[HN Gopher] The perverse policies that fuel wildfires
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       The perverse policies that fuel wildfires
        
       Author : PaulHoule
       Score  : 103 points
       Date   : 2024-02-06 16:35 UTC (6 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.newyorker.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.newyorker.com)
        
       | nazca wrote:
       | I'm glad our century+ of gross mismanaging our forests is getting
       | more press. But I think we're still fighting deeply entrenched
       | mindsets that fire is always bad. Across the west, our forests
       | are fire-adapted and need to burn to be healthy, but we're still
       | suppressing most fire and not doing nearly enough prescribed
       | burning.
       | 
       | We're also up against a century of planting trees at 2x natural
       | density after logging. Logging can be a useful management tool,
       | but if we plant 2 trees for everyone we cut we're not building
       | healthy forests, and we're just increasing fuel loads.
       | 
       | Meanwhile, climate change gets most of the press. Yes it is a
       | contributing issue, but it's unfortunately being used to absolve
       | the forest managers of accountability.
       | 
       | A good read is "The Big Burn" by Timothy Egan. It details how at
       | its founding, the Forest Service knew the fire suppression regime
       | they were creating was unhealthy. But it was the only politically
       | possible path for them at the time.
        
         | bell-cot wrote:
         | > We're also up against a century of planting trees at 2x
         | natural density after logging. Logging can be a useful
         | management tool, but if we plant 2 trees for everyone we cut
         | we're not building healthy forests, and we're just increasing
         | fuel loads.
         | 
         | I'm thinking that mother nature generally plants trees at far
         | higher than 2X density.
        
           | anon84873628 wrote:
           | Rather than piling on downvotes, I will respond to the valid
           | question implied here.
           | 
           | Nature does plant trees densely. But most of them don't make
           | it to maturity when the "natural" rhythm of wildfires is
           | allowed to proceed.
           | 
           | Likewise the composition of species in the ecosystem also
           | changes when the fire is suppressed.
        
         | sesm wrote:
         | It's almost like we live in Elden Ring universe, where we
         | didn't let the tree burn when it should, and now we suffer dire
         | consequences.
        
         | kurthr wrote:
         | Well, once you've allowed hundreds of thousands of people to
         | build houses there, which ones are you going to burn?
         | Seriously, do something and they won't burn today. Do nothing
         | and they burn. All over the pacific northwest there are
         | millions of people who live in forested areas, which will burn
         | without fire control.
         | 
         | You can do burns when things are wetter, but how many $Bs are
         | you going to be liable for? Or you can just make the insurance
         | unattainable.
        
       | kayfox wrote:
       | Paul Hessberg did a talk at TEDxBend a few years bask that helps
       | sum it up visually: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=edDZNkm8Mas
       | 
       | There are a lot of reasons fires are more and more common and
       | more and more devastating, but the number one reason is build up
       | of vegetation on the forest floor that contributes to a ladder
       | effect moving the fire from a ground fire to a canopy fire.
       | 
       | A lot more effort needs to be undertaken to build fire breaks and
       | conduct controlled burns in the forests of North America to
       | mitigate this problem and provide the fire the ecosystem evolved
       | around and nutrients for new trees. It would also help beat back
       | the various fungal and beetle pandemics in the western forests.
       | We can't simply blame it all on PG&E and move on, a spark from a
       | PG&E power line would not turn into a devastating megafire if the
       | forest was healthy.
        
         | graemep wrote:
         | The same around the world. Happening in Europe from Scotland to
         | Greece.
         | 
         | The media attribute it to global warming which means noting
         | gets done about it.
        
           | mjhay wrote:
           | It isn't mutually exclusive. Warming is a major cause of
           | increased wildfires, and poor land use and overgrowth due to
           | fire suppression make it worse.
        
             | graemep wrote:
             | The point is that the focus on global warming means no one
             | will do anything about poor land management because that
             | problem is not made public.
             | 
             | You can see what happens right here in the downvotes I have
             | got. Just because I shift blame for something away from
             | global warming to another cause, people feel they most
             | downvote me.
             | 
             | Global warming is to blame in their minds is equivalent to
             | no other cause can be blamed.
             | 
             | I partly made that comment to see how much a rational and
             | reasonable comment would get downvoted for that reason. I
             | think the experiment proved something.
        
               | davidw wrote:
               | The problem is extremely public here in the western US.
        
               | wongarsu wrote:
               | It's a matter of framing. We just have to move the
               | discussion from "global warming increases wildfires, buy
               | more EVs" to "global warming increases wildfires, let's
               | improve our forest management to manage the impact (while
               | also fighting against climate change)".
        
               | vkou wrote:
               | Don't worry, nobody will do anything about global
               | warming, either.
               | 
               | We've already blown right past the Paris accord, I'm sure
               | we'll soon come up with a new accord that will set a
               | target that we will also blow past.
               | 
               | In the meantime, invest in an air conditioner and an air
               | purifier for your city home, and try not to own any
               | summer dachas in heavily forested areas.
        
               | wk_end wrote:
               | The problem is not made public...except in the New
               | Yorker? Except by the president of the United States?
               | 
               | Shifting blame towards land management practices - not
               | necessarily by you, but for example by that particular
               | POTUS - is often an attempt to downplay global warming
               | and the urgent need to do take steps to stave it off,
               | rather than a good-faith attempt to reform land
               | management practices. If people detect a whiff of _that_
               | , that's what makes them downvote; given the present and
               | future consequences of downplaying global warming and the
               | urgent need to take steps to stave it off, and the push
               | that's been behind that for the past, oh, fifty-to-
               | seventy years or so, can you blame them? No one's against
               | reforming land management to prevent forest fires.
        
           | adrianN wrote:
           | The forest ecosystems in Europe have not evolved in the
           | presence of regular fires afaik. Large parts of Germany for
           | example used to be an impassable swamp before they were clear
           | cut and drained for agriculture a few hundred years ago.
        
           | polski-g wrote:
           | Climate change is the skeleton key of doing nothing. "Climate
           | change means there is a drought" Nothing we can do about it,
           | not build desalination plants, or raise the cost of water, or
           | eminent domain farmers' property who refuse to relinquish
           | their century old "water rights". Literally just complain
           | about climate change is all we can do.
        
             | XorNot wrote:
             | All those things are incredibly expensive and/or unpopular.
             | 
             | That's why no one does them.
        
         | ToucanLoucan wrote:
         | It's infuriating to me that Native Americans who lived here for
         | thousands of years before they were colonized had this figured
         | out, and we, hundreds of years later with the entire industrial
         | revolutions and information ages worth of innovations, still
         | can't meaningfully tackle this.
         | 
         | Which is to say, we absolutely can, we just choose not to.
         | Absolutely goddamn infuriating how so many problems in our
         | world have such catastrophically obvious solutions and we just
         | don't, usually because of money.
        
           | maximinus_thrax wrote:
           | > for thousands of years before they were colonized had this
           | figured out
           | 
           | Yes, it is outrageous that we can't directly apply the same
           | policies and methods considering we have the same level of
           | urbanization, population, industrial and economic
           | requirements and private property laws /s
        
             | davidw wrote:
             | IDK about 'outrageous', but it _is_ kind of frustrating it
             | has taken us so long to figure out that the people who
             | lived here knew what they were doing, and adapting their
             | methods to our current society.
        
               | maximinus_thrax wrote:
               | On the ranking of frustrations regarding wildfires and
               | climate change, not doing controlled burns (like the
               | native peoples were doing) is really really low for me,
               | especially considering all the things I just listed.
        
               | davidw wrote:
               | I live in a place with a huge national forest just to the
               | west, so for me it is a real concern.
               | 
               | The speed with which this fire ripped through was no
               | joke, as an example:
               | 
               | https://www.bendbulletin.com/localstate/awbrey-hall-
               | fire-20-...
               | 
               | And the city got lucky because the wind was out of the
               | NW, rather than from the west, which might have driven it
               | straight into the city.
        
               | drone wrote:
               | It hasn't "taken us this long to figure out..." the
               | issues around prescribed burning are fairly modern and
               | related to overreacting/incorrectly responding to some
               | major wildfires that killed lots of people in the late
               | 19th and early 20th century. (See the formation of the
               | USFS and the policies promoted by them, Smoky the Bear,
               | etc.)
               | 
               | Fire was a regular tool in everyone in North America's
               | toolkit, indigenous or otherwise, and not something white
               | people were too stupid to figure out.
        
             | ToucanLoucan wrote:
             | If our industrial and economic requirements and private
             | property laws prevent us from maintaining a planet we can
             | live on, what fucking good are they? Oh yeah I'm so happy I
             | get to own my own little 0.25 acre kingdom upon which I'm
             | legally allowed to do anything, the libertarian fantasy,
             | then whoops the biosphere collapsed guess I'm dead now, oh
             | well at least we created a lot of value for shareholders!
        
               | maximinus_thrax wrote:
               | > If our industrial and economic requirements and private
               | property laws prevent us from maintaining a planet we can
               | live on, what fucking good are they?
               | 
               | I share the same view with you. But we are the minority,
               | just FYI. I've expressed these sentiments in public and
               | every single time I've been labeled a tree hugging
               | commie.
               | 
               | This event https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Western_Nor
               | th_America_hea... radicalized me.
        
               | ToucanLoucan wrote:
               | I genuinely live for all the people who get pissy at me
               | for challenging the base assumptions of things like
               | property rights and have no rebuttal apart from screaming
               | "communist" at me.
               | 
               | If property rights cause us to kill the planet we're on
               | because we're too stubborn to revisit that set of
               | assumptions and maybe tweak them so we can save all of
               | our lives, then IMO we rightly deserve the incredibly
               | stupid demise we will suffer.
        
           | cameldrv wrote:
           | This is very true, but also the Native Americans didn't build
           | their houses in the forest (for this reason). The white man
           | likes to have his cabin in the woods. This is perfectly fine
           | in northern Europe and the NE U.S., because due to the
           | different climate, wildfires aren't so common, and wood on
           | the forest floor there is more prone to rot instead of burn.
           | 
           | Now that there are so many cabins in the woods, there's
           | probably an opportunity for a startup that makes robots to
           | clear out the forest floor. The only problem is that the
           | forest ecosystem has evolved to have periodic fires, but
           | perhaps this is still the best of a series of bad options.
        
             | ToucanLoucan wrote:
             | All joking aside, there are tons of mitigation options for
             | this, most of which wouldn't even require robots or
             | startups, they just require the political will to allocate
             | money to do a thing we know needs to be done. We don't need
             | a company to do this. We can just say "to protect both our
             | environment and tons of people who live in the forested
             | areas most at risk, we need to implement a set of
             | protection measures to mitigate the probability of
             | disastrous fires." These can be some combination of
             | clearing forest floors, probably revisiting construction
             | guidelines for homes/businesses in these areas, and
             | controlled burns in areas where that's required or
             | necessary.
             | 
             | But no. We do nothing, and people's homes continue to burn,
             | and we dump yet more masses of CO2 into the atmosphere and
             | waste thousands of trees, and of course a requisite number
             | of human casualties. Ridiculous.
        
               | callalex wrote:
               | > These can be some combination of clearing forest
               | floors, probably revisiting construction guidelines for
               | homes/businesses in these areas, and controlled burns in
               | areas where that's required or necessary.
               | 
               | But that's communism! You bureaucrats can't tell me what
               | to do! (You may think I am straw-manning but this is
               | based on real, actual conversations that I have had with
               | real, actual people in rural California. There is a
               | terrible brain rot that has ossified in "conservative"
               | culture in rural America and at this point I don't think
               | anything can actually be done about it. These people will
               | happily burn to death with an ignorant smile on their
               | face.
        
               | cameldrv wrote:
               | The only problem is that then their heirs will sue PG&E
               | and before long I'll have a $3000 electric bill.
        
               | ToucanLoucan wrote:
               | Honestly calling American conservatives conservatives at
               | all is an insult to an ideology that, while I do oppose
               | _most_ things held by, is at least a coherent ethos that
               | does have valid points on occasion. Mainstream
               | "conservatism" in the United States however was utterly
               | hollowed out by the likes of Rush Limbaugh's EIB network,
               | Fox News, etc. to at this point be merely an entire
               | ideology who's sole tenet is "Fuck liberals."
               | 
               | That's the entire thing now. Just fuck liberals. No
               | matter what the issue is, fuck liberals. If liberals want
               | sensible regulations, they will be opposed. If
               | conservatives suggest the exact same ones, they'll be
               | fine with it. If the Liberals cave and give the
               | Conservatives exactly what they want, they'll still
               | oppose it because it'll be signed by a Liberal president,
               | which is a Liberal accomplishing something, and therefore
               | conflicts with "Fuck Liberals." They will fuck Liberals
               | if it costs them freedoms, the lives of their children,
               | the stability of their government, and the habitability
               | of their biosphere.
               | 
               | That's all mainstream conservatism is anymore here and
               | frankly it should be roundly mocked and derided at every
               | opportunity for that. This complete non-ideology is why
               | political issues here can comprehensively not be
               | resolved, because one side's entire driving force is
               | fucking over the other.
        
             | nick7376182 wrote:
             | The last thing I want to be scared of is a self-driving
             | brush hog.
        
               | selimthegrim wrote:
               | When Fern Gully came out, were you hiding under the
               | couch?
        
           | caseysoftware wrote:
           | > _It 's infuriating to me that Native Americans who lived
           | here for thousands of years before they were colonized had
           | this figured out_
           | 
           | Which tribes do you mean? Some were in the plains, some were
           | in the forests, and many more were nomadic over vast areas.
           | There were - and still are - many peoples with wildly
           | different lives, cultures, and understanding encompassing the
           | millions of square miles that make up North America. Don't
           | call us "colonized" as you imagine we're all the same.
           | 
           | To address your specific point, the "figured out" part was
           | the fact that fires could only be detected by sight (or smell
           | if close enough) so they burned regularly without a massive
           | build up of fuel. In present times, we detect and stop fires
           | until we can't and then catastrophe occurs.
        
           | gorwell wrote:
           | It's infuriating how people spread that racist meme.
        
         | jeffbee wrote:
         | What are we to make of the photographs taken from fire lookouts
         | that are used as evidence in this talk? Consider the Thorp
         | Mountain photo from the 1930s. Prior to that, loggers had come
         | in and largely wrecked that forest. The USFS GIS indicates that
         | the area around Thorp Mountain is between 20-30% old growth, is
         | mostly mature replacement forest. So a photo from the 1930s
         | showing patchy forests would have been a reflection of the fact
         | that industrial era Americans had already come through and
         | taken most of the trees.
        
           | davidw wrote:
           | What's your source on even high, rugged country like that
           | being logged out by the 1930ies at an industrial scale?
        
             | jeffbee wrote:
             | I am looking at the USDA Old Growth and Mature Forests GIS.
             | Why do you doubt it? The Northern Pacific Railroad went
             | right through that area, and Congress granted them lands 40
             | miles on either side of their route.
        
               | davidw wrote:
               | They could have easily stripped the lower areas fairly
               | thoroughly, and left higher peaks alone. I'm not saying
               | "I doubt it happened", just that I'm not convinced either
               | way.
        
               | callalex wrote:
               | What is there to be convinced of? The loggers weren't
               | hiding their practices as they weren't doing anything
               | illegal. This is well documented and studied.
        
           | mtnGoat wrote:
           | In addition to logging grazing was also happening throughout
           | California, even in the high country for hundreds of years.
           | This also decreased fire risk by eliminating fuel.
        
         | davidw wrote:
         | His research looks pretty interesting:
         | 
         | https://www.fs.usda.gov/research/about/people/phessburg
        
         | Izkata wrote:
         | > but the number one reason is build up of vegetation on the
         | forest floor that contributes to a ladder effect moving the
         | fire from a ground fire to a canopy fire.
         | 
         | So to go off on a bit of a tangent, in a fantasy book from
         | 1998* there was a fire mage who had been preventing wildfires
         | for decades. When green mage (plants/trees/etc) finds out about
         | this she chews him out about the dangerous conditions he's
         | creating by not letting the buildup on the ground burn away. By
         | the end of the book the wildfires have reached the forest and
         | the fire mage dies trying to stop the resulting firestorm.
         | 
         | Now yes it's fantasy but the way ambient magic works in this
         | series plus the way the whole situation was presented I just
         | kinda figured this risk was well-enough known, so it's been
         | weird to me over the past decade or so how it keeps coming up.
         | 
         | * _Circle of Magic_ #3, _Daja 's Book_
        
           | throwup238 wrote:
           | _> Now yes it 's fantasy but the way ambient magic works in
           | this series plus the way the whole situation was presented I
           | just kinda figured this risk was well-enough known, so it's
           | been weird to me over the past decade or so how it keeps
           | coming up._
           | 
           | It's been a well known risk for at least a century. Aldo
           | Leopold began popularizing the idea of using prescribed burns
           | to manage forests in the 1920s and by mid-20th century it was
           | officially part of US Forest Service management practices.
           | The problem has always been the people who live in and around
           | fire prone areas. They've used public pressure, bureaucracy,
           | and litigation to prevent State and Federal agencies from
           | properly managing the forests since the post-war boom.
           | 
           | In California, for example, permits are managed by 35
           | different "Air Districts" created in 1947 each with their own
           | local leadership that are easily lobbied. Residents can
           | trivially grind any project to a halt because controlled
           | burns are practically impossible, given California's
           | pollution standards, without these permits and exceptions
           | from the state Air Resources Board.
           | 
           | It's coming up now because the situation is so dire we need a
           | concerted effort to sway public opinion towards the realistic
           | solution. Now that insurance companies are giving up on these
           | fire prone markets, the residents have no choice but to get
           | with the program.
        
             | fakedang wrote:
             | >It's been a well known risk for at least a century. Aldo
             | Leopold began popularizing the idea of using prescribed
             | burns to manage forests in the 1920s and by mid-20th
             | century it was officially part of US Forest Service
             | management practices.
             | 
             | Actually, the Native Americans historically started the
             | practice.
        
               | throwup238 wrote:
               | That's why I said "at least." Those practices inspired
               | Aldo Leopold (among others) but he was the one to do most
               | of the work to convince US government agencies of their
               | merit.
        
             | DiscourseFan wrote:
             | Is there a way to build permanent housing in parts of
             | California that are prone to fires even with controlled
             | burns? Even controlled fires pose a risk to habitation; if
             | you were a semi-nomadic tribe (like the former residents
             | before Americans brought western "Reason" and domestication
             | to the west coast), you could move everyone out of the area
             | to be burned, and then come back X many months/years later
             | when wildlife and vegetation returned.
             | 
             | If, on the other hand, the area to be burned has "invested
             | capital" and houses and land on it--essentially, private
             | property, which has this strange quality of fixity even in
             | the face of something as destructive as the earth (which
             | never fails to dissolve it), how would you guarantee,
             | without _incredibly_ high insurance premiums, that people
             | 's houses wouldn't burn down.
             | 
             | And even if people are willing to pay the premiums, they
             | would do so knowing that the government might decide,
             | almost randomly (to them), to burn a chunk of forest _right
             | next to their house_. They 'd get fair warning, sure, but
             | who wants to own a house that might burn down in 10 years
             | because the state decides that its too much of a risk to
             | have that patch of land burn naturally?
        
               | Arrath wrote:
               | > Is there a way to build permanent housing in parts of
               | California that are prone to fires even with controlled
               | burns?
               | 
               | Absolutely. A good starting point is to look to
               | Australia's regulations for construction materials,
               | methods, water storage and setback/firebreak
               | requirements, etc. for fire safety in bushfire prone
               | areas.
               | 
               | While it may be picturesque to have your house or cabin
               | nestled in amongst the forest, your fire survivability is
               | Zero.
        
               | taneq wrote:
               | Even so, we lose plenty of houses because people want to
               | live 'out in the bush' but don't want to do all of these
               | things.
        
               | Arrath wrote:
               | Oh its certainly not foolproof, but better than what we
               | usually do here in the states.
        
               | taneq wrote:
               | Yeah, hopefully the forestry people over there realise
               | that hazard reduction burns aren't optional if you're
               | gonna build houses in the forest and then expect it to
               | not burn down.
        
               | EdwardDiego wrote:
               | The fact that people can go build a house in the middle
               | of bush that's renowned, sometimes even evolved for, for
               | fire, strikes me as nuts.
               | 
               | Especially when volunteer firefighters then have to risk
               | their lives to save people with the lovely view. (Ditto
               | California...)
        
               | mtnGoat wrote:
               | I don't know anyone working on wildfires in the United
               | States for free. Not saying there is no risk, but they
               | are paid and understand the risks. Some nice neighbors
               | have their own contract fire crews, which are not cheap.
        
               | toast0 wrote:
               | I live in a wooded area in Washington state, and I'm not
               | too worried about my buildings, because I have a
               | relatively huge clearing around my house and garage. And
               | I don't live in my outbuilding that's kind of too close
               | to the forest. But I'd still need to evacuate, somehow,
               | if there were a forest fire. The smoke would be
               | dangerous, I imagine utility power would be lost, and my
               | generator is actually a couple trees into the woods.
               | 
               | Insurance companies could presumably do inspections of
               | clearings and cancel or charge more if you don't have
               | sufficient clearing, but municipalities aren't going to
               | like the tree cutting that results.
        
               | devilbunny wrote:
               | Build it out of concrete blocks with a metal roof. The
               | contents are almost certainly flammable, but the
               | structure isn't.
        
         | pvaldes wrote:
         | More than 90% of forests are provoked by humans. Some are
         | accidents. Other not. Starting in multiple locations at the
         | same time; at night. The same pattern seen again and again and
         | again In Chile, Canada, USA, Spain, Portugal, Greece...
         | Coordinated and deliberated.
         | 
         | > the _number one reason_ is build up of vegetation on the
         | forest floor
         | 
         | Yeah, sure man.
         | 
         | 123 killed in Chile and everybody is avoiding to see the huge
         | elephant in the middle of the room painted with the word
         | terrorism in uppercase letters.
         | 
         | We could remove every single leaf in the soil of the forest,
         | and gasoline cans would still grow in the trees.
        
         | runarberg wrote:
         | I'm not an expert, so I could be wrong about this, but this
         | sounds like a case of not addressing the elephant in the room.
         | Isn't the number one reason the changing climates as a result
         | of increased carbon dioxide in the atmosphere?
         | 
         | Sure there are bad forest management, alien species, build up
         | of vegetation on the forest floor etc. But are these actually
         | the number one reason when the climate is a whole degree warmer
         | on average, with prolonged droughts, with native species dying
         | from said heat and droughts, etc.
         | 
         | This feels like another clear case of climate denialism.
        
           | unnamed76ri wrote:
           | What is the percentage of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere
           | and how much has that changed in the past 100 years?
           | Something worth looking into.
        
             | runarberg wrote:
             | I can look it up (and so can you) but it is irrelevant for
             | this conversation.
             | 
             | This matters if you are a climate scientist and are
             | constructing a model to make predictions or shape policy.
             | But for this conversation, all we need to know is that the
             | percentage has increased because of human activity
             | (specifically as a result of fossil fuel extraction and
             | usage for energy consumption) and this increase is enough
             | to cause significant warming, shaping the climate, and
             | escalating wild fire intensity and frequency.
        
         | bcrosby95 wrote:
         | We probably need different solutions for the pacific northwest
         | and the southwest. From everything I've read, Chaparral tends
         | to turn into grasslands if it burns too often. And Chaparral is
         | the wildfire problem in the LA region.
        
         | andrei_says_ wrote:
         | Going back in time and not clear cutting all old forest on a
         | whole continent would be a big improvement, too.
         | 
         | The new growth is much more likely to be devastated by fires.
         | Trees are smaller, branches are lower, brush is thicker etc.
        
           | plorg wrote:
           | And in many places the trees that grow back are not the same
           | species that were cut to begin with, and don't necessarily
           | function in the same fire ecology, either because they have
           | evolutionary advantages in clean cut environments or because
           | they were planted for their supposely greater economic value.
        
         | sbohacek wrote:
         | The 2022 Calf Canyon/Hermits Peak Fire in New Mexico was caused
         | by controlled burns that got out of control. One part of the
         | fire was from a controlled burn that was completed in January
         | and then "reignited" in April!
         | 
         | In any case, some regions might have frequent episodes that are
         | hot, dry, and/or windy so that techniques that easily worked a
         | hundred years ago are no longer useful.
        
         | gadders wrote:
         | Lot another dollar in the Trump was right jar.
         | 
         | https://www.politico.com/states/california/story/2020/08/20/...
        
       | andybak wrote:
       | I'm confused. I first read an article along these lines over 20
       | years ago and it seemed a fairly intuitively solid argument with
       | lots of evidential support.
       | 
       | Has it still not become official policy?
        
         | PaulHoule wrote:
         | Depends where you go. I remember seeing controlled burns in the
         | Gila Wilderness circa 1993.
        
         | m0llusk wrote:
         | It is never that simple. Some geographies naturally trap smoke
         | in ways that make controlled burns disruptive to nearby
         | communities. There must also be resources available in case
         | controlled burns get out of control. All of this takes
         | coordination and costs money. Going from a general agreement to
         | a specific implementation is turning out to be difficult in
         | many areas.
        
         | legitster wrote:
         | > More prescribed burning, more metal roofs, better zoning--
         | these are all steps that could make a significant difference at
         | a local level.
         | 
         | We basically are, except for the zoning thing. Keeping people
         | from living near forests is hard politically.
        
         | taeric wrote:
         | The difficulty, as I understand it, is largely that doing these
         | actions are not themselves risk free. And the risk is not at
         | all easy to insure against, such that people do what they can
         | to avoid taking on any actions that could lead to liability on
         | them. Which leads to nobody having the courage to do it.
        
         | kibwen wrote:
         | In the US, different agencies are responsible for different
         | tracts of land. At a federal level, the BLM has understood the
         | value of prescribed burns for many years now, although they're
         | still wrestling with the result of decades of prior fire-
         | suppression policies. Meanwhile, state agencies in fire-prone
         | states are beholden to the voters of fire-prone states who
         | don't want to be told that they can't have their cake (a year-
         | round smoke-free residence in the lovely arboreal countryside)
         | and eat it too (not having their house burn down in an
         | unstoppable manmade maelstrom), so you can imagine how that's
         | going.
        
       | vondur wrote:
       | I saw a section of Forest in Yosemite that is being managed
       | according to modern forestry practices. The section has far fewer
       | trees in it compared to the non managed section. Apparenlty there
       | are too many trees in the Western US Forests, which also makes
       | fires worse.
        
         | tadfisher wrote:
         | This is true. My region (Oregon's Willamette Valley) consisted
         | of oak savanna and grassland prairies which were maintained by
         | controlled fires set by the native tribes. Since European
         | settlement, this ecosystem is 99.5% gone, having been lost to
         | thick woodlands consisting mostly of Douglas fir and maple.
         | 
         | Visiting the region, you'd think that dense evergreen forests
         | are the "natural" state of the ecosystem, but this is largely
         | an artifact of 150+ years of fire suppression.
        
           | njarboe wrote:
           | The oak savanna was a highly constructed world managed by
           | humans for acorn production and other reasons. What is
           | "natural" and why do we desire it?
        
             | jmcqk6 wrote:
             | In this case "natural" might be better described as
             | "sustainable". Of course it was natural, we are all part of
             | nature.
             | 
             | The issue is the sustainability of these ecosystems and the
             | impact on life around it. The indigenous peoples lived a
             | much tighter connection to the land, with a give and take,
             | recognizing the fundamental interdependence.
             | 
             | The theme for the last hundreds years has not been
             | sustainability, but value extraction. Value extraction
             | without regards to sustainability is a classic trade giving
             | away long term success while gaining short term rewards.
        
           | hector_vasquez wrote:
           | Why would tribal land management be "natural" but not more
           | recent land management? It seems more like we just need to
           | decide how we want the land to be and burn or not burn to
           | achieve our goals.
        
             | tadfisher wrote:
             | That was why I used air-quotes. What is "natural" isn't
             | always healthy, and I'd argue leaving ecosystems to nature
             | is impossible these days. I'm advocating for responsible
             | stewardship.
        
             | h0l0cube wrote:
             | Maybe it's not "natural", but a _matured_ land management
             | practice. It's 1000s of years of fire culture vs a couple
             | of hundred.
        
           | PedroBatista wrote:
           | I get what you're saying, but "native tribes" were just part
           | of the ecosystem as much as we are. The is nothing magical or
           | pure about them.
           | 
           | The "true" natural state of a region is one without any
           | management or intervention from anyone.
           | 
           | We are not "invasive" species and contrary to what the rocket
           | man says, Earth is our home and we will not be anywhere else,
           | so the only solution is to use our brains and judgment.
        
             | tadfisher wrote:
             | You may have misread my statement. Dense evergreen forests
             | in the valley weren't natural even before tribal
             | settlement. The tribes innovated by practicing controlled
             | burns, and part of this was due to wanting to survive;
             | fires caused by lightning and other non-human causes are
             | rare in the valley, so the "natural" state was catastrophic
             | fires every decade or so as forests encroached and provided
             | tinder.
        
       | legitster wrote:
       | Or you know, we could actually log the lands like these agencies
       | were supposed to enable in the first place.
       | 
       | There's a lot of healthy logging that can exist on the spectrum
       | between clear cutting and total preservation. So for
       | conservationists to advocate literally letting the forests burn
       | before considering even a bit of actual forest management is
       | insanity. We're sitting on one of the largest reserves of
       | renewable resources in the world, and we would literally rather
       | let it burn to the ground.
       | 
       | Most of these forests in question (USFS and related agencies)
       | shut down logging on these lands decades ago, mostly as an act of
       | conservation hubris. And the irony is they are now spending more
       | money on replanting and thinning than they ever did when they
       | were getting paid to do it by logging companies.
       | 
       | Managed logging not only thins out the forests so that burns are
       | less damaging. And trees being logged instead of burned not only
       | reduce the carbon, they act as a store of it!
        
         | WheatMillington wrote:
         | This comment is being downvoted, however it seems sensible to
         | me? Can someone who is downvoting offer a counter argument
         | instead?
        
           | kurthr wrote:
           | Much of the land is not commercially profitable to log due to
           | competition with much larger, less steep, and more uniform
           | forests. Also, there would be significant externalities to
           | those living there (you can argue with them, but there are
           | millions), including wildlife disruption/movement, surface
           | water contamination/flooding/landslide, road
           | obstruction/damage.
           | 
           | Once you allow a significant number of people to live there,
           | the easiest political thing is just to make the costs of
           | insurance/rebuilding/maintenance so high that people move
           | out.
        
             | legitster wrote:
             | From the official CRS report on the NFS lands
             | (https://sgp.fas.org/crs/misc/R45688.pdf):
             | 
             | > Numerous interrelated factors, including statutory,
             | administrative, biological, and market influences, may have
             | contributed to the decline in timber harvesting on NFS
             | lands. The effect of each individual factor is not settled,
             | as is the effect of each factor over time. These factors
             | occurred at varying points in time and may not coincide
             | directly with observed harvest level changes. Some sources
             | have noted that statutory changes added complexity to
             | forest management and increasing litigation frequency,
             | while also increasing transparency and public
             | participation.48 Other sources have noted changing
             | management priorities. Others have noted decreasing
             | domestic demand, volatile prices, and the prevalence of
             | less valuable timber due to high harvest levels in previous
             | decades. The listing of the northern spotted owl (Strix
             | occidentalis caurina) under the Endangered Species Act in
             | 1990 is often discussed in regard to declining timber
             | harvest levels.
             | 
             | So, the declining demand for wood probably means the
             | industry is probably pretty happy to use the tree farms
             | they have developed over the years. But it still seems like
             | they would be happy to log public lands if it was made more
             | convenient.
        
           | dbrueck wrote:
           | Yeah, it is in fact very sensible.
           | 
           | The following is an uncharitable take but here goes: the
           | stereotypical social media conservationist will be 100% anti-
           | logging because there's no room for nuance - you either love
           | the planet or you're a corporate money grubber - while people
           | who recognize that complex problems typically aren't black
           | and white and who genuinely care enough about the environment
           | to become informed on the topic generally agree that some
           | amount of controlled logging is a very good thing.
        
             | legitster wrote:
             | I will be even more specific - most modern conservationists
             | are generally pro-logging! It's a renewals resource that's
             | carbon negative!
             | 
             | Anti-logging activism is a holdover from a specific time in
             | the 80s when we had no other environmental concerns other
             | than to superficially preserve the beauty of nature.
             | 
             | Anyone who tied themselves to a tree to stop a logger is
             | now in their 50s and 60s. A minority, but at a peak age to
             | influence policy.
        
               | mschuster91 wrote:
               | > Anyone who tied themselves to a tree to stop a logger
               | is now in their 50s and 60s. A minority, but at a peak
               | age to influence policy.
               | 
               | Here in Germany, it's routine. 2021 had the Forst Kasten
               | in Munich occupied to protest against a gravel strip-
               | mining operation [1], and the Hambacher Forst adjacent to
               | a lignite strip-mining operation is still occupied [2].
               | 
               | [1] https://www.sueddeutsche.de/muenchen/muenchen-forst-
               | kasten-k...
               | 
               | [2] https://hambacherforst.org/besetzung/waldbesetzung/
        
           | doikor wrote:
           | Problem is that you would have to do the logging in a very
           | uneconomic way.
           | 
           | Basically you would want to leave the most profitable trees
           | (big/old ones) and cut down all the small ones. This is
           | because big trees don't really burn down and survive the
           | fires for the most part. After a fire they provide a canopy
           | stopping the forest from growing to be as dense in the
           | future. With the less dense forest the fires after that won't
           | be as intense.
        
             | legitster wrote:
             | Determining trees for cutting is usually determined by the
             | forester, not the logger. If the forest manager wants to
             | leave the big trees, that's on them and their management
             | plan.
             | 
             | All the more reason to have logging happen on publicly
             | managed lands than private ones where "controlled wildfire
             | burns" might not be a consideration.
        
         | PedroBatista wrote:
         | True but let's not pretend the logging industry has a long and
         | rich history of good conservationism.
         | 
         | They are there ( obviously ) for the money, and clear cutting
         | everything and "investing" by planting huge areas of mono
         | cultures is anything but "less damaging"
         | 
         | Also, most of the timber doesn't actually burn during these
         | fires, most get cut and sold as it's perfectly good wood if you
         | don't let them rot in 1-2 years.
         | 
         | As always and anything, the virtue is in the middle. A good
         | system where these companies can cut tree and be economical
         | viable but also rules that keep the biodiversity alive and
         | well. A long and not-corrupt department.. That's why these
         | things are so difficult.
        
           | legitster wrote:
           | Sure, but it's the whole reason this model was set up in the
           | first place! It's like we built a school for the kids and
           | banned them from it for being uneducated.
           | 
           | There's enough forests in the US west for loggers to log bits
           | and pieces of it and not return for a hundred years. Perfect
           | for biodiversity. They have been forced onto dense
           | monoculture lots out of necessity.
           | 
           | Unless we want to want to go back to the 80s and pretend
           | plastic is more environmentally friendly than paper products
           | (which was a real argument of the time), we shouldn't be so
           | hostile to forestry concerns.
        
       | ysofunny wrote:
       | whenever I feel frustrated I think to some of the people involved
       | in this debacle for over 30 years
       | 
       | 30 years of the idiocy of public bureaucracy and government
       | politics getting in the way of a better world. the people on that
       | fight are my personal heroes in withstanding frustration
        
       | neonate wrote:
       | http://web.archive.org/web/20240203231919/https://www.newyor...
        
       | hasty_pudding wrote:
       | I'm from the government I'm here to help!
        
       | kspacewalk2 wrote:
       | Is this one of Trump's unlikely broken clock moments[0]? (Ignore
       | his, ahem, 'unsophisticated' wording for a second)
       | 
       | [0]
       | https://www.politico.com/states/california/story/2020/08/20/...
        
       | austin-cheney wrote:
       | Where I live wild fires are almost certainly the collision of two
       | ingredients: drought and alcohol consumption.
        
       | paulorlando wrote:
       | The wildfire problem is also a case of the long reach of short-
       | term interests. We would be able to put up with short-term
       | inconvenience in the form of smoke from smaller fires otherwise.
       | Instead we produced a perverse result the opposite of what was
       | desired. Attempts to reduce small problems lead to bigger
       | problems.
       | 
       | Short post about the morals of that type of problem:
       | https://unintendedconsequenc.es/morals-of-the-moment/
        
       | bparsons wrote:
       | On thing that is hard for people to conceptualize is the
       | difference between old growth forests (which are exceedingly
       | rare) and secondary growth forests.
       | 
       | Replanted, secondary forests are what most people are familiar
       | with. They tend to have one or two types of tree, maybe some
       | scrub brush on the ground, and whatever fell over in previous
       | seasons. These forests tend to be very vulnerable to wildfire.
       | The ground gets dried out really quickly, the stuff on the ground
       | is pretty minimal, and under summer conditions, it is a tinder
       | box.
       | 
       | Most people have never actually been into a true old growth
       | forest. The ground can have a few feet of wet moss, plants, and
       | fungi that overtakes the fallen trees and breaks it down. The
       | ground is usually soft, even in the dead of summer. Under really
       | extreme conditions these forests can still be vulnerable, but
       | they have far more robust defenses against fire than the
       | secondary growth.
       | 
       | Water management is also a big piece of this puzzle. Rivers,
       | creeks and lakes are supposed to spill their banks every spring
       | and soak everything around it. When you divert, contain and
       | withdraw trillions of liters of water, you are creating a lot of
       | unintended consequences down the road. The soil can hold onto a
       | lot of water over long periods of time --- especially if there is
       | significant vegetation on top of the soil to protect it.
       | 
       | The discussion about controlled burning is important, but it
       | pales in comparison to the broader conditions that are driving
       | the trend.
        
       | bmartin13 wrote:
       | https://www.newsweek.com/how-bad-2023-wildfires-chart-dramat...
        
       | catherinecodes wrote:
       | > Native Americans routinely burned the landscape--to foster the
       | growth of useful plants, to clear space for farming, and to
       | improve the conditions for hunting. > ... > In addition to
       | maintaining parklike conditions, these managed blazes prevented
       | fuel from building up, and so staved off larger, potentially
       | unmanageable conflagrations.
       | 
       | Much of the world still operates like this. Check out the Chiang
       | Mai, Thailand burning season[1].
       | 
       | The US and Canada are some of the only countries where wood is
       | the primary building material. In the rest of the world, stone is
       | used which doesn't catch fire so easily. That might help explain
       | the fear of fires in the US.
       | 
       | 1: https://thaifreu.de/chiang-mai/burning-season/
        
         | punnerud wrote:
         | And the Nordic countries (places where they have a lot of
         | forest)
        
           | catherinecodes wrote:
           | The government of Russia, home to the world's largest forest
           | reserves, is trying to subsidize wood-frame buildings. Most
           | modern buildings are made from stone, though, because of fire
           | regulations[1].
           | 
           | 1: https://nordregioprojects.org/blog/2021/02/02/wood-in-
           | constr...
        
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