[HN Gopher] Superconductivity scandal: the story of deception in...
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       Superconductivity scandal: the story of deception in a physics lab
        
       Author : rntn
       Score  : 93 points
       Date   : 2024-03-08 15:46 UTC (7 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.nature.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.nature.com)
        
       | wnevets wrote:
       | IIRC people assumed it was a mistake when the claimed turned out
       | to be false I didn't realize he was a career conman.
        
       | dotnet00 wrote:
       | In case others are coming into this thinking about LK-99, the
       | article isn't about that.
       | 
       | I had figured the LK-99 team might actually have something
       | interesting considering that they were promising a proper
       | presentation of their work at the American Physical Society. I
       | had heard it had been withdrawn and wrote it off as another case
       | of academic fraud, but looking it up right now, apparently it's
       | weirder than that.
       | 
       | Someone pretended to be the corresponding author and submitted a
       | withdrawal, but this was fixed and the conference the
       | presentation is at should be happening around these days.
        
         | DarmokJalad1701 wrote:
         | It already happened a few days ago (March 4th). They showed
         | more results, but nothing ground-breaking. There is another
         | group that is also replicating the results and publishing
         | results (SCT Lab or something). Their paper is currently
         | pending.
        
         | adastra22 wrote:
         | LK-99 is interesting because it really is like another example
         | of cold fusion.
         | 
         | And I don't mean what you probably infer from that. If you look
         | into the way that hydrogen adsorbs into a platinum lattice, and
         | how phonon resonance modes can induce tremendous crushing
         | forces on anything between two platinum atoms, cold fusion
         | actually looks quite plausible. It's not like perpetual motion
         | --there's a clear possible mechanism for it which is
         | surprisingly fully compatible with the laws of physics as we
         | understand them. That said, Pons and Fleischmann rushed
         | publication on shoddy data, making a mockery of themselves and
         | causing cold fusion to become an untouchable subject no one
         | would go near a generation later due to perceived guilt by
         | association.
         | 
         | The theory behind LK-99 is pretty solid. The linear structure
         | of these apatite compounds create chains of conductive electron
         | bands that in theory might have sufficient band gaps to enable
         | superconductivity. If you could get atomic precision in the
         | copper/lead alternating pattern that creates those stresses.
         | However I fear any research into room-temperature linear
         | superconductors will now be as taboo as cold fusion.
        
           | worik wrote:
           | > That said, Pons and Fleischmann rushed publication on
           | shoddy data, making a mockery of themselves and causing cold
           | fusion to become an untouchable subject no one would go near
           | a generation later
           | 
           | Yes, they were shoddy
           | 
           | But no, the field was swamped within weeks with people trying
           | to replicate it. It has lost its luster, and become a parody,
           | but that is because it was wrong
           | 
           | It took a decade for the excitement to die down
        
       | 1024core wrote:
       | "Publish or perish" takes yet another victim.
        
         | Simulacra wrote:
         | It could be worse than that. How did he get into the program in
         | the first place should be examined.
        
       | fifnir wrote:
       | How amazing is it to read all this on nature itself, the journal
       | whose peer-review method failed again and again.
        
         | semi-extrinsic wrote:
         | Fun fact: Nature used to publish papers without any peer review
         | whatsoever right up to the mid-60s. The selection was based on
         | what the editors thought was interesting or provocative.
         | 
         | Legend has it that the submissions tracking system consisted of
         | a particularly wide windowsill, in which the submitted
         | manuscripts were stacked up in piles for each month.
        
         | pfisherman wrote:
         | Nature and Science are kind like the tabloids of scientific
         | publishing. Legitimate news mixed with unsubstantiated gossip;
         | all with a high "sexiness" factor that draws attention and
         | moves copy.
        
         | dsign wrote:
         | Exactly. It's bad motivations all the way:
         | 
         | - Nature published a paper twice after the reviewers voted
         | "no". Of course, it is not a voting process, the editor makes
         | their decision. But evidently the editor didn't use the
         | referee's input for that decision. That input, must I say, is
         | free work that academics do for the journal. Click-baitiness
         | simply weighted more to the editor and her supervisors. People
         | should just stop paying attention to what Nature publishes.
         | 
         | - The students... I think this is the worst part of the story.
         | Sometimes, students are on a student visa that depends on them
         | holding for dear life to their university position. Been there,
         | done that. I remember when I did my PhD: four to five
         | international students--very well prepared I must say--to one
         | from the host country. The ones from the host country were the
         | ones with the best soft skills but they rarely put the long
         | hours. I'll never forget that Iranian student who was a
         | political refugee passing as a PhD student, because she
         | couldn't bear the indignity of an asylum process. She couldn't
         | return to her home country either.
         | 
         | - The replication...For the first retraction, I could find
         | nowhere in the article that replication attempts were made. If
         | those replication attempts were impossible to produce with the
         | data published in the article itself, then its not a scientific
         | paper, but a promotional brochure. In fact, some promotional
         | materials are more extensive than Nature's articles; they
         | really want to make the thing very short and academics are
         | forced to jump through hoops to condense their publications,
         | until they are practically impossible to understand, not to
         | mention replicate. Again, the only solution to that problem is
         | to ignore Nature.
        
           | araes wrote:
           | The people writing the Nature article did not seem to notice
           | the issue. The third part especially was what was occurring
           | to me while reading.
           | 
           | The LK-99 paper, lots of attempts at replicating the results.
           | Crazy quick. Like front-running the published results.
           | 
           | These results, like people never even had the thought to try,
           | and it devolved into arguing sampling issues rather than just
           | trying the material.
           | 
           | There is some certain sub-segment of humanity that often
           | feels that way. Like 8B humans will all bend over backward to
           | let them get away with almost anything. Totally abandon all
           | normal procedures, safety checks, laws, replication,
           | validation, ...
        
           | londons_explore wrote:
           | Nature should simply require the main article be short and
           | snappy, but then put all the details needed for a replication
           | in an online-only appendix.
        
         | autoexec wrote:
         | For all the problems that Nature (and science in general) has,
         | and while I'm sure this incident will be used by some as
         | "evidence" that we shouldn't trust in science, ultimately this
         | incident was another win for science. It should have happened
         | much much sooner, but in the end, the truth was found and the
         | record corrected. That's exactly the result we want.
         | 
         | I appreciate that Nature's news team is willing to publish
         | information about Nature's massively embarrassing failure to do
         | their job reviewing the paper, and I hope they mean it when
         | they say "We are looking at this case carefully to see what
         | lessons can be learnt for the future."
        
           | dudeinjapan wrote:
           | It's a "win" for science in the sense that the truth was
           | finally revealed.
           | 
           | It's "loss" in the sense that our truth determining apparatus
           | (e.g. peer review) appears to be highly unreliable, and a
           | massive, unquantified amount of bullshit research has already
           | passed it and is actively being used as a foundation for
           | subsequent research.
        
             | dekhn wrote:
             | Realistically, we can't reduce false positives to
             | absolutely zero without giving up on some True Positives
             | (sensitivity/specificity tradeoff).
             | 
             | Nature intentionally plays loose with potentially world-
             | changing discoveries. It probably makes sense to have some
             | journals that publish with fairly high rates of (post-hoc
             | determined) false positives, simply to move the fields
             | forward more quickly.
        
           | worik wrote:
           | > and while I'm sure this incident will be used by some as
           | "evidence" that we shouldn't trust in science
           | 
           | How else can it be interpreted?
           | 
           | Most fraud uncovered has been careless. So the fastidious
           | fraudsters are flying high?
           | 
           | That would be the logical conclusion
           | 
           | Science needs to win its credibility back, not claim this is
           | "...[a] win for science."
           | 
           | Science needs to be realistic about its decaying social
           | license
        
       | perihelions wrote:
       | - _" 203 K (70 degC)"_
       | 
       | 203 K is -70 degC, not +70 degC
        
         | evilduck wrote:
         | Maybe the author was an accountant?
        
           | wyldfire wrote:
           | Wouldn't they put ((70 degC)) in that case?
        
             | dekhn wrote:
             | no, they write it in red
        
       | levocardia wrote:
       | >Students say that Dias gave them an ultimatum: remove their
       | names, or let him send the draft. Despite their worries, the
       | students say they had no choice but to acquiesce. "I just
       | remember being very intimidated," one student says. The student
       | says they regret not speaking up more to Dias. "But it's scary at
       | the time. What if I do and he makes the rest of my life
       | miserable?"
       | 
       | Indeed it _is_ scary, because as a student your PI _can_ in fact
       | ruin your life and ruin your career, without much recourse in
       | most cases. This behind-the-scenes is a good insight into the bad
       | incentives and lack of accountability for PIs in academic
       | research. I suspect this kind of thing happens all the time in
       | smaller fields, and never gets discovered because it 's not a
       | headline-grabbing topic like room-temp superconductivity.
       | 
       | I had a bioengineering PhD friend who said she spotted obviously
       | fraudulent papers all the time in her field--publications
       | claiming they grew such-and-such bacteria in so-and-so medium,
       | when she knew damn well that said bacteria _cannot_ grow in said
       | medium.
        
         | jcranmer wrote:
         | Yep, when I was reading this article, as I kept hearing about
         | what Dias was doing to his students, I was getting ready to
         | throttle him.
         | 
         | The students here didn't really do anything wrong, but Dias
         | used his position of authority to essentially blackmail the
         | students into becoming complicit in fraud, and attempted to
         | justify it essentially with an "everybody does it" excuse.
         | Kudos to them for taking the initiative to retract their paper
         | over the head of their PI! That takes a lot of courage, given
         | the immense powers an advisor holds over their students.
        
         | strangattractor wrote:
         | > Soon after the CSH paper was published, Jorge Hirsch, a
         | condensed-matter theorist at the University of California, San
         | Diego, began pressing Dias to release the raw magnetic-
         | susceptibility data, which were not included in the paper. More
         | than a year later, Dias and Salamat finally made the raw data
         | public.
         | 
         | Explain to me why Nature would publish a paper without having
         | access to/requiring the data. Could it be Nature wanted to be
         | the first to publish such a ground breaking discovery?
         | Dishonest people are simply a fact of life. The entire point -
         | supposedly - of peer review is to insure that scientist do not
         | make unsubstantiated claims. Job well done Nature. Job well
         | done.
        
           | tornato7 wrote:
           | I would like it noted that I had Jorge Hirsch as a professor
           | many years ago, and his grading was _extremely_ harsh - you
           | needed to be flawless at showing your work, not just getting
           | the right answer. I remember getting a 14% on one of his
           | tests, the worst score I ever got on any test in my life. It
           | turned out to be a B+ after the curve was applied.
           | 
           | Hence, it doesn't surprise me at all to see that he was the
           | one to call out Dias. Some things never change!
        
           | 0cf8612b2e1e wrote:
           | Peer review is not designed to detect fraud. It is meant to
           | improve the quality of work, by giving a publication a fresh
           | set of eyes who might identify gaps in the original research.
        
             | strangattractor wrote:
             | Not having data is quite a significant gap.
             | 
             | BTW: I am not criticizing the actual reviewer of the paper.
             | Data availability should be a policy of the journal and
             | required for publication. How can you improve quality
             | without access to the data? In this instance requiring data
             | would have likely prevented the paper from even reaching
             | peer review and wasting a busy individuals time.
        
               | 0cf8612b2e1e wrote:
               | That was one particular dataset being requested. There
               | are near infinite ways to characterize a material, and
               | even the best lab is only going to have the time,
               | resources, and expertise to collect and present some of
               | them.
               | 
               | I am not in the field, so I cannot comment on the
               | specific relevance of the request, but in my area, there
               | are absolutely some mandatory data inclusions which
               | should block a paper from being published. Presumably
               | this was not on that list.
        
               | strangattractor wrote:
               | There are numerous ways to embargo data and make it
               | available to reviewers before publication and to the
               | public after publication. [1] This isn't a new idea. They
               | simply did not do it.
               | 
               | Nature is a "premier journal" known for publishing
               | cutting edge research. Any data - in this case a bunch of
               | numbers - used to support the conclusion should be made
               | available. I am sure there are disciplines where the
               | evidence would be difficult to provide directly -
               | fossils, physical items etc. Maybe this PI did the
               | experiment himself - thought he won a Noble - only to
               | find he could not in fact reproduce the results after
               | publication - oops. IMO Nature did not do its job. Just
               | pointing that out.
               | 
               | [1] https://plos.org/resource/how-to-store-and-manage-
               | your-data/
        
               | BeetleB wrote:
               | > Not having data is quite a significant gap.
               | 
               | Requiring (raw) data is relatively new, and is only in a
               | few fields. For most of the history of peer review data
               | was not required. In fact, none of the PIs I worked in
               | during grad school would ever agree to releasing the raw
               | data. I'm pretty sure they're still not in most of
               | physics.
               | 
               | IMO, it's reasonable to require it, but understand that
               | this is a relatively new requirement and not part of peer
               | review culture.
        
               | worik wrote:
               | > Requiring (raw) data is relatively new, and is only in
               | a few fields.
               | 
               | That on its own is scandalous
               | 
               | I was reading of the "reproducibility crisis", in
               | computing, in the nineties
               | 
               | Science still wants to be the warm friendly club, whilst
               | playing competitively for high personal stakes.
               | 
               | Cannot be both. Fraud, deliberately cynical fraud and
               | hopeful naive fraud, has been rampant for decades
               | 
               | The journals benefit directly and seem to be utterly
               | complicit. The system is dreadfully broken
               | 
               | Nobody should wonder why people do not trust science
        
           | dekhn wrote:
           | Nature very specifically wants to be the venue where the most
           | important and impactful discoveries are first reported, and
           | they tolerate a very high false positive rate to achieve it.
           | Quick, light peer review is part of that process.
           | 
           | We always joked that if you read it in Nature, it was certain
           | to be wrong, but realistically, it meant that the topic was
           | likely an important one with a small number of competitive
           | groups who could all evaluate each other's papers and will
           | loudly complain about every inconsistency or irreproducible
           | detail.
        
         | araes wrote:
         | Rather common question on Academia StackExchange for exactly
         | the scary reasons mentioned. Almost every time, the rational is
         | something close to "my professor will ruin my life if I don't
         | do what they say."
         | 
         | My own research is creepy and I want to leave (except my
         | professor will ruin me):
         | https://academia.stackexchange.com/questions/67897/i-dont-wa...
         | 
         | My professor is using us to rig the IEEE elections (except
         | afraid of losing scholarship and grad courses):
         | https://academia.stackexchange.com/questions/69486/what-shou...
         | 
         | My professor is rigging nanotechnology data and plagiarizing
         | (except I don't stand a chance against him):
         | https://academia.stackexchange.com/questions/31265/my-profes...
        
           | paulddraper wrote:
           | That's unfortunate.
           | 
           | There are bad professors in academia just like there are bad
           | bosses in industry.
           | 
           | Hopefully anyone with bad ones will find better ones.
        
             | halfdan wrote:
             | The big problem in academia very often is that you cannot
             | simply take your research and finish your PhD elsewhere.
             | With jobs you mostly can switch without losing much.
             | Obviously depends on the situation.
        
               | paulddraper wrote:
               | > With jobs you mostly can switch without losing much
               | 
               | Seniority, bonuses, equity vesting, resume damage
        
               | BeetleB wrote:
               | > Seniority, bonuses, equity vesting, resume damage
               | 
               | Relatively minor. Most senior people I know who leave
               | with bad blood end up with equally senior roles, and
               | often "fail upwards" to even more senior roles in another
               | company.
               | 
               | Bonuses/Vesting: Very common to get good vesting at a new
               | company to make up for what you're losing. Of the people
               | I know who've moved, it's the exception that didn't get
               | decent replacement for vesting.
               | 
               | Resume damage: What? Person spent 4 years at a company
               | and left. What resume damage? Your experience still
               | counts.
               | 
               | Contrast with a PhD who leaves in the middle of a
               | program: The years he spent are 0. Generally, the
               | experience/knowledge accumulated is not factored into it
               | when he applies elsewhere for a PhD - unless he has some
               | fantastic publication.
               | 
               | Still, this is the _good_ outcome - I 've often seen
               | students leave an advisor or school and succeed
               | elsewhere. The real danger is when you get your PhD and
               | the advisor will not write letters of recommendation.
               | Unless you've made some really special connections, it
               | means your academic career is over. You won't get a post
               | doc. You won't get an academic position. You won't get
               | into a national lab. And depending on your field, you
               | won't get a research position in industry either.
               | 
               | In the industry, no boss has that power.
        
             | bsder wrote:
             | Yeah, that doesn't work.
             | 
             | Once you are in a PhD program you are locked in for 5+
             | years. It's almost as bad as the green card timeline.
        
           | worik wrote:
           | Those are terrifying
           | 
           | What a mess.
           | 
           | After the "metrics" revolution we started to measure and
           | incentivise everything. It has not worked well for science.
        
         | stared wrote:
         | People in the industry think that doctoral advisors are
         | something like bosses in companies. They aren't. A Ph.D. is an
         | all-or-nothing experience. When leaving on bad terms, you not
         | only lose a few years of your life, but it is likely to ruin
         | your career. With very competitive hires, an anti-
         | recommendation might be a kiss of death.
         | 
         | Sometimes, this power balance pushes people over the edge.
         | There is a case of a PhD student who, after a struggle with his
         | PI wanting him to publish fraudulent results, had a breakdown
         | and took his own life. https://huixiangvoice.medium.com/the-
         | hidden-story-behind-the...
        
           | cma wrote:
           | For foreign PhD students their kids can be ripped out of
           | school and they and their family deported if they can't get
           | another advisor within 30-60 days depending on the visa.
        
             | BeetleB wrote:
             | Nope. A student's ability to stay in the US (along with his
             | dependents) is by remaining a student at the university
             | (i.e. registering for a full time load each semester).
             | They're not dependent on whether they have
             | funding/assistantship, or whether they have an advisor.
        
       | rwmj wrote:
       | Surely with something as concrete as a substance, you accept the
       | paper to give it a priority date, and then you wait on
       | publication until an independent lab has verified the claimed
       | properties? It either is or it isn't a room-temperature
       | superconductor.
       | 
       | Of all the problems in science, this seems like one of the easier
       | ones to fix.
        
         | dotnet00 wrote:
         | Who's going to pay for the independent replication, especially
         | if the result hasn't been published? Peer review is done for
         | free because it's relatively less effort compared to a
         | replication, and even then it's only barely tolerable.
        
           | rwmj wrote:
           | There's a big dispute about who pays the cost of publishing
           | papers these days, so throw it in that bucket.
        
             | dotnet00 wrote:
             | It costs a lot less to publish a paper compared to
             | replicating a study.
        
               | rwmj wrote:
               | I didn't say replicate the study, I said test if the
               | material is a superconductor, which isn't nearly as
               | difficult.
        
               | dotnet00 wrote:
               | That is replicating the study when the study is about the
               | superconducting properties of a material.
               | 
               | I think the LK-99 thing made it pretty clear that it is
               | pretty difficult to do, there are lots of variables and
               | lots of things that need to be ruled out to prove that
               | something is superconducting.
        
               | rwmj wrote:
               | What are you talking about? Dias claimed to have measured
               | the properties of the material he had made. The material
               | exists, who needs to replicate anything? Send the
               | material that was made to a lab where they'll probe it
               | with a multimeter and wave a magnet at it. (I bet the
               | reviewers of the paper could do this actually.)
        
       | fabian2k wrote:
       | Showing your co-authors the manuscript for the first time a few
       | hours before you submit it to Nature is not how it's done, not at
       | all. That is really unusual and a giant red flag, though the PhD
       | students were probably not experienced enough to judge just how
       | weird this was. And I could imagine that in that field the PI
       | could convince them e.g. by stating they wanted to avoid getting
       | scooped or something like that.
        
       | bluenose69 wrote:
       | Also, an analysis shows that Dias' thesis was largely (21
       | percent) plagiarized [1, 2].
       | 
       | 1. https://www.science.org/content/article/plagiarism-
       | allegatio...
       | 
       | 2.
       | https://www.science.org/do/10.1126/science.adi2603/full/dias...
        
       | lykahb wrote:
       | What is the point of fabricating data here? An extraordinary
       | claim about room-temperature superconductivity is going to
       | receive a lot of scrutiny that it wouldn't stand. It's not an
       | average publication made to pad up the H index and meet the dept
       | requirements.
        
       | WalterBright wrote:
       | How did anyone think the deception wouldn't be promptly found
       | out? Too many people would rush to replicate it.
        
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