[HN Gopher] A quantitative test of Diamond's axis of orientation...
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       A quantitative test of Diamond's axis of orientation hypothesis
        
       Author : gradus_ad
       Score  : 65 points
       Date   : 2024-02-15 12:54 UTC (10 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (phys.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (phys.org)
        
       | bradrn wrote:
       | Paper link: https://doi.org/10.1017/ehs.2023.34
        
       | lettergram wrote:
       | One thing that's clear and matches what I have read --
       | 
       | (1) europe is surrounded by a large body of water (Mediterranean
       | in south, Baltic & English Channel to north), enabling fast
       | travel.
       | 
       | (2) Europe is extremely isolated geographically. Mountains,
       | rivers & oceans isolated many cultural groups.
       | 
       | (3) the isolated nature of Europe, combined with access to mass
       | transit (once sailing become prevalent) enabled technological
       | expansion and competition.
       | 
       | (4) combined with massive competition from isolated cultures,
       | once sailing was achieved, Africa and the Americas enabled
       | massive raw resource inflows - creating growth and abundance
       | 
       | Eurasia in contrast consolidated around just a handful of
       | cultures and often had an abundance of food and limited fast
       | travel (via rivers & oceans) throughout history. This makes for
       | less completion and although the stability enabled technological
       | advancement and massive works. It also limited variation in ideas
        
         | ajross wrote:
         | Point #2 is exactly the opposite of Diamond's hypothesis. The
         | contention is that the broad east/west alignment of all the
         | major population centers in Eurasia meant that trade of ideas
         | and technologies was _easier_ than the north /south travel
         | required to reach other cultures.
         | 
         | The point here being that going across latitudes is harder
         | because you're moving through many climates and water bodies
         | with different equipment and technology requirements to pass
         | through them. A single caravan might get to Persia using the
         | same pack animals and equipment with which it left Tibet, but
         | that's not possible if you're trying to get to Kenya or
         | Australia.
        
           | nurbl wrote:
           | It's been a long time since I read the book, but I do think
           | he made the point that part of what gave Europe a military
           | edge was the fact of lots of natural geographical borders
           | like rivers and mountains, giving rise to lots of small
           | kingdoms instead of one big one. So there were constant
           | conflicts, driving innovation.
           | 
           | And the thing about latitudes I think applies more to
           | mobility of things like crops than to human travel, since you
           | need to cross climate zones.
        
             | tsunamifury wrote:
             | I'm curious how that's different from the Native Americans
             | who, regardless of their Nobel savage portrayal in media,
             | were constantly at war with each other yet failed to
             | develop any weapons nearly powerful enough to repel the
             | Europeans.
        
               | nurbl wrote:
               | As I remember it, a major thesis of the book (which I
               | recommend, it's a fun read!) is that Europeans had the
               | benefit of several, mainly geographical factors. This was
               | just one of them.
        
           | sampo wrote:
           | > trade of ideas and technologies was _easier_ than the north
           | /south travel required to reach other cultures
           | 
           | It was mostly about the exchange of domesticated animals and
           | crop plants. You can start using crop plants you got from
           | your neighbors, if the plants stay in the same climate zone,
           | so east-west movement.
        
             | ajross wrote:
             | That was a stronger variant of the same hypothesis. And
             | indeed it explains the nearly uniform agriculture/husbandry
             | recipes in Eurasia. But it doesn't explain why at the dawn
             | of the renaissance all these cultures were producing
             | similar crucible steel (from India) or making gunpowder
             | (China).
             | 
             | Obviously the book goes farther still, I wasn't trying to
             | summarize the whole thing. The "germs" angle matters too,
             | the pervasive Eurasian trade networks meant that acquired
             | immunity could be traded like technology, leading to a
             | Eurasian "fortress of disease" that prevented immigration
             | but did nothing to deter colonialism.
        
         | shakow wrote:
         | > Europe is extremely isolated geographically.
         | 
         | Is it? The great plains from Germany to the Urals and the
         | Pontic Steppe have both been crossed one way or the others by
         | many population groups among the millenia.
        
           | ben_w wrote:
           | On the other hand, the Alps were a great defensive barrier
           | for Rome (until they weren't). My guess is that all the
           | mountainous regions had a similar effect until sufficient
           | industry was available to make them easily passable.
        
             | shakow wrote:
             | But every continents has mountains. Still, if you take
             | France as an example of one of the most "protected"
             | European countries (far in the West, surrounded by
             | mountains and seas for most of its borders), you can still
             | see so many migration waves:                 - first
             | arrival of hominids evolving into Neandertal;       - Cro-
             | Magnon arriving from the Middle-East;       - Bell-beaker
             | culture, probably from the Pontic stepp;       - Celts
             | (maybe from the West, probably from the East);       -
             | Romans;       - the crucible of Northern, Germanic and
             | steppe populations (Franks, Saxons, Goths, Wisigoths,
             | Alamans, ...) that were the Great Invasions;       - Celts
             | again in Brittany;       - Northern-African incursions and
             | the whole Mediterranean melting pot on the southern
             | seashores;       - All the 20th century immigration waves
             | (Poles, White Russians, Italians, Spaniards, Algerians,
             | Moroccans, ...);       - and probably many others I
             | forgot/don't know about.
             | 
             | And even in Antiquity/Middle-Age Italy, you have Gauls and
             | Celts in the North (after all, Northern Italy was Cisalpine
             | *Gaul*, not Northern Italia), many Italic populations
             | (Sabines, Etruscans, Umbrian, ...), a lot of Greek people
             | in the South, then the Romans; after them all the
             | aforementioned Eastern populations, then the Vikings
             | demesnes, then Germanic incursions and settlements, etc.
        
         | cedilla wrote:
         | These are just-so-stories that don't really hold up when you
         | look closely. Yes, Europe has the Mediterranean that is
         | advantageous for travel. But other places also have bodies of
         | water, usually more navigable than the channel and less pirate-
         | infested than the Mediterranean. Important European trade
         | routes didn't really rely on those large bodies of waters.
         | Europe isn't isolated at all, except for maybe the Alps and
         | only in the winter. Other continents also feature loads and
         | loads of different cultures.
         | 
         | Really, what you say is an example for why thinking about human
         | development in this way is flawed from the beginning. There are
         | no single factors responsible for the course of history.
         | Whenever you try to identify some, your view becomes so myopic
         | that it ends in these arbitrary Diamond hypotheses that require
         | endless explanations for all the obvious exceptions.
        
           | tsunamifury wrote:
           | I reject this. There are macro affects that are identifiable.
           | There may be micros and contrarian examples. But that doesn't
           | affect that macro elements influence in that circumstance.
           | 
           | But it's not like the mountains, lack of fast travel etc
           | haven't defended while holding back Afghanistan for 3000
           | years. You can argue there are a million other issues there
           | as well but that doesn't contradict that macro point.
           | 
           | I think you are lost in an attempt to be contrarian where it
           | isn't really warranted.
           | 
           | But if you want to argue with me about that ask any soldier.
        
             | cedilla wrote:
             | Trying to make a point about Afghanistan as an entity
             | across 3000 years is exactly the kind of sillyness these
             | analysis leads to.
             | 
             | Yes, there are macros, but the point is that there are
             | hundreds of them, they are all interconnected. If you pick
             | just one you either make wrong implications (like the silk
             | road region Afghanistan being isolated or lacking fast
             | travel) or extremely trivial (like mountains being
             | advantageous tageous for defenders in war)
        
         | jandrese wrote:
         | I think it is more that for best growth you need to be
         | accessible for trade over long distances, but not so accessible
         | to armies that want to pillage all the lands. This was the
         | problem China had, any time civilization gets going you have
         | some damn warlord just running around wrecking it all. But even
         | when they do consolidate power the empire is too big to
         | centrally manage and has to be extremely oppressive to prevent
         | the next warlord from repeating the same trick. This stifles
         | the economy and retards the growth of technology.
        
         | dosinga wrote:
         | re 1) Europe is surrounded by a large body of water -> that is
         | true for many continents. In fact being surrounded by water is
         | what defines a continent. Arguably Europe less so since it and
         | Asia are part of the same land mass. re 2) Is it? European
         | rivers are relatively small, the alps not that high and yeah
         | the atlantic is wide, but that's oceans for you
        
       | AnimalMuppet wrote:
       | The money quote: "Our findings point out that geography, like
       | genetics and ecology, matters, but it is not destiny."
       | 
       | That is, yes to some degree, but not as strongly as Diamond
       | claimed.
        
         | csomar wrote:
         | Doesn't geography affect genetics and ecology though?
        
           | brnaftr361 wrote:
           | The Horde didn't let that stop them, nor the Romans, not the
           | Spaniards. Certainly there were bottlenecks, but there's
           | instances of insane trade networks for instance Indus Valley
           | artifacts turning up in the EU region and South American bird
           | feathers in the Eastern US. Certainly there's some leakage
           | here and there. And indeed it's known to anthropology that
           | there are many systems to obviate inbreeding in tribal
           | societies, Aboriginals come to mind.
           | 
           | Graeber's proposition, if memory serves, was that while many
           | of the programmatic approaches are true, human volition
           | ultimately decides. I bring that up because the more I think
           | about it the more evident it becomes, it's not just
           | technology but just about anything.
           | 
           | And that was also true of his assertions on the sharing and
           | adoption of technology - for instance North American native
           | tribes refused to adopt the _obviously_ superior instruments
           | of their neighbors for cultural reasons.
        
             | falcor84 wrote:
             | > The Horde didn't let that stop them
             | 
             | Apologies for my historical ignorance, but who are The
             | Horde? I mean, I assume you don't mean the ones from
             | Warcraft, in which case I do know them.
        
               | lesuorac wrote:
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Golden_Horde
        
               | elliotec wrote:
               | They're likely referring to the Mongol empire.
        
             | mjhay wrote:
             | The Mongols and the various steppe nomad invaders before
             | them depended on the continuity of the Eurasian steppe
             | though. The long, flat, grassy expanse from Ukraine to
             | Manchuria not only supported their livestock and culture,
             | but functioned as a massive superhighway that allowed them
             | to maintain such big empires. I'm skeptical of a lot of
             | Diamond's bigger claims, but the steppe was what allowed so
             | many expert horse archers to repeatedly conquer big parts
             | of Eurasia over millennia.
        
               | AlotOfReading wrote:
               | The Mongols were absolutely not tied to the steppe. The
               | middle east, Afghanistan, the Caucasus, China, and Korea
               | are all famously mountainous and all of them quickly came
               | under mongol rule. Heck, large parts of Mongolia itself
               | are rugged. They were already well adapted to mountains
               | long before they ever left Central Asia.
        
               | mjhay wrote:
               | Of course they weren't tied to the steppe. They could
               | leave it. However, they needed to steppe to form these
               | huge empires, and conquer settled cultures in the first
               | place. This is due number of related reasons that are
               | fundamentally about the unique steppe environment:
               | 
               | 1) Large herds of horses consume monumental amounts of
               | grass, especially when they are on the move during
               | military campaigns. The steppe is suited for continuous
               | occupation by these herds in a way that most of Europe or
               | the ME isn't. The Mongol's forays into non-steppe areas
               | were limited by available grass.
               | 
               | https://www.historynet.com/mongols-on-the-march-the-
               | logistic...
               | 
               | 2) Related to this, abundant grass was why they had a
               | horse-oriented culture and economy, and why horses were
               | ridden by common people, and not just the elites - as in
               | most all other areas.
               | 
               | 3) While parts of Mongolia are mountainous and the
               | Mongols and other steppe groups ventured into them,
               | horses don't do well with very rugged terrain. Horses
               | can't make it up many or most hiking trails in the
               | American West, for example - they can't be too steep or
               | have significant obstacles. In addition, again there is
               | less grass in such areas.
               | 
               | To sum up, the Mongols and other riders needed the steppe
               | for the abundant grass. The flatness of the Eurasian
               | steppe also allowed for incredibly fast travel, which is
               | why the Mongols, Turks, and others were able to have
               | continuous cultures and empires from Europe to China.
               | 
               | Whenever the steppe conquerors conquered and ruled from
               | non-steppe areas, they could not maintain massive cavalry
               | (unless they were receiving reinforcements from the
               | steppe). This leads to the treadmill of conquest and
               | abandonment of the horse-oriented culture that made their
               | conquests possible in the first place. That happened with
               | the Iranians, Mongols, and various Turkic groups, among
               | others.
        
               | AlotOfReading wrote:
               | You're missing my point here, which is that mountainous
               | areas weren't some peripheral interstitial zone they
               | would occasionally mount expeditions to with a lot of
               | preparation and care. Rather, they were a core part of
               | the Mongolian homeland and critical to the economic
               | system of central asia. Mongolian horses were extremely
               | important to that success, with good adaptations for the
               | harsh environments and much better foraging than almost
               | anyone else's. It allowed the Mongols to mount lightning
               | fast campaigns across terrain no one else could, in
               | conditions thought impossible. This was enabled by the
               | incredible depth of experience with adverse, arid, and
               | mountainous terrain possessed by Mongol commanders. If
               | you want a specific example, look up the campaigns
               | against Qara-Khitai, which famously included an
               | expedition of ~30,000 over the Pamir mountains into
               | Afghanistan in the dead of winter.
        
         | hwillis wrote:
         | I think this is a better quote:
         | 
         | > Our analyses uncovered significant variation within
         | continents in the magnitude of ecological barriers to cultural
         | transmission, a finding that is consistent with the critique
         | that Diamond's axis of orientation hypothesis is potentially
         | reductionist and overreaching. More importantly, our results
         | indicate that areas within Eurasia do not consistently rank
         | lower than those in other continents across any cost type [...]
         | at none of the time points considered did Eurasia have any
         | clear ecological advantages over other regions. Thus, we find
         | no support for Diamond's claims during the timeframe in which
         | most societies around the world transitioned into an
         | agriculturalist mode of subsistence.
         | 
         | Diamond's central claims are about Eurasian/European dominance,
         | not a general claim about natural resources being advantages.
         | The latter is, y'know, pretty obvious.
        
       | FrustratedMonky wrote:
       | Seems like they are splitting the difference a little. It has
       | 'some' impact, but not 'as great as supposed by Diamond'?
       | 
       | It was a big theme of the Diamond book, but don't think he said
       | it was 'Everything'. I remember it being more of a proposed
       | theory, and he does focus on Geography a lot. But maybe I'm
       | splitting hairs, since it was such a big theme of his book, it
       | might be the only thing people remember.
        
         | AlotOfReading wrote:
         | You're missing a lot of context surrounding the book. Academics
         | have always acknowledged that geography impacts societies to
         | _some_ degree. There would have been no point in writing GG &S
         | if that was the only argument.
         | 
         | Diamond's actual argument is that it's a major, possibly
         | primary factor. He then went on a speaking tour where he told
         | anyone who was dismissive of his grand narrative that they
         | should stop waffling about how complex the factors influence
         | societies are and make their own grand narrative instead.
        
           | FrustratedMonky wrote:
           | Yeah.
           | 
           | Lot of comments here are really debating what the word "Some"
           | means.
           | 
           | Geography has "Some" impact to "Some" degree.
           | 
           | At what point does "Some" become a "Major" influence.
           | 
           | It was a major theme of the book, so if this current study
           | indicates it was not 'major', only 'some'. Guess that is
           | still valuable re-quantification.
           | 
           | Think all the methods used in the study are pretty valuable.
           | Whether we agree or not with Diamond, I think this current
           | study is good to quantify it.
        
         | hwillis wrote:
         | > Our analyses uncovered significant variation within
         | continents in the magnitude of ecological barriers to cultural
         | transmission, a finding that is consistent with the critique
         | that Diamond's axis of orientation hypothesis is potentially
         | reductionist and overreaching. More importantly, our results
         | indicate that areas within Eurasia do not consistently rank
         | lower than those in other continents across any cost type [...]
         | at none of the time points considered did Eurasia have any
         | clear ecological advantages over other regions. Thus, we find
         | no support for Diamond's claims during the timeframe in which
         | most societies around the world transitioned into an
         | agriculturalist mode of subsistence.
         | 
         | Pretty unambiguous
        
           | FrustratedMonky wrote:
           | Guess I only read the summary, where they are more guarded.
           | 
           | ""Environmental heterogeneity along Eurasia's major corridors
           | of cultural transmission was not significantly lower than
           | observed in other continents. One of the authors, Russell
           | Gray from the Max Planck Institute for Evolutionary
           | Anthropology, summarizes the results by saying, "Our findings
           | point out that geography, like genetics and ecology, matters,
           | but it is not destiny."
           | 
           | Senior author of the study, Carlos Botero from the University
           | of Texas at Austin, concludes with a word of caution, "We do
           | not claim, by any means, to have a definitive answer on
           | whether the wheels of history turned at different speeds in
           | different parts of the world.""
        
       | cubefox wrote:
       | So the study didn't yield any major interesting results, or am I
       | missing something?
        
         | Gimpei wrote:
         | You're kind of missing something. The interesting result is
         | that they didn't find evidence for Diamond's theory, which
         | isn't so surprising to me. The world is a very complicated
         | place and mono causality is, almost surely, never the case.
        
           | FrustratedMonky wrote:
           | "didn't find evidence".
           | 
           | I thought they did, it just wasn't very pronounced. There was
           | impact, but not to the degree the Diamond book theorized.
           | 
           | "didn't" makes it sound a lot more definitive than the paper
           | said.
        
         | hwillis wrote:
         | > Our analyses uncovered significant variation within
         | continents in the magnitude of ecological barriers to cultural
         | transmission, a finding that is consistent with the critique
         | that Diamond's axis of orientation hypothesis is potentially
         | reductionist and overreaching. More importantly, our results
         | indicate that areas within Eurasia do not consistently rank
         | lower than those in other continents across any cost type [...]
         | at none of the time points considered did Eurasia have any
         | clear ecological advantages over other regions. Thus, we find
         | no support for Diamond's claims during the timeframe in which
         | most societies around the world transitioned into an
         | agriculturalist mode of subsistence.
        
       | vonnik wrote:
       | This paper is a nothing burger.
       | 
       | Diamond's analysis was not single factor.
       | 
       | But if we stick with geography, how many isthmuses create
       | bottlenecks for migration annd exchange across Eurasia?
       | 
       | Look at the Middle East, which touches the Nile, the
       | Mediterranean, the Black, Caspian and Red Seas, and the Tigris
       | and Euphrates. How much of it is within 100 miles of temperate
       | and navigable water?Now look at North America.
       | 
       | It was easier to convert energy to motion over long distances in
       | a denser network of trade at the nexus of Eurasia.
        
         | hwillis wrote:
         | > Diamond's analysis was not single factor.
         | 
         | Figure 4 of the paper shows 7 different factors, including
         | sophisticated proxies like literally analyzing connecting
         | paths.
        
       | Depurator wrote:
       | Isn't it quite naive to use a calculation of the path of least
       | resistance to account for travel costs which the whole argument
       | relies upon? Early civilizations would settle close to rivers and
       | travel on th rivers and along the coasts. It seems like this
       | model does not take this into account.
       | 
       | So when they calculate differences in environmental barriers
       | across continents, it seems important to take water ways into
       | account, which would lead to eurasia having an upper hand over at
       | least NA and Africa. I'm not saying that Diamonds original
       | argument holds, and its great that they try to test the
       | hypothesis.
        
         | hwillis wrote:
         | > Early civilizations would settle close to rivers and travel
         | on th rivers and along the coasts. It seems like this model
         | does not take this into account.
         | 
         | https://static.cambridge.org/content/id/urn%3Acambridge.org%...
         | 
         | The path cost is dependent on the aridity of the path. They
         | also used examples that specifically contradict your assertion-
         | For instance they looked at an agricultural origin in Ethiopia
         | which should have had easy access all the way to Egypt because
         | of the Nile river. Why didn't culture spread from there instead
         | of from Mesopotamia or Egypt, where those civilizations are at
         | the _end_ of their rivers and don 't get any travel benefit?
        
       | rossdavidh wrote:
       | So, "In line with Diamond's thinking, the team found that
       | environmental factors and topographic and travel costs hinder the
       | spread of a wide array of cultural traits, including some that
       | directly relate to social development (e.g., dominant mode of
       | subsistence, domestic animal type, political complexity traits).
       | However, their findings showed that contrary to Diamond's
       | expectations, Eurasia is about as ecologically heterogeneous as
       | other regions of our world."
       | 
       | Interesting work, but I'm not sure that it is all that counter to
       | Diamond's expectations, that Eurasia is as ecologically
       | heterogeneous. The thesis was that, because temperate regions
       | connect to temperate regions (as opposed to the N-S orientation
       | in the Americas where the two temperate regions are separated by
       | tropical ones), stuff like domesticated animals or crops could
       | spread more easily. It wasn't that Eurasia was ecologically
       | homogeneous, it was that temperate regions connect to each other,
       | tropical regions connect to each other, etc.
        
         | hwillis wrote:
         | You're misinterpreting what the paper means when it says
         | homogeneous. They're using it to describe the exact thing you
         | are: the corridors and connections between areas, specifically
         | places where domestication originated. They found, contrary to
         | Diamond's assertions, that the locations of many of the places
         | agriculture originated were actually cut off by very hostile
         | terrain. Like how the fertile crescent is surrounded by
         | deserts, but Diamond incorrectly uses it as an example of a
         | place where it should have been easy to pass agriculture to
         | surrounding areas.
         | 
         | > Our second set of analyses compared the distribution of
         | ecological barriers to cultural transmission between 16
         | important areas of the globe: centres of agricultural origin.
         | While the first set of analyses tests a key ecological
         | assumption in Diamond's theory (ecological biases in cultural
         | spread), it is this second set of analyses that tackles (and
         | casts doubt upon) Diamond's overarching message: Eurasia
         | benefitted from a more homogenous environment along its major
         | corridors of cultural transmission. One of his most prominent
         | arguments in this regard was that agriculture spread very
         | rapidly out of the Fertile Crescent. Contrary to that view, we
         | found that this particular region can actually experience
         | stronger environmental barriers within the corridors of
         | agricultural spread than those observed in other centres of
         | agricultural origin. This trend is particularly observable when
         | considering aridity turnover at both close- and long-range, as
         | well as close-range topographic costs. The likely reason for
         | this discrepancy is that even though the Fertile Crescent has
         | access to a larger area of contiguous landmass at similar
         | latitudes than many of its peers (Diamond's main argument), it
         | is nevertheless more ecologically atypical for its
         | surroundings. Most notably, the Fertile Crescent is nourished
         | by rivers but surrounded by large deserts, and these strong
         | gradients in access to water are further compounded by nearby
         | changes in prevailing winds and elevation (Figure S15). These
         | findings remind us that dramatic changes in habitat and climate
         | can occur even within small spatial scales. In contrast to the
         | Fertile Crescent (and other Eurasian areas), South Tropical
         | China, the Lower-Middle Yangtze and the Chinese plateau stand
         | out as having low aridity related costs compared with most
         | centres of agriculture origin. South Tropical China also shows
         | low to mid-range temperature turnover values. Both aridity and
         | temperature regimes would have been important for the spread of
         | rice agriculture (d'Alpoim Guedes & Butler, Reference d'Alpoim
         | Guedes and Butler2014; Gutaker et al., Reference Gutaker,
         | Groen, Bellis, Choi, Pires and Purugganan2020), although
         | archaeological evidence shows that human-directed water
         | management systems were developed early and were part of the
         | success of rice as a crop in these regions (Fuller & Qin,
         | Reference Fuller and Qin2009). Thus, humans were working
         | towards hijacking the conditions that were set for their crops
         | by the local environment, a finding that strengthens the need
         | to consider cultural factors when understanding crop
         | domestication. Our results show that close-range topographic
         | travel costs are not trivial in South Tropical China, and the
         | Lower-Middle Yangtze and the Chinese plateau show one of the
         | highest barrier levels along this axis. Thus overall, we do not
         | find a consensus of universal low environmental barriers to
         | cultural spread in Eurasian areas, as hypothesised based on
         | Eurasia's East-West dominant continental axis.
        
           | perrygeo wrote:
           | > ecological barriers... close-range topographic travel costs
           | 
           | I don't find this analysis very compelling. Sure there is
           | local heterogeneity everywhere at every scale. But the
           | important question is why would humans cross those barriers
           | in the first place? Clearly there is a cost and some were
           | willing to pay it. What's the reward on the other side?
           | 
           | In Eurasia, crossing the desert surrounding the Fertile
           | Cresent would have lead to a myriad of diverse habitats, with
           | optionality in all directions. In North America, crossing the
           | high desert of Mexico from the north puts you into a narrow
           | strip of jungle with no option to go anywhere but through it
           | - a dead end. This is not an insignificant difference!
           | 
           | So while the ecosystems are locally homogeneous as the paper
           | describes, it doesn't touch the core of Diamond's thesis -
           | that the unique geography of the continents afforded entirely
           | different travel opportunities - the reason why humans
           | decided to cross those barriers in the first place.
        
             | AlotOfReading wrote:
             | Crossing the high deserts of Mexico from the north puts you
             | in one of the most agriculturally productive and
             | ecologically diverse regions in the world: Mesoamerica. You
             | have to go pretty far south to find what you're talking
             | about. A lot of people, crops, and animals crossed that gap
             | over the millennia too. Maize for instance, or the coati
             | whose native range runs from Arizona to Brazil.
        
             | hwillis wrote:
             | its open source. If you want to rerun it with a logarithmic
             | cost function, go ahead.
        
       | sojuz151 wrote:
       | My biggest problem is that this hypothesis does not explain why
       | farming started so much later in the Americas than in Eurasia.
       | From Wikipedia "approximate centres of origin of agriculture and
       | its spread in prehistory: the Fertile Crescent (11,000 BP), the
       | Yangtze and Yellow River basins (9,000 BP) and the Papua New
       | Guinea Highlands (9,000-6,000 BP), Central Mexico (5,000-4,000
       | BP), Northern South America (5,000-4,000 BP), sub-Saharan Africa
       | (5,000-4,000 BP, exact location unknown), eastern North America
       | (4,000-3,000 BP). " and American civilisation were about 4
       | thousand years behind Eurasia when it come to technology.
        
         | FrustratedMonky wrote:
         | They be getting fat on that Buffalo. No need to farm. Just,
         | hunting, smoking, party times.
         | 
         | Edit: or seriously some, maybe there wasn't a drive to need it.
        
         | nerdponx wrote:
         | Do we even have a clear sense of how densely-populated North
         | America was 7000 years ago? Were there just not enough people?
         | Was the climate suitable? Was it harder to domesticate American
         | plants for agriculture than Eurasian plants? Etc. I feel like
         | there are a lot of possible factors that could cause farming to
         | develop late, which are unrelated to the validity or non-
         | validity of the hypothesis.
        
         | perrygeo wrote:
         | The Cucurbita pepo squash was domesticated 10k years ago in the
         | Americas. So there was absolutely small-scale "agriculture"
         | throughout the Americas, roughly on the same timeline as Asia.
         | In fact, they were experts at it (see the Three Sisters - one
         | of the most brilliant sustainable agricultural technologies
         | ever invented with no rival in Eurasia).
         | 
         | So Americans knew of advanced planting techniques but didn't
         | deploy them at scale for another 6k years. Why? The population
         | had not yet risen to the density that necessitated full-scale,
         | crop-dependent communities. Far from being behind the
         | technology curve, I'd interpret this as wise governance and
         | population management to avoid resorting to a lifestyle that
         | some viewed as a low-class labor. Why break your back toiling
         | in the field when you can eat buffalo and fish?
        
       | numeromancer wrote:
       | A detailed criticism of Diamond's hypothesis:
       | 
       | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dFECyeihuZY
        
       | Log_out_ wrote:
       | This sounds not very thorough. The cultural movement vector
       | accelerators are quite visible. The mediterranen coas allowed
       | several cultures to create trade networks.
       | 
       | And the eastern steppes allowed military raid alliances to put
       | military evolutionary pressure on kingdom and empires.
       | 
       | The self sufficient battle sponge like structure of central
       | Europe promoted constant cultural competition (unlike nowadays).
       | 
       | The model they used must be flawed.
        
       | beefman wrote:
       | This is such a weird idea. It's not the whole of Asia that
       | developed earlier, but Europe. Which has predominately a North-
       | South axis. But that is not even correct. Civilization forms on
       | coastlines. Europe's coast is also predominately North-South. So
       | is the Nile's. So is China's, where the vast majority of Chinese
       | live. But the Mediterranean's isn't. So it doesn't matter,
       | because it obviously doesn't.
       | 
       | Diamond's book is full of nonsense like this.
        
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