[HN Gopher] How far could the sun possibly be?
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       How far could the sun possibly be?
        
       Author : cwillu
       Score  : 103 points
       Date   : 2024-01-21 23:52 UTC (23 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (profmattstrassler.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (profmattstrassler.com)
        
       | cwillu wrote:
       | Series starts at https://profmattstrassler.com/2024/01/16/the-
       | value-of-check-...
        
       | ltbarcly3 wrote:
       | This is a great introduction into how real astrophysics is done.
       | We don't know how far away things are until we measure, but our
       | measurements are never precise, and we don't have very many
       | 'calibrated' distances to compare to. Little by little it's
       | possible to exclude possibilities and narrow down on the likely
       | true value.
        
         | ForOldHack wrote:
         | I almost got my degree on astrophysics. Yes, I read a lot of
         | bad and good textbooks. This one is rather brilliant, lucid,
         | and well done.
         | 
         | But I have to follow up with: "Well, but... how do we really
         | know?" A: We have followed up well worn paths of scientific
         | inquiry, and looked at our assumptions, in designing an
         | experiment that, we assume to fail. When it does not follow our
         | assumption, then we can only rule out failure, and call it a
         | success. This follows centuries of this type of exacting and
         | painstaking scientific work. Although I would normally have 10
         | ~ 12 citations of very diverse work, that exercise is left to
         | the reader.
        
       | empath-nirvana wrote:
       | One thing he sort of implies but doesn't directly state -- which
       | I think a lot of people don't know -- is that it's impossible to
       | measure the "one way" speed of light. We can only measure the
       | speed it takes for light to go "there and back". It's possible
       | (but not likely), that light goes faster in one direction than in
       | another direction, and AFAIK, there's no possible way to measure
       | it. You'd think you could do it based on clock synchronization,
       | but clock synchronization itself depends on the assumption that
       | the speed of light is equal both directions.
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/One-way_speed_of_light
        
         | readams wrote:
         | Also a Veritasium video on the subject:
         | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pTn6Ewhb27k
        
         | andersa wrote:
         | Why doesn't it work to have the emitter and sensor together at
         | the same location, synchronize them at that moment, and then
         | move them apart a distance so large the initial delay no longer
         | matters, before running the test? Do we not have accurate
         | enough clock sources to keep the synchronization?
        
           | Tagbert wrote:
           | Moving the emitters affects the pace of time for them.
        
             | AnimalMuppet wrote:
             | Right, so move them at identical speeds, with identical
             | acceleration profiles.
        
               | rjp0008 wrote:
               | If you do this, the clocks will be in the same place, it
               | would have to be opposite acceleration profiles to get
               | them moving away from each other.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _move them at identical speeds, with identical
               | acceleration profiles_
               | 
               | Now do GR.
        
               | AnimalMuppet wrote:
               | That's the reason for the identical acceleration
               | profiles.
               | 
               | Which is totally obvious, so I suspect that means that I
               | missed your point. Could you clarify?
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | Mass and energy curve spacetime. So you could accelerate
               | two clocks identically and still have to correct for
               | nearby mass and energy.
        
               | AnimalMuppet wrote:
               | Well, sure. I was thinking of stations that are a few
               | tens of km apart on a flat region of Earth, so I don't
               | think that would be much of an issue.
        
               | adgjlsfhk1 wrote:
               | the assumption that time dilation is identical for the
               | same acceleration profiles is equivalent to an assumption
               | of the 1 way speed of light. if you do the full math with
               | a non constant light speed, you find that degree of
               | asymmetry in the 1 way speed of light directly cancels
               | the difference in time dilation
        
         | AnimalMuppet wrote:
         | Well, how about this: I have a central facility. In that, I
         | synchronize several clocks. I then slowly move them to
         | satellite facilities in opposite directions. I don't move all
         | the clocks by the same path - some go via triangular routes
         | rather than directly.
         | 
         | If all the clocks agree at the satellite facilities, then I
         | have established that space is isotropic for the slow transport
         | of clocks (or at least, it is isotropic for the paths chosen -
         | a skeptic can always device a "sufficiently smart anisotropy"
         | that would appear to be isotropic for the paths chosen). Per
         | the article, that was one of the assumptions that couldn't be
         | trusted, but if we can experimentally establish it, we can
         | trust it.
         | 
         | We now have synchronized clocks at the two satellite
         | facilities. (We know they're synchronized because we
         | established that space is anisotropic to the slow transport of
         | clocks, and also because at least some of the clocks were
         | transported with identical profiles in opposite directions.) We
         | can now use time of receipt minus time of transmit to establish
         | the one-way speed of light.
        
           | mecsred wrote:
           | How do you measure if the clocks agree or not after you move
           | them? You can try and synchronize all the moved ones at point
           | B, but how do you measure their relative timing to A clocks
           | without relying on the speed of light between A and B.
        
             | floxy wrote:
             | You could bring clocks A & B back together again.
        
               | dilyevsky wrote:
               | And by doing this you reversed direction and didn't
               | actually measure "one way"
        
               | floxy wrote:
               | Synchronize A & B in one location. Move A & B apart in a
               | careful manner. Send light pulse from A and record time-
               | stamp on A's clock when pulse sent. When pulse is
               | received at B, record time stamp on B's clock. Return
               | clocks A & B together (in a careful manner) to confirm
               | they are still in sync. Compare time stamp between A's
               | transmission, and B's reception. Who knows, maybe when
               | you bring them together, clocks A and B aren't in sync,
               | due to some twin-paradox thing. Maybe you can't be
               | careful enough.
        
               | dilyevsky wrote:
               | > Synchronize A & B in one location. Move A & B apart in
               | a careful manner.
               | 
               | Doesn't matter how careful you are, SR tells us moving
               | clock will become unsynched. The amount of "unsynching"
               | depends on c (see Lorentz factor) so if c is different in
               | forward vs reverse direction, bringing the clocks back
               | will even it out
        
           | burkaman wrote:
           | > If all the clocks agree at the satellite facilities
           | 
           | The idea is that you can't know this. You're somewhere in the
           | middle receiving messages from all the clocks, and you can't
           | tell if they're synchronized unless you've already defined
           | the speed of light between you and each clock.
        
             | foobarian wrote:
             | I suppose you could synchronize them first, then swap their
             | positions randomly, and try again.
        
             | AnimalMuppet wrote:
             | Perhaps I said that badly. "If all the clocks agree at
             | satellite facility A, and all the clocks agree at satellite
             | facility B". I'm not comparing clocks at A with clocks at
             | B.
             | 
             | Second, I was thinking of labs perhaps tens of km apart.
             | You can have people at the center, and at satellite
             | facility A, and at satellite facility B.
        
           | vikingerik wrote:
           | Here's the problem: you can only observe a remote clock, or
           | any remote object that light from your source reached, _at
           | the speed of the light that traveled back from it_.
           | 
           | Put another way: the speed of any signal or causality _coming
           | back from your measuring device_ is always a factor with no
           | way around that.
        
             | floxy wrote:
             | He is just logging timestamps of when the signal arrived.
             | It shouldn't matter if the timestamp gets back to the
             | central location by carrier pigeon. But maybe the catch is
             | that it doesn't matter how slowly he moves the clocks into
             | position, they'll always be skewed by time dilation.
        
               | AnimalMuppet wrote:
               | > But maybe the catch is that it doesn't matter how
               | slowly he moves the clocks into position, they'll always
               | be skewed by time dilation.
               | 
               | I dealt with that by moving the clocks with identical
               | velocity profiles, so time dilation should be the same...
               | 
               | Unless time dilation is anisotropic. I dealt with _that_
               | by sending multiple clocks, with some sent on triangular
               | routes and some direct. In more detail:
               | C       A       B           D
               | 
               | If I send a clock from A to C to B, and a clock from A to
               | D to B, and the two clocks arrive with the same time,
               | then I have evidence that time dilation is anisotropic
               | (for at least those two routes). I _don 't_ necessarily
               | expect that they have the same time as a clock sent
               | direct from A to B - they have an additional
               | acceleration, from the change of direction at C or D, and
               | they have more time at velocity, because of traveling the
               | longer distance. I think I said that very badly in my
               | first post.
               | 
               | But the point is, if I can show that time dilation is
               | anisotropic, then the clocks that went direct from A to
               | B, and the clocks that went the same distance in exactly
               | the opposite direction, should have the same time on
               | them.
        
               | lmm wrote:
               | > If I send a clock from A to C to B, and a clock from A
               | to D to B, and the two clocks arrive with the same time,
               | then I have evidence that time dilation is anisotropic
               | (for at least those two routes).
               | 
               | You mean isotropic, and you don't really. D->B is the
               | same as A->C and C->B is the same as A->D; whatever
               | clever path you come up with, a clock going from A to B
               | will end up having had vertical movements that sum up to
               | 0. If moving up induces some extra time dilation and
               | moving down reduces it, or vice versa, you'll never be
               | able to detect it; ultimately you can only ever make
               | measurements when you and your clocks (and/or signals)
               | have moved in closed loops, however squiggly.
        
               | AnimalMuppet wrote:
               | OK, so that diagram was intended to be horizontal, not
               | vertical. Obviously you want to minimize vertical
               | movement as much as possible.
               | 
               | But I see what you mean about the sides (as drawn) being
               | parallel.
               | 
               | And, yes, I meant isotropic, not anisotropic.
               | Embarrassing.
               | 
               | OK, how about this: I have an equilateral triangle, with
               | vertices A, B, and C. I synchronize clocks four clocks at
               | A. I send one clock to B directly, and one to C and then
               | B. I send one clock to C directly, and one to B and then
               | C. I do the same from points B and C. Then, I can look at
               | the difference between clocks that came direct and clocks
               | that came the long way. If all the differences are the
               | same, then I can say that going A-to-B-to-C has the same
               | effect as going A-to-C-to-B or B-to-A-to-C or any other
               | route. Doesn't that show isotropy?
        
         | seiferteric wrote:
         | Is it possible to use redshift of photons from the sun? Say if
         | you know the hydrogen transition line frequency, then measure
         | very precisely the observed frequency from solar photons, you
         | could calculate the redshift. I suppose this would rely on
         | knowing the mass of the sun already as well.
        
           | Someone wrote:
           | I think redshift correlates with relative velocity and
           | expansion of the universe, not with distance.
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Redshift:
           | 
           |  _"The main causes of electromagnetic redshift in astronomy
           | and cosmology are the relative motions of radiation sources,
           | which give rise to the relativistic Doppler effect, and
           | gravitational potentials, which gravitationally redshift
           | escaping radiation. All sufficiently distant light sources
           | show cosmological redshift corresponding to recession speeds
           | proportional to their distances from Earth, a fact known as
           | Hubble 's law that implies the universe is expanding."_
        
             | seiferteric wrote:
             | I thought so as well but recently discovered:
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gravitational_redshift
             | 
             | "gravitational redshift (known as Einstein shift in older
             | literature)[1][2] is the phenomenon that electromagnetic
             | waves or photons travelling out of a gravitational well
             | (seem to) lose energy. This loss of energy corresponds to a
             | decrease in the wave frequency and increase in the
             | wavelength, known more generally as a redshift. "
        
         | gizmo686 wrote:
         | Isn't this essentially essentially the ether theory of light?
         | You can measure the round trip of light along two different
         | axis. If the speed of light was dependent on direction, you
         | would expect these results to differ.
         | 
         | It is possible that physics conspires such that the speed of
         | light is direction dependent, but that it averages out if half
         | your path is the exact opposite direction from the other. I
         | think this can be excluded by comparing more complicated paths;
         | although the nessesity for it to form a closed loop might be
         | give physics an unavoidable out if it really wanted to mess
         | with us.
         | 
         | There are also theories where the speed of light differs based
         | on direction; but space itself differs in the same way,
         | canceling the effect. These are fundamentally equivelent to a
         | theory where both are constant.
        
           | ForOldHack wrote:
           | No, it is not the ether theory of light, and that is a
           | magnificent question: This idea was settled by
           | Mickelson/Morley, who not only measured the round trip in one
           | direction, but measured it in several directions, and found
           | the speed of light to be invariant. For which Albert Einstein
           | received the Nobel Prize for his theory of light.
           | 
           | Later, Richard Feynman used first principals to both confirm
           | this for Enistienien physics, and break it for quantum
           | physics.
           | 
           | The best reference for this work is not the classic
           | experiment, but on Henry Cavindish's balance, which led to
           | the calculation of G, the gravitation constant to 7 digits of
           | accuracy, based upon the speed of light calculated to 9+
           | digits of accuracy.
           | 
           | The speed of light is invariant: What you the observer
           | actually see, is a frame of reference in space-time, which
           | transforms the space, so that light still travels as fast as
           | it always does, but the space around it is transformed.
           | 
           | There have been a few theories of exceptional note: Sir Fred
           | Hoyle solved Einsteins equations for an invariant size of the
           | universe based on a shrinking frame of reference, and found
           | no contradictions. Hence the wimper theory of cosmogony. I
           | count myself as pretty bright, on this subject, able to argue
           | the point rather succinctly, but I never claim to hold a
           | candle and a mirror ( Cavendish ) to Henry Cavendish, nor Sir
           | Fredric Hoyle: You want to get the real brilliance of this
           | total failure:
           | 
           | "The Michelson-Morley Experiment (MMX) tried to prove the
           | existence of ether, but they did not observe the movement of
           | interference fringes, which led to the assumption that the
           | speed of light is constant in the inertial reference frame,
           | which is also the theoretical basis of Einstein's special
           | relativity (SR)."
           | 
           | It failed to prove the existence of ether. Failed. Richard
           | Feynman also found that for Eisensteinian physics, this was
           | also true from first principals. This is really one of the
           | most brilliant failures in the history of Physics.
           | 
           | "Success is the ability to go from failure to failure without
           | losing your enthusiasm" -- Winston Churchill
        
           | dilyevsky wrote:
           | Not the same as MM test. The one-way is principally
           | unknowable because our fastest way to transmit information is
           | limited by the speed of light itself
        
         | whatshisface wrote:
         | It's impossible to measure because it has no real existence.
         | The one-way speed of light is as metaphysical of a quantity as
         | the British pound. Numerical speeds can be whatever you want
         | them to be in an arbitrarily curved coordinate system - and the
         | speed of light is defined in the "flattest" one of them.
        
           | MiguelX413 wrote:
           | The British pound is 0.45359237 kg, no?
        
             | whatshisface wrote:
             | It could have been 0.5639472942kg just as easily.
        
               | gumby wrote:
               | I think we need an investigation into why the British
               | Pound isn't allowed to float.
               | 
               | The fixed exchange rate between pounds and kg is obsolete
               | and inappropriate for a modern economy and is the kind of
               | thing BREXIT was supposed to free us from.
        
               | bee_rider wrote:
               | I'm pretty sure a pound could float, as long as it was
               | made large enough.
        
             | kbenson wrote:
             | Or 1.27 USD. Today. According to Google. Which is pegged to
             | some market rate at some time. Which may differ based on
             | your exact location and the conditions in the area. And is
             | expected to be different a short time from now.
        
             | edgyquant wrote:
             | What exactly is a kg?
        
               | MOARDONGZPLZ wrote:
               | Basically 1,000 grams.
        
               | edgyquant wrote:
               | What is a gram?
        
               | ForOldHack wrote:
               | A gram is the division of a standard Kilogram (Kg ) into
               | 1000 divisions. It's a poor description to both be
               | circular about it, but the Kg is the standard measure of
               | mass. Look to The definition of the standard kilogram.
               | 
               | "Since the revision of the SI on 20 May 2019, we can now
               | compare the gravitational force on an object with an
               | electromagnetic force using a Kibble balance. This allows
               | the kilogram to be defined in term of a fixed numerical
               | value of the Planck constant, a constant which will not
               | change over time."
               | 
               | "A Kibble balance is an electromechanical measuring
               | instrument that measures the weight of a test object very
               | precisely by the electric current and voltage needed to
               | produce a compensating force. It is a metrological
               | instrument that can realize the definition of the
               | kilogram unit of mass based on fundamental constants."
               | 
               | "One important reason for the change is that Big K is not
               | constant. It has lost around 50 micrograms (about the
               | mass of an eyelash) since it was created. But,
               | frustratingly, when Big K loses mass, it's still exactly
               | one kilogram, per the current definition. When Big K
               | changes, everything else has to adjust."
        
               | kibwen wrote:
               | Basically 1 gram.
        
               | bbojan wrote:
               | 1/12th of the weight of 6.02214076x10^20 carbon 12 atoms.
        
           | ForOldHack wrote:
           | Speed has no existance in space, it requires the passage of
           | time. The one way speed of light can be measured, and is very
           | important to the design of curcits. Anytime you wish to argue
           | this point, take it up with RtAdrm Grace Hopper. I count
           | myself as very very bright, but I do not hold a burning punch
           | card to Hopper.
           | 
           | "Since 1 July 1959, the international avoirdupois pound
           | (symbol lb) has been defined as exactly 0.45359237 kg. In the
           | United Kingdom, the use of the international pound was
           | implemented in the Weights and Measures Act 1963. (a) the
           | yard shall be 0.9144 metre exactly; (b) the pound shall be
           | 0.45359237 kilogram exactly."
           | 
           | "The kilogram is defined by taking the fixed numerical value
           | of the Planck constant, , to be 6.626 070 15 x 10-34 when
           | expressed in the unit J s, which is equal to kg m2 s-1, where
           | the metre and the second are defined in terms of the speed of
           | light, , and the hyperfine transition frequency of the
           | caesium-133 atom..."
           | 
           | Nothing new. Rando hacker news poster, vs say... the
           | International Standards Organization on Weights and measures.
           | Hmm... I am going to place my faith in say... a group of
           | people who's degrees far outnumber most of the colleges I
           | studied at.
           | 
           | No, the speed of light is not defied in the "flattest" one of
           | them. Please do your homework. "The speed of light is a
           | universal constant denoted by c."
           | 
           | In my second college physics class, the final exam was one
           | single question: "Derive the speed of light." I got a grade
           | of 4/10, which put me at the top two students in the class.
           | The class was a 5 1/2 month exercise in brutality of math. I
           | would suggest you get a few college physics classes under
           | your belt.
        
             | dilyevsky wrote:
             | > The one way speed of light can be measured
             | 
             | Incorrect. It is two-way you're measuring. Always. Yes,
             | including in circuit designs
        
             | TheOtherHobbes wrote:
             | I suspect you may be missing one or two subtleties in this
             | discussion.
        
         | x3n0ph3n3 wrote:
         | If the speed of light were different in one direction, the CMB
         | would not look as uniform as it is.
        
           | ars wrote:
           | Only in a closed universe, where light "wraps around".
           | Otherwise it would look exactly the same.
        
             | x3n0ph3n3 wrote:
             | That doesn't sound right. Please explain.
        
           | ivalm wrote:
           | To be fair, there is Doppler shift in cmb, we are moving
           | about 370km/s relative to cmb rest frame.
           | 
           | You can possibly imagine a world where some of this asymmetry
           | is from a lorentzian ether.
        
             | x3n0ph3n3 wrote:
             | That's fair, but _highly_ improbable!
        
         | cwillu wrote:
         | I can't find the link offhand, but he's discussed this on
         | another page, or possibly in one of his videos (which would
         | explain why I couldn't find it in 30 seconds).
        
         | LordGrey wrote:
         | Even light, which travels so fast it takes most races thousands
         | of years to realize that it travels at all, takes time to
         | journey between the stars.
         | 
         | -- Douglas Adams
        
         | ivalm wrote:
         | I think it doesn't matter, since Lorentz shrinking of ether in
         | non-symmetric speed of light would shrink the faster direction.
        
       | Civitello wrote:
       | So, without reading, here are my uninformed thoughts on how I
       | would do it:
       | 
       | You could probably figure out the distance by using a technique
       | we use to figure out the distance to nearby stars, measuring the
       | change in position in the sky relative to very far away stars. I
       | think you'd only need to observe two stars to figure out the
       | distance.
       | 
       | Could also use pulsar timing like gps signals to track the
       | location of the Earth throughout its orbit.
       | 
       | Could also take measurements after launching a pair of space
       | probes away from the earth.
        
         | mannykannot wrote:
         | Unfortunately, the parallax method depends on knowing the
         | diameter of Earth's orbit, which is (except for a factor of
         | two) the value we are seeking. There's also the issue that the
         | change the Sun's position with respect to the stars over six
         | months is about 180 degrees (with some fluctuation, perhaps,
         | depending on where the earth is in relation to its orbit's
         | major axis when the measurement begins), and will be regardless
         | of the Sun's distance.
         | 
         | The distance of Venus was measured by the parallax method
         | during a transit, with a baseline on the Earth's surface. This
         | then yields all the other planets' distances from their orbital
         | periods. This has me wondering why this had not been done for
         | the Sun's distance, and perhaps the first reason to be
         | considered is the difficulty of observing the Sun eclipsing
         | distant stars.
         | 
         | Update: According to Wikipedia [1], Jeremiah Horrocks came up
         | with reasonable figures for both the size of Venus and the
         | distance of the Earth from the Sun from a single observation of
         | a transit, but the article says he made use of a false premise,
         | so does that just mean he was lucky?
         | 
         | [1]
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transit_of_Venus#1639_%E2%80%9...
        
           | ginko wrote:
           | There was a pretty good CCC talk on this a couple years ago:
           | 
           | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HFWV6XAXyx0
        
       | g4zj wrote:
       | This is way outside my area of expertise (if I have one at all),
       | but assuming we know the diameters of the sun, Earth, and our
       | moon, as well as the distance between Earth and our moon, could
       | we not determine the distance between Earth and the sun based on
       | the scale of the shadow Earth projects onto the moon during a
       | partial lunar eclipse?
        
         | gpm wrote:
         | If you know the diameter of the sun you should be able to
         | measure the distance by just measuring the size of the sun in
         | the sky and using some simple geometry. I.e. if the sun takes
         | up x degrees of space in the sky then tan(x) = (radius of sun /
         | distance to sun).
         | 
         | But... how do you measure the diameter of the sun?
        
           | andrewclunn wrote:
           | If you sent out probes to calculate the travel time of beams
           | of light between two points, but at Lagrange points from one
           | another, and then had them simultaneously slow their orbits
           | to fall into the sun, and considered the "edge" of the sun
           | the point at which it destroyed the probes...
        
             | lifeisstillgood wrote:
             | How do you measure the diameter of the sun when your most
             | advanced technology does not include a telescope. And even
             | when it does, but just a telescope about 8x power (approx
             | Gallileo's first one)
             | 
             | That Copernicus got there at all is incredible
        
         | pdonis wrote:
         | The problem is that the only way we have of knowing the Sun's
         | diameter is to know its distance and then calculate its
         | diameter from its apparent size.
        
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