 
       | And, sad to say often stays that way for the rest of their
       | careers. Anecdotally, I have seen this clearest with dentists and
       | ophthalmologists. They will fossilize into their own thinking and
       | unable or unwilling to pick up new methods and procedures (unless
       | sufficiently incentivized by the selling company).
       | 
       | another problem is frailty. I walked out on Monday dental
       | appointment when I could tell the dentist had a "rough weekend".
       | I do not need a person with a hang-over digging in my mouth with
       | sharp spinning objects.
       | 
       | A system that is updated near real time with new research, new
       | medical advances, not getting tired or distracted is more
       | preferable to me than a human. Maybe the actions are not
       | performed by the machine, it just prompts the human to do and
       | feed the information back, maybe it will also perform the
       | actions. All is possible in the future.
       | 
       | When it comes to research and emotional interaction, yes, doctors
       | still hold an edge.
        
         | dap wrote:
         | I don't think anybody would claim it's supernatural. Only that
         | for doctors who have seen lots of patients, they (their
         | subconscious?) pick up on signals that they cannot consciously
         | articulate, which means they can't be easily taught or checked
         | for. (Over time I think we do catalog more of these things but
         | it takes a lot of instances and some explicit reflection before
         | people can identify and describe the pattern.) I've got plenty
         | of criticisms for doctors and medicine but I absolutely think
         | this is true because I experience the same in my own personal
         | and professional life.
        
         | andai wrote:
         | Agree with most of what you said, which is unfortunate (except
         | for the silver lining that machines have the potential to
         | massively increase both the supply and quality of medical
         | treatment).
         | 
         | One bit puzzles me though, why would human doctors have an edge
         | in research? Wouldn't the "person" who can read a trillion
         | times more, remember everything, cross-reference it, and
         | monitor billions of realtime data points (from billions of
         | patients) for patterns, have a _slight_ advantage?
        
           | WaitWaitWha wrote:
           | My conjecture is that _some_ research requires a type of out
           | of the box thinking that is not readily available in current
           | technical solutions.
        
           | cycomanic wrote:
           | I find it interesting that you are so bullish on AI to
           | replace doctors. Similar to fully autonomous driving, I think
           | we need a leap towards GAI to really replace doctors. At the
           | moment we see way too many failure modes that seem to be
           | inherit in how ML systems work.
           | 
           | Don't get me wrong I think ML systems will be great helper
           | systems but I don't see them replace doctors any time soon,
           | if not for the simple reason that a person is much more
           | likely to trust another person than an electronic system and
           | that is actually part of both diagnostics and treatment
        
         | rscho wrote:
         | Almost all medical specialties require a massive amount of
         | know-how, and are only very weakly data-driven. I'm an
         | anesthesiologist, and even anesthesia is weakly data-driven.
         | Honestly, people who think AI can replace a doc in the current
         | state of tech do not understand anything about practical
         | medical care. The day of AI will come, but not today nor in the
         | close future.
        
         | devilbunny wrote:
         | A patient who is vomiting blood does not need a "vibe" or
         | "spidey-sense" to figure out something is wrong. There are,
         | however, a surprisingly large number of situations in which
         | doctors have to work with rather less information about what is
         | going on, especially when you move to the hospital.
         | 
         | I'm an anesthesiologist, so I don't have a clinic at all. I
         | meet you just before surgery and we go. Vibes and spidey-senses
         | matter a _lot_ , because I don't have time to run down a two-
         | week-long investigation of your problem - I have to fix it
         | right now or you're dead.
         | 
         | Could AI improve me? Probably. Can the AI observe the way
         | humans can? Not yet. Can they intervene like humans can? Not
         | even close. When you have an autonomous robot that can
         | successfully run down the American Society of
         | Anesthesiologists' difficult airway algorithm, you're getting
         | there.
        
         | bjornsing wrote:
         | > The notion that somehow one needs "vibe" to recognize
         | something is wrong when Gladys in the example "vomited a huge
         | quantity of blood" is concerning, and wee bit self-
         | aggrandizing. The doctor reacted because there was clear
         | evidence of an issue, not because supernatural abilities.
         | 
         | For the record: The doctor stayed in the room due to a "spidey-
         | sense" or "vibe". The impressive part was predicting the vomit,
         | not reacting to it.
        
       | Calavar wrote:
       | A lot of this really hits home. Some of my personal observations
       | across residency and practice:
       | 
       | 1. There are some attendings who have a subconscious inbuilt
       | assumption that there are "good" residents and "bad" residents
       | and that any team will contain a mix of both, even if it's a team
       | of just two residents. God forbid that you should be just a
       | "good" resident paired with a superstar resident, because then
       | you are the one who must get the "bad" label by default. If this
       | happens early enough in residency, it may be the first piece of
       | feedback that your program director gets about you, which puts
       | you at risk of being labeled "bad" by the program at large and
       | finding yourself being pushed towards a remedial track. I feel
       | that residency programs are shockingly bad at identifying which
       | residents actually need remediation. Residents with serious
       | knowledge or work ethic issues can get ushered along through the
       | program, while very bright residents who don't understand how to
       | play up their own successes get put on remediation plans.
       | 
       | 2. More generally, confidence is often misinterpreted as skill,
       | and introversion is often misinterpreted as a lack of skill. Many
       | attendings are shockingly bad at differentiating the two.
       | 
       | 3. Departmental culture has a huge effect on residency education.
       | I trained at a busy county hospital and now practice at an ivory
       | tower type place. Much to my surprise, I think the EM program
       | here (which gets residents who were the cream of the crop of
       | their med school classes) does a worse job of treating patients
       | than the county hospital (which failed to even fill its residency
       | class a couple years ago). The difference, at least in my view,
       | is that attendings at the county hospital were extraordinarily
       | hands on, which taught residents that a "normal" ED physician is
       | extraordinarily hands on. As another example, the ED at my
       | current hospital is very aggressive with CT scans, to the point
       | that probably 20% of the patients that I admit have been
       | panscanned (CT scan from head to pelvis). I attribute this to
       | attendings here being more risk averse in cases with a ~1%
       | possibility of malpractice. And it trickles down to the residents
       | too, because again, that's what their reference for "normal" is.
       | 
       | 4. Basic science education in med school is a joke and needs to
       | be overhauled from the ground up. As it stands, 1st year is
       | "pure" basic science, 2nd year is learning about the library of
       | various diseases, and 3rd year is learning how to treat those
       | diseases. I still remember reading the nephrology section of my
       | 1st year textbook, a large chunk of which was a breakdown of why
       | cystatin C is a better indicator of GFR than creatinine and a
       | description of a procedure in which contrast is injected into the
       | renal artery and sampled at the renal vein to measure true GFR,
       | worked out step by step with mathematical equations. What was
       | never mentioned: What the hell is GFR even used for anyway? Why
       | would someone want to measure it? These pieces don't fall into
       | place until 2nd and 3rd year.
       | 
       | Imagine if you learned symbolic algebra in 3rd grade but the
       | concept of a word problem wasn't introduced until two years
       | later. That's essentially what medical school basic science
       | education is.
       | 
       | The faculty who design med school curricula are not blind to this
       | issue, but their attempts at fixing it are laughably bad. There
       | is "case based learning" where 1st year students are told a
       | vignette about a hypothetical patient and are asked to generate a
       | differential (a list of possible diagnoses) before they dive into
       | the basic science component. This turns into a comedy skit show
       | because 1st year students barely know any diseases, they are only
       | vaguely familiar with the symptoms even for the ones they do
       | know, and they haven't had much, if any, explicit teaching on how
       | to generate a differential.
       | 
       | Why not take a more vertical slice approach to teaching?
       | Introduce a limited number of bread and butter diagnoses in 1st
       | year and gradually layer on rarer and more complicated diseases
       | in 2nd and 3rd. Put more weight on the basic science aspect in
       | 1st year, put more weight on aspects that require knowing a large
       | number of diseases (like generating a differential) in 2nd and
       | 3rd year.
        
       | andai wrote:
       | I think part of this is about staying up to date. I'm not sure if
       | there's a legal requirement for ongoing training? But I've had
       | the experience of going to an older physician and being told my
       | theory is impossible, based on a hypothesis that was disproven in
       | the early 1970s (incidentally, right after the physician
       | graduated).
        
         | abhisuri97 wrote:
         | Yes. Doctors in the US have to get a certain amount of
         | Continuing Medical Education (CME) credits (usually done by
         | attending conferences and lectures).
        
           | WalterSear wrote:
           | So they are being taught by the pharmaceutical industry?
        
       | ugh123 wrote:
       | In the US, it seems like insurance companies teach doctors how to
       | think.
       | 
       | How many times have we all heard from a doctor "we don't like to
       | do so many tests each year because of costs"
        
         | tombert wrote:
         | Really? I feel like whenever a doctor sees that I have really
         | good insurance they feel the need to use _every single machine
         | they have_ as a diagnostic. I generally don 't care because my
         | copay is generally the same regardless and I figure it is good
         | to be thorough, but I do realize that is probably driving up
         | the costs for everyone in the long run.
        
           | notnaut wrote:
           | "really good insurance"
           | 
           | I'd guess a massive % of the us population is having a
           | different experience than you.
        
             | tombert wrote:
             | Sure, my wife and I had to deal with that not too long ago
             | when I was unemployed and had to use the subsidized
             | MetroPlus stuff in NYC. It wasn't as bad as I thought it
             | would be but it was definitely not as good as my fancy PPO
             | I get from sexy desk jobs.
             | 
             | I guess what I am getting at is that insurance sort of
             | makes things worse for everyone here. When a person comes
             | in with good insurance the doctor has incentive to abuse
             | it, artificially driving up costs, making it harder for
             | people with crappy/no insurance to get the treatments they
             | need because insurance won't cover it. It's a messy system.
             | 
             | A large part of me would prefer that we abolish private
             | insurance entirely, but I fear that's not likely in the
             | states.
        
             | dandy23 wrote:
             | I think OP is quite right that insurance drives tests and
             | costs up because contrary to what we think it is good for
             | the insurance companies if the doctor bill is high because
             | then people buy more expensive insurances and thus higher
             | revenue for the insurance company.
             | 
             | If the cost would be low there would be no need for an
             | insurance.
        
         | rscho wrote:
         | I wouldn't say "teach". But you're right that docs are forced
         | to obey insurance companies. Not only in the US, but everywhere
         | insurance companies are a thing. Yet, docs are almost always
         | the main target for complaints, while insurance companies act
         | in a very capitalistic way by optimizing for C-suite bonuses.
        
           | Aerbil313 wrote:
           | > Not only in the US, but everywhere insurance companies are
           | a thing.
           | 
           | No, not at all. Insurance exists in plenty of places, without
           | significantly influencing doctors' treatment.
        
             | rscho wrote:
             | I'd be interested in an example.
        
         | cameldrv wrote:
         | Yeah like almost everything wrong in the economy, the question
         | is where is the stabilizing feedback loop? Where can patients
         | choose something better, and how do they get the information to
         | choose the best option?
        
         | Calavar wrote:
         | On the contrary, US doctors are significantly more aggressive
         | with testing and treatment than doctors in most other
         | countries. There's multiple reasons for that, but I think the
         | main one is trying to CYA in the event of a malpractice
         | lawsuit.
        
           | ugh123 wrote:
           | Source? And does more (or "significantly more") even mean
           | it's making a difference? It's well known that younger and
           | younger people are being diagnosed with cancer, yet only a
           | few major tests have been recommended to be done sooner
           | (colon, prostate, breast) and by just a few years.
        
       | roughly wrote:
       | It's kind of incredible that we've let a bunch of weenies with
       | MBAs put our lives and health in the kind of risk that the modern
       | medical system puts us in. Every single story from a doctor or a
       | nurse over the last decade involves being overworked, not having
       | time to actually diagnose patience, lack of sleep, and rapid
       | burnout. On the patient side, what we get for that level of
       | hospital "efficiency" are medical bills that would bankrupt
       | anyone below the top 3% if they don't have insurance, rapidly
       | rising medical insurance costs, and what could charitably be
       | described as prescription drug costs that are not based on the
       | cost of the drug.
       | 
       | The business side, though, is going swimmingly, so there's that,
       | at least.
        
         | KRAKRISMOTT wrote:
         | The doctors themselves have as much to blame for this too, not
         | to mention most hospital administrators are MBAs with a
         | healthcare background, they are not art students.
         | 
         | Medicine perpetuates a hazing culture of overworking residents
         | thanks to a jumped up medicine pioneer who took too much
         | cocaine. They refuse to come up with a way to train doctors at
         | scale and instead restrict it to physical residency spots,
         | keeping their compensations high. Train doctors like engineers,
         | break up the medical unions and lobby groups with the anti
         | trust act and most of the problems will be solved.
        
           | SoftTalker wrote:
           | Exactly, it's the AMA that's a big part of it. Doctors could
           | stop this by just refusing to work that way. They are the
           | ones with the knowledge and skills and licenses to do what
           | they do, so they are ultimately in the driver's seat.
        
             | rscho wrote:
             | Refuse to work that way?? And how are we supposed to do
             | that? Stop working until our requirements are met and leave
             | everyone on their own during that time? Who do you think
             | people would blame? The C-suite execs?
             | 
             | The only choice you really have is to leave medicine. After
             | dedicating ten years of your life to it's study, a fucking
             | huge debt and no guarantee of finding a better life
             | elsewhere.
        
         | verisimi wrote:
         | It's easy to get what's going on once you realise it's a
         | sickness industry, nothing to do with health.
         | 
         | You want lots of sick people to treat a lot. Doctors being
         | short on time etc, is fine - it's business.
        
         | prashp wrote:
         | This is not unique to the US where MBAs / business-minded
         | people are the driving factor for healthcare workers being
         | overworked.
         | 
         | In Canada most fully-trained doctors are paid per patient (AKA
         | fee-for-service)[1] and so there is a huge incentive to rush
         | through as many patients in a day, which results in overwork
         | for the residents (who are salaried) and nurses (also
         | salaried), and no time for adequate education of medical
         | students and residents.
         | 
         | [1] https://www.dr-bill.ca/blog/billing-tips/physician-
         | payment-m...
        
       | bjornsing wrote:
       | It seems to me that nobody teaches anybody how to think. Instead
       | we teach people to do things that require thinking, and trust
       | that they will develop an ability to think as a "byproduct".
       | Which is a bit strange to me, since there are definitely some
       | general principles that can be taught.
        
       | sn9 wrote:
       | This person _fucking gets it_.
       | 
       | I want to force every software engineer and manager and MBA and
       | anyone else to read this until they've internalized it.
        
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