[HN Gopher] NASA, Lockheed Martin Working to Resolve Artemis II ...
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       NASA, Lockheed Martin Working to Resolve Artemis II Orion Issues
        
       Author : belter
       Score  : 52 points
       Date   : 2024-04-03 17:42 UTC (5 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.nasaspaceflight.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.nasaspaceflight.com)
        
       | Cybergenik wrote:
       | related: Destin from SmarterEveryDay called out some other issues
       | related to the Artemis mission:
       | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OoJsPvmFixU
       | 
       | Curious if this is related to the issues that they're now
       | experiencing.
        
         | sabareesh wrote:
         | Destin's video was shortsighted but I believe his new video is
         | better on understanding it is not about just flags any more.
        
           | minetest2048 wrote:
           | Do you have a link?
        
         | throwawaymaths wrote:
         | He was pretty much trashing lunar starship (which makes sense
         | for the first landings) but seemed to be very much cheerleading
         | SLS. It's boggling to me that no one (not even destin) is
         | talking about scooting a lander + engine module up with F9H and
         | rendezvousing with crew brought up with a normal F9.... After
         | all F9H is even slated to bring up the lunar space station.
         | 
         | This would be relatively easy and doable basically "today" plus
         | or minus a year or three of capsule design
         | 
         | Edit: clarified to say "lunar starship", added details on F9H
        
           | sabareesh wrote:
           | Can you please explain why trashing starship makes sense.
        
             | consumer451 wrote:
             | Well, he wasn't entirely fair, but, rapid full-reuse of
             | Starship feels like a distant thing at this point. Rapid
             | full-reuse is required for HLS as according to NASA, around
             | 15 launches of the tanker version will be necessary. Those
             | launches will need to happen in relatively short order.
             | 
             | That means either 15 full stacks (Booster + Tanker) ready
             | to go, or a few with full-reuse and very fast turnaround.
             | 
             | I can't believe I'm saying this, but there is a chance that
             | Blue Moon lands first.
        
             | throwawaymaths wrote:
             | Sorry I should have been more clear. Starship is itself
             | fantastic, but the starship lunar lander requiring 15
             | refuelings is extremely high risk and worthy of criticism.
             | Also, why does it take 15 refuelings?? That seems like a
             | lot. I could imagine 2 or 3, but is the proportion of fuel
             | that makes it into orbit from a fully laden starship _that_
             | low?
             | 
             | I can see starship (or something equivalently big) being
             | eventually used to ferry large components to the moon, but
             | to make the first phase of the manned part of the program
             | dependent on that seems crazy.
             | 
             | If lunar starship (or an equivalent) could make it up in
             | one refueling, it would IMO be less crazy, even if you had
             | to ditch the whole thing on the moon each time.
        
       | ginkgotree wrote:
       | I live on the Space Coast (also work in the industry, and thus,
       | have access to well - rumors). The SLS (Senate Launch System as
       | we call it here) was pretty cool to watch in person for the
       | uncrewed mission. Nevertheless, as Destin pointed out, it has
       | some massive challenges and headwinds NASA and contractors are
       | cemented in and must accept the SLS is the selected system we are
       | going with. Rumor (please take it for what that is worth -
       | rumors) are, many here are very suspect of even a 2025 crewed
       | flight.
        
         | disillusioned wrote:
         | At what point do we seriously consider the idea that Starship
         | will lap SLS in capabilities and timing, and cancel SLS
         | altogether? I feel like everyone's thinking this, but there's
         | too much pork pressure and sunk cost fallacy to finally just
         | ditch what's turning out to be a misguided approach, nearly 20
         | years in.
         | 
         | It's a platform built of new stock but very old SSMEs, still
         | using hydrogen and all the problems that brings with it, on a
         | non-reusable basis, with apparently varying quality even
         | amongst identically specced but different vendored mission
         | critical parts. The litany of issues they're outlining here are
         | all varying stages of terrifying, and things that shouldn't be
         | getting caught in this validation phase of a rocket that's
         | actually already had a successful-ish launch demonstration.
         | 
         | Meanwhile, Starship keeps iterating like crazy, the way SpaceX
         | does, and with significantly reduced relative complexity, on a
         | vertically integrated platform that they have much more control
         | over. I'm no Elon fanboy, but Starship is going to win this
         | race, right?
        
           | pfdietz wrote:
           | SLS can't even beat F9/FH, never mind Starship. It has
           | already lost.
        
           | ginkgotree wrote:
           | Starship is _required_ as part of the TLI trjaectory to
           | refuel SLS with cryos. NASA will keep flying SLS however, to
           | demonstrate to the public and congress that it was not
           | setting a pile of tax dollars on fire. LH2 as a fuel was a
           | mistake, high ISP, but well, the turbopumps, plumbing,
           | valves, etc, not to mention REFUELING LH2 ON ORBIT to
           | replenish evap. Starship imho will lapse SLS in the next year
           | or two. From a perspective of demonstrated spaceflight
           | capabilities per unit cost, it will lapse it the first time
           | Starship makes an uncrewed flight around the moon and re-
           | enters a capsule that is recoverable with a human survivable
           | water or land landing. Key qualifier there is per unit cost.
           | Point is, Starship lapses SLS once it matches demonstrated
           | spacelfight capabilities on sheer demoninator of cost.
        
             | two_handfuls wrote:
             | I'm pretty sure you mean "Starship will lap SLS" and not
             | "lapse", which would inverse the meaning of what you wrote.
        
           | JumpCrisscross wrote:
           | > _At what point do we seriously consider the idea that
           | Starship will lap SLS in capabilities and timing, and cancel
           | SLS altogether?_
           | 
           | When it flies. NASA will never kill SLS, but the Congress
           | will.
        
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