[HN Gopher] Topologists tackle the trouble with poll placement
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       Topologists tackle the trouble with poll placement
        
       Author : jyunwai
       Score  : 29 points
       Date   : 2024-03-26 18:14 UTC (3 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.quantamagazine.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.quantamagazine.org)
        
       | klyrs wrote:
       | > Porter notes that mathematicians have had success using
       | sophisticated mathematical techniques to quantify gerrymandering,
       | the deliberate skewing of legislative districts.
       | 
       | If only politics followed science, and not partisan loyalties!
        
       | alkonaut wrote:
       | A simple hack used elsewhere is to simply open for voting in
       | select locations a few weeks earlier. If 1/4 or a 1/2 of voters
       | already voted the queues will be much smaller.
       | 
       | Another simple hack is to ensure it's a Sunday so more people can
       | vote throughout the day and don't need to vote outside of work
       | hours.
       | 
       | Or let's vote everyone all at once on a _Tuesday_ and try to
       | solve the queue problem with...math.
        
         | reidjs wrote:
         | Or better yet, have the majority of people vote by mail and
         | make it easier for everyone.
        
         | pulisse wrote:
         | If a jurisdiction is reducing the number of election day
         | polling places in an area, they're also going to reduce
         | opportunities to vote in other ways. An egregious example is
         | Houston, where there is now one (1) place to drop off early
         | ballots in a county of 4 million people.
        
         | klyrs wrote:
         | Spoiler: disenfranchisement is tactical. If serving all voters
         | was a shared goal, we'd find it extremely easy.
        
         | mlazos wrote:
         | lol or just use mail! Done!
        
           | stronglikedan wrote:
           | Banned in so many countries because it's rife for abuse, yet
           | somehow people think it's a safe option in a country as big
           | as the US.
        
             | ok_dad wrote:
             | Citation needed. For all the claims of massive voter fraud,
             | I've seen about three convictions in the news. I certainly
             | haven't seen evidence of massive fraud in the many, many
             | states that allow mail in voting.
        
               | gotoeleven wrote:
               | It is very difficult if not impossible to catch
               | fraudulent mail in votes. The rules surrounding mail-in
               | and absentee ballots seem like they're actually designed
               | to make fraud easier (ie ballot harvesting).
        
               | alkonaut wrote:
               | If people believe it threatens the integrity of the
               | election then it already is a problem, whether it
               | _actually_ causes fraud or not.
               | 
               | Holding fair elections has no meaning unless people
               | actually believe they are fair.
               | 
               | Also "abuse" doesn't necessarily mean voter fraud. It can
               | be as simple as being pressured by a family member to
               | vote a certain way if you do it without privacy. If you
               | vote alone in a booth that's not an issue (and again -
               | it's an issue as soon as someone thinks it's an issue).
               | 
               | Setting up mini polling places where people can cast
               | early votes using the same procedure as on Election Day
               | solves many problems without causing any new concerns.
               | Other solutions have concerns however small.
        
               | vundercind wrote:
               | A lot of folks also think the counting was rigged and
               | that partisan observers were prevented from watching the
               | count, despite that stuff evidently _not being the case
               | at all_.
               | 
               | So... do we just stop doing elections because some evil
               | oligarchy-hungry assholes successfully lied to a bunch of
               | idiots, since it's made a lot of people not trust the
               | process of _counting votes, period_ despite the actual
               | presence of observers who are on their side? How can that
               | possibly be accommodated any further than it _already has
               | been for a long time_ without just not doing elections
               | anymore?
               | 
               | My core question, distilled, is: _how much_
               | disenfranchisement is proper to cater to the anxieties of
               | morons led astray by authoritarians and grifters? Do we
               | stop at mail-in voting, or just keep rolling with
               | disenfranchising more and more folks as long as they can
               | continue to lie with sufficient success?
        
               | klyrs wrote:
               | > early [voting]... solves many problems without causing
               | any new concerns.
               | 
               | You don't trawl political discourse much, do you? Early
               | voting is _specifically_ called out as a problem by
               | people who claim that their political enemies are voting
               | multiple times. Whether or not that 's a bona fide
               | concern is somewhat irrelevant.
        
               | maxerickson wrote:
               | Whatever it is you are proposing is making me nervous
               | about upcoming elections.
        
             | pulisse wrote:
             | Voting in Oregon has been exclusively by mail since 2000
             | without any such abuse materializing.
        
             | mlavrent wrote:
             | Since moving to Washington, I've discovered just how easy
             | voting can be, and how we can drive voter participation
             | (oh, if only that's what everyone wanted). I always voted
             | when I needed to in person in other states, but now ballots
             | just show up in my mailbox without me even knowing there
             | was an election; it makes having 3-4 elections every year a
             | complete non-issue since all it involves is finding a pen,
             | and making the trek back to my mailbox to drop it off.
             | 
             | I buy that it's rife for abuse in many countries, but the
             | US has such a well-protected (legally-speaking) postal
             | service that it's probably the best country of any I know
             | to do mail-in voting.
        
         | bigbillheck wrote:
         | It's hard to solve social problems (intentional voter
         | disenfranchisement) with technological solutions.
        
       | JohnVideogames wrote:
       | I love persistent homology; it's such a weirdo bit of maths that
       | topologists keep trying to make useful. Similarly its bigger
       | cousin, Topological Data Analysis, which as far as I can tell is
       | used by people who love weirdo maths but also want to be paid.
       | 
       | I don't see how much good the persistent topology adds here,
       | though. Why bother to do the abstract birth-death diagram and
       | measure the variance in lifetime of these simplices, when the
       | variance and median of the areas in the Voronoi diagram will give
       | you a much easier and more interpretable result?
        
         | vouaobrasil wrote:
         | > I don't see how much good the persistent topology adds here,
         | though. Why bother to do the abstract birth-death diagram and
         | measure the variance in lifetime of these simplices, when the
         | variance and median of the areas in the Voronoi diagram will
         | give you a much easier and more interpretable result?
         | 
         | Well, my personal feeling as someone who has published math
         | papers is that there is a bit of a pressure in mathematics to
         | continually do things in new ways, even if they are not the
         | _best_ ways of doing things. Topological data analysis seems to
         | be of that sort.
         | 
         | Of course, there could be debate here...but I do think that a
         | lot of mathematics has gone past the point of diminishing
         | returns when it comes to its usefulness or _even_ artistic
         | elegance as an abstract art of the intellect. Yet, the show
         | must go on I suppose.
        
           | xanderlewis wrote:
           | > a lot of mathematics has gone past the point of diminishing
           | returns when it comes to its usefulness or even artistic
           | elegance as an abstract art of the intellect.
           | 
           | This reads like a quote from 200 years ago.
        
             | vouaobrasil wrote:
             | Just because something might have been incorrect 200 years
             | ago does not mean it is not correct now. At some point, the
             | false claims of diminishing returns will turn out to be
             | true. It is foolishness to believe in an infinite supply of
             | wealth from anything, including scientific research.
        
               | xanderlewis wrote:
               | I didn't claim it was incorrect. I was just observing
               | that it sounded like an echo of the past, which it does.
               | 
               | ...however, surely if we're reaching some sort of plateau
               | in mathematical understanding, it's the end of _all_
               | research -- and that is slightly hard to believe.
               | 
               | Do you think we're nearing a proof of the Collatz
               | conjecture? Or is the theory we have just totally
               | inadequate?
        
       | dmckeon wrote:
       | In my opinion, wait times for voters of more than 30 minutes
       | should be grounds for civil suit or impeachment of the election
       | officials responsible. Other variables of interest would include
       | voter dwell time - the time it takes for one voter to cast their
       | ballot - and the likelihood of machine malfunction, whether from
       | inadequate preparation or maintenance, or from active sabotage by
       | voters. Worst case is a polling place with minimal staff, fragile
       | and antiquated machines, and a high proportion of impatient,
       | frustrated, or angry voters. The procedure for repair of machines
       | (never use the word "fixed" during an election) is to mark the
       | machine as out of order, call the elections office, and begin a
       | long wait. For non-Americans, note that US general elections
       | typically involve 2 or 3 dozen contests, so marking paper ballots
       | just for one party or another is not an effective option in the
       | US.
        
       | codeflo wrote:
       | I'm sorry, but as evidenced by literally the rest of the world,
       | voting wait times are not a research-level mathematics problem,
       | but purely one of resources. Census data and a tiny bit of
       | queuing theory (or alternatively, historical data) will tell you
       | the peak load of a voting booth. Staff accordingly, problem
       | solved.
        
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