[HN Gopher] Why it's so challenging to land upright on the moon
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Why it's so challenging to land upright on the moon
        
       Author : Brajeshwar
       Score  : 86 points
       Date   : 2024-03-04 15:46 UTC (7 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.nytimes.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.nytimes.com)
        
       | huytersd wrote:
       | I don't even think it should be called a successful landing
       | unless you're upright on the moon.
        
         | ck2 wrote:
         | Airbag crash/roll would be valid as long as the lander self-
         | corrects and uprights itself afterwards?
         | 
         | Seems like that would save a lot of fuel too if you don't care
         | how you come down, just not too incredibly fast.
         | 
         | (wasn't there a Mars landing like that)
        
           | huytersd wrote:
           | Let's just say unless the intended thing happens, it's a
           | failure.
        
           | stevage wrote:
           | Quite a few mars missions like that. They used aerobraking
           | first though.
        
         | 0_____0 wrote:
         | The aviators might say - a good landing is one you walk away
         | from.
         | 
         | How exactly do you define a successful landing? What if you're
         | upright but all four legs collapsed and the spacecraft crushed
         | your primary science payload?
        
           | electroly wrote:
           | A _great_ landing is when you can use the plane again
           | afterwards.
        
           | ta1243 wrote:
           | "Walk away from" would be "Primary payload can function (or
           | at least not fail because of an action of the lander)"
        
         | luxuryballs wrote:
         | true all you did was crash into the moon
        
       | neonate wrote:
       | https://archive.ph/Nkucd
        
       | amelius wrote:
       | Waiting for a HNer to post a JavaScript based simulation game
       | illustrating the difficulty.
        
         | handedness wrote:
         | https://ehmorris.com/lander/
        
           | hathawsh wrote:
           | Oh my goodness this is gold. I've never had so much fun
           | failing.
        
           | ViewTrick1002 wrote:
           | Felt completely intuitive. All hours playing Kerbal Space
           | Program re-loading the last save after crashing into the
           | surface paying off....
        
             | blharr wrote:
             | If it's too easy, try doing a couple flips for more points
        
               | hoten wrote:
               | If it's too hard, just do many dozens of flips as you try
               | to race away from the surface.
        
           | super256 wrote:
           | There is this experiment in OpenAI Gym to land a spacecraft
           | via reinforcement learning. Is reinforcement learning
           | actually working for this, and are such models deployed to
           | real rockets, instead of "hardcoded" math?
           | 
           | https://gymnasium.farama.org/environments/box2d/lunar_lander.
           | ..
        
         | nickthegreek wrote:
         | I was thinking, I dunno.. I use to set that lander down on the
         | time as a kid!
        
       | ck2 wrote:
       | Maybe before sending lots of landers we should build a moon GPS
       | system for guiding to a precise safe landing spot?
       | 
       | But it also occurs to me and therefore probably the actual
       | engineers they should be throwing these landers out of an
       | airplane over a rough, rocky earth desert many times before
       | trying the moon?
        
         | mecsred wrote:
         | If they could get the budget to build a few extra multi million
         | dollar spacecraft and throw them in the sand they absolutely
         | would. Unfortunately all management gave us were these
         | cardboard boxes with a lander drawn on them in sharpie so we'll
         | have to use our imagination.
        
         | thsksbd wrote:
         | Is that really necessary? The moon has no atmosphere so
         | "celestial" navigation is unhindered by weather, and can be
         | done during the day.
        
           | tintor wrote:
           | What precision can be achieved using celestial navigation,
           | and it is good enough for lunar landing?
        
             | kube-system wrote:
             | Well, the moon has never had a GPS system in the past, and
             | there have been moon landings. Apollo used celestial
             | navigation, so yes, it is good enough.
             | 
             | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hVCNS2jQQ6g
        
         | Firaxus wrote:
         | Keeping satellites in orbit around the moon is very expensive.
         | The moons gravity is lumpy, and if you try to orbit far enough
         | that it balances out, then perturbations from the earth and sun
         | still end up destabilizing it. This means it takes a lot of
         | station keeping (firing thrusters, using limited propellant) to
         | maintain an orbit.
         | 
         | I think there are plans for better relays situated around the
         | moon, but a lunar gps system is not likely given the costs and
         | engineering difficulties.
        
         | stevage wrote:
         | It seems both of these landers fell over due to instrument
         | failures. So o solution that relies on building different
         | instruments is not obviously the right one.
        
       | dsjoerg wrote:
       | Would it be easier to have it land in any old position, with a
       | mechanism to push itself into upright posture when needed?
        
         | Tagbert wrote:
         | I saw a diagram of a lander, maybe just a prototype, that was
         | constructed like a truncated tetrahedron. It would end up on
         | either the bottom, or one of three sides. Once it landed the
         | three sides would open up. no matter which orientation, that
         | would push it to an upright position.
        
           | lpribis wrote:
           | Maybe thinking of Spirit and Opportunity rovers which had a
           | truncated tetrahedron shape of airbags (kinda) and unfolded
           | to the upright position?
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mars_Exploration_Rover
        
         | 0_____0 wrote:
         | That's how the earlier Mars rovers arrived, totally valid
         | concept. But it's expensive to get mass to the Moon, and if you
         | think you can likely land upright with thrusters, why bother
         | with something more complex/massive?
        
       | imglorp wrote:
       | This is why the Dynetics lander makes so much sense: less to go
       | wrong plus no elevators or long ladders needed:
       | https://huntsvillebusinessjournal.com/wp-content/uploads/202...
       | 
       | For that matter, the Space 1999 "Eagle" for the same reason, just
       | good design. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=39484015
       | 
       | If a human lander tips over for any reason, that could be
       | disastrous.
        
         | bnralt wrote:
         | Dynetics' proposal was the most expensive, and they also
         | couldn't figure out a way to make it work at the time when the
         | choice was made[1]:
         | 
         | > Of particular concern is the significant weakness within
         | Dynetics' proposal under Technical Area of Focus 1, Technical
         | Design Concept, due to the SEP's finding that Dynetics' current
         | mass estimate for its DAE far exceeds its current mass
         | allocation; plainly stated, Dynetics' proposal evidences a
         | substantial negative mass allocation. This negative value, as
         | opposed to positive reserves that could protect against mass
         | increases at this phase of Dynetics' development cycle, is
         | disconcerting insofar as it calls into question the feasibility
         | of Dynetics' mission architecture and its ability to
         | successfully close its mission as proposed.
         | 
         | You can read NASA's full thoughts on that link. But the basics
         | are, they thought there were good ideas, but they weren't
         | comfortable picking a lander that went far above the allotted
         | budget, while the team who made the lander wasn't able to come
         | up with a way that it would work yet.
         | 
         | [1]
         | https://www3.nasa.gov/sites/default/files/atoms/files/option...
        
           | bryanlarsen wrote:
           | IIRC the original Dynetics proposal had a positive mass
           | allocation, but it relied on refueling at the Artemis Lunar
           | Gateway. NASA then changed the requirements so that the
           | Artemis Lunar Gateway would not be fully available for the
           | first moon landing, and Dynetics was unable to adapt their
           | proposal.
        
       | recursivedoubts wrote:
       | a flawless six for six using 1960's tech:
       | https://www.history.com/news/us-moon-landings-apollo
       | 
       | the past is a foreign country
        
         | AnimalMuppet wrote:
         | And humans at the controls. Having a program at the controls is
         | rather a different problem...
        
           | lupire wrote:
           | I thought Elon Musk's robots are better drivers than humans.
        
             | toast0 wrote:
             | When traveling at highways speeds, they ignore stationary
             | objects, such as parked emergency vehicles and presumably,
             | the Moon.
        
         | luxuryballs wrote:
         | still bummed they never performed any impressive feats of
         | agility made possible by the gravity
        
           | saalweachter wrote:
           | What gravity giveth, space suits taketh away.
           | 
           | The jumps (4 feet) and bounds (15 feet) are pretty good by
           | everyday standards, but like half of the Earth-bound records.
        
             | luxuryballs wrote:
             | they could have tossed something at least, somehow they
             | managed to do all that footage without anything I can use
             | to combat the conspiracy theorists who just say the footage
             | is slowed down
        
           | bagels wrote:
           | Pretty risky to get injured or to get a puncture goofing off
           | on the moon.
        
             | gyrovagueGeist wrote:
             | All the more reason to build a proper moon base with an
             | indoor court
        
           | mlsu wrote:
           | I would give just about anything to watch an NBA game played
           | on the moon. Make the court 4x bigger, the hoops 3x taller.
           | 
           | The revenue for this would pay for several Starships.
        
             | lupyro wrote:
             | In this vein I've always thought it would be cool to see
             | what kind of sports we could have in a zero gravity stadium
             | in orbit. Something like the training facilities in Ender's
             | game.
             | 
             | Maybe a sport like Quidditch could become a reality
        
         | knodi123 wrote:
         | > the past is a foreign country
         | 
         | It's a nice place to visit, but I wouldn't want to live there.
        
           | thsksbd wrote:
           | You wouldn't want to live in, say 1960s Portland Maine? Say
           | as a professor of English literature?
           | 
           | Seems pretty sweet to me.
        
             | josefresco wrote:
             | Stating the obvious but it probably depends on your gender,
             | sexual orientation, and skin color (to a name just a few).
        
               | knodi123 wrote:
               | Yeah, I can't remember the show, but it was some time
               | travel thing, and one of the tech guys isn't as excited
               | as everyone else at the prospect of visiting great
               | moments in history. They ask him why, and he says, "well,
               | I'm black, so...."
        
               | mnw21cam wrote:
               | There's probably several different shows that match this
               | description, but you're probably thinking of Star Trek
               | DS9, Season 6, Episode 13, "Far Beyond the Stars".
        
               | thsksbd wrote:
               | Which peoples is this not true for?
        
               | thsksbd wrote:
               | Of course. 1960s Maine college campuses were one of the
               | darkest, most depraved, periods of human history.
        
             | knodi123 wrote:
             | > Say as a professor of English literature?
             | 
             | I'd probably be fired when they found out I hadn't read
             | anything written since the 70s....
        
             | serf wrote:
             | I wouldn't want to give up my toys. I don't have enough
             | brain cells left to accommodate to 1960s style programming,
             | let alone the outward appearance needed to convince someone
             | to let me use their mainframe back then.
        
         | thsksbd wrote:
         | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Luna_programme
         | 
         | The Soviet Union is even more foreign with 50's tech and no
         | human to aid primitive computers.
         | 
         | Better failure rate than the last 12 months of international
         | moon landings.
        
         | stevage wrote:
         | And cold war budgets...
        
       | isopede wrote:
       | I like to solve this problem in Kerbal Space Program simply by
       | avoiding it:
       | 
       | My landers are designed to land sideways.
        
         | sjducb wrote:
         | Also solves the problem that starship's door is so far away
         | from the ground.
        
           | onethought wrote:
           | It can carry 100 tons. I'm sure they can pack a ladder... or
           | elevator... heck a smaller propulsive landing platform
        
             | sjducb wrote:
             | But what if the elevator doesn't work? The backup plan is a
             | 25 meter ladder that you have to climb in a spacesuit.
        
         | bloopernova wrote:
         | That sideways drift was the bane of my existence. I could never
         | quite kill all of my horizontal velocity, and tipping over was
         | common. (Just as the article said)
         | 
         | I wonder how SpaceX will solve this reliably for Starship?
        
           | stevage wrote:
           | Using SAS and RCS pointed retrograde to surface pretty much
           | auto solves that problem.
        
       | Zondartul wrote:
       | Some Moon ideas: 1) have a small robot bulldozer flatten a
       | landing pad/polygon so there is loads of safe landing area. 2)
       | use same dozer to make a moon highway to other sites of interest
       | around the moon. 3) Moon GPS or laser-based local navigation
       | beacons, so the spacecraft can rely on those if instruments fail.
       | 4) Just stupid-wide landing legs that let the craft ski around
       | the moon even when landing at an angle and with horizontal
       | velocity.
        
         | wongarsu wrote:
         | The reason Odysseus's legs are so narrow is that they wanted
         | fixed legs, so there's no leg deployment that could go wrong.
         | But payload fairings are only so wide. The legs are the widest
         | that fit a Falcon 9 payload fairing.
         | 
         | I really like the idea of a mission to build infrastructure
         | though.
        
           | bigyikes wrote:
           | Building infrastructure is the only way this stuff will get
           | cheaper and easier
        
             | krasin wrote:
             | Just like Canadarm ([1]) on ISS considerably simplified
             | docking, I can see a similar approach working for lunar
             | landing: slow down to below 5 m/s, get caught by a robotic
             | arm and gently put into a good spot.
             | 
             | 1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Canadarm
        
               | ramses0 wrote:
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Catcher_pouch
        
           | stevage wrote:
           | Building infrastructure doesn't make sense for exploratory
           | missions that each want to land somewhere new though.
        
         | saalweachter wrote:
         | You know, we're probably capable of landing on a landing pad on
         | the moon, now.
         | 
         | Apollo 11/Eagle landed something like 4 miles off from their
         | target site, but SpaceX nowadays routinely lands on target.
        
           | onethought wrote:
           | A launch and return to the same rotating body is surely a
           | simpler maneuver than orbital transfer to a different
           | spinning body and landing. No doubt we are better at it but
           | I'm not sure earth landings are an accurate analog.
        
             | stevage wrote:
             | Nah, you can't really compare them like that. And landing
             | on a planet with an atmosphere is completely different from
             | a moon without one.
             | 
             | Landing on the moon is easier. It just looks hard because
             | it's so expensive to get there that you don't get many
             | attempts.
        
               | bluGill wrote:
               | That depends on how much atmosphere. Mars has enough
               | atmosphere to be annoying, but not really enough to be
               | useful. Winds can throw you off target, but you can't use
               | a parachute for a soft landing.
        
               | stevage wrote:
               | That's not true. Many (most?) Mars missions with Landers
               | have used parachutes, though they are not sufficient for
               | a true soft landing.
               | 
               | I'm not an expert but I think landing on Mars with no
               | atmosphere would be harder, because you'd need so much
               | more fuel for a controlled descent.
        
           | dylan604 wrote:
           | Apollo 11/Eagle was deliberately piloted away from the
           | initial landing site because the pilot did not think the
           | original location was safe. So until a perfectly placed
           | target for a robot to land on like SpaceX does (which seems
           | only likely if establishing a sort of base), the robots will
           | need to be made smarter about landing or built to be more
           | agile on landing on less than ideal sites.
        
           | josefresco wrote:
           | > SpaceX nowadays routinely lands on target
           | 
           | On the moon?
        
           | lupire wrote:
           | The article mentions that SpaceX has landed on the moon once,
           | and tipped over. The moon is harder to land on then the Earth
           | - less gravity and atmosphere.
        
             | Firaxus wrote:
             | I haven't read the article (paywall) so I can't be sure,
             | but I believe the article is referring to the Intuitive
             | Machines lunar landing.
             | 
             | SpaceX has not yet attempted to land anything on the moon.
        
           | dblohm7 wrote:
           | Apollo 11 isn't really the proper comparison to make, though;
           | more precise landings were goals of later missions.
        
             | saalweachter wrote:
             | Fair enough; Apollo 12 landed within walking distance of
             | the Surveyor probe, but I don't have enough information to
             | know whether 535 feet from the probe was exactly on target,
             | or hundreds of feet off target. So maybe we could have
             | landed on a pad 50 years ago, too?
        
           | kube-system wrote:
           | Probably, but do we want to keep going back to the same spot?
        
           | rst wrote:
           | ... and then Apollo 12 targeted one of the earlier Surveyor
           | probes (which had successfully done its own automated moon
           | landing in the mid-1960s!), and the guidance system had it
           | coming down very close to the earlier probe -- astronaut Pete
           | Conrad manually overrode it to make sure they stayed a safe
           | distance away.
           | 
           | There had been upgrades to software and procedures since
           | Apollo 11 -- most notably, a new guidance parameter the
           | astronauts could enter ("noun 69") to correct for deviations
           | between the planned lunar orbit and the one in which the
           | spacecraft actually was, before descent.
           | 
           | https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidmindell/2019/11/19/apollo-.
           | ..
        
         | georgecmu wrote:
         | I had an interesting experience a few years back as a reviewer
         | for proposals to NASA LuSTR program:
         | https://www.nasa.gov/directorates/stmd/space-tech-research-g...
         | 
         | The topic was exactly that: landing pad preparation solutions.
         | Here's a summary slide for one of the winning proposals:
         | https://www.nasa.gov/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/lustr2021_qu...
         | 
         |  _The Autonomous Site Preparation: Excavation, Compaction, and
         | Testing (ASPECT) Project will develop tools and methods to
         | clear, level, and compact the lunar surface. ASPECT is a fully
         | autonomous rover with equipment for regolith excavation,
         | boulder moving, and surface compaction._
        
         | ChuckMcM wrote:
         | There are a number of well fleshed out plans for doing
         | essentially this. One of the more interesting ones for me was
         | that microwaves can be used to fuse lunar regolith into a
         | solid. One plan had a solar powered rover that sat there and
         | microwaved the ground until is was solid far enough down, then
         | would move forward on to that patch and start with the next
         | patch. As I recall it would take about a month to make an acre
         | sized "pad" which would support landing.
        
         | hinkley wrote:
         | You know how the martian landers now use a crane to lower the
         | lander to the ground so the retro rockets are outside of the
         | ground effects range?
         | 
         | Someone proposed doing something similar with a lander, where a
         | landing-site-prep robot gets dropped first. But that sounded
         | like a lot of hovering to me, and a solution that would be very
         | specific to lunar landing. I can't see that being successful on
         | anything with higher gravity.
         | 
         | Better perhaps to send a separate stage or a scouting mission
         | to do the work, then land later.
        
       | blackbear_ wrote:
       | Why can't you make a spherical lander? With some moving masses on
       | the inside to roll around? (Clearly I'm not an engineer)
        
         | theultdev wrote:
         | That's basically the SLIM's LEV-2. Not a lander itself, but a
         | small rover.
         | 
         | https://www.space.com/jaxa-slim-moon-lander-lev-2-ball-robot
         | 
         | There's also the method of dropping a ball of airbags that
         | deflate and detach, so you aren't limited to being a ball.
         | 
         | I assume it's more efficient and versatile (lots of tools on
         | these things) to not be a ball.
         | 
         | You basically want a small truck loaded with equipment and a
         | solar panel on top.
        
           | knodi123 wrote:
           | isn't regolith microscopic and sharp? A sealed ball that
           | rolls around is one thing, but wouldn't a non-sealed ball
           | just get its motor shredded pretty quickly?
        
             | serf wrote:
             | I remember reading before that given the consistency and
             | weight of moon dust that electrostatic protection of assets
             | is viable.
             | 
             | I guess the concept would be to surround the motors in a
             | electrostatic force that results in propulsive removal of
             | particulates away from the drivetrain.
             | 
             | I don't know if it has been practically used.
        
       | cstross wrote:
       | Worth noting is that because Starship HLS carries astronauts, it
       | has to be capable of abort-to-orbit -- that is, to cancel the
       | landing at _any_ point and return to Lunar orbit. The Apollo LEM
       | would have done this by shutting down and dumping the descent
       | stage then lighting the ascent motor: Starship is a single stage
       | that should have enough fuel and oxidizer left after a successful
       | landing to lift off and return to orbit with a minimal payload.
       | 
       | I expect if astronauts aboard HLS lose their altimeter they'd
       | have to abort the landing immediately -- to proceed without it
       | would be the height of recklessness. But Odysseus had no abort-
       | to-orbit capability so was committed to landing.
        
         | facialwipe wrote:
         | I'm a huge space nerd. It takes up most of my free time.
         | 
         | I have never once read about abort-to-orbit capability as a
         | concept, let alone a requirement for Artemis HLS.
         | 
         | Here's a 4 year old video detailing past abort systems and why
         | Starship won't have one:
         | https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=v6lPMFgZU5Q
        
           | dabluecaboose wrote:
           | >I have never once read about abort-to-orbit capability as a
           | concept
           | 
           | ATO was an abort mode [1] on the Shuttle program and is
           | notably the only abort mode that was successfully used in the
           | entire program, on STS-51f [2] . _Challenger_ suffered an
           | engine anomaly on liftoff that resulted in a lower orbit than
           | was intended, but otherwise the mission went off without a
           | hitch.
           | 
           | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Space_Shuttle_abort_modes#A
           | bor... [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/STS-51-F
        
             | mrexroad wrote:
             | Thanks! I'd seen about the bailout capability mentioned in
             | passing, but had always wondered what it would be in
             | practice (spoiler: a pole!). Also, I didn't realize a
             | second engine almost shut down on STS-51-F .
             | 
             | Per the links: "A particularly significant enhancement was
             | bailout capability. Unlike the ejection seat in a fighter
             | plane, the shuttle had an inflight crew escape system[12]
             | (ICES). The vehicle was put in a stable glide on autopilot,
             | the hatch was blown, and the crew slid out a pole to clear
             | the orbiter's left wing. They would then parachute to earth
             | or the sea. [...] Before the Challenger disaster, this
             | almost happened on STS-51-F, when a single SSME failed at
             | about T+345 seconds. [...] A second SSME almost failed
             | because of a spurious temperature reading; however, the
             | engine shutdown was inhibited by a quick-thinking flight
             | controller. If the second SSME had failed within about 69
             | seconds of the first, there would have been insufficient
             | energy to cross the Atlantic. Without bailout capability,
             | the entire crew would have been killed."
        
               | whycome wrote:
               | > STS-51-F
               | 
               | Why is the naming scheme of shuttle launches so bad
        
               | dsr_ wrote:
               | https://www.nasa.gov/missions/space-shuttle/behind-the-
               | space...
        
               | dabluecaboose wrote:
               | It's doubly confusing that STS-51-F, with the
               | _Challenger_ , is the only exercised launch abort; while
               | STS-51-L is the famous launch disaster for which
               | _Challenger_ is most well known.
        
           | Isamu wrote:
           | The video is about launch abort I believe. As opposed to
           | aborting a lunar landing.
        
           | loa_in_ wrote:
           | Apollo Lunar Module had an abort-to-orbit that was also used
           | to lift off the surface of the Moon after successfully
           | completing the mission. It used explosive charges to throw
           | the lander frame away and involved Apollo Guidance Computer
           | manuevering into orbit at any point of the mission up until
           | the landing.
        
           | grouchomarx wrote:
           | the four year old video you linked to has nothing to do with
           | aborting a landing on the moon
        
           | MPSimmons wrote:
           | Dragon 2 has abort to orbit capabilities, too. The abort
           | zones they call out as the rocket's IIP advances up the east
           | coast continue until Ireland, and then after that, it's abort
           | to orbit, where the superdracos will carry the ship to orbit
           | without the second stage.
        
         | mandeepj wrote:
         | > Starship is a single stage
         | 
         | I'm no expert, so this is a question to confirm my
         | understanding: Starship does have a booster. So, doesn't that
         | make it a dual stage?
         | 
         | https://www.zenger.news/2023/11/27/elon-musk-reveals-simple-...
        
           | dabluecaboose wrote:
           | I think GP was saying that the _lander_ is single-stage. By
           | the time of a presumptive lunar landing, there 's no lower
           | stage to drop as with the Apollo LEM.
        
           | justrealist wrote:
           | The part that's landing on the moon is just the second stage.
        
         | thereisnospork wrote:
         | Assuming the landing is soft enough to survive, shouldn't it be
         | fairly trivial for the astronauts to disembark and right the
         | lander? To the extent anything in space is trivial.
         | 
         | Even if it's a bit more than doable by hand a ratchet jack
         | should make short work of it.
        
           | jethro_tell wrote:
           | Assuming you have jack points in the right place based on the
           | way it tipped over.
        
             | toss1 wrote:
             | Yup, jack points in the right place, jacking equipment with
             | sufficient range of motion, _AND_ solid lunar soil in the
             | right place under the jack points.
             | 
             | Plus, you've got to get the whole jacking operation done
             | without damaging any of your main or control thruster
             | rockets, and without tipping past the upright point over to
             | the other side, or just effectively rolling onto an
             | adjacent side.
             | 
             | I wouldn't want to go on a craft where [jacking it back
             | upright] was in the top ten on the list of recovery options
             | to get home.
        
               | thereisnospork wrote:
               | >I wouldn't want to go on a craft where [jacking it back
               | upright] was in the top ten on the list of recovery
               | options to get home.
               | 
               | For a counter, I wouldn't want to be on a lander so
               | fragile[0] that being manipulated upright is infeasible.
               | Something will go wrong, maybe not on that lander, but
               | when it does go wrong it'll have to get duct taped
               | together.
               | 
               | [0]Not just mechanically, but in terms of operation
               | scope. Planning that everything must go perfectly or
               | people die is a recipe for the latter.
        
               | ghufran_syed wrote:
               | agree - which is probably why Elon Musk is so obsessive
               | about increasing the efficiency and thrust of the merlin
               | and raptor rocket engines, a huge amount of downstream
               | capability can be achieved by increasing that number (all
               | other things being equal)
        
               | hinkley wrote:
               | So if the lander falls over because two of the feet land
               | on regolith, odds are good you don't have a solid point
               | on that side of the craft to put the jack...
        
           | cpgxiii wrote:
           | The Apollo LEM, only craft that has ever taken humans to the
           | moon's surface, weighted somewhere around 20,000 kg after
           | landing. Since it only ever operated in space and lunar
           | gravity, it could be built with a much higher mass fraction
           | than a rocket launched from earth requires - greater than
           | 30%, where a Falcon 9 in comparison has a mass fraction below
           | 5%. Even then, the LEM structure had to be built incredibly
           | lightly. While the LEM structure could obviously be lifted by
           | crane and survive launch and docking stresses, those were are
           | at designed points in the structure. Without the presence of
           | a crane capable of lifting the whole LEM, righting an LEM
           | that had landed on its side would have been effectively
           | impossible. Basically all of the modern proposed manned lunar
           | landers are considerably larger than the LEM, and thus
           | considerably heavier.
           | 
           | For comparison, a craft built for earth launch mass fractions
           | probably wouldn't survive falling over in the first place -
           | when that happened to a Falcon 9, the whole rocket simply
           | exploded.
        
           | ooterness wrote:
           | If it's good enough for Jebediah Kerman, it's good enough for
           | me, but maybe not NASA.
           | 
           | https://xkcd.com/1244/
        
           | stonemetal12 wrote:
           | >shouldn't it be fairly trivial for the astronauts to
           | disembark and right the lander?
           | 
           | I don't think that is an assumption you can make. In the
           | worst case scenario the lander lands on the door. In which
           | case the only way to disembark is to lift the lander.
        
         | narag wrote:
         | _I expect if astronauts aboard HLS lose their altimeter they 'd
         | have to abort the landing immediately -- to proceed without it
         | would be the height of recklessness._
         | 
         | In addition to the obvious, it should be taken into account
         | that the absence of atmosphere makes _very_ difficult to assess
         | distance and scale. Videos of approach seem like a fractal
         | browser.
        
         | abledon wrote:
         | are they going to send a 'test run' HLS first? like, completely
         | computer controlled, to stick the landing?
        
           | bryanlarsen wrote:
           | Yes, that is a condition in NASA's contract with SpaceX. It
           | is currently scheduled for 2025.
        
       | josefresco wrote:
       | The suggestions here:
       | 
       | flatten a landing pad
       | 
       | make a moon highway
       | 
       | Moon GPS (2 votes)
       | 
       | stupid-wide landing legs
       | 
       | Dynetics lander
       | 
       | spherical lander
       | 
       | mechanism to push itself into upright
       | 
       | land sideways (ok this was a joke right?)
       | 
       | I couldn't find the relevant XKCD but I remember one along the
       | lines of "why did they just do Y?". I say all of this in jest, as
       | this is what we do here at HN: give our opinion on areas outside
       | our expertise.
        
         | blowski wrote:
         | It's easy to say what they should do when there's absolutely no
         | accountability for your recommendation.
        
       | eatbitseveryday wrote:
       | A spacecraft perhaps could inflate lots of impact balloons that
       | would cushion impact, allowing landing in any orientation. Then
       | on landing, rotate with gyros or something until the legs are
       | underneath and that way end upright?
        
         | sadhorse wrote:
         | Humans did it manually in the 60's. How hard can it be to do it
         | with computers and radar? I don't want to sound like that guy
         | but... how hard can it be?
         | 
         | Edit: My point being: spacex is already doing it on earth,
         | dealing with stronger gravity and air non linearity.
        
           | adamredwoods wrote:
           | This would be a cool simulation / programming game.
        
             | NoraCodes wrote:
             | I highly recommend taking a look at Kerbal Space Program
             | plus k/OS. I've done a few Kerbal hackathons with friends
             | where we all get the same spacecraft, in the same scenario,
             | and have to write k/OS scripts to perform some mission.
             | Difficult, but fun and often hilarious!
        
           | NoraCodes wrote:
           | I mean, it's not like it's rocket science!
           | 
           | More seriously, the humans in question were very skilled
           | pilots with huge amounts of general flight experience and
           | specific lunar training; they also had access to hardware
           | that had already been expensively tested in the lunar
           | environment. Neither of those were available to this project.
        
           | gene-h wrote:
           | The IM-1 Lander was supposed to land using a LIDAR altimeter,
           | but they forgot to remove the safety before launch. They
           | tried to make a last minute software change to use an
           | experimental navigation system from NASA to get altimetry,
           | but this didn't work. So the lander landed using visual
           | navigation and IMU data only for the last 15km to the
           | surface.
           | 
           | It probably would have landed upright if the LIDAR worked. It
           | is impressive that it landed as intact as it did
           | 
           | [0] https://arstechnica.com/space/2024/02/it-turns-out-that-
           | odys...
        
           | 4silvertooth wrote:
           | Humans have been driving cars since decades, how hard would
           | it be to make a self-driving, well it seems it is difficult.
        
         | pvg wrote:
         | Pathfinder landed on Mars using that design:
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mars_Pathfinder#/media/File:Pa...
         | 
         | Having an atmosphere helps, though and that's not available on
         | the Moon.
        
         | stevage wrote:
         | That's how they used to land on Mars.
        
       | SilverBirch wrote:
       | What you do is descend very slowly, as you descend your thrusters
       | will slowly melt a smooth landing pad beneath you. The only
       | problem is you have to sacrifice part of the landing legs when
       | you take off because obviously the melted cheese will bind to
       | them once you touch down.
        
         | toast0 wrote:
         | If you get a good crust on the cheese, it shouldn't bind with
         | your legs.
        
         | jvm___ wrote:
         | Explain like I'm Grommit
        
       | photochemsyn wrote:
       | I'm all for the US space program returning to the Moon and the
       | NASA public-private approach seems fairly reasonable.
       | 
       | It is very odd however to see no mention of the fact that China
       | is about a decade ahead, having completed the Chang'e 3, 4 and 5
       | missions. which included a successful return of Moon rocks to the
       | Earth. Two more missions are in the works.
       | 
       | The article mentions a Japanese effort, but the omission of
       | China's successes seems fairly deliberate. I wonder what the
       | motivation was?
       | 
       | https://www.space.com/china-new-moon-rover-change-7-mission
        
         | HarHarVeryFunny wrote:
         | The USSR also had successful robotic sample return missions,
         | and rovers, in the 1970s.
        
         | ThisIsMyAltAcct wrote:
         | Because the article is about recent difficulties landing on the
         | moon and China has not had recent difficulties landing on the
         | moon?
        
       | api_or_ipa wrote:
       | I feel an overwhelming itch to fire up KSP and show them how it's
       | done!
        
         | kelseyfrog wrote:
         | More power to you, but I've had multiple munar landing attempts
         | turn into munar rescue missions precisely because the first
         | mission lander tipped over :D
        
       | HarHarVeryFunny wrote:
       | Maybe for a small lander, an alternative to landing upright would
       | be to avoid having an upright in the first place. Have a
       | spherical/polyhedral design with legs on all faces and redundant
       | solar panels/cameras on each face.
        
         | jethro_tell wrote:
         | Or even a design that allows for self righting. You can find
         | many of these in highschool robotics club battle bots.
         | 
         | Obviously much more complex, but probably cheaper than
         | redundant everything.
        
           | invalidator wrote:
           | Mars Pathfinder did exactly this. It was a tetrahedron which
           | could land in any orientation. As it happened they rolled a
           | 4, but if it was on one of the other 3 sides it would have
           | pushed itself upright as the sides folded open.
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mars_Pathfinder
        
         | johnwalkr wrote:
         | Very easy solution until you realize you need solar panels
         | facing the sun[1], radiators facing deep space[2], antennas
         | facing earth, payloads facing x, y, and z, deployable payloads
         | facing x, y, and z plus the lunar surface. And all of those
         | things are fragile, at least in terms of mounting them on the
         | outside of a bowling ball rolling across sharp gravel/sand. And
         | of course multiply difficulty by the number of all
         | configurations^2 for both design and testing. [1] and [2] are
         | especially huge drivers, you need power and therefore heat
         | input, but you also need radiators to expel heat. Depending on
         | complexity, solar panels in shade act as passive radiators
         | leaking heat at best, and at worst as heaters, actively taking
         | battery power to heat up and become even better radiators. And
         | radiators act, to some extent, less effectively or even as
         | heaters if they are facing the sun, sunlit earth, or sunlit
         | lunar surface instead of deep space.
         | 
         | It's not only a matter of adding complexity, mass, money, etc.
         | This kind of solution is simple on its face, but it is akin to
         | being ignorant of why a car has windows (for the driver to
         | see), doors (for the passengers to enter/exit) or a cooling
         | system (to not overheat), and then reading that Jeeps (or to be
         | more fair, a new Jeep prototype) are prone to tipping over on a
         | trail after driving 1000km on a highway to a trailhead, and
         | then commenting on how Chrysler should just make a dodecahedron
         | Jeep with 20 wheels instead of 4.
         | 
         | These spacecraft also made it past 99% of the hurdles, the next
         | try will probably make it and overcome the final 1% without
         | starting from scratch and adding all kinds of complexity that
         | are far more likely to add failure.
         | 
         | I work in the industry and opinions are mine and not of my
         | employer.
        
           | whycome wrote:
           | Or have the singular versions and just roll the thing after
           | landing.
        
           | HarHarVeryFunny wrote:
           | I think the economics of a one-off lunar lander are a bit
           | different to those of Jeep! The cost of the lander hardware
           | is only a small part of overall cost of the mission, and
           | adding some (or even a lot) of redundancy would seem a small
           | price to pay if that provides a high likelihood of mission
           | success. Of course this needs to be compared to cost and
           | reliability of alternate solutions. This is a lot different
           | to adding a lot of redundancy and cost and compromised design
           | to a mass-produced vehicle where you can iterate and test in
           | deployed environment as many times as you like.
           | 
           | Obviously N-way redundancy isn't optimal, but it would seem
           | potentially simple if you had a modular design with multiple
           | instances of the same "omniface" component. Perhaps use 1/2
           | of each redundant face for radiator and 1/2 for solar panel?
           | 
           | I'm not suggesting a rolling design - just one with legs on
           | every side such that if it did tip over (or worst case tumble
           | if landing on an incline) from preferred engine-down
           | orientation then it would not make any difference.
           | 
           | Seeing as Intuitive Machines wanted to avoid deployable
           | (spreadable) legs as a way to achieve a more stable low
           | center of gravity, another alternative would seem to be to
           | shrink the design (lose the height) to better work within the
           | width of the faring, although I don't know how viable that
           | would be given amount of propellant needed for the landing.
        
           | hinkley wrote:
           | You're just trying to ruin our zorbing fun.
        
         | demondemidi wrote:
         | The first mars lander was in a tetraheadron in an airbag. There
         | was no way for it to land in the wrong orientation because the
         | tetraheadron always unfolded in the correct orientation. And
         | that was almost 30 years ago.
        
           | HarHarVeryFunny wrote:
           | Yes - that was a great design. I've seen some people suggest
           | that it wouldn't work on the moon due to lack of atmosphere
           | and less gravity, but not obvious why that would prevent it.
           | 
           | Of course it's a more complex design in a way given that you
           | deploy this airbag at low altitude - something else to go
           | wrong. It's interesting though that NASA has used that and
           | the even more complex air-crane technique on Mars both
           | successful first attempt. Even though they seem complex I'd
           | assume NASA determined they were the least-complex approaches
           | that had a high likelihood of success.
           | 
           | Maybe the economics of doing this on the moon, and with a
           | cheaper lander, are different - better to have a simpler
           | system with higher chance of failure, and redo the mission if
           | it fails ?
        
       | tintor wrote:
       | Is there a geometrical shape, that will always settle in the same
       | orientation?
        
         | isopede wrote:
         | In fact there is! It's called a Gomboc:
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/G%C3%B6mb%C3%B6c
        
           | solardev wrote:
           | My d20 needs this
        
             | lapetitejort wrote:
             | You could create a d1 with this shape! Much better are more
             | stable than Jorge Luis Borges':
             | https://biblioklept.org/2019/04/02/the-disk-a-very-short-
             | sto...
        
           | bradley13 wrote:
           | Wow, that's unintuitive, but cool.
           | 
           | Doesn't help on the moon, though, where the surface is soft,
           | and may contain boulders.
        
             | koliber wrote:
             | With a lunar lander you can play with the weight
             | distribution. You can make it more dense on one side. This,
             | together with a self-righting shape, could increase the
             | chances of settling in the desired orientation.
        
               | giantrobot wrote:
               | While it was settling it would destroy all/most of the
               | external fixtures including antennae, engine nozzles, and
               | sensor housings. Bonus the rocking action during settling
               | could puncture the hull or break a windows on a sharp
               | boulder.
        
         | rolph wrote:
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Weebles#Design_principle
        
       | Bengalilol wrote:
       | I clearly understood this while playing Lunar Flight
       | https://store.steampowered.com/app/208600/Lunar_Flight/
        
       | ubermonkey wrote:
       | "Because they don't teach Lunar Lander in schools anymore."
        
       | Julesman wrote:
       | Radical suggestion. Don't make your lander taller than wide. I'm
       | the first to assume that the science nerds have thought of
       | everything and that my uneducated self has nothing to say about
       | it. But then I saw the lander. It looks very tippable.
       | 
       | So then here's my luddite take. Can't they just unfurl wider
       | stabilizers from the legs that increase their footprint? At slow
       | speeds in low gravity it seems like they wouldn't need to be
       | heavy or strong.
        
         | stavros wrote:
         | In general, when it seems to my uneducated opinion that a bunch
         | of experts have missed something obvious to me, it's almost
         | always the case that the one who has missed something is me.
        
           | foobarian wrote:
           | I feel exactly the same and this is the reason why I would
           | absolutely love to read an expert article titled "Why super-
           | wide Moon landing gear is not a good idea"
        
         | db48x wrote:
         | Stabilizers are made of matter, and matter has mass. Lifting
         | mass off of the Earth and on to the Moon takes fuel. Fuel is
         | made of matter too, and has mass. Lifting the fuel to lift the
         | fuel to lift the mass is expensive.
         | 
         | So much cheaper just to have an altimeter and no extra
         | stabilizers. Sadly, their altimeter didn't work. They forgot to
         | turn it on correctly.
         | 
         | Honestly, they're lucky that it got so close to landing
         | correctly; if it had been going faster the damage would have
         | been even worse than just a crumpled landing leg.
        
         | wolfendin wrote:
         | If you have legs that unfurl, now you have minimum three more
         | more systems that fail and cause the same problem
        
       | unethical_ban wrote:
       | TIL the lunar lander for Artemis is 100 TONS! My goodness! I
       | didn't think it'd be the Mylar balloon of the Apollo LM, but I
       | did not really think it was going to be the entire first stage of
       | Starship. I guess I need to read more.
        
       | russellbeattie wrote:
       | The spacecraft failed long before it tipped over. With the
       | altitude laser system out of action, it wasn't going to land
       | correctly unless they got lucky, which they didn't.
       | 
       | Like the article said in the last line, the margin of error is
       | only manageable if all the systems are functioning correctly. The
       | argument over the height of the lander is as nonsensical as
       | arguing over any of the thousands of other design decisions.
       | Second guessing literal rocket scientists is silly.
       | 
       | The lander was designed as a whole, any single change - redundant
       | systems, extendible legs, etc., etc. - would have required other
       | changes due to weight or space constraints, requiring other
       | changes, ad nauseum.
       | 
       | The specific thing that killed this landing is a failure in
       | quality control/checklists which if done better would have
       | ensured all the systems operated correctly and a successful
       | landing.
        
       | rolph wrote:
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Weebles#Design_principle
        
       | demondemidi wrote:
       | Everything about landing on the moon is challenging. Seems oddly
       | specific to pick this challenge? Weird.
        
         | whartung wrote:
         | The past few failed missions certainly highlights how amazing
         | the successes the US had back in the day.
         | 
         | 50-60 years of history, crazy advances in technology from
         | materials to computers to everything else, yet its still
         | objectively a difficult, "unsolved" problem.
        
       | ge96 wrote:
       | Idk how starship will do it since it is tall af
        
         | hinkley wrote:
         | The landing and take off tanks would have to be ballast tanks I
         | suspect. Meaning at the bottom, center of the craft, where the
         | moment arm is the most favorable.
         | 
         | If Flight 3 explodes again, my completely armchair prediction
         | is that stage 1 will get something similar, but to stop
         | sloshing on boostback.
        
       | GMoromisato wrote:
       | Almost all challenges are caused by tight mass budgets--the
       | maximum mass that we can get to the lunar surface. Symmetrically,
       | almost all problems can be solved by increasing the mass budget:
       | more fuel to loiter longer, redundant systems, etc.
       | 
       | The advantage of SpaceX's Starship--and the reason NASA chose it
       | for the first HLS--is that it has an insane mass budget. It's
       | literally designed to land 100 people on the surface of Mars (TBD
       | whether it will ever meet that goal, but that's the design
       | point).
       | 
       | Starship is so hilariously large that there's enough mass budget
       | to solve almost any problem.
        
         | LarsDu88 wrote:
         | What if it tips over?
        
         | Workaccount2 wrote:
         | Didn't the Saturn 5 have a similar mass budget as the Starship?
         | I am guessing there is some major caveat to it.
        
           | bryanlarsen wrote:
           | They might be comparable without refueling, but Starship
           | utilizes refueling to massively increase it's deep space mass
           | budget.
        
             | pavon wrote:
             | This is the huge difference. Apollo missions used two
             | launches of the Saturn V - one for the crew capsule and one
             | for the lunar lander, which rendezvoused in orbit. Artemis
             | is planning on using one SLS launch for the crew capsule,
             | and an estimated 8-16 Starship launches for the lunar
             | lander and refueling.
        
               | saratogacx wrote:
               | That isn't how the Apollo missions worked. They put the
               | command module, service module and the LEM on a single
               | Saturn 5[1]. Once in space, the command+service module
               | would need to turn around and dock with the LEM before
               | heading off to the moon.
               | 
               | https://www.nasa.gov/history/diagrams/apollo.html
               | 
               | 1: https://www.nasa.gov/wp-
               | content/uploads/static/history/diagr...
        
             | nativeit wrote:
             | Starship _might_ utilize refueling. So far it hasn't done
             | anything of the sort.
        
           | GMoromisato wrote:
           | No, it did not.
           | 
           | Starship gets refueled in orbit (by a fleet of Saturn V-class
           | rockets). A Saturn V could put about 8 metric tons on the
           | lunar surface. With refueling, Starship can land 100 metric
           | tons on the moon.
        
           | giantrobot wrote:
           | The Saturn V could get a lot of mass to LEO but most of that
           | mass was fuel to get from LEO to the surface of the Moon. A
           | design caveat of SpaceX Starship (a design feature that's yet
           | to be demonstrated/proven) is refueling in LEO. So the
           | Starship gets a bunch of payload mass to LEO, refuels, and
           | then heads to the Moon. For Mars it would need to refuel _on
           | Mars_ to get back to Earth.
           | 
           | It's the refueling that potentially gets a huge usable
           | payload to the Moon. A second Starship whose only payload is
           | fuel would launch with the first and they'd rendezvous and
           | transfer fuel. Ostensibly if something went wrong with the
           | refuel rendezvous the payload (or personnel) carrier would
           | still be able to abort back to Earth.
        
         | kunai wrote:
         | That's incorrect -- the reason NASA chose Starship is because
         | it was the most capable lander for the lowest possible
         | projected upfront cost. Government contracts always attempt to
         | maximize economic utility while meeting objectives -- any other
         | advantages are ancillary to this.
         | 
         | > Symmetrically, almost all problems can be solved by
         | increasing the mass budget: more fuel to loiter longer,
         | redundant systems, etc...Starship is so hilariously large that
         | there's enough mass budget to solve almost any problem.
         | 
         | Also incorrect. Mass budget does not change fundamental
         | Newtonian physics, nor does it alter the issue of instability
         | caused by a high center of mass. The engineers at SpaceX are
         | very smart and I'm sure they're hard at work trying to engineer
         | out this solution, but it's a bit like saying that you can
         | prevent a car from rolling over if you make it heavy and
         | powerful enough. Sure, but that causes problems and challenges
         | of its own. It would have been easier to engineer the car to
         | have a lower center of mass, i.e. it would be easier to land on
         | the moon with a lander that had its mass spread out over a
         | larger surface area and didn't have an angular moment of
         | inertia significant enough to where topple was a concern --
         | like the Dynetics or BO proposals.
        
           | mr_toad wrote:
           | > Also incorrect. Mass budget does not change fundamental
           | Newtonian physics, nor does it alter the issue of instability
           | caused by a high center of mass.
           | 
           | The size of the ship solves some problems. Illustrations
           | depict landing gear taller than a person, which means small
           | rocks and holes are less of an issue.
        
         | jojobas wrote:
         | This high mass budget comes with some insane quantity of
         | refueling launches (nobody can tell precisely how many, but
         | more than 5 per mission).
        
       | Dagger2 wrote:
       | "Why is there a sudden epidemic of spacecraft rolling on the moon
       | like Olympic gymnasts performing floor routines?"
       | 
       | That's not how statistics work. We don't have a "sudden
       | epidemic", we just happened to get unlucky a few times in a short
       | period.
       | 
       | The exact same underlying risks and chances of success could have
       | led to a long period of everything working fine, or (the least
       | likely outcome) a perfectly spaced series of accidents occurring
       | at whatever the mean rate is.
       | 
       | Not understanding this is part of how we let people get away with
       | lax safety standards. Nothing gets mass attention until enough
       | people get unlucky in a short period, despite the safety
       | standards being lax the whole time. (I think many people reading
       | this could name a company this has happened to recently -- but
       | will attention stay on them for long when random chance gives us
       | a period of no problems?)
        
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