[HN Gopher] Terraform Industries converts electricity and air in...
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       Terraform Industries converts electricity and air into synthetic
       natural gas
        
       Author : jseliger
       Score  : 32 points
       Date   : 2024-04-01 17:22 UTC (5 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (techcrunch.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (techcrunch.com)
        
       | avmich wrote:
       | Not sure how to meaningfully participate in the movement, but
       | certainly to watch Terraform Industries progress should be quite
       | interesting.
        
       | jakozaur wrote:
       | Congratulations!
       | 
       | Though I can't still wrap my head around it:
       | 
       | 1. Terraform needs to produce hydrogen using electrolysis.
       | Turning hydrogen into natural gas requires more equipment and
       | energy.
       | 
       | 2. Simultaneously, we transform natural gas into hydrogen through
       | natural gas reforming. Currently, hydrogen is vital for
       | fertilizers and refineries. This also uses energy and a lot of
       | equipment.
       | 
       | So, before we produce synthetic natural gas, displacing hydrogen
       | produced by fossil fuels with electrolytes should be more
       | economical.
       | 
       | On top of that, fertilizers such as ammonia are way easier to
       | ship worldwide than natural gas.
        
         | kurthr wrote:
         | Yeah, and there are several long used and relatively efficient
         | ammonia generation methods for direct electrical conversion
         | that uses nitrogen from the air and water with renewable
         | electricity.
         | 
         | https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenrg.2021.5808...
        
           | angiosperm wrote:
           | The social benefit of such production, considered strictly,
           | probably far exceeds methane. But methane costs more to ship,
           | and displaces demand for Russian gas. Economics is hard.
        
         | mateo1 wrote:
         | Producing hydrogen using electricity will only be more
         | economical than than steam reforming when natural gas, coal and
         | oil all run out. I respect the choice to move away from fossil
         | fuels but if you do the calculations on how much this will
         | cost, people will start having second thoughts.
        
           | bryanlarsen wrote:
           | Producing hydrogen using electricity is proportional to the
           | cost of electricity. If electricity is crazy cheap, so is
           | electrically produced hydrogen. (At site of production;
           | transporting hydrogen is also expensive).
           | 
           | Terraform is betting on the continuing cost reduction of
           | solar.
        
             | busterarm wrote:
             | I wonder how many people on this board decrying the cost
             | effectiveness here are also invested heavily in
             | cryptocurrency...
        
               | angiosperm wrote:
               | Displacing mined methane is an overwhelmingly better use
               | of excess power.
        
           | callalex wrote:
           | When calculating the costs, you don't get to just ignore the
           | huge, expensive harms caused by releasing CO2 and methane
           | into the atmosphere because they are inconvenient.
        
         | bryanlarsen wrote:
         | Terraform believes that the decline in the cost of solar power
         | will make their process profitable in 2027. Fertilizer &
         | ammonia created using green hydrogen may be profitable earlier,
         | lets say 2026.
         | 
         | Seems to me Terraform made the right call by going for the
         | bigger market.
         | 
         | Edit. It looks like they're not ignoring fertilizer/ammonia
         | either: "The company has ongoing discussions regarding
         | prototyping or selling standalone electrolyzers as separate
         | products"
         | 
         | > On top of that, fertilizers such as ammonia are way easier to
         | ship worldwide than natural gas.
         | 
         | That's a big reason why Terraform is doing natgas. The cost of
         | Natural Gas in most of the world is dominated by the cost of
         | shipping. Terraform can produce locally and bypass shipping
         | costs.
        
         | londons_explore wrote:
         | The only buyers for green hydrogen or natural gas today are
         | companies where the 'greenness' of the fuel matters far more
         | than the price.
         | 
         | They are happy to pay a 100x or even 1000x premium to have
         | their CEO's car powered by green hydrogen.
        
           | avmich wrote:
           | As I understand it, the Terraform Industries idea is,
           | roughly, to reduce the price.
        
       | jseliger wrote:
       | More detail:
       | https://terraformindustries.wordpress.com/2024/04/01/terrafo...
        
       | analyte123 wrote:
       | The 273 btu of gas they have stored in those impressive cylinders
       | is equivalent to 0.08 kWh. Here's hoping for more to come.
        
       | jillesvangurp wrote:
       | Here's a sobering view on the economics of hydrogen:
       | https://about.bnef.com/blog/liebreich-clean-hydrogens-missin...
       | 
       | Hint, they remain terrible and you shouldn't get your hopes up.
       | 
       | Converting air into gas isn't hard technically. It's just really
       | expensive. The expensive bits get waffled over a lot by
       | proponents. But there's no real solution for this stuff just
       | being really, really expensive.
        
         | bryanlarsen wrote:
         | They've supposedly got their H2 cost under $2.50 per kg. Your
         | link calls $2.20 per kg by 2030 "hopelessly optimistic". In
         | comparison steam reformed hydrogen from natural gas costs $1.50
         | - $5.00 per kg.
        
         | bodhiandphysics wrote:
         | Just to point out... the whole point of Terraform Industries is
         | to solve the problems that are raised in that sobering view!
         | That doesn't mean they will succeed, but saying "this is hard,
         | so they won't" is also not terribly useful. Ultimately, when
         | faced with difficult problems, the only hope is to try to
         | figure out how to solve them.
        
         | malfist wrote:
         | People say the same thing about any new tech. Look at solar
         | when it first came out.
         | 
         | Technology advances. Manufacturing costs go down, generally.
        
         | h0l0cube wrote:
         | It really depends on the application. If a company wants to
         | provide a premium verifiably carbon-neutral product, instead of
         | some sham carbon credit scheme, they can swap out their fuels
         | to carbon-neutral versions.
         | 
         | There's perhaps some use in capturing excess solar during times
         | of negative prices and instead driving electrolysis. That
         | hydrogen could either be used to sell back to the system when
         | prices are at their highest, or export to another place. As
         | solar enters over-capacity, such plants could be useful.
        
       | gimmeThaBeet wrote:
       | I think this is really cool, I think the economics of it are
       | really tough, but there's a lot of ways natural gas is just a
       | much easier thing to deal with, or at least a more approachable
       | with our current infrastructure.
       | 
       | I think taking a step back though, the hydrogen itself is
       | important in the first place.
       | 
       | I don't know if it is the largest use of hydrogen, but certainly
       | the significant use is in steam reformation of natural gas to
       | make ammonia.
       | 
       | It's not power generation, but it's keeping us alive and natural
       | gas is a feedstock more than a fuel. You really are finding a way
       | to replace it and its not fungible in the way electricity is.
        
       | xhkkffbf wrote:
       | I've always thought it would be better to produce something like
       | methanol. The chemistry is similar, but methanol is not gaseous
       | (at typical temperatures). That makes it much easier to handle.
        
         | angiosperm wrote:
         | Methanol is strictly harder. There is enough demand for any
         | amount of hydrogen or methane that can be produced cheaply
         | enough. Methanol can wait until those are saturated. Ammonia
         | might be another intermediate step before it is worth doing
         | methanol.
        
       | angiosperm wrote:
       | The economics of this sort of thing is full of surprises.
       | 
       | Someone with a solar farm who cannot sell the excess they produce
       | at noon (local utility won't take it) can put it into producing
       | methane to sell (or use), if the equipment is cheap enough to
       | amortize over only the over-productive intervals. And claim extra
       | carbon credits for displacing mined methane. They might install
       | some extra panels to increase the intervals. Displacing methane
       | they would have had to buy yields more value.
       | 
       | Probably in the future it will be more profitable to produce
       | ammonia instead. Ammonia is even more useful than methane.
        
         | skybrian wrote:
         | Yes, the equipment needs to be cheap if it's not running very
         | often, or it won't pay off.
        
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