[HN Gopher] US government opens 22M acres of federal lands to solar
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       US government opens 22M acres of federal lands to solar
        
       Author : toomuchtodo
       Score  : 120 points
       Date   : 2024-01-19 20:24 UTC (2 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (electrek.co)
 (TXT) w3m dump (electrek.co)
        
       | megaman821 wrote:
       | Are these lands pre-cleared for building, no additional
       | environmental review? Can they also pre-clear transmission
       | corridors to connect these solar panels to the grid, no
       | additional environmental review and a promise to exercise
       | imminent domain?
        
         | beaeglebeached wrote:
         | I wonder if they could put some energy dense industry out there
         | so they don't have to transmit it.
        
           | bobthepanda wrote:
           | You would need transport infrastructure for the goods then.
           | How many places have transport with no power infrastructure?
           | 
           | Roads are also generally worse for the environment than
           | transmission lines.
        
           | toomuchtodo wrote:
           | Load centers aren't too far, and transmission is reasonably
           | close. You can build transmission in parallel to generation
           | facilities, versus serial order of operations.
           | 
           | https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=27152
           | 
           | https://atlas.eia.gov/apps/all-energy-infrastructure-and-
           | res...
           | 
           | https://hub.arcgis.com/datasets/fedmaps::u-s-electric-
           | power-...
        
           | trhway wrote:
           | Bitcoin or training&inference farms, so you'd need only an
           | internet fiber (or even just wireless/satellite) connection.
        
         | floatrock wrote:
         | from the article:
         | 
         | > The updated roadmap... focuses on lands within 10 miles of
         | existing or planned transmission lines and moves away from
         | lands with sensitive resources.
        
           | megaman821 wrote:
           | That is nice, but we all know that does nothing to stop a
           | decade or more of lawsuits. The Government could preempt all
           | those lawsuits now by pre-clearing the areas so they can
           | start building as soon as possible.
        
             | barney54 wrote:
             | Congress could preempt those laws, but the administration
             | itself cannot. They can expedite permitting, but there will
             | still be lawsuits.
        
             | AlotOfReading wrote:
             | They probably couldn't feasibly pre-clear this amount of
             | land even if they wanted to. There are almost certainly
             | resources (e.g. human remains and cultural sites) somewhere
             | in that area that not only does the BLM not have authority
             | over, but for which the existing legislation is basically
             | Congress saying "Not within in our authority".
        
               | serial_dev wrote:
               | I was very confused about Black Lives Matter's role
               | here... BLM in this context refers to bBureau of Land
               | Management.
        
             | glenstein wrote:
             | Being able to challenge the construction of transmission
             | lines is a good thing, not a bad thing. The largest
             | unfragmented forest east of the Mississippi was just carved
             | in half by a new transmission line in Maine, when there
             | were alternative options that would not have done so. It
             | just so happened that the most environmentally harmful
             | option was nevertheless the most profitable, so they rammed
             | it through.
             | 
             | And while I don't like the outcome, I like that we had the
             | ability to challenge it. An under-appreciated aspect of
             | corridor construction has been utilities being able to use
             | state level regulatory capture to ram through projects that
             | contribute to forest fragmentation.
             | 
             | Being able to challenge these for legitimate purposes has
             | to be balanced against the equally legitimate problem of
             | NIMBY obstructionism of corridor construction. But my
             | feeling is that utilities aren't interested in a balance,
             | they are interested pushing the NIMBY narrative to achieve
             | a complete blank checks to circumvent environmental reviews
             | altogether.
        
               | megaman821 wrote:
               | I don't want to ram through anything and everything, but
               | why not have the BLM conduct studies now? They can pick
               | the most promising, lowest environment footprint
               | corridors. If a pre-approved corridor works, use it, if
               | not go through the normal process.
        
       | edgyquant wrote:
       | How realistic is it to build and maintain these in a desert? When
       | discussing doing this in the Sahara, there were lots of people
       | claiming that the sand would make maintaining them costly and
       | that at large scales them blocking the sun can actually effect
       | the local climate as it cools the ground and allows rainwater to
       | pool.
        
         | burkaman wrote:
         | There's already a lot in the desert: https://en.wikipedia.org/w
         | iki/Solar_power_plants_in_the_Moja.... I think maintenance is
         | easier than a hypothetical Sahara megafarm because in the US we
         | can still build them near existing transmission and roads.
         | 
         | They definitely do affect the local climate, and at a very
         | large scale they can hypothetically change the albedo of the
         | desert enough to affect global weather and climate patterns.
        
           | mulmen wrote:
           | Could this be leveraged to mitigate climate change?
        
             | burkaman wrote:
             | Maybe? Apparently if we blanket the Sahara with solar it
             | could actually increase cloud cover and reduce solar
             | potential in a lot of the rest of the world:
             | https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-023-01117-5.
             | 
             | I guess my answer is no, it would literally cause the
             | climate to change so by definition that's not mitigating
             | climate change. It would be a form of geoengineering, which
             | is sort of its own category separate from mitigation, which
             | refers to action that reduces change.
        
         | codingdave wrote:
         | Deserts in the US are not the Sahara - they are large, flat
         | open spaces of hard ground and sagebrush. I'm sure there are
         | still challenges, but if you are envisioning sand dunes to all
         | horizons, that isn't what our deserts look like.
        
           | floxy wrote:
           | Just for people outside of the U.S., we do also have some
           | deserts with sand dunes.
           | 
           | https://www.blm.gov/visit/imperial-sand-dunes
           | 
           | https://www.blm.gov/visit/sand-mountain-recreation-area
           | 
           | https://www.fs.usda.gov/visit/destination/oregon-dunes-
           | natio...
           | 
           | https://www.nps.gov/grsa/index.htm
           | 
           | https://parksandrecreation.idaho.gov/parks/bruneau-dunes/
        
             | dylan604 wrote:
             | But are any of those in the same area of these 22M acres?
        
           | digging wrote:
           | That's mostly true, but there are some ergs (regions entirely
           | buried in sand) in US deserts, and ergs are also a relatively
           | small part of the Sahara.
        
           | bmitc wrote:
           | That doesn't address the cooling effect on the ground, where
           | water could still pool up, does it? Also, a lot of plants and
           | animals live there.
        
         | crakenzak wrote:
         | > and that at large scales them blocking the sun can actually
         | effect the local climate as it cools the ground and allows
         | rainwater to pool.
         | 
         | This is a good thing.
        
           | edgyquant wrote:
           | Could this not completely reshape the local ecology?
        
         | dangjc wrote:
         | One other issue with the Sahara is that you still have to
         | transport that energy to where it will be used. It's been
         | difficult already to build transmission within the US between a
         | few states. Crossing the Mediterranean and getting the energy
         | across southern Europe (which is sunny and doesn't need it) to
         | cloudier northern Europe would be a lot of permitting. If they
         | can convert the Sahara electricity to liquid fuels, it might
         | actually fit with trade patterns better.
        
       | ren_engineer wrote:
       | makes a lot of sense in the Southwest where the land can't be
       | used productively for much else. They should create some programs
       | to incentivize some of the farmers in California and other states
       | to put up solar on their land so they stop consuming so much
       | water as well
        
         | trhway wrote:
         | >to incentivize some of the farmers in California and other
         | states to put up solar on their land
         | 
         | agriculture production - ballpark of 4000-10000kg per acre sold
         | at $1/kg, 2 harvests/year, i.e. $8000-$20000. Solar per acre -
         | 300 days, 10 hours/day, 200Wt/m2, $0.04/KWh - $160/day at 50%
         | coverage, ie. $50K/year.
         | 
         | In general - the plants efficiency is less than 5%, ie. at
         | least 4x less than that of solar panels, and at the end
         | everything is about energy (and information as both are
         | opposite of entropy (ie. life and technology is about
         | decreasing of entropy in the local neighborhood by
         | shifting/exporting it out of the neighborhood into the wider
         | environment))
        
       | ortusdux wrote:
       | Direct link - https://www.doi.gov/pressreleases/biden-harris-
       | administratio...
        
       | photonbeam wrote:
       | 89000 km^2
        
         | a_wild_dandan wrote:
         | Gotta be honest: I won't comprehend areas this large regardless
         | of which unit system is used lol. Maybe I should invent a
         | digestible unit that I'm familiar with, like "# of Denver metro
         | areas" or something!
        
           | p1mrx wrote:
           | Just eyeballing a map, Denver is around (50 km)^2.
           | 89000/(50^2) = 35 denvers
        
           | all2 wrote:
           | The state of Rhode Island.
        
             | lnwlebjel wrote:
             | The state of Maine is just over 22 million acres (22.6).
             | Rhode Island is only about 988,000 according to this link:
             | https://beef2live.com/story-ranking-states-total-
             | acres-0-108...
        
           | ta1243 wrote:
           | It's about the area of Portugal or Maine, a little less than
           | Iceland.
        
           | TaylorAlexander wrote:
           | It's about 35 billion turtles in area. Hope that helps!
        
           | dataflow wrote:
           | Take the square root and it becomes more comprehensible.
           | 300km x 300km. Or 186mi x 186mi.
        
         | sneak wrote:
         | sqrt(89000) ~= 298
        
       | theferalrobot wrote:
       | That is significantly more land than the USA would need to power
       | the entire USA with solar power. Why so much land? (That is 34k
       | miles^2 when we would only need 22k at most, new solar
       | generations could potentially get that amount down to 10k).
       | 
       | https://elements.visualcapitalist.com/wp-content/uploads/202...
        
         | maxerickson wrote:
         | You want the regulator to start with a perfected land use plan?
        
         | TaylorAlexander wrote:
         | The article says we would need 700k, but clearly the idea is
         | that 22m acres of land are permitted to have solar, not that
         | 22m acres of land will all have solar deployed. As the article
         | says, this gives maximum flexibility.
         | 
         | For example 700k acres in one spot would not be ideal as
         | transmission losses to other regions would be significant, so
         | we need more possible space to allow distributed production.
        
         | SamBam wrote:
         | Presumably this is opening up that much land for potential use,
         | not putting diggers on the ground to start setting up panels
         | tomorrow.
         | 
         | The next phases will be deciding where to actually put
         | individual farms.
        
       | ben_w wrote:
       | Nice.
       | 
       | On paper, 22M acres is enough room for 1.78 TW annualised over a
       | year[0], which is about 61% of current global electricity demand.
       | 
       | I doubt they'll get close to filling this land up with PV, but
       | perhaps at least making this much available will reduce the rate
       | at which people ask how much land PV needs to take up.
       | 
       | [0] 10% capacity factor, 20% efficient:
       | https://www.wolframalpha.com/input?i=22+million+acres+*+10%2...
        
         | toomuchtodo wrote:
         | For comparison:
         | 
         | "Of the ~92 million acres of corn planted in the US each year,
         | roughly 40 million acres (1.6% of the nation's land) are
         | primarily used to feed cars and raise the octane of gasoline.
         | If this land were repurposed with solar power, it could provide
         | around three and a half times the electricity needs of the
         | United States, equivalent to nearly eight times the energy that
         | would be needed to power all of the nation's passenger vehicles
         | were they electrified.
         | 
         | However, if we were to transition this 40 million acres are of
         | fuel to solar+food (agrivoltaics) - we could still meet 100% of
         | our electricity needs, and power a nationwide fleet of electric
         | vehicles."
         | 
         | (solar panels produce roughly 200 times more energy per acre
         | than corn)
         | 
         | https://pv-magazine-usa.com/2022/03/10/solarfood-in-ethanol-...
        
           | Faaak wrote:
           | Biofuels really are mind bogglingly inefficient, but I didn't
           | realize this much
        
             | jgeada wrote:
             | They're pretty efficient at moving public money into
             | private hands though, which why there are such persistent
             | lobbies to continue these subsidies.
             | 
             | Socialism for the rich, rugged individualism for the poor.
        
           | SllX wrote:
           | That land will get repurposed organically when electric cars
           | overtake ICE cars and the demand for corn-derived ethanol
           | drops.
           | 
           | Hopefully for something that tastes better than corn.
        
             | ben_w wrote:
             | Bunch of farmers woke me up at 04:25 this morning with a
             | drive-slow horn-honking parade past my apartment.
             | 
             | If I understand right, this protest was _in part_ due to an
             | attempt by the (German) government to reduce the level at
             | which farmers are being subsidised.
             | 
             | Reason I bring this up, is that I have heard that the US
             | only started using corn ethanol as an excuse to keep
             | subsidising farmers, not because it was ever a good idea.
        
               | tomjakubowski wrote:
               | You see similar things in California, billboards posted
               | by farmers wailing about the state government raising
               | water prices, when they are the ones subsidizing (to the
               | nth degree) agricultural water to begin with.
        
               | SllX wrote:
               | I can absolutely believe that the Federal government did
               | it for that reason, but I think it was my own State
               | (California) that gave them the political cover because
               | our dumbasses thought it was a genuinely good idea 20
               | years ago and we mandated ethanol in gasoline first
               | (California has corn farms, but we are not a big corn-
               | growing State so much as a big almost-everything-else-
               | growing State).
        
               | toomuchtodo wrote:
               | Ethanol is better than what it replaced, MTBE, hence
               | California's mandate. The problem was when the ag lobby
               | started advocating for ethanol blends in excess of what
               | is necessary to capture more subsidies.
               | 
               | https://web.archive.org/web/20180407183020/https://www.ar
               | b.c...
               | 
               | https://www.cdc.gov/biomonitoring/MTBE_FactSheet.html
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Methyl_tert-butyl_ether
        
             | aziaziazi wrote:
             | Hopefully for something that need also to drink less than
             | corn!
        
           | Loughla wrote:
           | Other problem. When there is a need, that corn can be
           | diverted from fuel to food.
        
             | huytersd wrote:
             | The type of corn grown for ethanol is basically inedible
             | (maybe besides conversion into HFCS)
        
               | ianburrell wrote:
               | Dent corn is perfectly edible. The white variety is used
               | in cornmeal, corn chips, and tortillas. Yellow is more
               | used for animal feed and industrial use. But it is edible
               | since it is pure starch.
               | 
               | Also, except for emergencies, the corn wouldn't be
               | diverted but the farmers would plant a different variety
               | or different crop the next year.
        
             | dylan604 wrote:
             | food for whom? not all corn is equal, and isn't just a
             | switch from fuel/food for people.
        
           | BurnGpuBurn wrote:
           | I agree 100% that corn is a very inefficient fuel source, but
           | 
           | > If this land were repurposed with solar power, it could
           | provide around three and a half times the electricity needs
           | of the United States
           | 
           | Isn't really accurate. It could never provide that, simply
           | because solar is too intermittent. With (theoretically
           | huuuuuge batteries) it could perhaps, but those don't exist.
           | So it couldn't.
        
             | toomuchtodo wrote:
             | https://www.tesla.com/ns_videos/Tesla-Master-Plan-
             | Part-3.pdf (page 30)
             | 
             | The batteries exist of course. Tesla ships 40GWh a year of
             | them, and they are scaling up the next Megapack
             | manufacturing facility in China.
             | 
             | https://www.tesla.com/megafactory
        
         | GaggiX wrote:
         | Why are you using meters with acres?
         | 
         | EDIT: I just realized that Wolfram does the conversion
         | automatically, that's really cool.
        
           | mulmen wrote:
           | It's all just multiplying ratios.
        
         | m101 wrote:
         | The problem with solar is that we will have destroyed the
         | environment to create those solar panels. The return on energy
         | invested (RoEI) on solar is less than 10x which, when you're
         | dealing with an energy budget like climate change etc, makes it
         | a non-solution. Nuclear RoEI is more like 100x
        
           | matthewdgreen wrote:
           | From Wikipedia: "A 2015 review in Renewable and Sustainable
           | Energy Reviews assessed the energy payback time and EROI of a
           | variety of PV module technologies. In this study, which uses
           | an insolation of 1700 kWh/m2/yr and a system lifetime of 30
           | years, mean harmonized EROIs between 8.7 and 34.2 were
           | found."
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_return_on_investment
           | 
           | Seems like the lower numbers come from older, obsolete PV
           | technologies. Lots of improvement since even 2015.
        
           | xp84 wrote:
           | Yeah, it's too bad that we make our decisions based on
           | emotion, a problem affecting the "eco" side as well as the
           | "right wing reactionary" side.
           | 
           | The "eco" side pushes solar and wind for everything and
           | thinks nuclear plants inevitably explode. The "right wing"
           | side pushes coal exclusively because it's sad that the few
           | thousand coal miners left could lose their jobs.
           | 
           | Nobody's weighing these things with fair metrics.
        
         | profsummergig wrote:
         | IMHO, we also need to bring more focus on 2nd and 3rd order
         | effects of solar panels.
         | 
         | They've been found to:
         | 
         | - improve soil conditions under them
         | 
         | - reduce water evaporation when installed over canals etc.
         | 
         | - provide habitat for certain kinds of farm and wild animals
         | (much like sunken ships provide habitat for certain marine
         | animals)
         | 
         | - provide insulation for structures that have them installed on
         | the roofs
        
       | genman wrote:
       | This is good. It is a little over 1% of the US continuous land
       | mass (e.g. coast to coast without Alaska and other territories).
        
       | lucidguppy wrote:
       | They should lease all federal parking lots for solar
       | installations.
        
         | wdh505 wrote:
         | False. After having done a cost analysis of the increase in
         | accidents in the parking lots due to the increased poles, the
         | cheap cost of power from the grid in my area of the country,
         | and the fact that I must hire a veteran owned firm if they are
         | slightly less than 33.33% more expensive than private firms
         | (aka they take the job and pocket 33.32% and subcontract out to
         | their bidding competitors).
         | 
         | Solar is not coming to a government parking lot near you.
        
           | talldatethrow wrote:
           | Every school in my town recently got massive solar in the
           | parking lots. So it's definitely happening some places.
           | 
           | It actually annoyed me a bit because my childhood elementary
           | school is in my neighborhood of houses. And they constructed
           | large metal structures in the parking lot and installed the
           | solar. It's basically massive metal commercial metalwork, in
           | a residential neighborhood. A bit weird.
        
       | loceng wrote:
       | If using nuclear how much land would be required to provide the
       | same amount of energy?
        
         | glenstein wrote:
         | Probably dramatically less, but it's not an apples to apples
         | comparison. You can be opportunistic with locating solar
         | panels, siting them on land and surfaces that are not otherwise
         | usable. So it's not necessarily in "competition" with other
         | energy/infrastructure/etc projects when it comes to land usage.
        
       | bmitc wrote:
       | And what about the effects on the local ecosystems and habitat?
        
         | justsocrateasin wrote:
         | I think there is a very strong argument that the effects on the
         | local ecosystems and habitat from putting down solar energy is
         | significantly less than the effects that will occur from
         | climate change. This is a straw man argument and I'm pretty
         | tired of seeing it (similar vein - "wind turbines kill birds",
         | yeah but not as much as climate change will!)
        
           | Ajay-p wrote:
           | It appears to also be a legal argument that has been used to
           | stop solar development, endangered species, but also
           | NIMBYism.
           | 
           | https://electrek.co/2021/07/26/us-largest-solar-farm-is-
           | scra...
        
           | bmitc wrote:
           | My comment isn't a logical fallacy. It's lazy of you to throw
           | that out there, and it doesn't automatically debunk what
           | you're responding to. Plus, I just asked a question.
           | 
           | My comment comes from a place of pointing out a chain of
           | events of engineering causing problems, then engineering
           | solving those problems while creating new problems. Of
           | course, if you just dismiss that plants and animals live
           | there in the desert, then you don't need to think about them.
           | But if you don't dismiss them but still need the solar power
           | at all costs, then maybe studies could be commissioned that
           | provide the ecosystem the best change for unintended negative
           | change if the solar panels absolutely must be built.
           | 
           | And let's not act like these solar panels will have much to
           | do, if anything, with helping to mitigate climate change.
        
         | aidenn0 wrote:
         | Hopefully less than the 38M acres of federal lands leased out
         | for oil extraction?
        
         | burkaman wrote:
         | This is of course a big part of the analysis the government has
         | already done: https://eplanning.blm.gov/public_projects/2022371
         | /200538533/..., https://eplanning.blm.gov/public_projects/20223
         | 71/200538533/....
         | 
         | You are welcome to comment on these assessments if you have
         | concerns or input: https://eplanning.blm.gov/eplanning-
         | ui/project/2022371/570.
        
       | Ajay-p wrote:
       | I have long thought there must be a reason why vast, empty plots
       | of sun drenched land were not covered in solar panels. Half of
       | Nevada could become the nation's power plant.
        
         | stvltvs wrote:
         | And destroy all that natural habitat full of biodivesity?
         | Rooftop and parking lot solar for the win.
        
           | barelyauser wrote:
           | Is this satire?
        
           | xp84 wrote:
           | [edit: if you're joking, good -- ignore my reply]
           | 
           | It's a desert. There's arguably less biodiversity there than
           | most places. I'm pretty sure there's enough room for there to
           | still be plenty of cactuses and jackrabbits AND a massive
           | amount of solar panels.
           | 
           | Rooftop and parking lot solar isn't the same thing. It's not
           | automatically better. The efficiency of rooftop solar isn't
           | nearly as good as an array that can follow the sun. Given
           | finite resources you could make a case we're better off
           | deploying those panels in a desert and connecting a big fat
           | cable to them vs. a million houses all paying individual
           | installers to install tiny, inefficient arrays piecemeal.
        
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       (page generated 2024-01-19 23:00 UTC)