[HN Gopher] How Two Irish Businessmen Almost Took Nigeria for $11B
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       How Two Irish Businessmen Almost Took Nigeria for $11B
        
       Author : pseudolus
       Score  : 33 points
       Date   : 2024-02-12 16:39 UTC (6 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (nytimes.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (nytimes.com)
        
       | pseudolus wrote:
       | http://archive.today/NEh2L
        
       | sgu999 wrote:
       | > He would have to surrender a sum of taxpayer dollars that
       | equaled five times the budget for education and 10 times the
       | budget for public health.
       | 
       | I can't imagine for a second the state of mind of someone who
       | thinks that's OK as long as they can make money.
       | 
       | That these Quinn and Cahill and the ones in London who arbitrated
       | in their favour can be free, and very likely richer than most
       | good people are, makes me loose all faith in our stupid
       | civilisation.
        
         | alephnerd wrote:
         | > I can't imagine for a second the state of mind of someone who
         | thinks that's OK as long as they can make money.
         | 
         | Devil's advocate, but they can rationalize it because the
         | education and public health budget is anyhow going to be
         | embezzled by some Minister (eg. the current Education Minister
         | of Nigeria [0]) or local politician.
         | 
         | The amount of rot and corruption in LDCs is insane, as
         | governance and institutions are inherently rotten.
         | 
         | The only solution in such an environment is to be corrupt like
         | everyone else, and hope there are enough suckers motivated by
         | ideals like "patriotism" or "responsibility" in order to
         | continue managing development.
         | 
         | This is why you see a brain drain from a number of LDCs - a lot
         | of smart people don't want to live in that kind of an
         | environment. It's very soul crushing.
         | 
         | Edit: Devil's Advocate means I'm arguing for a position I am
         | morally opposed to. This doesn't mean I support this kind of
         | corruption.
         | 
         | [0] - https://eng.fatshimetrie.org/2024/01/07/corruption-
         | scandal-n...
        
           | r00fus wrote:
           | > Devil's advocate, but they can rationalize it because the
           | education and public health budget is anyhow going to be
           | embezzled by some Minister (eg. the current Education
           | Minister of Nigeria [0]) or local politician.
           | 
           | Yeah, the bullshit self-justification that "someone will
           | steal it, it might as well be me" is definitely what any
           | functioning society is ostensibly designed to handle (either
           | to formalize it for autocracies or prevent it from disrupting
           | for republics).
        
             | alephnerd wrote:
             | > is definitely what any functioning society is ostensibly
             | designed to handle
             | 
             | That's how I know you grew up in an Upper Middle Class
             | American household.
             | 
             | Newsflash - humans suck.
             | 
             | America used to be this corrupt 50-60 years ago as well,
             | but it required generational bipartisan reforms to change.
             | 
             | You can't expect a county that's still in the economic
             | equivalent of the 1910s-20s to speedrun generational
             | legislative changes.
             | 
             | Take a look at European countries like Poland, Hungary,
             | Portugal, Greece, etc. They might be "developed" in the
             | sense that there are shiny buildings and people aren't
             | starving to death anymore, but wheeling and dealing,
             | cronyism, and judicial+legislative tampering still occur.
             | 
             | -----------
             | 
             | Also, view corruption as a feature, not a bug.
             | 
             | In developing countries, you don't rule by ideology, you
             | rule by pure unadulterated power.
             | 
             | Before the internet, you could shoot someone in a ditch and
             | it won't trend on Twitter or IG.
             | 
             | Now it will, so the best solution to maintain compliance is
             | to use corruption as a way to keep everyone in line - all
             | politicians in these countries partake in it, but if they
             | don't listen to leadership, they will be prosecuted for it.
        
       | nickff wrote:
       | > _" Bryant Garth, a law professor who wrote the standard history
       | book on arbitration, told me that the P.&I.D. process showed the
       | danger of the arbitration system's being manipulated by a greedy
       | actor. "It treats the state as if it's just another business," he
       | said, "rather than the representative of the people.""_
       | 
       | Calling a series of rapaciously corrupt administrations which
       | often engage in electoral fraud[1] 'representative of the people'
       | seems laughably charitable. I'm also unsure of why anyone would
       | engage in business with a state if the latter were permitted to
       | do whatever it wanted, whenever it wanted, without regard to its
       | own commitments, simply by invoking its 'representation'.
       | 
       | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_government_of_Nigeria
        
         | alephnerd wrote:
         | > why anyone would engage in business with a state if the
         | latter were permitted to do whatever it wanted
         | 
         | High risk, high reward.
         | 
         | Also the state isn't permitted to do whatever it wants if it
         | wishes to remain a part of the global financial system.
        
           | nickff wrote:
           | > _" Also the state isn't permitted to do whatever it wants
           | if it wishes to remain a part of the global financial system.
           | "_
           | 
           | International arbitration is supposed to enforce this, and is
           | exactly what the quote is against.
        
           | NoboruWataya wrote:
           | > Also the state isn't permitted to do whatever it wants if
           | it wishes to remain a part of the global financial system.
           | 
           | Interestingly, the article also paints this fact in a fairly
           | cynical light.
           | 
           | > A country that doesn't pay its arbitration bills can wind
           | up blackballed by foreign investors. "Rather than hopelessly
           | resist," Born told me, "the overwhelming majority of parties
           | voluntarily comply."
           | 
           | Those damned foreign investors, not wanting to do business
           | with corrupt governments that screw them.
        
           | gwern wrote:
           | > High risk, high reward.
           | 
           | Which usually means _no_ trade because for many transactions,
           | the required sufficiently high reward would outweigh the
           | intended gains. So you get deadweight loss. Think of a lemon
           | market for used cars. Yes, there will still be _some_
           | transactions for cars which look like a sufficiently
           | astounding bargain, but overall, both buyers and sellers are
           | much worse off.
        
             | alephnerd wrote:
             | The world isn't as rational as your blog tries to make it.
             | Some people (not me) are fine with taking the risk, or have
             | additional aces up their sleeves.
             | 
             | Corruption works thanks to information asymmetry. In other
             | cases, this is (sadly) just standard operating procedure.
        
           | cherryteastain wrote:
           | > Also the state isn't permitted to do whatever it wants if
           | it wishes to remain a part of the global financial system.
           | 
           | Unless the state in question is USA. USA can do whatever it
           | wants.
        
         | pcrh wrote:
         | The "capitalists" in this story don't come out smelling of
         | roses either.
        
       | vittore wrote:
       | How you like them apples, Prince!
        
       | karaterobot wrote:
       | > The solution to the money problem came from a lawyer named
       | Seamus Andrew, who had represented P.&I.D. in arbitration. Andrew
       | worked in litigation finance -- he took on cases with a high
       | possible reward, then found investors to fund the court battle.
       | After P.&I.D. won the arbitration, Andrew foresaw a costly legal
       | challenge, so he made a deal with VR Capital, a London-based
       | hedge fund that focused on exactly these sorts of "specialized
       | situations."
       | 
       | Ahh, one of those firms where the interview process is that you
       | have to unironically recite Al Pacino's monologue from _The Devil
       | 's Advocate_. It takes a lot to make the government of Nigeria
       | look like the innocent party.
        
       | pcrh wrote:
       | What a nest of vipers!
       | 
       | And that twist in the end....
       | 
       | >The hedge fund that bankrolled P.&I.D.'s defense in London, VR
       | Capital, stood to make a profit if the verdict had gone its way.
       | After the bribery allegations came out, the fund took action to
       | hedge its investment: It filed an arbitration case against
       | Brendan Cahill and Lismore Capital, Seamus Andrew's litigation-
       | funding company. According to VR, Cahill and Andrew took its $45
       | million but misled them about how P.&I.D. had won the contract to
       | begin with.
        
       | tilwidnk wrote:
       | It's behind a paywall, why post a link to an article that can't
       | be read?
       | 
       | Also, I wonder if the recent crash that killed a Nigerian Bank
       | CEO and his family is related to this?
       | 
       | https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/other/nigerian-bank-executiv...
        
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       (page generated 2024-02-12 23:02 UTC)