[HN Gopher] Interview with Bluesky CEO Jay Graber
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       Interview with Bluesky CEO Jay Graber
        
       Author : rntn
       Score  : 72 points
       Date   : 2024-03-25 18:07 UTC (1 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.theverge.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.theverge.com)
        
       | halfmatthalfcat wrote:
       | I still think we haven't seen the "what's next" in social. I
       | think all these completing protocols are barking up the right
       | tree but they seem to be a bridge to the next thing, not the next
       | thing in and of itself.
        
       | thisislife2 wrote:
       | Federation is the future because politics demands it. As more and
       | more social media platform turn into an intelligence gathering
       | and an information warfare tool, countries around the world will
       | make stricter laws to restrict the current American and Chinese
       | owned BigTech moats of social media platform. We are already
       | seeing this with new data privacy laws or stringent restriction
       | or even outright banning of the platform (as China has done).
       | This is a huge headache for American and Chinese government
       | because such restrictions impairs their current online
       | intelligence programs. The obvious solution is to partly
       | sacrifice the profits of the BigTech to keep the data flowing.
       | We'll soon find inter-operability being _forced_ on platforms
       | (like iMessage or WhatsApp). More  "open" protocols will be
       | pushed and standardised slowly to make it difficult to impose
       | political restrictions and weaken privacy laws (because the
       | message will be that BigTech are no longer in control, but "the
       | people" and _every_ government wants to spy on its citizens).
       | Just look at email to realise how these things eventually end up
       | - how many of you run your own email servers, and successfully
       | ensure that your mails aren 't bocked by "spam" services?
       | Federation is good and necessary. But we are now decades past
       | from the idea of "controlling our data".
        
         | ein0p wrote:
         | "Turn into"? They were explicitly invented for surveillance and
         | personal data mining. That's their entire raison d'etre.
        
         | freedomben wrote:
         | I actually think it's exactly politics that will make
         | federation impossible, with the exception of a few big players
         | who have the deep pockets to fund major moderation. For those
         | people (big tech), you're right interop will be mandatory.
         | 
         | There's no way government are going to give up the control they
         | have with big tech and companies that can be regulated and
         | served warrants and stuff. The last thing they want is for
         | individual decentralized citizens to be able to stand up their
         | own systems and discuss dangerous ideas[1] without oversight.
         | 
         | On top of that, big tech will be eager to push things like Web
         | Environment Integrity[2] and Private Access Tokens[3] that can
         | ensure that unapproved (or semi or fully anonymous) actors with
         | dangerous operating systems like linux aren't allowed to
         | participate, at least on a first-class level. It will be
         | packaged as "anti-spam" or "a better user experience for our
         | users" but the fact that it massively empowers the tech
         | companies and enables them to further entrench you into their
         | walled gardens will absolutely not be an opportunity they want
         | to miss.
         | 
         | [1]: The definition of dangerous ideas will depend on who and
         | which party is in power. Unless the corporate overlords end up
         | in control, in which case it will be what their managers
         | consider dangerous.
         | 
         | [2]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Web_Environment_Integrity
         | 
         | [3]: https://developer.apple.com/news/?id=huqjyh7k
        
         | tootie wrote:
         | Federation solves nothing. The problem with the current
         | generation of social media is quite simply the profit motive.
         | Elon Musk tried to make a big deal out of being a free speech
         | absolutist, but his company is run for profit and any time free
         | speech butts up against profit, profit wins. Federation's only
         | advantage is that the profiteers haven't invaded that space
         | yet, but Bluesky is loudly telegraphing that it will no longer
         | be a safe space and they intend to start monetizing it.
         | 
         | If you want to a shining example of effective content
         | moderation, public utility and centralization, then just look
         | at Wikipedia. What's different about them? Non-profit.
        
       | mrweiner wrote:
       | $technology is the future of $industry, says CEO implementing
       | $technology in $industry.
        
         | dang wrote:
         | " _Please don 't pick the most provocative thing in an article
         | or post to complain about in the thread. Find something
         | interesting to respond to instead._"
         | 
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
        
       | r14c wrote:
       | I honestly hope so. Having organizations like Meta or Twitter et
       | al control massive sections of the social media landscape is not
       | healthy. Any organization, group, or individual that wants to
       | have an online presence should be able to spin up their own
       | service and publish to any constellation of servers that want to
       | hear what they have to say. I hope the EU efforts to push common
       | standards are also applied to US companies in US markets to make
       | all of the coms services federate like we were promised over a
       | decade ago.
        
         | luqtas wrote:
         | isn't better to have legal regulations on big servers? as i can
         | see some abuse from hosts (that entered early it the game) &
         | now hold multi-thousand users instance...
        
           | ein0p wrote:
           | Who do you think writes the regulations in the US? The
           | lobbyists. They are written mostly with the intent of
           | creating regulatory capture and making life difficult for
           | smaller players.
        
           | r14c wrote:
           | why not both? i recognize that large decentralized networks
           | create some challenges, but imo that's still preferable to
           | giving a small number of large (even heavily regulated)
           | operators total control over the network.
        
         | threeseed wrote:
         | Meta enabled ActivityPub based fediverse support this week for
         | US Threads users.
         | 
         | So today you can spin up your own Mastodon server and have
         | anyone follow you from Threads and vice versa.
        
           | zizee wrote:
           | Will they extend this to Instagram? Until then (and even
           | after) I'd be suspicious of their intentions. Embrace,
           | Extend, Extinguish.
           | 
           | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Embrace,_extend,_and_extingu.
           | ..
        
             | threeseed wrote:
             | Instagram is moving towards being a TikTok competitor so it
             | doesn't make much sense.
             | 
             | Either way their intentions are pretty easy to understand.
             | 
             | ActivityPub integration keeps regulators off their back and
             | allows external content to appear on Threads which they can
             | then monetise alongside ads.
        
       | stalfosknight wrote:
       | I'd like to see them actually make it so the common person can
       | understand federation and see it as a plus rather than a
       | confusing onboarding roadblock.
        
         | Nextgrid wrote:
         | They won't, because federation doesn't actually solve any of
         | the problems the average social media user has, while
         | introducing its own, (sometimes very hard/impossible) problems.
         | 
         | The main driver behind current social media's shittiness is the
         | user-hostile business model that means the incentives of the
         | user and the platform are opposed.
         | 
         | Federation doesn't actually address any of this, and currently
         | the federated social media world "runs" on effectively charity.
         | "Runs" in quotes because we've already seen instance shutdowns
         | which caused a fair bit of trouble. It only currently "runs"
         | because the scale is small enough that it can indeed be
         | sustained by charitable efforts, and hasn't devolved into a
         | unusable spam-fest because it's too small to actually be worth
         | spamming.
         | 
         | If your "solution" to social media shittiness is effectively
         | turn it into something ran by charities, that's fine but you
         | can achieve this much easier (and more efficiently) by just
         | having one charity run one centralized service with an open API
         | (since the business incentives around lock-in are no longer
         | applicable).
        
           | tiptup300 wrote:
           | Back in jr high school we had halo modding forums that were
           | hosted on free hosts until we had someone with money to pay
           | for a server, until that ran out and we moved again.
           | 
           | Some of those communities might go on and last a while and
           | accumulate knowledge.
           | 
           | Ah maybe not, sounds like a path the gamergate stuff. But the
           | concept certainly feels nostalgic.
           | 
           | And besides now I have a job and a small amount of extra cash
           | to pay for a small community website.
           | 
           | Would be nice to have federated reddits instead of reddit.
        
             | DoItToMe81 wrote:
             | What? What does Gamergate have to do with any of that?
             | That's absolutely deranged and obsessed.
        
             | Nextgrid wrote:
             | The reason forums lost out to Reddit and centralized social
             | media is because the latter is more convenient. Turns out
             | having to register an account on every single forum and
             | have to prove your worth every time is less convenient that
             | having a single account and a proof of trustworthiness (as
             | in if you haven't spammed/misbehaved elsewhere, chances are
             | you won't misbehave here either) following you around.
        
         | threeseed wrote:
         | Meta actually tackled this pretty well:
         | 
         | https://engineering.fb.com/2024/03/21/networking-traffic/thr...
        
       | s4mw1se wrote:
       | Maybe working in secuirty has screwed my vision because this
       | stuff bounces around in my head all day.
       | 
       | I think social media as we know it today is already at the end of
       | the road. Our data has been obtained to make generative AI
       | products and now we are entering a new phase of the internet. The
       | social media we have has already been poisoned by assholes trying
       | to make everyone addicted for money, or victims of non-kinetic
       | warfare.
       | 
       | There is going to be way to many self-managing sock puppets all
       | with an agenda. Automated psyops agents left to their devices,
       | all talking to each other and you.
       | 
       | That's not to say there won't be sociable media, it's just that
       | regardless of how federated anything is we are all still going to
       | constantly be in contact with AI.
       | 
       | the next big social media platform will be the one that can
       | guarantee the most authentic human connections.
       | 
       | Until we get to that point, we will have what we have not and
       | watch it get worse as smaller federated instances pop up that
       | become selective or invite only.
       | 
       | Not much different then private hidden services
        
         | em-bee wrote:
         | isn't it possible to avoid all the problems by simply using
         | these tools in a certain way?
         | 
         | i am on whatsapp, wechat, telegram, matrix, signal, sms, irc,
         | email, even discord...
         | 
         | on each of these services i am mostly in contact with real
         | humans that i met in person.
         | 
         | i am in a few groups mostly made out of these same people, but
         | also some groups where i never met anyone. i am not on
         | facebook, mastodon or ex-twitter or any service that tries to
         | feed me with stuff instead of just giving me a timeline of all
         | messages shared. even on youtube i follow the channels of my
         | choice and mostly ignore recommendations except to discover
         | other interesting channels.
         | 
         | i don't see any of that going away. therefore i don't see
         | anything changing for me
        
           | zizee wrote:
           | It would be useful to categorise "social media" into "publish
           | to strangers" vs "interact with individuals in private".
           | Apparently these are both social media, but they are very
           | different use-cases.
           | 
           | Most of the apps you mentioned are focussed on that second
           | category, whereas (I believe) the GP was talking about the
           | first category.
        
             | em-bee wrote:
             | well, at least whatsapp, wechat, youtube and even telegram
             | are trying to get into the first category. i ignore the
             | respective features. in my case i eventually realized that
             | i would waste to much time if i would try to follow all the
             | posts pushed there, and it would also take to much effort
             | to curate that content, so i decided to completely ignore
             | it instead. but i am old, and my life experience helps me
             | to stick to this. for young people this must be harder.
             | 
             | i agree that this distinction is important, but i am afraid
             | it is a lost battle, and as we criticize the negative
             | effects of the first category of social media we need to
             | also point out how social media can be useful when it is in
             | the second category.
        
         | autonomousErwin wrote:
         | I actually think this could be an incorrect assumption we're
         | making that humans want authentic human connections on social
         | media. Most humans on social media are not their authentic
         | selves and want to project an image of who they think people
         | want to engage with.
        
         | JohnFen wrote:
         | > the next big social media platform will be the one that can
         | guarantee the most authentic human connections.
         | 
         | Which is a thing that I don't think is feasible. I could be
         | wrong, of course. But I do agree that authenticity is going to
         | be the issue that social platforms will live or die on.
         | 
         | I think the next evolution of "social media" is more likely to
         | be a return to the old-fashioned notion of interacting with
         | people in person.
        
           | layer8 wrote:
           | Social media was always just a fraction of the population.
           | Most non-tech people I know in real life don't significantly
           | engage with it.
        
           | mminer237 wrote:
           | The only way it's feasible is really requiring an ID or
           | credit card to sign up. Technically, it's pretty doable, but
           | I doubt the users would be willing to go that far for
           | authenticity.
        
           | NetOpWibby wrote:
           | One method to "guarantee" authenticity is to charge for
           | usage. It could even be a low cost, like $1/month or
           | $10/year. That'd be enough to deter the absolute worst kind
           | of people.
        
           | em-bee wrote:
           | how about only following people that you met in person? i
           | mean it doesn't even make sense to me to follow someone i
           | don't know unless they actually produce interesting content.
           | such as say viheart or nileblue or even mr beast if you must.
           | is it possible that any of these could decide to sell out and
           | start producing content using AI? sure. but will they be able
           | to fool everyone?
           | 
           | the problem is a lack of ability to recognize worthwhile
           | content, a lack of critical consumption. there is also be a
           | problem to find good content among the mass of junk. but
           | that's already a problem now. i have mostly given up. i find
           | new content mostly through HN.
           | 
           | the problem will be that a lot of good content will remain
           | undiscovered.
           | 
           | so let me make this claim in response: the next big social
           | media platform will be the one that will make it easy to
           | discover actually good content as opposed to popular content.
        
         | avrionov wrote:
         | The current generation of generative AI models is quire far
         | from perfect. They'll need more and more data. For bigger
         | models, for models which are targeting specific areas, etc.
         | 
         | But is possible that social media as source is already poisoned
         | by Gen AI postings.
        
       | sandspar wrote:
       | I was wondering recently how much time I've spent arguing with
       | bots online. Hours, surely. Dozens of hours? And it seems like
       | it's going to get worse. The Reddit front page seems largely bot-
       | run now. It's only a matter of time until it spreads.
        
         | autonomousErwin wrote:
         | If you could collate all these arguments and actually help you
         | get _better_ at debating then this could be turned into a
         | positive where you shouldn 't care about the person (AI or
         | human) behind the argument but the argument itself.
        
         | pests wrote:
         | > I was wondering recently how much time I've spent arguing
         | [...] online.
         | 
         | Probably all of it?
        
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