[HN Gopher] Bringing back the Somali shilling (2017)
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       Bringing back the Somali shilling (2017)
        
       Author : lawrencechen
       Score  : 75 points
       Date   : 2024-04-04 06:01 UTC (1 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (jpkoning.blogspot.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (jpkoning.blogspot.com)
        
       | metadat wrote:
       | What a fascinating article, reality is sometimes remarkably and
       | amusingly counterintuitive. I would've never guessed a culture
       | would accept counterfeit currency en masse.
       | 
       | If a 1000 shilling note is only worth 4 US cents, does buying
       | stuff require a small mountain of bills?
       | 
       | Here are some costs for food in Somalia (USD):
       | Loaf of Fresh White Bread (1 lb) 0.86$       Rice (white), (1 lb)
       | $0.54       Eggs (regular) (12) $2.37       Local Cheese (1 lb)
       | $2.19
       | 
       | So, not exactly dirt cheap, paying in 4 cent increments.. imagine
       | if you carried around only nickels, a backpack may be needed just
       | to carry the cash. What if you want to buy a car, motorcycle, or
       | bicycle? Where would you even store all that cash, haha.
       | 
       | One thing I don't fully understand, TFA says a 1000 shilling note
       | is worth $0.04USD (meaning, $1USD would equal 25000 shillings),
       | but when I searched for the exchange rate online, everywhere says
       | $1USD converts to about 575 SOS (Somalian Shillings). Can anyone
       | here enlighten me about what's going on with the shillings?
       | 
       | Edit: Thank you @roywiggins for explaining!
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=39944411
        
         | margalabargala wrote:
         | Considering the cover photo for the article is a small mountain
         | of bills, that appears to be the way.
        
           | roywiggins wrote:
           | At a certain point I guess you're just going by weight of
           | paper.
        
             | BitwiseFool wrote:
             | And then eventually the paper itself is worth more than the
             | banknote.
        
               | coffeebeqn wrote:
               | I do wonder how a somewhat valuable metal like copper
               | would work here. The copper standard. Go by the weight of
               | the coin times the spot price of copper. Then the govt
               | can't keep printing more but I gyess they'd have to be on
               | board
        
         | lainga wrote:
         | It's happened before!
         | 
         | "A total of 1000 coins strung together were referred to as a
         | chuan (Chuan ) or diao (Diao ) and were accepted by traders and
         | merchants per string because counting the individual coins
         | would cost too much time. Because the strings were often
         | accepted without being checked for damaged coins and coins of
         | inferior quality and copper alloys, these strings would
         | eventually be accepted based on their nominal value rather than
         | their weight; this system is comparable to that of a fiat
         | currency."
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/String_of_cash_coins_(currency...
        
         | roywiggins wrote:
         | > when I searched for the exchange rate online, everywhere says
         | $1USD converts to about 575 SOS (Somalian Shillings). Can
         | anyone here enlighten me about what's going on with the
         | shillings?
         | 
         | Official exchange rates and _actual_ exchange rates can diverge
         | a lot[0]. Here 's the UN's estimates of exchange rates (for, I
         | think, internal accounting purposes- not something to
         | particularly rely on), which puts the rate at 24,300 shillings
         | to the dollar.
         | 
         | https://treasury.un.org/operationalrates/OperationalRates.ph...
         | 
         | [0] often this means that you can easily legally sell dollars
         | for the currency at the official rate (ie, at a huge markup),
         | but good luck buying dollars with the currency at _the official
         | rate_. Maybe you can in very small amounts, or if you are
         | politically connected.
        
           | giva wrote:
           | 24300 SOS per USD is about 4,11 cent per 1000 shilling, about
           | the rate cited in the article.
        
         | AdamH12113 wrote:
         | The article explains later on:
         | 
         | > For some time now Somalia has been partially dollarized
         | economy. U.S. dollar banknotes are the most popular paper
         | currency, with old shillings being used in small payments and
         | in the countryside. Mobile payments are extremely popular, but
         | they are usually denominated in U.S. dollars, not shillings,
         | and tend to be prevalent in cities where network coverage is
         | best.
        
         | Aloha wrote:
         | The article is also from 2017.
        
       | peter_d_sherman wrote:
       | The blog from which this article hails -- turns out to be an
       | interesting blog about all things Money:
       | 
       | "Moneyness "money is best described as an adjective not a noun" -
       | the blog of JP Koning":
       | 
       | https://jpkoning.blogspot.com/
       | 
       | (Disclaimer: Note that I do not necessarily agree with
       | some/any/all of the political positions and/or ideologies
       | espoused by this blog. That being said, it seems to be an
       | interesting blog with the central topic being all things Money
       | related...)
        
       | office_drone wrote:
       | I found interesting, from
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=39606093 about ancient
       | coinage
       | 
       | > "There was a chronic shortage of small change in ancient
       | economies, so even poor quality fakes were accepted in markets
       | for lack of anything better. Authorities tended to ignore such
       | forgeries"
       | 
       | We're seeing the same thing again in this article.
        
       | andrewla wrote:
       | The Iraqi Swiss Dinar is another example of a currency surviving
       | without a central bank -- in that case, even with the central
       | bank directly opposed to the continued circulation of the
       | currency.
        
         | rwmj wrote:
         | He has an article about that one too:
         | https://jpkoning.blogspot.com/2013/05/disowned-currency-odd-...
        
       | NeoTar wrote:
       | The article appears to be from 2017; does anyone have experience
       | of what has happened since? Were the new shillings actually
       | issued? Are they used?
        
         | Maxamillion96 wrote:
         | Shillings aren't used anymore and the new shillings were
         | destroyed in the Sudanese civil war when the warehouse they
         | were in went on fire.
         | 
         | https://www.hiiraan.com/news4/2021/Mar/182037/somali_currenc...
         | 
         | Nowadays people pay each other using cell-phone minutes, for
         | example if I buy an orange for .4 (40 cents) I will send that
         | amount via a message.
        
       | kozak wrote:
       | So, printing a counterfeit banknote is basically "proof of work"
       | in this case!
        
       | hinkley wrote:
       | Why would you start with the de facto denomination instead of
       | with a higher one? Tired of carrying bricks of 1000 shilling
       | notes? Here's a 20k shilling note so you can carry ten instead of
       | a brick.
        
         | thaumasiotes wrote:
         | That's not how it works. There's no authority over the
         | production of the shilling - anyone can make them, and they
         | therefore trade at the cost of production.
         | 
         | Which means that regardless of the number you print on the
         | notes, if buying something took a brick of them at the old
         | denomination, it will take a brick of them at the new one too.
        
           | hinkley wrote:
           | Not if the new one is guaranteed by a bank.
        
             | SoftTalker wrote:
             | Depends on how much people trust the bank.
        
               | acchow wrote:
               | Or how much they fear the bank (bank with an army)
        
       | InfiniteRand wrote:
       | It's sort of like trading with chunks of gold, the value of the
       | chunk of gold is what you can purchase, but in this case it's
       | specially printed paper which can be traded for a value of a
       | little more than it costs to make specially printed paper
        
       | TMWNN wrote:
       | I agree that having counterfeit bills be accepted on par with
       | "genuine" ones is counterintuitive. I disagree that it's not
       | rational. As I implied with the quotemarks, once there is no
       | central bank or central government, a "genuine" bill is merely
       | one that was printed earlier than "counterfeit" ones. As
       | discussed in comments, in such a scenario, bills (whether
       | "genuine" or not) become commodity currency like gold coins.
       | 
       | I seriously doubt that Somalis kept using shillings out of
       | confidence that they would be worth something again; such hopes
       | would have disappeared years ago. The author alludes to the real
       | reason but doesn't explore it: The currency is still convenient
       | for use where actual dollars, or electronic versions, are not
       | available. Shades of _Fallout_ 's bottle caps.
       | 
       | I'm not surprised that the IMF would encourage the return to a
       | sovereign currency. IMF has historically been non-encouraging of
       | dollarization, despite its consistent track record of a) working
       | when instituted by the government (Panama, Ecuador, El Salvador),
       | and b) being preferred by the people when they lack confidence in
       | the official currency (Argentina, Myanmar, Somalia itself, and
       | pretty much the entire rest of the non-developed world).
        
       | Aloha wrote:
       | The Somali Schilling has fascinated me for years - because it's
       | living proof about how mediums of exchange work - all people have
       | to do is believe that something is worth something.
       | 
       | The something is unimportant, could be slips of paper, rocks,
       | bits of shiny metal, trees, really anything - there object need
       | have no intrinsic worth - it doesnt even need to be portable
       | either, just that people agree X object changed hands and Y
       | person owns it now.
        
         | neilwilson wrote:
         | Or they believe that something will happen if they don't have
         | it.
         | 
         | If I impose a tax on you in Simolians, and I have the power to
         | enforce it by confiscating all your assets and your liberty
         | then you will obtain whatever amount of Simolians I demand as
         | that is almost certainly the cheaper alternative.
         | 
         | Then the exchange value of the currency is down to what you
         | have to do for me to get me to issue Simolians.
        
       | Aloha wrote:
       | This needs a [2017] in the title.
        
       | takinola wrote:
       | I'm a bit skeptical that this article tells the complete story.
       | Who is printing these counterfeits? What are their incentives?
       | Why not just keep printing more and inflate the currency into
       | oblivion?
        
         | resolutebat wrote:
         | Because you can only counterfeit the old notes, which have
         | _already_ been inflated to the oblivion: the largest note (1000
         | shillings) is $0.04. Because the cost of producing a remotely
         | passable counterfeit is also approximately $0.04, the currency
         | is now stable-ish.
         | 
         | If you produce a shiny new 10,000 note, nobody will recognize
         | or accept it.
        
       | neilwilson wrote:
       | When the taxing authority disappears notes and coins drop to
       | their commodity value which may then appreciate like classic cars
       | if they become rare - as the old Reichmarks have done.
        
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       (page generated 2024-04-05 23:00 UTC)