[HN Gopher] Accuracy of Commercial Sleep-Trackers Compared to Re...
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       Accuracy of Commercial Sleep-Trackers Compared to Research-Grade
       Tools
        
       Author : PaulHoule
       Score  : 62 points
       Date   : 2024-01-27 14:12 UTC (8 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.mdpi.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.mdpi.com)
        
       | simonebrunozzi wrote:
       | > The Fitbit Inspire, Fitbit Versa, and Oura Ring estimated light
       | sleep with less bias than deep sleep. Conversely, the Withings
       | Mat and Garmin Vivosmart estimated deep sleep with less bias than
       | light sleep. Across devices, estimates for REM sleep were less
       | biased than estimates of light and deep sleep. Despite low
       | absolute biases, it should be noted that some estimates were
       | still up to 250 min different than their PSG derived measures.
       | 
       | In other words: these devices are all terrible, and shouldn't be
       | trusted. Pretty different from the final conclusion, which is
       | probably "soft" to get additional grants from the commercial
       | entities selling these devices.
        
         | marcinzm wrote:
         | I mean, given the study they shouldn't be trusted as a single
         | night measure of absolute sleep quality however I don't know of
         | anyone who uses them as such. You use them over long periods of
         | time to either get aggregate statistics to compare against
         | baseline or track personal changes over time.
         | 
         | edit: Also, the last time I did a sleep study at home it had
         | rather little correlation to how I normally sleep except in
         | terms of apnea. Having wires, electrodes, a chest strap and a
         | finger O2 monitor strapped to me did not lead to a pleasant
         | night of sleep.
        
           | pessimizer wrote:
           | > You use them over long periods of time to either get
           | aggregate statistics to compare against baseline or track
           | personal changes over time.
           | 
           | Doesn't that assume that the errors will be consistent and
           | precise enough that any trends don't get totally wiped out?
        
         | GIFtheory wrote:
         | I think the conclusion is that /total sleep time/ is actually
         | very accurate, while deep/light/rem measurements are crap.
        
           | 2devnull wrote:
           | All they have to do is measure time in bed, which for most
           | people most of the time will correlate closely with total
           | sleep. Insomniacs are outliers so you don't need to worry
           | about measuring them and most are taught to just get up when
           | they awaken anyway.
        
         | ilaksh wrote:
         | You skipped the section where the measurement of total sleep
         | for most devices was found to be more than adequate.
         | 
         | Detecting light versus deep sleep accurately with wristwatches
         | or devices under the mattresses might not be possible.
         | Especially not when accuracy is supposed to be comparable to
         | multiple electrodes places directly on the head to measure
         | brainwaves.
        
       | yodon wrote:
       | These plots definitely align with my personal anecdotal
       | experience.
       | 
       | I own both a Fitbit Vivo Active 4S and a Garmin VivoSmart 4.
       | 
       | In the daytime, as a watch, I much prefer the Garmin, but at
       | night, as a sleep tracker, which is the main thing I want from
       | these watches, I only trust the data from the Fitbit.
       | 
       | If I'm concerned about actual total sleep times, I do generally
       | need to edit the Fitbit data in the morning. Over the years, my
       | Fitbit watches have fairly consistently confused idle time
       | sitting on a couch watching videos or lying in bed reading on my
       | phone before or after sleeping as sleep. The data edit tools in
       | the app fortunately make it easy to correct this (I'm not someone
       | who falls asleep with the video playing, so I generally know when
       | I turned off the activity at night and when I woke for the
       | morning).
       | 
       | The data during the night, which is what I care about, I've come
       | to trust on Fitbit watches over the years. I can't know if it's
       | precisely accurate, but it's definitely directionally correct (if
       | there's an overall scale factor error or similar from true sleep
       | quality and time numbers I don't really care as the measurements
       | are consistent enough that I can use them and benefit from them).
       | 
       | My Garmin I view as a random number generator as far as sleep
       | tracking. My perception is it's probably a bit better about not
       | misclassifying idle time before and after sleep, but not accurate
       | enough to be actually correct, and I have not been able to find
       | any simple data editing feature in the app to fix the
       | misclassifications, so the wrong data stays wrong.
       | 
       | The Garmin data during the night I have zero confidence in, as
       | anecdotally it feels far less "believable" than what I see
       | reported by my Fitbit.
       | 
       | Edit added: another commenter just mentioned that Garmin uses a
       | learning algorithm that needs about two weeks of data to hit good
       | data quality. I've done a couple periods of sleep tracking with
       | my Garmin, but I'm guessing I've abandoned it due to poor data
       | quality each time at around two weeks. Sounds like I should give
       | it another try and force myself to wait a month or so before
       | making any assessments.
        
         | onetimeuse92304 wrote:
         | I don't have experience with Fitbit, but I have been using
         | Garmin Fenix 7x for the past two years and I can confirm that
         | at least in my case, its measurement of my sleep quality is
         | only loosely connected to reality.
         | 
         | As I am an avid runner and I train daily, I pay close attention
         | to all sleep, heart rate, stress, and running performance
         | numbers.
         | 
         | Unfortunately, it will frequently say I had good night of sleep
         | when I definitely feel groggy or the opposite.
         | 
         | As to misclassifying idle time before and after sleep, I
         | recognise that simple lifestyle adjustment could fix it (just
         | don't browse on your phone before sleep!) But that of course
         | won't fix it if you try to lie still but can't fall asleep.
        
           | lloeki wrote:
           | My anecdata is different: sleep is mostly accurate, if
           | sometimes a bit fuzzy, and occasionally misses the mark.
           | 
           | Regarding grogginess or lack thereof, what I noticed is that
           | sometimes I feel that way even though the watch says I had
           | good rest, but it's only so at the beginning of the day;
           | afterwards I'm okay.
           | 
           | Conversely I may have had a bad night and still feel okay,
           | but what I noticed is that if I don't pay attention to the
           | watch I'm actually plowing through and don't notice I'm
           | wearing myself out, which I then have to repay the following
           | days.
           | 
           | Also the watch gives a) objective measurements (whereas my
           | feeling is subjective) and b) measures only a bunch of things
           | but not everything (e.g I noticed eating pasta or something
           | weighting on my mind and morale can both make me experience
           | brain fog that the watch does not account for)
        
           | petre wrote:
           | Drinking one or two cups of green tea helps with my
           | grogginess. Or some light cardio exercise like 3 minutes of
           | rope jumping if you're more inclined to do that rather than
           | stimulents. I also drink a shot of espresso sometimes, but
           | the tea does a much better job without risking a headache.
           | It's Chinese green tea with low caffeine content, Chun Mee or
           | other blends from Yunnan or Anhui. I like their method of
           | processing more than what is used in Taiwan or Japan.
        
         | smallerfish wrote:
         | I've been sleep tracking with my Garmin Fenix 7 for about 18
         | months, and to me it seems bang on. The HRV stat is
         | particularly good - a decline over about a week predicted the
         | onset of flu symptoms a couple months ago, for example. Body
         | battery is also a really useful feedback measurement. Sleep
         | onset and wake times are right; REM seems right; and
         | deep/shallow measurement at least correlates with how I feel.
        
       | lloeki wrote:
       | From the paper:
       | 
       | > There are limitations to consider in the interpretation of
       | these results. First, devices were worn for one night.
       | 
       | That is odd.
       | 
       | What I noticed is that my Garmin watch may be wrong at times, but
       | overall provides a fairly good and very useful assessment,
       | _especially comparatively day vs day and overall for trends_.
       | 
       | In addition it takes a bunch of time for the watch to work out
       | enough data to tune the algorithms for a particular person: some
       | UI bits explicitly call out that for accurate results the watch
       | should be worn continuously for ~2 weeks.
       | 
       | I've now been wearing this particular one (Fenix 7) for 6 months,
       | a serious upgrade from a Forerunner 735xt continuously worn for 5
       | years. 95% of the time the watch is stupidly accurate in ways it
       | has no business being as a simple wrist-worn set of sensors.
        
         | 99094 wrote:
         | My Garmin (255s) is pretty inaccurate when it comes to sleep.
         | It often mistakes REM for awake and vice versa. Honestly,
         | nowadays I only wear it for my runs. Even if it was accurate, I
         | can just tell by feel. All the metrics such as sleep, resting
         | HR and HRV are pretty bad compared to your nervous system.
         | 
         | The metrics aren't really actionable either. I got a bad night
         | of sleep, so what? I know it. I have low HRV because I drank
         | alcohol/over-trained/am ill. I don't need a watch to tell me
         | that. I know it.
         | 
         | It's just collecting data for the sake of collecting data.
        
           | csdvrx wrote:
           | > It's just collecting data for the sake of collecting data.
           | 
           | No, sleep is one of the most important parameters for health!
           | 
           | If in 2024 you are not collecting data on your sleep to take
           | action (and for ex, stop overtraining, reduce drinking etc)
           | to reduce the risks of future brain problems, you are doing
           | it wrong.
           | 
           | > Even if it was accurate, I can just tell by feel
           | 
           | I can't, and I fear it may be the same "overconfidence" issue
           | that cause car accidents when drunk.
           | 
           | I collect logs with my sqlite based bash history collection
           | that I've been running for 5 years:
           | https://github.com/csdvrx/bash-timestamping-sqlite
           | 
           | Thanks to my garmin, I have identified a pattern where I feel
           | ok, but my garmin reported less REM sleep than usual: in the
           | day, I run more commands than usual but I have way more
           | mistakes (as can be seen by the non-zero return values)
           | 
           | So now, when my watch reports low REM sleep, I try to be very
           | careful to avoid negative-productivity days
        
             | ocharles wrote:
             | Sleep isn't the metric to track here, there are much better
             | things to analyze such as HRV. For reducing drinking you
             | shouldn't be doing that because of your sleep, you should
             | be doing it because of your overall health. If you care
             | about future health, take blood tests, weigh yourself,
             | evaluate your physical fitness.
        
               | csdvrx wrote:
               | Personally, I don't drink, and I've noticed sleep to be
               | the best indicator of my coding performance but YMMV
        
           | petre wrote:
           | I've changed my 250 to an Insight 2. It's an improvement and
           | it helped me be more attentive with my sleep, exercise. I
           | don't do runs but walks, hiking, cycling and several water
           | sports during summer. It's also used as a HR sensor for my
           | cycling Garmin device.
        
         | Aachen wrote:
         | If the software compares behavior between nights and can then
         | say "that was relatively good", then you're right and the
         | limitation matters
         | 
         | If the software behaves no differently from one night to the
         | next, that is, if you can take any random night's assessment
         | and it would be as likely to be accurate as the first, then it
         | does not matter that they had participants only wear it one
         | night. You'd get more data (from multiple nights) without
         | needing to recruit more participants, but you'd also be biasing
         | towards whether the tracker works well for this set of people
         | (probably a worthwhile trade-off, up to a point)
         | 
         | Your watch says to use it for a while. It could be that that's
         | just because it's not flawless and they want people to see it's
         | often correct even if they got unlucky the first night(s). Or
         | maybe your watch works differently from the ones used in this
         | study
         | 
         | I'm also surprised they only did one night, both because you
         | get a lot more data per amount of effort by having participants
         | keep it for a month, and because I'd not be surprised if the
         | software is more comparative than absolute. But I don't know if
         | we can draw real conclusions from that
        
         | HumblyTossed wrote:
         | Unless they're spewing out random garbage (which I doubt they
         | are) they're good for tracking trends. My overnight RHR is
         | about 55. If I'm starting to get sick, even before symptoms set
         | in, it raises to about 60. By looking at trends I can tell when
         | I'm about to start feeling bad.
        
       | LikelyClueless wrote:
       | The YouTube channel, 'The Quantified Scientist', does a great job
       | of comparing sleep tracking wearables to a reference EEG. He
       | collects a lot of data and presents it very well.
        
         | CharlesW wrote:
         | Thank you for posting this! I recently started using my Apple
         | Watch for sleep tracking and have been dismayed at my quality
         | and quantity (vs. "bed time") of sleep. Searching the channel
         | for "sleep" I instantly found 3 videos for my "to watch" list.
        
       | smnplk wrote:
       | A used CPAP machine and overnight oximeter device from aliexpress
       | are much better tools for tracking sleep quality than any of
       | these watches.
        
         | salad-tycoon wrote:
         | I used to use this [1] software about 7 years ago when I first
         | got my CPAP due to a lack of attention from my sleep medicine
         | team. I could dive deep into my downloaded data and set my
         | precise measurements perfectly.
         | 
         | Haven't used it in years.
         | 
         | Do you have any recommendations for how to find a dependable
         | overnight pulse oximiter on alibaba? I've never shopped there.
         | 
         | 1 https://sleepyhead.software.informer.com/
         | 
         | Edit: apparently sleepyhead was shutdown and replaced by Oscar.
         | https://www.apneaboard.com/sleepyhead/
        
       | hn_throwaway_99 wrote:
       | Semi-related question. I recently took an at-home sleep apnea
       | test using the WatchPAT ONE (https://www.itamar-
       | medical.com/professionals/disposable-hsaw...). It includes three
       | main pieces you can see in the image there: a wristwatch-like
       | sensor, and finger sensor, and a sensor you attach just above
       | your sternum (primarily to track breathing events for sleep
       | apnea). There is an associated phone app.
       | 
       | Of course, thanks to capitalism, the device is marketed as
       | disposable (I love how this is somehow portrayed as a bonus in
       | the marketing materials). You're literally supposed to throw it
       | away after a single use.
       | 
       | So questions:
       | 
       | 1. I've searched online but haven't found anything about people
       | successfully hacking the device so it can be used multiple times.
       | Has anyone seen any succesful hacks of this? If not, can anyone
       | point me to some resources where I would even start to try to
       | hack it? It communicates with the app over bluetooth.
       | 
       | 2. Does anyone know of other medical-grade sensors that are
       | usable by consumers that are _not_ disposable?
       | 
       | I ask this because in the past I've just used the "Sleep as
       | Android" app with a smartwatch and it was horribly wrong. It just
       | checks for movement, and there are lots of times when I an
       | exhausted, staring up at my ceiling not getting any sleep, but
       | I'm not moving because I'm stuck in this exhaustion-but-not-
       | sleeping state.
        
       | Bud wrote:
       | This is cool, but it'd be nice if they had evaluated Apple Watch,
       | which is far more common than the devices they measured for. I've
       | been tracking sleep for years with mine. My sense is that it's
       | pretty accurate, but the problem is, I'm asleep during the time
       | in which I could attempt to verify this! ;)
        
       | justaguyonline wrote:
       | The inability of wrist trackers to identify deep vs light sleep
       | might cause frustration to some, but their automated sleep
       | journaling is actually more than enough to help change the lives
       | of people with insomnia.
       | 
       | For some reason we had to slap complicated sleep scores and sleep
       | classification on these things to take them seriously when all
       | you needed was simple data gathered consistently over time.
        
       | seventytwo wrote:
       | No Apple Watch? Cmon. That's gotta be the most common one out
       | there.
        
         | Projectiboga wrote:
         | Shh, this is marketing funded "research".
        
       | AJ007 wrote:
       | I was considering trying a sleep tracker again last year and
       | before that happened solved my sleep problems. The amount of
       | things I tried back in my 20s when it all was trivially simple: I
       | just need to get an adequate amount of strength training and
       | cardio exercise during the day and I sleep straight through the
       | night.
       | 
       | I was a hardcore flu.x/nightshift user. I left most lights off
       | once the sun set. Now I'm a lot less convinced that lighting
       | stuff matters for sleeping (but I would still follow it given the
       | the whole cancer-light link thing.)
       | 
       | Of course, all of the common sense stuff still applies: staying
       | up all night, sleeping erratic schedules, drinking a gallon of
       | water before going to bed, drinking a bunch of caffeine late at
       | night, medications, stimulants, cocaine, trying to sleep in a
       | room that's 90F+, having sleep apnea, someone drilling a
       | jackhammer outside your bedroom window etc. If you do a
       | combination of those things there is probably zero you can do to
       | sleep consistently and well.
       | 
       | I really wish I had understood this decades ago. Getting older it
       | hits me how trivially simple solutions to certain problems are
       | despite most running around in circles trying to solve them the
       | entirety of their lives. To be fair, for sleeping poorly, I got
       | an incredible amount of work done sitting in front of a PC 12
       | hours a day. That's a number you probably can't hit if you are
       | getting adequate exercise, quality food, and consistent deep
       | sleep.
        
         | sublinear wrote:
         | > Getting older it hits me how trivially simple solutions to
         | certain problems are despite most running around in circles
         | trying to solve them the entirety of their lives.
         | 
         | Oh, but you can't (can?) sell a self help book that way. It
         | would only be a few pages long and everyone in the media would
         | shit all over the author if it ever got traction. Hordes of
         | bots on Reddit would be having fake conversations in threads
         | that cry "science!" in an attempt to protect book sales based
         | on TED talks and trending morning show style topics.
        
       | slothtrop wrote:
       | I really, really don't need a tracker and I doubt most people do.
       | Even to satisfy curiosity they seem woefully lacking.
       | 
       | What I do feel I need is an effective way (including cost-wise)
       | to mitigate thermoregulation issues at night, i.e. to avoid
       | waking up hot or cold, dialing in the correct bedding temperature
       | at any moment.
       | 
       | I thought a wool comforter might be the answer given its
       | reputation, but I still fuss around with adding or removing
       | layers. I basically sleep with a stack that changes depending on
       | the weather.
        
         | salad-tycoon wrote:
         | I got a Fitbit in my mid twenties, noticed my heart rate going
         | to 40. Had no idea of what that meant and asking around it
         | turned out "it could be sleep apnea." Long story short, it was.
         | I no longer fall asleep driving and I assume my heart is
         | healthier than had I not known for many more years when I
         | finally got married and had a sleeping partner (if I hadn't
         | died on a highway first).
         | 
         | My point is, I think these types of devices are wonderful
         | screening tools. Cheap and imagine all the prevention we could
         | have by screening widely and early.
        
         | pedalpete wrote:
         | Have you looked at Eight Sleep or ChiliPad?
        
       | RecycledEle wrote:
       | Activity trackers have to learn your behaviors, and that takes
       | about a month.
       | 
       | Testing them for 1 night without having worn them for a month or
       | two first is silly.
        
       | CharlesW wrote:
       | Apple Watch was not tested, so for anyone interested, here are
       | two videos by "The Quantified Scientist" creator Rob ter Horst, a
       | postdoctoral researcher who specializes in bioinformatics
       | (studying biology using machine learning and statistics).
       | 
       | Apple Watch: Scientific Sleep Lab Test (Ultra vs 8) (2023) -
       | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BQMIAkt4P48
       | 
       | Apple Watch: Scientific Sleep Test (2022) -
       | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LPqtfC70QTU
       | 
       | (Thanks to _@LikelyClueless_ for the channel recommendation!)
        
         | quinncom wrote:
         | Kagi Summarizer key points of the second video:
         | 
         | - WatchOS 9 beta introduces sleep stage tracking to the Apple
         | Watch using a machine learning algorithm trained on
         | polysomnography and Apple Watch heart rate and movement data.
         | 
         | - The author tested the Apple Watch's sleep tracking against an
         | EEG headband over 18 nights and found it agreed very well,
         | especially for deep sleep tracking.
         | 
         | - The Apple Watch detected 89% of deep sleep, 84% of light
         | sleep, and 67% of REM sleep correctly compared to the EEG
         | device.
         | 
         | - Overall sleep stage tracking accuracy was better than the 37
         | other devices the author has tested.
         | 
         | - The Apple Watch also detected sleep cycles and awake periods
         | reasonably well compared to the EEG.
         | 
         | - Falling asleep and waking up times mostly differed by less
         | than 10 minutes from the EEG.
         | 
         | - Future improvements could include sleep coaching based on
         | metrics.
         | 
         | - Results may vary for other populations not well represented
         | in the algorithm's training data.
         | 
         | - The author used a beta version and polysomnography would
         | provide better validation.
         | 
         | - The Apple Watch's performance makes it a current leader for
         | sleep and heart rate tracking accuracy.
        
       | pedalpete wrote:
       | After I was using an Oura ring for about a week, I came to the
       | conclusion that knowing the data of how I slept provided very
       | little value.
       | 
       | I personally believe that the consumer grade devices are "good
       | enough" because the micro-data is not that valuable anyway, and
       | the way PSG works, there is no "correct" score. Get 5 different
       | polysomnography's, you'll get 5 different measures of the same
       | sleep.
       | 
       | Once you're doing the sleep hygiene stuff, and experimented with
       | all the magnesium stacks, ashwaganda, CBD, etc, etc, what do you
       | do to actually ensure you are doing the most for your sleep?
       | 
       | This is why I got into the sleeptech/neurotech space, and for the
       | last few years we've been building a headband that monitors brain
       | activity and increases the efficiency of deep sleep. The tech is
       | backed by peer-reviewed and published research from discoveries
       | which began in 2013. https://soundmind.co/research
       | 
       | Yes, people like data and want to "understand" our sleep, but the
       | quality of sleep is more than just the number of minutes you
       | spend in each stage of sleep, just like fitness is more than the
       | number of minutes you spend in each cardiovascular training
       | stage.
       | 
       | Our understanding of sleep today is at the same place our
       | understanding of fitness was in the 70s, and sleep is just
       | beginning to get is due importance. What we'll learn in the next
       | 20 years, I believe, will lead to significant changes in health
       | and longevity.
        
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       (page generated 2024-01-27 23:01 UTC)