[HN Gopher] Neal Stephenson was prescient about our AI age
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Neal Stephenson was prescient about our AI age
        
       Author : Rant423
       Score  : 126 points
       Date   : 2024-02-07 12:14 UTC (10 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.theatlantic.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.theatlantic.com)
        
       | jpm_sd wrote:
       | https://archive.is/mBH2q
        
       | suoduandao3 wrote:
       | The Young Lady's Illustrated Primer is an excellent book. I was
       | intrigued to learn it's also one of the top recommended books by
       | Tim Ferris guests. I wonder how many separate reasons there were
       | for that.
        
         | histories wrote:
         | "Kids need to get answers from humans who love them".
         | 
         | https://old.reddit.com/r/Fantasy/comments/vdt11/i_am_neal_st...
        
           | AlchemistCamp wrote:
           | Thank you for sharing this!
           | 
           |  _The Diamond Age_ was one of my favorite books and Neil 's
           | answer distilled and clarified a major theme of the book
           | perfectly.
        
           | giraffe_lady wrote:
           | God dammit I wish I had seen that a few months ago when there
           | was a dozens-long HN thread where people were arguing that
           | that wasn't what he meant or that it wasn't important to the
           | success/failure of the different branches of that project in
           | the book.
        
         | Karellen wrote:
         | > The Young Lady's Illustrated Primer is an excellent book.
         | 
         | Wait, did you mean _The Diamond Age_ is an excellent book?
         | Or... has someone made /written the book-within-the-book into
         | an actual (e-?)book?
        
           | ceejayoz wrote:
           | The full title of the book is _The Diamond Age: Or, A Young
           | Lady 's Illustrated Primer_.
        
             | Karellen wrote:
             | Yeah, but if you're referring to a book, it's customary to
             | refer to it by its main title, rather than just its
             | subtitle. Especially when the subtitle is also the name of
             | a different book, even if that book is a fictional book
             | within the book.
             | 
             | If I started talking about how great _The Modern
             | Prometheus_ is, people would generally either a) be very
             | confused, or b) think I was a totally pretentious dickwad
             | for not simply calling it _Frankenstein_.
        
               | suoduandao3 wrote:
               | I guess that's a misunderstanding of protocols on my
               | part, because the subtitle began with 'or', I assumed 'A
               | Young Lady's Illustrated Primer' was an alternate title
               | and an alternate way to refer to it.
        
           | sl-1 wrote:
           | I think it is the subtext of the book: "The Diamond Age: Or,
           | A Young Lady's Illustrated Primer" [1]
           | 
           | 1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Diamond_Age
        
           | exe34 wrote:
           | I kept thinking it should be possible to make something like
           | it back in the day, and now with LLMs and deepfake, it's even
           | closer to reality!
        
             | sigilis wrote:
             | I've seriously toyed with the concept. It may be possible
             | now to get an application like that on a tablet, offloading
             | computation to OpenAI and its ilk, but it wouldn't be
             | reliable. We're not good enough at text and image
             | generation to do it autonomously yet. We're a little better
             | at speech synthesis than Stephenson predicted, but it might
             | still be nice to have a ractor too.
        
         | timmg wrote:
         | Interestingly, I started reading it over xmas break -- based on
         | a recommendation. I got, probably, a quarter of the way through
         | it before I went back to work. And I haven't felt the urge to
         | pick it up again.
         | 
         | I was reading above comments about how liking NS is a matter of
         | taste. So I'm not sure if I just "don't get it" or if maybe
         | it's just "not my type of story."
         | 
         | FWIW, so far, I just simply don't care about any of the
         | characters. Just curious for those that like the novel: should
         | I? Or is it more about the ruminations of technology that is
         | important in this book?
        
           | suoduandao3 wrote:
           | Like a lot of nerdy scifi writers, NS's characters can come
           | off a little... archetypal rather than complex or subtle.
           | It's a lot more pronounced in his shorter works, as there's a
           | lot more internal dialogue in his longer ones - if you find
           | that a deal breaker, it's not confined to the start of the
           | book.
           | 
           | It might help to think of the characters as archetypal
           | because he's writing about the future and these archetypes
           | will be present in the future - the people who make history
           | will seem a bit cartoonish because they'll be more extreme in
           | their behaviour.
           | 
           | And if that doesn't satisfy you might still like his longer
           | books like Anathem - the characters were still recognizeable
           | there, but there was a lot more humanity to their behaviour.
        
           | pchristensen wrote:
           | I've read a couple NS books. I feel like the plots and
           | characters are the dues to be paid in order to explore the
           | SCI for concepts and worlds. Kind of like the stitching
           | between action/chase scenes in a Fast and Furious movie. The
           | plot is not the point.
        
       | batch12 wrote:
       | I'll probably get roasted for this, but-
       | 
       | After reading all the love here for Stephenson here for years, I
       | went and bought a few books (snow crash, diamond age, etc),
       | intending to power through them. I am a pretty avid reader when I
       | am in the mood and enjoy fiction including sci-fi, fantasy,
       | *punk, etc. I couldn't get through Snow Crash. It didn't feel
       | like a finished book to me. If I remember correctly it seemed
       | like things like river names had placeholders and even saw some
       | errors in the text. What am I missing?
        
         | imp0cat wrote:
         | They are not for the faint of heart. :)
         | 
         | But I personally found both Snow Crash and Diamond Age quite
         | interesting.
        
         | devilbunny wrote:
         | If you don't like Snow Crash, you probably just won't like
         | Stephenson. If you don't like Snow Crash _and_ The Diamond Age,
         | you definitely shouldn't bother with the rest of his works.
         | You've tried him fairly; he's just not for you.
        
           | MarcScott wrote:
           | I didn't like either of them very much, but I've really
           | enjoyed other books of his.
           | 
           | - The Rise and Fall of D.O.D.O.
           | 
           | - Seveneves
           | 
           | - Cryptonomicon
           | 
           | - Anathem
           | 
           | - Reamde
           | 
           | - Fall; or, Dodge in Hell (Although the metaworld parts in
           | that get a little tiresome)
        
             | ElevenLathe wrote:
             | Yeah honestly he just keeps getting better IMO. Seveneves
             | in particular gives me chills just thinking about -- so
             | dark at points.
             | 
             | Likewise, I think the Blue Ant books are Gibson's best
             | work, though I have a strong attachment to Mona Lisa
             | Overdrive just because of where I was in life when I first
             | read it.
        
               | themadturk wrote:
               | Nice to see love for the Blue Ant books. I enjoy
               | everything Gibson has written, but _Pattern Recognition_
               | is by far my favorite.
        
             | tsujamin wrote:
             | Loved Seveneves and Fall, in particular the little slice of
             | Ameristan in the Fall, but I feel like in both cases they
             | are great books with a mediocre book attached to the end.
        
             | gorjusborg wrote:
             | Cryptonomicon has such an epic build up...
        
               | Melting_Harps wrote:
               | > Cryptonomicon has such an epic build up...
               | 
               | And was probably the most prophetic of all his work, to
               | be honest Snowcrash was total satire, and fan-service: it
               | was much like the Crypto-anarchist Sloath short-story he
               | wrote (THE GREAT SIMOLEON CAPER) it was meant to appeal
               | to a a certain audience and really no one else. It was
               | widely distributed (it was in TIME back when that was a
               | big deal in the 90s at the peak of Silicon valley's foray
               | with Crypto Anarchy) but ultimately targeted content to a
               | specific demographic, which would illicit a certain
               | response. Few if any every bring this up when discussing
               | NS' bibliography.
               | 
               | Its like Solar Opposites is a riff of Rick and Morty
               | where the Rick character is put in a different universe
               | and rides that story-line as far as it can before it gets
               | tiresome but has a b-plot to carry it through for the
               | audience to make it an entire season.
               | 
               | And while Snowcrash was... mediocre (in my opinion)
               | things like Sushi-K rapping or the hi-jinks of Uncle
               | Enzo's Pizza delivery business are exactly the kind of
               | hokey material one would expect from such subject matter
               | that would land for said demographic. Is it a good
               | representation of the Cyberpunk genre, as a fan,
               | absolutely not.
               | 
               | Also wasn't Amazon supposed to make a series about
               | Snowcrash and has been 'in the works' [0] for like 7
               | years now? They canceled The Peripheral which was kind of
               | a rip-off Snowcrash and that had good reviews, I can't
               | imagine they'd really try to try to flesh-out the
               | Metaverse when 85% of Snowcrash is just filler with an
               | incredibly bad ending.
               | 
               | Hell, Amazon canceled The Expanse despite having a ton of
               | more original content and being quite the cash cow, the
               | books still sell incredibly well and the fans are die
               | hard, many of them signed up for Amazon specifically for
               | the last seasons and canceled when it was over.
               | 
               | Personally, I think with costly shows like GT getting the
               | axe and Clacrkson's Farm (something I enjoy more) being
               | what is left from the trio it shows that Amazon doesn't
               | have the wear-withal to see such immense things through
               | in my opinion so we may never see Hiro or YT on screen.
               | 
               | 0: https://www.theverge.com/2017/9/29/16383994/amazon-
               | streaming...
        
               | datadrivenangel wrote:
               | And it has the several page digression about the best way
               | to eat captain crunch where one of the characters has
               | just gotten out of jail and is thinking about inventing a
               | spoon to deliver milk perfectly to the cereal!
               | 
               | Good book, but Neal would benefit from a stronger editor.
        
               | arethuza wrote:
               | Some people think those are the best bits of his books!
        
               | FrustratedMonky wrote:
               | Yeah, agree. If you take away all of his digressions, how
               | much would be left.
               | 
               | Everyone hating on the digressions.
               | 
               | But you can't just have a few pages of plot points and
               | call it a book.
        
               | jspiral wrote:
               | in the future our personal editors will create our own
               | editions of these books. mine will have an even longer
               | captain crunch section and yours will be abbreviated
        
             | 2024throwaway wrote:
             | Seveneves is probably my favorite book, ever. I have the
             | audio book and I'll probably listen to it for a 3rd time
             | here soon.
        
               | somenameforme wrote:
               | I stopped reading Seveneves after we zoom forward to the
               | future and stuff got weird, a bit too weird for my
               | suspension of disbelief. Does it get back to more hard
               | sci-fi stuff or remain as something which, to me, felt
               | more like a sci-fantasy hybrid?
               | 
               | Oddly enough I love books like Dune, but the dramatic
               | change in Seveneves was just too jarring for me to
               | continue enjoying it.
        
               | 2024throwaway wrote:
               | I would argue the sci-fi indeed gets so hard, that it
               | becomes soft again by nature. The technology falls away
               | from the focus, as it should, but it is still very much
               | there.
        
               | ghaff wrote:
               | I think it's pretty clear from the comments here that
               | there are those of us who just can't really buy the jump-
               | cut and there are those who can.
        
               | auspiv wrote:
               | I was listening to it on audio book and after the "5000
               | years later" I paused it and didn't pick it back up for a
               | long while. Slogged through the rest. Won't read/listen
               | to it again. The ending was ok. This was my first
               | Stephenson book. Not going to do more.
        
               | JackFr wrote:
               | Loved Seveneves, but it is one of the best examples of
               | his not having an ending.
        
               | 2024throwaway wrote:
               | I love the world building of the 2nd half, and would
               | argue it doesn't need a clear ending. Your imagination
               | gets to fill in the blanks.
        
               | TeaBrain wrote:
               | While some other of his books do not have the most
               | satisfying endings, Seveneves was the only one where it
               | seemed like he simply gave up trying when writing the
               | last 5%. Compared to the previous sections, the end just
               | seemed like it had no effort put into it. Everything
               | after the death of the doc just seemed abrupt and clumsy.
               | It seemed jarring compared to how much care he seemed to
               | put into the detail of the earlier passages.
        
               | jes5199 wrote:
               | I hear people say that a lot but I don't get it. I
               | experienced it as a hopeless, depressing slog, where
               | things just got worse and worse. But fortunately I wasn't
               | attached to the characters so it wasn't so bad watching
               | them all suffer.
        
               | bmurphy1976 wrote:
               | I agree with you, you are not alone. Seveneves had some
               | great ideas, but he spent way too much time on the
               | science and put almost nothing into character
               | development. The characters were so flat, the
               | interactions and motivations were lacking, and ultimately
               | I just didn't care about any of them. I can't recall a
               | single character from Seveneves but while I can't
               | remember all their names I very much do remember the
               | characters from Snow Crash.
        
           | eigenket wrote:
           | I think that is quite innacurate. He wrote Snow Crash in
           | 1992, if you compare it to Diamond age in 1995 or later stuff
           | like Anathem or Cryptonomicon its pretty obvious his writing
           | changed (in my opinion improved) quite a lot over the years.
           | 
           | Snow Crash has similar themes to the other works, but its
           | more raw, less polished and kinda less professional than the
           | writing he did later on. Its definitely possible for someone
           | to not really get on with his early stuff, but really like
           | his later stuff (or even vice-versa if you enjoy the less
           | polished style).
        
             | busterarm wrote:
             | He wrote The Big U in 1984 and that's a super fun,
             | approachable, readable book. He also hates it.
             | 
             | I didn't find Snow Crash to be particularly inspiring but
             | The Diamond Age is absolutely where he peaked for me. After
             | that there's just too much fart-sniffing.
             | 
             | Stephenson's work has a lot of ideas worth wrestling with
             | but as far as crafting a narrative he's weak and fans of
             | his use the former to cover for the latter.
        
               | eigenket wrote:
               | That's interesting. I haven't read The Big U, I should
               | pick it up.
               | 
               | For me my enjoyment of his books is pretty close to
               | inversely proportional to the amount of weird sex stuff
               | he puts in them. Anathem has none, and I think its one of
               | his best, Snow Crash goes pretty hard, Diamond Age is
               | mostly good but then the end of the book is randomly a
               | weird sex-powered computer thing.
        
               | nickhalfasleep wrote:
               | The Big U has it's faults; but is still an insightful
               | look at the weird people and organizations within any
               | large university.
        
               | pavel_lishin wrote:
               | > _After that there 's just too much fart-sniffing._
               | 
               | If I'm correctly identifying what you consider "fart-
               | sniffing" in his works, then often those farts are my
               | most favorite bits. The little digressions, the impromptu
               | lessons, the D-plots - love 'em.
        
               | abecedarius wrote:
               | I'd rate The Diamond Age and Cryptonomicon as his peak --
               | the mid-to-late 90s.
        
               | klyrs wrote:
               | Does he hate it? The last thing I saw him say about the
               | Big U was that he tends to omit it from his bibliography
               | because it's not what his readers are looking for.
               | Personally, I read him in chronological order and enjoyed
               | both the Big U and Zodiac -- if nothing else, it was fun
               | to watch him grow (and not) as an author.
        
               | busterarm wrote:
               | As he put it: "The Big U is what it is: a first novel
               | written in a hurry by a young man a long time ago."
               | 
               | It was out of print for a long time and he sort of had to
               | be convinced to make the book available to read again
               | after large demand.
        
             | ben_w wrote:
             | I'd also say it's inaccurate, but mainly because of the
             | wildly different preferences everyone has about which of
             | his books to prefer.
             | 
             | For me, Snow Crash was great fun (though also seemed a bit
             | too similar to William Gibson's Neuromancer), Cryptonomicon
             | was an excellent historical novel with some weird "present
             | day" scenes including an ending that made no sense, I
             | couldn't get into Diamond Age, I hated Quicksilver, and
             | Seveneves seemed to be two excellent books written in the
             | same universe by completely different authors who only
             | talked to each about the project for about five minutes.
        
               | flir wrote:
               | Snow Crash is parodying cyberpunk (I think). Hence the
               | strong Neuromancer vibes, it's intentionally derivative.
               | 
               | Cryptonomicon is my personal high point. The Baroque
               | Cycle had set pieces just as good as those in
               | Cryptonomicon, but there were too many characters for me
               | to hold in my head.
        
             | aidenn0 wrote:
             | I agree; everything he wrote post _Diamond Age_ and
             | everything he wrote pre _Diamond Age_ are very different,
             | with _Diamand Age_ and _Cryptonomicon_ being transitional.
             | I read _Cryptonomicon_ once with no plans to complete it. I
             | didn 't finish _Anathem_ nor _Quicksilver_. _Diamond Age_
             | was peak Stephenson for me, and I enjoyed all of his
             | previous books (including _The Big U_ ).
             | 
             | [edit]
             | 
             | I didn't read anything Stephenson wrote post _Quicksilver_
             | since everybody assured me that they were more of the
             | "new" Stephenson than old. However, I see enough people in
             | the comment threads panning _README_ that I might give it a
             | try.
        
               | WorldMaker wrote:
               | Anathem has his best ending to date, so it actually pays
               | off its early slog.
        
             | kagakuninja wrote:
             | I thought Snow Crash was OK, Diamond Age was brilliant,
             | Cryptonomicon was... holy fuck, did we need 1150 pages to
             | tell this story? The subsequent books seemed to be of a
             | similar page count, and I decided I had enough of Neal
             | Stephenson.
        
           | infthi wrote:
           | There is also The Baroque Cycle which seems a bit different
           | from other works.
        
             | simonbarker87 wrote:
             | The Baroque Cycle books and Seveneves are my favourite of
             | his, after that my enjoyment drops of pretty quick. Anathem
             | is good once it finally gets going.
        
               | jes5199 wrote:
               | I prefer the beginning of Anathem. Once the plot stuff
               | happens I'm less interested
        
           | histories wrote:
           | Eh, everyone likes different NS books (just look at all the
           | replies).
           | 
           | I like Snow Crash and love Cryptonomicon, and I couldn't go
           | past the first volume of the Baroque Cycle.
        
             | touisteur wrote:
             | The first volume can be a long slog as it takes a huge
             | amount of time to get moving in any plot-like fashion and
             | feels very dry until you get to Jack Shaftoe's
             | introduction. My opinion at least.
        
               | arethuza wrote:
               | I found the audiobook of _Quicksilver_ much easier to
               | consume than the paper book - so much so that I 've
               | listened to the entire Baroque Cycle a few times now.
        
           | chrisshroba wrote:
           | I strongly disagree about Snow Crash. I abandoned it halfway
           | through because the style struck me as cringily cyberpunk.
           | Relatively cool plot but the style just wasn't for me.
           | 
           | However, Seveneves to me is everything I could hope for in a
           | sci-fi book, and I Anathem had amazing world building. I
           | can't speak for Diamond Age, but based on the four books I've
           | read (Termination Shock being the other), I thought Snow
           | Crash was wildly different from the rest.
        
             | schnitzelstoat wrote:
             | I thought Snow Crash was basically a satire of cyberpunk.
             | 
             | I mean the dude's name is Hiro Protagonist.
        
               | tonyg wrote:
               | Underlined rather emphatically in The Diamond Age by the
               | literal murder of the cliched cyberpunk character right
               | out of the gates. Quite an unambiguous statement about
               | What Will Not Be Happening In This Book From Now On.
        
               | AlanYx wrote:
               | That's probably the key part. If someone goes in
               | expecting earnest sci-fi like Neuromancer and the satire
               | part doesn't click early on, they're likely to be
               | disappointed. (That being said, IMHO there are some
               | aspects of Snow Crash that come off as low-effort,
               | independent of the satire.)
        
             | andyjohnson0 wrote:
             | > However, Seveneves to me is everything I could hope for
             | in a sci-fi book
             | 
             | Serious question: what did you think of the ending and plot
             | closure?
        
               | ghaff wrote:
               | To me, the first 2/3 of Seveneves was a good thriller,
               | followed by and then a miracle happpened, followed by
               | probably the book Stephenson wanted to write.
        
               | flybrand wrote:
               | This to me feels like most of his plots.
        
               | themadturk wrote:
               | For me, the ending was a little rushed, but fine. It tied
               | up at least some of the plot elements from the first
               | part. Yes, it was like two separate books, as if Niven
               | and Pournelle's _Lucifer 's Hammer_ was mashed together
               | with the TV version of Asimov's _Foundation_ , but both
               | parts were pretty good.
        
             | MOARDONGZPLZ wrote:
             | I feel the same way. I've had a few false starts with Snow
             | Crash, each time powering through about half despite my
             | love of the imagery and the coolness. But have easily read
             | Seveneves 2-3 times, with the last time somewhat skimming
             | the third part, which isn't as good as the rest.
        
             | pavel_lishin wrote:
             | > _I abandoned it halfway through because the style struck
             | me as cringily cyberpunk._
             | 
             | I believe that was fully intentional.
        
               | tstrimple wrote:
               | The main character's name is Hiro Protagonist. He's
               | definitely leaning into it.
        
             | p_l wrote:
             | Snow Crash was one of the archetypical cypherpunk stories,
             | which was a trend that often mocked if not outright took a
             | piss over cyberpunk.
             | 
             | I find it a lot like a variation of "the cyberpunk dystopia
             | arrived but not as cool as we imagined", but not as boring
             | as what actually happens.
        
           | arethuza wrote:
           | I don't agree with that - I pretty much love everything from
           | Cryptonomicon onwards (apart from REAMDE) and I'm not keen on
           | Snow Crash or The Diamond Age.
           | 
           | Edit: I even really like "Fall; or, Dodge in Hell"
        
           | protomolecule wrote:
           | I read Snow Crash a long time ago and don't remember much,
           | found The Diamond Age boring and liked Cryptonomicon.
        
           | slothtrop wrote:
           | His writing matured quickly after Snow Crash. I think it's
           | among his weakest. I like TDA quite a bit.
        
           | greedo wrote:
           | I loved Snow Crash and could never finish The Diamond Age.
           | I've read and loved almost every other book he's written.
        
           | matt_s wrote:
           | Novels are art and all art is subjective. Stephenson's
           | earlier work I liked but I had to push myself thru
           | Cryptonomicon. I don't force myself through something
           | anymore, if a few chapters in I'm not compelled naturally to
           | pick it up and read it, I move on.
           | 
           | As I've gotten older I just ignore some content based on
           | topic, genre, etc. entirely since I'm either tired of it or
           | have found I don't enjoy it. Anything super hero related is
           | definitely in that bucket, so are all comics/cartoons, just
           | don't enjoy them to spend my free time on them.
        
         | abraxas wrote:
         | My first and only exposure to Stephenson was Seveneves.
         | 
         | I think he writes for autists and I don't mean this in a
         | derogatory sense. Stephenson's focus on technical details in
         | his novels buries the story and any character development in a
         | mountain of minutiae making them a chore for anyone who does
         | not need exhaustive technical explanations to suspend
         | disbelief. Thus my guess is that his books really hit the spot
         | for people on the spectrum as their bar for technical
         | consistency is much higher than for those who are more
         | neurotypical.
        
           | FrustratedMonky wrote:
           | Man, and I thought 'Seveneves' was a quick one, fast moving.
           | 
           | Should I see a doctor?
           | 
           | I honestly didn't realize others saw it that way. Now I'm
           | worried.
           | 
           | Lol, if you like Stephenson, you might need help.
        
             | abraxas wrote:
             | Pages and pages treatises about orbital mechanics, PhD
             | dissertation on how space station docking works. Seveneves
             | fast paced? yeah, no.
        
             | Mountain_Skies wrote:
             | To me, 'Seveneves' took longer than usual to world build
             | and get things going. Once it got going after 'the event',
             | things moved along as a pretty good clip. Don't know if he
             | has any plans to revisit that world but it would be
             | interesting to explore things from after the time jump in
             | more detail.
        
               | 2024throwaway wrote:
               | "The event" happens in the first sentence of the book.
        
               | ckozlowski wrote:
               | I'm pretty sure OP is referring to either the
               | ramifications of that event (the climax of part 1), or
               | perhaps the end of part 1 which sets part 2 in motion
               | (with a drastic change in focus).
               | 
               | I'm being deliberately vague in order to not reveal
               | spoilers.
        
             | exe34 wrote:
             | Autism, like most personality traits in the DSM, is only a
             | problem if it affects your every day life in three spheres
             | (e.g. work/relationships/hobbies). Otherwise you might just
             | have the superpowers without the side-effects.
        
             | nottorp wrote:
             | I couldn't finish Seveneves :)
             | 
             | In spite of reading and mostly liking everything else by
             | Stephenson.
             | 
             | Edit: but then I couldn't enjoy Brandon Sanderson's
             | Mistborn series (I did get to the end) too much. Because
             | half the book was a RPG system manual describing game
             | mechanics.
             | 
             | Think that was my problem with Seveneves as well. It read
             | like a 'how to build and run a space station' manual.
        
             | jes5199 wrote:
             | for years, every time I tried read Seveneves I got bored
             | before I even found out what the plot was. There's
             | something about the description of the ISS that I find
             | tedious even by Stevenson standards
        
             | gensym wrote:
             | LOL. I read REAMDE on Kindle, so I didn't know its length.
             | I thought it was a rollicking good time, and I recommended
             | it to my wife for her book club. I assumed it was about 300
             | pages long. Turns out it's over 1000.
        
               | themadturk wrote:
               | But it's a _fast_ thousand pages.
        
           | prawn wrote:
           | I've always felt as though he's writing like someone excited
           | to have researched something and wanting to tell people. It's
           | not highbrow, more rollicking and as though you can imagine
           | him grinning "this is so cool (for nerds)" while he's writing
           | it out. My last exposure was Seveneves, and Reamde before
           | that.
        
           | dougmwne wrote:
           | I think it's a lot more charitable to say that it's writing
           | for engineers who get excited about ideas. Lots of the ideas
           | aren't particularly realistic or plausible. The point of the
           | technical sections isn't for suspension of disbelief, it's
           | just for the fun of digging into new topics and speculating
           | on how you might use it to build something. I'd say it's a
           | cousin of Randall Munroe's what if series.
        
         | antihero wrote:
         | I read Snow Crash as a young teenager and it inspired me in
         | some way.
        
         | keiferski wrote:
         | His books have a certain...tone...that you either like or don't
         | like. Personally, as much as I enjoy cyberpunk literature, I
         | didn't really enjoy Snow Crash. Too much snark and Reddit-style
         | humor for me.
        
           | noch wrote:
           | > Too much snark and Reddit-style humor for me.
           | 
           | Neal Stephenson is decidedly not a good prose stylist. But I
           | guess he doesn't aim to be. "Fall; or, Dodge in Hell" and
           | "Anathem" are piles of really mediocre, ungainly sentences.
           | 
           | What he has are many interesting ideas and he is a fun
           | conveyor of those ideas, for the most part. But he's not a
           | Nabokov nor a Cormac McCarthy nor a Samuel Delany.
           | 
           | But we love him for he's "one of us". He wrote that excellent
           | essay that placed a geek at the beginning of the Creation
           | myth: "In the Beginning was the Command Line"
           | https://web.stanford.edu/class/cs81n/command.txt
           | 
           | Stephenson is also the one said the words of caution that
           | inspired many a young nerd to be active in the world and work
           | hard and always remember that someone somewhere has to know
           | exactly how keep the lights on and the water running:
           | 
           | > Scientists and technologists have the same uneasy status in
           | our society as the Jedi in the Galactic Republic. They are
           | scorned by the cultural left and the cultural right, and
           | young people avoid science and math classes in hordes. The
           | tedious particulars of keeping ourselves alive, comfortable
           | and free are being taken offline to countries where people
           | are happy to sweat the details, as long as we have some
           | foreign exchange left to send their way. _Nothing is more
           | seductive than to think that we, like the Jedi, could be
           | masters of the most advanced technologies while living simple
           | lives: to have a geek standard of living and spend our
           | copious leisure time vegging out._
           | (https://archive.is/RdxVT#selection-497.0-497.673)
        
             | keiferski wrote:
             | Yeah, I guess I just prefer William Gibson's take when it
             | comes to cyberpunk lit. It's just more...serious?
             | Plausible? Less of a "nerd inside joke" activity.
        
         | Waterluvian wrote:
         | I read half of Snow Crash and it felt like there was no plot
         | that emerged? I dunno how to explain it. Half the book felt
         | like a context-building prologue.
        
         | BirAdam wrote:
         | So, I look at the entire genre of cyberpunk as well as related
         | genres as pulp sci-fi. It isn't always "good" if we're
         | comparing to Asimov, Heinlein, or Herbert, but there are often
         | some entertaining ideas and interesting themes in them. I love
         | Nosferatu, but I can still enjoy Tucker and Dale vs Evil.
        
           | piltdownman wrote:
           | Neuromancer is genre defining and defying. To categorise it
           | as 'just' cyberpunk is a disservice. Pity about the rest of
           | the Trilogy; the 'Go Set a Watchman' to Neuromancer's 'To
           | Kill a Mockingbird' if you will. Heinlein I love, but to
           | pretend he's not serialised pulp-fiction outside of maybe
           | 'Stranger in a Strange Land' is fairly disingenuous.
        
         | azangru wrote:
         | I hated Snow Crash (it aged poorly), but loved REAMDE.
         | Cryptonomicon and Seveneves were decent; Termination Shock got
         | fun in the end; whereas The Rise and Fall of DODO was more
         | interesting in the beginning. Not sure how I feel about Fall -
         | there were certainly some good parts to it, especially in its
         | parallels with Milton.
        
           | abakker wrote:
           | REAMDE was like reading a movie. Just great stuff. I enjoyed
           | Snow Crash, but agree it had some unfinished-ness feelings to
           | it. like a stronger editor could have shaped it a bit better.
        
         | alexitorg wrote:
         | I love Snow Crash. I was wearing my Black Sun night club (from
         | snow crash) t-shirt to work today. That being said, it does
         | feel like an early book. It is possibly over packed with ideas
         | and possibly so edgy it feels like it is trying too hard.
        
         | wolfram74 wrote:
         | I can't find it, but somewhere I read the sentiment that `Snow
         | Crash` is best read by young men. I know I read it when I was
         | in my early 20's and enjoyed it, have at most skimmed some
         | amusing passages (like the bits from the perspective of the
         | dog) since.
         | 
         | Cryptonomicon, Anathem, Seven-Eves have a bit more staying
         | power for me.
         | 
         | slight non-sequitor, but was anybody else disappointed with
         | Termination Shock? The daring new social structure needed to
         | deal with climate change is... heritable monarchy?
        
           | brk wrote:
           | FWIW, I really liked Termination Shock. Much more than Fall
           | (I read them in that order). I had to kind of force myself to
           | finish Fall.
           | 
           | >The daring new social structure needed to deal with climate
           | change is... heritable monarchy?
           | 
           | What does it mean if the fate of the world lies in the people
           | that may not be arsed to actually give a shit until it's too
           | late? I thought it was an interesting take.
        
           | jabl wrote:
           | I liked Termination Shock and I don't regret spending the
           | time to read it in the slightest.
           | 
           | However, to me, compared to the Baroque Cycle and Anathem, my
           | favorite works of his, Termination Shock was, how to describe
           | it, non-memorable. Like a half-decent adventure movie, you
           | enjoy seeing it but afterwards you go home thinking about
           | what to make for dinner, and don't think about that movie
           | anymore until someone or something makes you remember it
           | again.
           | 
           | In contrast, the Baroque Cycle and Anathem were mindblowing.
           | I spent ages thinking and daydreaming about the worlds he
           | described in those books.
        
           | the__alchemist wrote:
           | I wills say this: I enjoyed Termination Shock, but I felt it
           | was the second-weakest of his novels after REAMDE (Not
           | including co-authored ones like D.O.D.O) I still thought it
           | was a great read overall, both for the story, the dive into
           | cultures I wasn't familiar with, and the climate change
           | story. TS was too... normal? of a novel, without some of the
           | points that makes Stephenson's other novels shine in a league
           | of their own.
        
             | pavedwalden wrote:
             | I've heard him say that REAMDE was his attempt to write an
             | airport paperback. I don't think he succeeded there, but
             | Termination Shock does work as a light thriller so maybe he
             | was taking a second swing.
        
           | ttepasse wrote:
           | I described his last books as a love letter to billionaires.
           | All that is missing is a long, flowery, baroque dedication in
           | the front to a wealthy patron, Bezos or currently more
           | topical Marc Andreesen or Musk.
           | 
           | There may be a structural literary need for billionaires - to
           | finance and start those big projects. But it's rather sad
           | that a guy as creative as Stephenson doesn't seem creative
           | enough to find alternatives.
        
             | FrustratedMonky wrote:
             | Maybe there isn't an alternative, so he is writing about
             | what is more likely.
             | 
             | Not what he might hope for in an ideal world.
        
           | FrustratedMonky wrote:
           | "The daring new social structure needed to deal with climate
           | change is... heritable monarchy?"
           | 
           | I didn't have that takeaway.
           | 
           | I thought it was more just one group of elites versus other
           | groups. And some of them happened to be monarchy.
        
             | pavedwalden wrote:
             | I loved the India/China border sub-plot, both as a fun
             | story and as a metaphor for geopolitics. At the end of the
             | book no faction of elites is clearly winning, they're just
             | hashing out The Line Of Actual Control.
        
         | matthiaswh wrote:
         | Similarly, I wanted to love Stephenson. I even enjoy the
         | intense technical details in a good sci-fi story (I'm talking
         | to you Red Mars).
         | 
         | I started with Seveneves and could not finish it. After 20
         | pages I wanted to quit, but I stuck it out for another 150
         | pages before folding. The premise of the story was fantastic,
         | but the writing was not enjoyable to me, and IMO, not very
         | good.
         | 
         | Where Robinson and authors like Weir and Clarke weave the
         | technical details into the story in a fascinating way and show
         | understanding of the topic, I felt Stephenson was copy-pasting
         | Wikipedia articles into the middle of a book. Furthermore, he
         | treated the reader like an idiot - by the end I couldn't help
         | but laugh painfully when he felt the need to explain to us for
         | the 30th time that A+0.150 means 0 years and 150 days after the
         | agent event.
         | 
         | His characters are vague and annoying. While Robinson's
         | characters were similarly lacking in depth in Red Mars, at
         | least they represented something bigger, were deliberately
         | chosen, and served a storytelling purpose.
         | 
         | Here's an example I pulled out of Seveneves that made me
         | cringe.
         | 
         | "In those days Izzy had been like a kite: all surface area, no
         | mass. Once Amalthea (a comet) had been attached, it was like a
         | kite with a big rock strapped to it."
         | 
         | Weir would have pulled that line off easily as a slightly
         | sarcastic, self-aware remark. I didn't get the impression that
         | Stephenson meant it anything other than a serious statement.
        
         | np_tedious wrote:
         | Snow Crash is definitely overrated. I loved Cryptpnomicon,
         | Baroque cycle, Anathem, REAMDE, Diamond Age
        
         | snapcaster wrote:
         | I feel similarly about Dune, not a big fan of the writing style
         | but the ideas are so cool that I'm willing to "power through
         | it" like you say
        
         | mauvehaus wrote:
         | The format of a Neal Stephenson book is:
         | 
         | A great deal of content about whatever Neal Stephenson is
         | nerding out about at the time he's writing the book that forms
         | the world-building (The metaverse in Snow Crash, MMORPGs in
         | REAMDE).
         | 
         | There will be random digressions about other things he's
         | nerding out about that don't amount to enough to be a major
         | feature of the world (volcanic glass knives in Snow Crash,
         | tuck-pointing masonry in REAMDE) that he nonetheless works into
         | the story.
         | 
         | Some plot happens in this world, followed by an ending of
         | highly variable quality. He ties Snow Crash together fairly
         | well, as I recall. REAMDE, I was less impressed by.
         | 
         | For context, I've read everything of his except the Baroque
         | Cycle up to Seveneves. He's pretty consistent in sticking to
         | this format.
         | 
         | In my opinion his best writing is In The Beginning Was The
         | Command Line[0]. I particularly like the quote "I use eMacs,
         | which might be thought of as a thermonuclear word processor."
         | It makes me smile despite the fact that I'm a vi person. It's
         | also uncharacteristicly short for his work.
         | 
         | [0]
         | https://smorgasborg.artlung.com/C_R_Y_P_T_O_N_O_M_I_C_O_N.sh...
        
           | ghaff wrote:
           | I found REAMDE maybe his worst book that I've read. For one
           | thing, it was one of those books where, if a lot of things
           | don't line up just perfectly again and again, there's really
           | no story.
           | 
           | I mostly liked Cryptonomicon and Anathem--but I probably
           | wouldn't push a reader into the latter as an introduction.
        
             | mauvehaus wrote:
             | Yeah, REAMDE was a weird mashing together of what if things
             | were happening in WoW and IRL and it all was somehow about
             | the global war on terror?
             | 
             | I concur that it's probably his worst novel that I've read.
             | _And_ that Anathem probably shouldn 't be anyone's
             | introduction to his work.
        
               | xyzzy_plugh wrote:
               | Anathem was my introduction and I feel that it has
               | spoiled his other works for me.
        
               | kevindamm wrote:
               | Cryptonomicon was my introduction and none of his other
               | works really compare, for me.. at least, it's the only
               | one I've felt the desire to read again.
        
             | usrusr wrote:
             | REAMDE's ending with those gun-preppers orgasming over the
             | idea of _finally_ getting an excuse for hunting human did
             | it for me. Stephenson nerding out about _that_ subculture
             | is a thing I can 't unsee, now it colors my perception of
             | even his most liberal-leaning writings.
        
               | FrustratedMonky wrote:
               | In a good or bad way? Like now you notice it more in
               | other writings of his? There was a few pages like this in
               | Snow Crash, and I remember breezing past it, but then re-
               | reading it years later, could see the common thread.
               | 
               | But all in all. His take on that culture seems accurate.
               | Not exaggerated that much for satire.
        
               | usrusr wrote:
               | In a very bad way. I suspect that I'm really not doing
               | him justice because he's probably not all too fond of
               | _any_ of the subcultures be portraits, but I can 't
               | completely shake off that change in perception.
        
             | eitally wrote:
             | Cryptonomicon and Anathem were what got me into Stephenson,
             | and I loved both of those. Then I read Quicksilver and it
             | held my attention, but I had a really hard time slogging
             | through The Confusion and never made it to System of a
             | World. On the other hand, Reamde was a fun story along the
             | lines of something a popular spy fic author my write. Not
             | high art, but easy and entertaining and something that
             | could be easily adapted for the screen (like Snow Crash).
             | In the Beginning... is, I believe, his best and most pure
             | writing from a tech POV, but he's always been sort of the
             | information technology version of what Michael Crichton is
             | to biotech.
        
           | chr wrote:
           | @mauvehaus, with your idiosyncratic spelling of emacs as
           | "eMacs", you put Stephenson in a bad light. He knows how to
           | spell. And edit.
        
             | mauvehaus wrote:
             | As a vi guy, I trusted whatever my iPhone said was the
             | canonical capitalization of emacs when it autocorrected it
             | :-)
             | 
             | EDITED TO ADD: I just figured it out. My iPhone presumably
             | thinks I'm taking about an obsolete Apple product. Doh.
             | I'll let my error stand as a monument to not trusting
             | everything a computer says.
             | 
             | I would also note that most of what we seem to be
             | discussing is whether his writing is good or not. Spelling,
             | I'll give him. The opinions on editing seem to be a little
             | more divided.
        
           | petesergeant wrote:
           | Baroque Cycle is my favourite, worth giving it a shot. Dodo
           | is such a strange book because the beginning and middle are
           | amazing and the ending is terrible
        
             | shermantanktop wrote:
             | All his endings are weak. He builds momentum and reaches a
             | climactic moment, and then...fizzle.
        
               | jdeisenberg wrote:
               | I think the ending of Anathem is possibly one of his
               | best; it's an acknowledgment that it _is_ the ending,
               | it's rather tender and sweet, and it fits the mood
               | perfectly.
        
               | WorldMaker wrote:
               | Yeah, I think of Anathem as so far the only Reverse
               | Stephenson book. Most of his books have killer starts and
               | then end in a didactic "meh". Anathem starts with an
               | incredibly didactic "meh" but then delivers a killer end.
        
           | FredPret wrote:
           | You should read the Baroque Cycle, then Cryptonomicon, then
           | REAMDE, then Fall, Or Dodge in Hell. You can think of it as
           | all one storyline, so the ending of each book is less
           | critical.
        
             | arethuza wrote:
             | I'd actually go with publication order myself...
        
               | FredPret wrote:
               | Nice username!
        
               | arethuza wrote:
               | It's what happens when you sign up for Slashdot while
               | reading Cryptonomicon without doing any checks as to
               | where the name actually comes from!
        
             | 7thaccount wrote:
             | I tried reading the first of the Baroque Cycle like 5
             | times. Could never make it more than 1/4 through it before
             | losing steam. Anathem was the worst for me though.
        
               | FredPret wrote:
               | The Baroque Cycle made double-entry bookkeeping click for
               | me, bizarre as that sounds. The whole cycle is a long,
               | long read. But there are nuggets that make it well worth
               | it.
        
               | endtime wrote:
               | Anathem really picks up after the first 400-500 pages.
        
               | kelseyfrog wrote:
               | I laughed. It's both true, and very not helpful. It's the
               | equivalent of a fairly long not-so-great book before a
               | pretty good book. Hard agree.
        
               | dr_orpheus wrote:
               | Also agreed, although I enjoyed some of the philosophical
               | debate in the early portions of the book so I would put
               | Anathem higher in books I enjoyed from Neal Stephenson
        
               | philipkglass wrote:
               | I am the rare Anathem reader who enjoyed the slow first
               | part more than the active later parts. The initial world
               | immersion was fascinating. The Big Event and subsequent
               | faster paced developments were a lot less memorable. But
               | I also enjoyed the instructional sections about whaling
               | in Moby Dick.
        
               | jes5199 wrote:
               | personally, I found Anathem to be fun the whole way
               | through, but Baroque Cycle has like only one enjoyable
               | part at the end of book two
        
               | tomjen3 wrote:
               | The first part of the book is super slow and boring, but
               | it does get much better later on and what they setup is
               | necessary for the story.
        
             | rsync wrote:
             | You Should not read fall under any circumstances.
             | 
             | Seriously: life is too short.
             | 
             | (I say this as a huge NS fan)
        
               | noSyncCloud wrote:
               | Cannot possibly agree more. It's an absolutely terrible
               | book.
               | 
               | REAMDE was ok, except the sections about the MMO which
               | frequently left me catatonic with cringe. In Fall, _the
               | whole book is that cringe_.
        
               | FredPret wrote:
               | If you like mythology and scifi, then you should
               | absolutely read it
        
               | prepend wrote:
               | I really liked Fall, even before the Cryptonomicon tie-
               | in.
               | 
               | It's not high art, but I probably enjoyed it in my top 5
               | books of the year.
               | 
               | Different people have different tastes, I just find it
               | funny when people make generalized statements like "this
               | book is so bad, no one should ever read it."
        
             | tomjen3 wrote:
             | I read Cryptonomicon, then the Baroque Cycle, then
             | Cryptonomicon (or a long period of years) which has nice
             | tie-ins to each other.
             | 
             | However I disliked Reamde enough that I didn't start Fall.
             | Is it better?
        
               | themadturk wrote:
               | Fall is, IMHO, nowhere near as good as Reamde. But I've
               | always been a technothriller fan, and Reamde is pretty
               | high on my enjoyment list.
        
           | jgrahamc wrote:
           | > A great deal of content about whatever Neal Stephenson is
           | nerding out about at the time
           | 
           | This was so true in SEVENEVES. There's a whole section about
           | debris avoidance by a constellation of orbiting spacecraft
           | and it was so tedious. I felt like I was reading someone
           | describing an academic paper they'd recently read.
        
             | throw1234651234 wrote:
             | It's a progression. Story, style, characterization, and
             | science in equal measure at first. Then more and more of
             | the latter and less of the first three. Perhaps he did peak
             | in Diamond Age, then it's basically Asimov after - pretty
             | hard sci-fi with no story / characters (or at least no
             | characters / story anyone cares about).
             | 
             | Snow Crash - most story / style / MEMORABLE characters
             | 
             | Diamond Age - same but with a very dramatic evolution from
             | traditional Cyberpunk
             | 
             | Anathem / Seven Eves - virtually no memorable characters,
             | interesting concepts and science though
             | 
             | Cryptonomicon - I couldn't.
        
               | jgrahamc wrote:
               | I think I've read every one of his books. My favourite is
               | _The Rise and Fall of D.O.D.O._.
        
               | themadturk wrote:
               | And D.O.D.O was one of only three Stephenson books I
               | started and could not finish.
        
           | fullspectrumdev wrote:
           | There's also usually "protagonist or major character has a
           | weird method of travel", "protagonist or major character goes
           | through a period of loneliness as part of their heroes
           | journey", and a few other bits that are common across most of
           | his fiction work.
           | 
           | He's also largely absolutely shit at writing female
           | characters.
           | 
           | Still enjoy his work, but it's fun to find the common
           | threads.
        
         | glitchc wrote:
         | I thought Cryptonomicon was his best book. It's okay not to
         | like Stephenson.
        
         | andyjohnson0 wrote:
         | I don't think you're missing anything, really. Unlike his non-
         | fiction essays and articles [1], which are mostly excellent,
         | his fiction just isn't all that good. Typically the concept and
         | ideas are interesting, but the story/characterisation/ending is
         | poor and the digressions aren't able to hide this for very
         | long.
         | 
         | I read Snow Crash and it was fun, but I had to skip over huge
         | banks of filler. Cryptonomicon and Seveneves and REAMDE were
         | tedious and ultimately unrewarding slogs that persuaded me not
         | to touch his work again. I'm just glad I never attempted the
         | Baroque Cycle.
         | 
         | I never understood HN's enthusiasm for Stephenson's fiction, so
         | I suspect I'll get roasted too. But bring it on I guess.
         | 
         | [1] _In the Beginning was the Command-Line_ , _Mother Earth
         | Mother Board_ , etc.
        
           | adolph wrote:
           | Mother Earth Mother Board was my introduction to Stephenson.
           | Glad to see a mention of it here. I reread many of
           | Stephenson's words periodically because I enjoy it, but I can
           | appreciate how the characters are perhaps lacking. Its hard
           | for me to put my finger on why, but the Judge in Blood
           | Meridian seems more like a live person than Shaftoe in
           | Cryptonomicon.
           | 
           | https://www.wired.com/1996/12/ffglass/
        
         | piltdownman wrote:
         | Stephenson as a Sci-Fi Author always struck me as Kurt Vonnegut
         | for remedial readers, or as part of the Cory Doctorow league of
         | Cyberpunk Authorship compared to the peaks of the genre like
         | William Gibson.
        
           | theGnuMe wrote:
           | That's a great sentence, and would make a great opening line
           | to a book. You'd have to know your audience though. Do you
           | have a couple more sentences to flesh it out (as in what do
           | you mean) for us lay people?
        
             | piltdownman wrote:
             | Both Kurt Vonnegut and Neal Stephenson seek to plumb the
             | intersection between technology and religion, between
             | science and popular culture - but where Vonnegut adheres to
             | the literary traditions of the Western Satirical Canon,
             | Stephenson choose to plough a far more meta-referential
             | narrative path that is weighted by all the detrimental
             | issues associated with Young Adult fiction without
             | representing any of the strengths of the genre.
             | 
             | This is fairly understandable when you look at their
             | respective backgrounds. Vonnegut was a Combat Infantry
             | veteran, earning a Purple Heart in World War 2. He was
             | interned in Dresden, where he survived the Allied bombing
             | of the city in a meat locker of the slaughterhouse where he
             | was imprisoned - emerging to find an alien landscape not
             | unlike the moon. This was, in fact, the eponymous
             | 'Slaughterhouse Five' from which his magnum opus takes its
             | name.
             | 
             | His use of satire, gallows humour and science fiction was
             | rooted in the tradition of the golden era of Science
             | Fiction - namely, the use of these literary devices to try
             | and make sense of a seemingly uncaring and alien world and
             | society that was changing with unprecedented rapidity.
             | 
             | You see Joseph Heller doing very similar in 'Catch 22' when
             | utilising similar narrative devices like non-chronological
             | timelines, omniscient 3rd person narrators, and satirical
             | paradoxes to describe and to try and make sense of his own
             | brutal and often paradoxical experiences serving in the
             | Korean War.
             | 
             | Stephenson, in contrast, is mired in the self-referential
             | and meta posturing of late 80s American University culture
             | - as befitted his first and possibly most insightful book
             | 'The Big U' - a scathing indictment of the homogenisation
             | of the American University system as it geared towards
             | research over pure academia.
             | 
             | The book he is most lauded for - Snow Crash - is in many
             | ways a poor facsimile of Gibson's Neuromancer. Even the
             | title, which Stephenson contends was a result of his
             | computer crashing with a malformed bitmap that '...looked
             | vaguely like static on a broken television set--a 'snow
             | crash...' is lifted conceptually from the opening pages of
             | Neuromancer - "The sky above the port was the color of
             | television, tuned to a dead channel.".
             | 
             | The plotting characterisation and story beats when not
             | directly lifted from Neuromancer, are reinterpreted chunks
             | of Philip K Dicks 'A Scanner Darkly' and the 'The Three
             | Stigmata of Palmer Eldritch' respectively, and what little
             | innovation he brings to the world building is mired in a
             | comic book aesthetic, versus the film noir salience of
             | Neuromancer.
             | 
             | Many would content that this is the point - that Stephenson
             | is playing with the tropes of the Cyberpunk genre.
             | Unfortunately this doesn't explain away his stylistic
             | choice (or sheer lack of ability) to avoid huge explanatory
             | passages that destroy any semblance of pacing or advancing
             | a narrative midway through the book. This, in many ways, is
             | indicative of the 'tell, don't show' fumbling of Cory
             | Doctorow in the way he punches down to his predominantly YA
             | audience.
        
               | wintermutestwin wrote:
               | While I generally agree with this well written criticism
               | (ChatGPT?), you ignore Snowcrash's most interesting (to
               | me) idea: the Sumerian "Nam Shub" (mind virus) and its
               | intersection with the metaverse, which I found to be an
               | all too plausible prediction.
               | 
               | One could write an equally scathing take on Gibson's
               | Sprawl trilogy. (and I say that as an obvious fan given
               | my username)
               | 
               | Of course Vonnegut is flawless, so any comparisons will
               | be trounced...
        
               | piltdownman wrote:
               | I'm not sure whether to be appalled or flattered by the
               | ChatGPT comparison at this stage of Language Model
               | maturity, but I'm sure there's some hiberno-english
               | artefacts in my breakdown that will advocate for my
               | analog autonomy!
               | 
               | The "Nam Shub" was a nice parallel, but I felt Stephenson
               | was re-treading ground already covered in Neuromancer
               | with things like Space-Station Babylon:
               | 
               | "We monitor many frequencies. We listen always. Came a
               | voice, out of the babel of tongues, speaking to us. It
               | played us a mighty dub."
               | 
               | or even the post-coital after-images of VR
               | 
               | "His vision crawled with ghost hieroglyphs, translucent
               | lines of symbols arranging themselves against the neutral
               | backdrop of the bunker wall."
               | 
               | My main contention with Snow Crash is that it's much
               | lauded world-building often represents a feeble
               | distillation of what came before it. Nowhere do you see
               | the architecturally foundational yet throwaway references
               | to things like the 'predatory-looking Christian
               | Scientists' or the wonderful description of the
               | subservient wives of the Sararimen dressed in Hiroshima
               | sackcloth and adorned with faked signifiers of domestic
               | abuse as a fashion statement.
               | 
               | Re: the sprawl Trilogy, I've already compared the post-
               | Neuromancer books very unfavourably in other comments on
               | the thread - what was done to Mary-Sue the Molly
               | character was unforgiveable, and the only properly
               | developed innovation in the plot was the collage boxes in
               | Count Zero.
        
               | FrustratedMonky wrote:
               | I'm not sure if you are GPT.
               | 
               | But if you aren't, you have a rather deep understanding
               | and can rattle it off rather quickly and succinctly.
               | 
               | (it does sound like GPT, but so hard to tell now)
        
               | piltdownman wrote:
               | You'll turn my head sir. I'm privileged enough to have an
               | English Degree, a passion for Science Fiction, and a
               | debating background. I'm also composed almost entirely of
               | strongly held, and often contrary, convictions, so revel
               | in the thrust and parry of online debate. Particularly
               | during office hours.
               | 
               | Re: ChatGPT - I'm guessing it would be more easily
               | detected than you think. It's a paradigm leap from Markov
               | chains and the like, but I'd imagine it would still
               | hallucinate a quote or reference some non-existent book
               | in making a comparison at some point.
               | 
               | If it ever gets adept at literary criticism or critical
               | theory as opposed to just cargo-culting its way past the
               | lower threshold of readers I'll probably be in despair.
               | Let's keep it trained on JIRA rather than JSTOR just to
               | be safe, lest something like Roald Dahl's 'The Great
               | Automatic Grammatizator' come to fruition.
        
               | shwaj wrote:
               | Haha, you can sure pen a phrase. I'd be shocked if you're
               | a circa 2024 GPT.
        
               | FrustratedMonky wrote:
               | You're killing me.
               | 
               | I like the cut of your jib, good sir.
               | 
               | Kudos. I would read more of this.
        
               | svnt wrote:
               | I've seen few more ready and thorough responses in my
               | time here, but despite the perfunctory acknowledgement
               | that you might have, I can't help but feel you still
               | missed the point.
               | 
               | Comparing Stephenson to Vonnegut feels like comparing an
               | inside joke to an epitaph.
        
               | piltdownman wrote:
               | The comparison was more to dissuade people from grouping
               | them together in the Canon. If I was to be trite I might
               | say that the likes of Slaughter House 5 and Neuromancer
               | are _Graphic_ Novels, whereas Snow Crash is a _Graphic
               | Novel_.
               | 
               | When I learnt that Snow Crash was actually originally
               | conceived as a Graphic Novel, it was like a large puzzle
               | piece finally clicked into place. I would have preferred
               | to judge it on its merits in that medium to be frank, as
               | Stephenson is very passionate and has some interesting
               | takes and somewhat Randian fascinations tertiary to his
               | plotting, but ultimately I feel that his narrative reach
               | always exceeded his grasp.
               | 
               | As for missing the point, I can only point to my
               | acknowledgement of the existence of Snow Crash's TvTropes
               | page, and my countless hours arguing the point online on
               | this and other fora!
        
           | ZeroGravitas wrote:
           | I liked the review comment he used to feature on his own
           | website: "Umberto Eco without the charm".
        
           | throw4847285 wrote:
           | Please recommend more Gibson for me to read, because I've
           | only read Neuromancer and it just didn't do it for me. It
           | felt like all the pulpy bullshit of a Philip K Dick novel
           | without the substantive ideas, the melodrama, or the drug-
           | induced psychosis. It felt cold and clinical.
        
             | WorldMaker wrote:
             | That's not really that bad of a description of Gibson in
             | any of his eras, but also that's what a lot of readers
             | want, PKD without most of the madness.
             | 
             | "The Peripheral" is maybe worth trying as it is Gibson's
             | most mad/trippy setting so far.
        
               | throw4847285 wrote:
               | Interesting. I will give it a look.
               | 
               | I have a theory that cyberpunk works better in visual
               | media. Blade Runner, Akira, Battle Angel Alita, The
               | Matrix, Deus Ex, etc. It feels like a genre where often
               | the ideas are there in service of Cool. Not that they are
               | devoid of big ideas, but just that aesthetics matter
               | more.
        
             | notahacker wrote:
             | yeah, Gibson pretty much admits that his cyberpunk was
             | inspired by his love of certain prose styles and how other
             | writers could _imply_ an entire world with a few well
             | chosen neolgisms (and his distaste for Golden Age scifi
             | tropes), and that he knew almost nothing about the tech and
             | at the time of Neuromancer had never even been to Asia. In
             | that respect Stephenson is the opposite: even in Snow Crash
             | which is basically _caricaturing_ cyberpunk, he feels the
             | need to explain how everything works. Which doesn 't
             | necessarily move the plot along on, but there's more depth
             | to the worldbuilding even when the ideas grate.
             | 
             | Don't think you'd pick either of them for their characters
        
             | themadturk wrote:
             | Part of your complaint is probably related to his style.
             | Neuromancer was his first novel, and his style, while
             | remaining distinctive, has improved substantially over the
             | years. You may like it better in the The Bigend Trilogy:
             | Pattern Recognition, Spook Country, Zero History: all
             | vintage, recognizable Gibson, but not actually science
             | fiction, and very much in tune with the world post-9/11. As
             | much as I love all of Gibson, those three are my favorites,
             | especially the first.
             | 
             | Dividing his books into "trilogies" is a little misleading;
             | they all happen in the same shared universe and some common
             | characters, but don't have deeply connected stories. Give
             | Pattern Recognition a try, and see if 20 years makes a
             | difference to you. (If you like audiobooks, Pattern
             | Recognition is a gem, with almost the perfect fusion
             | between story and narrator.)
        
               | selimthegrim wrote:
               | In some of his books, he is supposed to engage with veves
               | from voodoo as similar to electronic circuit diagrams,
               | according to a long ago Guardian comment [1], and I've
               | never been able to track it down in "the sequels to
               | Pattern Recognition" (as opposed to Count Zero) to my
               | satisfaction.
               | 
               | [1] http://www.theguardian.com/books/live/2014/nov/21/wil
               | liam-gi...
        
           | k2enemy wrote:
           | That's a terrific way of putting into words my thoughts about
           | Stephenson, except I've thought of him as Thomas Pynchon for
           | remedial readers rather than Vonnegut.
        
             | piltdownman wrote:
             | If I'd ever successfully made it through Gravity's Rainbow,
             | I might have contended so as well!
        
               | k2enemy wrote:
               | I'd recommend _Against the Day_ , then if you enjoy that,
               | try _Gravity 's Rainbow_ again. It continues some of the
               | timeline of _Against the Day_. GR is super tough for the
               | first third but gets easier and more enjoyable.
        
               | slothtrop wrote:
               | AtD gets sidetracked with long stretches of s&m-laden
               | filth. GR reads like a fever dream but it's interesting
               | both thematically and in prose (it's also dirty, but
               | doesn't linger as much).
        
               | shwaj wrote:
               | Username checks out. Funny, I remember GR as being
               | filthier, such parts don't jump to mind regarding AtD.
               | AtD is one of my all-time favorite books.
        
               | k2enemy wrote:
               | Love the username.
               | 
               | I don't remember AtD as being particularly filthy, but it
               | has been a long time. It remains one of my all-time
               | favorites. If nothing else, I'm indebted to the book for
               | encouraging me to seek out literary westerns such as
               | _Warlock_ by Oakley Hall and _Butcher 's Crossing_ by
               | John Williams.
        
               | southwesterly wrote:
               | Crying of Lot 49 is short and sweet.
        
               | notahacker wrote:
               | _Gravity 's Rainbow_ and _The Diamond Age_ certainly both
               | feel like they 'd have been better books if the author
               | could keep his fetishes to himself...
        
             | the__alchemist wrote:
             | This checks out. NS is my favorite fiction author, but I am
             | not intelligent enough, at least in the required way, to
             | understand Gravity's Rainbow.
        
               | k2enemy wrote:
               | I'm sure there are numerous things that I didn't
               | understand but could have if I were more intelligent or
               | better read.
               | 
               | It became a lot more enjoyable for me on my second
               | attempt when I gave up on the idea of understanding
               | everything. Sometimes things get explained later in the
               | book. Sometimes not.
        
         | alienicecream wrote:
         | It was poorly written and the story was something a teenager
         | would dream up, but your complaint is that the editing wasn't
         | finished? Is that how you judge a story?
        
         | NotYourLawyer wrote:
         | Cryptonomicon is one of my all time favorite books. Diamond Age
         | and Snowcrash were only ok.
        
         | LegitShady wrote:
         | you are not alone. I think he has interesting ideas he
         | incorporates into his books/stories but I don't think he's a
         | very good writer. Personally I need someone to be a good writer
         | for me to enjoy reading their books - otherwise the experience
         | is draining instead of uplifting.
        
         | foobarbecue wrote:
         | Snow Crash was supposed to be a graphic novel, and then the
         | illustrator quit. It's not at all like any of the other
         | Stephenson novels.
         | 
         | On the other hand, I find your fixation on errors odd -- sounds
         | like your complaint is with the editor, not the author.
        
         | mnky9800n wrote:
         | I choose to accept Snowcrash as a clever satire on how vapid
         | and empty cyberpunk is as a genre.
        
         | bigie35 wrote:
         | I have read three of his books so far - Snow crash,
         | Cryptonomincon, and Seveneves.
         | 
         | By far his most fully formed and epic book for me has been
         | Seveneves. It is hardcore Sci-Fi at an epic scale both in world
         | building and time.
         | 
         | I got 700 pages in when I had to return it to the library or be
         | sent to collections.
        
         | AsthmaBoy wrote:
         | One or two decades ago I read on some newsgroup on the internet
         | (and having experienced it myself), that Neal Stephensons
         | storylines never actually
        
           | madaxe_again wrote:
           | Yes, that pretty much sums him
        
         | slothtrop wrote:
         | He's written far better, both on the sci-fi side and otherwise.
         | 
         | imo, it goes Anathem > Cryptonomicon > The Diamond Age >
         | Seveneves > Termination Shock > Snow Crash. The Baroque Cycle
         | is historical fiction, but I didn't get into it. REAMDE is a
         | techno-thriller, and a divisive one, where it lands depends on
         | whether you enjoy that style.
        
           | arethuza wrote:
           | "The Baroque Cycle is historical fiction"
           | 
           | Apart from the suspiciously well informed immortal character
           | and the magical gold? I wonder what could explain those...
        
             | slothtrop wrote:
             | Ok, pedant.
        
           | ttepasse wrote:
           | > The Baroque Cycle is historical fiction
           | 
           | ... written in a SciFi mindset, I would say.
        
         | packetlost wrote:
         | I personally can't stand his style of writing. Tried to power
         | through Snow Crash but couldn't do it.
         | 
         | Just not my cup of tea.
        
         | jackgavigan wrote:
         | Try _Zodiac_ and _Interface_ (authored under the co-pseudonym
         | Stephen Bury).
        
           | batch12 wrote:
           | I will give it a shot, thank you.
        
           | EvanAnderson wrote:
           | Came here to say this. Both of those books are underrated.
           | _Interface_ is a particular favorite of mine and it has help
           | up fairly well.
        
         | TheCleric wrote:
         | Yeah I'm in the same camp. Tried to read Cryptonomicon and
         | immediately felt lost.
        
         | dougmwne wrote:
         | Stephenson is an ideas guy. The books are just loose vehicles
         | for all his ideas and things like plot, characters and (gasp)
         | endings are not center stage.
         | 
         | There are so many ideas in his books, mountain upon mountain
         | that it's no wonder some of them ended up being real products
         | in following decades. They are great fuel for the technical
         | imagination.
        
         | readingnews wrote:
         | I have only ever read Snow Crash. I enjoyed it. However, I read
         | it in 1992. When I think about it now, I bet reading it today
         | would seem odd... like watching old 1950s shows that make
         | predictions about the world of tomorrow.
        
         | UniverseHacker wrote:
         | Snow Crash is satire of more "serious" cyberpunk like Gibson.
         | 
         | You're missing that the low effort and placeholder names are
         | part of the joke, making fun of how cyberpunk tries to seem
         | cool by trying to be raw, gritty, and low effort... like rock
         | stars that try too hard at pretending to care about nothing.
         | Stephenson does it to a comical extreme, e.g. naming his main
         | character Hiro Protagonist. His other books are not in that
         | style.
        
           | batch12 wrote:
           | I have heard this, but it seems more like laziness to me.
           | Thanks for the perspective.
        
             | UniverseHacker wrote:
             | The density of creative jokes about being gritty and low
             | effort in Snow Crash isn't possible without substantially
             | more thought and effort than writing normal fiction.
             | Laziness won't produce a book that has people laughing out
             | loud as they read it 32 years later. If anything, I think
             | the problem with Snow Crash is it has become so popular and
             | lasted so long, people get less of the jokes now, because
             | nobody remembers what he was satirizing anymore.
        
           | busfahrer wrote:
           | Low-effort and high-tech, to paraphrase Gibson's M.O.
        
         | ecocentrik wrote:
         | Snow Crash must feel really dated in 2024 so I don't recommend
         | starting with that book. Diamond Age is a fairly accurate
         | description of the present and a possible near future, but
         | somehow written in the 90s. We aren't choking on nanite dust
         | and still haven't quite gotten 3d printers to the level
         | described in the book but the Neo-Victorian social
         | stratification is on track and machine learning is transforming
         | education in ways hinted at in the book.
         | 
         | What are you missing? His books that take place in the present
         | or the future are thought experiments focused around the ways
         | technology can transform society. He is pretty good at
         | grounding his characters in fairly complex social landscapes
         | and then describing the ways technology (real or imagined)
         | interacts with and influences that landscape. You might also be
         | missing his surreal sense of humor if you thought names like
         | Hiro Protagonist in Snow Crash were placeholders.
         | 
         | As a new reader you might be more I'd start with his newer
         | books and work backwards. I haven't read "Termination Shock"
         | yet but I would recommend both "Fall" and "Seveneves".
        
           | themadturk wrote:
           | _Termination Shock_ was pretty good, but seemed kind of low-
           | effort, not a typical Stephenson blockbuster.
        
         | BeetleB wrote:
         | Neal Stephenson doesn't write novels. He writes novel-length
         | entries in an encyclopedia.
        
           | kagakuninja wrote:
           | Each of the novels is the size of an encyclopedia, which is
           | why I gave up after Cryptonomicon.
        
         | flohofwoe wrote:
         | TBH I had to start Snow Crash multiple times until it 'clicked'
         | (e.g. "what's with the bizarre writing style..."). It's more of
         | a "super hero comic" than a "science fiction novel". I still
         | like to read it about once a year if I want a quick fix.
         | 
         | I haven't noticed any of the errors in the text you describe
         | though.
         | 
         | The thing with the classics is that three decades later the
         | topics that where novel back then are science fiction tropes
         | today, because everybody copied them over and over again. Same
         | with Stanislaw Lem, Isaac Asimov, etc...
         | 
         | FWIW though, I'm not a big fan of Neal Stephenson's more recent
         | books. The last one I really enjoyed was Anathem, and the last
         | one I attempted but didn't finish was REAMDE. Now for something
         | where I _really_ don 't understand the hype: Ready Player One.
         | What a drivel ;)
        
         | Krasnol wrote:
         | I feel you.
         | 
         | I felt for the hype on Reddit around this author and read two
         | books. Snow Crash felt like he wanted to jump on Gibson's train
         | and save the world building altogether because people are
         | supposed to know Gibsons Cyberpunk already.
         | 
         | Anathem felt like, outside of buildings, he just isn't able to
         | provide a proper world at all. The rest seems to consist of a
         | Wikipedia article without losing too much thought on an ending.
         | 
         | Stephenson is not for me I guess.
        
         | vonjuice wrote:
         | I got through it, but I see more value in it for the ideas than
         | how they're executed and how it's written.
        
         | hiidrew wrote:
         | I agree. I usually finish most books I start but Snow Crash was
         | an exception. I can't quite articulate my distaste. Looking
         | back, one of the small things that ticked me off was Hiro
         | Protagonist - I couldn't take the book seriously at all. Felt
         | almost overly cheesy and clichey.
         | 
         | I'd like to give him another shot with Cryptonomicon or The
         | Diamond Age. I've appreciated him elsewhere, like as a podcast
         | guest. He definitely has an interesting mind, just didn't enjoy
         | Snow Crash.
        
       | hprotagonist wrote:
       | gargoyles -- never, ever, ever gonna be cool. Trust me.
        
         | ooterness wrote:
         | But the Apple Gargoyle Pro is cool, right? It has an outward-
         | facing display that shows your eyes.
        
       | asah wrote:
       | Given the topic, I would disappointed if this article were
       | written entirely by a human.
        
         | what-the-grump wrote:
         | Its paywalled, so it right there with the topic and classism.
        
       | thunderbong wrote:
       | https://archive.is/newest/https://www.theatlantic.com/techno...
        
       | eigenket wrote:
       | I think the most prescient prediction he made about AI is this
       | from Anathem. The concrete prediction is that the internet will
       | become filled with AI written crap, and that anyone wanting to
       | use it will have to filter out an enormous amount of AI nonsense,
       | before they reach any useful information. To translate: reticulum
       | means internet, syndevs means computers.
       | 
       | > "Early in the Reticulum-thousands of years ago-it became almost
       | useless because it was cluttered with faulty, obsolete, or
       | downright misleading information," Sammann said.
       | 
       | > "Crap, you once called it," I reminded him.
       | 
       | > "Yes-a technical term. So crap filtering became important.
       | Businesses were built around it. Some of those businesses came up
       | with a clever plan to make more money: they poisoned the well.
       | They began to put crap on the Reticulum deliberately, forcing
       | people to use their products to filter that crap back out. They
       | created syndevs whose sole purpose was to spew crap into the
       | Reticulum. But it had to be good crap."
       | 
       | > "What is good crap?" Arsibalt asked in a politely incredulous
       | tone.
       | 
       | > "Well, bad crap would be an unformatted document consisting of
       | random letters. Good crap would be a beautifully typeset, well-
       | written document that contained a hundred correct, verifiable
       | sentences and one that was subtly false. It's a lot harder to
       | generate good crap. At first they had to hire humans to churn it
       | out. They mostly did it by taking legitimate documents and
       | inserting errors-swapping one name for another, say. But it
       | didn't really take off until the military got interested."
       | 
       | > "As a tactic for planting misinformation in the enemy's
       | reticules, you mean," Osa said. "This I know about. You are
       | referring to the Artificial Inanity programs of the mid-First
       | Millennium A.R."
       | 
       | > "Exactly!" Sammann said. "Artificial Inanity systems of
       | enormous sophistication and power were built for exactly the
       | purpose Fraa Osa has mentioned. In no time at all, the praxis
       | leaked to the commercial sector and spread to the Rampant Orphan
       | Botnet Ecologies. Never mind. The point is that there was a sort
       | of Dark Age on the Reticulum that lasted until my Ita forerunners
       | were able to bring matters in hand."
        
         | BirAdam wrote:
         | Anathem is my personal favorite of his for precisely this
         | vision of near future history, and what the world does about
         | it.
        
         | JohnDeHope wrote:
         | Thanks for this quote. "Artificial Inanity" seems about as
         | useful of a concept as "negative information" (from
         | Foundation?) has been.
        
         | gattr wrote:
         | > The concrete prediction is that the internet will become
         | filled with AI written crap, and that anyone wanting to use it
         | will have to filter out an enormous amount of AI nonsense,
         | before they reach any useful information.
         | 
         | The same point is made in _Fall; or, Dodge in Hell_.
        
       | canistel wrote:
       | Cryptocurrency too - in Cryptonomicon. Not exactly as it is used
       | today, but along similar lines...
        
         | p_l wrote:
         | Cryptocurrency was a hotly, if niche, debated topic in 1990s,
         | which formed the backbone for Stephenson writing Cryptonomicon.
        
       | nonrandomstring wrote:
       | I haven't finished the article yet and am currently reading it.
       | But FWIW I'll just park this howler from the first paragraph
       | here:
       | 
       | > "prophesying what innovations are to come"
       | 
       | No. Prophesy is the ability to see or correctly guess the future
       | - a future that would have happened without the prophecy.
       | 
       | Christopher Hitchens nailed it absolutely when he noted that
       | science fiction is rarely prophetic, rather it's taken as a
       | blueprint for post-facto design. It is self-fulfilling,
       | influential fiction.
        
         | gitfan86 wrote:
         | It seems unlikely that there has ever been someone making a
         | prediction, never telling anyone about the prediction and then
         | living his life as if he never made the prediction.
         | 
         | I predict that Donald Trump will claim election fraud in states
         | he loses in 2024. Is that self fulfilling if it happens since I
         | said it publicly?
        
           | nonrandomstring wrote:
           | There's some difference between an author like George Orwell
           | writing a detailed novel which enters popular culture and
           | sells millions of copies - and two blokes at the pub saying
           | the royal family are lizards controlled by the saucer-people.
        
           | jcranmer wrote:
           | > Is that self fulfilling if it happens since I said it
           | publicly?
           | 
           | No. It would be self-fulfilling if Donald Trump claimed
           | election fraud specifically (as in, he's explicitly
           | announcing it!) because gitfan86 said it would happen.
           | 
           | If you look at something like the metaverse, a lot of the
           | people trying to build a metaverse are explicitly citing
           | stuff like Snow Crash as the motivation for what they're
           | trying to build. That's what makes it self-fulfilling--the
           | people trying to build the thing in the real world are using
           | the fiction as a blueprint.
        
       | imgabe wrote:
       | It's worth noting that in the book the "AI" is partly a live
       | connection to a human being.
        
       | tempaway74641 wrote:
       | I dont get whats supposed to be prescient about writing a book
       | with an AI in it, in 1995.
       | 
       |  _And nearly three decades before the release of ChatGPT, he
       | presaged the current AI revolution._
       | 
       | This claim seems to hinge on on the Primer in the Diamond Age
       | which uses an actor to read out its text, which is taken as a
       | metaphor for ChatGPT being built on human output.
       | 
       | I mean, the Primer/Ractor combo seems like a cool thing to have
       | in a book, but I don't see why this is a 'most stunning
       | prediction'
        
       | dumbmrblah wrote:
       | https://archive.is/mBH2q
        
       | gilbetron wrote:
       | I've been a fan of his since Snowcrash came out, and was hoping
       | the article would be interesting, but instead it reads like
       | someone that has consumed too many of his own press releases.
       | Starting off with, "It's a statistics engine that creates
       | sentences that sound accurate," was really disappointing.
        
       | williamcotton wrote:
       | Gibson > Stephenson
       | 
       | Whenever I think I am remembering Snow Crash, I'm actually
       | thinking of characters and plot lines from Neuromancer!
        
         | Cheer2171 wrote:
         | That is because Stephenson is intentionally parodying Gibson.
        
           | Krasnol wrote:
           | ...and didn't bother much describing the world his story
           | takes place in because he expected you to know Gibson's
           | Cyberpunk already.
        
       | koryk wrote:
       | Gen AI and its potential impact has been covered by Stephenson
       | multiple times.
       | 
       | I wrote a short post on some of the references in Anathem.
       | 
       | It's also a large plot point in Fall or Dodge in Hell. One of the
       | characters open sources some generative ai to fill the internet
       | with slightly untrue spam.
       | 
       | https://medium.com/@k0ryk/neal-stephensons-llm-predictions-7...
        
       | SkyMarshal wrote:
       | I would argue an equally prescient prediction of his is from
       | Snowcrash, the use of sophisticated disinformation and psyops to
       | mass-reprogram the human race, and the innate immunity or
       | resistance to it that some people have. That vision of the future
       | is now playing out in realtime.
        
       | queuebert wrote:
       | Just out of curiosity, do pieces like these get written because a
       | journalist is randomly interested in the idea, or does the
       | author's publisher reach out to the magazine and suggest a puff
       | piece topic?
        
         | simonw wrote:
         | Very much both. Plenty of pieces like this are PR-driven, but
         | quality publications are always looking to write interesting
         | pieces independently of PR pitches.
         | 
         | Many pieces come about because an individual journalist pitches
         | an idea to their editor.
        
       | Kaibeezy wrote:
       | From my perspective, Stephenson appears to have been engineered
       | to meet my optimal reading specification. This improbability
       | makes it among the best evidence I have that I am living in a
       | simulation, along with the sound of Wayne Rogers (guitarist, not
       | actor), the flavor of fresh doogh, the A944 west of Alford,
       | several others.
        
       | EdwardCoffin wrote:
       | Talking about Neal Stephenson's works always brings up several
       | topics: endings and editing. He's responded to criticisms of his
       | endings in various book talks, for instance his Author's at
       | Google talk about Anathem [1] (prepositioned to the relevant bit
       | @10:54). One of his editor's at Wired magazine also made a
       | comment about editing his work in his book talk about Fall or
       | Dodge in Hell at the Interval [2].
       | 
       | This is a transcript of a part of the Authors at Google talk for
       | Anathem (first link prepositioned to 10:54): _[10:54] Q: How do
       | you think about ending your stories? They seem to run the gamut
       | from some where the action just ends, and others where there 's
       | the equivalent of a movie ending with a ten-minute car chase in
       | it. [11:11] A: Well, I'm reasonably happy with all of my endings,
       | but I know that some people feel differently. [11:21] But as
       | you've noticed, they're different, it's not always the same
       | thing. All I can say is different books end in different ways,
       | and different people have different tastes in what they want to
       | see. I'm well aware that there are certain people frustrated with
       | the endings of some of my books. But I also think that it's one
       | of these things where people's preconceived ideas sometimes drive
       | the way they perceive things. I've seen people complain, for
       | example, that Snow Crash doesn't have a good ending. But I can
       | remember that at the time I was writing it, I told a friend of
       | mine that the climax of Snow Crash was now longer than Moby Dick.
       | There's a helicopter that gets brought down, and there's a
       | private jet that blows up, some people die, there's
       | confrontations, and the girl goes home with her mom, it seems
       | like a good ending to me. So I think that my experience is that
       | once you've written a book with a controversial ending and that
       | meme gets going of Stephenson can't write endings, then that gets
       | slapped on to everything you do, no matter how elaborate the
       | ending is. [12:59] For The Baroque Cycle, I created a kind of
       | NORAD bunker in which to write the ending. It was this complete,
       | you know, the wall, the ceiling, the floor, they were completely
       | covered with timelines, charts, and all kinds of technology that
       | I was using to bring all the plot lines together into an end.
       | [13:27] I think Anathem does ok on that score. I'm sure I'll be
       | hearing from some of the Stephenson can't write endings people,
       | but I think it's got a decent enough ending on this one._
       | 
       | This is a transcript of an unknown (to me) Wired editor talking
       | about Stephenson's copy: _I will tell you I was working under
       | Kevin at Wired when Neil did a story of following the fiberoptic
       | cable around the world, and it was a forty five thousand word
       | piece, and I will say when you brought the copy in I could not
       | improve it as an editor. It was the cleanest copy I 'd ever
       | worked with ever with any other writer and I actually worked with
       | a lot of writers so I will say you have something going on there
       | about your first drafts that are uneditable._ [2]
       | 
       | [1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lnq-2BJwatE&t=10m54s
       | 
       | [2] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bkxuzwCps70&t=3253s
        
         | beezlebroxxxxxx wrote:
         | That quote on _Anathem_ is interesting because it 's the one
         | book I've read by him that felt the most "...and that's the
         | ending, you can figure out what happened afterwards" of his
         | books. I wouldn't say it's a particularly satisfying ending
         | _while you 're reading the book_, because the logic of the
         | climactic scene and ending is hidden, but afterwards it does
         | leave you going "huh, it actually kind of works." _Seveneves_
         | had a much more conventional ending and, in the narrative logic
         | of the book, was quite satisfying to read even though I wouldn
         | 't say that book is his strongest book overall.
        
         | _whiteCaps_ wrote:
         | "Mother Earth, Mother Board" is one of my favourite pieces of
         | non-fiction writing.
        
       | whoswho wrote:
       | Does Neal Stephenson have an orb of seeing? I haven't read any of
       | his works or predictions but if he can tell the future then
       | that's worthy of a scientific study, I would posit. Wouldn't be
       | called predictions then, I suppose.
       | 
       | Not sure if he's the only one who wrote about possible future
       | outcomes with the tropes listed in the article. But then they
       | wouldn't be called tropes either, I suppose.
        
       | samsartor wrote:
       | I think the framing around these sorts of discussions always
       | annoys me because few sci-fi books (and certainly no Neil
       | Stephenson books) are primarily written as predictions. They are
       | written as stories, with technology serving narrative above all
       | else.
       | 
       | Snow Crash in particular uses the metaverse mostly as an excuse
       | to include sword fights and motorcycle/monorail chase scenes.
       | Fantastically fun in my opinion! But that motivates all kinds of
       | choices (making the Internet a literal place with a street grid
       | and real estate, where people can get chopped up by swords) that
       | real XR tech has no particular technical use for. And I would
       | implore any engineers using Snow Crash as an inspiration to
       | consider how absurd it would be to take all the world's most
       | sophisticated technology and dedicate it to gratifying personal
       | power fantasies. It starts with the almost pornographic display
       | of advanced weaponry and logistics deployed to deliver a pizza,
       | and just gets more gloriously ridiculous from there. The main
       | character is named "Hero Protagonist". The main antagonist has a
       | nuke strapped to his motorcycle. Take a hint!
       | 
       | Anyway, I am happy Diamond Age gets a call-out because it is by
       | far my favorite of Stephenson's novels. And I think the Young
       | Ladies Illustrated Primer is one of the all-time most interesting
       | technological plot contrivances (the Imago machine,
       | game/civilization of Azad, and Shrike all providing strong
       | competition). But the technical constraints/capabilities of the
       | Primer have almost nothing to do with realistic
       | limitations/advantages of AI technology, and everything to do
       | with getting the right characters into the right places at the
       | right times. We need a Miranda to provide the Primer's voice so
       | that Nell can have some kind of human connection in the end, and
       | we need Miranda to be paid anonymously so that Nell won't get
       | that human connection too soon. The Primer is a language model
       | not a robot so that Nell will have to solve problems on her own.
       | Yet she can learn Kung Fu from a language model because we need a
       | few action scenes. I think really the interesting question posed
       | is "Can a person grow up to be influential given no resources
       | except a perfect education?" not so much "Can a language model
       | provide a perfect education?". Many characters in Diamond Age
       | seem to agree with the former notion, but in the end it (SPOILER)
       | gets shot down when Nell needs control of an literal army to come
       | out on top.
        
         | cjohnson318 wrote:
         | Yeah, I'm annoyed by writers equating "any computer that speaks
         | like a real person" to "predicting ChatGPT". My four year old
         | wanted a robot to clean up her LEGOs. Did she predict
         | iRobot/Roomba?
         | 
         | I would be more impressed by a scenario where, e.g., a writer
         | predicts email, and then the side effects that (1) you _have_
         | to have an email to create accounts for things, and (2) mail is
         | constantly clogged by junk mail.
        
           | Archelaos wrote:
           | Reminds me of the joke: "I invented the laptop when I opened
           | a book turned 90deg at the age of four."
        
           | ghaff wrote:
           | Written end-to-end electronic communications was obvious
           | going back to at least the 70s (and arguably much longer).
           | What was aruably a lot less obvious that email/chat would
           | become almost ubiquitous and increasingly a prerequisite for
           | fully participating in society. (Including on the go.)
        
           | notahacker wrote:
           | Particularly when talking computers are an extremely common
           | trope in scifi, and had been for at least three decades
           | before Stephenson wrote _The Diamond Age_ , as for that
           | matter had primitive chatbots.
           | 
           | The aspects of the setup for the Primer I remember
           | (handcrafted by an individual for a specific end, reliant on
           | human voices for narration, far-future advanced technology
           | all around) don't feel at all like "predicting ChatGPT"
           | either.
        
         | WorldMaker wrote:
         | > Snow Crash in particular uses the metaverse mostly as an
         | excuse to include sword fights and motorcycle/monorail chase
         | scenes.
         | 
         | I don't think that's "most" of the usage of the metaverse in
         | Snow Crash. The entire point of the metaverse in Snow Crash is
         | to deal with the hubris of thinking that one protocol standard
         | to rule them all could last and provide for the opportunity for
         | a Tower of Babel-like fall of civilization as protocol wars
         | break down an overly centralized metaverse. All of the cool
         | stuff is just to show how high the Tower got built before it
         | crumbled and fell.
         | 
         | I think any engineers using Snow Crash as an inspiration are
         | probably missing the "Don't Build the Torment Nexus" message of
         | the direct ending of the book.
        
         | JohnFen wrote:
         | > Snow Crash in particular uses the metaverse mostly as an
         | excuse to include sword fights and motorcycle/monorail chase
         | scenes.
         | 
         | That's an interesting take. Personally, I thought those parts
         | were the least interesting, and the larger social commentary
         | was the most. As always, everyone takes something different
         | from compelling fiction.
         | 
         | I've never viewed Snow Crash (or The Diamond Age) as
         | predictions of the future though. They both seem to be
         | commentary squarely about the present to me.
        
           | samsartor wrote:
           | Yah "mostly" might have been a bit strong on my part. I think
           | Neil Stevenson is capable of both expressing interesting
           | ideas and shoehorning in great excuses for action set pieces
           | at the same time. Certainly any good science fiction can
           | inspire different interpretations by different people!
        
         | bsenftner wrote:
         | The ideas in both Snow Crash and Diamond Age are wonderful,
         | worthy of considerable investment, but Stephenson's writing is
         | harmed by his inclusion of pandering to a lowest common
         | denominator of reader: already mentioned is the character's
         | name being "Hero Protagonist", in addition he goes into a bit
         | too much lurid detail during a main character rape with pretty
         | demeaning sexual name, and the climax of Snow Crash is
         | literally a description of the abstract visual effects one
         | would see if Snow Crash were a VFX heavy feature film. Diamond
         | Age is more mature, but the Primer has 'super book'
         | capabilities closer to the Matrix Download of Knowledge to
         | enable more excitement in his narrative. Great ideas, but a bit
         | too comic book in execution.
        
           | bashinator wrote:
           | I always thought both of those books would make excellent
           | graphic novel or anime adaptations.
        
           | Supermancho wrote:
           | Beyond what you have pointed out, this list of tropes helps
           | remind us of how weak some of the characters were as well as
           | details that seemed unnecessary or out-of-placec.
           | 
           | https://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Characters/SnowCrash
        
         | firebat45 wrote:
         | Just a nitpick - The main character in Snow Crash is named
         | Hiro, not Hero.
        
         | thwarted wrote:
         | _It starts with the almost pornographic display of advanced
         | weaponry and logistics deployed to deliver a pizza_
         | 
         | The opening chapter takes on a whole different meaning when you
         | consider it as a heavily embellished self-narrative by a guy
         | who lives in a storage unit and doesn't really have a career
         | and doesn't have any prospects, delivering pizzas for a massive
         | chain in difficult to navigate suburban sprawl and how he fucks
         | up his job while sticking his neck out for his employer. He's
         | driving a noisy, used and abused, yet tricked out, vehicle in
         | risky situations, and they give him the cheapest, lamest weapon
         | they can to defend himself, seemingly some kind of taser that
         | charges in the cigarette lighter. So he feels more comfortable
         | and empowered carrying swords. He calls himself The
         | Deliverator, a member of an elite order; this is him telling
         | himself "I am somebody".
         | 
         | The opening chapter isn't necessarily about all the high tech
         | things of this dystopian future. It's the grandiose story a
         | normal, struggling guy tells himself to feel more important and
         | cooler than he actually is. Everyone considers themselves to be
         | the hero protagonist of their own story, and Hiro (assuming
         | that's his real name and not the name he's given his persona he
         | created to deal with his station in life) is no exception.
         | 
         | There's definitely some near-future sci-fi
         | technology/situations in the story such as Reason, the
         | ratthings, Ng's deal, most of YT's accoutrements, the nuclear
         | warhead sidecar. But even today, things like the metaverse, the
         | Librarian and Earth, are increasingly becoming more mundane
         | than futuristic. But they'll get described with more flourish
         | and flowery language than is actually warranted.
        
           | samsartor wrote:
           | I haven't thought too much about Hiro potentially being an
           | unreliable narrator, and it definitely puts a different spin
           | on things! In that case I certainly think the specific design
           | of the technologies in Snow Crash is motivated by that
           | narrative need to make Hiro's mundane life into something
           | exciting, rather than the literally mundane motivations
           | behind technology in the real world. Assuming anyway that we
           | aren't careening into a future were all technology is driven
           | primarily by hype... that's a scary thought.
        
         | swimwiththebeat wrote:
         | I agree, I don't think the purpose of sci-fi is to predict the
         | future. The future is just impossible to predict due to the
         | myriad factors, variables, unknown unknowns, and second-order+
         | degree effects an action can have.
         | 
         | The purpose of sci-fi IMO is moreso to:
         | 
         | 1. Provide an entertaining story/narrative with technology as
         | the main focus of the world and characters' actions
         | 
         | 2. Define a set of concepts to help you think about technology
         | and its possible effects on humans and the world
         | 
         | 3. Nudge people to think about what kind of future they would
         | want or not want and how they can use or control technology to
         | achieve that
         | 
         | Here's Ken Liu talking about the purpose of sci-fi:
         | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5knkpmxXu-k
        
           | samsartor wrote:
           | I do think predictions are an unavoidable side-effect of
           | writing science fiction, but those predictions are almost
           | always in service to those purposes you listed. Stephenson
           | must think nanotech book AI is more plausible as a form
           | idealized childhood education than say, magic fairies. But in
           | the end he relies on our suspension of disbelief to get on
           | past that to the big questions of nurture vs nature and the
           | quality of human intelligence.
        
       | flir wrote:
       | This article's wrong. It's not the Illustrated Primer that
       | presages the chatbots, it's the Librarian in Snow Crash. His
       | "intelligence without consciousness" take is spookily accurate, I
       | think.
        
       | the__alchemist wrote:
       | The Diamond age was my favorite Stephenson novel, but I'd like to
       | highlight a personal favorite Neal Stephenson premonition, the
       | extent of which is not fully realized, but seems likely. This one
       | (circa 2019) is less ambitious, and less well-known: There are
       | parts of _Fall, or Dodge in Hell_ that describe a phenomenon
       | called apes. These are bots, generally chatbots and similar.
       | Commanded by state and non-state actor, they dominate the
       | internet, and can be used to manipulate public opinion, or what
       | people think they _know_ in general.
       | 
       | More generally, he discusses the creation of a _post truth world_
       | , describing a brief period in history between the scientific
       | revolution, and now, where people could agree on a cohesive world
       | view. In the novel, the internet has now ended this; everyone is
       | siloed into their own information bubbles, and can't agree on a
       | common reality. Look up "MOAB" or "apes" in conjunction with this
       | book for more information. I should note that these are some of
       | the _smaller_ ideas in that book...
        
         | jpm_sd wrote:
         | The real-world parts of Fall were great, but the tedious
         | simulation stuff ruined the book for me.
         | 
         | As with all science fiction, his "predictions of the future"
         | are actually sharp observations of current reality. He's not
         | gazing into a crystal ball, he's just seeing the present from a
         | different angle.
        
           | fullspectrumdev wrote:
           | Agree. I enjoyed it significantly less than his other works
           | for the same reason.
           | 
           | It was an interesting exploration of some ideas, but the "in
           | simulation" arcs tended to have an absurdly slow pace, which
           | may have been deliberate attempt to help show the passage of
           | time between the "real world" parts.
        
           | FeloniousHam wrote:
           | I found the real-world parts a bore, and his re-creation of
           | existence quite diverting. When I recommend the book, it's
           | always with admonition to "skip the tedium, it goes on
           | forever".
           | 
           | Well, I did like "real world" parts that describe the
           | practical basis for how the fantasy realm was manifest, but
           | the life and times the present day characters was of no use
           | to me. I didn't care a whit about the conspiracy theories,
           | the post-US factions, any of that stuff.
        
           | VikingCoder wrote:
           | After reading Fall, playing Minecraft Skyblock or Luckyblock
           | feels kind of amazing...
        
         | jjk7 wrote:
         | I think the internet will eventually die for this reason...
         | 
         | Am I reading an honest comment from a stranger or from a Neal
         | Stephenson advertising bot?
         | 
         | Eventually it will be just all bots, and very little desire for
         | real humans to interact.
        
           | flohofwoe wrote:
           | I guess we'll just move back into small, trusted - but
           | isolated - online communities, like back in the BBS days,
           | which isn't necessarily a bad thing. It's mainly social media
           | which will be (or rather: already is) overrun by bots, but
           | social media (or even the web) isn't "the internet".
        
             | drakenot wrote:
             | Neal Stephenson's Anathem (2008):
             | 
             | > "Early in the Reticulum-thousands of years ago-it became
             | almost useless because it was cluttered with faulty,
             | obsolete, or downright misleading information," Sammann
             | said.
             | 
             | > "Crap, you once called it," I reminded him.
             | 
             | > "Yes-a technical term. So crap filtering became
             | important. Businesses were built around it. Some of those
             | businesses came up with a clever plan to make more money:
             | they poisoned the well. They began to put crap on the
             | Reticulum deliberately, forcing people to use their
             | products to filter that crap back out. They created syndevs
             | whose sole purpose was to spew crap into the Reticulum. But
             | it had to be good crap."
             | 
             | > "What is good crap?" Arsibalt asked in a politely
             | incredulous tone.
             | 
             | > "Well, bad crap would be an unformatted document
             | consisting of random letters. Good crap would be a
             | beautifully typeset, well-written document that contained a
             | hundred correct, verifiable sentences and one that was
             | subtly false. It's a lot harder to generate good crap. At
             | first they had to hire humans to churn it out. They mostly
             | did it by taking legitimate documents and inserting errors-
             | swapping one name for another, say. But it didn't really
             | take off until the military got interested."
             | 
             | > "As a tactic for planting misinformation in the enemy's
             | reticules, you mean," Osa said. "This I know about. You are
             | referring to the Artificial Inanity programs of the mid-
             | First Millennium A.R."
             | 
             | > "Exactly!" Sammann said. "Artificial Inanity systems of
             | enormous sophistication and power were built for exactly
             | the purpose Fraa Osa has mentioned. In no time at all, the
             | praxis leaked to the commercial sector and spread to the
             | Rampant Orphan Botnet Ecologies. Never mind. The point is
             | that there was a sort of Dark Age on the Reticulum that
             | lasted until my Ita forerunners were able to bring matters
             | in hand."
        
               | pierrebai wrote:
               | So, the fantastical plot argument is that one can insert
               | a singular hard-to-verify subtle error among a see of
               | factually correct statements? That's not novel, it is a
               | fact on about any decently sized compendium, \that there
               | will be a typo, an out of date fact or error. That's
               | supposed to be scary?
               | 
               | One of the underlying assumption behind these sci-fi
               | ideas is that people believe weird things because of
               | carefully constructed misleading chain of reasoning, when
               | in fact they simply believe in things that are convenient
               | to support their general world view. Climate denial, for
               | example, is not about carefully planted false evidences,
               | it is about adhering to a view point that avoids forcing
               | you to reconsider your lifestyle.
        
               | drakenot wrote:
               | Have you been paying attention to the proliferation of AI
               | / LLM generated content on the web?
               | 
               | Things are about to get dark unless we have new methods
               | for combating it. It has seemed like Google has been on a
               | slow and steady decline, losing this battle with
               | spammers. This takes it to a whole new level.
        
             | pixl97 wrote:
             | >I guess we'll just move back into small, trusted - but
             | isolated
             | 
             | Until some member gets pissed and DDOSes you off the net
             | and you can no longer afford the operational costs and/or
             | the costs of keeping your platform up to date and secure
             | are prohibitive.
             | 
             | The internet is going to turn into its own dark forest. IF
             | your 'social' group wants to stay alive it will have to
             | hide from the mega predators and the second you attract
             | attention expect to be prey.
        
             | vonjuice wrote:
             | I think the responses that something either will die or
             | revert back to some simile of the good old days is a very
             | human response that stems from the fact that in reality, it
             | will mutate in forms that we can't really predict.
             | 
             | Or perhaps some visionaries can predict somewhat, but we
             | can't really parse which of these predictions will be the
             | one to pan out.
        
             | JohnFen wrote:
             | My social group has already done this to a fair -- and
             | growing -- extent. There appears to be no other real
             | alternative.
        
           | lxgr wrote:
           | Why would I not want to communicate with people I personally
           | know over the Internet anymore, or with people they can
           | introduce me to?
           | 
           | It's "just" going to require better digital identities and
           | authentication, whether for real names (for interacting with
           | banks and governments) or context-dependent pseudonyms.
        
             | pixl97 wrote:
             | "Just"
             | 
             | So, you'll only talk to people you know, probably in your
             | country, facilitated by a government ID. How long before
             | that turns into "you can only communicate using your
             | government ID over the internet".
             | 
             | Who manages these context-dependent pseudonyms and what
             | motivations do they have. Pretty much in any commercially
             | operated publicly traded company this seems to turn into
             | "allow spammers on the network in some forms to increase
             | engagement".
        
         | kristjansson wrote:
         | For an earlier iteration of the same concept, see 'bogons' in
         | Anathem (2008 (!))
        
         | paulpauper wrote:
         | I dunno. His books are so long that anyone can find something
         | to infer as predictive or prescient. It's like confirmation
         | bias. Does any sci fi writer who incorporates human-like
         | intelligence robots into their novels predict GPT? I say not
        
           | rtkwe wrote:
           | They're long but it's not like they're not just spewing
           | random ideas out the whole length like a Nostradamus where
           | you shoot enough shots you'll eventually get something that
           | can be interpreted to be prescient.
        
         | throwuwu wrote:
         | I take issue with the assertion that there was a period where
         | all people could agree on a world view. Most of the 20th
         | century was defined by sharp disagreement between world views
         | and all of their constituent parts. Perhaps if you limit the
         | scope to all citizens of a nation then the statement would be
         | more truthful but there are large disagreements there as well.
        
           | photochemsyn wrote:
           | One thing I liked about reading "The Three Body Problem" was
           | the unique (to Westerners) worldview it portrayed, and the
           | difficulties of academic science in China under the Mao
           | regime - very different from the worldview in post WWII
           | America.
        
         | rsync wrote:
         | The "ameristan" portion of Fall is one of my favorite William
         | Gibson novels.
        
         | anticodon wrote:
         | > everyone is siloed into their own information bubbles, and
         | can't agree on a common reality
         | 
         | It has already happened. I was born in USSR and live in Russia,
         | and when I hear or read anything about USSR or Russia in
         | Western media, it makes my hair stand on end.
         | 
         | But if I try to explain what it was really like or what it is
         | like now, I only get insults in response: "Putin bot", "Kremlin
         | shill", "as dumb as Trump's followers", etc. So I gave up and
         | stop trying.
         | 
         | But it's clear that there're several "versions" of the reality,
         | some of them are very far from "real" reality. And the divide
         | will become only deeper. I also notice that comments on social
         | networks and youtube became so weaponized that I simply cannot
         | read them and stopped trying. I actively avoid reading any
         | comments on any website with only 3 or 4 exceptions (like HN).
        
           | ukuina wrote:
           | Would like to hear your take on the discrepancies in
           | perception, if you are willing to put yourself out there
           | again.
        
           | inglor_cz wrote:
           | When it comes to hair standing on end, you are contributing
           | to the problem.
           | 
           | Looking at your history, I found your claim from three months
           | ago, that the Baltic States, cite:
           | 
           |  _Since becoming "independent" they're only degrading with
           | ever-increasing speed._
           | 
           | First, they are really independent countries. No need for
           | scare quotes. Of course that small countries in general can't
           | act with the same sort of impunity like big countries, but
           | compared to their previous subordinated status as parts of
           | the USSR, Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania are now independent
           | countries with their own power structure and laws.
           | 
           | Seconds, the "degradation" claim is bullshit. I have visited
           | all those countries several times since the 1990s and the
           | general improvement of living standards from the depressing
           | Soviet shabbiness to where they are today is nothing short of
           | miraculous. The Baltics, together with Poland, belong to a
           | set of countries that took to modern social market economy
           | like ducklings to water.
           | 
           | The only thing that doesn't go up in the Baltics is
           | demography, but, literally, all the nearby regions of Russia
           | (Kaliningrad, Pskov, StPetersburg, Karelia) are much worse
           | off when it comes to fertility. Doctor, heal thyself.
        
         | k8svet wrote:
         | I read this book about 5 years ago. I remember thinking, just
         | like with global warming, "wow this is terrifying, glad I'll be
         | dead by then". Oh if only.
         | 
         | I think about MOAB nearly every single day. And I cherish
         | every, single, day. Because horrors await us, very soon.
         | 
         | Not sure how long ago you read it, but I'm just now remembering
         | the interludes where they start to contrast society that has
         | split around MOAB belief. Prescient indeed.
        
           | JohnFen wrote:
           | The way things have gone so far really does make it hard to
           | be optimistic about the future, particularly when it comes to
           | the internet.
        
         | anon84873628 wrote:
         | I mean, yeah, but the "post truth world" was a thing sometime
         | within the G.W. Bush administration, and Stephen Colbert coined
         | the word "truthiness" in 2005, so calling it a "premonition" by
         | Stephenson is a bit of a stretch.
         | 
         | Not to mention social media manipulation by bots in the 2016 US
         | presidential race...
        
       | karaterobot wrote:
       | What's the stunning prediction talked about in the title? Because
       | it sounds like he doesn't think he predicted today's AI, or that
       | he thought about AI much in that story.
       | 
       | > The technology that drives the book wasn't really AI as we
       | think of it now--I was talking to people who were working on some
       | of the underlying technologies that would be needed to
       | communicate on the internet in a secure, anonymous manner. I
       | guess it's implicit that there's an AI in there that's generating
       | the story and increasing the degree of sophistication in response
       | to the learning curve of the child, but I didn't really go into
       | that very much; I just kind of assumed it would be there.
        
       | paulpauper wrote:
       | His books are so long he has written so many of them that the
       | odds will approach 100% he coins some neologism
        
       | denton-scratch wrote:
       | https://archive.ph/u75bw
        
       | davedunkin wrote:
       | Who's writing sci-fi today that we will look back on as
       | predictive?
        
         | jes5199 wrote:
         | no one. can't see past the event horizon.
        
       | lxgr wrote:
       | I'm curious how his prediction about generative AI in Fall will
       | play out. Mild spoilers ahead (not really plot relevant):
       | 
       | He basically predicts that any form of leak intended to harm the
       | subject depicted will become ineffective, since nobody will
       | accept text, voice and video recordings as authentic anymore and
       | people will actually perform "preemptive strikes" on the search
       | space themselves, which will in turn be plausibly deniable for
       | the same reason.
        
       | mewse-hn wrote:
       | I find "Stephenson predicted ChatGPT!!" to be an incredibly
       | stupid hot take, and I'm a fan of Stephenson.
        
       | nameless912 wrote:
       | I honestly think the Hyperion series does a better job predicting
       | the enshittification of everything at the hands of AI than
       | anything Stephenson wrote. And as an added bonus, it throws in
       | some really interesting thought experiments about what a sentient
       | AI would logically conclude the "right thing" to do with humanity
       | was.
        
       | danans wrote:
       | How do we know that it's a prediction rather than an influence on
       | how things have turned out?
       | 
       | After all, Stephenson has been a very popular author among those
       | in the CS/AI/ML world for a long time. Furthermore,
       | "conversations" with machines have been a model for human-AI
       | interaction for a very long time. Stephenson didn't invent that
       | idea.
        
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