[HN Gopher] Anomalous contribution to galactic rotation curves d...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Anomalous contribution to galactic rotation curves due to
       stochastic spacetime
        
       Author : kergonath
       Score  : 125 points
       Date   : 2024-03-09 09:13 UTC (13 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (arxiv.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (arxiv.org)
        
       | bloopernova wrote:
       | Related article from The Guardian:
       | https://www.theguardian.com/science/2024/mar/09/controversia...
        
         | dbacar wrote:
         | Thank you, this is much more accessible for me.
        
         | boxed wrote:
         | That sounds very unconvincing. Afaik there are several found
         | galaxies with more than normal amounts of dark matter, and
         | less. How would these fit into ANY modified gravity theory?
         | 
         | This type of theory seems to only handle the common case, but
         | the universe is full of edge cases...
        
           | scotty79 wrote:
           | If the base of this theory is some form of chaos you can
           | always fit the distribution of the chaos to explain outliers
           | with the probability they actually occur at.
        
             | BlueTemplar wrote:
             | Can you ? How is this different from, say, anything
             | involving pressure and temperature, which under current
             | theories, are statistical phenomena arising from quantum
             | behaviour, fundamentally based on our lack of information
             | about what is going on (aka entropy) ?
        
               | scotty79 wrote:
               | I think technically you can. Although it's just moving
               | the question to "why is the chaos distributed like
               | that?".
               | 
               | Current explanation for existence of galaxies is those
               | are quantum fluctuations that grew large. So apparently
               | fluctuations can explain everything if you do enough of
               | hand waving in between. I don't think any particular
               | quality of galaxies as we see them today can be traced to
               | specific quantum property. But that doesn't stop us from
               | believing in that explanation.
        
               | data_maan wrote:
               | Isn't that already enough to know that it is some form
               | chaos that underlies many of the current phenomena?
               | 
               | For any explanation X there will always be the question,
               | "now what explains X"?
        
         | layer8 wrote:
         | The Guardian headline stands in contradiction to this statement
         | from the paper's abstract: "We caution that a greater
         | understanding of this effect is needed before conclusions can
         | be drawn".
        
       | quantum_mcts wrote:
       | Good. Now explain the Bullet Cluster.
        
         | naasking wrote:
         | No one can explain the Bullet Cluster.
        
           | quantum_mcts wrote:
           | Cold dark matter made of weakly interacting massive particles
           | can.
        
             | naasking wrote:
             | No, LCDM can't explain the observed velocities.
        
               | quantum_mcts wrote:
               | Yes it can. https://arxiv.org/abs/1410.7438
        
         | raattgift wrote:
         | > Good.
         | 
         | Is it, or isn't it, and why? You don't say.
         | 
         | The authors asked themselves how their quantum gravity theory
         | differs from General Relativity, and whether the successes of
         | General Relativity in astrophysical settings would be fatal if
         | their theory has strong differences, and that's the basis for
         | this paper. The tl;dr is that their theory predicts different
         | trajectories outside of large central masses, but that _might_
         | not conflict with evidence from galactic-dynamics astronomy.
         | 
         | This is the second paper released in the past few days by the
         | University College London Oppenheim group. It's a preliminary
         | investigation of the longer length scale features of their
         | classical stochastic theory. The central question is how its
         | version of Schwarzschild-de Sitter (SdS) differs from standard
         | General Relativity.
         | 
         | The first paper, and I think the more interesting one, is about
         | the short length scale aspects of their asymptotically free
         | theory, in which the gravitational interaction weakens as
         | distances between interacting sources decreases. The asymptotic
         | freedom means the theory is amenable to renormalization, unlike
         | perturbative quantum gravity and a number of other approaches.
         | That paper is at <https://arxiv.org/abs/2402.17844>. Note that
         | they do not know how to make the gravitational part quantum
         | mechanical without introducing problems (i.e., it is haunted by
         | "bad" ghosts in the sense of
         | <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ghost_(physics)>); their
         | classical and stochastic gravitational sector is ghost-free (a
         | point also made at the end of Appendix A in the large-scale
         | paper), and it is reasonable for them to believe that could be
         | good enough that it's worth continuing to investigate what the
         | theory predicts and how its parameters are set.
         | 
         | The second paper was motivated by the first: "The theory was
         | not developed to explain dark matter, but rather, to reconcile
         | quantum theory with gravity. However, it was [noted] that
         | diffusion in the metric could result in stronger gravitational
         | fields when one might otherwise expect none to be present, and
         | that this raised the possibility that gravitational diffusion
         | may explain galactic rotation curves".
         | 
         | That MOND-like effects might arise in their approach to the
         | problem of small-scale quantum gravity is at least interesting.
         | It was not the starting point.
         | 
         | Moreover, they did not start with the idea of modifying General
         | Relativity to get rid of the need for (some or all) cold dark
         | matter. As they say: "While this study demonstrates that
         | galactic rotation curves can undergo modification due to
         | stochastic fluctuations, a phenomenon attributed to dark
         | matter, it is important to acknowledge the existence of
         | separate, independent evidence supporting LCDM. In particular,
         | in the CMB power spectrum, in gravitational lensing, in the
         | necessity of dark matter for structure formation, and in a
         | varied collection of other methods used to estimate the mass in
         | galaxies."
         | 
         | > Now explain the Bullet Cluster
         | 
         | This paper does not seek to do so. "To make it tractable
         | analytically, we have restricted ourselves to spherically
         | symmetric and static spacetimes, with metrics of the form of
         | Eqs. (17)." Eqn 17 describes out an adapted Schwarzschild-de
         | Sitter spacetime and leans on an argument that Birkhoff's
         | theorem applies (in particular that their model spacetime is
         | stable against certain perturbations, notably those concentric
         | upon the source mass). There is further detail in Appendix B.
         | 
         | Studying this restricted model, the de Sitter expansion of the
         | spacetime and MOND-like anomalous Kepler orbits at some remove
         | from the Schwarzschild central mass are in their theory driven
         | by entropic forces generated by the fluctuations in the
         | gravitational field of the central mass (and they do a good job
         | in Appendix D explaining this).
         | 
         | In GR's Schwarzschild-de Sitter the free-fall trajectories of
         | test particles around the central mass are totally determined
         | by the mass; the gravitational field doesn't fluctuate. The
         | (Boltzmann) gravitational entropy of the region outside the
         | central mass is everywhere very high.
         | 
         | In GR-SdS we can consider adaptations where with M=const. we
         | turn the pointlike central mass into a spherically symmetric
         | shell, or a concentric set of such shells, or even a ball of
         | fluid, or a ball of dust, or a ball of stars and other galactic
         | matter. None of these symmetry-preserving adaptations changes
         | the free-fall trajectories of test particles outside the outer
         | surface, or the gravitational entropy at any outside point.
         | 
         | In the author's theory, the spacetime is stochastic. It
         | fluctuates. Close to the central mass fluctuations are
         | unnoticeably small; the gravitational entropy is very low. Far
         | from the central mass the gravitational entropy is very high,
         | and gravitational fluctuations are noticeable. A sort of
         | thermodynamics leads to a diffusive flow outwards from the
         | central mass, from the low entropy near there to the high
         | entropy at increasing radial distance. This diffusion is
         | carefully constructed so that the outwards flow is only really
         | appreciable at large-scale distances. The effect is that large-
         | radius orbits are statistically pulled inwards by something
         | describable as stronger gravity at larger radiuses (see around
         | Eqn (21)). This is an "entropic force", very roughly analogous
         | to squashing a sponge ball in your hand then releasing the
         | pressure and watching the sponge ball expand, where the
         | material of the sponge represents the gravitational field.
         | 
         | Their stochastic fluctuations are still generated by the
         | spherically-symmetric central mass. These fluctuations break
         | the spherical symmetry of the outside metric. Consequently they
         | have to do some work to make the outside metric look
         | appropriately Schwarzschild-like in their "diffusion regime",
         | and to keep that stable against the stochastic perturbations.
         | 
         | The authors contend that with reasonable choices of parameters,
         | and restricted to static spherical symmetry of the central mass
         | (and no additional dynamics), this effect comes close to
         | duplicating MOND's low-acceleration regime.
         | 
         | They don't go into anything like a backreaction upon the
         | Schwarzschild metric by large fluctuations.
         | 
         | (They do have an idea about how to get the de Sitter
         | trajectories though, but that doesn't fit very naturally into
         | this comment, which is already long.)
         | 
         | > Bullet cluster
         | 
         | The authors know full well that the metric for a
         | gravitationally bound cluster of galaxies isn't well-
         | represented by their choice of SdS-like metric. A galaxy
         | cluster is too lumpy for the Schwarzschild part.
         | 
         | Two gravitationally bound galaxy clusters having passed through
         | each other (trailing collided gas and dust, and tidally
         | stripped stars and other matter) is even less like
         | Schwarzschild. This is because SdS solutions of the Einstein
         | Field Equations do not linearly superpose. So their metric is a
         | poor description of any sort of "close call" interaction
         | between galaxies or galaxy clusters, even if the individual
         | components are "close enough" to Schwarzschild from the
         | perspective of an observer sufficiently large (as in
         | cosmologically large) distances. They do not (and within this
         | initial paper should not really be expected to) offer a more
         | suitable metric. I'm sure they'd love to look into things like
         | that though.
         | 
         | The non-linear superposeability of useful solutions of General
         | Relativity is a problem for asking how astrophysics differ in
         | most theories that preserve the equivalence principle (this one
         | does, it's a metric theory of gravitation). As the replacement
         | for the Einstein Field Equations lose symmetries (sphericity,
         | staticity) they tend to become analytically intractable and
         | non-numerical approximations become unreliable.
         | 
         | The authors -- imho in a strikingly principled way -- call
         | attention to various difficulties in using this work to
         | describe astrophysical systems, particulary from the middle of
         | the fifth page of the PDF.
         | 
         | They are not obviously worse off than the Verlinde programme of
         | emergent-entropic gravity, where the gravitational field is
         | generated by entropic forces rather than vice-versa.
        
       | indeyets wrote:
       | But... WHY is it wobbly? Is there a particle which represents
       | this wobbliness? :)
        
         | SideburnsOfDoom wrote:
         | Is that the "postquantum" bit? i.e. not that spacetime is
         | quantized as such, but that it's not a uniform continuous
         | medium at all scales, that classical mechanics would assume.
        
         | scotty79 wrote:
         | I can imagine that wobbliness comes from chaotically passing
         | strong gravity waves of very high wavelengths coming from
         | outside of the observable universe and from before times of Big
         | Bang.
         | 
         | There's no specific reason that forces us to believe that Big
         | Bang was the actual beginning of everything. It might have been
         | "local" high energetic event happening in much larger
         | structure.
         | 
         | For example try to imagine how the collision of two dense
         | clusters of trillions of black holes each traveling at nearly
         | light speed would look like from the point of view of the dust
         | swirling in-between and around them. I can't imagine it would
         | be very different from what we observe in our universe.
        
           | MauranKilom wrote:
           | Don't you think that we would be able to observe some
           | anisotropy in the data if that were the case? (Note: I have
           | no clue, but it seems unlikely...)
        
             | scotty79 wrote:
             | Maybe? I don't know. I imagine we don't have any good ways
             | to observe gravitational waves, even fairly strong ones
             | with periods of millenia or even centuries which are still
             | very short times on a galactic scale.
             | 
             | And apart from that, I think that we can only look at CMB
             | and conclude that it's a bit wobbly. Must be quantum
             | fluctuations, sure, why not, but is it only the quantum
             | fluctuations? Or maybe the spacetime between us and CMB
             | source is a bit wobbly too?
             | 
             | Another thing is large scale structure of our universe.
             | Visualizations look like foam. Planty of chaos that
             | wobblines can safely compose into.
             | 
             | I think the work of those scientists is very important
             | because it might allowed us to pinpoint how strong
             | distortions of the spacetime would need to be to explain
             | what we see and maybe we could narrow down the range of
             | frequencies which might gives us ideas how to look for
             | them.
             | 
             | Simplistic and grandiose assumptions make our current best
             | model of the universe a bit restrictive. To the point that
             | we are starting to find direct counterexamples for our
             | theories derived from it. Mature galaxies way too old.
             | Megastructures way too large. CMB fluctuation not exactly
             | fitting best theoretical models. Unreconcilable differences
             | between Hubble constant measured from CMB and that measured
             | from galaxies.
             | 
             | I think accepting a bit of chaos beyond what we currently
             | believe is an inevitable way out.
        
       | oneshtein wrote:
       | Finally, someone is at right path.
        
       | A_D_E_P_T wrote:
       | There's something distinctly unsatisfying about this sort of
       | paper, because the number of potential solutions to the problem
       | they're trying to solve is in principle vast, and you can arrive
       | at any number of them if you laboriously work backwards and fit
       | your equations to the data. Without very rigorous efforts towards
       | empirical validation, in novel ways if required, this sort of
       | thing is just another wholly speculative theory to add to the
       | large and growing pile.
       | 
       | The interesting thing, as far as I'm concerned, is the size and
       | shape of the answer space. How many theoretical solutions can be
       | coaxed to fit the cosmological data? It can't be infinite, but it
       | seems as though it's a rather large number.
        
         | szundi wrote:
         | This is exactly what Sabine Hossenfelder is talking about for
         | years now.
        
           | naasking wrote:
           | Indeed, and even she thinks this is at least a fairly novel
           | approach in this space which hasn't seen much new thinking
           | recently (20+ years).
        
         | hnaccount_rng wrote:
         | To be fair, everything that astrophysics comes up with will be
         | massively under constrained. For all intents and purposes we
         | work with a single datapoint and try to infer dynamics.
        
         | sebzim4500 wrote:
         | I'm far from an expert, and I'm still struggling my way through
         | this paper, but from what I can see they are only intruducing
         | one new free parameter, the same number as lambda CDM.
        
         | eigenket wrote:
         | I agree with your point in general, but in this case
         | specifically I strongly disagree.
         | 
         | The idea worked out by Oppenheim and his colleagues/students is
         | a fairly concrete theory which aims to marry quantum mechanics
         | and general relativity. They're working on a bunch of
         | approaches to turn their model into testable predictions in
         | different regimes.
         | 
         | They have a bunch of different papers with different ways their
         | model could be falsified. None of them are at the level where
         | you could falsify their model with current technology but
         | they're seriously working on the theory required to make their
         | ideas potentially testable.
         | 
         | I went to a talk a couple of years ago at a conference by
         | Oppenheim and he is very clear that what they're looking for is
         | to make concrete predictions which can be tested.
         | 
         | Edit: you can see here for another paper where they try to push
         | their theory towards producing some testable predictions
         | 
         | https://arxiv.org/abs/2203.01982
        
         | BlueTemplar wrote:
         | Correct me if I am missing something, but it seems like the
         | speculative bit was Milgrom noticing that coincidence in 1983,
         | and now they are trying to explore the consequences of assuming
         | that it's not just a coincidence... hopefully with testable
         | predictions coming out of this ?
         | 
         | How _else_ should they go about it ?
        
           | zikzak wrote:
           | I forget who said it but asking "hm, what's causing this
           | anomaly in my experimental results" is how science
           | progresses.
        
             | webmaven wrote:
             | ISTR someone saying that the most common words spoken prior
             | to a breakthrough aren't "Eureka!" or "Aha!" but instead
             | "That's strange..."
        
               | mkl wrote:
               | Often atrributed to Asimov, but it doesn't seem to have
               | been him:
               | https://quoteinvestigator.com/2015/03/02/eureka-
               | funny/?amp=1
        
         | keepamovin wrote:
         | I think you're missing the point: you can say this about _any_
         | theory. At least ones that attempt to deal with something
         | significant and difficult.
         | 
         | It's therefore not a very perceptive critique to make to say
         | the problem with this specific theory is that it is one of many
         | possible ones. It's more meaningful to compare such wide-
         | aperture theories like this to their actual alternatives,
         | rather than distrust them on principle because the space of
         | potential hypotheses in which they carve out a specific model
         | is so large.
         | 
         | Funnily, your observation could be said to be an instance of
         | itself: in that it is an overly general appraisal unrooted in
         | pertinent specifics, therefore mostly divorced from explanatory
         | power - akin to what you're misjudging this theory to be.
         | 
         | I don't know if this theory will pan out, but it seems more
         | interesting than you say. While different to the paper, I have
         | the following related thoughts to offer: I've often thought
         | gravity makes sense, not as a fundamental force, but as an
         | emergent metric, rooted in randomness (perhaps the
         | informational content of matter, for which mass is, normally
         | but not always, useful proxy?), similar to how temperature is
         | merely an emergent property that we can measure that arises
         | from (and reflects) the microstates/ensembles of gigantic
         | numbers of particle interactions, owing to their energy
         | content.
         | 
         | I wonder if a "time" or "age" factor could be needed in revised
         | calculations of gravity to account for the plausible way in
         | which information increases over time (if we assume, without
         | trying to understand, that the history is recorded somewhere,
         | somehow), and if that's why these very old and very distant
         | galaxies bork our normal (non dark matter fudged) calculations
         | of gravity, because they are so old that the time accrual of
         | information is an effect which begins to come into play.
        
           | A_D_E_P_T wrote:
           | > _I think you 're missing the point: you can say this about
           | any theory. At least ones that attempt to deal with something
           | significant and difficult._
           | 
           | Hardly. In fact, just the opposite is true: You can say it
           | about virtually no theories outside a niche within modern
           | physics.
           | 
           | The great theories of 20th century physics were empirically
           | validated almost immediately. Even their thought experiments
           | were subjected to intense scrutiny and debate. Now those
           | theories are fodder for engineers who tinker with material
           | devices like MRI machines.
           | 
           | In other disciplines, e.g. biology or chemistry, it's
           | effectively forbidden to work backwards from data and come up
           | with a "solution" that fits but can't be validated in any
           | way. Chemical space is vast; if you have a complex molecule,
           | there are any number of ways retrosynthesis will work;
           | finding one such way, without empirically validating it, is
           | of near-zero value.
           | 
           | > _I 've often thought gravity makes sense, not as a
           | fundamental force, but as an emergent metric, rooted in
           | randomness (perhaps the informational content of matter, for
           | which mass is, normally but not always, useful proxy?)_
           | 
           | The randomness of what now?
           | 
           | How do you reconcile this with the frame-dragging effect?
           | Namely, in that it shows that the distribution and movement
           | of mass (not just the presence of mass/entropy) can influence
           | the curvature of spacetime and thereby gravitational effects.
           | 
           | > _I wonder if a "time" or "age" factor could be needed in
           | revised calculations of gravity to account for the plausible
           | way in which information increases over time_
           | 
           | Information is degraded over time; the universe will
           | eventually contain zero useful information content ("heat
           | death") and will then be modellable as a homogeneous space
           | subject to statistical fluctuation.
        
             | keepamovin wrote:
             | > Hardly. In fact, just the opposite is true: You can say
             | it about virtually no theories outside a niche within
             | modern physics.
             | 
             | Again I think you're missing the point. There's many ways
             | in which you can construct theories on any topic. They're
             | all just models: which can be seen by how these models
             | often evolve over time, and yet were at each time seen as
             | fairly valid. This is true in all the sciences, and is
             | inherent to science. You make like that's a criticism of
             | modern physics only, but I think it's more an effect of the
             | point below about measurement.
             | 
             | > In other disciplines, e.g. biology or chemistry, it's
             | effectively forbidden to work backwards from data and come
             | up with a "solution" that fits but can't be validated in
             | any way.
             | 
             |  _in any way_ : I think this is a mischaracterization.
             | Fitting with the data _is_ a validation in some way. You
             | seek orthogonal validation via new testable predictions,
             | which is fair enough, but it 's also fair to consider the
             | measurement problem again (mentioned below), and the
             | process of development wherein advances may be made before
             | testing is figured out, if the domain is of sufficient
             | complexity.
             | 
             | > Chemical space is vast; if you have a complex molecule,
             | there are any number of ways retrosynthesis will work;
             | finding one such way, without empirically validating it, is
             | of near-zero value.
             | 
             | That's the thing. These synths _look like_ they work, on
             | paper. The groups and charges move around right, but they
             | don 't actually work, which contradicts your point that you
             | can't devise a large number of plausible alternatives in
             | chem. The same is true of bio and metabolic pathways.
             | 
             | In practice, often we don't know how to test something at
             | the time we sketch it out. I guess that's the consequence
             | of being at the frontier, there's much unkown. So the
             | analogy between these disciplines and physics fits, but
             | perhaps not in the way you intended.
             | 
             | But on another level, the analogy doesn't work, as finding
             | synths is more an eng problem. You don't have to understand
             | why a synth works, for it to work...which is often the
             | case. And the theories about why that was allowed by
             | enthalpy or catalysis or whatever are often evolved over
             | time. Whereas theory building is more focused on having a
             | why that might bring insight.
             | 
             | I think your main problem here is the false dichotomy you
             | see with "work backwards from data to solve the
             | constraints" and "this doesn't validate it in any way". In
             | fact, in the world of theories, fitting the data, is a
             | pretty fucking great validation hahaha! :) But I do get the
             | sense you are expressing about the futility, which I think
             | is real, but just not the whole picture.
             | 
             | > The great theories of 20th century physics were
             | empirically validated almost immediately. Even their
             | thought experiments were subjected to intense scrutiny and
             | debate. Now those theories are fodder for engineers who
             | tinker with material devices like MRI machines.
             | 
             |  _almost immediately_ : is inaccurate. Theories can make
             | many predictions, and some of GR and SR were only validated
             | recently.
             | 
             | I guess you can say that our measuring ability has not
             | caught up to our theorizing or mathematical ability. Which
             | is regrettable, but not a condemnation of the theories, as
             | you seem to think.
             | 
             | I get the impression you advance that modern physics is in
             | the business of producing time wasting untestable theories.
             | Which is a fair enough take. I just think there's more
             | nuance there, and you risk maligning a good theory, with
             | this broad stroke.
             | 
             | > How do you reconcile this with the frame-dragging effect?
             | Namely, in that it shows that the distribution and movement
             | of mass (not just the presence of mass/entropy) can
             | influence the curvature of spacetime and thereby
             | gravitational effects.
             | 
             | I don't see that it contradicts it, so it may not be the
             | best counter example. The movement or spin of the mass that
             | induces frame-dragging can be considered information as
             | well.
             | 
             | > Information is degraded over time; the universe will
             | eventually contain zero useful information content ("heat
             | death") and will then be modellable as a homogeneous space
             | subject to statistical fluctuation.
             | 
             | I know that's the model, but what if it's inaccurate/only a
             | part of the picture? What if the information is elsewhere
             | and we don't know how to measure it? There's precedent for
             | that: there's information in quantum states that was not
             | known to exist or be measurable before quantum theory.
        
               | AnimalMuppet wrote:
               | Without some specific idea of "elsewhere", that idea is
               | in the "not even wrong" category.
        
               | keepamovin wrote:
               | > Without some specific idea of "elsewhere", that idea is
               | in the "not even wrong" category.
               | 
               | Which idea?
               | 
               | Also, based on _what_ is to-be-specified idea in the not
               | even wrong category? [By which I guess you mean you think
               | it 's so wrong that you cannot even dignify telling me
               | why it's wrong? haha! :) Novel sly-arrogant/humble-brag
               | appeal-to-authority, I'll give you that! Because your
               | understanding is so above everyone else's you couldn't
               | explain it or we wouldn't get it? Haha! :)]
               | 
               |  _Also_ , finally, pray tell what do you mean by
               | "elsewhere" ? Hahahaha! :)
               | 
               | I'll check back tomorrow, I'm off now
        
               | AnimalMuppet wrote:
               | Which idea? You seem to have heavily edited your post
               | after I replied; I remember it as being much shorter. I
               | specifically meant
               | 
               | > I know that's the model, but what if it's
               | inaccurate/only a part of the picture? What if the
               | information is elsewhere and we don't know how to measure
               | it?
               | 
               | "What if the information is elsewhere"... well, there's a
               | _lot_ of possible elsewheres. Without some kind of
               | specifics, that 's "not even wrong", not because I'm so
               | much smarter than you or so much more of an expert, but
               | because there's nothing there to let anyone be able to
               | determine whether it's right or wrong.
               | 
               | By "elsewhere", I mean the word that you used. What did
               | _you_ mean by that word? Without a specific, you 've got
               | something that sounds like stoner physics: "Dude, what
               | if, like, the information is, like, still there, man?
               | What if it just, like, went elsewhere, man?" That's not
               | something that we intelligently interact with. You
               | introduced the word; what did _you_ mean?
               | 
               | But... What if dark matter _is_ the  "elsewhere"? (No, I
               | don't have any idea how that would work. Nor do I
               | necessarily think that this is a sane idea. But it's a
               | candidate for "elsewhere" that kind of seems to fit with
               | the course of the discussion.)
        
               | A_D_E_P_T wrote:
               | > _Again I think you 're missing the point. There's many
               | ways in which you can construct theories on any topic.
               | They're all just models: which can be seen by how these
               | models often evolve over time, and yet were at each time
               | seen as fairly valid. This is true in all the sciences,
               | and is inherent to science. You make like that's a
               | criticism of modern physics only, but I think it's more
               | an effect of the point below about measurement._
               | 
               | In science, as opposed to theology, the models in
               | themselves are of no use until they're validated.
               | 
               | Hence the motto of the Royal Society: _Nullius in verba._
               | One expects more than words -- one expects experimental
               | showings, or the reasonable expectation of an
               | experimental showing in the very near future. 20th
               | century physics, in the main, had this. It is the
               | cornerstone of all other disciplines.
               | 
               | > _in any way: I think this is a mischaracterization.
               | Fitting with the data is a validation in some way._
               | 
               | "In some way" is doing a lot of work there. How many
               | potential fittings from cosmological data are there?
               | 1000? 10^10? 10^500? Do you know?
               | 
               | > _That 's the thing. These synths look like they work,
               | on paper. The groups and charges move around right, but
               | they don't actually work, which contradicts your point
               | that you can't devise a large number of plausible
               | alternatives in chem._
               | 
               | What are you talking about? You can come up with any
               | number of theoretical retrosyntheses that _do_ work, but
               | are unwieldy, impractical, or can 't be validated for any
               | number of reasons -- lack of reagents or intermediates,
               | etc.
               | 
               | You can derive any number of plausible processes. Nobody
               | does that, though, because one is expected to do more --
               | to come up with something that runs, and ideally to run
               | it and report how it works, with yield rates and so
               | forth.
               | 
               | Similarly, I don't think that the paper in OP has
               | constructed something that runs. It is mere backwards-
               | fitting to cosmological data. The more interesting
               | question, as I've noted, is _how many_ such things are
               | possible.
        
               | Kamq wrote:
               | > I think your main problem here is the false dichotomy
               | you see with "work backwards from data to solve the
               | constraints" and "this doesn't validate it in any way".
               | In fact, in the world of theories, fitting the data, is a
               | pretty fucking great validation hahaha! :) But I do get
               | the sense you are expressing about the futility, which I
               | think is real, but just not the whole picture.
               | 
               | I think your main problem is that you only read half of
               | the comment you responded to.
               | 
               | It has two parts:
               | 
               | > There's something distinctly unsatisfying about this
               | sort of paper, because the number of potential solutions
               | to the problem they're trying to solve is in principle
               | vast, and you can arrive at any number of them if you
               | laboriously work backwards and fit your equations to the
               | data.
               | 
               | Which you've adequately responded to. But it also has:
               | 
               | > Without very rigorous efforts towards empirical
               | validation, in novel ways if required, this sort of thing
               | is just another wholly speculative theory to add to the
               | large and growing pile.
               | 
               | Which you haven't.
               | 
               | Taken together, the parts are obviously talking about a
               | class of theory that is fit to data AND does not bother
               | checking the theory against other data or making
               | predictions in reality.
               | 
               | Your examples of theories that evolve don't seem
               | relevant, as they're evolving because people made efforts
               | to test the theory out and account for unexpected results
               | (or, at the very least, look at datasets that weren't the
               | ones that the theory was specifically designed to account
               | for).
        
             | gnramires wrote:
             | > How do you reconcile this with the frame-dragging effect?
             | Namely, in that it shows that the distribution and movement
             | of mass (not just the presence of mass/entropy) can
             | influence the curvature of spacetime and thereby
             | gravitational effects.
             | 
             | If gravity is somehow caused by something like information
             | flow, then a rotating body has an associated rotating flow
             | of information related to the rotating atoms/microscopic
             | degrees of freedom observable at distance. This might have
             | an effect making it distinct from a non-rotating body.
             | 
             | I believe the gradient of a flow field is a tensor, giving
             | gravity tensorial effects as expected.
        
           | tigerlily wrote:
           | > I wonder if a "time" or "age" factor could be needed in
           | revised calculations of gravity ...
           | 
           | There's a cosmological theory out there that does this,
           | dubbed the _Timescape_ cosmology, and you can read all about
           | it on the theorist 's university research webpage:
           | http://www2.phys.canterbury.ac.nz/~dlw24/
           | 
           | Clarkson-Bassett-Lu test of the Friedmann equation is
           | proposed as a test of this model, using data from the
           | recently launched Euclid satellite:
           | 
           | http://www2.phys.canterbury.ac.nz/~dlw24/universe/wager.html
        
       | josh-sematic wrote:
       | Note that this isn't a "get out of dark matter free" card, as
       | there are clear signatures of dark matter in the cosmic microwave
       | background. https://physicsworld.com/a/dark-energy-spotted-in-
       | the-cosmic...
        
         | willis936 wrote:
         | Only if we've constrained ourselves to take inflation as true.
        
           | Vecr wrote:
           | Inflation in what era? There has to have been some inflation
           | at some point, right, otherwise how could the very hot period
           | that's considered to be right after the start of the universe
           | be low entropy? Sure, maybe you could say there's no big bang
           | and time runs the other way on the other side of that low
           | entropy state, but there has to be some sort of low entropy
           | state.
        
             | tsimionescu wrote:
             | It could be that it is actually not low entropy, and there
             | are some other processes that explain a recution in entropy
             | at some scale. That is, maybe the second law of
             | thermodynamics is not that universal.
        
               | Vecr wrote:
               | That would be really weird. I'd be more willing to buy
               | galaxies just coming into existence somehow in the gaps
               | as the universe expands, as that at least drives the
               | arrow of time consistently in the right direction.
               | 
               | The arrow of time _can_ survive local entropy reduction,
               | but probably not what you 're talking about.
        
         | chongli wrote:
         | Yes and also in gravitational lensing. The most famous example
         | of this is the Bullet Cluster [1], which displays a pattern of
         | lensing that doesn't line up with the distribution of light
         | (visible matter) but does line up with where we might expect
         | dark matter to end up after a collision.
         | 
         | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bullet_Cluster
        
         | a_gnostic wrote:
         | Could we infer these effects to be from an average distribution
         | of matter across multiversal spacetime, and how would we test
         | for that?
        
         | raattgift wrote:
         | From the preprint link at the top's page 6, after Eqn (23):
         | "While this study demonstrates that galactic rotation curves
         | can undergo modification due to stochastic fluctuations, a
         | phenomenon attributed to dark matter, it is important to
         | acknowledge the existence of separate, independent evidence
         | supporting LCDM. In particular, in the CMB power spectrum, in
         | gravitational lensing, in the necessity of dark matter for
         | structure formation, and in a varied collection of other
         | methods used to estimate the mass in galaxies. These now form
         | an important set of tools with which to test [our] theory".
         | 
         | Other lines of evidence like the one at your link just increase
         | the ability to test their theory (which is meant to solve some
         | quantum gravity problems at very small length scales) at very
         | large length scales.
         | 
         | They are not motivated by the desire to prove MOND is correct
         | or that cold dark matter doesn't exist. Rather they can show
         | that in certain restricted circumstances their theory allows
         | for nearly-MOND-like orbits. So their theory survives a small
         | but important hurdle imposed by our observations of nature (we
         | observe MOND-like orbits).
         | 
         | Elsewhere in the comments someone asked the good question of
         | (highly paraphrasing) whether this success is wiped out if a
         | distribution of dark matter is added to their SdS-like universe
         | as the generator of some of the observations normally taken as
         | proof of \Lambda-CDM. That question is closely related to the
         | final sentence in the quote above, and answers are hard to
         | guess at.
        
       | nabla9 wrote:
       | >"explain galactic rotation curves without needing to evoke dark
       | matter."
       | 
       | I wonder if this makes it incompatible with dark matter? If
       | stochastic spacetime explains the rotation curves exactly without
       | black matter, then black matter can't exist at the same time.
       | 
       | The evidence for dark matter is find in, galaxy rotation curves,
       | gravitational lensing, cosmic microwave background, structure
       | formation, bullet cluster and other galaxy cluster collisions,
       | baryon acoustic oscillations, Lyman-alpha forest absorption
       | lines, etc.
       | 
       | There is plenty of evidence for dark matter and it's existence is
       | widely accepted. Explaining just one piece of evidence can be
       | evidence against the new explanation if it's incompatible.
        
         | raattgift wrote:
         | > Can dark matter and [the author's theory of gravitation] fit
         | together...?
         | 
         | Nobody knows yet. The authors aren't seeking to overthrow the
         | concordance cosmology; this paper is essentially trying to see
         | if their theory is quickly killed by being unable to model a
         | _stable_ spherically symmetric galaxy in an expanding universe.
         | Their theory predicts significant differences from the
         | Schwarzschild-de Sitter (SdS) metric in General Relativity,
         | with SdS serving as a proxy for an isolated galaxy. The paper
         | in part investigates whether those differences can be  "hidden"
         | by removing the cold dark matter which otherwise would be the
         | standard source of outer orbit anomalies.
         | 
         | They don't go deeper than that, and at this stage just can't:
         | "To make it tractable analytically, we have restricted
         | ourselves to spherically symmetric and static spacetimes". They
         | restrict themselves in other ways too.
         | 
         | > The evidence for dark matter
         | 
         | From just after Eqn (23) in the preprint:
         | 
         | "While this study demonstrates that galactic rotation curves
         | can undergo modification due to stochastic fluctuations, a
         | phenomenon attributed to dark matter, it is important to
         | acknowledge the existence of separate, independent evidence
         | supporting LCDM. In particular, in the CMB power spectrum, in
         | gravitational lensing, in the necessity of dark matter for
         | structure formation, and in a varied collection of other
         | methods used to estimate the mass in galaxies"
        
           | nabla9 wrote:
           | If stochastic spacetime explains the rotation curves exactly
           | without black matter, then how black matter can't exist at
           | the same time?
        
             | raattgift wrote:
             | It doesn't explain the rotation curves of galaxies at all,
             | and doesn't try to.
             | 
             | It takes a simple proxy for an isolated galaxy and sees if
             | there are physically reasonable orbits around it. MOND-like
             | orbits are physically reasonable (we observe them). The
             | authors' model allows for _almost_ MOND-like orbits.
             | 
             | The explanation for why these MOND-like orbits exist will
             | vary. In the standard cosmology, it's because of a
             | distribution of cold dark matter around the central mass.
             | In MOND, it's because the strength of Newtonian gravitation
             | falls off at great range from the central mass. In the
             | theory discussed above it's because the central mass
             | induces fluctuations in the gravitational field that grow
             | in relevance with distance from the central mass, and in a
             | particular range of radial distances those fluctuations are
             | most likely to drop the orbiting body onto a closer orbit.
        
       | _obviously wrote:
       | Not only was Einstein wrong, he set us back over a hundred years.
       | Special Relativity employs linear algebra for reference frames
       | and Lorentz transformations. General Relativity relies on
       | differential geometry and tensors to describe spacetime
       | curvature. These areas of math have been rigorously tested and
       | have shown his theories are wildly out of sync with reality.
        
         | clysm wrote:
         | The fuck... I can't believe what I've just read. That's like
         | saying Newton set us back over a hundred years.
         | 
         | There was no regression because of Einstein.
        
           | _obviously wrote:
           | Only in the same way a troll might bait someone into
           | providing the real answer by being wrong. There's some
           | relationship between energy and mass, why Einstein has any
           | credit for that insight is beyond me.
        
           | oneshtein wrote:
           | Mainstream theories are so good that they dwarfed
           | competition. Lack of competition caused lack of progress. It
           | was easy to collect hundreds of downvotes on HN just by
           | talking about alternative theories or about physical
           | representation of abstract theories. Now such comments will
           | collect mere dozens of downvotes. It also should be obvious
           | that a new successful theory will account for more things, so
           | it will be much more complex than previous theories.
        
         | AnimalMuppet wrote:
         | Yeah, um... if you're going to claim something like that, you
         | need more than the claim. What evidence do you see for your
         | position? What evidence can you give us so that _we_ can
         | evaluate your position?
        
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