[HN Gopher] Gas pumps freeze at Calgary gas stations [video]
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Gas pumps freeze at Calgary gas stations [video]
        
       Author : bilsbie
       Score  : 78 points
       Date   : 2024-01-14 14:02 UTC (8 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (calgary.citynews.ca)
 (TXT) w3m dump (calgary.citynews.ca)
        
       | aBioGuy wrote:
       | Vehicular gas infrastructure is near 100 years of development and
       | still has some edge cases.
       | 
       | EV charging infrastructure is at about 10 years.
        
         | ceejayoz wrote:
         | The good news is we haven't forgotten all the lessons learned,
         | many of which will be applicable.
        
         | osigurdson wrote:
         | In cold climates, EVs should absolutely include a propane tank
         | to generate passenger heat and bring the battery into its
         | proper operating range. Generating high entropy heat with low
         | entropy electricity from a battery offends my sensibilities.
        
           | declan_roberts wrote:
           | As someone that drives an EV in cold weather, a propane tank
           | for heat would be a huge improvement.
        
           | audunw wrote:
           | Most modern EVs have heat pumps. Not using heat pumps to
           | generate heat - exploiting the larger than 100% efficiency
           | you get in the process - offends my sensibilities.
           | 
           | If we have propane, and want to use it for energy/heating,
           | it'd be better to burn it at some large central efficient
           | generator (perhaps supplying waste heat as district heating
           | for nearby homes), and use the electricity to power heat
           | pumps.
        
             | bawolff wrote:
             | Don't heat pumps stop working around -25C? That is
             | obviously not going to be effective in alberta. (Current
             | temp -36C [not including windchill])
        
               | FredPret wrote:
               | The windchill actually only affects humans - moist skin
               | cools down faster in the wind.
               | 
               | But -36 is enough to bring down heat pump efficiency a
               | lot.
               | 
               | This site [1] talks about heat pumps that work down to
               | -30. Not good enough to trust your life to if you're an
               | Albertan.
               | 
               | [1] https://www.bchydro.com/news/conservation/2022/cold-
               | weather-...
        
               | kevin_nisbet wrote:
               | > Not good enough to trust your life to if you're an
               | Albertan.
               | 
               | I believe the heat pumps intended for these climates
               | provided alternatives for those cold days. If you want to
               | stay all electric, it would include a resistive electric
               | heater, but could be paired with some other fuel source.
               | 
               | Personally, I'd seriously consider going ground source
               | where temperatures like this are the norm, but that
               | doesn't work for everyone either.
        
             | osigurdson wrote:
             | At -40C, the COP is only going to be 1.4. A natural gas
             | fired cogen plant is 60% efficient so even without
             | transmission losses this ultra complex arrangement is not
             | more efficient at generating heat.
             | 
             | You are conflating the efficiency of generating mechanical
             | energy (where such arguments hold) with generating heat.
        
           | bilsbie wrote:
           | It could just be a secondary battery with cold compatible
           | chemistry with just enough energy to warm up the main
           | battery.
        
             | osigurdson wrote:
             | A 20lb propane tank is a 100 kWh battery (if only
             | generating heat).
        
           | pxeboot wrote:
           | > In cold climates, EVs should absolutely include a propane
           | tank to generate passenger heat
           | 
           | I believe some EV buses are heated with propane or heating
           | oil, so it would probably be feasible to add to personal
           | vehicles as well.
        
           | swader999 wrote:
           | Propane freezes at about - 38.
        
             | Plasmoid wrote:
             | Liquefies. It's almost impossible to use at that temp
             | though because you burn propane gas.
        
           | speedgoose wrote:
           | Good EVs can heat up their battery pretty fast using only
           | electricity.
           | 
           | I know someone who was using a diesel heater in its
           | Mitsubishi I-miev, an old EV that had a terrible factory
           | heating system. It did sound a lot less convenient than
           | electric heating.
        
         | bdcravens wrote:
         | That's why I didn't get an EV until I bought my home.
        
       | mmastrac wrote:
       | As someone who lives in Calgary, a few random points:
       | 
       | This is normal weather for us for a week or so every year. Some
       | years we have longer snaps. Some years we have shorter snaps.
       | When things get this cold, everything has a hard time
       | functioning, including but not limited to infrastructure, people,
       | vehicles and utilities.
       | 
       | The electricity infrastructure in the province is poorly
       | maintained and managed by the government and corporations that
       | manage it. We have failed to invest in infrastructure that can
       | handle both peak summer and winter loads.
       | 
       | We received an emergency alert yesterday night describing how the
       | grid was nearly at capacity. I wouldn't be surprised if we got
       | another one today. The reason appears to be that both wind and
       | gas generation are offline due to cold. Pool prices for
       | electricity spiked to $1000/MWh (!).
       | 
       | Electric vehicles would destroy the current grid because it's not
       | even managed well enough to handle a barely electrified fleet of
       | civilian vehicles. There's an argument that the EVs could act as
       | a battery for the grid, but that would require significant
       | technology investment that the province is not managed well
       | enough to implement.
       | 
       | There will still be arctic outflows even if the planet is warming
       | up. Our winters will continue to suck despite the average global
       | temps rising.
       | 
       | Short story: the province is very cold, very badly managed, and
       | there is not much anyone can do about it.
        
         | hammyhavoc wrote:
         | Wouldn't batteries have poor performance in these conditions
         | anyway?
        
           | voisin wrote:
           | Probably not so bad in garages?
        
             | hammyhavoc wrote:
             | Looking at Canadian census data for AB, I'm not sure what
             | the correlation of owning an EV and having access to a
             | garage would be, but it's not going to be a super common
             | combination.
             | 
             | In those situations, how likely is someone to want to use
             | potential vehicular range during a crisis and instead use
             | it on juice for their home?
        
               | klyrs wrote:
               | I have a garage and an EV, but we haven't had the budget
               | for the necessary electrical work to power the house.
        
               | Teever wrote:
               | You don't think that the kind of person who can afford an
               | electric car can afford a garage to put it in?
               | 
               | Most, if not all new builds have attached garages in the
               | Edmonton area.
        
               | hammyhavoc wrote:
               | You're completely forgetting the demographics of people
               | who rent, live in apartments, lease cars etc. You're also
               | assuming everybody wants an EV or feels it is appropriate
               | for the distances they need to travel.
        
               | Teever wrote:
               | Are there really that many apartment dwellers without
               | access to a parkade in Alberta?
        
               | sctb wrote:
               | Low-rise apartment buildings without parkades are very
               | common in Calgary and (I assume) Edmonton. Block heaters,
               | extension cords, and high-quality ice scrapers are
               | standard fare.
        
               | Teever wrote:
               | https://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-recensement/2016/as-
               | sa/98...
               | 
               | It looks like most Albertans live in a place where they
               | have access to a garage for their car.
               | 
               | I would imagine that many Albertans who live in an
               | apartment also don't drive, or have access to a parkade.
        
           | mmastrac wrote:
           | I'm not an EV driver but from what I've heard from others,
           | and at least with current battery technology, range is
           | significantly reduced.
           | 
           | I've seen a number of reports that Tesla ranges specifically
           | are quite low at this temperature. I don't know if battery
           | life rebounds when the weather improves.
           | 
           | Gas engines also struggle to start in this weather and gas
           | lines freeze, though they obviously throw off enough heat to
           | eventually grudgingly function.
        
             | kccqzy wrote:
             | Yup range is reduced for all EVs. And of course range
             | rebounds after the weather warms up; it's not like this
             | temperature is enough to permanently damaging the battery.
             | 
             | But on the other hand, heating the cabin is and remains
             | much quicker than ICE engines. If you drive short distances
             | the driver's experience is much better.
        
             | jillesvangurp wrote:
             | Depends on the model. All EVs are affected to some extent.
             | But some models deal with this better than others. A 30-40%
             | range reduction is reasonable to expect with most cars at
             | very low temperatures. This is not a permanent loss. The
             | other thing that happens is that cold batteries don't
             | charge very well. Many modern EVs have battery management
             | systems that manage the temperature of the battery for this
             | reason. This improves both charging and range.
             | 
             | Warming up the car of course costs some energy but it's a
             | reasonable tradeoff. Some cars actually have heat pumps
             | that make warming them up a bit more efficient. And of
             | course a nice feature is that you can use an app to turn on
             | the car so the car is nice and comfy by the time you get
             | in.
             | 
             | So, it's not that black and white and EVs are pretty
             | popular all over Scandinavia (Norway especially) and in the
             | arctic circle where they have some pretty extreme
             | temperatures every winter. Teslas are pretty popular there
             | and have been for many years.
             | 
             | ICE cars also are affected by cold weather of course. You
             | get range issues; maybe not as extreme as with EVs but
             | 15-20% less efficiency is pretty normal. And they have all
             | sorts of fluids besides fuel (brakes, coolant, oil, etc.)
             | that can become problematic if it gets cold enough.
             | Reliability is a much bigger concern than range with cold
             | temperatures. And ICE cars have a lot more things that can
             | fail when it gets cold.
        
           | miohtama wrote:
           | Litium ion and all mainstream battery technologies are fluid
           | based and cannot operate in extreme cold.
           | 
           | That's why EVs have a system to keep the battery pack warm.
        
             | wcoenen wrote:
             | The liquid electrolyte in EV batteries is typically a
             | lithium salt + organic solvent. It doesn't freeze, and
             | these batteries can actually operate in extreme cold. They
             | just perform less well because the chemical reactions slow
             | down.
             | 
             | (My personal experience with EVs in the cold only goes down
             | to -10C, with the vehicle parked outside overnight, no
             | charger connected. I saw no issues expect for increased
             | energy consumption.)
        
               | capitainenemo wrote:
               | The Albertan above was reporting a temperature of
               | -32degC. Searching a few sites online, it was hard to
               | find any data on that. -15degC meant 50% range. I'm
               | guessing your car probably also has battery heating
               | though. And so long as the grid was able to handle it
               | (which does seem to be a problem from the comments above
               | in Alberta even with their tiny EV fleet) most likely
               | you'd just plug it in, and it would stay nice and warm
               | all night with no range impact in the morning - at the
               | cost of a bit of power..
        
               | SoftTalker wrote:
               | To be fair, a lot of petrol engines, and certainly diesel
               | engines will have trouble starting at those temps unless
               | they are in top condition. "Plug in heaters" are the
               | solution there as well, to keep the engine block warm.
               | Diesels will also need fuel treatement or fuel heaters to
               | keep the fuel from turning to gel.
        
               | speedgoose wrote:
               | I drove my EV by -30 on Norway this month. Keeping about
               | 19 degrees inside was using a lot of energy as cars
               | aren't well insulated.
               | 
               | The range is bad in winter but fast charging produces a
               | lot of heat in the battery, you can see steam going from
               | below the car while charging, that can then be moved to
               | the cabin after. So long trips aren't that bad. But you
               | spend more, for sure. And you need a good winter EV. A
               | lot of EVs on the market are terrible winter EVs.
               | 
               | Also, you don't keep the battery warm all night as it
               | would waste too much energy, but you should pre-heat the
               | battery if you want descent battery performances
               | immediately after you drive. On my car, it takes a few
               | minutes while connected to the wall. I can start it from
               | the phone or program it.
        
         | voisin wrote:
         | Pretty crazy that the gas generation goes offline in the cold
         | when part of Danielle Smith's rationale for a moratorium on
         | renewables was "grid instability" requiring further study.
         | Seems she panders to oil & gas, but the populace can't be happy
         | with the price of electricity!
        
           | mmastrac wrote:
           | I don't think the population gets enough visibility into the
           | price of electricity. Most of the population is on a fixed
           | price plan and I don't understand the economics of it.
           | 
           | I'm certain we'll hear about the "wind freezing" but nothing
           | about why the gas plants were offline.
           | 
           | Alberta is prime location for nuclear: remote, cold and
           | environmentally stable. We could probably ween ourselves off
           | gas plants in a few decades, build enough capacity for an EV-
           | friendly grid and reduce emissions.
        
             | FredPret wrote:
             | Why is cold good for nuclear, getting rid of waste heat?
             | Would that advantage not apply to all heat-based power
             | plants?
        
               | mmastrac wrote:
               | I believe it comes down to the much more efficient
               | cooling processes, and the fact that you don't need to
               | maintain as much input resource infrastructure as with
               | gas
               | 
               | While a gas plant produces heat, the gas transport
               | infrastructure may freeze, and you can have major cold
               | start problems.
        
             | sheepscreek wrote:
             | Out here in Ontario, the electricity "distribution" costs
             | often outweigh the cost of electricity itself.
        
               | voisin wrote:
               | Is that because the generation is nuclear and
               | hydroelectric and so lower cost than natural gas like
               | Alberta?
        
               | tempest_ wrote:
               | The base load is nuclear but it isnt necessarily cheap.
               | 
               | The government tried to take away the hydro subsidies a
               | couple years ago and a bunch of people who live in the
               | middle of no where and use baseboard heating lost their
               | shit so the government went right back to subsidizing it.
        
               | Teever wrote:
               | This is often the case in Alberta as well.
        
               | respondo2134 wrote:
               | this ispretty coomon in Alberta for all services. Right
               | now electricity is epensive but natural gas was costing
               | as much or more to get to your house as the actual gas
               | itself. There are a lot of governments and government
               | owned/associated companies all taking a flat fee and then
               | a % of your usage.
        
           | DwnVoteHoneyPot wrote:
           | What do you mean? The emergency alert went out at 6:30pm when
           | it was dark (no solar) and no wind (not windy and/or too cold
           | for wind turbines to operate). Having more of grid rely on
           | solar & wind wouldn't help. Replacing fossil fuel sources
           | (which the NDP gov't paid $2B to do) has made situation
           | worse. Gas generation going off line is a separate issue.
        
         | sheepscreek wrote:
         | Good points. Energy storage will be another big issue. Lithium
         | batteries (and possibly others) lose capacity in colder
         | weather. I think, since most batteries are developed for
         | standard operating temps, maybe we need more research into
         | developing a different battery chemistry that is primarily for
         | use in colder climates.
        
           | amatecha wrote:
           | Indeed, such a chemistry already exists: Lithium Titanium
           | Oxide (LTO) batteries charge & discharge normally down to
           | something like -40 degrees
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lithium-titanate_battery
           | 
           | https://www.pv-magazine.com/2023/09/01/kstar-launches-all-
           | in...
        
           | matsemann wrote:
           | Been quite cold in Norway last few weeks, and the news just
           | loves to write stories about electric cars / buses having
           | problems in that kind of weather.
           | 
           | Of course it happens. But actually to a lower extent than ICE
           | cars. The small 12v battery in an electric only needs to turn
           | on the systems, and you're good to go with some reduced
           | range. The 12v battery in an ICE will often have a hard time
           | starting the motor in these temperatures. But that's not as
           | news worthy..
        
         | miohtama wrote:
         | Last week a cold snap hit Finland. A lot of electricity supply
         | was offline due to maintenance. The peak price at Nordpool,
         | Internordic electronicity market, hit 2.5 eur/kWh or 2500
         | EUR/mWh. This is 25x normal rate around 5c/kWh. The electricity
         | demand flexed, being 30% under estimation/normal.
         | 
         | As a retail electricity consumer you can choose between market
         | rate (hourly) or a fixed price electricity. Despite cold snaps,
         | market rate saves long term.
        
           | hn_go_brrrrr wrote:
           | Unless I'm misunderstanding youz it's 50x, not 25x:
           | 
           | 2.5 EUR = 50 * 0.05 EUR
        
         | sjs382 wrote:
         | Exactly what happened in Texas in 2021.
         | 
         | The parallels between Alberta and Texas always amuse me for
         | some reason.
         | 
         | Wishing you best luck during this event!
        
           | bdcravens wrote:
           | Just wait a couple of days and you might be saying Texas in
           | 2024. We've made minimal changes to our grid since then.
        
             | pixl97 wrote:
             | Hopefully the duration and lack of significant snow during
             | these events this year will minimize the chance of PTSD for
             | us. We should only be seeing 3 to 4 days of below freezing
             | temps where in 2021 we saw over a week.
        
             | gonzo wrote:
             | ERCOT seems to be well-prepared (pun intended) for this
             | cold snap.
        
           | jeffrallen wrote:
           | It's the resource curse.
        
         | thebruce87m wrote:
         | > Electric vehicles would destroy the current grid
         | 
         | I'm not convinced it's a simple as that.
         | 
         | My EV chargers at night during low demand. The energy provider
         | decides exactly when (they start and stop multiple times per
         | night), and gives me a rate of 1/4 of the normal as a benefit.
         | 
         | My usage pattern is to charge every night, but I only use about
         | 10% during a normal day. So on average I am close to fully
         | charged at any one time, and can therefore go a week without
         | charging.
         | 
         | There is also vehicle-to-grid as you described.
         | 
         | My national grid had so many people making inaccurate
         | statements about EVs that they made a page specifically to
         | address them: https://www.nationalgrid.com/stories/journey-to-
         | net-zero/ele...
        
           | itsoktocry wrote:
           | > _My EV chargers at night during low demand_
           | 
           | Easy when EVs are 1% market share. If/when they are 25%+ you
           | can't hide behind low demand at night time.
        
             | thebruce87m wrote:
             | I don't know all of the variables to calculate that
             | properly, things like electricity savings from closing
             | refineries and petrol stations are things I can't
             | calculate. I do see a lot of people spreading FUD on the
             | topic that don't know either so I'm interested in what your
             | numbers are. What do you think the impact of 25% EV
             | ownership would be?
             | 
             | Edit, from my article:
             | 
             | > Even if we all switched to EVs overnight, we estimate
             | demand would only increase by around 10%. So we'd still be
             | using less power as a nation than we did in 2002, and this
             | is well within the range the grid can capably handle.
             | 
             | So let's say for 25% of people converting we would have a
             | 2.5% increase in demand on a daily basis. If we spread that
             | over a 6 hour period then we then get back to 10% uptick
             | during that 6 hour period.
             | 
             | Here is the total energy production in the UK over a week:
             | https://electricityproduction.uk/total/?t=7d
             | 
             | I can see that a 10% daily average (4 Gigawatt) bump at
             | night would still put us much lower than daytime, so demand
             | would still be considered low.
             | 
             | Not sure of all my maths and assumptions, happy to hear
             | other views.
        
             | fasterik wrote:
             | Grids are constantly adding capacity to keep up with
             | demand. It's not going to go from 1% to 25% overnight.
        
               | javawizard wrote:
               | Right. From OP's comment I get the sense that the real
               | problem is that Calgary's grid is poorly managed and may
               | not be well placed to add the necessary capacity. For
               | other, better managed grids in the world, you're almost
               | certainly right.
        
               | tamaharbor wrote:
               | Better managed = more expensive. Are electric customers
               | ready for that?
        
               | thomasmg wrote:
               | Better managed is not necessarily more expensive in the
               | long run, specially when tanking into account secondary
               | benefits such as improved economy because companies that
               | care about stable grids build factories there. But yes,
               | short term it is more expensive.
        
               | caseysoftware wrote:
               | It makes sense that we'd see temporary taxes, surcharges,
               | and the like to upgrade the existing system. The question
               | is: How long is "temporary"?
               | 
               | In the US, a century is NOT out of the question for a
               | "temporary" tax:
               | 
               | > _The Spanish-American War has been over for more than
               | 100 years, and now so is the tax imposed in 1898 to help
               | fund it. As of Tuesday, all phone companies selling long-
               | distance phone service are legally required to eliminate
               | the 3 percent federal excise tax on long-distance
               | service, which had been established in 1898 as a luxury
               | tax on wealthy Americans who owned telephones._
               | 
               | Ref from 2006: https://www.cnet.com/tech/tech-
               | industry/telecom-tax-imposed-...
        
               | slavik81 wrote:
               | If think skilled management is expensive, just wait until
               | you see what incompetence costs.
        
               | eldaisfish wrote:
               | the HN crowd tends to be overzealous about the pace of
               | change in several industries. Electricity here is a good
               | example.
               | 
               | No, the electric grid is not constantly adding power
               | capacity. In fact, capacity expansions are planned on the
               | timescale of decades. the previous comment is accurate -
               | everyone switching to EVs even on a single, 80 home
               | street can cause havoc for which we are unprepared.
        
               | bushbaba wrote:
               | Unprepared but solvable problem.
        
               | thebruce87m wrote:
               | The HN crowd is split across a lot of grids. Here are
               | things my grid is doing:
               | 
               | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_Sea_Link
               | 
               | https://amp.theguardian.com/business/2023/oct/09/worlds-
               | larg...
        
               | marcosdumay wrote:
               | IMO, the helplessness of the US people when they talk
               | about electricity distribution is hearth breaking.
               | 
               | It's not even a "our society can't orchestrate this", but
               | the opinion is usually "it's impossible for people to
               | organize that way".
        
               | AshamedCaptain wrote:
               | > it became operational on 1 October 2021 ... was first
               | proposed in 2003
               | 
               | Hardly disagrees with the "timescale of decades" remark
               | parent is making.
        
               | thebruce87m wrote:
               | But it does show that it changes though. If there is a 10
               | year pipeline with multiple projects in it then it's not
               | static.
        
               | eldaisfish wrote:
               | My claim was that change on the electric grid is slow,
               | moreso at the distribution level. No one is claiming that
               | change doesn't happen so you are arguing against a
               | strawman.
               | 
               | If there is a ten year pipeline, design decisions are
               | made years in advance. Hence my claim that even a single
               | street switching to EVs will cause havoc.
        
               | thebruce87m wrote:
               | > No, the electric grid is not constantly adding power
               | capacity.
               | 
               | My strongest interpretation of this was you were saying
               | that no capacity was being added. Any other
               | interpretation doesn't make sense. Everyone already knows
               | that grids don't have new capacity added on a constant
               | basis, so nobody would say it. Even if it went through a
               | growth phase, that would stop at some point for any
               | number of reasons.
               | 
               | I've done some calculations elsewhere in the thread that
               | ( I think ) show that a 25% uptake of EVs in the UK all
               | charged during the same 6 hour off-peak period would
               | still not meet peak day demand. Even without those
               | calculations I don't see how you can claim a streets
               | worth of EVs would cause havoc.
        
               | jstsch wrote:
               | Here in NL there are continuous upgrades. Yes, the grid
               | is stretched, and there are spots where commercial (or
               | even additional residential) capacity is not available.
               | But at the same time, the grid is upgraded on all levels,
               | from street to international connectivity. It takes time,
               | but EV's are no issue. Excess solar around noon is.
        
               | petre wrote:
               | NL is smaller than West Virginia and very densely
               | populated.
        
               | tedivm wrote:
               | This entire thread started with a comment talking about
               | how the grid hasn't been upgraded to keep up with demand.
               | We've also all seen what happens in places like Texas
               | during cold periods. Even beyond just demand, look at how
               | California has a utility that regular burns down entire
               | cities due to poor infrastructure and maintenance.
        
               | tensor wrote:
               | The entire thread started with a comment claiming that
               | the cold ruins everything and the province is mismanaged
               | so that's that there is no solution.
               | 
               | But that's not that, clearly there is a solution, and
               | that's to start improving the grid and increase the use
               | of EVs. When every house has a battery backup system and
               | charging infrastructure, and they build more power
               | generation capabilities, nuclear or green, then you will
               | see a hugely more robust grid and cars that will actually
               | work well in even the coldest months.
        
               | JeffSnazz wrote:
               | > that's to start improving the grid and increase the use
               | of EVs.
               | 
               | Notably, one of these needs to occur before the other.
        
               | refulgentis wrote:
               | Sure, but, we're responding to someone in Calgary
               | describing an overloaded electrical system in a
               | relatively poor province, exceeding capacity during the
               | coldest weeks of the year, as gas pumps freeze. Today.
               | 
               | On a long enough timeline, setting aside money, sure, we
               | can add:
               | 
               | - add a backup battery to each house
               | 
               | - add charging infrastructure to each house
               | 
               | - build more power generation (nuclear or green)
               | 
               | I don't think that's in dispute, and I'm not sure what to
               | call it. Not off-topic, but...just sort of ramming
               | forward describing something obvious, but as if it
               | addresses something topical.
        
               | rfrey wrote:
               | Just a note that Alberta is not a poor province, and in
               | fact has the highest GDP per capita of all the Canadian
               | provinces. (Nunavut and the NWT have higher GDPs due to
               | their large mining sector combined with tiny
               | populations.)
               | 
               | We also have the highest electricity bills of any
               | Canadian province.
               | 
               | The issue in Alberta is corporate grift and a hegemonic
               | government that has a revolving-door arrangement with oil
               | and gas companies.
        
               | respondo2134 wrote:
               | the provincial government has halted new wind and solar
               | projects for at least a period of time, while the federal
               | government continues to clamp down on any attempts at new
               | fossil fuel plants, hydro takes decades and nuclear is a
               | non-starter. Your first sentence is categorically false
               | here, when discussiong near-term demand increases.
        
               | kazinator wrote:
               | Adding capacity to a grid is not like getting another
               | rack of hard drives in server room.
        
               | delfinom wrote:
               | That's not really true. US electrical consumption is down
               | 30% since the 1980s. You can thank significant
               | advancements in electronics and electrical equipment.
               | 
               | Many capacity projects are simply to replace aging, no
               | longer economical plants.
        
               | quickthrowman wrote:
               | LED lighting and VFDs have reduced demand quite a bit,
               | particularly the variable frequency drives since 50% of
               | all electrical use is powering induction motors.
        
             | jillesvangurp wrote:
             | Works fine in Europe where we have percentages like that
             | already. The mistake people make is assuming that cars are
             | charging all the time when they are at home. The reality is
             | that average day to day behavior cause that to be more like
             | once a week for many drivers and that drivers can pick the
             | moment when they charge. On any given day you might only
             | use a few kwh. Mostly the collective charging behavior
             | spreads out a little.
        
           | kencausey wrote:
           | I'm curious about this consistent claim that electricity is
           | at low demand at night. Perhaps this is less true of areas in
           | the winter with electrically provided heat?
        
             | thebruce87m wrote:
             | Here is the electricity production for the UK over the last
             | week: https://electricityproduction.uk/total/?t=7d
             | 
             | Not sure how it is for other parts of the world. Maybe
             | places with heat pumps like Norway are different? We have a
             | lot of gas for heating.
        
               | citrin_ru wrote:
               | The UK is heavy reliant on gas heating currently so only
               | a small fraction of electrical energy on this graph is
               | used for heating. With the switch to heat pumps and other
               | forms of electrical heating the picture will change.
        
               | thebruce87m wrote:
               | The switch to heat pumps will be glacially slow. I've had
               | a look at doing it on my property and my mums and gave up
               | due to the need to change the pipes and radiators. I
               | suspect only new-builds will go that route for a long
               | time.
        
             | zdragnar wrote:
             | In Calgary, the overnight temp is -27 F for tonight.
             | 
             | When the weather gets that cold, insulation and heating
             | have a hard time keeping up.
             | 
             | Homes that have natural gas furnaces draw so much that
             | utility companies have a hard time keeping the lines at
             | full pressure.
             | 
             | People start using space heaters more and more, which moves
             | the pressure to the electric grid.
             | 
             | The problem with the cold is that it is worse at night, so
             | there's less spare capacity overnight than normal.
             | 
             | At least, this is what we went through in the upper Midwest
             | a few years back. Right now it's -8 and things are running
             | smooth as usual.
        
               | grumple wrote:
               | Do any houses use wood for heating, or at least as a
               | backup for times like this? My brother had a wood stove
               | with fireplace that is somehow installed in a way that it
               | heats his ~2000 sqft, 2 story house. I think the system
               | was expensive to install, but it's cheaper for him to use
               | wood than the gas furnace. Granted it doesn't get nearly
               | as cold here in Philly as it does in the midwest or
               | Canada... lowest temp on the 10 day forecast is 14
               | degrees as a overnight low. Having a backup heat source
               | that is completely independent of the grid is reassuring
               | imo.
        
               | SoftTalker wrote:
               | If I lived someplace where temperatures went that low I'd
               | certainly want to have backup heat, regardless of what my
               | primary heating system was. Either wood stove or at least
               | a kerosene space heater and a supply of fuel.
        
               | zdragnar wrote:
               | Outdoor wood boilers are somewhat popular (don't help
               | much without power though), but I'd hazard a guess that
               | more homes than not just have a small backup generator
               | rather than rely on any kind of wood heat.
               | 
               | Might be different elsewhere; propane is cheaper than the
               | national average where I live, so my experience might be
               | skewed.
        
             | 1000100_1000101 wrote:
             | Ottawa, ON, Canada: https://hydroottawa.com/en/accounts-
             | services/accounts/rates-...
             | 
             | I can choose my rate plan.                 Regular:
             | 7PM-7AM+weekends = 8.7c/kWH       11AM-5PM         =
             | 12.2c/kWH       7-11AM, 5-7PM.   = 18.2c/kWH
             | UltraLow:       11PM-7AM               = 2.8c/kWH
             | W/end 7AM-11PM         = 8.7c/kWH       W/day
             | 7AM-4PM,9PM-11PM = 12.2c/kWH       W/day 4PM-9PM          =
             | 28.6c/kWH            Tiered:       First 1000kWH =
             | 10.3c/kWH       Over 1000kWH  = 12.5c/kWH
        
             | dtgriscom wrote:
             | Does it matter? If the utility can control EV charging
             | times, then all that is necessary is that non-EV demand
             | varies significantly. I haven't heard anyone claim that
             | electric demand is anywhere near constant.
        
         | eldaisfish wrote:
         | One correction - Alberta's wind turbines aren't generating
         | power because the wind speeds are low, not because of cold.
         | Wind speed around Edmonton yesterday was under 5 m/s and today
         | as well. Most of Alberta's wind farms are around Pincher Creek
         | where wind speeds are forecast to be below 5 m/s for the next
         | few days. 5 m/s is important because it is around these speeds
         | where most wind turbine start generating power.
         | 
         | Most wind turbines will run just fine at temperatures of -30 C
         | with a few internal heaters for fluids and some electronics.
        
         | ilrwbwrkhv wrote:
         | Canada as a whole is a badly managed failing country with the
         | worst conditions out of all other developed nations. They hang
         | on to a thin thread of "we are not like the US" but fail to
         | understand that having real estate and mining resources cannot
         | sustain a country forever. You need entrepreneurship,
         | competition and risk taking.
        
           | fifteen1506 wrote:
           | And $500 a month health insurance, otherwise you are milking
           | the States' investment in developing new medicine,
           | essentially making Americans pay for the world's research.
        
             | jedberg wrote:
             | Amusingly, us Americans then turn around and get our drugs
             | from Canada because it's cheaper. Presumably because it's
             | subsidized by your tax dollars.
             | 
             | It's a weird symbiotic relationship.
        
           | tensor wrote:
           | And yet objective studies of things like quality of life [1],
           | access to medicare [2], and other metrics, always seem
           | completely at odds with claims like yours. We may not be the
           | top in all metrics, but we are far from the "the worst of all
           | developed nations." Data sure is inconvenient when we're
           | spreading hyperbole and misinformation on the internet!
           | 
           | [1] https://www.usnews.com/news/best-
           | countries/rankings/quality-... [2]
           | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5595214/
        
             | ilrwbwrkhv wrote:
             | data lags tremendously.
        
           | refulgentis wrote:
           | This isn't remotely true on any measure, but I'm definitely
           | interested in seeing _anything_ that led you to this
           | conclusion. And I love tweaking Canada! I grew up in Buffalo!
        
         | Tiktaalik wrote:
         | > Electric vehicles would destroy the current grid
         | 
         | If only the government wasn't openly hostile to new energy
         | projects. Alas.
        
         | gonzo wrote:
         | So Texas / ERCOT isn't alone, and PG&E isn't an anomaly.
         | 
         | This is everywhere.
        
         | anonuser123456 wrote:
         | I think you are misattributing "doesn't work the way I want"
         | for "very badly managed".
         | 
         | Investment has costs. Maybe not everyone wants to pay those
         | costs, consumers included.
        
           | handoflixue wrote:
           | If you don't pay the investment costs, then you pay "Pool
           | prices for electricity spiked to $1000/MWh" costs. It's
           | certainly possible there are math-illiterate people who can't
           | work out which path is better, but that doesn't mean it's not
           | "very badly managed"
        
       | bawolff wrote:
       | I'm confused by all this. I grew up in alberta (fort mcmurray
       | which is north of calgary). I don't live there now. While
       | obviously this is cold, it is not abnormally cold weather.
       | Growing up we had weather on par with this or maybe a little
       | colder at times. I dont remember gas pumps ever freezing. What
       | gives?
        
         | giantg2 wrote:
         | Maybe the ethanol blend, especially if it has water in it?
        
       | FredPret wrote:
       | I'm from a hot place and moved to Calgary a couple of years ago.
       | 
       | I'll never forget my first time driving in a cold snap like this.
       | It was -35C and I forgot to plug in my gas powered car. It
       | started the second time, but it drove so weirdly for half an
       | hour. I think the various transmission fluids and lubricants
       | must've been frozen or extra viscuous.
       | 
       | But at least it worked! Would not want to be stuck in the
       | mountains in an EV unless it had a propane tank or 800km range or
       | something.
        
         | BXLE_1-1-BitIs1 wrote:
         | Yep, even with a manual transmission in neutral you can feel
         | the lubricant viscosity bringing up the clutch at -30C. My
         | car's outside temperature display doesn't show temperature
         | below -30 and it takes time for the radio to start working.
         | Seat warmers are really appreciated as you don't need to wait
         | for the engine to warm up enough to heat the interior.
         | 
         | Block heaters run about 400W. It helps a lot to have a garage.
         | When it's this cold, I also run a battery charger as living in
         | a walkable neighborhood, I can go several days without using my
         | car and the battery sags in the cold.
        
         | Klonoar wrote:
         | ...did you drive it immediately after staring it? Barring any
         | emergencies I always wait minimum 10 minutes in cold weather to
         | let the fluids warm up and cycle through.
        
         | jacquesm wrote:
         | I had a Honda Hybrid in Northern Ontario and it took a lot of
         | planning to keep that car working during the coldest period of
         | the year. Usually the dash would completely fail even if the
         | engine would run and it took 1/2 hour or so for the car to
         | properly warm up. I ended up keeping it indoors and only to
         | roll it out just prior to a drive (and let it warm up outside
         | to avoid CO2 poisoning).
        
       | autoexec wrote:
       | If you haven't already seen the video don't bother. There is no
       | interesting visual of frozen gas pumps, just stock footage of gas
       | pumps and people using ones that aren't frozen while a voice over
       | says that some were freezing and that nothing could be done but
       | to wait for them to unfreeze. The video adds nothing.
        
         | andrewinardeer wrote:
         | I could hear the significant apathy in the gas station
         | attendent's voice even though their comment was narrated by the
         | presenter. That was nice.
        
         | Panino wrote:
         | > just stock footage
         | 
         | > The video adds nothing
         | 
         | This seems to be the case more often than not. Who is the
         | intended audience for these videos and what's the motivation?
         | Usually they don't contain ads, and just suck bandwidth and
         | take money to cobble together, so I don't see how _anyone_
         | benefits.
        
           | kccqzy wrote:
           | It's originally meant for TV broadcast, so they need some
           | kind of footage even if they have nothing relevant.
        
       | pxeboot wrote:
       | In some arctic locations, they keep the gas pumps fully enclosed
       | and heated, with only the hoses accessible from the outside. You
       | need to go in a little shed to swipe your card and select the
       | grade.
       | 
       | One example:
       | https://www.go2moon.com/image/DaltonHwy/Dalton-S3.html
        
         | jacquesm wrote:
         | That's a clever solution!
        
       | fleventynine wrote:
       | A reddit thread with anecdotes from EV owners during this cold
       | snap:
       | 
       | https://www.reddit.com/r/Calgary/comments/194yg8x/how_are_yo...
       | 
       | General consensus was that while some models lost ~40% of their
       | range, the cars were more than adequate for getting around the
       | city, even when parked on the street overnight.
        
         | canucker2016 wrote:
         | from CBC, https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/ev-
         | cold-nort...:
         | 
         | ====
         | 
         | In 2023, Seattle-based firm Recurrent measured range loss in
         | EVs at temperatures between -7 C and -1 C, and found 18 popular
         | models had an average of 70 per cent of their range in freezing
         | conditions, though there was a wide discrepancy depending on
         | the vehicle.
         | 
         | Starting with a full charge, Vejvoda's long-range 2020 Tesla
         | Model 3 predicted he'd get to McBride with five to 10 per cent
         | charge remaining.
         | 
         | Instead, he said, the vehicle did better than expected and had
         | about 25 per cent when he reached the charging point.
         | 
         | He said the vehicle had about a 40- to 50-per-cent loss in
         | efficiency.
         | 
         | [stuff deleted]
         | 
         | "That just goes to show that these cars have come a long way
         | ... but [this loss] would be the worst-case scenario," he said,
         | adding he's only seen eight per cent loss during regular city
         | use in -20 C weather.
         | 
         | "The highway is not where an EV shines to begin with ... and
         | it's going to have more trouble because of the air flow under
         | the battery being so cold."
         | 
         | Rowell says it's important to note gas vehicles also lose
         | efficiency in cold weather as frigid temperatures can affect
         | fuel economy.
         | 
         | ====
        
       | rkagerer wrote:
       | Gasoline itself freezes at -75degC/-103degF.
       | 
       | I gather the temperature in Calgary is around -30degC. So I
       | presume it's the pump infrastructure that can't handle the cold,
       | not the fuel itself freezing (which would also impact vehicles).
       | 
       | I used to live in Ottawa where it got that cold at least once a
       | year (I remember skiing in Tremblant once at -40degC) and their
       | pumps still generally managed cope - at least before they started
       | getting LCD screens.
        
         | pi-e-sigma wrote:
         | Gasoline can freeze well above -75degC/-103degF, it all depends
         | on the actual composition and various additives. And even if
         | it's not frozen it can be so sticky (viscous) that you can't
         | use it anyway
        
           | SoftTalker wrote:
           | Or it could have water in it. There's always some water in
           | retail fuel. The pumps have filters to capture it, but if
           | they freeze the fuel can't flow.
        
             | jacquesm wrote:
             | The water tends to pool at the bottom of the tank due to
             | gravity. Source: former gas station owner. At -40 C the
             | bigger issues are: pump lubrication, metal becoming
             | brittle, shrinkage of parts made of different metals
             | causing friction and wear (but this does tend to heat up
             | the mechanism!), electronics malfunctioning. That's why we
             | had very old pumps without any electronics at all and those
             | functioned very well in deep winter, as long as we had
             | power (for which we had a backup diesel generator). Not a
             | single lost day of business in the four years that we owned
             | that station. Far more modern stations nearby on highway 17
             | were doing much worse.
        
       | Tiktaalik wrote:
       | Wild stuff.
       | 
       | We often read concern trolling about how BEVs will fail and
       | struggle in winter climates but the reality is that ICE vehicles
       | need a fair amount of special care in the winter as well, and the
       | infrastructure is also fragile. This story here a remarkable
       | example of that.
       | 
       | Was chatting with my Dad about all this and he brought up his war
       | stories of trying to get an ICE car to start in a Winnipeg
       | winter.
       | 
       | God help you if you didn't plug in the block heater.
        
         | jacquesm wrote:
         | God help if you did get your car running but ended up stranded
         | by the roadside somewhere. Road travel in Canada in deep winter
         | is a serious exercise in risk management, your life may well be
         | on the line.
        
       ___________________________________________________________________
       (page generated 2024-01-14 23:01 UTC)