[HN Gopher] Scientists scramble to keep dog aging project alive
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       Scientists scramble to keep dog aging project alive
        
       Author : benbreen
       Score  : 61 points
       Date   : 2024-01-12 03:45 UTC (2 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.nytimes.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.nytimes.com)
        
       | davidkong0987 wrote:
       | Reminds me of full metal alchemist
        
         | AdoHaha wrote:
         | How?
        
         | jareklupinski wrote:
         | The pig goes: "Oink"
         | 
         | The cow goes: "Moo"
         | 
         | The dog goes: "Ed...ward...?"
         | 
         | Full Metal Alchemist
        
           | Quixotica1 wrote:
           | Classic
        
           | Snow_Falls wrote:
           | Too soon. Its always too soon.
        
           | mech422 wrote:
           | Dam man.. that one always gets me...
        
       | graeme wrote:
       | Anyone know why the agency might drop funding midway through? It
       | doesn't sound like there was a cost overrun.
       | 
       | Sunk cost fallacy doesn't justify spending, but the project is
       | now much cheaper than it would be to start afresh.
        
         | prepend wrote:
         | Seems like they ran into some management issues and the
         | research didn't yield the results (as far as publications) that
         | they expected in their application. And it's a big grant at
         | $28M. So that's a lot to spend on researchers who seemed
         | surprised at the difficulty of running such a study and didn't
         | seem to generate many new findings over the course of 5 years.
         | 
         | For example...
         | 
         | > The researchers estimated in their 2018 grant application
         | that it would take at least three months to build the physical,
         | digital and human infrastructure for the study. The process
         | ended up taking three years.
         | 
         | This is all good for a private philanthropist. But the NIH is
         | taxpayer funded and $28M given to this grant means other grants
         | not funded.
        
           | nobodyandproud wrote:
           | Have you seen how large their "Executive Leadership" team is?
           | 
           | I'm more than a bit skeptical that enough funding is being
           | funneled into the research itself.
        
           | fsckboy wrote:
           | "we meant dog-years!"
        
             | woleium wrote:
             | but... dog years are _shorter_ than human years?
        
       | prepend wrote:
       | > A petition asking for continued support from the National
       | Institutes of Health has garnered more than 10,000 signatures
       | 
       | I don't think NIH should be awarding grants based on petitions
       | from the public.
        
         | Paul-Craft wrote:
         | Why not? We pay for it. I don't see why public interest
         | shouldn't at least be considered as a factor. (If there is any,
         | that is -- most NIH studies don't get on the the media's radar
         | for the public to even find out about them.)
        
           | BobaFloutist wrote:
           | Petitions are a pretty poor measure for generic public
           | interest, much poorer even than polling or voting.
        
             | Paul-Craft wrote:
             | So? Are you suggesting polling or putting the NIH funding
             | agenda to a public vote? If not, the fact that there even
             | _is_ a petition, is a pretty good indication of public
             | interest.
             | 
             | Petitions work like internet comments: lurkers (non-
             | signers) far outnumber commenters and posters (signers).
             | One person's signature is an indication that there more
             | people out there who are interested as well.
        
               | MostlyStable wrote:
               | This sounds logical until you realize that there are
               | petitions with very large numbers of signatures (relative
               | to petitions more broadly), that we _also_ have polling
               | for and that are, from polling, relatively unpopular. If
               | the people who care care a lot, then you can get a
               | sizeable petition (again, relative to petitions
               | generally) even if there aren 't a ton of "lurkers" who
               | also support it but aren't signing.
               | 
               | And this pattern of "small but very passionate minority
               | vs large and slightly anti- majority" is a relatively
               | common one (or flip the valences).
               | 
               | There is _probably_ a correlation between number of
               | signatures and broader appeal, but I would bet that it 's
               | a _very_ weak one.
        
               | ImPostingOnHN wrote:
               | 10,000 self-selected people out of 300,000,000 isn't a
               | good sign of public interest, let alone preference. That
               | is 0.003% of the public. That means 99.997% of the public
               | could oppose it. Maybe for every lurker who supports it,
               | there are thousands of lurkers who oppose it. We just
               | don't know. That's why it's not a good indicator.
               | 
               | Proper polling, on the other hand, _can_ be a pretty good
               | indication of public interest. Not that it 's necessarily
               | a good option for a government agency to poll for every
               | decision.
        
           | nobodyandproud wrote:
           | Petition away, but isn't it also fair to demand transparency?
           | 
           | I'd like to balance it out with some investigation or report
           | of this project.
           | 
           | Their website is incredibly light on financial details.
        
           | boomboomsubban wrote:
           | It seems like a logical idea, but then projects that do
           | manage go get on the media's radar start to get more funding
           | leading teams to spend a significant portion of their budget
           | on PR and target more popular areas.
        
           | kashunstva wrote:
           | I'd hazard a guess that a only a small minority of potential
           | signers of public petitions to the NIH could, for example,
           | describe how mRNA vaccines work, or the genetic processes
           | underlying the differentiation of species, etc etc. but
           | should we entrust them to effectively sort out biomedical
           | research priorities? Yes, it would be interesting to see how
           | public opinions line up with expert priorities, if only to
           | uncover and address gaps in public understanding of science.
        
           | PakG1 wrote:
           | You assume that the public has objective commitment to the
           | scientific method. An example where this could be an issue is
           | climate change. There is a significant portion of the public
           | that is interested in showing that climate change is not
           | really happening. I had a conversation just last week with
           | someone who says that society should have more of a debate
           | about climate change because he thinks that politicians are
           | just making noise about it for personal political agendas and
           | that reality is really still uncertain. He made it clear to
           | me that his opinion was that climate change is absolutely not
           | happening. We didn't get to the part where the debate for
           | scientists is for the most part settled and reality is
           | certain, and that conclusion just hasn't transferred over to
           | public opinion for whatever reason.
           | 
           | If we get public interest to be a factor, we risk biased
           | thinking to sway what gets funded based on biased opinion,
           | rather than scientific interest and scientific method.
        
         | piuantiderp wrote:
         | Because democracy has its limits, this is common knowledge
         | among educated people for the past 2000 or so years
        
       | nobodyandproud wrote:
       | Is there a financials breakdown for this project?
       | 
       | The project started in 2014 and they have--and continue to--
       | solicit donations from the general public.
        
       | Paul-Craft wrote:
       | https://archive.ph/NSJOV
        
       | throwawaymaths wrote:
       | Maybe that dog lifespan prolonging startup should pitch in. Kinda
       | like how tech startups don't pitch in to fund the open source
       | projects they rely on
        
         | idopmstuff wrote:
         | This isn't like that at all - that startup (Loyal) is running
         | their own clinical trial, not relying on the aging project.
        
         | jacobsimon wrote:
         | I wonder if that is part of the story here - seems like that
         | company has come along and shown it's possible to bring a
         | solution to market faster.
        
       | ProjectArcturis wrote:
       | As a former neuroscience researcher, I sure wish I could have
       | gotten the NY Times to write a feature article when my grants
       | didn't get funded.
        
         | yieldcrv wrote:
         | oh the trick is to pay a publicist, and keep shopping around
         | for publicists that have the right network
         | 
         | there is nothing organic or merit based happenstance about this
         | stuff, money talks even if its in a roundabout way, but its not
         | as much money as you might think
         | 
         | $800 - $6,000 a month
         | 
         | my friend put me on to it and our google results look pretty
         | impeccable, but behind the scenes there are lots of other
         | things that aren't even for SEO, just the right people to
         | notice
        
           | iancmceachern wrote:
           | I can confirm this.
        
           | xhevahir wrote:
           | FWIW, the NYT's decision to cover this particular story could
           | be as simple as an editor's having figured out that pet-
           | related content sells really, really well.
        
             | yieldcrv wrote:
             | which your publicist will find out and make sure that _you_
             | , as a representative of _your_ pet project, are selected
             | for the quotes in the article
        
         | MattGaiser wrote:
         | Given how much undeployed philanthropic money there is out
         | there, it doesn't seem like it would be a bad thing to have at
         | risk research projects be highlighted more regularly in the
         | news.
        
           | ChainOfFools wrote:
           | In my country a plurality of our citizens voluntarily and
           | enthusiastically contribute to a state-sponsored humanitarian
           | charity in which they all flush a billion post-tax
           | philanthropic dollars down the toilet about once every 3-5
           | weeks, by handing it over to a random nobody who promptly
           | disappears from the face of the Earth along with the rest of
           | their family, and the process starts all over again.
           | 
           | The name of this bizarre giving tradition is called The
           | National lottery, and we actually have several going at once
           | in case anyone feels they aren't being generous enough.
           | 
           | We _can_ have nice things, but most of us want this instead.
        
             | Sebb767 wrote:
             | People playing the lottery aren't donating money, they are
             | buying the mental image of winning it - just listen to them
             | daydreaming about what they will buy and how they split the
             | money. They might also, with a minuscule chance, have an
             | immediate positive effect on their life via an enormous
             | influx of money to their bank account [0]. This is not at
             | all comparable to donating to science, where the positive
             | effects for oneself are years away, if they materialize at
             | all. It's a completely different mindset.
             | 
             | If you can't comprehend this, think about how older people
             | talk about you wasting money on video games with virtual
             | items that are, theoretically, instantly replicated at no
             | cost. Looks stupid on paper, too, but how it makes you feel
             | is why you spend the money.
             | 
             | [0] I know that winning the lottery has been bad luck for a
             | lot of people, but people playing the lottery either don't
             | think that far or have "solid" plans for avoiding this
             | fate.
        
       | green-salt wrote:
       | After losing pets I am all about increasing their lifespans, but
       | not at the cost of their comfort and health.
        
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