[HN Gopher] Total eclipse of the Internet: traffic impacts in Me...
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       Total eclipse of the Internet: traffic impacts in Mexico, the US,
       and Canada
        
       Author : jgrahamc
       Score  : 99 points
       Date   : 2024-04-09 11:41 UTC (11 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (blog.cloudflare.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (blog.cloudflare.com)
        
       | buggeryorkshire wrote:
       | Reminds me of the first lockdown in the UK - I was on-call for a
       | major food delivery service. We all went out at 7pm to clap for
       | the NHS (which my NHS working family hated), and PagerDuty went
       | off.
       | 
       | Went inside, apparently UK traffic had dropped by 20%. People
       | from around the world were trying to work out why.
       | 
       | "Er, it's because we all put our phones down to clap for the
       | nurses..."
        
         | jgrahamc wrote:
         | Yes, that was super visible to us also:
         | https://blog.cloudflare.com/when-people-pause
         | 
         | I always enjoy looking at Ramadan in the charts also:
         | https://blog.cloudflare.com/how-ramadan-shows-up-in-internet...
        
           | buggeryorkshire wrote:
           | Nice. Ramadan / Eid is difficult as it varies so you can't
           | put up an accurate notice earlier for on-call engineers.
        
             | Aerbil313 wrote:
             | It's based on the Hijri calendar (based on the moon) and
             | starts 11 days earlier each year in Gregorian calendar.
        
               | LunaSea wrote:
               | But the time changes depending on where you live
        
               | mavili wrote:
               | Aerbil, are you from from Erbil by any chance?
        
               | Aerbil313 wrote:
               | No. Please use email for personal questions.
        
         | azinman2 wrote:
         | > which my NHS working family hated
         | 
         | Why?
        
           | free_bip wrote:
           | Probably because it's the very definition of virtue signaling
           | instead of actually supporting them in meaningful ways, e.g.
           | a pay raise
        
           | kypro wrote:
           | I was working for the NHS at the time. Peak lockdown for me
           | was doing my weekly shop in Asda during the national weekly
           | clap...
           | 
           | I had to queue to get in to the store because at the time
           | social distancing rules meant only so many people were
           | allowed to shop at any given time. Once the Covid marshal
           | granted me entry I washed my hands as required with anti
           | bacteria hand wash and put on my disposable gloves. I then
           | proceeded to carefully navigate the store ensuring I avoided
           | sharing an aisle with any other shoppers to avoid attracting
           | the attention of one of the many Covid marshals positioned
           | around the store ensuring shoppers were adhering to Covid
           | policy. While shopping the tannoy system repeatedly reminded
           | me that I must remain masked and to keep social distance from
           | other shoppers. I walked over to the Pizza aisle to grab a
           | Pizza, but most were sold out. A few remained though, however
           | they were all NHS themed pizzas to support "our NHS". Then
           | the tannoy system announced to customers that the weekly
           | scheduled national NHS clap was about to begin and that
           | shoppers were encourage to take part. I completely forgot
           | about this... I'm holding a basket in one hand and 2L bottle
           | of Pepsi in the other. Do I put down my items and wait for
           | the national clap to begin or should I just continue shopping
           | as if it's not happening? No, what am I thinking, not
           | clapping is not an option. I put down my items and wait for
           | the clapping to begin. Then we all clapped before proceeding
           | with our shopping.
           | 
           | Good times.
        
             | edwcross wrote:
             | This "clapping" thing does sound a bit 1984-like, a ritual
             | to remember that others are watching you and so you should
             | conform to the social norm.
             | 
             | Did the clapping actually help the NHS in any way?
        
               | pgalvin wrote:
               | It was intended to send a message of "we support you".
               | 
               | However, most healthcare workers are paid incredibly
               | poorly and the NHS is generally in an extremely poor
               | state, in part due to mismanagement and underfunding by
               | successive governments. Many healthcare workers feel
               | their lives could be made much better at the voting
               | booth, rather than by people clapping at their door and
               | continuing to vote for a party that has a history of
               | (justly or not) battling against even below-inflation
               | pay-rises. As ever, other factors are at play and the
               | issue is almost certainly not as simple as blaming the
               | government. Nonetheless, there is a general feeling that
               | the Conservative-led government policies since 2010 have
               | reduced the standard of living for many, especially
               | healthcare workers.
               | 
               | The UK is poised to have a change in governing party for
               | the first time in 14 years, at least, but the clapping
               | was seen by many at the time as hypocritical of the
               | voting public.
        
           | mavili wrote:
           | In Turkish there is the phrase "goz boyama" translating to
           | something like "window dressing" or similar. The UK
           | government gave contracts worth billions to a scam company
           | for pandemic related 'Track & Trace' work, which all proved
           | to be shenanigans, but when it came to actually rewarding the
           | hard-working NHS heroes they got applauds and painted papers
           | on people's windows. They had been asking for a fair pay rise
           | even before the pandemic.
           | 
           | The UK government has brought one of the best free national
           | health systems in the world to the point of being worse than
           | useless in a span of about a decade.
        
         | jgrahamc wrote:
         | _which my NHS working family hated_
         | 
         | I am not surprised at all.
        
         | geoduck14 wrote:
         | Oh, neat! I worked for a Car Load Financing company during the
         | pandemic. We had data on how many people were applying for
         | loans by geography, and how much it dipped from the "normal"
         | load. I didn't realize it at the time, but areas with a "low"
         | dip also repealed their stay-at-home orders sooner.
        
       | taco-hands wrote:
       | I wonder just how many images of the eclipse were taken and then
       | uploaded as a result...
       | 
       | I witnessed one years ago and was completely awe-struck by it -
       | or more, how tiny we all are in the grand scheme of things.
       | 
       | And we sit here on our chairs getting excited about data logs!
        
       | oplane wrote:
       | How does Cloudflare know what the searches were made over the
       | internet ? I am assuming all communication happening over search
       | engines is TLS protected.
        
         | jgrahamc wrote:
         | There's nothing in this blog about searches. It's just raw
         | traffic data across all the sites/services that use us. So this
         | is showing overall change in traffic while the eclipse was
         | happening and isn't related to what people were actually doing
         | on the Internet.
        
         | tomschwiha wrote:
         | What do you mean by searches? The article talks about internet
         | traffic in general, which they can monitor.
        
         | Am4TIfIsER0ppos wrote:
         | Cloudflare MITM lots of connections plus they run a DNS server
         | so they know exactly what you're up to.
        
           | SketchySeaBeast wrote:
           | Running a DNS server lets them know what site you're going
           | to, just like everyone who sees the secured request also
           | knows, right? Otherwise there'd be no way for the request to
           | end up at the right location. I suppose they might have an
           | advantage with an encrypted DNS, but I don't think it's much
           | of a MITM if you're sending your request to them to find out
           | where to go.
        
             | quesera wrote:
             | Cloudflare terminates SSL for all customers behind their
             | DDOS protection, by necessity.
             | 
             | GP is technically correct, but is tilting at windmills at
             | best, making veiled accusations at worst.
        
               | SketchySeaBeast wrote:
               | Oh, interesting. I didn't realize that.
        
               | Am4TIfIsER0ppos wrote:
               | Was it veiled? Sorry. Cloudflare is an arm of the US
               | government helping to eavesdrop on all internet traffic.
        
               | quesera wrote:
               | All US companies follow US law. It sounds goofy, I know,
               | but it's a cultural thing.
               | 
               | When you operate at Cloudflare's scale, you receive a lot
               | of inquiries from law enforcement in all countries. See
               | also Google, Microsoft, Amazon, Apple, AT&T, Verizon,
               | Linode, Hurricane Electric, et cetera ad inifinitum.
               | 
               | If your accusation is more specific than that, you'll
               | want to rethink the word "arm" which is clearly incorrect
               | and makes you sound like a loon.
        
         | 2OEH8eoCRo0 wrote:
         | New account "just asking questions".
        
           | oplane wrote:
           | Thanks Boss, totally wasn't the intention. But I mistakenly
           | assumed traffic was all related to "search".
           | 
           | Now I am not a fool anymore by "just asking question".
        
       | dhosek wrote:
       | Anecdotally, T-Mobile cellular internet slowed to a crawl in
       | southern Illinois when the eclipse entered the partial stage and
       | was flakey for about an hour afterwards.
        
         | BenjiWiebe wrote:
         | AT&T in SE Oklahoma was practically unusable as well. Ping
         | times were 300-1000ms and packet loss was (didn't run ping for
         | very long) probably 90+%. Loading a webpage just didn't work.
         | Sending a WhatsApp text message worked if you were patient.
        
         | tzs wrote:
         | It's interesting that it was so closely tied to the actual
         | eclipse. I'd have not expected that. I'd have expected people
         | to be trying to make the most use of cellular while waiting for
         | the eclipse. You've got all those people who travelled to it
         | trying to keep themselves occupied while waiting.
         | 
         | I saw the 2017 eclipse near Madras, OR. That part of Oregon is
         | mostly agricultural with scattered small towns every few miles.
         | T-Mobile was close to useless from when I got there around noon
         | the day before the eclipse to at least an hour after the
         | eclipse.
         | 
         | An old friend that I hadn't seen in decades was in the same
         | general area and we both had T-Mobile. We were trying to figure
         | out if we could meet up, and I don't think we managed to get a
         | single voice call to go through. SMS would occasionally go
         | through albeit with an hour or more of lag.
        
           | CommitSyn wrote:
           | Many more people taking photos and videos than usual, and
           | sharing those photos and videos, as well as iCloud automated
           | backup?
           | 
           | I assume friends/family calling/Facetiming to see or share
           | the experience as well. Many traveled there and didn't have
           | WiFi.
        
             | sneak wrote:
             | iCloud Backup generally happens at night when on Wi-Fi.
        
       | quesera wrote:
       | Fascinating info, and great visualization!
       | 
       | An interesting discontinuity that jumps out to me is that AR
       | dropped 54%, but neighboring LA and MS dropped 0%. AR was in
       | totality, but LA and MS were close.
       | 
       | Part of it is probably related to the distribution of population
       | vs the path of totality. Similarly, VT dropped more than double
       | what neighbor NY did, but VT's population is mostly in Burlington
       | (totality) whereas NY's is in NYC (not totality and not so
       | mobile).
       | 
       | But 54% to 0% seems too dramatic a difference for that to be the
       | full explanation. Any insights? Maybe just inadequate data to
       | calculate?
        
         | datadrivenangel wrote:
         | Totality is a much bigger deal.
         | 
         | Near totality is cool, but it's not the same couple of minutes
         | of magic.
        
           | quesera wrote:
           | Agreed, but the other neighboring, non-totality, states, do
           | not show the same discontinuity in data.
        
         | emot wrote:
         | Hey there. I can provide some more details. Our data doesn't
         | show as much of a drop in Mississippi compared to Arkansas.
         | However, in cases where traffic is higher than usual during the
         | day (as it was in Mississippi and Louisiana), the drop compared
         | with the previous week is even less noticeable using this
         | method.
        
           | quesera wrote:
           | Interesting, I was wondering about that too -- so are the "0%
           | drop" states sometimes actually "non-zero % increase" states?
        
             | emot wrote:
             | I think there's only one or two states where that happens.
             | If you check the table, I use "--" instead of 0%.
        
         | Goonbaggins wrote:
         | Louisiana was pretty smothered by clouds during eclipse time
         | yesterday which likely had an impact.
        
         | catlikesshrimp wrote:
         | In my country, the largest internet provider had intermitent
         | service interruptions for a couple hours ADSL and mobile. They
         | were approximately 1 minute every two minutes. Even 3g failed a
         | couple times.
         | 
         | Such interruptions happen a couple times a year, only.
         | Coincidence % would be 2(100)/(365)
         | 
         | We had a 20% eclipse so, it was a regular working day. I would
         | rule out increased usage)
        
       | Solvency wrote:
       | Grammatically the title should be "Total eclipse ON the
       | Internet:"
        
         | quesera wrote:
         | This title is obviously a play on the Bonnie Tyler song "Total
         | Eclipse of the Heart".
         | 
         | Because the Internet is Love.
        
           | emot wrote:
           | Exactly. That was the inspiration :)
        
       | qweravaset wrote:
       | Related: a similar analysis based on the 2017 eclipse. It has a
       | map with zip-code level granularity and a comparison of desktop
       | vs mobile behavior:
       | 
       | https://web.archive.org/web/20171003232834/https://www.comsc...
        
       | rPlayer6554 wrote:
       | Yea that 10 hour drive from upstate NY was brutal! The traffic
       | was a nightm.... _opens article_
       | 
       | Oh yea and that.
        
       | devsda wrote:
       | Akamai should also have visibility into the global traffic
       | patterns. It would be nice to know if their data matches with
       | cloudflare.
       | 
       | Not just Akamai, even Netflix and other streaming services might
       | have noticed this drop.
        
       | blantonl wrote:
       | I'm wondering if this might have been a result of wireless
       | internet traffic being overwhelmed with everyone in the areas of
       | totality uploading pictures and video... actually using internet
       | bandwidth at the exact same moment? The resulting congestion
       | reducing overall internet usage because it was focused on
       | wireless networks only vs/ broadband home connections (since
       | obviously everyone was outside and not inside)
        
         | emot wrote:
         | It's possible, but we don't have a state-level perspective on
         | mobile devices vs desktop, only at the country level. So, it's
         | difficult to confirm.
        
         | 20after4 wrote:
         | doubtful. people were busy watching it, not live streaming it.
        
       | tzs wrote:
       | It would be interesting to see a map of traffic by state, or even
       | better by county, compared to normal traffic the morning of the
       | eclipse and the evening before the eclipse.
       | 
       | A heck of a lot of people travelled to the eclipse and so their
       | normal Sunday evening/Monday morning internet use should be
       | missing from where they came from. At their destination they will
       | be using internet to find things like food or to pass the time
       | waiting for the eclipse so should be adding to the normal Sunday
       | evening/Monday morning internet traffic there.
        
       | hiddencost wrote:
       | I really want to see an analysis of the impact on the power grid.
       | A friend shared their solar panel numbers and it was pretty cool
        
       | ziofill wrote:
       | Reminds me of water consumption spiking during the football world
       | cup interval (toilet flushes).
        
       | chrisBob wrote:
       | Note that this decrease in traffic is after a huge influx of
       | visitors. Highways in and out of the area of totality were
       | overwhelmed in most areas. I live in Michigan and drove 2 hours
       | south to find myself in a small town park in Ohio surrounded by
       | other Michigan residents.
        
         | pionar wrote:
         | Heh, I could've written this comment. I also found myself 2
         | hours south in a small Ohio park.
        
       | fragmede wrote:
       | Why can't tech companies seem to keep this stuff to themselves? I
       | mean, it's interesting and all, but it's an even bigger reminder
       | that Cloudflare is an Mitm attack on the Internet, in order to
       | have access to this data. And if they have that data, no one
       | could possibly believe they aren't somehow monetizing it.
       | Consider if we read the same post from Google or Facebook; it
       | would not be as well recieved. When the Internet was still
       | little, it was cute to read OkCupid's data blog but those days
       | are long past, especially after leaks about Uber's heaven view.
       | The post by Sleep8 in the wake of the OpenAI drama was also
       | poorly recieved.
        
         | supertrope wrote:
         | Corporate blog posts are advertising for their brand and
         | service. If they happen to overlap with something interesting
         | that's a bonus.
        
       | fmobus wrote:
       | In Brazil, during the World Cup, it's very common for employers
       | to give the day off when Brazil is playing, or at the very least
       | let people take a break to watch the game in the office.
       | 
       | In 2010, I was working for a network management company, and we
       | kept one eye on the networks, another on the game. All networks
       | graphs saw a very large impact when the game was on, with a quick
       | surge during half time. It was fucking unreal. I believe this
       | wouldn't happen anymore nowadays, given the pervasiveness of
       | streaming services etc.
        
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